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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 667 records · Page 37
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Modification of the MTS model for high strain-rate behavior of TI-6AL-4V

The Mechanical Threshold Stress (MTS) model provides excellent predictive capabilities for the material constitutive response for a wide range of temperatures and strain rates. However, the MTS model fails to capture the rapidly increasing yield stress at high strain rate behavior as the deformation controlling mechanism transitions from thermal activation to drag mechanisms, only capturing the linear behavior. Further, the model typically over predicts the flow stress behavior at yield and post yield due to its use of a constant work hardening rate parameter derived from the stress–strain response at constant saturation stress. An alternative approach to fitting portions of the MTS model is investigated and mathematical models are developed to address these issues. The results show that with appropriate experimental data, the mechanical threshold stress and work hardening rate parameters within the MTS model can quite easily and accurately be modified to extend applicability to high strain rate behavior and more accurately model the initial flow stress behavior at early work hardening rates without modification of the functions core to the MTS model itself.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multi-Trait Regressor Stacking Increased Genomic Prediction Accuracy of Sorghum Grain Composition

Genomic prediction has enabled plant breeders to estimate breeding values of unobserved genotypes and environments. The use of genomic prediction will be extremely valuable for compositional traits for which phenotyping is labor-intensive and destructive for most accurate results. We studied the potential of Bayesian multi-output regressor stacking (BMORS) model in improving prediction performance over single trait single environment (STSE) models using a grain sorghum diversity panel (GSDP) and a biparental recombinant inbred lines (RILs) population. A total of five highly correlated grain composition traits—amylose, fat, gross energy, protein and starch, with genomic heritability ranging from 0.24 to 0.59 in the GSDP and 0.69 to 0.83 in the RILs were studied. Average prediction accuracies from the STSE model were within a range of 0.4 to 0.6 for all traits across both populations except amylose (0.25) in the GSDP. Prediction accuracy for BMORS increased by 41% and 32% on average over STSE in the GSDP and RILs, respectively. Prediction of whole environments by training with remaining environments in BMORS resulted in moderate to high prediction accuracy. Our results show regression stacking methods such as BMORS have potential to accurately predict unobserved individuals and environments, and implementation of such models can accelerate genetic gain.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Toward quantum Monte Carlo forces on heavier ions: Scaling properties

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) forces have been studied extensively in recent decades because of their importance with spectroscopic observables and geometry optimization. Here, we benchmark the accuracy and computational cost of QMC forces. The zero-variance zero-bias (ZVZB) force estimator is used in standard variational and diffusion Monte Carlo simulations with mean-field based trial wavefunctions and atomic pseudopotentials. Statistical force uncertainties are obtained with a recently developed regression technique for heavy tailed QMC data [P. Lopez Rios and G. J. Conduit, Phys. Rev. E 99, 063312 (2019)]. By considering selected atoms and dimers with elements ranging from H to Zn (1 ≤ Z eff ≤ 20), we assess the accuracy and the computational cost of ZVZB forces as the effective pseudopotential valence charge, Z eff , increases. We find that the costs of QMC energies and forces approximately follow simple power laws in Zeff. The force uncertainty grows more rapidly, leading to a best case cost scaling relationship of approximately Z e ff 6.5 ( 3 ) for diffusion Monte Carlo. We find that the accessible system size at fixed computational cost scales as Z e ff − 2 , insensitive to model assumptions or the use of the “space warp” variance-reduction technique. Our results predict the practical cost of obtaining forces for a range of materials, such as transition metal oxides where QMC forces have yet to be applied, and underscore the importance of further developing force variance-reduction techniques, particularly for atoms with high Z eff .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

A physics informed model for the prediction of surface energies and the shape of metal particles

Surface energies of metal-based systems are important for determining the Wulff-constructed shapes of metal nanoparticles and understanding the stability. We have developed a physics informed method to predict the total energy of metal-based systems across a wide range of configurations. Our method has been tested against density functional theory (DFT) calculations for late transition metals. This method enables on-the-fly surface energy predictions based on the fundamental of materials property and allows for the Wulff construction of metal particles for a random number of elemental atoms and without the need for DFT calculations. By making a division between atoms in the different layers of the model system, we can improve the accuracy of the model, suggesting a dissimilarity between the electronic structure due to an alternating compression and expansion of atomic layers. We find that our model accurately and effectively provides valuable insights into the distribution and stability of nanoparticles.

