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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2026

A scalable variational method for estimating the latent infection-rate field of an outbreak

In this paper, we explore whether the infection-rate of a disease can serve as a robust monitoring variable in epidemiological surveillance algorithms. The infection-rate is dependent on population mixing patterns that do not vary erratically day-to-day; in contrast, daily case-counts used in contemporary surveillance algorithms are corrupted by reporting errors. The technical challenge lies in estimating the latent infection-rate from case-counts. Here we devise a Bayesian method to estimate the infection-rate across multiple adjoining areal units, and then use it, via an anomaly detector, to discern a change in epidemiological dynamics. We extend an existing model for estimating the infection-rate in an areal unit by incorporating a Markov random field model, so that we may estimate infection-rates across multiple areal units, while preserving spatial correlations observed in the epidemiological dynamics. To carry out the high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problem, we develop an implementation of mean-field variational inference specific to the infection model and integrate it with the random field model to incorporate correlations across counties. The method is tested on estimating the COVID-19 infection-rates across all 33 counties in New Mexico using data from the summer of 2020, and then employing them to detect the arrival of the Fall 2020 COVID-19 wave. We perform the detection using a temporal algorithm that is applied county-by-county. We also show how the infection-rate field can be used to cluster counties with similar epidemiological dynamics.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

An Examination of Autumn Southern Polar Ozone Tendencies and the Residual Circulation in MERRA-2 Products

Changes in lower stratospheric ozone caused by dynamical transport can be difficult to characterize and thus are sometimes difficult to distinguish from chemical losses. Correlations between ozone changes and various dynamical proxies (e.g., the eddy heat flux) from year to year can be of interest, but they do little in themselves to explain the ozone transport mechanisms behind such correlations. In this study, we use products from the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2) to calculate the ozone mass flux, integrating it in space and time over the upper tropospheric/lower stratospheric Southern polar cap during periods when little chemical loss is expected. The ozone mass flux is expressed in terms of components of the residual circulation of the Transformed Eulerian Mean (TEM, i.e., 𝑣𝑣̅ ∗and 𝑤𝑤(∗) as well as eddy mixing terms. We relate these terms to the local ozone mass tendency ("#! "$ ), similarly integrated, and we find that the interannual variability of the ozone changes are strongly related to the residual meridional circulation and the meridional eddy mixing terms. These directly calculated dynamical transport terms provide clearer ozone proxies. Removing these advective terms from a long-term ozone time series can more effectively reveal ozone variations and long-term trends, specifically those caused by photochemical production and losses (e.g., human-produced ozone depletion).

Ozone↗

DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Microstructural Effects on Heterogeneous Temperature Fields within Polycrystalline Explosives

The paper addresses the role of crystal anisotropy on the evolution of heterogeneous temperature fields in plastic-bonded explosives (PBXs) under conditions of weak shock. The modeling approach is based on simplified idealizations of PBX microstructure including RDX grains and estane binder regions subjected to velocity boundary conditions representative of impact conditions in situ. The constitutive description of the microstructure constituents includes a dislocation-based, anisotropic, single crystal plasticity model for the explosive grains and a linear viscoelastic model to represent the estane binder. Large suites of simulations were used to systematically study the correlation in heating of the grains with local wave dynamics, crystal orientation, and the microstructural neighborhood. These correlations were identified through the selection of characteristics of crystal anisotropy including oriented wave speeds and Taylor factor. A key observation is that the wave dispersion within a certain distance from the impact interface plays a dominant role in the temperature field. Beyond this distance, individual crystal orientations play a more dominant role, but cannot entirely account for the observed heterogeneity without consideration of the local microstructure neighborhood.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamics of Polymerization and Gelation in Epoxy Nanocomposites via X-ray Photon Correlation Spectroscopy

The details of the curing process of epoxy resins are notoriously difficult to ascertain, hampering polymer matrix composite manufacturing. Here, the curing of a series of six epoxy resins containing dilute spherical nanoparticles was investigated via X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy (XPCS). The resin formulation was varied to achieve a range of crosslink densities and topologies. Prior to gelation, the viscosities obtained from XPCS agreed with bulk rheology. A clear dynamic transition was detected in all samples, where the q-scaling changes from approximately q2 .2 to q 1 , indicating a transition from sub-diffusive to ballistic-like nanoparticle motion. For the samples with a high crosslink density, this change was abrupt and coincided with gelation, and there was no evidence of crosslink heterogeneity. Chain entanglement played a role in the transition for samples with lower crosslink density. Finally, this work reveals the potential of XPCS to deliver new quantitative insights into the curing process of thermosetting resins.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Stretched exponential magnetic relaxation dynamics in artificial square ice revealed through x-ray photon correlation spectroscopy

