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At least 667 records · Page 37

Optimization of Geometric Perturbations on a Rod Moving Through a High Explosive Target

After completing a study to ensure the simulation results were converged, several high resolution 3D Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamic (SPH) simulations of copper rods impacting a high explosive (LX14) target were performed. This was then formulated into an optimization problem: I wanted to find the optimum shape and location of a perturbation on the rod that would maximize its erosion after it left the target. The shape of the perturbation was modeled as a 2D Gaussian bump and parameterized by its location along the rod axis (z 0 ) and amplitude (A). The final mass of the coherent part of the rod as it leaves the target was used as a metric to represent the erosion of the rod, and the optimization was formulated to maximize this metric with respect to the aforementioned design variables. Due to the expensive nature of the high-fidelity 3D SPH simulations, a surrogate model needed to be chosen so that many function calls to the optimizer would be feasible. Thus, a strategic full factorial sampling plan was chosen to build a dataset, which consisted of 24 high-fidelity simulations. Two surrogate models, a third order polynomial regression model and a Gaussian Process Model, were analyzed using a 14%/86% test/train holdout technique. The root mean square and R2 score of the test set was used to determine the best model, and the third order polynomial regression model was chosen as the surrogate model. Finally, the Nelder-Mead Simplex and Basin-hopping optimization algorithms were implemented, and it was found that the two algorithms gave slightly different optimum values. Nelder-Mead gave an optimum point of [z* 0 ;A*] = [9:9;0:4] and Basin-Hopping gave an optimum value of x* = [z* 0 ;A*] = [9:2;0:1].

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Report on the recovery of legacy 1997-1998 Depth-of-Burial / Tunnel-and-Hole-Closure explosion data from the Kazakhstan former Soviet nuclear test site, Semipalatinsk.

In 1996, negotiations between the National Nuclear Center of the Republic of Kazakhstan (NNC), the U.S. Defense Special Weapons Administration (DSWA) and the U.S. Department of Energy led to an agreement for a joint series of experiments at the former Soviet nuclear test site Semipalatinsk (STS). These experiments had a dual purpose: to close holes and tunnels originally created for the purpose of testing nuclear weapons, and to characterize explosive sources at a former nuclear test site. This report covers the recovery of legacy data from the experiments conduct in 1997 and 1998. Two teams collected data. Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), in collaboration with the NNC, collected the near-source (local) data out to approximately 20 km. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO), with funding from Lawrence Livermore Laboratory (LLNL), also in collaboration with NNC, collected regional data, 200 – 1000 km distant, leveraging the KZ regional seismic network that LDEO had recently installed in collaboration with NNC. The two teams also worked together to some extent, regarding instrumentation and planning. This report primarily addresses the near-source data collected by the LANL/NNC team.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Verification and Validation of High Explosive Reactive Burn Models Implemented in LANL's EAP and LAP Code Base

Reactive burn models represent a significant leap in high explosive (HE) modeling capability. The first generation of engineering models of HE detonation are called programmed burn models and they are largely based on the distance between a prescribed detonation point and each zone in a simulation. There have been many advancements to programmed burn models over the years and when the assumptions upon which they are based are met, a properly tuned programmed burn model can be highly accurate but if any of their assumptions is not met, as is the case for corner turning or weakly initiated HE burn, they will give the wrong answer. Reactive burn models represent an entirely new way of modeling HE burn. They use the local conditions of a zone – e.g. temperature, pressure or density – as calculated by a hydrocode to determine if and when the zone is going to detonate and if so, how rapidly. This difference opens up an entirely new set of capabilities for HE modeling. It makes it possible to accurately and predictively model phenomena like the effect of confinement and the formation of dead zones. Reactive burn models have seen sustained development effort at LANL for at least the last decade but several recent developments make it timely to transition reactive burn models from a research topic to a production tool. The main goal of this milestone is to facilitate and accelerate the adoption of reactive burn as a commonly available modeling option, with recommendations on the resolution that will be required and uncertainties associated with their modeling choices. To achieve this, we have performed verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (UQ) assessments of AWSD and SURF/SURFplus in xRage and FLAG on a variety of different problems.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Applying Compression-Based Metrics to Seismic Data in Support of Global Nuclear Explosion Monitoring

