Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Validated Models”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 667 records · Page 37

Isobutanol Octane Blending Model with Gasoline: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-17-00689

The purpose of this agreement between the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Gevo, under the DOE Small Business Vouchers Pilot, is to develop a predictive octane blending model for isobutanol and blendstocks for oxygenated blending (BOBs). Validated models of ethanol octane blending effects are currently used in refinery blending models. While it is known that isobutanol increases octane when blended into BOBs, the effect is non-linear, and dependent on hydrocarbon blendstock properties. Because no predictive model currently exists for isobutanol and BOBs, blenders must perform expensive and time-consuming tests to determine the octane effect on each batch of finished fuel. NREL will make basic measurements of research octane number (RON) and motor octane number (MON) of finished gasoline-isobutanol blends prepared in a broad range of BOBs. The key properties and detailed composition of BOBs utilized will be measured by NREL. Using these measured fuel properties, NREL will develop a predictive octane blending model for isobutanol in BOBs that can be used by terminals to further reduce barriers to market penetration of isobutanol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-Temperature Modal Survey of a Hot-Structure Control Surface

NASA Dryden is directing a program to test a Carbon-Silicon Carbide (C/SiC) Ruddervator Subcomponent Test Article (RSTA). The RSTA is a truncated version of the full-scale X-37 hot-structure control surface incorporating all major features including the metallic spindle and five major C/SiC quasi isotropic lay-up components secured with C/SiC fasteners. As part of NASA's Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate Hypersonics program, the RSTA will undergo thermal-structural testing to develop an extensive database for future structural design and analysis methodology validation. Ground Vibration Tests (GVTs) are routinely conducted for model validation in supporting flutter analysis for subsonic and supersonic vehicles; however, for hypersonic vehicle applications, GVT techniques are not well-established. New fabrication technologies, high-temperature materials systems, and sensors offer new opportunities to develop techniques for performing GVTs at elevated temperatures. The RSTA is comprised of materials whose stiffness both increases and decreases with increasing temperature. The impact of this type of material system interaction must be understood as it will ultimately affect hypersonic flutter analysis. The test objectives are to perform room-temperature GVTs, develop the capability to conduct high-temperature GVTs and to compare and generate an understanding of the modal characteristics which capture RSTA's material interaction when subjected to temperature varying conditions.

Spivey, Natalie D.↗

Quantifying the Effect of Mixing on the Mean Age of Air in CCMVal-2 and CCMI-1 Models

The stratospheric age of air (AoA) is a useful measure of the overall capabilities of a general circulation model (GCM) to simulate stratospheric transport. Previous studies have reported a large spread in the simulation of AoA by GCMs and coupled chemistry-climate models (CCMs). Compared to observational estimates, simulated AoA is mostly too low. Here we attempt to untangle the processes that lead to the AoA differences between the models and between models and observations. AoA is influenced by both mean transport by the residual circulation and two-way mixing; we quantify the effects of these processes using data from the CCM inter-comparison projects CCMVal-2 (Chemistry-Climate Model Validation Activity 2) and CCMI-1 (Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative, phase 1). Transport along the residual circulation is measured by the residual circulation transit time (RCTT). We interpret the difference between AoA and RCTT as additional aging by mixing. Aging by mixing thus includes mixing on both the resolved and subgrid scale. We find that the spread in AoA between the models is primarily caused by differences in the effects of mixing and only to some extent by differences in residual circulation strength. These effects are quantified by the mixing efficiency, a measure of the relative increase in AoA by mixing. The mixing efficiency varies strongly between the models from 0.24 to 1.02. We show that the mixing efficiency is not only controlled by horizontal mixing, but by vertical mixing and vertical diffusion as well. Possible causes for the differences in the models' mixing efficiencies are discussed. Differences in subgrid-scale mixing (including differences in advection schemes and model resolutions) likely contribute to the differences in mixing efficiency. However, differences in the relative contribution of resolved versus parameterized wave forcing do not appear to be related to differences in mixing efficiency or AoA.