X-ray photon correlation scattering measurements are undertaken on a thermally active artificial spin ice based on the square lattice, referred to as artificial square ice, to probe the fluctuation timescales as a function of temperature as the system passes through the paramagnetic-antiferromagnetic phase transition, which belongs to the two-dimensional Ising universality class. In the paramagnetic regime, a single exponential timescale is seen, whereas at and below the critical temperature, a stretched exponential decorrelation is observed, with the stretching exponent decreasing from unity down to below one-half as the temperature reduces. This trend is confirmed by kinetic Monte Carlo simulations of a simplified point-dipolar square ice system, and is in agreement with past theoretical work on the kinetic Ising model where stretched exponential relaxation due to equilibrium domain wall dynamics below the critical temperature was found.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Solution-phase sample-averaged single-particle spectroscopy of quantum emitters with femtosecond resolution

Here, the development of many optical quantum technologies depends on the availability of solid-state single quantum emitters with near-perfect optical coherence. However, a standing issue that limits systematic improvement is the significant sample heterogeneity and lack of mechanistic understanding of microscopic energy flow at the single emitter level and ultrafast timescales. Here we develop solution-phase single-particle pump-probe spectroscopy with photon correlation detection that captures sample-averaged dynamics in single molecules and/or defect states with unprecedented clarity at femtosecond resolution. We apply this technique to single quantum emitters in two-dimensional hexagonal boron nitride, which suffers from significant heterogeneity and low quantum efficiency. From millisecond to nanosecond timescales, the translation diffusion, metastable-state-related bunching shoulders, rotational dynamics, and antibunching features are disentangled by their distinct photon-correlation timescales, which collectively quantify the normalized two-photon emission quantum yield. Leveraging its femtosecond resolution, spectral selectivity and ultralow noise (two orders of magnitude improvement over solid-state methods), we visualize electron-phonon coupling in the time domain at the single defect level, and discover the acceleration of polaronic formation driven by multi-electron excitation. Corroborated with results from a theoretical polaron model, we show how this translates to sample-averaged photon fidelity characterization of cascaded emission efficiency and optical decoherence time. Our work provides a framework for ultrafast spectroscopy in single emitters, molecules, or defects prone to photoluminescence intermittency and heterogeneity, opening new avenues of extreme-scale characterization and synthetic improvements for quantum information applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1990

Some buffet response characteristics of a twin-vertical-tail configuration

A rigid, 1/6 size, full span model of an F-18 airplane was fitted with flexible vertical tails of two different levels of stiffness that were buffet tested in the Langley Transonic Dynamics Tunnel. Vertical tail buffet response results that were obtained over the range of angles of attack from -10 to 40 degs, and over the range of Mach numbers from 0.30 to 0.95 are presented. These results indicate the following: (1) the response occurs in the first bending mode; (2) the response increases with increasing dynamic pressure, but changes in response are not linearly proportional to the changes in dynamic pressure; (3) the response is larger at M = 0.30 than it is at the higher Mach numbers; (4) the maximum intensity of the buffeting is described as heavy to severe using an assessment criteria proposed by another investigator; and (5) the data at different dynamic pressures and for the different tails correlate reasonably well using the buffet excitation parameter derived from the dynamic analysis of buffeting.

Cole, Stanley R.↗

NASA NTRS1999

Heart rate dynamics before spontaneous onset of ventricular fibrillation in patients with healed myocardial infarcts

