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City Decision Analysis Resources and Tools

The City Decision Analysis at Any Scale Workshop was held February 17-18, 2021. This brochure was created to provide participants with a collection of tools and resources that support planning and implementation of clean energy goals for communities and businesses.

ACES↗

Improving Reliability and Maintainability (R&M) in Space Life Support

This paper considers how to improve the reliability and maintainability (R&M) of future NASA space life support systems. If these systems are procured under an industry contract, defining the R&M requirements would take precedence over providing technical guidance on designing the system. Imposing a specific R&M design could be over constraining. However, the mission may define the overall R&M approach, as the International Space Station (ISS) did by requiring Orbital Replacement Units (ORUs). Before defining the R&M requirements for the next mission, the life support research program should understand and plan the R&M approach. The recent NASA technical standard on R&M has moved away from requiring specific R&M activities during each of the traditional project phases to instead developing and planning to implement the R&M requirements to meet the top level project R&M objectives. The emphasis is on providing the evidence to show that the R&M requirements are met, rather than on conducting specific prescribed R&M activities. The technical standard on R&M defines a comprehensive hierarchy of specific R&M objectives and identifies particular strategies to implement them at each level. That is, the top level R&M objective is defined and then one or more design strategies to implement it are developed immediately, before the next lower objectives are defined and the strategies to achieve those are designed. This step-by-step, top-down approach is similar to the axiomatic design method. The objectives are the R&M requirements, and the strategies are the hardware designs or operations plans developed to meet these requirements. The new R&M process is aligned with the systems design process and helps ensure that the methods to meet the R&M requirements are built into the design.

Jones, Harry W.↗

SU-F-T-382: Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy (VMAT) Beam Angle Optimization in Pulsed Partial Brain Irradiation (PPBI) for Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma

Purpose: To optimize VMAT beam parameters in PPBI to minimize treatment time. We investigate the coverage and organs at risk (OR) avoidance capability of shorter arcs with shorter treatment times. Methods: We evaluated the treatment plans for eleven previously treated PPBI patients. Each patient received 46Gy (2Gy×23) to the initial target and an additional 14Gy (2Gy×7) as a sequential boost. Each daily 2-Gy fraction was delivered as ten 0.2-Gy pulses separated by 3-minute intervals using VMAT. Each pulse was delivered using the same arc and covered at least 95% of the PTV with at least 95% of the prescription dose. To optimize the VMAT beam angle, an initial 360° full-arc VMAT plan was implemented. Beam control points and their corresponding dose rates were exported. A curve of the product of control point and dose rate was plotted against treatment beam angle. The optimum angle range was determined from this relationship. We chose the minimum continuous angle range that covered 85% of the area under the curve. Planning parameters, including treatment time for each pulse (T-pulse), PTV coverage, maximum dose (Dmax), homogeneity index (HI=D5/D95), R50 (50%IDL/PTV), and Dmax to ORs, were compared. Results: Mean PTV volume was 364.1±181.5cc. Mean T-pulse of partial-arc beams was 34.3±10.6s, vs. 63.0±1.7s (p<0.001) for that of full-arc beams. No significant differences were found for PTV V95, Dmax and R50, 99.4%±1.2% vs. 99.7%±0.5% (p=0.066), 108.0%±1.2% vs. 107.5%±1.1% (p=0.107), 2.95±0.38 vs. 2.87±0.35 (p=0.165), for the plans with partial-arc and full-arc beams, respectively. However, plans using full-arc do provide better PTV V100 and HI, 96.0%±3.0% vs. 97.2%±2.0% (p=0.025) and 1.06±0.03 vs. 1.04±0.01 (p=0.009). No significant difference was found on Dmax to ORs. Conclusion: PPBI with optimized partial-arc plans are clinically comparable to full-arc plans, while treatment time be significantly reduced, average saving of 287s for a 10-pulse treatment.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Procuring Stationary Fuel Cells For CHP: A Guide for Federal Facility Decision Makers

