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At least 667 records · Page 37

On the Correspondence between Seasonal Forecast Biases and Long-Term Climate Biases in Sea Surface Temperature

In this paper, the correspondence between mean sea surface temperature (SST) biases in retrospective seasonal forecasts (hindcasts) and long-term climate simulations from five global climate models is examined to diagnose the degree to which systematic SST biases develop on seasonal time scales. The hindcasts are from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble and the climate simulations are from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The analysis suggests that most robust climatological SST biases begin to form within 6 months of a realistically initialized integration, although the growth rate varies with location, time, and model. In regions with large biases, interannual variability and ensemble spread is much smaller than the climatological bias. Additional ensemble hindcasts of the Community Earth System Model with a different initialization method suggest that initial conditions do matter for the initial bias growth, but the overall global bias patterns are similar after 6 months. A hindcast approach is more suitable to study biases over the tropics and sub-tropics than over the extra-tropics because of smaller initial biases and faster bias growth. The rapid emergence of SST biases makes it likely that fast processes with times scales shorter than the seasonal time scales in the atmosphere and upper ocean are responsible for a substantial part of the climatological SST biases. Studying the growth of biases may provide important clues to the causes and ultimately the amelioration of these biases. Further, initialized seasonal hindcasts can profitably be used in the development of high-resolution coupled ocean-atmosphere models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Benchmarking Microscale Ductility Measurements (Final Report of the Project DE-NE0008799)

Conventional macroscale experimentation is generally considered to be straightforward with few limitations. Conversely, micro/nanoscale experimentation presents numerous challenges in loading device design, sample preparation and handling, as well as accurate understanding of grain size and local texture effects on recorded measurements. Despite these challenges, nanopillar compression, MEMs based micro-tension, and nanoindentation approaches have been able to provide fundamental contributions to the understanding of material behavior at small lengthscales. However, the overarching shortcoming of these micro/nanoscale experimentation approaches, is the inability to directly translate measurements evaluated at the nm and µm length scales (e.g., hardness) to macroscale tensile material behavior (i.e., elastic modulus, yield strength, and ductility). The objectives of the proposed study are, 1) to establish best practices for obtaining tensile microscale ductility measurements, and 2) to validate methodologies to for comparing microscale ductility measurements to macroscale ductility measurements. In order to achieve these objectives, a multi-lengthscale, multi-temperature testing protocol and simulation framework are executed first on copper as a model material to validate the following approach, and second on reactor grade Zircaloy-2. Experiments are conducted on specimens extracted from the same test piece to ensure nominally identical grain size and texture from specimens to specimen. Motivated by the need to isolate the contribution of size-effects on obtained mechanical property measurements, specimens are manufactured with thicknesses at the micro- (1-10 µm), meso- (10-100's µm), and macroscales (sub-sized ASTM E8). In-situ full-field deformation techniques (scanning electron microscopy (SEM) grid methods and optical DIC) are incorporated into testing at each specimen length-scale to capture plasticity localization and evolution. Experimental testing for all specimens is conducted at both room temperature and elevated temperatures to probe the role of thermal activation on plastic deformation accommodation processes. Simulation efforts focus on examining the mechanical behavior of microscale specimens using a finite element approach with explicitly resolved grain morphologies, and an embedded crystal plasticity model. The cost-efficient implementation method allows for the modeling of a statistically significant number of both real (i.e., digital twin) and generated microstructures to obtain an understanding of the interrelationships between specimen microstructure and geometric variables (grain size, texture, specimen geometry, etc.) on microscale mechanical behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Isotopic Heterogeneity Imaged in a Uranium Fuel Pellet with Extreme Ultraviolet Laser Ablation and Ionization Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry

