Analysis of Bias-variance Trade-off in Estimators for Variational Inferencing .
Abstract not provided.
Das, Niladri↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “variational analysis”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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SPECTRAL ASPECTS OF THE STRATOSPHERIC CIRCULATION DURING THE IGY
Stratospheric circulation - seasonal variations, kinetic energy budget, wave number analysis, and zone flow
STRATOSPHERE↗
Diurnal and annual temperature variations in the 30-60 km region as indicated by statistical analysis of rocketsonde temperature data.
The relatively large amount of rocketsonde data now available for selected stations together with representative estimates of the solar radiation corrections has been utilized to establish the phases and amplitudes of the diurnal temperature oscillations from 30 to 60 km. Once the magnitude of the solar radiation errors and the diurnal temperature oscillations are established, these values are used to obtain new estimates of the actual mean temperatures for each calendar month.
Hoxit, L. R.↗
Diurnal and annual temperature variations in the 30-60 km region as indicated by statistical analysis of rocketsonde temperature data.
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Hoxit, L. R.↗
Analysis of Gauge-Measured and Passive Microwave Derived Snow Depth Variations of Snowfields
Remote sensing of snow depth has been used to infer snow depth for many years. Passive microwave remote sensing of snow depth is compared with the snow gauge data.
Chang, A. T. C.↗
Investigation of process history and underlying phenomena associated with the synthesis of plutonium oxides using Vector Quantizing Variational Autoencoder
Accurate, high throughput, and unbiased analysis of plutonium oxide particles is needed for analysis of the phenomenology associated with process parameters in their synthesis. Compared to qualitative and taxonomic descriptors, quantitative descriptors of particle morphology through scanning electron microscopy (SEM) have shown success in analyzing process parameters of uranium oxides. Among other candidates, a neural network called a Vector Quantizing Variational Autoencoder (VQ-VAE) has shown the ability to quantitatively describe particle morphology to attain >85% accuracy in identifying uranium oxide processing routes. We utilize a VQ-VAE to quantitatively describe plutonium dioxide (PuO 2 ) particles created in a designed experiment and investigate their phenomenology and prediction of their process parameters. PuO 2 was calcined from Pu(III) oxalates that were precipitated under varying synthetic conditions that related to concentrations, temperature, addition and digestion times, precipitant feed, and strike order; the surface morphology of the resulting PuO 2 powders were analyzed by SEM. A pipeline was developed to extract and quantify useful image representations for individual particles with the VQ-VAE, then further reduce the dimensionality of the feature space using a bottlenecking neural network fit to perform multiple classification tasks simultaneously. The reduced feature space could predict process parameters with greater than 80% accuracies for some parameters with a single particle. They also showed utility for grouping particles with similar surface morphology characteristics together. Both the clustering and classification results reveal valuable information regarding which chemical process parameters chiefly influence the PuO 2 particle morphologies: strike order and oxalic acid feedstock. Doing the same analysis with multiple particles was shown to improve the classification accuracy on each process parameter over the use of a single particle, with statistically significant results generally seen with as few as four particles in a sample.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
On the characteristic exponents of the general three-body problem
A description is given of some properties of the characteristic exponents of the general three-body problem. The variational equations on which the analysis is based are obtained by linearizing the Lagrangian equations of motion in the neighborhood of a given known solution. Attention is given to the fundamental matrix of solutions, the characteristic equation, the three trivial solutions of the variational equations of the three-body problem, symmetric periodic orbits, and the half-period properties of symmetric periodic orbits.
Broucke, R.↗
Atomic oxygen between 80 and 120 km: Evidence for a rapid spatial variation in vertical transport near the ionosphere
Analysis of OGO-6 OI green line photometer results was carried out for 8 cases when the alignment of the spacecraft was such that local emission rates could be determined below the altitude of maximum emission and down to about 80 km. Results show a variation on a scale of 6 deg to 8 deg in latitude between regions where the emission rate increases rapidly between 90 and 95 km and regions where it increases slowly from 80 km to 95 km. Latitude-altitude maps of iso-emissivity contours and iso-density contours for oxygen concentration are presented. The latter are computed under 3 assumptions concerning excitation mechanisms. Comparisons of the spatial variations of oxygen density with the results of a time dependent theory suggest the regions of strong downward transport alternate on a scale of about 1000 km with regions of weak transport near 90 km. In the first case conversion of O to O3 at night appears to be overwhelmed by downward transport of O.
Donahue, T. M.↗
Coherent wave-zonal mean flow interactions in the troposphere
A comprehensive analysis of wave-zonal mean flow variations in the troposphere is carried out using results of observations on the spatial structure and temporal evolution of synoptic time scale variations of the tropospheric zonal mean flow. Seven years of daily operational analysis are examined along with data from the NCAR GCM. Coherent wave-zonal mean flow interactions were revealed via cross-correlation analyses, including fluctuations in zonal mean temperature, three-dimensional winds, and quadratic wave quantities. It was found that tropical zonal wind tendency fluctuations are coherent with those anticipated from quasi-geostrophic wave driving, while tropical temperature tendencies are incoherent with analyzed zonal mean vertical velocities.