Federal agency leaders are expressing growing interest in using innovative fuel cell combined heat and power (CHP) technology at their sites, motivated by both executive branch sustainability targets and a desire to lead by example in the transition to a clean energy economy. Fuel cell CHP can deliver reliable electricity and heat with 70% to 85% efficiency. Implementing this technology can be a high efficiency, clean energy solution for agencies striving to meet ambitious sustainability requirements with limited budgets. Fuel cell CHP systems can use natural gas or renewable fuels, such as biogas. Procuring Stationary Fuel Cells for CHP: A Guide for Federal Facility Decision Makers presents an overview of the process for planning and implementing a fuel cell CHP project in a concise, step-by-step format. This guide is designed to help agency leaders turn their interest in fuel cell technology into successful installations. This guide concentrates on larger (100 kW and greater) fuel cell CHP systems and does not consider other fuel cell applications such as cars, forklifts, backup power supplies or small generators (<100 kW). Because fuel cell technologies are rapidly evolving and have high up front costs, their deployment poses unique challenges. The electrical and thermal output of the CHP system must be integrated with the building s energy systems. Innovative financing mechanisms allow agencies to make a make versus buy decision to maximize savings. This guide outlines methods that federal agencies may use to procure fuel cell CHP systems with little or no capital investment. Each agency and division, however, has its own set of procurement procedures. This guide was written as a starting point, and it defers to the reader s set of rules if differences exist. The fuel cell industry is maturing, and project developers are gaining experience in working with federal agencies. Technology improvements, cost reductions, and experienced project developers are making fuel cell projects easier to put into service. In this environment, federal decision makers can focus on being smart buyers of fuel cell energy instead of attempting to become experts in fuel cell technology. For agencies that want to pursue a fuel cell CHP this guide presents a four step process for a successful project. 1. Perform a preliminary screening of the energy needs energy costs and incentives. 2. Compare a detailed project plan. 3. Make a financing and contracting decision. 4. Execute the project plan including financing, installation, and operation. The simplest procurement method is designated funding for the outright purchase of the fuel cell CHP system, although this is usually not the most cost-effective option. This guide describes the following financing options: Power purchase agreement Energy savings performance contract Utility energy services contract Enhanced use lease Fuel cell CHP technology can help federal facility managers comply with agency objectives for reducing energy consumption and air pollution emissions. Fuel cells do not generate particulate pollutants, unburned hydrocarbons or the gases that produce acid rain. Fuel cells emit less carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) than other, less efficient technologies and use of renewable fuels can make them carbon neutral. Fuel cell CHP technology can deliver reliable electricity and heat with high efficiency (70% to 85%) in a small physical footprint with little noise, making it a cost-effective option for federal facilities.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Human Behavior and Performance Support for ISS Operations and Astronaut Selections: NASA Operational Psychology for Six-Crew Operations

The Behavioral Health and Performance group at NASA Johnson Space Center provides psychological support services and behavioral health monitoring for ISS astronauts and their families. The ISS began as an austere outpost with minimal comforts of home and minimal communication capabilities with family, friends, and colleagues outside of the Mission Control Center. Since 1998, the work of international partners involved in the Space Flight Human Behavior and Performance Working Group has prepared high-level requirements for behavioral monitoring and support. The "buffet" of services from which crewmembers can choose has increased substantially. Through the process of development, implementation, reviewing effectiveness and modifying as needed, the NASA and Wyle team have proven successful in managing the psychological health and well being of the crews and families with which they work. Increasing the crew size from three to six brought additional challenges. For the first time, all partners had to collaborate at the planning and implementation level, and the U.S. served as mentor to extrapolate their experiences to the others. Parity in available resources, upmass, and stowage had to be worked out. Steady progress was made in improving off-hours living and making provisions for new technologies within a system that has difficulty moving quickly on certifications. In some respect, the BHP support team fell victim to its previous successes. With increasing numbers of crewmembers in training, requests to engage our services spiraled upward. With finite people and funds, a cap had to placed on many services to ensure that parity could be maintained. The evolution of NASA BHP services as the ISS progressed from three- to six-crew composition will be reviewed, and future challenges that may be encountered as the ISS matures in its assembly-complete state will be discussed.

