Results of Uncertainty Quantification of data , and Pi3NN code
Uncertainty Quantification results along with Pi3NN code and forward model data for dipole-dipole on which it was performed is attached.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “Random forests”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Implementation of MLP-NN on Field data for dipole dipole and Alt3 Wenner configurations
Training data for both dipole dipole and Alt3 wenner configurations included. Field dataset for both dipole dipole and Alt3 wenner configurations included (Test dataset). Python code for implementation of MLP-NN included. Results for inversion of both configurations included.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Supplemental Tables for "Machine learning enables identification of a novel yeast galactose utilization pathway"
Supplemental tables for the paper "Machine learning enables identification of a novel yeast galactose utilization pathway" by Marie-Claire Harrison et al. 2024.
artificial intelligence↗
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among former United States Department of Energy workers: comorbidities and lung function changes
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States and is frequently associated with multiple comorbidities which lead to poor COPD outcomes in the general population. However, little is known regarding COPD comorbidities in occupational cohorts whose exposure experiences could result in differences in comorbidities compared to the general population. These differences may also be important for assessing COPD outcomes such as lung function changes or decline. Therefore, the objectives of this study were to: (1) identify and describe clusters of COPD comorbidities among Department of Energy (DOE) former workers; (2) assess if the attributes of the identified clusters differ from those identified among the general population based on the published literature, and (3) identify predictors of lung function changes and decline among DOE former workers.
60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
Data supporting manuscript from L. Sheneman, G. Stephanopoulos, A.E. Vasdekis titled "Deep learning classification of lipid droplets in quantitative phase images" as currently under review at PLOS ONE. This includes: 1) raw and binary labeled Quantitative Phase Images (QPI) of Y. lipolytica cells used in the analyses described within the manuscript. 2) various derived data including classifier scores, etc.
Data supporting manuscript from L. Sheneman, G. Stephanopoulos, A.E. Vasdekis titled "Deep learning classification of lipid droplets in quantitative phase images" as currently under review at PLOS ONE. This includes: 1) raw and binary labeled Quantitative Phase Images (QPI) of Y. lipolytica cells used in the analyses described within the manuscript. 2) various derived data including classifier scores, etc.
ANN↗
Reducing Uncertainty in Offshore Wind Energy Yield Estimates via a Metocean Reference Site
The offshore wind industry is burgeoning in the coastal waters of the United States, specifically along the Atlantic. For wind energy to be successful, reliable observations and model simulations are needed for resource assessment and forecasting. While many of these activities have already begun, there is currently an absence of observations at hub-height in these waters, with the closest available hub-height measurements usually taken onshore. Deployment of floating lidars has occurred through various federally funded projects, but only encapsulates time periods of a couple of years at best. Private industry is also beginning to leverage floating lidars, but this data is often proprietary, and not shared with the general public. In this work, we make the case for a metocean reference site for long-term offshore wind energy. Specifically, we quantify the impact of having a metocean reference site compared to other methods of determining hub-height winds and energy production. We use an offshore floating lidar to directly measure the wind resource, and compare these measurements to predictions derived from other widely-available surface meteorological variables. These prediction methods (vertical extrapolation, machine learning, and NWP output) produce a variety of vertical wind speed profiles, of which produce different energy yield estimates for a reference offshore turbine (Figure 1). While some methods perform reasonably well against the lidar, the uncertainty in these energy yield estimates has financial implications, further illustrating the need for long-term measurements in coastal waters.