Randel, William J.↗
Mars 2020 Rover Laser Power Supply Thermomechanical Analysis
Operation of the Laser Power Supply (LPS) module provides the dual challenge of high power dissipation, and the need for strict dielectric isolation, while needing to survive in an environment on Mars that will see a chilly night-time temperature of -123°C, and to a daytime instrument environment in excess of 50°C. Additionally, power restrictions prevent the use of survival heating during the night. The harsh mechanical vibration environment of launch and landing provides an additional challenge to reliability. A multi-physics simulation was created that took into account temperature property variations, as well as solving the transient analysis that also included rapid variation in power-pulsing during the operation of the laser. The steady state analysis employed a more traditional finite element based analysis, but with provisions for Mars gas convection and thermal radiation.
Tuman, David↗
Observed temporal variations in the Earth's gravity field from 16-year Starlette orbit analysis
Satellite laser ranging data to Starlette, collected during the period from 1975 to 1990, are analyzed to determine yearly values of the second degree annual (Sa) and semiannual (Ssa) tides, simultaneously with average values of other low degree and order tide parameters. The yearly fluctuations in the values for Sa and Ssa are associated with changes in the Earth's second degree zonal harmonic caused by meteorological excitation. The Starlette-determined mean values for the amplitude of the annual and semiannual variations in J2 are 32.3 x 10 exp -11 and 19.5 x 10 exp -11, respectively; while the rms about the mean values are 4.1 x 10 exp -11 and 6.3 x 10 exp -11, respectively. The annual delta-J2 is in good agreement with the value obtained from the combined effects of air mass redistribution without the oceanic inverted-barometer effects (non-IB) and hydrological change. Approximately 90 percent of the observed annual variation from Starlette is attributed to the meteorological mass redistribution occurring on the Earth's surface.
Cheng, M. K.↗
A Quantitative Study of Oxygen as a Metabolic Regulator
An acute reduction in oxygen delivery to a tissue is associated with metabolic changes aimed at maintaining ATP homeostasis. However, given the complexity of the human bio-energetic system, it is difficult to determine quantitatively how cellular metabolic processes interact to maintain ATP homeostasis during stress (e.g., hypoxia, ischemia, and exercise). In particular, we are interested in determining mechanisms relating cellular oxygen concentration to observed metabolic responses at the cellular, tissue, organ, and whole body levels and in quantifying how changes in tissue oxygen availability affect the pathways of ATP synthesis and the metabolites that control these pathways. In this study; we extend a previously developed mathematical model of human bioenergetics, to provide a physicochemical framework that permits quantitative understanding of oxygen as a metabolic regulator. Specifically, the enhancement - sensitivity analysis - permits studying the effects of variations in tissue oxygenation and parameters controlling cellular respiration on glycolysis, lactate production, and pyruvate oxidation. The analysis can distinguish between parameters that must be determined accurately and those that require less precision, based on their effects on model predictions. This capability may prove to be important in optimizing experimental design, thus reducing use of animals.
Radhakrishnan, Krishnan↗
A quantitative study of oxygen as a metabolic regulator
An acute reduction in oxygen delivery to a tissue is associated with metabolic changes aimed at maintaining ATP homeostasis. However, given the complexity of the human bioenergetic system, it is difficult to determine quantitatively how cellular metabolic processes interact to maintain ATP homeostasis during stress (e.g., hypoxia, ischemia, and exercise). In particular, we are interested in determining mechanisms relating cellular oxygen concentration to observed metabolic responses at the cellular, tissue, organ, and whole body levels and in quantifying how changes in tissue oxygen availability affect the pathways of ATP synthesis and the metabolites that control these pathways. In this study, we extend a previously developed mathematical model of human bioenergetics, to provide a physicochemical framework that permits quantitative understanding of oxygen as a metabolic regulator. Specifically, the enhancement--sensitivity analysis--permits studying the effects of variations in tissue oxygenation and parameters controlling cellular respiration on glycolysis, lactate production, and pyruvate oxidation. The analysis can distinguish between parameters that must be determined accurately and those that require less precision, based on their effects on model predictions. This capability may prove to be important in optimizing experimental design, thus reducing use of animals.
Non-programmatic↗
Annual and solar-magnetic-cycle variations in the interplanetary magnetic field, 1926-1971
The analysis of forty-five years of inferred interplanetary magnetic field polarity shows an annual variation and a variation of about twenty years, associated here with the solar magnetic cycle. On the average the phase of the annual variation of the interplanetary field changes about 2 and 2/3 years after sunspot maximum, i.e. for about ten consecutive years the predominant polarity of the interplanetary field is away from the sun during the six-month interval in which the earth is at southern heliographic latitudes. Then a change of phase occurs so that for about the next ten years the predominant polarity is toward the sun, while the earth is at southern heliographic latitudes. The annual variation changes its predominant polarity within a few days of the times when the heliographic latitude of the earth is zero.
