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At least 667 records · Page 37

Estimation of liquid water path below the melting layer in stratiform precipitation systems using radar measurements during MC3E

In this study, the liquid water path (LWP) below the melting layer in stratiform precipitation systems is retrieved, which is a combination of rain liquid water path (RLWP) and cloud liquid water path (CLWP). The retrieval algorithm uses measurements from the vertically pointing radars (VPRs) at 35 and 3 GHz operated by the US Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) during the field campaign Midlatitude Continental Convective Clouds Experiment (MC3E). The measured radar reflectivity and mean Doppler velocity from both VPRs and spectrum width from the 35 GHz radar are utilized. With the aid of the cloud base detected by a ceilometer, the LWP in the liquid layer is retrieved under two different situations: (I) no cloud exists below the melting base, and (II) cloud exists below the melting base. In (I), LWP is primarily contributed from raindrops only, i.e., RLWP, which is estimated by analyzing the Doppler velocity differences between two VPRs. In (II), cloud particles and raindrops coexist below the melting base. The CLWP is estimated using a modified attenuation-based algorithm. Two stratiform precipitation cases (20 and 11 May 2011) during MC3E are illustrated for two situations, respectively. With a total of 13 h of samples during MC3E, statistical results show that the occurrence of cloud particles below the melting base is low (9 %); however, the mean CLWP value can be up to 0.56 kg m -2 , which is much larger than the RLWP (0.10 kg m -2 ). When only raindrops exist below the melting base, the average RLWP value is larger (0.32 kg m -2 ) than the with-cloud situation. The overall mean LWP below the melting base is 0.34 kg m -2 for stratiform systems during MC3E.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Errors in radial velocity variance from Doppler wind lidar

A high-fidelity lidar turbulence measurement technique relies on accurate estimates of radial velocity variance that are subject to both systematic and random errors determined by the autocorrelation function of radial velocity, the sampling rate, and the sampling duration. Our paper quantifies the effect of the volumetric averaging in lidar radial velocity measurements on the autocorrelation function and the dependence of the systematic and random errors on the sampling duration, using both statistically simulated and observed data. For current-generation scanning lidars and sampling durations of about 30 min and longer, during which the stationarity assumption is valid for atmospheric flows, the systematic error is negligible but the random error exceeds about 10%.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The extrapolation of laboratory and aircraft radar sea return data to spacecraft altitudes

Laboratory measurements show that the spectra of capillary waves grow with wind speed over six orders of magnitude. The scatter in the data can be partially understood and predicted from a combination of turbulence theory, radar theory, and the small sample theory of statistical inference. When these results are applied to a prediction of the sea return values to be obtained by S193 on Skylab, it can be shown that the size of the illuminated patch effectively averages out the horizontal scales of gustiness, so that the measurement will correspond to the synoptic scale wind.

Pierson, W. J.↗

Toward the modeling of land use change: A spatial analysis using remote sensing and historical data

It was hypothesized that the chronological observation of land use change could be shown to follow a predictable pattern and these patterns could be correlated with other statistical data to develop transition probabilities suitable for modeling purposes. A literature review and preliminary research, however, indicated a totally stochastic approach was not practical for simulating land use change and thus a more deterministic approach was adopted. The approach used assumes the determinants of the land use conversion process are found in the market place, where land transactions among buyers and sellers occur. Only one side of the market transaction process is studied, however, namely, the purchaser's desires in securing an ideal or suitable site. The problem was to identify the ideal qualities, quantities or attributes desired in an industrial site (or housing development), and to formulate a general algorithmic statement capable of identifying potential development sites. Research procedures involved developing a list of variables previously noted in the literature to be related to site selection and streamlining the list to a set suitable for statistical testing. A sample of 157 industries which have located (or relocated) in the 16-county Knoxville metropolitan region since 1950 was selected for industrial location analysis. Using NASA color infrared photography and Tennessee Valley Authority historical aerial photography, data were collected on the spatial characteristics of each industrial location event. These data were then subjected to factor analysis to determine the interrelations of variables.

Honea, R. B.↗

Accuracy assessment in the Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment

The Accuracy Assessment System (AAS) of the Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment (LACIE) was responsible for determining the accuracy and reliability of LACIE estimates of wheat production, area, and yield, made at regular intervals throughout the crop season, and for investigating the various LACIE error sources, quantifying these errors, and relating them to their causes. Some results of using the AAS during the three years of LACIE are reviewed. As the program culminated, AAS was able not only to meet the goal of obtaining accurate statistical estimates of sampling and classification accuracy, but also the goal of evaluating component labeling errors. Furthermore, the ground-truth data processing matured from collecting data for one crop (small grains) to collecting, quality-checking, and archiving data for all crops in a LACIE small segment.

