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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 667 records · Page 37
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Empirical probability and machine learning analysis of m , n = 2, 1 tearing mode onset parameter dependence in DIII-D H-mode scenarios

m, n = 2, 1 tearing mode onset empirical probability and machine learning analyses of a multiscenario DIII-D database of over 14 000 H-mode discharges show that the normalized plasma beta, the rotation profile, and the magnetic equilibrium shape have the strongest impact on the 2,1 tearing mode stability, in qualitative agreement with neoclassical tearing modes (m and n are the poloidal and toroidal mode numbers, respectively). In addition, 2,1 tearing modes are most likely to destabilize when n > 1 tearing modes are already present in the core plasma. The covariance matrix of tearing sensitive plasma parameters takes a nearly block-diagonal form, with the blocks incorporating thermodynamic, current and safety factor profile, separatrix shape, and plasma flow parameters, respectively. This suggests a number of paths to improved stability at fixed pressure and edge safety factor primarily by preserving a minimum of 1 kHz differential rotation, increasing the minimum safety factor above unity, using upper single null magnetic configuration, and reducing the core impurity radiation. In addition, lower triangularity, lower elongation, and lower pedestal pressure may also help to improve stability. Furthermore, the electron and ion temperature, collisionality, resistivity, internal inductance, and the parallel current gradient appear to only weakly correlate with the 2,1 tearing mode onsets in this database.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Derivation of the Two-Exponential Probability Density Function for Rossi-Alpha Measurements of Reflected Assemblies and Validation for the Special Case of Shielded Measurements

Rossi-alpha measurements of fissionable assemblies are used to estimate the prompt neutron decay constant, α, of a system, which can be used to infer reactivity. Previous works have demonstrated that two-exponential fits for Rossi-alpha measurements of reflected assemblies are better than one exponential fits; however, the two-exponential probability density function that is needed to obtain α from the fit parameters has not been derived. This paper derives the two-region point kinetics model (two-exponential fit) for Rossi-alpha measurements, a generalization of the current, one region model (one-exponential fit). The new model is validated with measurements of reflected, fissionable assemblies (highly enriched uranium with k eff ≈ 0.95 and weapons-grade plutonium with k eff > 0.77) with α held constant. Here, the results show that the twoexponential model can (i) predict the constant α, and (ii) deconvolve α and the time a neutron spends in the reflector, neither of which is possible with the one-exponential model.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Calculations of enrichment cascade performance using enrichment probabilities – a new method

A new method for calculating the performance of uranium enrichment cascades is presented. The method assigns a unique “enrichment probability” for each isotope to move up or down from the basic enrichment unit, allowing independent material balance calculations for each isotope. The formulation is much simpler than previous methods, which rely on isotopic ratios, and this method can be used when previous methods fail. This method gives the same results as published cases for 235 U enrichment and also gives good agreement with published data on minor isotopes. Some comparisons with measured data and other calculations are given. One case shows that the maximum 235 U enrichment that can be obtained by enrichment of reprocessed uranium (0.02% 234 U initial) is 82%. Another example shows a large difference in the minor isotopic content of material enriched in batches compared to continuous enrichment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Retrieval of high time resolution growth factor probability density function from a humidity-controlled fast integrated mobility spectrometer

Hygroscopicity describes the tendency of aerosol particle to uptake water and is among the key parameters in determining the impact of atmospheric aerosols on global radiation and climate. A hygroscopicity tandem differential mobility analyzer (HTDMA) system is the most widely utilized instrument for determining the aerosol hygroscopic growth. Because of the time needed to scan the classifying voltage of the DMA, HTDMA measurement normally requires a minimum of 30 min to characterize the particle hygroscopic growth at a single relative humidity for five to six different sizes. This slow speed is often inadequate for measurements onboard mobile platforms or when aerosols evolve rapidly. Recently, a humidity-controlled fast integrated mobility spectrometer (HFIMS) was developed for measuring the hygroscopic growth of particles. The measurement speed of the HFIMS is about one order of magnitude faster than that of the conventional HTDMA. Here, a data inversion routine is developed to retrieve the growth factor probability density function (GF-PDF) of particles measured by the HFIMS. The inversion routine considers the transfer functions of the upstream DMA and the downstream water-based fast integrated mobility spectrometer (FIMS), and derives the GF-PDF that reproduces the measured responses of the HFIMS. The performance of the inversion routine is examined using ambient measurements with different assumptions for the spectral shape of the particle GF-PDF (multimodal lognormal or piecewise linear). The influences of the data inversion parameters and counting statistics on the inverted GF-PDFs were further investigated, and an approach to determine the optimized inversion parameters is presented.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2017