CCMI↗

Fission Product Quantification and Burnup Analysis via Gamma Spectrometry of the AGR-5/6/7 TRISO Fuel Experiment

Five capsules containing varying configurations of TRISO fuel compacts were irradiated in the most recent Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) TRISO test campaign, AGR-5/6/7. As part of the post-irradiation examination (PIE) of this work all the fuel compacts and capsule graphite holders were measured with the Precision Gamma Scanner (PGS) to determine isotopic activities and locations using gamma spectrometry. Measuring the compacts allowed for the comparison of physics model depletion calculations with the measured compact activity to validate models. These measurements also are used to find compacts of interest with low fission product retention that may be tested in subsequent PIE. Measurements of the holders can confirm fission product distribution and migration. Of the isotopes measured, Cs-137 and Cs-134 were used to estimate location of failed particles as well as determine a measured burnup estimation. Results from Capsule 1 compacts and the holder indicate many fuel particle failures occurred. There are high amounts of cesium in the holder near Stack 9 of Capsule 1 that corresponds to low fractions?measured-to-calculated (M/C) ratio?of cesium remaining in those compacts. All other capsules had cesium retention ratios near 1. The isotope 110mAg had less consistent results. Capsule 2 compacts exhibited a M/C of 0.20, much lower than anticipated for the temperatures these compacts underwent. Capsule 3 experienced much higher temperatures, >1300C and had an average M/C of 0.75. These are the opposite results than what was predicted by past AGR experiments for the relationship between temperature and isotope retention. Capsule 4 and 5 showed good fission product retention and agreement with the physics model predictions. The burnup results from the PGS measurements showed strong agreement between the physics models and the measured values. Using a ratio of Cs-134/Cs-137 to calculate the burnup match closely with the physics models. Additionally, the Cs-137 burnup results were less accurate but extremely close to the model results.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Can MODIS Data Calibrate and Validate Coastal Sediment Transport Models? Rapid Prototyping Using 250 m Data and the ECOMSED Model for Lake Pontchartrain, LA USA

Field measurements from small boats and sparse arrays of instrumented buoys often do not provide sufficient data to capture the dynamic nature of biogeophysical parameters in may coastal aquatic environments. Several investigators have shown the MODIS 250 m images can provide daily synoptic views of suspended sediment concentration in coastal waters to determine sediment transport and fate. However, the use of MODIS for coastal environments can be limited due to a lack of cloud-free images. Sediment transport models are not constrained by sky conditions but often suffer from a lack of in situ observations for model calibration or validation. We demonstrate here the utility of MODIS 250 m to calibrate (set model parameters), validate output, and set or reset initial conditions of a hydrodynamic and sediment transport model (ECOMSED) developed for Lake Pontchartrain, LA USA. We present our approach in the context of how to quickly assess of 'prototype' an application of NASA data to support environmental managers and decision makers. The combination of daily MODIS imagery and model simulations offer a more robust monitoring and prediction system of suspended sediments than available from either system alone.

Miller, Richard L.↗

Characterizing diurnal and seasonal cycles in monsoon systems from TRMM and CEOP observations

The CEOP Inter-Monsoon Study (CIMS) is one of the two main science drivers of CEOP that aims to (a) provide better understanding of fundamental physical processes in monsoon regions around the world, and (b) demonstrate the synergy and utility of CEOP data in providing a pathway for model physics evaluation and improvement. As the data collection phase for EOP-3 and EOP-4 is being completed, two full annual cycles (2003-2004) of research-quality data sets from satellites, reference sites, and model output location time series (MOLTS) have been processed and made available for data analyses and model validation studies. This article presents preliminary results of a CIMS study aimed at the characterization and intercomparison of all major monsoon systems. The CEOP reference site data proved its value in such exercises by being a powerful tool to cross-validate the TRMM data, and to intercompare with multi-model results in ongoing work. We use 6 years (1998-2003) of pentad CEOP/TRMM data with 2deg x 2.5deg latitude-longitude grid, over the domain of interests to define the monsoon climatological diurnal and annual cycles for the East Asian Monsoon (EAM), the South Asian Monsoon (SAM), the West Africa Monsoon (WAM), the North America/Mexican Monsoon (NAM), the South American Summer Monsoon (SASM) and the Australian Monsoon (AUM). As noted, the TRMM data used in the study were cross-validated using CEOP reference site data, where applicable. Results show that the observed diurnal cycle of rain peaked around late afternoon over monsoon land, and early morning over the oceans. The diurnal cycles in models tend to peak 2-3 hours earlier than observed. The seasonal cycles of the EAM and SAM show the strongest continentality, i.e, strong control by continental processes away from the ITCZ. The WAM, and the AUM shows the less continentality, i.e, strong control by the oceanic ITCZ.