machine learning↗
AI-Enabled Operations at Fermi Complex: Multivariate Time Series Prediction for Outage Prediction and Diagnosis
The Main Control Room of the Fermilab accelerator complex continuously gathers extensive time-series data from thousands of sensors monitoring the beam. However, unplanned events such as trips or voltage fluctuations often result in beam outages, causing operational downtime. This downtime not only consumes operator effort in diagnosing and addressing the issue but also leads to unnecessary energy consumption by idle machines awaiting beam restoration. The current threshold-based alarm system is reactive and faces challenges including frequent false alarms and inconsistent outage-cause labeling. To address these limitations, we propose an AI-enabled framework that leverages predictive analytics and automated labeling. Using data from $2,703$ Linac devices and $80$ operator-labeled outages, we evaluate state-of-the-art deep learning architectures, including recurrent, attention-based, and linear models, for beam outage prediction. Additionally, we assess a Random Forest-based labeling system for providing consistent, confidence-scored outage annotations. Our findings highlight the strengths and weaknesses of these architectures for beam outage prediction and identify critical gaps that must be addressed to fully harness AI for transitioning downtime handling from reactive to predictive, ultimately reducing downtime and improving decision-making in accelerator management.
Jain, Milan [PNL, Richland] (ORCID:000000021676111↗
Validating Protection System Behavior with Machine Learning in a Master State Overseer
As power system protection devices continue the widespread transition from analog to digital, they become increasingly intricate. The internal functions and communication between critical grid components must now be significantly more complex to keep up with the demands of the modern smart grid. This brings increased difficulty in maintenance and monitoring, making it harder to identify potential misoperation, power anomalies, and cyber threats. Such issues are often only pinpointed after an exhaustive and costly post-mortem analysis, when a major outage or damage has already occurred. A solution is needed for validating protection systems as they operate, independently evaluating grid state and confirming whether the protection system is behaving accordingly. As opposed to incident response, this acts as a constant verification mechanism that raises a flag when subtler issues are noticed, catching them earlier and preventing larger incidents. This work presents the implementation of such a system, expanding on the prototype developed by the authors in a previous paper. This is accomplished with a machine learning (ML) system capable of validating the performance of protection systems by classifying anomalous events and characterizing protection system responses based solely on available current and voltage measurements. Additionally, this system is contextualized within a larger, modular Master State awareness Overseer (MSO) framework, responsible for monitoring, analyzing, and managing an electric grid.
24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Efficient Sampling of Complex Interdependent and Multiplex Networks
Efficient sampling of interdependent and multiplex infrastructure networks is critical for effectively applying failure and recovery algorithms in real-world settings, as well as to generate property-preserving reduced-order graph-based ensembles that address topological uncertainties. In this paper, we first explore the performance, i.e. the success in preserving graph properties, of graph sampling algorithms for interdependent and multiplex networks with synthetic and real-world graphs. We simulate sampling algorithms under different parameter settings. These settings include probabilistic graph generators, coupling patterns, and various performance metrics. Our results show that while Random Node and Random Walk sampling algorithms perform best for interdependent networks, Random Edge and Forest Fire sampling algorithms perform best for multiplex networks. Second, we propose and implement a novel similarity-based sampling algorithm for multiplex networks that samples only log(N) number of layers of an N-layer multiplex network while yielding computational savings with performance guarantees. Experimental results show that similarity sampling outperforms complete sampling of all layers while decreasing performance costs from a linear scale to a logarithmic one. Our results also indicate that similarity-based sampling outperforms complete sampling and random selection in nearly all scenarios when tested with real-world data.