Houston, A. G.↗

AgRISTARS: Supporting research. US crop calendars in support of the early warning project

The crop calendars produced for the Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment (LACIE) and crop calendar samples for Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Texas are presented. These calendars are based on weekly crop reporting district level observations of the percentage of various crops at several growth stages. A sample of the statistical treatments of the weekly data is provided. Four to five years of 50-percent dates for stages on a crop reporting district level for Arkansas, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Ohio and Wisconsin are also given.

Hodges, T.↗

Area estimation using multiyear designs and partial crop identification

Progress is reported for the following areas: (1) estimating the stratum's crop acreage proportion using the multiyear area estimation model; (2) assessment of multiyear sampling designs; and (3) development of statistical methodology for incorporating partially identified sample segments into crop area estimation.

Sielken, R. L., Jr.↗

The magnifying glass - A feature space local expansion for visual analysis

The Magnifying Glass Transformation (MGT) technique is proposed, as a multichannel spectral operation yielding visual imagery which is enhanced in a specified spectral vicinity, guided by the statistics of training samples. An application example is that in which the discrimination among spectral neighbors within an interactive display may be increased without altering distant object appearances or overall interpretation. A direct histogram specification technique is applied to the channels within the multispectral image so that a subset of the spectral domain occupies an increased fraction of the domain. The transformation is carried out by obtaining the training information, establishing the condition of the covariance matrix, determining the influenced solid, and initializing the lookup table. Finally, the image is transformed.

Juday, R. D.↗

Spectral analysis of groove spacing on Ganymede

The technique used to analyze groove spacing on Ganymede is presented. Data from Voyager images are used determine the surface topography and position of the grooves. Power spectal estimates are statistically analyzed and sample data is included.

Grimm, R. E.↗

Measurement results from a balloon experiment simulating land mobile satellite transmissions

A transmitter operating at 869.525 MHz was twice carried by a stratospheric balloon to an altitude of about 40 km. A motor vehicle was driven within the line-of-sight from the transmitter. Measurements of the received signal strength were made every 1/8 wavelength for an overall travelling distance of about seven hundred kilometers. This scenario was to simulate a satellite system providing mobile communications to rural areas. The statistics of the sampled field, consisting of a combination of direct wave, specular reflection and diffuse components, are presented as a function of elevation angle. Parameters such as type of road driven (mostly 2 lane) or type of landscape (rolling to flat) and vegetation (pine and mixed forest) encountered are described where possible. The power distribution function for all the data, at elevation angles from 10 to 35 degrees, is 1 dB below the free space mean at the 50% level, 7 dB below at the 90% level, and 18 dB below at the 99% level. In the elevation angle range of 30 to 35 degrees the corresponding values were found to be .5, 1.2, and 4.5 dB. The conditional fade duration and level crossing rate distribution functions are also presented. The former shows some dependence on the threshold level, the latter almost none.

Vogel, W. J.↗

Is OH abundance enhanced in tidally distorted galaxies?

An extensive survey of 240 galaxies for hydroxyl absorption has been completed using the Arecibo Observatory. These galaxies were used to compile a sample to test for statistical correlations between the optical depth of the 1667 MHz hydroxyl line and various parameters of the parent galaxy. To be included in the sample, the radio flux density of the galaxy at 1667 MHz had to be between 20 mjy and 1000 mjy and the galactic declination between 0 and 38 deg. Since this sample contains mainly non-detections, statistical methods for astronomical data with upper limits as previously described were used to obtain correlation and regression information. Preliminary studies indicate a strong correlation between OH optical depth and infrared to blue luminosity ratio (L sub IR/L sub B), where the infrared data were obtained from the Cataloged Galaxies and Quasars Observed in the IRAS Survey. A second correlation is seen between the optical depth of the 1667 MHz line and galactic type, where a number from 1 to 15 (Elliptical to peculiar, distorted, or interacting) has been assigned to each galaxy. So, stable, isolated galaxies tend not to have detectable hydroxyl. On the other hand, galaxies with more gas and dust, galaxies with a more peculiar or distorted appearance, and galaxies which are more tidally interacting tend to have much more detectable OH. These findings could indicate that these dusty, peculiar, distorted, and interacting galaxies could be the site of large amounts of shocked material where OH is likely to form. Hence, the hydroxyl abundance could be enhanced in these regions of shocked material making the detection of OH in these tidally distorted galaxies much more likely.

