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At least 667 records · Page 37

Prospects for prediction of zonal wind oscillations

The existence of an index cycle, a quasi-periodic oscillation in the strength of the zonal wind intensity, would offer the possibility of predicting an important atmospheric feature over the period of at least one oscillation. To determine whether such a cycle exists, daily time series of several different atmospheric variables for the period November 1-April 30 for 1974-1977 were assembled. Here, the height of the 500 mb surface at latitudes 60 N and 30 N is considered. It is shown that (1) there is evidence that an index cycle exists, (2) there is theoretical reason to expect multiply periodic atmospheric flow patterns, and (3) a relatively simple, dynamically sound prediction scheme can be proposed.

Dutton, J. A.↗

Mapping the earth's magnetic and gravity fields from space Current status and future prospects

The principal magnetic fields encountered by earth orbiting spacecraft include the main (core) field, external fields produced by electrical currents within the ionosphere and magnetosphere, and the crustal (anomaly) field generated by variations in the magnetization of the outermost portions of the earth. The first orbital field measurements which proved to be of use for global studies of crustal magnetization were obtained by a series of three satellites launched and operated from 1965 to 1971. Each of the satellites, known as a Polar Orbiting Geophysical Observatory (POGO), carried a rubidium vapor magnetometer. Attention is also given to Magsat launched in 1979, the scalar anomaly field derived from the Magsat measurements, satellite tracking studies in connection with gravity field surveys, radar altimetry, the belt of positive free air gravity anomalies situated along the edge of the Pacific Ocean basin, future technological capabilities, and information concerning data availability.

Settle, M.↗

Applications of remote sensing to geobotanical prospecting for non-renewable resources

Airborne sensors used in the remote detection of geobotanical anomalies are able to locate mineral deposits. Geobotanical stress is manifested in increased visible spectrum reflectance due to a decrease in chlorophyll content which induces chlorosis. The effectiveness of this method is, however, restricted to soils in which plant root structures are embedded in bedrock-derived soils to a depth sufficient for the production of heavy metal stress. It is noted that Landsat remote sensors are inherently better suited to the detection of overall plant density or biomass changes relating to zones of mineralization.

Birnie, R. W.↗

Gamma-ray spectroscopy - Status and prospects

Contemporary gamma-ray spectroscopy instruments and their results are reviewed. Sensitivities of 10 to the -4th to 10 to the -3rd ph/sq cm-sec have been achieved for steady sources and 10 to the -2nd to 1 ph/sq cm-sec for transient sources. This has led to the detection of gamma-ray lines from more than 40 objects representing 6 classes of astrophysical phenomena. The lines carry model-independent information and are of fundamental importance to theoretical modeling and our understanding of the objects. The objectives and anticipated results of future instruments are discussed. Several instruments in development will have a factor of 10 sensitivity improvement to certain phenomena over contemporary instruments. A factor of 100 improvement in sensitivity will allow the full potential of gamma-ray spectroscopy to be realized. Instrument concepts which would achieve this with both present and advanced techniques are discussed.

Matteson, J. L.↗

Great prospects for fiber optics sensors

Fiber optic sensors provide noise immunity and galvanic insulation at the measurement point. Interest in such sensors is increasing for these reasons. In the United States sales are expected to increase from 12 million dollars in 1981 to 180 million in 1991. Interferometric sensors based on single modus fibers deliver extremely high sensitivity, while sensors based on multi-modus fibers are more easily manufactured. The fiber optic sensors which are available today are based on point measurements. Development of fiber optic sensors in Norway is being carried out at the Central institute and has resulted in the development of medical manometers which are now undergoing clinical testing.

Hansen, T. E.↗

Spaceborne Gravity Gradiometers. Part 3: Instrument status and prospects

Various technologies incorporated in the development of gravity gradiometers are demonstrated through descriptions of specific instruments. Concepts covered include: rotating, spherical, cryogenic, and superconducting gravity gradiometers with and without accelerometers. The application of superconducting cavity oscillators to mass-spring gradiometers, and cooperation of Italy's Piano Spaziale Nazionale with the Smithsonian Astrophysics Observatory in the design and development of a high sensitivity gradiometer are described. Schematics are provided for each instrument.

Source record↗

Composites for Increased Wear Resistance: Current Achievements and Future Prospects

The various ways in which reductions in wear and/or friction can be achieved by the use of composite materials are reviewed. Reinforced plastics are emphasized and it is shown that fillers and fibers reduce wear via several mechanisms additional to their role of increasing overall mechanical strength, preferential transfer, counter face abrasion, preferential load support, or third-body formation on either the composite or its counterface. Examples are given from recent work on thin layer composites of the type widely used as dry bearings in aircraft flight control mechanisms. Developments in metal based composites and carbon-carbon composites for high energy brakes are discussed. The aspects which could benefit by increased fundamental understanding identified and the types of composites which appear to have greatest potential for further growth are indicated.

Lancaster, J. K.↗

Polycrystalline silicon study: Low-cost silicon refining technology prospects and semiconductor-grade polycrystalline silicon availability through 1988

Photovoltaic arrays that convert solar energy into electrical energy can become a cost effective bulk energy generation alternative, provided that an adequate supply of low cost materials is available. One of the key requirements for economic photovoltaic cells is reasonably priced silicon. At present, the photovoltaic industry is dependent upon polycrystalline silicon refined by the Siemens process primarily for integrated circuits, power devices, and discrete semiconductor devices. This dependency is expected to continue until the DOE sponsored low cost silicon refining technology developments have matured to the point where they are in commercial use. The photovoltaic industry can then develop its own source of supply. Silicon material availability and market pricing projections through 1988 are updated based on data collected early in 1984. The silicon refining industry plans to meet the increasing demands of the semiconductor device and photovoltaic product industries are overviewed. In addition, the DOE sponsored technology research for producing low cost polycrystalline silicon, probabilistic cost analysis for the two most promising production processes for achieving the DOE cost goals, and the impacts of the DOE photovoltaics program silicon refining research upon the commercial polycrystalline silicon refining industry are addressed.

