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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 667 records · Page 37
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Laboratory Measurements of n >= 3 K-shell Transition Energies of Sulfur Ions from F-like S viii to Li-like S xiv

Inner-shell transitions are ubiquitous in nonequilibrium collisionally ionized plasmas, such as supernova remnants, and in photoionized plasmas, such as outflows from active galactic nuclei and X-ray binaries. Inner-shell X-ray emission can help determine key parameters of these systems, such as ionization time, τ, and ionization parameter, ξ. Despite their importance, only theoretical inner-shell transition energies are available for many ions. To provide experimental benchmarks, we have measured the dominant n → 1 K-shell transitions of sulfur ions where n ≥ 3 from Li-like S xiv to F-like S viii using LLNL’s SuperEBIT electron beam ion trap and the NASA/GSFC EBIT Calorimeter Spectrometer (ECS). We identify over 30 spectral features and measure their energies with uncertainties in the ∼0.1–1 eV range. We compare these results to Flexible Atomic Code (FAC) and multireference Møller–Plesset (MR-MP) calculations and find differences between theory and experiment of ∼1 eV for FAC and <0.5 eV for most MR-MP calculations. We also compare these results to two widely used atomic databases, AtomDB and CHIANTI, and find discrepancies as high as 7 eV. Furthermore, many transitions are missing from these databases despite being prominent in our data.

Atomic data benchmarking↗
DOE OSTI2021

“Frequency” and the PMU standard

The Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) has revolutionized power system management by providing high-resolution, time-stamped, spatial, and temporal measure¬ments of the state of power systems. However, the standards defining the measured quantities have ambiguities that cause uncertainty, irreproducibility, and loss of interoperability during periods of change where the measurements should have the greatest value. This paper examines PMU frequency measurement to highlight the problems. It develops some suggestions for the scope and the next evolutionary improvements to the documentary standards. The aim is to improve the meaningfulness and trustworthiness of dynamic power system measurements.

Frequency, rate of change of frequency, definition↗
DOE OSTI2024

Perspectives for Measuring Neutrino Cross-Sections at Short Baseline Detectors (ICARUS and DUNE-PRISM-like Detector) and Their Implications for Precision Physics

Neutrino physics is rapidly advancing with current and future experiments promising high-statistics data, enabling unprecedented accuracy in measuring Standard Model (SM) parameters and providing crucial insights into neutrino-nucleus interactions. The ICARUS experiment, utilizing LAr TPC technology, is pivotal in this growth. As the far detector of the SBN program at Fermilab, ICARUS is set to investigate the neutrino anomalies observed in LSND and MiniBooNE and prepare for future long-baseline experiments like DUNE. Positioned along the BNB and 5.75°off-axis from the NuMI beamline, ICARUS benefits from numerous neutrino interactions, allowing for precise neutrino-argon nucleus cross-section measurements, which will benchmark future DUNE measurements. This work presents the prospects and progress in measuring the cross-section of the NuMI νµ CC inclusive channel in the ICARUS experiment. High-statistics data will also enable precise determinations of fundamental parameters like the weak mixing angle and the neutrino charge radius (NCR), crucial for testing the SM and exploring potential new physics. This work includes studies of future near detectors, such as DUNE-PRISM, which are sensitive to radiative corrections in neutrino-electron scattering. The DUNE-PRISM configuration allows for the analysis of different neutrino energy spectra, promising accurate NCR measurements with controlled systematic uncertainties.

Moreno-Granados, Guadalupe↗
DOE OSTI2021

All-sky aerosol direct radiative effects at the ARM SGP site

All-sky aerosol direct radiative effect (DRE) was estimated for the first time at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains site using multi-year ground-based observations. The NASA Langley Fu-Liou radiation model was employed. Observed inputs for the radiation model include aerosol and cloud vertical extinction profile from Raman lidar; spectral aerosol optical depth, single-scattering albedo, and asymmetry factor from Aerosol Robotic Network; cloud water content profiles from radars; temperature and water vapor profiles from radiosondes; and surface shortwave spectral albedo from radiometers. A cloudy-sky radiative closure experiment was performed. The relative mean differences between modeled and observed surface downwelling shortwave total fluxes were 6% (7%) for transparent (opaque) cloudy-skies. The estimated annual mean all-sky aerosol DRE is -2.13±0.54W m -2 at the top of atmosphere (TOA) and -5.95±0.87 W m -2 at the surface, compared to -3.00±0.58 W m -2 AND -6.85±1.00 W m -2 , respectively, under clear-sky conditions. The seasonal cycle of all-sky aerosol DRE is similar to that of the clear-sky, except with secondary influences of the clouds: The cloud radiative effect is strongest (most negative) in the spring, which reduces the all-sky aerosol DRE. The relative uncertainties in all-sky aerosol DRE due to measurement errors are generally comparable to those in clear-sky conditions except for the aerosol single-scattering albedo. Finally, the TOA all-sky aerosol DRE relative uncertainty due to aerosol single-scattering albedo uncertainty is larger than that in clear-sky, leading to a larger total relative uncertainty. The measurement errors in cloud properties have small effects on the all-sky aerosol DRE.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Status of the Measurement of Proton Scattering on Carbon Nuclei in EMPHATIC for Neutrino Flux Uncertainty Reduction