We use extreme ultraviolet laser ablation and ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (EUV TOF) to map uranium isotopic heterogeneity at the nanoscale (=100 nm). Using low-enriched uranium fuel pellets that were made by blending two isotopically distinct feedstocks, we show that EUV TOF can map the 235U/238U content in 100 nm-sized pixels. The two-dimensional (2D) isotope maps reveal U ratio variations in sub-microscale to =1 µm areas of the pellet that had not been fully exposed by microscale or bulk mass spectrometry analyses. Compared to the ratio distribution measured in a homogeneous U reference material, the ratios in the enriched pellet follow a ~3× wider distribution. These results indicate U heterogeneity in the fuel pellet from incomplete blending of the different source materials. EUV TOF results agree well with those obtained on the same enriched pellets by nanoscale secondary ionization mass spectrometry (NanoSIMS), which reveals a comparable U isotope ratio distribution at the same spatial scale. EUV TOF’s ability to assess and map isotopic heterogeneity at the nanoscale makes it a promising tool in fields such as nuclear forensics, geochemistry, and biology that could benefit from uncovering sub-microscale sources of chemical modifications.

Rush, Lydia A.↗

Encoding of linear kinetic plasma problems in quantum circuits via data compression

We propose an algorithm for encoding linear kinetic plasma problems in quantum circuits. The focus is on modelling electrostatic linear waves in a one-dimensional Maxwellian electron plasma. The waves are described by the linearized Vlasov–Ampère system with a spatially localized external current that drives plasma oscillations. This system is formulated as a boundary-value problem and cast in the form of a linear vector equation Aψ = b to be solved by using the quantum signal processing algorithm. The latter requires encoding of matrix A in a quantum circuit as a sub-block of a unitary matrix. We propose how to encode A in a circuit in a compressed form and discuss how the resulting circuit scales with the problem size and the desired precision.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Magnetohydrodynamic simulations preliminarily predict the habitability and radio emission of TRAPPIST-1e

TRAPPIST-1e, an Earth-sized exoplanet in the habitable zone of the nearby M dwarf TRAPPIST-1, may experience magnetospheric responses that vary with stellar space weather, which could potentially influence both its habitability and radio emissions. Our objective is to investigate how different Earth-like magnetospheric configurations of TRAPPIST-1e – specifically variations in dipolar magnetic field strength and axial tilt – respond to diverse stellar space weather conditions, including events analogous to coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and to assess their implications for potential habitability and expected radio emissions. We conducted 3D magnetohydrodynamic simulations of the TRAPPIST-1e system using the PLUTO code in spherical coordinates. The planetary magnetic field was modelled as dipolar, with equatorial strengths from Earth-like to several times stronger. The dipole axis spans a representative range of axial tilts. We investigate four stellar wind environments, from sub-Alfvénic flow to CME-like disturbances. Planetary shielding was quantified based on the magnetopause standoff distance, and radio powers were estimated via empirical scaling laws. Our simulations show that both shielding and radio power depend strongly on the magnetic configuration. Stronger fields increase protection, while larger tilts reduce it. Radio power increases with both field strength and tilt across all wind regimes. An Earth-like magnetic field can provide effective shielding even under intense CMEs, whereas high tilts require stronger fields. Predicted radio powers reach ~10 20 erg s −1 during CMEs, making bursts from close-in, magnetised planets more detectable. However, for TRAPPIST-1e, the maximum cyclotron frequency lies below the Earth’s ionospheric cutoff (~10 MHz), making ground-based detection currently infeasible.