The analysis of seismic data for evidence of possible nuclear explosion testing is a critical global security mission that relies heavily on human expertise to identify and mark seismic signals embedded in background noise. To assist analysts in making these determinations, we adapted two compression distance metrics for use with seismic data. First, we demonstrated that the Normalized Compression Distance (NCD) metric can be adapted for use with waveform data and can identify the arrival times of seismic signals. Then we tested an approximation for the NCD called Sliding Information Distance (SLID), which can be computed much faster than NCD. We assessed the accuracy of the SLID output by comparing it to both the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the judgments of expert seismic analysts. Our results indicate that SLID effectively identifies arrival times and provides analysts with useful information that can aid their analysis process.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Aerial Crosspolarized NQR-NMR: Buried Explosive Detection From a Safe Distance

Nuclear quadrupole resonance is a non-destructive detection and inspection technique with potential as a non-destructive test (NDT) tool. Establishment of the capability opens the door to its use in furthering the mission of the labs. There are many possible uses of the capability: explosive detection and stress/strain detection in epoxies are two of the more obvious and are the main results of this work. Enhancement of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and improvements in the acquisition time of the experiment were key focuses of this work. These were achieved by combing special spin-lock pulse sequences with cross-polarization (CP) schemes to improve the signals with shorter acquisition times. A novel rotating magnetic field device was created to facilitate CP in the field. Implementation of these schemes provided a significant reduction in SNR/time.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Modeling Explosive Dispersal of Radiological Material: A Nonparametric Analysis

The National Atmospheric Release Advisory Center (NARAC) is a Department of Energy (DOE) asset that provides guidance on the potential effects of atmospherically released hazards based on dispersion simulation results. Numerical simulation results are compared to well-characterized experimental measurements whenever possible to validate and refine the model predictions. In 2012, such measurements were obtained by Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC) and collaborating organizations for the case of explosively released 140 La – a radioactive isotope with a half-life of 1.6781 days.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Nimble Feedthrough Qualification - 125% High Explosive Overpressure Test Plan RevA

The primary purpose of this High Explosive (HE) Over-Pressure Test (OPT) is to qualify top cover diagnostic feedthroughs that will be used on LLNL Nimble Subcritical Experiment (SCE) Series designs per experimental design verification requirements specified in ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code Case 2564, Impulsively-Loaded Pressure Vessels, Section VIII, Division 3; and to satisfy the over-test requirement of DOE-STD-1212. The diagnostic feedthroughs are part of the Vessel Confinement System (VCS), which is credited as a Safety Significant Design Feature per the U1a Facility Documented Safety Analysis (DSA). The OPT will be conducted at the LANL Area 1, R306 Firing Site (TA-15-R306) in a 3-foot diameter VCS depicted in Figure 1.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Phosgene Neutralization Chemistry for the Explosive Destruction System (EDS)

This report summarizes activities at Sandia National Laboratories as part of the Explosive Destruction System (EDS) Phase 3 (P3) System design. An exploration of chemical neutralization strategies of phosgene was conducted for safe disposal of recovered mortars and M79 1000 lb. bombs filled with carbonyl dichloride "phosgene" or "CG agent" (molecular formula = COCl 2 ). The incumbent strategy utilized aqueous sodium hydroxide was found to be the worst-case scenario, producing enough CO 2 gas that would cause an unacceptable pressure and temperature spike. Several chemical neutralization strategies were evaluated based on criteria set by the operating envelope of the P3 design. In the end, it was determined that a pure solution of N-methyl ethanolamine (MeEA) or 90% monoethanolamine (MEA)(aqueous) provided the best balance reaction profile, cost, and safety.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Los Alamos National Laboratory Floodplain Assessment for the High Explosive Transfer Facility Blast Radius Fence Project at Technical Area 08

