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At least 667 records · Page 37

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Ced Cedar Bridge

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Ced Cedar Bridge. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Ced Cedar Bridge produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Wildfires and prescribed fires are a common occurrence in the NJ Pinelands. Prior to a 1995 nonstand replacing wildfire, the stand was last burned in the very large wildfire in 1963. Plow lines were installed for fire control in December of 2007, followed by a prescribed burns in 2008 and 2013, conducted by the New Jersey Forest Fire Service. Pine looper defoliated the stand in 1998, and Gypsy moth defoliated the understory and deciduos oaks in 2007. Pitch Pines are largely unaffected by defoliation by Gypsy moth.

Skowronski, Nicholas S.↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-CPk Chimney Park

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CPk Chimney Park. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CPk Chimney Park produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - High elevation, primarily lodge-pole pine forest with high amounts of Mountain Pine Bark Beetle mortality. Site burned in June/July 2018, characterized by a highly heterogeneous fire behavior that resulted in unburned, understory-only, as well as severely-burned patches within the tower footprint.

Ewers, Brent↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-KS1 Kennedy Space Center (slash pine)

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-KS1 Kennedy Space Center (slash pine). This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-KS1 Kennedy Space Center (slash pine) produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Kennedy Space Center Slash Pine Flatwoods site is located in the Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge at the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) on the east coast of central Florida. Occupying 310 ha of local forest, the slash pine flatwoods ecosystem is managed as an uneven-aged stand with a sparsely populated overstory and a dense oak-dominated understory. Disturbances tend to occur on a 7 to 10 year cycle, mostly related to fire or hurricane activity. Prescribed fires have been conducted since 1969 to control understory fuel. The most recent burn was conducted in February of 1995. Following the burn, the stand was allowed to naturally regenerate into a open canopy of slash pines, less than 15% of canopy coverage ( on the order of 15-30 trees per ha), with a understory mostly composed of saw palmetto and scrub oak. There was a seasonally wet swale to the southeast that was on the margin of the flux tower footprint. A severe drought gripped most of Florida beginning in 1998 until the later half of 2001 resulting in four years of relatively low annual precipitation totals. Exceptionally high annual rainfall amounts in 2004 were the result of a pair of hurricanes that hit the area in August and September of 2004. Wind directions for the site are as follows: W and NW in the winter, afternoon E sea breeze in the summer.

Drake, Bert↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Oho Oak Openings

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Oho Oak Openings. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Oho Oak Openings produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Ohio Oak Openings site is located within the Oak Openings Preserve Metropark of northwest Ohio, one of the few remaining oak woodlands/savanna/prairie complexes in the Midwest. Declared one of the "One of America's Last Great Places" by the Nature Conservancy the area consists of four main vegetation types: Oak Woodlands, Oak Savanna, Floodplain Forests and Wet Prairies. The stand surrounding the tower is mainly Oak Woodlands dominated by red, white and black oaks with a relatively abundant population of red maples indicating high soil moisture retention and a history of limited fire disturbances. Most of the area was cleared for agriculture at the time of Euro-American settlements in the mid to late-19th century. A large fraction of the cleared land was later abandoned due to the poor sandy soils. These areas reverted to Oak Savannas and in cases where fire was limited progressively made the transition to Oak Woodlands. Today patches of the forest are burned every few years as part of prescribed burning cycle to control stand density.

Chen, Jiquan↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Vcm Valles Caldera Mixed Conifer

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Vcm Valles Caldera Mixed Conifer. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Vcm Valles Caldera Mixed Conifer produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Valles Caldera Mixed Conifer site is located in the 1200 km2 Jemez River basin in north-central New Mexico. Common to elevations ranging from 3040 to 2740 m in the region, the mixed conifer stand, within the entirety of the tower footprint in all directions, provides an excellent setting for studying the seasonal interaction between snow and vegetation. In late May 2013, this site experienced a stand-replacing wildfire. It was a very hot fire that killed every single tree, and burned off a lot of surface organic matter. We have a big gap in fluxes from May 2013- Jan 2014. We were not even allowed in to the site until Oct 2013, and it took us 2-3 months to clean up the debris, remove burned infrastructure, have the tower structure assessed, and resinstrument the site.

Litvak, Marcy↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-xAB NEON Abby Road (ABBY)

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-xAB NEON Abby Road (ABBY). This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-xAB NEON Abby Road (ABBY) produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Abby Road (NEON 4-letter code: ABBY) field site is located in Yacolt Burn State Forest which is approximately 30 miles from Vancouver, WA and Portland, OR. Yacolt Burn State Forest is a relatively young growth industrial timber production forest. The Washington Department of Natural Resources (DNR) also allows an array of recreational activities including moutain biking, hiking and camping.