Sun: magnetic fields↗

Ultrafast photochemistry of gas-phase transition metal carbonyls

Organometallic photochemistry lies at the heart of photochemical energy conversions in applications such as photocatalysis, photovoltaic cells, and luminescent materials. Thus, understanding how metal and ligand interactions in organometallic complexes modify electronic excited-state properties and reactivity has been the subject of intense studies for decades. Transition metal carbonyls [M n (CO) m ] have long served as prototypical organometallic complexes for understanding metal–ligand bonding and photochemistry and have been studied extensively in solution, matrices, and the gas phase on time scales ranging from femtoseconds to microseconds and longer. This review chronicles the past two and a half decades of efforts in understanding the ultrafast (sub-nanosecond) dynamics of transition metal carbonyls in the gas phase, where complicating solvent influences are absent and multiple experimental probes and high-level electronic structure theory can come together to yield rich information on the intricate interplay of electronic and structural dynamics. This review first lays the groundwork by briefly describing the electronic structure of transition metal carbonyls and introducing the various ultrafast techniques that have been applied to study their unimolecular dynamics. We then provide a detailed historical account on the ultrafast photochemistry of iron pentacarbonyl, nickel tetracarbonyl, and transition metal hexacarbonyls and decacarbonyls, putting the more recent ultrafast studies in the context of prior investigations. In conclusion, we end this review with an outlook on open questions and future possibilities.

Core level spectroscopy↗

Quasi-equilibrium predictions of water desorption kinetics from rapidly-heated metal oxide surfaces

Controlling sub-microsecond desorption of water and other impurities from electrode surfaces at high heating rates is crucial for pulsed power applications. Despite the short time scales involved, quasi-equilibrium ideas based on transition state theory (TST) and Arrhenius temperature dependence have been widely applied to fit desorption activation free energies. Here, we apply molecular dynamics (MD) simulations in conjunction with equilibrium potential-of-mean-force (PMF) techniques to directly compute the activation free energies (ΔG*) associated with desorption of intact water molecules from Fe 2 O 3 and Cr 2 O 3 (0001) surfaces. The desorption free energy profiles are diffuse, without maxima, and have substantial dependences on temperature and surface water coverage. Incorporating the predicted ΔG* into an analytical form gives rate equations that are in reasonable agreement with non-equilibrium molecular dynamics desorption simulations. We also show that different ΔG* analytical functional forms which give similar predictions at a particular heating rate can yield desorption times that differ by up to a factor of four or more when the ramp rate is extrapolated by 8 orders of magnitude. This highlights the importance of constructing a physically-motivated ΔG* functional form to predict fast desorption kinetics.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Near-field probing of strong light-matter coupling in single IR antennae

Quantum well intersubband polaritons are traditionally studied in large scale ensembles, over many wavelengths in size.In this presentation, we demonstrate that it is possible to detect and investigate intersubband polaritons in a single sub-wavelength nanoantenna in the IR frequency range. We observe polariton formation using a scattering-type near-fieldmicroscope and nano-FTIR spectroscopy. In this work, we will discuss near-field spectroscopic signatures of plasmonic antennae withand without coupling to the intersubband transition in quantum wells located underneath the antenna. Evanescent fieldamplitude spectra recorded on the antenna surface show a mode anti-crossing behavior in the strong coupling case. Wealso observe a corresponding strong-coupling signature in the phase of the detected field. We anticipate that this near-fieldapproach will enable explorations of strong and ultrastrong light-matter coupling in the single nanoantenna regime,including investigations of the elusive effect of ISB polariton condensation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Kinematics of femtosecond laser-generated plasma expansion: Determination of sub-micron density gradient and collisionality evolution of over-critical laser plasmas

An optical diagnostic based on resonant absorption of laser light in a plasma is introduced and is used for the determination of density scale lengths in the range of 10 nm to >1 μm at the critical surface of an overdense plasma. This diagnostic is also used to extract the plasma collisional frequency, allowing inference of the temporally evolving plasma composition on the tens of femtosecond timescale. This is found to be characterized by two eras: the early time and short scale length expansion (L < 0.1λ), where the interaction is highly collisional and target material dependent, followed by a period of material independent plasma expansion for longer scale lengths (L > 0.1λ); this is consistent with a hydrogen plasma decoupling from the bulk target material. Density gradients and plasma parameters on this scale are of importance to plasma mirror optical performance and comment is made on this theme.