In long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiments, Monte Carlo (MC) simulations based on hadron interactions and decays are used to predict the neutrino flux. The 10%-level systematic uncertainty of the predicted neutrino fluxes from these simulations is dominated by uncertainties in hadron interaction cross sections due to limited hadron scattering data. EMPHATIC aims to reduce the neutrino flux uncertainty by providing additional data. Using a table-top-sized spectrometer located at the Fermilab Test Beam Facility (FTBF), its physics program includes precise measurements of hadron scattering and production cross sections at various beam momenta and target species that are relevant for GeV-scale neutrino production. Using simulation, we have developed a simple single-track reconstruction algorithm that has a momentum resolution of 3-4\%. We will demonstrate the progress in developing one of EMPHATIC’s first track reconstruction algorithms – an important step in making a new single-track forward scattering measurement (p + C $\rightarrow$ p + C at several beam momenta) using Phase 1 data collected between 2022 and 2023.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

System-size dependence of the charged-particle pseudorapidity density at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 5.02 TeV for pp, p–Pb, and Pb–Pb collisions

We present the first systematic comparison of the charged-particle pseudorapidity densities for three widely different collision systems, pp, p–Pb, and Pb–Pb, at the top energy of the Large Hadron Collider ($\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 5.02 TeV) measured over a wide pseudorapidity range (-3.5 < η < 5), the widest possible among the four experiments at that facility. The systematic uncertainties are minimised since the measurements are recorded by the same experimental apparatus (ALICE). The distributions for p–Pb and Pb–Pb collisions are determined as a function of the centrality of the collisions, while results from pp collisions are reported for inelastic events with at least one charged particle at midrapidity. The charged-particle pseudorapidity densities are, under simple and robust assumptions, transformed to charged-particle rapidity densities. This allows for the calculation and the presentation of the evolution of the width of the rapidity distributions and of a lower bound on the Bjorken energy density, as a function of the number of participants in all three collision systems. We find a decreasing width of the particle production, and roughly a smooth ten fold increase in the energy density, as the system size grows, which is consistent with a gradually higher dense phase of matter

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Technique for Estimating Liquid Droplet Diameter and Liquid Water Content in Stratocumulus Clouds Using Radar and Lidar Measurements

This paper describes a technique for estimating the liquid water content (LWC) and a characteristic particle diameter in stratocumulus clouds using radar and lidar observations. The uncertainty in LWC estimate from radar and lidar measurements is significantly reduced once the characteristic particle diameter is known. The technique is independent of the drop size distribution. It is applicable for a broad range of W-band reflectivity Z between -30 and 0 dBZ and all values of lidar backscatter β observations. No partitioning of cloud or drizzle is required on the basis of an arbitrary threshold of Z as in prior studies. A method for estimating droplet diameter and LWC was derived from the electromagnetic simulations of radar and lidar observations. In situ stratocumulus cloud and drizzle probe spectra were input to the electromagnetic simulation. The retrieved droplet diameter and LWC were validated using in situ measurements from the southeastern Pacific Ocean. The retrieval method was applied to radar and lidar measurements from the northeastern Pacific. Uncertainty in the retrieved droplet diameter and LWC that are due to the measurement errors in radar and lidar backscatter measurements are 7% and 14%, respectively. The retrieved LWC was validated using the concurrent G-band radiometer estimates of the liquid water path.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Conceptual design of a Doppler spectrometer for 102 m/s cross-field flows in tokamak divertors

The cross-field transport in the scrape-off-layers (SOLs) and divertors in tokamaks is of a similar size to the poloidal component of the parallel flow, thereby significantly impacting the plasma transport there. However, its direct observation has been challenging because the drift velocity (102–103 m/s) is significantly below the detection limit of conventional diagnostics. To realize cross-field ion flow measurement, a variety of systematic uncertainties in the system must be narrowed down. Here, we develop a conceptual design of the Doppler spectrometry that enables us to measure the impurity flows with 102-m/s accuracy based on an in situ wavelength-calibration technique developed in the astrophysics field, the iodine-cell method. We discuss its properties and applicability. In particular, the scaling relation between wavelength accuracy and various spectroscopic parameters is newly presented, which suggests the high importance of the wavelength resolution of the system. Based on transport simulations for the JT-60SA divertor, the feasibility of the system is assessed.