The traditional methods of analyzing heart rate (HR) variability have failed to predict imminent ventricular fibrillation (VF). We sought to determine whether new methods of analyzing RR interval variability based on nonlinear dynamics and fractal analysis may help to detect subtle abnormalities in RR interval behavior before the onset of life-threatening arrhythmias. RR interval dynamics were analyzed from 24-hour Holter recordings of 15 patients who experienced VF during electrocardiographic recording. Thirty patients without spontaneous or inducible arrhythmia events served as a control group in this retrospective case control study. Conventional time- and frequency-domain measurements, the short-term fractal scaling exponent (alpha) obtained by detrended fluctuation analysis, and the slope (beta) of the power-law regression line (log power - log frequency, 10(-4)-10(-2) Hz) of RR interval dynamics were determined. The short-term correlation exponent alpha of RR intervals (0.64 +/- 0.19 vs 1.05 +/- 0.12; p <0.001) and the power-law slope beta (-1.63 +/- 0.28 vs -1.31 +/- 0.20, p <0.001) were lower in the patients before the onset of VF than in the control patients, but the SD and the low-frequency spectral components of RR intervals did not differ between the groups. The short-term scaling exponent performed better than any other measurement of HR variability in differentiating between the patients with VF and controls. Altered fractal correlation properties of HR behavior precede the spontaneous onset of VF. Dynamic analysis methods of analyzing RR intervals may help to identify abnormalities in HR behavior before VF.

Non-NASA Center↗

DOE OSTI2025

Can increasing the size and flexibility of a molecule reduce decoherence and prolong charge migration?

Coherent superposition of electronic states, created by ionizing a molecule, can initiate ultrafast dynamics of the electron density. Correlation between nuclear and electron motions, however, typically dissipates the electronic coherence in only a few femtoseconds, especially in larger and more flexible molecules. We, therefore, use ab initio semiclassical dynamics to study decoherence in a sequence of analogous organic molecules of increasing size and find, surprisingly, that extending the carbon skeleton in propynal analogs slows down decoherence and prolongs charge migration. To elucidate this observation, we decompose the overall decoherence into contributions from individual vibrational modes and show that: 1) The initial decay of electronic coherence is caused by high- and intermediate-frequency vibrations via momentum separation of nuclear wavepackets evolving on different electronic surfaces. 2) At later times, the coherence disappears completely due to the increasing position separation in the low-frequency modes. 3) In agreement with another study, we observe that only normal modes that preserve the symmetry of the molecule induce decoherence. All together, we justify the enhanced charge migration by a combination of increased hole-mixing and the disappearance of decoherence contributions from specific vibrational modes—CO stretching in butynal and various H rockings in pentynal.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

NASA NTRS2003

Group dynamics and catecholamines during long-duration confinement in an isolated environment

INTRODUCTION: The objectives of this study were to investigate possible relationships between catecholamine excretion and long-duration confinement in an isolated environment. METHODS: Stays of long duration were made by Group I (n = 4, all Russian, weeks 1-34), Group II (n = 4, mixed nationality, weeks 3-18), and Group III (n = 4, mixed nationality, weeks 22-38); other groups joined the residents for 1-wk intervals at weeks #13, #19, and #33. Data were collected from Groups I and III. RESULTS: In both Group I and Group III, the daily epinephrine excretion was significantly elevated during and after confinement compared with the pre-isolation baseline (p < 0.05), but remained mostly within normal limits during the experiment. During isolation, epinephrine excretion was significantly higher, compared with other weeks in isolation, during weeks #19 and #27 for Group I, and during week #30 for Group III. In both Group I and Group II, norepinephrine excretion increased significantly during and after isolation (p < 0.05) and was above the normal range. The daily norepinephrine excretion was significantly higher (p < 0.05) in Group I during weeks #12, #13, and #27, and during week #30 for Group III. DISCUSSION: Epinephrine excretion generally remained in the normal range. However, occasional elevations occurred due to psychological stress, which apparently correlate with changes in group dynamics. Norepinephrine excretion was above the normal range and was correlated with social events. These results suggest that to ensure optimum crew performance, entire crews along with their visiting crews should be selected collectively, rather than individually.

Non-programmatic↗

DOE OSTI2025

Defect-Driven Redox Interplay on Anatase TiO 2 : Surface-Structure Dependent Activation for CO 2 Hydrogenation Catalysis

