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At least 667 records · Page 37

An Atom Probe Tomography Study of the Through Wall Attenuation Effect on Cu-rich Precipitate Formation in a Reactor Pressure Vessel Steel

In this study, high-Cu weld material harvested from an ex service reactor pressure vessel (RPV) steel from Unit 1 of the decommissioned Zion Nuclear Generating Station has been characterized using atom probe tomography. Samples taken from 4 different positions through the thicknesses of the pressure vessel wall from the water-side to the air-side were characterized, along with an unirradiated baseline material. In the baseline material, no precipitates were found and the Cu was observed to be fully in solid solution; however, scanning transmission electron microscopy combined with energy dispersive spectroscopy (STEM-EDS) revealed the presence of ϵ -Cu that form during processing of the material and results in the concomitant decrease of matrix Cu. Following irradiation, a high number density of nano-scale Cu-rich precipitates (CRPs) were observed, uniformly distributed throughout the matrix. The Cu content within the CRPs was found to be ~30-35 at.% regardless of location in the wall. No statistically significant variation in the compositions, mean radius, number density, or volume fraction as a function of location within the wall was observed. The measured matrix Cu level excluding CRPs contribution was found to be ~90 appm higher than the solubility limit suggesting that further nucleation and growth of the CRPs under continued operations would have occurred. These results clearly demonstrate that the neutron energy attenuation has no significant effect on the precipitation kinetics of CRPs regardless of location in the wall in high-Cu RPV steels under irradiation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Precipitation kinetics during aging of an alumina-forming austenitic stainless steel

The microstructural evolution of DAFA26, an alumina-forming austenitic (AFA) stainless steel, was investigated during aging. The effect of aging at 750 °C and 800 °C on the growth of spherical γ’-Ni 3 (Al, Ti) particles present in the as-processed state was studied extensively using X-ray diffraction, microhardness testing, scanning electron microscopy, transmission electron microscopy, and atom probe tomography. The γ’ particles had a cube-on-cube orientation relationship with the matrix (i.e. ((010)(010) m //(010)(010) p , [100][100] m //[100][100] p )). The coarsening kinetics of γ’-Ni 3 Al particles were in agreement with the Lifshitz, Slyozof-Wagner theory. Coarse Laves phase particles were also present in the as-processed state, and during the aging process both smaller Laves phase precipitates and B2-NiAl precipitates formed on both the grain boundaries and in the matrix. As a result, the γ’ precipitates were determined to have the most impact on the room temperature hardness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Laser-interference pulse number dependence of surface chemistry and sub-surface microstructure of AA2024-T3 alloy

The laser-based treatment of a metal surface is an intrinsically non-chemical technique that can alter both the topology and chemistry of surfaces. A laser-based treatment for coating and joining applications can offer alternative surface preparations to the chemically-based surface preparation techniques, which are subject to severe environmental protection and hazardous-waste management considerations. In this study, the surface chemistry and sub-surface microstructural changes are investigated for a novel surface processing method using laser interferometry produced by two beams of a pulsed Nd:YAG laser. The two-beam laser-interference allowed the structuring of the surface at length scales much less than that of the laser beam spot. Surface chemistry changes in the oxide layer of AA 2024-T3 aluminum alloy rolled sheet due to laser processing were investigated using x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). Near surface microstructural changes have been investigated with scanning electron microscopy and energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy (SEM/EDS), and scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) as a function of number of interfering laser shots. SEM microstructure pictures of the top surface shows the minimization of surface defects, as all of the sharp features from a rolled sheet surface were smoothed by laser-structuring. STEM images indicate that the laser-interference processing reduced the formation of CuMn-rich precipitates over a 500–800 nm depth from the top surface. XPS data indicated that the Al oxide layer is modified compared to that of the baseline specimen and that the oxide thickness increases with the number of shots per spot. Finally, the additional thicker oxide on Al alloys is expected to increase the corrosion resistance of the coated Al 2024.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global-Scale Forcings

Heavy rainfall and flooding associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) are responsible for a large number of fatalities and economic damage worldwide. Despite their large socioeconomic impacts, research into heavy rainfall and flooding associated with TCs has received limited attention to date and still represents a major challenge. The capability to adapt to future changes in heavy rainfall and flooding associated with TCs is inextricably linked to and informed by understanding of the sensitivity of TC rainfall to likely future forcing mechanisms. Here a set of idealized high-resolution atmospheric model experiments produced as part of the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) Hurricane Working Group activity is used to examine TC response to idealized global-scale perturbations: the doubling of CO 2 , uniform 2-K increases in global sea surface temperature (SST), and their combined impact. As a preliminary but key step, daily rainfall patterns of composite TCs within climate model outputs are first compared and contrasted to the observational records. To assess similarities and differences across different regions in response to the warming scenarios, analyses are performed at the global and hemispheric scales and in six global TC ocean basins. The results indicate a reduction in TC daily precipitation rates in the doubling CO 2 scenario (on the order of 5% globally) and an increase in TC rainfall rates associated with a uniform increase of 2 K in SST (both alone and in combination with CO 2 doubling; on the order of 10%–20% globally).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interaction of Strain Refined Precipitates and Recrystallized Grains in Nb-Ti Microalloyed Steel during Continuous Casting, Hot-Core Heavy Reduction Rolling, and Reheating Process