Fujii, Keisuke↗
DOE OSTI2022

Atikokan Digital Twin: Machine learning in a biomass energy system

The Atikokan Generating Station, operated by Ontario Power Generation, has a 200 MW, biomass-fired tower boiler that operates on a dispatch schedule with a five-minute cycle. The boiler is generally operated in the range of 40–100 MW using two of five burner levels. In order to optimize boiler performance, we propose the implementation of a unique digital twin. Our digital twin abstraction couples Bayesian inference from science-based models and from observations (machine learning) with decision theory to predict operating-variable set points that optimize the physical asset (the boiler) in the presence of uncertainty (artificial intelligence). We focus this paper on the continuous Bayesian machine learning part of the Atikokan Digital Twin; we discuss decision theory in a companion paper. We identify and learn about 12 operational, model, and measured-output parameters and their uncertainties from high-fidelity, science-based simulations of the Atikokan boiler and from the observed measurements at the power plant. Since the goal of the Atikokan Digital Twin is to implement it online in real time, we require fast function evaluations for the quantities of interest extracted from the simulations in the Bayesian analysis. We use Gaussian process regression/interpolation to create accurate, robust surrogate models. We define the Bayesian priors and likelihood function and solve for the posterior distributions of the 12 parameters. Here we then propagate these distributions (i.e., parameters with uncertainty) into the predicted distributions of 790 quantities of interest to learn about the relative importance of various sources of error including experimental, model, and operating-parameter errors.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Comprehensive Analysis of Uncertainties in Warm-Rain Parameterizations in Climate Models Based on In Situ Measurements

Abstract Because of the coarse grid size of Earth system models (ESMs), representing warm-rain processes in ESMs is a challenging task involving multiple sources of uncertainty. Previous studies evaluated warm-rain parameterizations mainly according to their performance in emulating collision–coalescence rates for local droplet populations over a short period of a few seconds. The representativeness of these local process rates comes into question when applied in ESMs for grid sizes on the order of 100 km and time steps on the order of 20–30 min. We evaluate several widely used warm-rain parameterizations in ESM application scenarios. In the comparison of local and instantaneous autoconversion rates, the two parameterization schemes based on numerical fitting to stochastic collection equation (SCE) results perform best. However, because of Jessen’s inequality, their performance deteriorates when grid-mean, instead of locally resolved, cloud properties are used in their simulations. In contrast, the effect of Jessen’s inequality partly cancels the overestimation problem of two semianalytical schemes, leading to an improvement in the ESM-like comparison. In the assessment of uncertainty due to the large time step of ESMs, it is found that the rainwater tendency simulated by the SCE is roughly linear for time steps smaller than 10 min, but the nonlinearity effect becomes significant for larger time steps, leading to errors up to a factor of 4 for a time step of 20 min. After considering all uncertainties, the grid-mean and time-averaged rainwater tendency based on the parameterization schemes is mostly within a factor of 4 of the local benchmark results simulated by SCE.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2024