Wilcox, J. M.↗
Generalized Charts for Determination of Pressure Drop of a High-speed Compressible Fluid in Heat-exchanger Passages I : Air Heated in Smooth Passages of Constant Area with Constant Wall Temperature
In the present paper an analysis is made of the compressible-flow variations occurring in heat-exchanger passages. The results of the analysis describe the flow and heating characteristics for which specific flow passages can be treated as segments of generalized flow systems. The graphical representation of the flow variations in the generalized flow systems can then be utilized as working charts to determine directly the pressure changes occurring in any specific flow passage. On the basis of these results, working charts are constructed to handle the case of air heated at constant wall temperature under turbulent-flow conditions. A method is given of incorporating the effect on the heat-exchanger flow process of high temperature differential between passage wall and fluid as based on recent NACA experimental data. Good agreement is obtained between the experimental and the chart pressure-drop values for passage-wall average temperatures as high as 1752 degrees R (experimental limit) and for flow Mach numbers ranging from 0.32 to 1.00 (choke) at the passage exit.
Valerino, Michael F↗
Analysis of Narrow Bipolar Events Using Mode Decomposition Methods
Multi-resolution analysis methods can reveal the underlying physical dynamics of nonstationary signals, such as those from lightning. In this paper we demonstrate the application of two multi-resolution analysis methods: Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) in a comparative way in the analysis of electric field change waveforms from lightning. EEMD and VMD decompose signals into a set of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs). The IMFs can be combined using distance and divergence metrics to obtain noise reduction or to obtain new waveforms that isolate the physical processes of interest while removing irrelevant components of the original signal. We apply the EEMD and VMD methods to the observations of three close Narrow Bipolar Events (NBEs) that were reported by Rison et al. The ΔE observations reveal the occurrence of complex oscillatory processes after the main NBE sferic. We show that both EEMD and VMD are able to isolate the oscillations from the main NBE, with VMD being more effective of the two methods since it requires the least user supervision. The oscillations are found to begin at the end of the NBEs' downward fast positive breakdown and appear to be produced by a half-wavelength standing wave within a weakly-conducting resonant ionization cavity left behind in the wake of the streamer-based NBE event. In conclusion, additional analysis shows that one of the NBEs was likely initiated by an energetic cosmic ray shower, and also corrects a misinterpretation in the literature that fast breakdown is an artifact of NBE-like events in interferometer observations.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Linking large-scale weather patterns to observed and modeled turbine hub-height winds offshore of the US West Coast
The US West Coast holds great potential for wind power generation, although its potential varies due to the complex coastal climate. Characterizing and modeling turbine hub-height winds under different weather conditions are vital for wind resource assessment and management. This study uses a two-stage machine learning algorithm to identify five large-scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs): post-trough, post-ridge, pre-ridge, pre-trough, and California high. The LSMPs are linked to offshore wind patterns, specifically at lidar buoy locations within lease areas for future wind farm development off Humboldt and Morro Bay. While each LSMP is associated with characteristic large-scale atmospheric conditions and corresponding differences in wind direction, diurnal variation, and jet features at the two lidar sites, substantial variability in wind speeds can still occur within each LSMP. Wind speeds at Humboldt increase during the post-trough, pre-ridge, and California-high LSMPs and decrease during the remaining LSMPs. Morro Bay has smaller responses in mean speeds, showing increased wind speed during the post-trough and California-high LSMPs. Besides the LSMPs, local factors, including the land–sea thermal contrast and topography, also modify mean winds and diurnal variation. The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model analysis does a good job of capturing the mean and variation at Humboldt but produces large biases at Morro Bay, particularly during the pre-ridge and California-high LSMPs. The findings are anticipated to guide the selection of cases for studying the influence of specific large-scale and local factors on California offshore winds and to contribute to refining numerical weather prediction models, thereby enhancing the efficiency and reliability of offshore wind energy production.
17 WIND ENERGY↗
An inverse method for the calculation of through-thickness fatigue crack closure behavior
An inverse technique was used to calculate through-thickness fatigue crack closure behavior. The through-thickness variation in crack opening stress-intensity factor was calculated by considering the variation in the three-dimensional stress-intensity factor, the variation in crack growth rate along the crack front, and a relationship between the crack growth rate and effective stress-intensity factor range (da/dN-Delta-K(eff)). The three-dimensional stress-intensity factor variation was obtained from an elastic finite element analysis of specific crack-front profiles observed experimentally. The variation in crack growth rate along the crack front was obtained experimentally from comparison of observed crack front changes. The da/dN-Delta-K(eff) relationship was estimated from high stress ratio, constant load amplitude, and fatigue crack growth tests. The through-thickness crack opening stress-intensity factor results agreed with crack opening measurements obtained from fatigue striations, near-tip strain gages, and remote strain and displacement gages.
Dawicke, D. S.↗