Subasi, Omer↗
Validation of the DESI 2024 Lyα forest BAO analysis using synthetic datasets
The first year of data from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) contains the largest set of Lyman-α (Lyα) forest spectra ever observed. This data, collected in the DESI Data Release 1 (DR1) sample, has been used to measure the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) feature at redshift z = 2.33. In this work, we use a set of 150 synthetic realizations of DESI DR1 to validate the DESI 2024 Lyα forest BAO measurement presented in [1]. The synthetic data sets are based on Gaussian random fields using the log-normal approximation. We produce realistic synthetic DESI spectra that include all major contaminants affecting the Lyα forest. The synthetic data sets span a redshift range 1.8 < z < 3.8, and are analyzed using the same framework and pipeline used for the DESI 2024 Lyα forest BAO measurement. To measure BAO, we use both the Lyα auto-correlation and its cross-correlation with quasar positions. We use the mean of correlation functions from the set of DESI DR1 realizations to show that our model is able to recover unbiased measurements of the BAO position. We also fit each mock individually and study the population of BAO fits in order to validate BAO uncertainties and test our method for estimating the covariance matrix of the Lyα forest correlation functions. Finally, we discuss the implications of our results and identify the needs for the next generation of Lyα forest synthetic data sets, with the top priority being to simulate the effect of BAO broadening due to non-linear evolution.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Microstructural Investigation of Precipitation Treated A709 Test Samples
This report presents the microstructural characterization using scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) of two creep-tested ESR1150-PT specimens, one short-term and one long-term. The results show that during creep testing, the microstructure of the A709 ESR1150-PT material continues to evolve as expected due to the synergistic effect of strain, temperature and time. Key features include dislocation forest and cell structures, precipitates on grain boundaries, precipitates randomly within grains, and precipitates associated with dislocations. In addition, the STEM study of one ESR1100-SA specimen that has been tested to rupture at a relatively low temperature (550°C) for a relatively long term (16226 h) is also presented. The results show that there is a high density of very fine nano precipitates form on dislocations.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
LyaCoLoRe : synthetic datasets for current and future Lyman-α forest BAO surveys
The statistical power of Lyman-α forest Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) measurements is set to increase significantly in the coming years as new instruments such as the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument deliver progressively more constraining data. Generating mock datasets for such measurements will be important for validating analysis pipelines and evaluating the effects of systematics. With such studies in mind, here we present LyaCoLoRe: a package for producing synthetic Lyman-α forest survey datasets for BAO analyses. LyaCoLoRe transforms initial Gaussian random field skewers into skewers of transmitted flux fraction via a number of fast approximations. In this work we explain the methods of producing mock datasets used in LyaCoLoRe, and then measure correlation functions on a suite of realisations of such data. We demonstrate that we are able to recover the correct BAO signal, as well as large-scale bias parameters similar to literature values. Finally, we briefly describe methods to add further astrophysical effects to our skewers — high column density systems and metal absorbers — which act as potential complications for BAO analyses.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Modelling the impact of quasar redshift errors on the full-shape analysis of correlations in the Lyman-α forest.
In preparation for the first cosmological measurements from the full shape of the Lyman-α (Lyα) forest from DESI, we must carefully model all relevant systematics that might bias our analysis. It was shown in Youles et al. (2022) that random quasar redshift errors produce a smoothing effect on the mean quasar continuum in the Lyα forest region. This, in turn, gives rise to spurious features in the Lyα autocorrelation and its cross-correlation with quasars. Using synthetic data sets based on the DESI survey, we confirm that the impact on BAO measurements is small, but that a bias is introduced to parameters which depend on the full shape of our correlations. We combine a model of this contamination in the cross-correlation (Youles et al. 2022) with a new model we introduce here for the auto-correlation. These are parametrised by 3 parameters, which, when included in a joint fit to both correlation functions, successfully eliminate any impact of redshift errors on our full-shape constraints. We also present a strategy for removing this contamination from real data, by removing ∼0.3% of correlating pairs.
cosmology↗
Combining field and remote sensing data to estimate forest canopy damage and recovery following tropical cyclones across tropical regions
Abstract As tropical forests cycle the most water and carbon, it is crucial to understand the short- and long-term effects of intensifying cyclones on these ecosystems. Soil nutrient status has been shown to moderate forest cyclone responses using field litterfall measurements, but litterfall is one of the multiple cyclone impact metrtics, which may or may not be correlated with one another or with site nutrients. We used remotely sensed vegetation indices to quantify immediate damage and two-year recovery for 42 cases across nine tropical forests in Hawaii, Puerto Rico, Mexico, Australia, and Taiwan affected by 12 cyclones between 2004 and 2017. We tested whether changes in leaf area index (LAI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) correlated with changes in litterfall observations and how changes varied with total soil phosphorus (P) concentrations across regions. We compared cyclone-induced changes and recovery of LAI and EVI to litterfall observations compiled in a pantropical meta-analysis. We found large variation in changes in LAI and EVI across forests, with the greatest reductions in LAI (−77%) and EVI (−77%) in Mexico (Jalisco) and Puerto Rico, respectively. LAI ( r = −0.52) and EVI ( r = −0.60) changes correlated with those in litterfall across cases. Post-cyclone data showed recovery of LAI by four months, EVI by two months, and litterfall by ten months. We detected larger changes in LAI and EVI in forests with higher soil P, but these relationships were not significant when accounting for cyclone and site as random effects. Principal component analyses indicated a regional clustering of cases related to their contrasting cyclone regimes, with the frequency and intensity of cyclone events negatively correlated. Overall, remote sensing observations complement but do not substitute for ground observations that reveal cyclone damage and post-cyclone recovery in tropical forests, and soil phosphorus moderates some but not all metrics of stability in response to cyclones.