The NuMI Flux Prediction at ICARUS

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment seeking to probe fundamental symmetries within the structure of the Pontecorvo-Maki-Nakagawa-Sakata (PMNS) mixing matrix, and perform precision measurements its parameters including the neutrino mass ordering via the sign of $\Delta m^2_{31}$, and the charge-parity violating phase, $\delta_{CP}$. To make these measurements with high precision, DUNE will require external $\nu$-Ar scattering cross section data as a crucial input to the oscillation fit. Imaging Cosmic And Rare Underground Signals (ICARUS) is a 476 t liquid argon neutrino detector located at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (FNAL) where it is serving as the far detector for the Short-Baseline Neutrino (SBN) program along the Booster Neutrino Beam (BNB) axis. ICARUS additionally lies 795 m downstream and 100.1 mrad off-axis of the Neutrinos at the Main Injector (NuMI) neutrino beam. From this position, ICARUS is exposed to a large flux of NuMI (anti-)electron and (anti-)muon neutrinos, and poses a unique opportunity to provide high-statistics measurements of quasi-elastic and single pion-production cross sections for four neutrino flavors ($\nu_{\mu}$, $\nu_{e}$, $\bar{\nu}_{\mu}$, $\bar{\nu}_{e}$). This dissertation is centered around accurately characterizing the models and estimating their precision for use in making these measurements. This includes identifying major sources of uncertainty in the models such that they can be properly propagated to the cross section measurements. Specifically, this work focused on the model of the NuMI beamline and its impact on the neutrino fluxes, but also delved into the detector response model and its impact on reconstructed observables in the detector. Significant efforts were made to improve the characterization to enhance precision and thus reduce the level of propagated uncertainty. In particular, the NuMI flux was determined to be composed of 57% $\nu_{\mu}$, 38% $\bar{\nu}_{\mu}$, 3% $\nu_{e}$, and 2% $\bar{\nu}_{e}$ while the horns are operating in the positive-particle focusing configuration. The total uncertainty on the $\nu_{\mu} + \bar{\nu}_{\mu}$ ($\nu_{e} + \bar{\nu}_{e}$) flux while operating in the forward horn operating mode was determined to be 10.84% (9.04%). Compared to the on-axis flux, mesons that eventually decay to neutrinos more frequently reinteract within the NuMI structure, resulting in elevated uncertainty as these processes are not well-constrained by existing hadron interaction cross section measurements. Covariance matrices were calculated to propagate the flux uncertainty characterization to NuMI analyses.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

GEANT4 parameter tuning using Professor

The GEANT4 toolkit is used extensively in high energy physics to simulate the passage of particles through matter and to predict effects such as detector efficiencies and smearing. GEANT4 uses many underlying models to predict particle interaction kinematics, and uncertainty in these models leads to uncertainty in high energy physics measurements. The GEANT4 collaboration recently made free parameters in some models accessible through partnership with GEANT4 developers. We present a study of the impact of varying parameters in three GEANT4 hadronic physics models on agreement with thin target datasets and describe fits to these datasets using the Professor model tuning framework [1]. We find that varying parameters produces substantially better agreement with some datasets, but that more degrees of freedom are required for full agreement. This work is a first step towards a common framework for propagating uncertainties in GEANT4 models to high energy physics measurements, and we outline future work required to complete that goal.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2025

Extending the Nuclide Inventory Validation Basis for High-Burnup Fuel with New Radiochemical Assay Data

Efforts are underway at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to improve the nuclide inventory validation basis for spent nuclear fuel at high burnups. Recently conducted radiochemical assay experiments provided new measurement data for nine samples of fuel irradiated in a pressurized water reactor, with estimated sample burnups in the 30 to 70 GWd/t range. This type of destructive assay data is essential for validating computational methods, tools, and nuclear data applied in nuclear safety analyses and for improving our understanding of the bias and uncertainty in code predictions. The measurement data include key actinides and fission products that span a gamut of needs and interests for nuclear science and engineering applications in criticality safety, reactor physics, nuclide inventory, decay heat, and radiation shielding. The SCALE 6.3 code system with ENDF/B-VII.1 cross-section libraries was used to simulate the irradiation histories of the measured fuel samples. The calculated nuclide concentrations are compared to corresponding measurement data. The significance of the comparisons is discussed, emphasizing how the addition of the new measurement data fills gaps in the validation basis at high burnups and contributes to the decrease in bias and uncertainty for predicted nuclide concentrations. The discussion addresses the effect of the sample burnup used in the simulation—which is based on reactor operator records or on calibration to measured data for burnup indicator fission products—on the validation results.

Nuclide inventory↗
DOE OSTI2021

ECAR-2322 As-Run Thermal Analysis Of The AGC-2 Experiment

The second Advanced Graphite Creep (AGC-2) experiment was designed to irradiate various types of graphite specimens at a temperature of 600°C. The specimens were irradiated in an instrumented leadout capsule experiment in the south flux trap of the ATR during cycles 149A, 1498, 1508, 151A, and 1518. Temperature was monitored using twelve thermocouples located at various elevations in the reactor core, and a helium-argon gas mixture was used for gas gap temperature control of the specimens. The purpose of this analysis is to calculate specimen temperature using measured data on reactor power and helium-argon gas flows, and as-run calculations of heating rates and displacement per atom (DPA) in graphite. The accuracy of the model is assessed by comparing measured and calculated thermocouple temperatures. Uncertainty in gas gaps may preclude an accurate temperature calculation. In these cases, adjustments are made to the thermal model in order to reconcile the measured and calculated thermocouple temperature and to ensure the accuracy of the calculated specimen temperature.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