Titanium dioxide (TiO 2 ) is one of the most extensively studied oxides as an active catalyst or catalyst support, particularly in energy and environmental applications, but the atomistic mechanisms governing its dynamic response to reactive environments and their correlation to reactivity remain largely elusive. Using in situ environmental transmission electron microscopy (ETEM), synchrotron X-ray diffraction (XRD), ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS), temperature-programmed reduction (TPR), reactivity measurements, and theoretical modeling, we reveal the dynamic interplay between oxygen loss and replenishment of anatase TiO 2 under varying reactive conditions. Under H 2 exposure, anatase TiO 2 undergoes surface reduction via lattice oxygen loss, forming Ti 3 O 5 . In contrast, CO 2 exposure induces oxygen replenishment, reversing stoichiometry. In mixed H2/CO 2 environments, the reverse water–gas shift (RWGS) reaction proceeds selectively on stepped and high-indexed TiO 2 surfaces, whereas the thermodynamically stable TiO 2 (101) surface remains inactive and intact. Critically, H 2 pretreatment generates oxygen vacancies on TiO 2 (101), transforming it into an active Ti 3 O 5 or defect-rich surface that catalyzes RWGS. By correlating surface structure, defect dynamics, and gas-phase interactions, this work deciphers the competition between H 2 -driven reduction and CO 2 -driven oxidation pathways at the atomic scale. Furthermore, these insights establish defect engineering as a strategic lever to activate inert TiO 2 facets, advancing the design of adaptive catalysts for sustainable fuel synthesis technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Year six photometric measurements of known Trans-Neptunian Objects and Centaurs by the Dark Energy Survey

ABSTRACT We identified known Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) and Centaurs in the complete Dark Energy Survey (DES) year six catalogue (DES Y6) through the Sky Body Tracker (SkyBoT) tool. We classified our data set of 144 objects into a widely used 4-class taxonomic system of TNOs. No such previous classification was available in the literature for most of these objects. From absolute magnitudes and average albedos, an estimation of the diameters of all these objects is obtained. Correlations involving colours, orbital parameters, dynamical classes, and sizes are also discussed. In particular, our largest reddest object has a diameter of $390^{+68}_{-53}$ km and our largest cold classical, $255^{+19}_{-17}$ km. Also, a weak correlation between colour and inclination is found within the population of resonant TNOs in addition to weak correlations between colour and phase slope in different bands.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Segmental Dynamics and Vitrification in Associating Copolymer Melts: Role of Cluster Formation, Microdomains, and Cross-Linking

A microscopic statistical mechanical theory of the structure, self-assembly, and activated segmental relaxation is employed to study associating copolymer melts with high attractive sticker fractions, local clustering, and disordered microphase ordering. The stickers are dynamically pinned in a manner that does not affect equilibrium structure which mimics the much slower physical bond breaking process or postassembly cross-linking of sticky monomers. Local sticker clustering and microdomain spatial correlations significantly modify the activated relaxation of nonstickers and glass transition temperature, T g . A re-entrant glass-melting feature is predicted as sticker attraction strength is initially increased corresponding to a speed up of segmental relaxation, and hence reduction of T g relative to the cross-linked homopolymer network. A mechanistic analysis reveals three competing effects: a purely kinetic slowing down of nonstickers down due to cross-linking, disordering of the nonsticker local cage and weakening of effective forces they experience due to sticker physical clustering, and a longer range impact of microdomain scale correlations that results in nonmonotonic dynamical effects. At high enough attraction strength, a qualitative change emerges corresponding to a sticker fraction dependent elevation of T g , which eventually surpasses that of the cross-linked homopolymer network. Dynamically, the new physics arises from a complex evolution of the amplitude of the collective elastic field that dresses the large amplitude mobile segment hopping within a coupled local-nonlocal description of the alpha relaxation. Furthermore, the results are qualitatively consistent with recent experiments on associating PDMS and PPG telechelics of fixed sticker fraction but with chemically different end groups of variable attraction strengths. Finally, possible tests using simulation and the influence of material or model specific interaction potentials and other real world complications are discussed.

Copolymers↗

DOE OSTI2021

Time-resolved particle image velocimetry

Time-resolved particle image velocimetry (TR-PIV) has become widespread in fluid dynamics. Essentially a velocity field movie, the dynamic content provides temporal as well as spatial information, in contrast to conventional PIV offering only statistical ensembles of flow quantities. From these time series arise further analyses such as accelerometry, space-time correlations, frequency spectra of turbulence including spatial variability, and derivation of pressure fields and forces. The historical development of TR-PIV is chronicled, culminating in an assessment of the current state of technology in high-repetition-rate lasers and high-speed cameras. Commercialization of pulse-burst lasers has expanded TR-PIV into more flows, including the compressible regime, and has achieved MHz rates. Particle response times and peak locking during image interrogation require attention but generally are not impediments to success. Accuracy considerations are discussed, including the risks of noise and aliasing in spectral content. Oversampled TR-PIV measurements allow use of multi-frame image interrogation methods, which improve the precision of the correlation and raise the velocity dynamic range of PIV. In combination with volumetric methods and data assimilation, a full four-dimensional description of a flow is not only achievable but becoming standardized. Lastly, a survey of exemplary applications is followed by a few predictions concerning the future of TR-PIV.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