Scott, G. G. (ORCID:000000032772372X)↗

Exploring toroidal anvil profiles for larger sample volumes above 4 Mbar

Abstract With the advent of toroidal and double-stage diamond anvil cells (DACs), pressures between 4 and 10 Mbar can be achieved under static compression, however, the ability to explore diverse sample assemblies is limited on these micron-scale anvils. Adapting the toroidal DAC to support larger sample volumes offers expanded capabilities in physics, chemistry, and planetary science: including, characterizing materials in soft pressure media to multi-megabar pressures, synthesizing novel phases, and probing planetary assemblages at the interior pressures and temperatures of super-Earths and sub-Neptunes. Here we have continued the exploration of larger toroidal DAC profiles by iteratively testing various torus and shoulder depths with central culet diameters in the 30–50 µm range. We present a 30 µm culet profile that reached a maximum pressure of 414(1) GPa based on a Pt scale. The 300 K equations of state fit to our P–V data collected on gold and rhenium are compatible with extrapolated hydrostatic equations of state within 1% up to 4 Mbar. This work validates the performance of these large-culet toroidal anvils to > 4 Mbar and provides a promising foundation to develop toroidal DACs for diverse sample loading and laser heating.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Atomic-Scale Surface Studies of Bulk Metallic Glasses. Final Report

Bulk metallic glasses (BMGs) are of both scientific and technological interest because the absence of periodic atomic arrangements provides them with unique physical, chemical, and mechanical properties. Their high strength, superior elasticity, and an ability to be easily formed into virtually unlimited shapes with feature sizes from centimeters to Angstroms by blow molding and thermoplastic forming makes them an attractive choice for more and more practical applications and products. Due to their complex internal structure, however, experiments that yield insight into their exact atomic arrangements have been scarce. As a result, glass physics is one of the last remaining unexplored fields of materials science despite the scientific and technological importance of glasses in our daily lives, and the question how to characterize and control matter away from equilibrium, as glasses are, was listed as one of five Grand Challenges in a recent DoE report. The main reason for the slow progress in glass physics is the lack of experimental tools that enable access to atomic-scale structural and behavioral information for disordered materials. Such atomic-scale knowledge is mandatory to establish structure-property relationships that ultimately could allow to custom-design alloys featuring specific desired characteristics. With no such relationships available, theory development in glass remains basic and the few that exist are often untested. The aim of this research was to enable progress in our understanding of BMGs by developing a new approach that will allow a meaningful application of local surface science methods to specially prepared BMG samples to obtain a wealth of quantitative information on their atomic arrangements. Key was the availability of specially prepared samples whose surfaces feature large atomically flat terraces despite being entirely amorphous, which we have produced from a Pt 57.5 Cu 14.7 Ni 5.3 P 22.5 alloy (‘Pt-BMG’) both under ambient conditions as well as in ultrahigh vacuum using a unique setup that has been specially developed within this grant. Our approach starts with the in-situ preparation of oxide crystals that are terminated by large terraces, from which exact mirror images out of BMG will be produced using thermoplastic forming (TPF); for the research within this grant, we have successfully used (001)-oriented SrTiO 3 single crystal surfaces as well as (100)-, (110)-, and (111)-oriented single crystals made from LaAlO 3 . Since the resulting BMG replicas display all features of the original crystal with sub-Angstrom fidelity, thereby mimicking the original crystal’s termination by atomically flat terraces without being crystalline themselves, they are ideally suited for further investigation. The following atomic-scale local studies were then carried within this proposal: (i) high-resolution surface imaging and local spectroscopy using scanning probe microscopy, which showed disordered atom-like features and revealed changes in the gradient of the local surface potential on a 1-2 nm length scale; (ii) characterization of atomic-scale plastic flow with affected volumes as low as 1000 atoms, which showed local hardness near or above the theoretically predicted maximum and, once plastic deformation was initiated, homogeneous flow of the atoms involved; (iii) characterization of surface relaxation processes and the onset of crystallization induced by annealing, which showed that upon heating over the material’s glass transition temperature, the surface rearranges and relaxes towards a more stable, denser packed glass, which increases on-terrace surface roughness, while surface tension smoothens step edges; and (iv) studies that investigate the dependence of the material’s mechanical properties and structure on processing parameters, revealing that relaxed glasses get denser, harder, and more elastic. In combination, this information allows to combine structural models with mechanical properties and preparation history, thereby facilitating the development of preparation-structure-property relationships for metallic glasses. With the availability of such information, bulk metallic glasses can be further optimized to be used in more and more applications in industry.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Spatially resolved land and grid model of carbon neutrality in China