Lau, William K. M.↗

Characterizing Diurnal and Seasonal Cycles in Monsoon Systems from TRMM and CEOP Observations

The CEOP Inter-Monsoon Study (CIMS) is one of the two main science drivers of CEOP that aims to (a) provide better understanding of fundamental physical processes in monsoon regions around the world, and (b) demonstrate the synergy and utility of CEOP data in providing a pathway for model physics evaluation and improvement. As the data collection phase for EOP-3 and EOP-4 is being completed, two full annual cycles (2003-2004) of research-quality data sets from satellites, reference sites, and model output location time series (MOLTS) have been processed and made available for data analyses and model validation studies. This article presents preliminary results of a CIMS study aimed at the characterization and intercomparison of all major monsoon systems. The CEOP reference site data proved its value in such exercises by being a powerful tool to cross-validate the TRMM data, and to intercompare with multi-model results in ongoing work. We use 6 years (1998-2003) of pentad CEOP/TRMM data with 2 deg x 2.5 deg. latitude-longitude grid, over the domain of interests to define the monsoon climatological diurnal and annual cycles for the East Asian Monsoon (EAM), the South Asian Monsoon (SAM), the West Africa Monsoon (WAM), the North America/Mexican Monsoon (NAM), the South American Summer Monsoon (SASM) and the Australian Monsoon (AUM). As noted, the TRMM data used in the study were cross-validated using CEOP reference site data, where applicable. Results show that the observed diurnal cycle of rain peaked around late afternoon over monsoon land, and early morning over the oceans. The diurnal cycles in models tend to peak 2-3 hours earlier than observed. The seasonal cycles of the EAM and SAM show the strongest continentality, i.e, strong control by continental processes away from the ITCZ. The WAM, and the AUM shows the less continentality, i.e, strong control by the oceanic ITCZ.

Lau, William K. M.↗

Spacecraft charging modeling development and validation study

The effects of spacecraft charging are presented. Analytical models of the magnetospheric environment are used to show the charging interaction between the spacecraft and the plasma sheath, the discharge phenomena, and electromagnetic coupling from the discharge to spacecraft components. Ground tests to validate the models are described.

Odonnell, E. E.↗

Finite Element Model Development and Validation for Aircraft Fuselage Structures

The ability to extend the valid frequency range for finite element based structural dynamic predictions using detailed models of the structural components and attachment interfaces is examined for several stiffened aircraft fuselage structures. This extended dynamic prediction capability is needed for the integration of mid-frequency noise control technology. Beam, plate and solid element models of the stiffener components are evaluated. Attachment models between the stiffener and panel skin range from a line along the rivets of the physical structure to a constraint over the entire contact surface. The finite element models are validated using experimental modal analysis results. The increased frequency range results in a corresponding increase in the number of modes, modal density and spatial resolution requirements. In this study, conventional modal tests using accelerometers are complemented with Scanning Laser Doppler Velocimetry and Electro-Optic Holography measurements to further resolve the spatial response characteristics. Whenever possible, component and subassembly modal tests are used to validate the finite element models at lower levels of assembly. Normal mode predictions for different finite element representations of components and assemblies are compared with experimental results to assess the most accurate techniques for modeling aircraft fuselage type structures.

Buehrle, Ralph D.↗

Solar and Heliospheric Modeling at the CCMC

The CCMC has three principal functions, 1) To test and validate model in use in the research community that are destined for a future Space Weather forecasting role, 2) To make them available for wider use in the research community, and 3) To assist in transitioning these models to Rapid Prototyping Centers. Beginning in 2000 with a small model inventory, the CCMC now hosts more than 40 models or model combinations, covering the solar atmosphere, heliosphere, magnetosphere and ionosphere. In this talk I will describe the solar and heliospheric modeling component, its history, its current status and our future plans.