Schmelz, J. T.↗

Raman intensity as a probe of concentration near a crystal growing in solution

The feasibility of using Raman spectral scattering signals for measurements of concentration profiles near a crystal interface during growth or dissolution is discussed. With KH2PO4 (KDP) as a test material, optical multichannel analyzer (OMA) detection of a solute Raman vibrational band provided direct quantification of solute concentration with band intensity. The intersection of incident laser and Raman collection optics provided 3-D selective point measurements of the solution concentration field. Unlike many other techniques, the Raman band intensity is not sensitive to the typical temperature variations. Precision calibration of Raman intensity versus KDP concentration with less than 1 pct standard deviation error levels was demonstrated. A fiber optic, which sampled incident laser intensity and coupled it to the OMA, provided a fully synchronized monitor of fluctuations in laser power to correlate with observed Raman signals. With 1 W of laser power at the sample, good data statistics required eight repeated data collections at approximately 2.5 min collection. The accumulated time represents the concentration measurement time at one spatial location. Photomicroscopy documented a 30 micrometer diameter by 200 micrometer of laser Raman scattering region in the solution near the crystal surface. The laser beam was able to approach up to 25 micrometer from the crystal surface. However, a crystal surface reflected intensity contribution was weakly detectable. Nucleated microcrystals were seen in the crystal-growing solution. These microcrystals convect right up to the crystal surface and indicate no quiet diffusion region under normal gravity conditions. Translation of the solution cell with respect to the optics caused systematic intensity errors.

Wilkinson, R. Allen↗

Transmission overhaul and replacement predictions using Weibull and renewel theory

A method to estimate the frequency of transmission overhauls is presented. This method is based on the two-parameter Weibull statistical distribution for component life. A second method is presented to estimate the number of replacement components needed to support the transmission overhaul pattern. The second method is based on renewal theory. Confidence statistics are applied with both methods to improve the statistical estimate of sample behavior. A transmission example is also presented to illustrate the use of the methods. Transmission overhaul frequency and component replacement calculations are included in the example.

Savage, M.↗

Transmission overhaul and replacement predictions using Weibull and renewal theory

A method to estimate the frequency of transmission overhauls is presented. This method is based on the two-parameter Weibull statistical distribution for component life. A second method is presented to estimate the number of replacement components needed to support the transmission overhaul pattern. The second method is based on renewal theory. Confidence statistics are applied with both methods to improve the statistical estimate of sample behavior. A transmission example is also presented to illustrate the use of the methods. Transmission overhaul frequency and component replacement calculations are included in the example.

Savage, M.↗

Probabilities and statistics for backscatter estimates obtained by a scatterometer

Methods for the recovery of winds near the surface of the ocean from measurements of the normalized radar backscattering cross section must recognize and make use of the statistics (i.e., the sampling variability) of the backscatter measurements. Radar backscatter values from a scatterometer are random variables with expected values given by a model. A model relates backscatter to properties of the waves on the ocean, which are in turn generated by the winds in the atmospheric marine boundary layer. The effective wind speed and direction at a known height for a neutrally stratified atmosphere are the values to be recovered from the model. The probability density function for the backscatter values is a normal probability distribution with the notable feature that the variance is a known function of the expected value. The sources of signal variability, the effects of this variability on the wind speed estimation, and criteria for the acceptance or rejection of models are discussed. A modified maximum likelihood method for estimating wind vectors is described. Ways to make corrections for the kinds of errors found for the Seasat SASS model function are described, and applications to a new scatterometer are given.

Pierson, Willard J., Jr.↗

Microwave dielectric properties of dry rocks

A combination of techniques was used to measure the dielectric properties of 80 rock samples in the microwave region. The real part (RP) of the relative dielectric constant was measured in 0.1-GHz steps from 0.5 to 18 GHz, and the imaginary part (IP) was measured at five frequencies between 1.6 and 16 GHz. The bulk density rho(b) was also measured for all the samples, and the bulk chemical composition (BCC) was determined for 56 of the samples. RP is found to be frequency-independent at 0.5-18 GHz for all samples, and rho(b) accounts for about 50 percent of the observed variance. For silicate rocks, as much as 78 percent of the variance is explained by the combination of rho(b) and the fractional contents of oxides when the silicates are subgrouped by genesis. In contrast, IP decreases with increasing frequency for most rock samples, and no statistically significant relationships are found between IP and rho(b). For subgrouped silicate rocks, 60 percent of the variance in IP can be explained by BCC.

Ulaby, Fawwaz T.↗

Neutron stars and the distance to gamma-ray bursters

Assuming that gamma-ray bursts originate from galactic neutron stars, an analytic method for studying their statistical properties is outlined. If a significant fraction of all neutron stars are born with space velocities of less than approximately 100 km/s, as suggested by studies of pulsar statistics, then the sampling distance to gamma-ray burst sources should be less than about several hundred pc. These results have important implications on theories of radio-pulsar evolution and magnetic-field decay.

Dermer, Charles D.↗