China has committed to achieve net carbon neutrality by 2060 to combat global climate change, which will require unprecedented deployment of negative emissions technologies, renewable energies (RE), and complementary infrastructure. At terawatt-scale deployment, land use limitations interact with operational and economic features of power systems. To address this, we developed a spatially resolved resource assessment and power systems planning optimization that models a full year of power system operations, sub-provincial RE siting criteria, and transmission connections. Our modeling results show that wind and solar must be expanded to 2,000 to 3,900 GW each, with one plausible pathway leading to 300 GW/yr combined annual additions in 2046 to 2060, a three-fold increase from today. Over 80% of solar and 55% of wind is constructed within 100 km of major load centers when accounting for current policies regarding land use. Large-scale low-carbon systems must balance key trade-offs in land use, RE resource quality, grid integration, and costs. Under more restrictive RE siting policies, at least 740 GW of distributed solar would become economically feasible in regions with high demand, where utility-scale deployment is limited by competition with agricultural land. Effective planning and policy formulation are necessary to achieve China’s climate goals.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Exploring New Physics on Cosmological Scales

In recent work with her group, the PI developed a general formalism to compute from first principles the projected mass density (convergence) power spectrum of the substructure in galactic halos under different populations of dark matter sub halos. She constructed a halo model-based formalism, computing the 1-subhalo and the 2-subhalo terms from first principles for the first time. She found that the asymptotic slope of the substructure power spectrum at large wave number reflects the internal density profile of the sub halos, and proposed this as a key observable to discern between different dark matter scenarios.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Solar Influencer Next Door: Predicting Low-Income Solar Referrals and Leads

Increasing the adoption of solar among low-to-moderate income (LMI) households remains an important policy goal because of its promise to simultaneously reduce energy burden and support the just distribution of benefits of renewable energy. However, scaling LMI solar remains challenging due to affordability and access issues. Most existing LMI adoption has occurred under public-funded programs, highlighting the importance of increasing the cost-effectiveness of these programs at scale. We develop a new household-level data set on LMI solar lead acquisition, referrals, and adoption to understand the processes through which LMI solar uptake has occurred in California. Then, we develop models to predict two sub-mechanisms in the solar adoption process: whether an otherwise qualified lead becomes "lost" i.e. non-responsive to outreach and, for existing clients, whether they refer solar to others. For the program analyzed, participants received their solar system at no cost, which deemphasizes economic drivers of solar adoption and could differ from other program experiences. Both models substantially improved the accuracy of prediction relative to a baseline. Overall, we find that peer effects and solar economics are important to predicting referrals, and household demographic factors in lead loss prediction. Finally, we find that referrals are both the highest quality and largest source of LMI solar leads, providing a promising mechanism to expand LMI programs further.

customer acquisition costs↗

Primordial non-Gaussianity from the completed SDSS-IV extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey II: measurements in Fourier space with optimal weights

ABSTRACT We present measurements of the local primordial non-Gaussianity parameter $f_{\mathrm{NL}}^\mathrm{local} $from the clustering of 343 708 quasars with redshifts 0.8 < z < 2.2 distributed over 4808 deg2 from the final data release (DR16) of the extended Baryon Acoustic Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (eBOSS), the largest volume spectroscopic survey up to date. Our analysis is performed in Fourier space, using the power spectrum monopole at very large scales to constrain the scale-dependent halo bias. We demonstrate the robustness of our analysis pipeline with EZ-mock catalogues that simulate the eBOSS DR16 target selection. We carefully assess the impact of systematics on our measurement, exploiting a novel neural network scheme for cleaning the DR16 sample as well as test multiple contamination removal methods. We estimate the bias due to the overcorrection of the systematic removal to be sub-dominant compared to the statistical uncertainty. We find fNL = −12 ± 21 (68 per cent confidence) for the main clustering sample including quasars with redshifts between 0.8 and 2.2, after applying redshift weighting techniques, designed for non-Gaussianity measurement from large scales structure, to optimize our analysis, which improve our results by 37 per cent.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Depth-resolved thermal conductivity and damage in swift heavy ion irradiated metal oxides