Mandal, Shyama Charan (ORCID:0000000245882874)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Laser-system model for enhanced operational performance and flexibility on OMEGA EP

The development of laser performance models having real-time prediction capability for the OMEGA EP laser system has been essential in meeting requests from its user community for increasingly complex pulse shapes that span a wide range of energies. The laser operations model PSOPS provides rapid and accurate predictions of OMEGA EP laser-system performance in both forward and backward directions, a user-friendly interface and rapid optimization capability between shots. We describe the model’s features and show how PSOPS has allowed real-time optimization of the laser-system configuration in order to satisfy the demands of rapidly evolving experimental campaign needs. We also discuss several enhancements to laser-system performance accuracy and flexibility enabled by PSOPS.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Novel control solutions for DoS attack delay mitigation in grid-connected and standalone inverters

This paper introduces two novel control solutions, which allow localised delay compensation for grid-connected and standalone inverters. As the prediction horizon of the existing controllers are quite small as compared to large communication delays and information unavailability due to denial-of-service (DoS) attacks, the proposed strategy offers a robust delay mitigation range using localized dynamics. Its design philosophy is leveraged via a prediction policy using the inner control loop dynamics. Based on different control objectives in grid-connected and standalone mode, the proposed solutions have been augmented into the control system accordingly. Finally, its robustness under various communication delay and DoS attacks have been tested.

Roig Greidanus, Mateo D.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Empirical thermophotovoltaic performance predictions and limits

Significant progress has been made in the field of thermophotovoltaics, with efficiency recently rising to over 40% due to improvements in cell design and material quality, higher emitter temperatures, and better spectral management. However, inconsistencies in trends for efficiency with semiconductor bandgap energy across various temperatures pose challenges in predicting optimal bandgaps or expected performance for different applications. To address these issues, here we present realistic performance predictions for various types of single-junction cells over a broad range of emitter temperatures using an empirical model based on past cell measurements. Our model is validated using data from different authors with various bandgaps and emitter temperatures, and an excellent agreement is seen between the model and the experimental data. Using our model, we show that in addition to spectral losses, it is important to consider practical electrical losses associated with series resistance and cell quality to avoid overestimation of system efficiency. Here, we also show the effect of modifying various system parameters such as bandgap, above and below-bandgap reflectance, saturation current, and series resistance on the efficiency and power density of thermophotovoltaics at different temperatures. Finally, we predict the bandgap energies for best performance over a range of emitter temperatures for different cell material qualities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Machine Learning Models for Binary Molecular Classification using VUV Absorption Spectra

Machine learning methods were combined with differential absorption spectroscopy measurements in the vacuum-ultraviolet region (5.167 – 9.920 eV) in order to develop predictive capabilities for inferring molecular structure from the spectra. Several types of species were analyzed and, for modeling purposes, were defined using a single classification: (1) alkane, (2) conjugation with oxygen (e.g. diacetyl, ethyl vinyl ether), (3) non-conjugated alkene (e.g. 1-butene, 1,4-cyclohexadiene), (4) oxygen-containing (e.g. 1-butanol, tetrahydrofuran), or (5) cyclic (e.g. cyclopentane, cyclohexanone). The latter molecular classification excluded cyclic ethers. Several modeling methods were employed in the analysis of 102 absorption spectra, 24 of which were measured for the first time. The primary objective was to identify suitable methods that enable accurate predictions of molecular structure classifications with minimized statistical uncertainties. Rather than identifying a single, unifying method to reliably predict molecular structure contributions to VUV absorption spectra, coordination is required among a particular method, the type of molecular structure detail (e.g. conjugation), and absorption region of interest. The latter is accomplished using a binning approach, wherein absorption regions of ~0.5 eV were utilized rather than the entire ~4.8 eV range. Photon energy binning enabled analysis of region-specific predictions of accuracy, precision, and recall. The outcome from the binning approach is that, rather than utilizing the entire spectrum, optimal determination of molecular structure using machine learning methods depends on the absorption region. Furthermore, the present work provides separate machine learning models for each molecular classification, which enables the identification of multi-functional species relevant to atmospheric chemistry and combustion chemistry, where isomer-resolved speciation is critical to understanding complex reaction networks.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