Hot-core heavy reduction rolling (HHR{sup 2}) is an energy-saving process that directly rolls continuously cast slabs at the end of solidification that have a large temperature gradient. Here, we elucidated the interaction of strain refined precipitates and recrystallized grains in Nb-Ti microalloyed steel during continuous casting, hot-core heavy reduction rolling, and reheating process. Furthermore, theoretical models were established to calculate recrystallization driving force and pinning force at temperatures in the range of 850-1300 °C by a two-stage interrupted compression test using a Gleeble-3800 thermomechanical simulator. The study indicated that a random dispersion of strain refined precipitates with a size range of ~ 6-10 nm was obtained in the hot-core heavy reduction rolled slab, which was different from the coarse and uneven distribution of precipitates in a conventional slab. Upon reheating, the austenite grains in the hot-core heavy reduction rolled slab were significantly refined and evenly distributed along the thickness direction. This is attributed to the random dispersion of strain refined precipitates formed in the HHR{sup 2} process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-resolution electron microscopy observation and dislocation reaction mechanism of fivefold twinning in a Cu-rich precipitate in a cold rolled ferritic steel containing copper

Ferritic steels containing copper have been studied as model systems for clusters/precipitate formation in reactor pressure vessel steels. The samples were aged at 400 °C for 4000 h and subsequently cold rolled to 30% reduction at room temperature. The microstructural characteristics of the samples were analyzed using high-resolution transmission electron microscopy. Direct evidence was found that the fivefold twinning occurs via simultaneous emission of two Shockley partial dislocations from two particular α-Fe/Cu interfaces, and then the pileup tips of the twofold twin. - Highlights: • Fivefold twin is observed in a Cu-rich precipitate in cold rolled ferritic steels. • A dislocation reaction mechanism for the fivefold twin formation is proposed. • Two particular mismatching α-Fe/Cu-rich precipitate interfaces play a critical role.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Influence of welding and neutron irradiation on dislocation loop formation and α' precipitation in a FeCrAl alloy

An advanced accident-tolerant FeCrAl alloy, C35 M (Fe–13Cr–10Al–1Mo, at %), and its laser-fusion weldments were studied after neutron irradiation up to 1.8 dpa at 357 °C to evaluate the radiation damage and α'-precipitation kinetics. Results show that the densities of α' in the fusion zone (FZ) and the heat-affected zone (HAZ) were only a third of that in the base material, i.e., 2.3 × 10 24 m -3 . Here, density of dislocation loops in the FZ and HAZ were less than half of that in base material. The size of α' precipitates and the dislocation loops were found to be smaller in base material, compared to FZ and HAZ. The variances in microstructural response within the different regions were attributed to initial as-welded states of each region, indicating the impact of the pre-irradiation condition on radiation response in FeCrAl alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Modified Delphi Method to Accelerate Consensus Building in Expert Judgment Elicitation

The 2017 Earth Science Decadal Survey recommends the implementation of a novel Earth Observing mission to study Aerosols, Clouds, Convection, and Precipitation. The assessment of the candidate architectures under consideration requires the use of Expert Judgment Elicitation. Some of the assessment scores are obtained through consensus among the Science Leadership Team. A modified Delphi method was developed to accelerate the consensus building process and reduce the number of cycles required to converge. This paper discusses which elements of the traditional method were modified, how the method was applied, and the impact of the modifications on generating consensus.

Expert Judgement↗

A Modified Delphi Method to Accelerate Consensus Building in Expert Judgment Elicitation

The 2017 Earth Science Decadal Survey recommends the implementation of a novel Earth Observing mission to study Aerosols, Clouds, Convection, and Precipitation. The assessment of the candidate architectures under consideration requires the use of Expert Judgment Elicitation. Some of the assessment scores are obtained through consensus among the Science Leadership Team. A modified Delphi method was developed to accelerate the consensus building process and reduce the number of cycles required to converge. This paper discusses which elements of the traditional method were modified, how the method was applied, and the impact of the modifications on generating consensus.