We investigated thermal transport in swift heavy ion (SHI) irradiated insulating single crystalline oxide materials: yttrium aluminum garnet- Y 3 Al 5 O 12 (YAG), sapphire (Al 2 O 3 ), zinc oxide (ZnO) and magnesium oxide (MgO) irradiated by 167 MeV Xe ions at 10 12 – 10 14 ions/cm 2 fluences. Depth profiling of the thermal transport on nano- and micro- meter scales was assessed by time-domain thermoreflectance (TDTR) and modulated thermoreflectance (MTR) methods, respectively. This combination allowed us to isolate the conductivities of different sub-surface damage-regions characterized by their distinct microstructure evolution regimes. Thermal conductivity degradation in SHI irradiated YAG and Al 2 O 3 is attributed to formation of ion tracks and subsequent amorphization, while in ZnO and MgO it is mostly due to point defects. Additionally, notably lower conductivity when probed by very low penetrating thermal waves is consistent with surface hillock formation. An analytical model based on Klemens-Callaway method for thermal conductivity coupled with a simplified microstructure evolution capturing saturation in defect concentration was used to obtain depth dependent damage across the ion impacted region. The studies showed that YAG has the highest damage profile resulting in the less dependence of thermal conductivity with the depth, while MgO on the contrary has the strongest dependence. The presented work sheds new light on how SHI induced defects affect thermal transport degradation and recovery of oxide ceramics as promising candidates for next generation nuclear reactor applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Basal Melting and Oceanic Observations Beneath Central Fimbulisen, East Antarctica

Abstract Basal melting of ice shelves is fundamental to Antarctic ice sheet mass loss, yet direct observations remain sparse. We present the first year‐round melt record (2017–2021) from a phase‐sensitive radar on Fimbulisen, one of the fastest flowing ice shelves in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. The observed long‐term mean ablation rate at 350 m depth below the central ice shelf was 1.0 ± 0.5 m yr −1 , marked by substantial sub‐weekly variability ranging from 0.4 to 3.5 m yr −1 . 36‐h filtered basal melt rate fluctuations closely align with ocean velocity. On seasonal time scales, melt rates peak during austral spring to autumn (September–March), driven by both elevated ocean velocities and thermal driving near the base. The combined effect of thermal driving and current speed explains the majority of the melt rate variability ( r = 0.84), highlighting the dominant role of shear‐driven turbulence. This relationship enables parameterization of melt rates for the decade‐long ocean record (2010–2021), although deviations appear under low and high forcing conditions. Both observed and parameterized melt rates show similar yearly mean magnitudes compared to satellite‐derived melt rates but with a tenfold lower seasonal amplitude and a 3‐month delay in seasonality. These detailed concurrent ice–ocean observations provide essential validation data for remote sensing and numerical models that aim to quantify and project ice‐shelf response to a change in ocean forcing. In situ measurements and continued monitoring are crucial for accurately assessing and modeling future basal melt rates, and for understanding the complex dynamics driving ice‐shelf stability and sea‐level change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ultralight dark matter detection with mechanical quantum sensors

Abstract We consider the use of quantum-limited mechanical force sensors to detect ultralight (sub-meV) dark matter (DM) candidates which are weakly coupled to the standard model. We show that mechanical sensors with masses around or below the milligram scale, operating around the standard quantum limit, would enable novel searches for DM with natural frequencies around the kHz scale. This would complement existing strategies based on torsion balances, atom interferometers, and atomic clock systems.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