The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), a semi-autonomous agency within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), is proposing to take action at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) within the upper Pajarito Canyon 100-year (yr.) floodplain at Technical Area (TA) 08. This action consists of installation of a 3-strand smooth wire fence to create an operational boundary in a radius of 1250 feet (ft.) from the TA-08 High Explosive (HE) Transfer Facility (Figure 1). The proposed fence is intended to provide a barrier between the public and direct access to the HE Transfer Facility.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Seismic Spatial Gradients and Machine Learning-Based Classifiers for Explosion Monitoring (LDRD 218327)

This final report summarizes the work completed under the Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project “Seismic Spatial Gradients as a Machine Learning-Based Classifier for Explosion Monitoring.” The overarching goal of the project was to explore the efficacy of using machine learning-based classification algorithms where the input data are the spatial gradient of the seismic wavefield collected at a single point on the Earth’s surface. The methods that I describe here are in direct contrast to conventional methods of seismic discrimination which typically rely on a spatially extended network of instruments and physics-based wavefield attributes such as, for example, the ratio between $\textit{P}$ and $\textit{S}$ waves. Rather, we use the spatial gradient of the seismic wavefield observed at a single point on the Earth’s surface and data processing approaches inspired by the machine learning community. We tested two algorithms, a neural network and a modified version of principal component analysis termed Spectrally Filtered Principal Component Analysis (SFPCA). To test these algorithms, we first conducted a series of numerical tests using synthetic data and then conducted a small-scale controlled field experiment. The tests using synthetic data showed that both algorithms had high success rates on gradiometric data, even when simulated noise was added to the signal. Furthermore, we found that using seismic spatial gradients increased the performance of our discrimination algorithms when compared to using just the traditional translational motion seismic data. The tests with field data also showed a high degree of discriminative success.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Modeling Astrophysical Explosions and Nucleosynthesis (Final Technical Report)

The goal of this project was to further our theoretical understanding of the extreme physics and heavy element nucleosynthesis occurring in stellar explosions, in particular supernovae and neutron star mergers. To study these systems, we further developed and applied numerical simulations (radiation hydrodynamical models and nuclear reaction networks) run on high performance computers. The numerical calculations and companion theoretical analysis helped to better define the sites of astrophysical nucleosynthesis, and make predictions of the associated observables (nucleosynthetic yields and electromagnetic signals) that can be used to anticipate and interpret experimental data. This project enhances the scientific value of the nuclear data obtained from current and future experimental facilities (e.g., rare isotope beams) by improving our understanding of the astrophysical context and specific physical conditions under which we expect such reactions to take place in Nature.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Physically rigorous reduced-order flow models of fractured subsurface environments without explosive computational cost

Fractured media models comprise discontinuities of multiple lengths (e.g. fracture lengths and apertures, wellbore area) that fall into the relatively insignificant length scales spanning millimeter-scale fractures to centimeter-scale wellbores in comparison to the extensions of the field of interest, and challenge the conventional discretization methods imposing highly-fine meshing and formidably large numerical cost. By utilizing the recent developments in the finite element analysis of electromagnetics that allow to represent material properties on a hierarchical geometry, this project develops computational capabilities to model fluid flow, heat conduction, transport and induced polarization in large-scale geologic environments that possess geometrically-complex fractures and man-made infrastructures without explosive computational cost. The computational efficiency and robustness of this multi-physics modeling tool are demonstrated by considering various highly-realistic complex geologic environments that are common in many energy and national security related engineering problems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

High Explosives and Energetics Asset Analysis Tool

The High Explosives and Energetics (HE&E) Asset Analysis Tool is a database and reference for LANL facilities, equipment, staffing and financial information pertinent to the HE&E program. The tool is used for the communication of the current state and investment planning for the program assets. Additional analyses can offer more insights into the dependencies and impacts of the assets within the HE&E portfolio. This tool is developed under collaboration with the HE&E Program Office.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Spatio-Temporal Surrogates for Interaction of a Jet with High Explosives: Part I - Analysis with a Small Sample Size