VanderArk, Steve↗

XTP for the NASA space station

The NASA Space Station is a truly international effort; therefore, its communications systems must conform to established international standards. Thus, NASA is requiring that each network-interface unit implement a full suite of ISO protocols. However, NASA is understandably concerned that a full ISO stack will not deliver performance consistent with the real-time demands of Space Station control systems. Therefore, as a research project, the suitability of the Xpress transfer protocol (XTP) is investigated along side a full ISO stack. The initial plans for implementing XTP and comparing its performance to ISO TP4 are described.

Weaver, Alfred C.↗

Experiments for dedicated life science missions

Over 80 investigations were selected recently as candidate experiments for Life Science Spacelab Missions in the 1983-1985 time frame. A payload consisting of perhaps 20 of these experiments will be selected in 1981, approximately two years before the first dedicated Life Sciences Spacelab Mission. Implementation of a carefully designed management process will be a prerequisite for accomplishing the development, flight, and post-flight analysis of a maximum number of these investigations, working within currently approved resources and schedules. This paper provides an overview of the Life Sciences Flight Experiments Program, and describes the approach being taken at NASA Headquarters in its planning and implementation.

Farrell, R. M.↗

Technical assessment of Mir-1 life support hardware for the international space station

NASA has been progressively learning the design and performance of the Russian life support systems utilized in their Mir space station. In 1992, a plan was implemented to assess the benefits of the Mir-1 life support systems to the Freedom program. Three primary tasks focused on: evaluating the operational Mir-1 support technologies and understanding if specific Russian systems could be directly utilized on the American space station and if Russian technology design information could prove useful in improving the current design of the planned American life support equipment; evaluating the ongoing Russian life support technology development activities to determine areas of potential long-term application to the U.S. space station; and utilizing the expertise of their space station life support systems to evaluate the benefits to the current U.S. space station program which included the integration of the Russian Mir-1 designs with the U.S. designs to support a crew of six.

Mitchell, K. L.↗

Acoustic Emission Detection of Impact Damage on Space Shuttle Structures

The loss of the Space Shuttle Columbia as a result of impact damage from foam debris during ascent has led NASA to investigate the feasibility of on-board impact detection technologies. AE sensing has been utilized to monitor a wide variety of impact conditions on Space Shuttle components ranging from insulating foam and ablator materials, and ice at ascent velocities to simulated hypervelocity micrometeoroid and orbital debris impacts. Impact testing has been performed on both reinforced carbon composite leading edge materials as well as Shuttle tile materials on representative aluminum wing structures. Results of these impact tests will be presented with a focus on the acoustic emission sensor responses to these impact conditions. These tests have demonstrated the potential of employing an on-board Shuttle impact detection system. We will describe the present plans for implementation of an initial, very low frequency acoustic impact sensing system using pre-existing flight qualified hardware. The details of an accompanying flight measurement system to assess the Shuttle s acoustic background noise environment as a function of frequency will be described. The background noise assessment is being performed to optimize the frequency range of sensing for a planned future upgrade to the initial impact sensing system.

Prosser, William H.↗

Future particle-physics projects in the United States

Here, basic proposals of experiments aimed at precision measurements of Standard Model parameters and at searches for new particles, including dark-matter particles, are described along with future experimental projects considered by American Physical Society at the meeting in the summer of 2013 and intended for implementation within the next ten to twenty years.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Vaccum Gas Tungsten Arc Welding, phase 1

This two year program will investigate Vacuum Gas Tungsten Arc Welding (VGTAW) as a method to modify or improve the weldability of normally difficult-to-weld materials. VGTAW appears to offer a significant improvement in weldability because of the clean environment and lower heat input needed. The overall objective of the program is to develop the VGTAW technology and implement it into a manufacturing environment that will result in lower cost, better quality and higher reliability aerospace components for the space shuttle and other NASA space systems. Phase 1 of this program was aimed at demonstrating the process's ability to weld normally difficult-to-weld materials. Phase 2 will focus on further evaluation, a hardware demonstration and a plan to implement VGTAW technology into a manufacturing environment. During Phase 1, the following tasks were performed: (1) Task 11000 Facility Modification - an existing vacuum chamber was modified and adapted to a GTAW power supply; (2) Task 12000 Materials Selection - four difficult-to-weld materials typically used in the construction of aerospace hardware were chosen for study; (3) Task 13000 VGTAW Experiments - welding experiments were conducted under vacuum using the hollow tungsten electrode and evaluation. As a result of this effort, two materials, NARloy Z and Incoloy 903, were downselected for further characterization in Phase 2; and (4) Task 13100 Aluminum-Lithium Weld Studies - this task was added to the original work statement to investigate the effects of vacuum welding and weld pool vibration on aluminum-lithium alloys.