NASA NTRS1970

Normally Expected Aberrations in the 8-hour Dynamic EKG

The establishment of norms for interpreting long term dynamic electrocardiograms is attempted by correlating a completely disease symptom and cardiac risk factor free sample with a non-pure sample in the direction of normality on various variables. Out of a population of 362 subjects exposed to dynamic electrocardiogram testing, a discrimination between normals and abnormals in terms of traditional risk factors was observed. The two groups differed significantly on the following variables: cholesterol, smoking, systolic blood pressure, white blood count, fasting blood sugar, uric acid, resting EKG, year of birth, and coronary insufficiency.

Fleck, R. L.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Dynamics of Hydroxyl Anions Promotes Lithium Ion Conduction in Antiperovskite Li 2 OHCl

Li 2 OHCl is an exemplar of the antiperovskite family of ionic conductors, for which high ionic conductivities have been reported, but in which the atomic-level mechanism of ion migration is unclear. The stable phase is both crystallographically defective and disordered, having similar to 1/3 of the Li sites vacant, while the presence of the OH(- )anion introduces the possibility of rotational disorder that may be coupled to cation migration. In this work, complementary experimental and computational methods are applied to understand the relationship between the crystal chemistry and ionic conductivity in Li 2 OHCl , which undergoes an orthorhombic to cubic phase transition near 311 K (approximate to 38 degrees C) and coincides with the more than a factor of 10 change in ionic conductivity (from 1.2 x 10 -5 mS/cm at 37 degrees C to 1.4 x 10 -3 mS/cm at 39 degrees C). X ray and neutron experiments conducted over the temperature range 20-200 degrees C, including diffraction, quasi-elastic neutron scattering (QENS), the maximum entropy method (MEM) analysis, and ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations, together show conclusively that the high lithium ion conductivity of cubic Li2OHCl is correlated to "paddlewheel" rotation of the dynamic OH - anion. The present results suggest that in antiperovskites and derivative structures a high cation vacancy concentration combined with the presence of disordered molecular anions can lead to high cation mobility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Virtual tower measurements during the American WAKE ExperimeNt (AWAKEN)

Dual-Doppler lidar measurements were made during the American WAKE ExperimeNt to provide height-resolved measurements of wind speed and direction at multiple locations immediately south of the leading row turbines in the King Plains wind farm in Oklahoma. These so-called virtual tower measurements were performed to characterize the inflow into the wind farm and to assess possible upwind blockage effects due to the collective action of the wind farm. The campaign was conducted from 12 November 2022 to 17 October 2023, during which time 14 unique virtual tower locations were sampled with heights ranging from 240 to 490 m AGL. The wind retrieval algorithm provided estimates of the horizontal winds and their uncertainties with a vertical resolution of about 10 m, while also accounting for the tilt of the lidar platform. The virtual tower results are compared to collocated lidar wind profiling data at the A1 site, which was located roughly 2.4 rotor diameters south of the nearest turbine. The wind speed difference between the wind profiler and the virtual tower was found to be quite sensitive to atmospheric stability and wind direction below 250 m AGL. The largest differences were observed for inflow under stable conditions, where the profiler wind speeds were observed to be about 22% lower than the virtual tower near hub height. These results suggest that there are persistent horizontal gradients in the flow upwind of the wind farm which result in biased estimates using standard ground-based lidar wind profiling methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS1985

Analytical and flight investigation of the influence of rotor and other high-order dynamics on helicopter flight-control system bandwidth

The increasing use of highly augmented digital flight-control systems in modern military helicopters prompted an examination of the influence of rotor dynamics and other high-order dynamics on control-system performance. A study was conducted at NASA Ames Research Center to correlate theoretical predictions of feedback gain limits in the roll axis with experimental test data obtained from a variable-stability research helicopter. Feedback gains, the break frequency of the presampling sensor filter, and the computational frame time of the flight computer were systematically varied. The results, which showed excellent theoretical and experimental correlation, indicate that the rotor-dynamics, sensor-filter, and digital-data processing delays can severely limit the usable values of the roll-rate and roll-attitude feedback gains.

Chen, R. T. N.↗