Quantifying similarity in reliability surfaces using the probability of agreement

When separate populations exhibit similar reliability as a function of multiple explanatory variables, combining them into a single population is tempting. This can simplify future predictions and reduce uncertainty associated with estimation. However, combining these populations may introduce bias if the underlying relationships are in fact different. The probability of agreement formally and intuitively quantifies the similarity of estimated reliability surfaces across a two-factor input space. An example from the reliability literature demonstrates the utility of the approach when deciding whether to combine two populations or to keep them as distinct. As a result, new graphical summaries provide strategies for visualizing the results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Examination of probability distribution of mixture fraction in LES/FDF modelling of a turbulent partially premixed jet flame

An accurate prediction of the probability density function (PDF) of the mixture fraction is crucial to the prediction of combustion since mixing plays an important role in turbulent non-premixed and partially premixed flames. This work provides an assessment of the large-eddy simulation (LES)/filtered density function (FDF) method for the prediction of the PDF of the mixture fraction. The advantage of the LES/FDF method is that it provides the full predictions of the statistical distribution of scalars including the mixture fraction. The predictive accuracy of the method for the PDF is yet to be fully validated. Assessing the prediction of the PDF of the mixture fraction, a conserved scalar, is an important starting point. The Sydney/Sandia inhomogeneous inlet jet flame is used as a test case. A quick comparison shows that the LES/FDF predicted PDF shapes of the mixture fraction deviate significantly from the commonly presumed Beta-PDF as well as from the experimental data in the flame. Here, to examine the source of the discrepancy, we clarify the different PDF definitions used in the comparison among the predictions, measurements, and the presumed shape PDFs. The discrepancy observed from the comparison is largely reconciled by clarifying the difference between the PDFs that are examined. The PDF of the resolved mixture fraction is shown to be close to the Beta-PDF in both the measurements and predictions, while the PDF directly deduced from the LES/FDF particles deviates significantly from the Beta-PDF. A multimodal PDF analysis and a pseudo convergence analysis are conducted to provide plausible evidence to support the predicted multimodal PDF shapes. The sub-filter scale FDF is shown to be close to the Beta-PDF too through the construction of a synthesized PDF, which supports the common presumed Beta-PDF assumption used in the presumed PDF methods when combined with LES.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2016

Quantum probabilities from quantum entanglement: experimentally unpacking the Born rule

The Born rule, a foundational axiom used to deduce probabilities of events from wavefunctions, is indispensable in the everyday practice of quantum physics. It is also key in the quest to reconcile the ostensibly inconsistent laws of the quantum and classical realms, as it confers physical significance to reduced density matrices, the essential tools of decoherence theory. Following Bohr's Copenhagen interpretation, textbooks postulate the Born rule outright. But, recent attempts to derive it from other quantum principles have been successful, holding promise for simplifying and clarifying the quantum foundational bedrock. Moreover, a major family of derivations is based on envariance, a recently discovered symmetry of entangled quantum states. Here, we identify and experimentally test three premises central to these envariance-based derivations, thus demonstrating, in the microworld, the symmetries from which the Born rule is derived. Furthermore, we demonstrate envariance in a purely local quantum system, showing its independence from relativistic causality.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2014

Quantum probabilities for inflation from holography

The evolution of the universe is determined by its quantum state. The wave function of the universe obeys the constraints of general relativity and in particular the Wheeler-DeWitt equation (WDWE). For non-zero Λ, we show that solutions of the WDWE at large volume have two domains in which geometries and fields are asymptotically real. In one the histories are Euclidean asymptotically anti-de Sitter, in the other they are Lorentzian asymptotically classical de Sitter. Further, the universal complex semiclassical asymptotic structure of solutions of the WDWE implies that the leading order in h-bar quantum probabilities for classical, asymptotically de Sitter histories can be obtained from the action of asymptotically anti-de Sitter configurations. This leads to a promising, universal connection between quantum cosmology and holography.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2015

Exact transition probabilities for a linear sweep through a Kramers-Kronig resonance