Network), NEON (National Ecological Observatory↗

AmeriFlux US-MEF Manitou Experimental Forest

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-MEF Manitou Experimental Forest. Site Description - This site was established on an existing 30-m tower structure at the Forest Service's Manitou Experimental Forest, Colorado. Manitou Experimental Forest is located approximately 38 km northwest of Colorado Springs, within the Pike National Forest. The tower was constructed and used between 2008 and 2013 by NCAR for the BEACHON project and has line power and internet connections. The tower is located in approximately 12 km^2 of ponderosa pine forest and savannah with a land use history of thinning and prescribed burning, though these disturbances have not occurred for many years. The tower is situated in a broad, flat valley that drains to the north. Early research at the site was focused mainly on grazing, while more recently it has turned broadly to the ecology and management of ponderosa pine ecosystems. In 2002, the Hayman Fire burned approximately 56,000 ha to the west and northwest of the tower location.

Frank, John [US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Res↗

AmeriFlux US-CPF Cameron Peak

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CPF Cameron Peak. Site Description - This site was established in 2021 in the wake of the Cameron Peak fire, the largest wildfire in Colorado to date. The site is situated at 3,100m elevation on a ~0.5km^2 flat ridgetop within the burn zone between Sawmill Creek and Chambers Lake. The site, populated by lodgepole pine, subalpine fir and Engelmann spruce, burned heavily in fall 2020. The tower consists of one level of construction scaffolding with instruments mounted at 4.3m height.

Frank, John [US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Res↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-MEF Manitou Experimental Forest

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-MEF Manitou Experimental Forest. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-MEF Manitou Experimental Forest produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This site was established on an existing 30-m tower structure at the Forest Service's Manitou Experimental Forest, Colorado. Manitou Experimental Forest is located approximately 38 km northwest of Colorado Springs, within the Pike National Forest. The tower was constructed and used between 2008 and 2013 by NCAR for the BEACHON project and has line power and internet connections. The tower is located in approximately 12 km^2 of ponderosa pine forest and savannah with a land use history of thinning and prescribed burning, though these disturbances have not occurred for many years. The tower is situated in a broad, flat valley that drains to the north. Early research at the site was focused mainly on grazing, while more recently it has turned broadly to the ecology and management of ponderosa pine ecosystems. In 2002, the Hayman Fire burned approximately 56,000 ha to the west and northwest of the tower location.

Frank, John [US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Res↗

New Predictive Capabilities for Nuclear Weapons in Composite Fires

The prevalence of flammable carbon-based composite airframe materials and their use in high-temperature nuclear weapon re-entry systems requires analysts to address the abnormal thermal environment hazards associated with composite material fires. These fires tend to burn very differently than conventional fuel fires, usually burning less intensely, but much longer. This could lead to challenges in understanding margins in classic safety themes. The technical challenges in modeling the phenomena associated with these new types of fires are considerable, but new models have been developed. Their predictions have been compared with well-documented measurements of a vertical porous burner fire, known as a "wall fire" (a "wall-fire" validation simulation is reflected in the figures below). These measurements were conducted at FMGlobal, a mutual insurance company with a strong fire risk management program, as part of an ongoing collaboration between Sandia and FMGlobal. To date, the "wall-fire" scenario has been set up and initial model assessments with grid refinement studies have been conducted focusing on mesh resolutions suitable for full weapon system simulations. This work will continue with further verification and validation tasks assessing the predictions of the new model. Future work will address specific aspects of the wall models that are lacking in their predictive ability.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Detonation performance experiments and modeling for the DAAF-based high explosive PBX 9701

Detonation performance experiments and modeling are reported for the explosive PBX 9701, which is composed of 97% 3,3$\acute{-}$diamino-4,4$\acute{-}$azoxyfurazan (DAAF) and 3% vinylidene uoride-chlorotriuoroethylene copolymer (Kel-F 800) binder by weight. PBX 9701 is a newly-developed reducedsensitivity explosive with increased performance relative to the triaminotrinitrobenzene or TATB-based PBX 9502 while still retaining low sensitivity to mechanical insult. The first detonation performance measurements for this formulation are presented, including front-curvature ratesticks and cylinder expansion test data. Prior shock initiation data is also reviewed. These data are used to develop programmed burn and reactive flow calibrations for existing commonly-used performance models which allow engineering calculations with PBX 9701. The calibration process involves several enhancements relative to conventional approaches including the use of an analytical scaling correlation to speed the calibration process and development of a new methodology to improve the consistency between the programmed burn and reactive model calibration process and the resulting calculations. Overall, PBX 9701 is seen to exhibit improved performance relative to insensitive explosives, with a trinitrotoluene (TNT) equivalence of 1.24. The detonation performance properties are found to be well captured by existing models.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