Source record↗

Using Thermodynamic Availability to Predict the Transitional Film Reynolds Number between the Droplet and Jet Modes in Falling Liquid between Horizontal Tubes

The objective of this paper is to propose and validate a model for predicting the transitional film Reynolds number between the droplet and jet modes of falling film flows. The proposed model relies on thermodynamic availability with no fitting to mode transition data. The model directly predicts the numerical values of the transitional film Reynolds numbers at different operating conditions. The results of the model are validated against 43 experimental data points from the literature, which cover 10 working fluids and a wide range of tube geometries. The accuracy of the proposed model in predicting the validation data is -on average- more than 20 % better than that of the widely used Re = a (Ga) b and Re = a (Ga) b (S/ξ) c models. The model also achieves low computation time (less than 30 seconds for the 43 validation data points). The model presented in this paper has the potential of integration with heat transfer, mass transfer, and pressure drop models for optimizing the design and operation of falling film heat and mass exchangers.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modeling Terrestrial Dissolved Organic Carbon Loading to Western Arctic Rivers

The mobilization and land-to-ocean transfer of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in Arctic watersheds is intricately linked with the region's climate and water cycle, and furthermore at risk of changes from climate warming and associated impacts. This study quantifies model-simulated estimates of runoff, surface and active layer leachate DOC concentrations and loadings to western Arctic rivers, specifically for basins that drain into coastal waters between and including the Yukon and Mackenzie Rivers. Model validation leverages data from other field measurements, synthesis studies, and modeling efforts. The simulations effectively quantify DOC leaching in surface and subsurface runoff and broadly capture the seasonal cycle in DOC concentration and mass loadings reported from other studies that use river-based measurements. A marked east-west gradient in simulated spring and summer DOC concentrations of 24 drainage basins on the North Slope of Alaska is captured by the modeling, consistent with independent data derived from river sampling. Simulated loadings for the Mackenzie and Yukon show reasonable agreement with estimates of DOC export for annual totals and four of the six seasonal comparisons. Nearly equivalent loading occurs to rivers which drain north to the Beaufort Sea and west to the Bering and Chukchi Seas. The modeling framework provides a basis for understanding carbon export to coastal waters and for assessing impacts of hydrological cycle intensification and permafrost thaw with ongoing warming in the Arctic.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Steady-State Mechanical Analysis for Target Assembly in the Material Plasma Exposure eXperiment Facility

The Material Plasma Exposure eXperiment (MPEX) steady-state linear plasma facility is currently under design at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to expose target specimens to fusion divertor regimes. The neutron-irradiated target is actively cooled and remote handled in the MPEX facility for conducting plasma-material–interaction (PMI) experiments. Here, the steady-state stresses in the target and target assembly system are investigated using two-dimensional (2-D) and three-dimensional (3-D) models to provide expected stresses/strains under the heat loads to which various system components would be exposed during MPEX operation. The calculated temperatures from the 2-D axisymmetric mechanical model were found to be in excellent agreement with those from the full 3-D thermohydraulic model, providing a strong model validation. Numerical simulation results for the steady-state mechanical model indicate nonuniform distributions for the temperature, stress, and deformation within the critical components. For the initial design, the deformation results indicate possible gap openings between contacting surfaces below the plasma-facing materials. To reduce the possibility of interfacial gap opening, the target assembly was slightly changed and evaluated using the 2-D stress model. Numerical simulation results indicate that the interfacial gap openings can be minimized without drastically changing the entire target assembly. The stress-strain conditions for the target will be further used to assess the appropriate operation during MPEX experiments and gain insight into materials science phenomena during PMI.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The future of Earth system prediction: Advances in model-data fusion