Bloom, Dellena E. (ORCID:0000000205981747)↗
Differential Organic Carbon Mineralization Responses to Soil Moisture in Three Different Soil Orders Under Mixed Forested System: Supporting Data
This data contains data from 90-day long incubation study which aimed to look at the soil moisture-texture relationship on soil organic carbon (SOC) cycling. Soils were collected from three distinct soil textures from mixed forests in 2017: sandy (Georgia, 2017-05-01), loamy (Missouri, 2017-06-14) and clayey (Texas, December 2017) were incubated at different soil moisture levels (air-dried, 25% water holding capacity (WHC), 50% WHC, 100% WHC and 175% WHC) at room temperature for a period of 90 days. Files contain microbial respiration, active and slow SOC pools, and their respective mineralization rates, extractable organic carbon (C), and C-acquiring extracellular enzymes. Findings from these data were used in Singh et al. (2021). This study aimed to examine the interactive effect of soil moisture and texture on SOC mineralization. Soil samples of three distinct textures (sandy, loamy, and clayey) were collected from mixed forests of Georgia, Missouri, and Texas, respectively. Soil cores of 5 cm diameter were collected from numerous random locations at each site from 0-15 cm depth after scraping the litter layer and mixed thoroughly to obtain a composite sample per site. Three additional soil cores were collected to determine the WHC using pressure plate extractors. Soil samples were composited, and triplicate soil samples were incubated in mason jars for a period of 90 days at room temperature under different moisture regimes: air dried, 25% WHC, 50% WHC, at WHC and 100% saturation. Soil respiration was measured weekly, and destructive sampling was conducted at 1, 15, 60, and 90 days to determine extractable organic C, C acquiring enzyme activity, and active and slow SOC pools with their respective mineralization rates. The C acquiring enzyme activity was the total activity of α-glucosidase, β-glucosidase, cellobiohydrolase, and β-xylosidase enzymes. Gas samples for microbial respiration measurements were collected from headspace of incubation jars through the sampling ports on the lids and then analyzed using a Shimadzu Gas Chromatograph (GC-2014). Prior to sampling, the vials were evacuated. Blank correction was also done by collecting gas samples from empty incubation jars. Double pool exponential decay model was used in SigmaPlot to determine the active and slow SOC pools and their mineralization rates (Farrar et al., 2012; Jagadamma et al., 2014). The C-acquiring extracellular enzymes were measured using the microplate method by German et al., (2011). Microbial community structure was determined using the phospholipid fatty acid (PLFA) and neutral lipid fatty acid (NLFA) analyses (Buyer and Sasser, 2012). This dataset has seven data files provided in comma-separate (*.csv) format. Additional metadata are provided: seven data dictionaries and a file-level metadata file in comma separate (*.csv) format and a user guide in PDF (*.pdf) format.