Weeks, J. L.↗

A Survey on Social Media to Enhance the Cyber-PhysicalSocial Resilience of Smart Grid

Smart sensor that enables power grid resiliency at distribution network is a very expensive solution and its implementation has been very sluggish. Social media has great potential to become an alternate abstract information channel that can replace/reinforce smart sensor capabilities towards a more resilient power grid. In this paper, we present a survey on the progress of utilizing social media as a platform to extract and analyse abstract data to produce intelligent information. This information can be utilized to plan and implement resources towards power grid resiliency from micro level (consumers) to macro level (cities/states). This paper discusses the reliability of social sensors, various concepts relating to social media and their implementation to solve problems, and how we can develop a framework based on the social media towards a resilient power grid. The realization of social media framework for information will benefit as robust communication and control channels that can be used together with prediction models to improve the accuracy and effectiveness of system operators' decision-making.

DISASTER RESPONSE, HASHTAGS, POWER GRID RESILIENCE↗

Methodology and Tool for the Physical Security Analysis of Micro and Advanced Reactors

This work proposes a dynamic evaluation methodology to relax the conservatism in physical security evaluation, by leveraging an ongoing work in the Light Water Reactor Sustainability pathway. This methodology is implemented in a dynamic risk assessment tool named Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD). The work extends EMRALD’s capability to support a sandbox feature where analysts can easily create attack scenarios and modify advanced/small modular reactor (A/SMR) security and safety features using templates. This approach saves time and cost since the analysis does not require creating detailed computer-aided design models, as is commonly required in commercial force-on-force software tools. EMRALD is completely free to use at https://emraldapp.inl.gov. We have developed basic templates including physical barriers, intrusion sensors, physical areas, and safety actions, that can be downloaded from EMRALD’s GitHub site: https://github.com/idaholab/EMRALD. These templates use generic data commonly used for training purposes, which do not reflect any actual operating nuclear reactor. Users may adjust the data in the templates with their own dataset and/or create new templates in EMRALD. The proposed methodology combines security and safety by assessing sabotage effects up to the radiological consequence to the public instead of merely the core damage state. This practice follows the industry standard for advanced non-light-water reactors currently proposed for endorsement by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The combination of security and safety is expressed in an achievability-consequence chart. EMRALD can be used to generate data for this chart. A hypothetical case study using a representative sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) facility is presented in this report to demonstrate this methodology. This case study does not contain any actual nuclear plant information. This work will benefit A/SMR vendors and utilities to implement security by design during the reactor design iteration phase, such that they do not have to perform upgrades and retrofits to the reactor after it is installed to improve its physical protection system. The tool may also be used to analyze domestic or foreign reactor designs to support the International Nuclear Security Techniques for Advanced Reactors (INSTAR) bilateral missions. Future works are planned to implement the methodology on a reference SFR reactor and a reference high-temperature gas-cooled reactor to obtain insights and lessons-learned for the A/SMR community.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Is adaptation a local responsibility?

Adaptation is now strongly embedded in the societal discourse regarding the management of climate risk. In this discourse, adaptation planning and implementation at the local level are seen as particularly important for developing robust responses to climate change. However, it is not clear whether the mantra that adaptation is local holds true given the multi-level nature of climate risk governance. Using a multi-method approach, this paper examines the extent to which adaptation should be framed as a local issue and, specifically, the role of local government in adaptation relative to other actors. In so doing, the paper first explores the extent to which the local framing of adaptation is embedded in the international adaptation literature. This is followed by a specific case study from Southeast Queensland, Australia, which focuses on the critical examination of the processes of responsibility shifting and taking among actors involved in coastal adaptation planning. Results indicate the assumption that adaptation is local remains widely held in adaptation science, although counter arguments can be readily identified. Interviews with adaptation actors revealed unclear divisions of responsibility for climate change adaptation as a significant constraint on actors willingness to implement adaptation. Additionally, attributing responsibility for adaptation to local actors might not necessarily be a robust strategy, due to the existence of particularly strong constraints and value conflicts at local levels of governance. Greater appreciation by researchers and practitioners for the interactions between local actors and those at higher levels of governance in shaping response capacity may contribute to more equitable and effective allocations of responsibilities for adaptation action.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Follow-the-leader algorithm for the payload inspection and processing system