We consider a localized electronic spin controlled by a circularly polarized optical beam and an external magnetic field. When the frequency of the beam is tuned near an optical resonance with a continuum of higher energy states, effective magnetic fields are induced on the two-level system via the inverse Faraday effect. We explore the process in which the frequency of the beam is made linearly time-dependent so that it sweeps through the optical resonance, starting and ending at the values far away from it. In addition to changes of spin states, Kramers-Kronig relations guarantee that a localized electron can also escape into a continuum of states. We argue that probabilities of transitions between different possible electronic states after such a sweep of the optical frequency can be found exactly, regardless the shape of the resonance. In conclusion, we also discuss extension of our results to multistate systems.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sharp detection of low-dimensional structure in probability measures via dimensional logarithmic Sobolev inequalities

Identifying low-dimensional structure in high-dimensional probability measures is an essential pre-processing step for efficient sampling. To identify this structure, we approximate the target measure as a perturbation of an arbitrary reference measure along a few directions in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. These directions are determined by minimizing an upper bound on the Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence between the target and its approximation. Our contribution improves upon previous works by leveraging dimensional logarithmic Sobolev inequalities to refine the bound on the KL divergence. These inequalities lead to a uniformly tighter bound on the KL divergence, thereby enhancing the identification of the most significant perturbation directions. In particular, when the target and reference are both Gaussian, minimizing the resulting bound is equivalent to minimizing the KL divergence. We further demonstrate the applicability of this analysis to the squared Hellinger distance, where analogous reasoning shows that the dimensional Poincaré inequality offers improved bounds.

Bayesian inference↗
DOE OSTI2020

The completed SDSS-IV extended baryon oscillation spectroscopic survey: pairwise-inverse probability and angular correction for fibre collisions in clustering measurements

ABSTRACT The completed extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (eBOSS) catalogues contain redshifts of 344 080 quasars at 0.8 < z < 2.2, 174 816 luminous red galaxies between 0.6 < z < 1.0, and 173 736 emission-line galaxies over 0.6 < z < 1.1 in order to constrain the expansion history of the Universe and the growth rate of structure through clustering measurements. Mechanical limitations of the fibre-fed spectrograph on the Sloan telescope prevent two fibres being placed closer than 62 arcsec in a single pass of the instrument. These ‘fibre collisions’ strongly correlate with the intrinsic clustering of targets and can bias measurements of the two-point correlation function resulting in a systematic error on the inferred values of the cosmological parameters. We combine the new techniques of pairwise-inverse probability and the angular upweighting (PIP+ANG) to correct the clustering measurements for the effect of fibre collisions. Using mock catalogues, we show that our corrections provide unbiased measurements, within data precision, of both the projected $\rm {\mathit{ w}_p}\left(\mathit{ r}_p\right)$ and the redshift-space multipole ξ(ℓ = 0, 2, 4)(s) correlation functions down to $0.1\, h^{-1}{\rm Mpc}$, regardless of the tracer type. We apply the corrections to the eBOSS DR16 catalogues. We find that, on scales $s\gtrsim 20\, h^{-1}{\rm Mpc}$ for ξℓ, as used to make baryon acoustic oscillation and large-scale redshift-space distortion measurements, approximate methods such as nearest-neighbour upweighting are sufficiently accurate given the statistical errors of the data. Using the PIP method, for the first time for a spectroscopic program of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, we are able to successfully access the one-halo term in the clustering measurements down to $\sim 0.1\, h^{-1}{\rm Mpc}$ scales. Our results will therefore allow studies that use the small-scale clustering to strengthen the constraints on both cosmological parameters and the halo occupation distribution models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Parametric description of intermittent probability distribution functions in solar wind and magnetohydrodynamic turbulence

ABSTRACT In this work, we find empirical evidence that the scale-dependent statistical properties of solar wind and magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence can be described in terms of a family of parametric probability distribution functions (PDFs) known as Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG). Understanding these PDFs is one of the most important goals in turbulence theory, as they are inherently connected to the intermittent properties of solar wind turbulence. We investigate the properties of PDFs of Elsasser increments based on a large statistical sample from solar wind observations and high-resolution numerical simulations of MHD turbulence. In order to measure the PDFs and their corresponding properties, three experiments are presented: fast and slow solar wind for experimental data and a simulation of reduced MHD (RMHD) turbulence. Conditional statistics on a 23-yr-long sample of WIND data near 1 au and high-resolution pseudo-spectral simulation of steadily driven RMHD turbulence on a $2048^3$ mesh are used to construct scale-dependent PDFs. The empirical PDFs are fitted to NIG distributions, which depend on four free parameters. Our analysis shows that NIG distributions accurately capture the evolution of the PDFs, with scale-dependent parameters, from large scales characterized by a Gaussian distribution, turning to exponential tails within the inertial range and stretched exponentials at dissipative scales. We also show that empirically-measured NIG parameters exhibit well-defined scaling properties that are similar across the three empirical data sets, which may be indicative of universal behaviour.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2017