New Measurements of the Lyα Forest Continuum and Effective Optical Depth with LyCAN and DESI Y1 Data

Abstract We present the Ly α Continuum Analysis Network (LyCAN), a convolutional neural network that predicts the unabsorbed quasar continuum within the rest-frame wavelength range of 1040–1600 Å based on the red side of the Ly α emission line (1216–1600 Å). We developed synthetic spectra based on a Gaussian mixture model representation of nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) coefficients. These coefficients were derived from high-resolution, low-redshift ( z < 0.2) Hubble Space Telescope/Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS) quasar spectra. We supplemented this COS-based synthetic sample with an equal number of DESI Year 5 mock spectra. LyCAN performs extremely well on testing sets, achieving a median error in the forest region of 1.5% on the DESI mock sample, 2.0% on the COS-based synthetic sample, and 4.1% on the original COS spectra. LyCAN outperforms principal component analysis (PCA) and NMF-based prediction methods using the same training set by 40% or more. We predict the intrinsic continua of 83,635 DESI Year 1 spectra in the redshift range of 2.1 ≤ z ≤ 4.2 and perform an absolute measurement of the evolution of the effective optical depth. This is the largest sample employed to measure the optical depth evolution to date. We fit a power law of the form τ ( z ) = τ 0 ( 1 + z ) γ to our measurements and find τ 0 = (2.46 ± 0.14) × 10 −3 and γ = 3.62 ± 0.04. Our results show particular agreement with high-resolution, ground-based observations around z = 2, indicating that LyCAN is able to predict the quasar continuum in the forest region with only spectral information outside the forest.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reliable p K a Prediction through Efficient Incorporation of Anharmonicity within the Nuclear–Electronic Orbital Framework

Accurate pK a prediction is critical for understanding chemical reactivity and molecular properties across a wide range of applications. Computational approaches usually invoke a harmonic treatment of the vibrational modes for zero-point energies, as well as thermal and entropic contributions. Herein, we present a general protocol for relative pK a prediction that incorporates the significant anharmonic effects using nuclear–electronic orbital (NEO) theory. This protocol is validated against experimental data for a range of molecules in acetonitrile, including protonated nitrogen bases, nitrophenols, anilines, and diamines, as well as cobalt electrocatalysts. For simple acids, the NEO approach offers only a slight improvement over conventional density functional theory with the standard harmonic vibrational treatment, whereas for hydrogen-bonded acids, the NEO approach offers more significantly improved performance at a comparable computational cost. This accessible methodology provides a practical route for accurate pKa prediction in challenging systems and is extendable to related thermodynamic properties such as hydricities and proton-coupled redox potentials.

Density functional theory↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ligand Many-Body Expansion as a General Approach for Accelerating Transition Metal Complex Discovery

Methods that accelerate the evaluation of molecular properties are essential for chemical discovery. While some degree of ligand additivity has been established for transition metal complexes, it is underutilized in asymmetric complexes, such as the square pyramidal coordination geometries highly relevant to catalysis. To develop predictive methods beyond simple additivity, we apply a many-body expansion to octahedral and square pyramidal complexes and introduce a correction based on adjacent ligands (i.e., the cis interaction model). We first test the cis interaction model on adiabatic spin-splitting energies of octahedral Fe(II) complexes, predicting DFT-calculated values of unseen binary complexes to within an average of 1.4 kcal/mol. Uncertainty analysis reveals the optimal basis, comprising the homoleptic and mer symmetric complexes. We next show that the cis model (i.e., the cis interaction model solved for the optimal basis) infers both DFT- and CCSD(T)-calculated model catalytic reaction energies to within 1 kcal/mol on average. The cis model predicts low-symmetry complexes with reaction energies outside the range of binary complex reaction energies. We observe that trans interactions are unnecessary for most monodentate systems but can be important for some combinations of ligands, such as complexes containing a mixture of bidentate and monodentate ligands. Lastly, we demonstrate that the cis model may be combined with Δ-learning to predict CCSD(T) reaction energies from exhaustively calculated DFT reaction energies and the same fraction of CCSD(T) reaction energies needed for the cis model, achieving around 30% of the error from using the CCSD(T) reaction energies in the cis model alone.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Applying NIR and MIR spectroscopy for C and soil property prediction in northern cold-region ecosystems. Which approach works better?