Expert Judgment↗

Investigating Mountain Watershed Headwater‐To‐Groundwater Connections, Water Sources, and Storage Selection Behavior With Dynamic‐Flux Particle Tracking

Abstract Climate change will impact mountain watershed streamflow both directly—with changing precipitation amounts and variability—and indirectly—through temperature shifts altering snowpack, melt, and evapotranspiration. To understand how these complex processes will affect ecosystem functioning and water resources, we need tools to distinguish connections between water sources (rain/snowmelt), groundwater storage, and exit fluxes (streamflow/evapotranspiration), and to determine how these connections change seasonally and as climate shifts. Here, we develop novel watershed‐scale approaches to understand water source, storage, and exit flux connections using a dynamic‐flux particle tracking model (EcoSLIM) applied in California's Cosumnes Watershed, which connects the Sierra Nevada and Central Valley. This work develops new visualizations and applications to provide mechanistic understanding that underpins the interpretation of isotopic field data at watershed scales to distinguish sources, flow paths, residence times, and storage selection. In our simulations, streamflow comes primarily from snow‐derived water while evapotranspiration generally comes from rain. Most streamflow starts above 1,000 m while evapotranspiration is sourced relatively evenly across the watershed and is generally younger than streamflow. Modeled streamflow consists primarily of water sourced from precipitation in the previous 5 years but before the current water year, while ET consists primarily of water from precipitation in the current water year. ET, and to a lesser extent streamflow, are both younger than water in groundwater storage. However, snowmelt‐derived streamflow preferentially discharges older water from snow‐derived storage. Dynamic‐flux particle tracking and new approaches presented here enable novel model‐tracer comparisons in large‐scale watersheds to better understand watershed behavior in a changing climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Impacts of Rotational Mixing on the Precipitation Simulated by a Convection Permitting Model

With increased availability of computational resources, regional and global scale convection-permitting model (CPM, Δx ~ 1–10 km) simulations are becoming more common. CPMs have improved accuracy in their representation of deep convection and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) compared to coarser resolution models. However, CPMs still exhibit convective cloud and precipitation biases relative to observations, notably a lesser frequency of light precipitation rates and greater frequency of heavy precipitation rates. In this work we hypothesize that these CPM biases are related to under-resolved mixing between convective updrafts and their surrounding environment. To test this hypothesis, we introduce a parameterization to the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) that adds a small angular rotation of the grid-scale flow about the axis perpendicular to the plane of convective drafts. This rotated flow is then allowed to alter advection of moisture and hydrometeors. The effects of such mixing on precipitation characteristics are evaluated in month-long 4-km grid spacing simulations over the Amazon. The enhanced mixing transports moisture and condensate from convective cores to other areas including downdrafts. This increases the frequency of low-precipitable water and light precipitation. It also decreases the frequency of intense precipitation from isolated deep convection and MCSs, increases cloud top temperatures, reduces radar echo-top heights, and increases overall precipitation by altering the relationship of precipitation with precipitable water, in better agreement with observations. The results suggest when optimized using multiple observations, such an approach may provide a path toward more accurate representation of convection and precipitation statistics in convection-permitting simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Regional tropical rainfall shifts under global warming: an energetic perspective

Abstract Future climate simulations feature pronounced spatial shifts in the structure of tropical rainfall. We apply a novel atmospheric energy flux analysis to diagnose late 21st century tropical rainfall shifts in a large ensemble of simulations of 21st century climate. The method reconstructs 2D spatial changes in rainfall based on horizontal shifts in the lines of zero meridional and zonal divergent energy flux, called the energy flux equator (EFE) and energy flux prime meridian (EFPM), respectively. Two main sources of future atmospheric energy flux changes, and hence rainfall shifts, are identified by the analysis: the high-latitude North Atlantic due to a weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation that shifts tropical rainfall southwards over the greater Tropical Atlantic sector and eastern Pacific; and the eastern tropical Pacific due to a permanent El-Niño-like response that produces zonal shifts over the Maritime Continent and South America. To first order, the shifts in the EFE and EFPM mirror gross distributional changes in tropical precipitation, with a southward shift in rainfall over the tropical Atlantic, West Africa, and eastern tropical Pacific and an eastward shift over the Maritime Continent and western Pacific. When used to reconstruct future rainfall shifts in the tropical Atlantic and Sahel, the method reasonably represents the simulated meridional structure of rainfall shifts but does not do so for the zonal structures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mixed-phase clouds and precipitation in Southern Ocean cyclones and cloud systems observed poleward of 64°S by ship-based cloud radar and lidar