Cosmological constraints from the convergence 1-point probability distribution

Here, we examine the cosmological information available from the 1-point probability density function (PDF) of the weak-lensing convergence field, utilizing fast l-picola simulations and a Fisher analysis. We find competitive constraints in the Ω m–σ8 plane from the convergence PDF with 188 arcmin 2 pixels compared to the cosmic shear power spectrum with an equivalent number of modes (ℓ < 886). The convergence PDF also partially breaks the degeneracy cosmic shear exhibits in that parameter space. A joint analysis of the convergence PDF and shear 2-point function also reduces the impact of shape measurement systematics, to which the PDF is less susceptible, and improves the total figure of merit by a factor of 2–3, depending on the level of systematics. Finally, we present a correction factor necessary for calculating the unbiased Fisher information from finite differences using a limited number of cosmological simulations.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Probing Galaxy assembly bias in BOSS galaxies using void probabilities

ABSTRACT We measure the void probability function (VPF) of galaxies in the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS). The VPF provides complementary information to standard two-point statistics in that it is sensitive to galaxy bias in the most extreme underdensities in the cosmic web. Thus, the VPF is ideal for testing whether halo occupation of galaxies depends on large-scale density, an effect known as galaxy assembly bias. We find that standard HOD model – one parameterized by halo mass only – fit only to the two-point function, accurately predicts the VPF. Additionally, for HOD models where density dependence is explicitly incorporated, the best-fitting models fit to the combination of the correlation function and the VPF have zero density dependence. Thus, galaxy assembly bias is not a strong source of systematic uncertainty when modelling the clustering of massive galaxies.

Walsh, Kilian↗
DOE OSTI2022

Correlation energy of the uniform electron gas determined by ground-state conditional probability density functional theory

Conditional-probability density functional theory (CP-DFT) is a formally exact method for finding correlation energies from Kohn-Sham DFT without evaluating an explicit energy functional. We present details on how to generate accurate exchange-correlation energies for the ground-state uniform gas. We also use the exchange hole in a CP antiparallel spin calculation to extract the high-density limit. We give a highly accurate analytic solution to the Thomas-Fermi model for this problem, showing its performance relative to Kohn-Sham and may be useful at high temperatures. We explore several approximations to the CP potential. Furthermore, results are compared to accurate parameterizations for both exchange-correlation energies and holes.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2022

Conditional probability density functional theory

Here we present conditional probability (CP) density functional theory (DFT) as a formally exact theory. In essence, CP-DFT determines the ground-state energy of a system by finding the CP density from a series of independent Kohn-Sham (KS) DFT calculations. By directly calculating CP densities, we bypass the need for an approximate XC energy functional. In this paper we discuss and derive several key properties of the CP density and corresponding CP-KS potential. Illustrative examples are used throughout to help guide the reader through the various concepts and theory presented. We explore a suitable CP-DFT approximation and discuss exact conditions, limitations, and results for selected examples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Spin inhibition in γ -decay probabilities for states above S n in Sm and Dy nuclei

When a compound nucleus is formed at an excitation energy above the neutron-separation threshold, it is assumed that its de-excitation will proceed via neutron emission. However, if the excited nucleus is in a high-spin state, but does not have enough excitation energy to conserve angular momentum by either photon emission after neutron emission or relative angular momentum carried off by the neutron, the nucleus will de-excite via γ -emission instead. This effect, the spin inhibition, provides an insight into the structure of the compound nuclei and can aid the understanding of the distribution of the populated spin states in a compound nuclear reaction. In this work, the effects of spin inhibition on the γ-decay probabilities from states in 146,147Sm and 160Dy are presented. For high-spin states above the Sn, spin inhibition is able to suppress neutron emission, and de-excitation via γ -ray emission is observed for states up to 3 MeV above the Sn .

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