ECAR-3386 AS-RUN THERMAL ANALYSIS OF THE AGC-3 EXPERIMENT

The third Advanced Graphite Creep (AGC-3) experiment was designed to irradiate various types of graphite specimens at a temperature of 900°C. The specimens were irradiated in an instrumented leadout capsule experiment in the east flux trap of the ATR during cycles 152B, 154B, 155A, and 155B. Temperature was monitored using twelve thermocouples located at various elevations in the reactor core, and a helium-argon gas mixture was used for gas gap temperature control of the specimens. The purpose of this analysis is to calculate specimen temperature using measured data on reactor power and helium-argon gas flows, and as-run calculations of heating rates and displacement per atom (DPA) in graphite. The accuracy of the model is assessed by comparing measured and calculated thermocouple temperatures. Uncertainty in gas gaps may preclude an accurate temperature calculation. In these cases, adjustments are made to the thermal model in order to reconcile the measured and calculated thermocouple temperature and to ensure the accuracy of the calculated specimen temperature.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Bayesian Approach for In-Situ Stress Prediction and Uncertainty Quantification for Subsurface Engineering

Many subsurface engineering applications require accurate knowledge of the in-situ state of stress for their safe design and operation. Existing methods to meet this need primarily include field measurements for estimating one or more of the principal stresses from a borehole, or optimization methods for constructing a 3D geomechanical model in terms of geophysical measurements. These methods, however, often contain considerable uncertainty in estimating the state of stress. Here, in this paper, we build on a Bayesian approach to quantify uncertainty in stress estimations for subsurface engineering applications. This approach can provide an estimate of the 3D distribution of stress throughout the volume of interest and provide an estimate of the uncertainty arising from the stress measurement, the rheology parameters, and a paucity of measurements. The value of this approach is demonstrated using stress measurements from the In Salah carbon storage site, which was one of the world’s first industrial carbon capture and storage projects. This demonstration shows the application of this Bayesian approach for estimating the initial state of stress for In Salah and quantifying the uncertainty in the estimated stress. Also, an assessment of a maximum injection pressure to prevent geomechanical risks from CO 2 injection pressures is provided in terms of the probability distribution of the minimum principal stress quantified by the approach. With the In Salah case study, this paper demonstrates that using the Bayesian approach can provide additional insights for site explorations and/or project operations to make informed-site decisions for subsurface engineering applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Measurement of muon neutrino charged-current quasielasticlike cross section using off-axis NuMI beam at ICARUS

This paper presents the first neutrino cross-section measurement from the ICARUS detector at Fermilab, using Neutrinos at the Main Injector (NuMI) beam data collected from two beam operation periods corresponding to 2.5 × 10 20 protons-on-target in neutrino beam mode. The signal is defined by events with no pions produced in the final state, a topology dominated by charged-current quasielasticlike signatures. The measurement is reported as flux-averaged differential cross sections as functions of kinematic variables that provide sensitivity to the complex nuclear effects that often dominate the systematic uncertainty budgets of neutrino oscillation measurements. Specifically, this work reports cross sections in two angular variables—the angle of the outgoing lepton and the opening angle between the lepton and leading proton—and two variables characterizing the kinematic imbalance between the muon and proton in the plane transverse to the incoming neutrino. These results are compared against predictions from a variety of neutrino event generators, with p values calculated between the extracted cross sections and each prediction. Overall, the predictions agree with the data; however, the current budget of uncertainties does not yet provide sufficient discriminating power to favor a specific model.

Abd Alrahman, F. [Houston U.]↗
DOE OSTI2022

Towards a combination of LHC and TeVatron W-boson mass measurements

In this note methodological and modelling considerations towards a combination of the ATLAS, CDF and D0 measurements of the W -boson mass are discussed. As they were performed at different moments in time, each measurement employed different assumptions for the modelling of W -boson production and decay, as well as different fits of the parton distribution functions of the proton (PDFs). Methods are presented to accurately evaluate the effect of PDFs and other modelling variations on existing measurements, allowing to extrapolate them to any PDF set and to evaluate the corresponding uncertainties. Based on this approach, the measurements can be corrected to a common modelling reference and to the same PDFs, and subsequently combined accounting for PDF correlations in a quantitative way.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