Mixed-phase clouds (MPCs), composed of both liquid and ice, are prevalent in Southern Ocean cyclones. A characterisation of these clouds on fine vertical scales is required in order to understand the microphysical processes within these clouds, and for model and satellite evaluations over this region. We investigated three examples of cloud systems collected by ship-mounted remote sensing instruments adjacent to East Antarctica at latitudes between 64°S and 69°S. These cases allow us to examine the properties of mid-level MPCs, with cloud tops between 2 and 6 km. Mid-level MPCs contain multiple layers of supercooled liquid water (SLW) embedded within ice during the passage of cyclones. SLW layers are capped by strong temperature inversions and are observed at temperatures as low as - 31°C. Convective generating cells (GCs) are present inside supercooled liquid-topped mid-level MPCs. The horizontal extent, vertical extent and maximum upward Doppler velocity of these GCs were 0.6 – 3.6 km, 0.7 – 1.0 km and 0.5 – 1.0 m s -1 , respectively, and are consistent with observations from previous lower-latitude studies. Ice precipitation is nearly ubiquitous, except in the thinnest clouds at the trailing end of the observed systems. Seeding of lower SLW layers from above leads to periods with either larger ice particles or greater ice precipitation rates. Additionally, periods of supercooled drizzle lasting up to two hours were observed toward the end of two of the three cyclone systems. This supercooled drizzle turns into predominantly ice precipitation as the result of seeding by ice clouds located above the precipitating SLW layer.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of Alloying and Processing Modifications on Precipitation Behavior and Elevated Temperature Strength in 9% Cr Ferritic/Martensitic Steels

Two low-carbon 9-Cr ferritic-martensitic steels were designed here with the aim of decreasing M 23 C 6 and maintaining or increasing MX phase fraction. A low-carbon (LC) alloy and a low-carbon, zero-niobium (0 Nb) alloy were fabricated, their designs based upon the P92 alloy system. Solutionizing temperatures to maximize V and Nb in solution while avoiding δ-ferrite were determined to be 1170 °C for the P92 alloy and 1050 °C for LC and 0 Nb, significantly lower than predicted using ThermoCalc ® modelling. As was intended, the M 23 C 6 phase fraction was reduced for LC and 0 Nb alloys after both heat treating and aging relative to the base P92 alloy, as determined by wide angle x-ray scattering (WAXS) analysis. Dislocation density measurements from x-ray line broadening in P92 and LC suggest these alloys had more stable dislocation substructures than 0 Nb at lower temperature and shorter time aging conditions. While LC exhibited lower microhardness than P92 at room temperature, the tensile properties were comparable at 650 °C, suggesting that elevated temperature strength can be achieved with lower carbon contents. Aging studies showed that P92 had a more stable microstructure for higher temperature and longer time aging conditions. The P92 alloy also had a longer stress rupture life, implying that the M 23 C 6 precipitate contribution to thermal stability is important. Evidence of Z-phase was discovered for the LC alloy aged 10,000 h at 650 °C, corresponding to decreased strength and increased ductility. Overall, the stress rupture lives of the modified heat-treatment variations of P92 and LC compare favorably to literature values for 9% Cr steels with conventional heat treatments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The partition of energy associated with tropical heat sources

Data sets derived from observations during the First GARP Global Experiment (FGGE) have permitted the study of the behavior of the tropical atmosphere to an extent not possible before. The present summary discusses characteristics of the tropical atmosphere which may be a result of tropical heating. It is shown that the meridional component of the divergent wind is of the same order of magnitude an he rotational meridional wind for the planetary tropical scales. Furthermore, the first and second internal modes dominate over most of the tropics, and it is shown that gravity and Kelvin codes are the main contributors to the total tropical divergence. Comparison with averaged station precipitation data and heating estimates obtained from Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Science (GLAS)/National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) show good correspondence between areas with maximum internal mode energy and regions with pronounced latent heat release.

Silva-Dias, P. L.↗

Malaria Modeling and Surveillance for the Greater Mekong Subregion

At 4,200 km, the Mekong River is the tenth longest river in the world. It directly and indirectly influences the lives of hundreds of millions of inhabitants in its basin. The riparian countries - Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam, and a small part of China - form the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS). This geographical region has the misfortune of being the world's epicenter of falciparum malaria, which is the most severe form of malaria caused by Plasmodium falciparum. Depending on the country, approximately 50 to 90% of all malaria cases are due to this species. In the Malaria Modeling and Surveillance Project, we have been developing techniques to enhance public health's decision capability for malaria risk assessments and controls. The main objectives are: 1) Identifying the potential breeding sites for major vector species; 2) Implementing a malaria transmission model to identify the key factors that sustain or intensify malaria transmission; and 3) Implementing a risk algorithm to predict the occurrence of malaria and its transmission intensity. The potential benefits are: 1) Increased warning time for public health organizations to respond to malaria outbreaks; 2) Optimized utilization of pesticide and chemoprophylaxis; 3) Reduced likelihood of pesticide and drug resistance; and 4) Reduced damage to environment. Environmental parameters important to malaria transmission include temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, and vegetation conditions. These parameters are extracted from NASA Earth science data sets. Hindcastings based on these environmental parameters have shown good agreement to epidemiological records.

Kiang, Richard↗