Computer simulations, especially of complex phenomena, can be expensive, requiring high-performance computing resources. Often, to understand a phenomenon, multiple simulations are run, each with a different set of simulation input parameters. These data are then used to create an interpolant, or surrogate, relating the simulation outputs to the corresponding inputs. When the inputs and outputs are scalars, a simple machine learning model can suffice. However, when the simulation outputs are vector valued, available at locations in two or three spatial dimensions, often with a temporal component, creating a surrogate is more challenging. In this report, we use a two-dimensional problem of a jet interacting with high explosives to understand how we can build high-quality surrogates. The characteristics of our data set are unique - the vector-valued outputs from each simulation are available at over two million spatial locations; each simulation is run for a relatively small number of time steps; the size of the computational domain varies with each simulation; and resource constraints limit the number of simulations we can run. We show how we analyze these extremely large data-sets, set the parameters for the algorithms used in the analysis, and use simple ways to improve the accuracy of the spatio-temporal surrogates without substantially increasing the number of simulations required.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Spatio-Temporal Surrogates for Interaction of a Jet with High Explosives: Part II - Clustering Extremely High-Dimensional Grid-Based Data

Building an accurate surrogate model for the spatio-temporal outputs of a computer simulation is a challenging task. A simple approach to improve the accuracy of the surrogate is to cluster the outputs based on similarity and build a separate surrogate model for each cluster. This clustering is relatively straightforward when the output at each time step is of moderate size. However, when the spatial domain is represented by a large number of grid points, numbering in the millions, the clustering of the data becomes more challenging. In this report, we consider output data from simulations of a jet interacting with high explosives. These data are available on spatial domains of different sizes, at grid points that vary in their spatial coordinates, and in a format that distributes the output across multiple files at each time step of the simulation. We first describe how we bring these data into a consistent format prior to clustering. Borrowing the idea of random projections from data mining, we reduce the dimension of our data by a factor of thousand, making it possible to use the iterative k-means method for clustering. We show how we can use the randomness of both the random projections, and the choice of initial centroids in k-means clustering, to determine the number of clusters in our data set. Our approach makes clustering of extremely high dimensional data tractable, generating meaningful cluster assignments for our problem, despite the approximation introduced in the random projections.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Parallel Implicit Hydrodynamics with Material Strength for High Explosive Burn Calculations

High explosives are almost always evolving in some form of metal containment vessel. This fact requires that a materials model for the evolution of the metal containment vessel be part of any simulation of the HE. Since the actual form of the strength model to be used is an open question, we incorporate the material strength properties in a relatively agnostic fashion, which will accommodate many strength models. The only restriction is that the stress components be a function of density, specific internal energy and velocities. In addition, the timescales and rates of the chemical reactions in the HE vary between thousands of seconds and nanoseconds. A hydrodynamics capable of operating in anticipation of the eventual violent release of energy via these chemical reactions is a necessity. The central issue in creating a hydrodynamics capable of spanning these timescales is to forgo the use of a Courant time step control necessary in an explicit hydrodynamics. The Courant time-step arises because of characteristic velocities associated with the material, such as the sound speed or, in materials with strength, characteristic longitudinal and transverse speeds associated with compression and shear. The method used to circumvent the need for a Courant time-step limit is to develop an implicit calculation of the advanced particle pressure and shear modulus derived from the conservation laws of mass, momentum and specific internal energy. This process creates the implicit hydrodynamics needed for the HE calculations of interest to this study.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling a Miniature Voitenko-Like Explosively-Driven Shock Tube Using FLAG

Using the FLAG hydrocode, hypervelocity plasma jets observed in miniature explosively–driven shock tube experiments have been modeled with a relative error in velocity of less than 5% (a reduction from previous attempts which yielded errors of 37%). This suggests that FLAG may be well-suited to model HE systems involving the acceleration of gases through complex crack systems in HE devices: A phenomenon not accurately captured using current modeling capabilities. The Eulerian hydrocode model presented here leverages AMR to reduce computational cost and, importantly, it was found that mesh resolution and model geometry each significantly affected the average jet velocity. The model and the results are detailed here together with comments on challenges during its development and avenues for future work.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