QUIC-Fire: 3D Fire-Atmosphere Feedback Model for Wildland Fire Management

Los Alamos National Laboratory, U.S. Forest Service, and Tall Timbers Research Station developed QUIC-Fire, the first laptop-capable, real-time wildland fire prediction software that captures the critical influences of 3D vegetation structure, interactions between multiple fires, variable winds, and complex topography at meter-scale resolutions. Prescribed burns are needed to prevent catastrophic wildfires in the U.S. QUIC-Fire transforms a prescribed fire manager’s ability to assess risk, optimize fuel treatments, and plan prescribed burns. Los Alamos, U.S. Forest Service, Tall Timbers Research Station, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Spatial Information Group, and Applied Interagency Prescribed Training Center have used QUIC-Fire.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Estimate of Lorentz force effects on charged particles

Thermonuclear (TN) fusion reaction between deutrons are D + D → T + P D + D → 3 He + n where P is the proton, D is the deuteron, T is the triton, n is the neutron, and 3 He is the helion. They are born with high energies (0.82 MeV for 3 He, 1.01 MeV for T, 3.02 MeV for P, and 2.45 MeV for n). The charged particles slow down due to the drag force (stopping power). While slowing down, the charged particles deposit their energy, which may affect the TN burn characteristics. When magnetic field is present, the velocity of the charged particle would be affected due to the Lorentz force, which can affect the stopping of the charged particle. As a consequence, TN burn characteristics may change, Our purpose is to asses the importance of the Lorentz force in stopping of the charged particle, based on a simple comparison between the Lorentz force and stopping power.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

PBX9502 PAGOSA/SURF Calibration for 100 µm Grid Size

There are two methods to calibrate the SURF reactive burn explosives model.The first is to calibrate using Pop plot data. Because there are only two main parameters in SURF, called A and B, there is just enough flexibility in SURF to determine the Pop plot line, i.e., equivalent information to a slope and a single point on the line. However, due to the linearity of the Pop plot being based on logarithmic scales, a slight deviation off the Pop plot (though the fit to the Pop plot might be very good overall) can make considerable difference when comparing with the velocity profile data. The second calibration method thusly focuses strongly on matching entire velocity profile data. This is to say that individual velocity profiles extracted from embedded gages (in the case of PBX 9502, we refer to R. Gustavsen’s experimental data) may fit poorly, while the overall fit to the Pop plot may seem reasonable. In addition, there are other factors that could produce slightly different calibrations for SURF, while leading to an overall acceptable fit to data. One of those may be the physics code used and here we use Pagosa. Another is mesh size dependence. A third one stems from fitting a reactive burn model being done in conjunction with an equation of state (EOS) of the reactants and one for the products – different EOS can result in slightly different parameterizations. Finally, there are several secondary material parameters in SURF, and the overall fit will depend on the entire parameterization. The goal of this report is to clarify some of our previously made statements about SURF calibration, as well as to redo a systematic calibration using 100 µm grid resolution.

42 ENGINEERING↗

National Ignition Campaign Data Analysis by an ICF Outsider

A simple DT burn model, with no alpha-particle warming feedback, using a combination of ICF inputs and the measured ion temperature, T, volume compression, C, ablator velocity, v, and burn width time, Δt, can reproduce the national-ignition campaign (NIC) fusion yields with a rms percent difference of ~40%. Analysis suggestion the fusion-yield reproducibility of NIC events with nominally identically measured T, C, v, and Δt is <30%. The highest fusion yields, at a fixed laser energy are obtained with depleted-uranium (DU) hohlraums and high-density carbon (HDC) ablators. Small diameter fit tubes (≤5 μm) enhance fusion yields by an average of 26±15% relative to 10-μm diameter fit tubes. A dependence of fusion yield on the diameter of the capsule relative to the diameter of the hohlraum is inferred for fixed T, C, v, and Δt. No evidence of conditions close to ignition, or alpha-particle warming is found in the existing NIC data with LEH< 2MJ. To obtain a predictive model for extrapolation proposes we map the T, C, and v into power laws as a function of LEH. The above mentioned extrapolatable model has a rms percent difference from the yields of the second half of the NIC of (56 ± 4)%. Higher (and significantly lower) DT temperatures are obtained with HDC ablators (and low-foot drives). The highest compressions are obtained via low-foot drives, but this does not compensate for the corresponding lower temperatures. An extrapolation of the presented model suggests significant alpha-particle heating at an LEH of ~5 MJ. It is hoped that others more familiar it the conditions needed for ignition will use to presented model to estimate the LEH required for ignition.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Hybridizing Machine Learning and Physically-based Earth System Models to Improve Prediction of Multivariate Extreme Events (AI Exploration of Wildland Fire Prediction)