Costogue, E. N.↗

Prospects for the Voyager extra-planetary and interstellar mission

An advance study has been conducted to examine the trajectory characteristics of Voyager 1 and 2 as they depart from the solar system and traverse interstellar space. A survey of the extraplanetary phase, commencing with completion of the final planetary encounters and ceasing with loss of spacecraft communication, considers the trajectory aspects attendant to a heliospheric investigation and possible sensing of a trans-Neptunian massive body. An analysis of departure telecommunications capability attempts to bound the inevitable time of communication loss. A study of the interstellar phase examines closest approaches of the spacecraft to the sun's stellar neighbours. A covariance analysis is provided to illustrate the statistical effect of stellar state uncertainties on these approaches. In addition to the Voyager spacecraft, data for Pioneers 10 and 11 are provided where appropriate.

Cesarone, R. J.↗

Interstellar O2. I - Abundance, excitation, and prospects for detection of O-16O-18 at radio frequencies

Molecular oxygen, O2, is predicted to be an important constituent of the interstellar gas, but it has not yet been detected in interstellar clouds. In this paper, the gas phase production and destruction of O2 are reconsidered, a non-LTE calculation of level populations at cloud temperatures is presented, and O2 column densities in diffuse and dark clouds are predicted. Ground-based detection of the 234 GHz line of O-16O-18 is shown to be feasible; if CO and O2 are comparable in abundance in clouds similar to the Taurus molecular cloud or in giant molecular clouds, the brightness temperature is predicted to be 0.1 K.

Black, J. H.↗

Interstellar O2. II - VUV oscillator strengths of Schumann-Runge lines and prospects for Space Telescope observations

Interstellar molecular oxygen should be detectable in interstellar clouds through observation of its absorption lines in the spectra of background stars. This paper describes and presents the results of measurements of oscillator strengths for some lines in the vacuum ultraviolet (VUV) spectrum of O2. Lines of the (13, 0) through (16, 0) bands of the B 3Sigma(-)u - X 3Sigma(-)g, Schumann-Runge system between 1760 A and 1790 A will be the most suitable for searches for absorption by interstellar O2 with the High Resolution Spectrograph on Space Telescope. The strongest lines in these bands have oscillator strengths of about 3 x 10 to the -5th.

Smith, P. L.↗

Prospects for three-dimensional projective and tomographic imaging radar networks

Results of a study demonstrating the feasibility of broadband and speckle-free projective imaging of a complex shaped scattering object in the 6-17 GHz range with centimeter resolution are presented. It is shown how angular, spectral, and polarization diversities can be combined in the data acquisition process with a unique target-derived reference technique to access the three-dimensional Fourier space of the scatterer cost-effectively. Imagea retrieval algorithms, based on the projection slice theorem and knowledge of object symmetry, are utilized in obtaining images of a model aircraft with near optical resolution. The implications for high-resolution three-dimensional tomographic imaging radar networks are discussed.

Farhat, N. H.↗

Remote sensing as a mineral prospecting technique

Remote sensing and its application as an alternative technique to mineral resource exploration are reviewed. Emphasis is given here to the analysis of the three basic attributes of remote sensing, i.e., spatial attributes related to regional structural mapping, spectral attributes related to rock discrimination and seasonal attributes related to geobotanic anomalies mapping, all of which are employed in mineral exploration. Special emphasis is given to new developments of the Thematic Mapper of the LANDSAT-5, principally with reference to the application of the bands 1.6 and 2.2 microns to map hydrothermally altered rocks and the band of red and blue shift to geobotanical anomalies mapping.

Meneses, P. R.↗

On Looking into the Black Box: Prospects and Limits in the Search for Mental Models

To place the arguments advanced in this paper in alternative points of view with regard to mental models are reviewed. Use of the construct in areas such as neural information processing, manual control, decision making, problem solving, and cognitive science are discussed. Also reviewed are several taxonomies of mental models. The available empirical evidence for answering questions concerning the nature and usage of mental models is then discussed. A variety of studies are reviewed where the type and form of humans' knowledge have been manipulated. Also considered are numerous transfer of training studies whose results provide indirect evidence of the nature of mental models. The alternative perspectives considered and the spectrum of empirical evidence are combined to suggest a framework within which research on mental models can be viewed. By considering interactions of dimensions of this framework, the most salient unanswered questions can be identified.

Rouse, W. B.↗

Multijunction cells for concentrators: Technology prospects

Development of high-efficiency multijunction solar cells for concentrator applications is a key step in achieving the goals of the U.S. Department of Energy National Photovoltaics Program. This report summarizes findings of an issue study conducted by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory Photovoltaic Analysis and Integration Center, with the assistance of the Solar Energy Research Institute and Sandia National laboratoies, which surveyed multijunction cell research for concentrators undertaken by federal agencies and by private industry. The team evaluated the potentials of research activities sponsored by DOE and by corporate funding to achieve projected high-efficiency goals and developed summary statements regarding industry expectations. Recommendations are made for the direction of future work to address specific unresolved aspects of multijunction cell technology.

Ferber, R. R.↗