Carbon acquiring enzyme activity↗
AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-GLE GLEES
This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-GLE GLEES. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-GLE GLEES produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiments Site (GLEES) site is located on land owned by the U.S. government and managed by US Forest Service as part of the Medicine Bow National Forest. Many of the trees in the immediate vicinity of the site are older than 400 years, inter-dispersed among trees much younger in age. This widespread age distribution is most likely a derivation of one of two scenarios: 1) A widespread stand replacement about 400 years ago followed by a slow replacement; 2) Intermittent random disturbances over the past 400 years (Bradford et al. 2008). A decade long spruce beetle outbreak that peaked in 2008 resulted in the mortality of 85% of the forested basal area. There are a few private land holdings in the area, with scattered uncorked mining claims. Following the establishment of the National Forest, mining was banned and grazing was closed in the early 1990's in the upper portion of the GLEES site. Recreation in the winter, when snow can remain in patches into the summer months, snow mobiling and cross country skiing are popular. During the limited summer, hiking, camping and fishing are common activities. The site is accessible by vehicle only during the summer on Forest Road FDR 317, and in the winter, the tower is only reachable via snowmobile.
Frank, John↗
A large net carbon loss attributed to anthropogenic and natural disturbances in the Amazon Arc of Deforestation
The Amazon forest contains globally important carbon stocks, but in recent years, atmospheric measurements suggest that it has been releasing more carbon than it has absorbed because of deforestation and forest degradation. Accurately attributing the sources of carbon loss to forest degradation and natural disturbances remains a challenge because of the difficulty of classifying disturbances and simultaneously estimating carbon changes. We used a unique, randomized, repeated, very high-resolution airborne laser scanning survey to provide a direct, detailed, and high-resolution partitioning of aboveground carbon gains and losses in the Brazilian Arc of Deforestation. Our analysis revealed that disturbances directly attributed to human activity impacted 4.2% of the survey area while windthrows and other disturbances affected 2.7% and 14.7%, respectively. Extrapolating the lidar-based statistics to the study area (544,300 km 2 ), we found that 24.1, 24.2, and 14.5 Tg C y −1 were lost through clearing, fires, and logging, respectively. The losses due to large windthrows (21.5 Tg C y −1 ) and other disturbances (50.3 Tg C y −1 ) were partially counterbalanced by forest growth (44.1 Tg C y −1 ). Our high-resolution estimates demonstrated a greater loss of carbon through forest degradation than through deforestation and a net loss of carbon of 90.5 ± 16.6 Tg C y −1 for the study region attributable to both anthropogenic and natural processes. This study highlights the role of forest degradation in the carbon balance for this critical region in the Earth system.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Benchmarking and parameter sensitivity of physiological and vegetation dynamics using the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES) at Barro Colorado Island, Panama
Plant functional traits determine vegetation responses to environmental variation, but variation in trait values is large, even within a single site. Likewise, uncertainty in how these traits map to Earth system feedbacks is large. We use a vegetation demographic model (VDM), the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES), to explore parameter sensitivity of model predictions, and comparison to observations, at a tropical forest site: Barro Colorado Island in Panama. We define a single 12-dimensional distribution of plant trait variation, derived primarily from observations in Panama, and define plant functional types (PFTs) as random draws from this distribution. We compare several model ensembles, where individual ensemble members vary only in the plant traits that define PFTs, and separate ensembles differ from each other based on either model structural assumptions or non-trait, ecosystem-level parameters, which include (a) the number of competing PFTs present in any simulation and (b) parameters that govern disturbance and height-based light competition. While single-PFT simulations are roughly consistent with observations of productivity at Barro Colorado Island, increasing the number of competing PFTs strongly shifts model predictions towards higher productivity and biomass forests. Different ecosystem variables show greater sensitivity than others to the number of competing PFTs, with the predictions that are most dominated by large trees, such as biomass, being the most sensitive. Changing disturbance and height-sorting parameters, i.e., the rules of competitive trait filtering, shifts regimes of dominance or coexistence between early- and late-successional PFTs in the model. Increases to the extent or severity of disturbance, or to the degree of determinism in height-based light competition, all act to shift the community towards early-successional PFTs. In turn, these shifts in competitive outcomes alter predictions of ecosystem states and fluxes, with more early-successional-dominated forests having lower biomass. It is thus crucial to differentiate between plant traits, which are under competitive pressure in VDMs, from those model parameters that are not and to better understand the relationships between these two types of model parameters to quantify sources of uncertainty in VDMs.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