This report summarizes the author's summer 1995 work at NASA Kennedy Space Center in the Advanced System Division. The assignment was path planning for the Payload Inspection and Processing System (PIPS). PIPS is an automated system, programmed off-line for inspection of Space Shuttle payloads after integration and prior to launch. PIPS features a hyper-redundant 18-dof serpentine truss manipulator capable of snake-like motions to avoid obstacles. The path planning problem was divided into two segments: (1) determining an obstacle-free trajectory for the inspection camera at the manipulator tip to follow; and (2) development of a follow-the-leader (FTL) algorithm which ensures whole-arm collision avoidance by forcing ensuing links to follow the same tip trajectory. The summer 1995 work focused on the FTL algorithm. This report summarizes development, implementation, testing, and graphical demonstration of the FTL algorithm for prototype PIPS hardware. The method and code was developed in a modular manner so the final PIPS hardware may use them with minimal changes. The FTL algorithm was implemented using MATLAB software and demonstrated with a high-fidelity IGRIP model. The author also supported implementation of the algorithm in C++ for hardware control. The FTL algorithm proved to be successful and robust in graphical simulation. The author intends to return to the project in summer 1996 to implement path planning for PIPS.

Williams, Robert L., II↗

Final Radiological Assessment of External Exposure for CLEAR-Line Americium Recovery Operations

Los Alamos National Laboratory is currently planning to implement an americium recovery program. The americium, ordinarily isotopically pure 241Am, would be extracted from existing Pu materials, converted to an oxide and shipped to support fabrication of americium oxide-beryllium neutron sources. These operations would occur in the currently proposed Chloride Extraction and Actinide Recovery (CLEAR) line of glove boxes. This glove box line would be collocated with the currently-operational Experimental Chloride Extraction Line (EXCEL). The focus of this document is to provide an in-depth assessment of the currently planned radiation protection measures and to determine whether or not further design work is required to satisfy design-goal and ALARA requirements. Further, this document presents a history of americium recovery operations in the Department of Energy and high-level descriptions of the CLEAR line operations to provide a basis of comparison. Under the working assumptions adopted by this study, it was found that the evaluated design appears to mitigate doses to a level that satisfies the ALARA-in-design requirements of 10 CFR 835 as implemented by the Los Alamos National Laboratory procedure P121. The analyses indicate that extremity doses would also meet design requirements. Dose-rate calculations were performed using the radiation transport code MCNP5 and doses were estimated using a time-motion study developed in consort with the subject matter expert. A copy of this report and all supporting documentation are located on the Radiological Engineering server at Y:\Rad Engineering\2013 PROJECTS\TA-55 Clear Line.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Energy Resilience Assessment Methodology

With increasing utility grid outages in the United States, there is growing interest in assessing risk and developing mitigations to reduce the impact of grid outages and other power disruptions. The U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory worked with military bases and stakeholders in their local community to develop a replicable energy resilience assessment methodology for sites, bases, and campuses to assess energy risks and develop prioritized solutions to increase site resilience. This includes steps to assess the baseline resilience of the site, identify and score hazards and vulnerabilities, analyze risks based on hazard likelihood and vulnerability probability and consequence, identify and prioritize mitigation actions based on cost, difficulty, and risk reduction, and then develop an action plan and implement solutions. The method focuses on risks to a site's primary missions, infrastructure, and population, as well as risks to infrastructure and population in the surrounding community that may impact the site.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

EERE's State & Local Energy Data Tool

EERE's State and Local Energy Data (SLED) Tool provides basic energy market information that can help state and local governments plan and implement clean energy projects, including electricity generation; fuel sources and costs; applicable policies, regulations, and financial incentives; and renewable energy resource potential. Watch this video to learn more about the tool and hear testimonials from real users about the benefits of using this tool.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