Predictions of the Earth system, such as weather forecasts and climate projections, require models informed by observations at many levels. Some methods for integrating models and observations are very systematic and comprehensive (e.g., data assimilation), and some are single purpose and customized (e.g., for model validation). We review current methods and best practices for integrating models and observations. We highlight how future developments can enable advanced heterogeneous observation networks and models to improve predictions of the Earth system (including atmosphere, land surface, oceans, cryosphere, and chemistry) across scales from weather to climate. As the community pushes to develop the next generation of models and data systems, there is a need to take a more holistic, integrated, and coordinated approach to models, observations, and their uncertainties to maximize the benefit for Earth system prediction and impacts on society.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Technoeconomics of Particle-based CSP Featuring Falling Particle Receivers with and without Active Heliostat Control

This report documents the results and conclusions of a recent project to understand the technoeconomics of utility-scale, particle-based concentrating solar power (CSP) facilities leveraging unique operational strategies. This project included two primary objectives. The first project objective was to build confidence in the modeling approaches applied to falling particle receivers (FPRs) including the effect s of wind. The second project objective was to create the necessary modeling capability to adequately predict and maximize the annual performance of utility-scale, particle-based CSP plants under anticipated conditions with and without active heliostat control. Results of an extensive model validation study provided the strongest evidence to date for the modeling strategies typically applied to FPRs, albeit at smaller receiver scales. This modeling strategy was then applied in a parametric study of candidate utility-scale FPRs, including both free-falling and multistage FPR concepts, to develop reduced order models for predicting the receiver thermal efficiency under anticipated environmental and operating conditions. Multistage FPRs were found to significantly improve receiver performance at utility-scales. These reduced order models were then leveraged in a sophisticated technoeconomic analysis to optimize utility-scale , particle-based CSP plants considering the potential of active heliostat control. In summary, active heliostat control did not show significant performance benefits to future utility-scale CSP systems though some benefit may still be realized in FPR designs with wide acceptance angles and/or with lower concentration ratios. Using the latest FPR technologies available, the levelized-cost of electricity was quantified for particle-based CSP facilities with nominal powers ranging from 5 MW e up to 100 MW e with many viable designs having costs < 0.06 $/kWh and local minimums occurring between ~25–35 MW e .

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

MASK4 Test Report

Wave energy converters (WECs) are designed to produce useful work from ocean waves. This useful work can take the form of electrical power or even pressurized water for, e.g., desalination. This report details the findings from a wave tank test focused on that production of useful work. To that end, the experimental system and test were specifically designed to validate models for power transmission throughout the WEC system. Additionally, the validity of co-design informed changes to the power take-off (PTO) were assessed and shown to provide the expected improvements in system performance.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Orbit IMU alignment: Error analysis

A comprehensive accuracy analysis of orbit inertial measurement unit (IMU) alignments using the shuttle star trackers was completed and the results are presented. Monte Carlo techniques were used in a computer simulation of the IMU alignment hardware and software systems to: (1) determine the expected Space Transportation System 1 Flight (STS-1) manual mode IMU alignment accuracy; (2) investigate the accuracy of alignments in later shuttle flights when the automatic mode of star acquisition may be used; and (3) verify that an analytical model previously used for estimating the alignment error is a valid model. The analysis results do not differ significantly from expectations. The standard deviation in the IMU alignment error for STS-1 alignments was determined to the 68 arc seconds per axis. This corresponds to a 99.7% probability that the magnitude of the total alignment error is less than 258 arc seconds.

Corson, R. W.↗

Unsteady Analysis of Separated Aerodynamic Flows Using an Unstructured Multigrid Algorithm

An implicit method for the computation of unsteady flows on unstructured grids is presented. The resulting nonlinear system of equations is solved at each time step using an agglomeration multigrid procedure. The method allows for arbitrarily large time steps and is efficient in terms of computational effort and storage. Validation of the code using a one-equation turbulence model is performed for the well-known case of flow over a cylinder. A Detached Eddy Simulation model is also implemented and its performance compared to the one equation Spalart-Allmaras Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence model. Validation cases using DES and RANS include flow over a sphere and flow over a NACA 0012 wing including massive stall regimes. The project was driven by the ultimate goal of computing separated flows of aerodynamic interest, such as massive stall or flows over complex non-streamlined geometries.

Pelaez, Juan↗