Focal Areas: This project responds to two focal areas identified in the DOE Call for AI4ESP White Papers: 1) Predictive modeling through the use of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, and 2) insights gleaned from complex data using explainable AI and big data analytics. Science Challenge: Large wildland fires (hereafter wildfires) appearing as high-impact compound climate extreme events are closely related to hydroclimate and water cycle extremes that modulate surface fuel supply and combustibility. These compound events have multivariate climatic features (e.g., temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, wind, lightning) and societal drivers (e.g., forest management, land use change, human caused ignitions). Meanwhile, they induce strong feedbacks to the coupled atmosphere, biosphere, and hydrosphere by perturbing regional and global radiation budget as well as ecological, biogeochemical, and water cycles across multiple spatiotemporal scales. The nonlinear interactions between these natural and anthropogenic components of the Earth system are too complex to be completely and adequately represented in today’s Earth system models (ESMs). The inherent stochastic nature of fire activity at all scales further increases the difficulty of its prediction using ESMs that are usually developed from deterministic equations and parameterizations. Besides, concurrence of long-term (decadal to interdecadal) global climate change and fire regime shifts overlapping with short-term (intraseasonal to interannual) variations of regional fire weather and burning activity confound predictability of these compound extreme events. We propose to address the above scientific challenges by using machine learning (ML)-based data-driven modeling techniques to integrate observations and physically-based ESMs’ simulations in a computationally efficient hybrid prediction system. This prediction system is supposed to characterize the wildfire’s sensitivity to climate and exogenous drivers at high resolution (~ 0.25°) on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales providing improved predictability and explainability. We will use the system to help identify: (1) What are the computational elements of a hybrid system needed to predict compound climate extreme events such as global wildfires? (2) What are the key drivers (either natural or anthropogenic) that modulate short-term variations of multivariate fire weather and burning activity over different regions? How can one take advantage of those driver-response relationships to improve the predictability of large wildfires on S2S time scales? (3) What are the underlying physical mechanisms and sources of improved predictability? Which ML techniques are optimal in revealing and adapting these mechanisms?

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

SURFplus model calibration for PBX 9012

PBX 9012 is a plastic bonded explosive composed of 90.2 wt % HMX (cyclo-tetramethylene-tetranitramine) and 9.8 % Viton A (vinylidene-hexafluoropropylene copolymer). It has nearly the same composition as LX-07 (90% HMX and 10% Viton A) but with a slightly lower density. Hence it has a higher porosity and is slightly more shock sensitive. Here we describe the SURFplus model calibration for PBX 9012 using data from five shock-to-detonation transition (SDT) gas gun experiments by Burns and Chiquete, detonation front shape data from rate stick experiments and cylinder test experiment reported in Anderson et al., Jackson et al. The SDT experiments provide Pop plot data points (run distance-to-detonation) which characterize shock initiation, Lagrangian velocity time histories from embedded magnetic velocity gauges which give information on the reaction behind the lead shock, and Hugoniot data points for the reactants EOS. The rate stick experiments provide data on the curvature effect which characterize propagating detonation waves. The cylinder test experiments provide data on the detonation release isentrope used to calibrate the products EOS. The HE model uses a Davis reactants EOS with parameters that Burns and Chiquete [2020] fit to Hugoniot data, and Davis products EOS with parameters that Anderson et al. [2020] fit to cylinder test data.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Simulating PBX 9501 Gap-stick Experiment

It has previously been shown that the rate parameters of the SURF reactive burn model can be adjusted to fit the gap-stick data for PBX 9501 [Johnson et al., 2018, fig 4]. A recent recalibration of the SURF model for PBX 9501 (lot 730-010 at ρ = 1.837 g/cc 3 ) used different reactants and products EOS and an updated fitting form for the burn rate [Menikoff, 2021]. The new calibration fit gap-stick data [Hill et al., 2021] together with data from SDT experiments and curvature effect data. Here the results of gap-stick simulations using the xRage code are shown. They provide insight into the reactive flow in the gap-stick experiment.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