Here, developing reliable predictions of soil attributes is necessary to understand northern cold-region climate-soil feedback. Calibration models using near-infrared (NIR) and mid-infrared (MIR) spectroscopy were developed to predict eight commonly measured soil properties for 119 soil samples representing a range of vegetation types, parent materials, and soil types spanning >23° of latitude from southeast Alaska to the Canadian high Arctic. In order to obtain a more accurate prediction, this study compared the performance of linear and non-linear calibration techniques, including lasso regression (Lasso), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) and classic partial least squares (PLS) to predict different soil properties of these soils. Comparing the four models, we noticed that their performance was quite similar for MIR overall, while NIR achieved better results with a PLS model for our dataset. PLS coupled with MIR showed a better performance for soil parameters, such as total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN), cation exchange capacity (CEC) and clay (R-squared of 0.9, 0.81, 0.80, and 0.84) when compared with NIR (R-squared of 0.85, 0.72, 0.81 and 0.68). However, using either MIR or NIR spectroscopy, PLS predictions for bulk density (BD) and sand content were not accurate. The variable importance analysis based on the PLS model successfully estimated the relative contribution of wavelengths influencing soil property predictions most. Overall, TOC, TN, CEC and clay mineral predictions are closely related to the occurrence of specific spectral bands in the MIR region. For example, wavelengths at 2978 and 1761 cm -1 for TOC and TN, as well as at 3064 cm -1 for CEC, were selected as the most influential predictor variables. We demonstrated that MIR spectroscopy is a powerful tool for more extensive monitoring in soils of the northern cold climate region; however, NIR could be utilized for rapid estimates when the highest accuracy is not essential.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Enhancement of Unsteady and 3D Aerodynamics Models using Machine Learning

Unsteady aerodynamics will be an important part of the floating wind turbines of the future operating under high shear across the rotor disk coupled with platform motion and atmospheric turbulence. We develop an unsteady aerodynamics and dynamic stall model using a long short-term memory variant of recurrent neural networks. The neural network model is trained using the oscillating airfoil data set from Ohio State University. The predictions from our machine learning (ML)-based model show good agreement with the experimental data and other state-of-the-art dynamic stall models for a wide range of airfoils, Reynolds numbers and reduced frequencies. In some cases the predictions are better than the Beddoes-Leishman model implementation in OpenFAST, when using the default coefficients. The ML-based model is also able to capture the key physics associated with dynamic stall, such as the precedence of moment stall before lift stall and cycle-to-cycle variations in the aerodynamic response. The new unsteady aerodynamics model is expected to improve prediction of fatigue loads for yaw-based wake-steering control scenarios in actuator-line and actuator-disc simulations of wind farms. Our methodology for training the ML-model provides a pathway for improving design level tools using high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations in the future.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Priors on red galaxy stochasticity from hybrid effective field theory

ABSTRACT We investigate the stochastic properties of typical red galaxy samples in a controlled numerical environment. We use halo occupation distribution (HOD) modelling to create mock realizations of three separate bright red galaxy samples consistent with data sets used for clustering and lensing analyses in modern galaxy surveys. Second-order Hybrid Effective Field Theory (HEFT) is used as a field-level forward model to describe the full statistical distribution of these tracer samples, and their stochastic power spectra are directly measured and compared to the Poisson shot-noise prediction. While all of the galaxy samples we consider are hosted within haloes with sub-Poisson stochasticity, we observe that the galaxy samples themselves possess stochasticities that range from sub-Poisson to super-Poisson, in agreement with predictions from the halo model. As an application of our methodology, we place priors on the expected degree of non-Poisson stochasticity in cosmological analyses using such samples. We expect these priors will be useful in reducing the complexity of the full parameter space for future analyses using second-order Lagrangian bias models. More generally, the techniques outlined here present the first application of HEFT methods to characterize models of the galaxy–halo connection at the field level, revealing new connections between once-disparate modelling frameworks.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Measurement of the Drell-Yan forward-backward asymmetry at high dilepton masses in proton-proton collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV

A measurement of the forward-backward asymmetry of pairs of oppositely charged leptons (dimuons and dielectrons) produced by the Drell-Yan process in proton-proton collisions is presented. The data sample corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 138 fb -1 collected with the CMS detector at the LHC at a center-of-mass energy of 13 TeV. The asymmetry is measured as a function of lepton pair mass for masses larger than 170 GeV and compared with standard model predictions. An inclusive measurement across both channels and the full mass range yields an asymmetry of 0.612 ± 0.005 (stat) ± 0.007 (syst). As a test of lepton flavor universality, the difference between the dimuon and dielectron asymmetries is measured as well. No statistically significant deviations from standard model predictions are observed. The measurements are used to set limits on the presence of additional gauge bosons. For a Z' boson in the sequential standard model the observed (expected) 95% confidence level lower limit on the Z' mass is 4.4 TeV (3.7 TeV).

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sensitivity of Thermal Predictions to Uncertain Surface Tension Data in Laser Additive Manufacturing

To understand the process-microstructure relationships in additive manufacturing (AM), it is necessary to predict the solidification characteristics in the melt pool. This study investigates the influence of Marangoni driven fluid flow on the predicted melt pool geometry and solidification conditions using a continuum finite volume model. A calibrated laser absorptivity was determined by comparing the model predictions (neglecting fluid flow) against melt pool dimensions obtained from single laser melt experiments on a nickel super alloy 625 (IN625) plate. Using this calibrated efficiency, predicted melt pool geometries agree well with experiments across a range of process conditions. When fluid mechanics is considered, a surface tension gradient recommended for IN625 tends to overpredict the influence of convective heat transfer, but the use of an intermediate value reported from experimental measurements of a similar nickel super alloy produces excellent experimental agreement. Despite its significant effect on the melt pool geometry predictions, fluid flow was found to have a small effect on the predicted solidification conditions compared to processing conditions. We find that this result suggests that under certain circumstances, a model only considering conductive heat transfer is sufficient for approximating process-microstructure relationships in laser AM. Extending the model to multiple laser passes further showed that fluid flow also has a small effect on the solidification conditions compared to the transient variations in the process. Furthermore, limitations of the current model and areas of improvement, including uncertainties associated with the phenomenological model inputs are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enzyme property prediction using artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI)-driven enzyme property prediction enables rapid discovery and engineering of enzymes for a wide range of biotechnological and therapeutic applications. Here, we first introduce the key components in AI model development, including enzyme datasets, protein representation methods, and model architectures. We then highlight a variety of AI tools developed for the prediction of enzyme properties and functional annotations, including enzyme structure, kinetic parameters, substrate specificity, thermostability, solubility, Enzyme Commission number, and Gene Ontology term. Moreover, we describe representative downstream applications enabled by these AI tools. Finally, we discuss some challenges and opportunities as well as future prospects.

Yuan, Le [University of Illinois at Urbana-Champai↗
DOE OSTI2020

Using Thermodynamic Availability to Predict the Transitional Film Reynolds Number between the Droplet and Jet Modes in Falling Liquid between Horizontal Tubes

The objective of this paper is to propose and validate a model for predicting the transitional film Reynolds number between the droplet and jet modes of falling film flows. The proposed model relies on thermodynamic availability with no fitting to mode transition data. The model directly predicts the numerical values of the transitional film Reynolds numbers at different operating conditions. The results of the model are validated against 43 experimental data points from the literature, which cover 10 working fluids and a wide range of tube geometries. The accuracy of the proposed model in predicting the validation data is -on average- more than 20 % better than that of the widely used Re = a (Ga) b and Re = a (Ga) b (S/ξ) c models. The model also achieves low computation time (less than 30 seconds for the 43 validation data points). The model presented in this paper has the potential of integration with heat transfer, mass transfer, and pressure drop models for optimizing the design and operation of falling film heat and mass exchangers.

42 ENGINEERING↗