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At least 667 records · Page 37

Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty

Climate change threatens the resource adequacy of future power systems. Existing research and practice lack frameworks for identifying decarbonization pathways that are robust to climate-related uncertainty. We create such an analytical framework, then use it to assess the robustness of alternative pathways to achieving 60% emissions reductions from 2022 levels by 2040 for the Western U.S. power system. Our framework integrates power system planning and resource adequacy models with 100 climate realizations from a large climate ensemble. Climate realizations drive electricity demand; thermal plant availability; and wind, solar, and hydropower generation. Among five initial decarbonization pathways, all exhibit modest to significant resource adequacy failures under climate realizations in 2040, but certain pathways experience significantly less resource adequacy failures at little additional cost relative to other pathways. By identifying and planning for an extreme climate realization that drives the largest resource adequacy failures across our pathways, we produce a new decarbonization pathway that has no resource adequacy failures under any climate realizations. This new pathway is roughly 5% more expensive than other pathways due to greater capacity investment, and shifts investment from wind to solar and natural gas generators. Our analysis suggests modest increases in investment costs can add significant robustness against climate change in decarbonizing power systems. Our framework can help power system planners adapt to climate change by stress testing future plans to potential climate realizations, and offers a unique bridge between energy system and climate modeling.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

AC motor and generator requirements for isolated WECS

After surveying electrically driven loads used on productive farms, the investigators chose three pumps for testing at voltages and frequencies far outside the normal operating range. These loads extract and circulate water and move heat via air, and all are critical to farm productivity. The object was to determine the envelope of supply voltage and frequency over which these loads would operate stably for time intervals under 1 hour. This information is among that needed to determine the feasibility of supplying critical loads, in case of a utility outage, from a wind driven alternator whose output voltage and frequency will vary dramatically in most continental wind regimes. Other related work is surveyed. The salient features and limitations of the test configurations used and the data reduction are described. The development of simulation models suitable for a small computer are outlined. The results are primarily displayed on the voltage frequency plane with the general conclusion that the particular pump models considered will operate over the range of 50 to 90 Hz and a voltage band which starts below rated, decreases as frequency decreases, and is limited on the high side by excessive motor heating. For example, centrifugal pump operating voltage ranges as extensive .4 to 1.4 appear possible. Particular problems with starting, stalling due to lack of motor torque, high speed cavitation, and likely overheating are addressed in a listing of required properties for wind driven alternators and their controllers needed for use in the isolated or stand alone configuration considered.

Park, G. L.↗

Carrier arraying: Revisited

Depending on the basis used for comparison, it is possible to predict different gains when applying carrier arraying to a conventional coherent receiver. In the past, the specific performance comparisons were made between the arrayed and nonarrayed cases assuming a fixed carrier-tracking closed-loop bandwidth. While the notion of loop bandwidth for the nonarrayed loop with a single input is well defined and meaningful, the comparable notion for an arrayed loop with multiple inputs is not uniquely defined since it depends on the knowledge of the statistical relation, e.g., degree of correlation, among the various antenna inputs. To circumvent the need for such knowledge, which is often not completely available, we suggest in this article an alternate criterion for comparing arrayed and nonarrayed loops, namely, fixed steady-state phase error, which, in the arrayed case, is independent of the statistical relation among the antenna inputs. We show that, in this case, the gain derived from carrier arraying is quite different from that obtained under the assumption of fixed-loop bandwidth, which suggests that one should exercise care when comparing arrayed and unarrayed loops in that the criterion used for comparison should be directly applicable to the situation at hand.

Simon, M. K.↗

Model-based task planning system for a space laboratory environment

This paper describes the design of a model-based autonomous planning system that will enable robots to manage a space-borne chemical laboratory. In a model-based planning system, knowledge is encapsulated in the form of models at the various layers to support the predefined system objectives. Thus the model-based approach can be considered as an extended planning paradigm which is able to base its planning, control, diagnosis, repair, and other activities on a variety of objectives-related models. A System Entity Structure/Model Base framework is employed to support autonomous system design through the ability to generate a family of planning alternatives as well as to build hierarchical event-based control structures. The model base is a multilevel, multiabstraction, and multiformalism system organized through the use of system morphisms to integrate related models.

Chi, Sung-Do↗

Reexamination of the Edge Crack Torsion Test for Determining the Mode III Delamination Toughness of Laminated Composites

The edge crack torsion (ECT) test is reexamined to address two primary concerns with this method. The first of these relates to inconsistencies in the data reduction procedure that was originally proposed and is most commonly used to compute the mode III interlaminar fracture toughness, G(sub IIIc), from the experimental data. The second relates to the observation that plies neighboring the preimplanted insert in the standard ECT layup are unable to contain initiation and growth of intralaminar cracks, and that growth of these cracks contributes to errors in the apparent values of G(sub IIIc). To address these issues, an alternative data reduction technique, which uses a polynomial expression to represent the ECT specimen’s compliance versus crack length relation, is proposed. The accuracy and potential drawbacks of this expression are investigated using FE simulations. Next, seven groups of ECT specimens are fabricated and tested. Each of these groups contains specimens with preimplanted inserts that are bounded by plies at different +q and -q orientations. The seven groups consist of values of q that vary from 0° to 90° in 15° increments. Tests on these specimens show that intralaminar cracking occurs in specimens from all batches except those for which q equals 15° or 30°. However, values of G(sub IIIc) measured using specimens with these two ply orientations were not equal and, for q = 30°, the values of G(sub IIIc) that were obtained were not completely independent of initial starter crack length. Potential issues accounting for these observations and other challenges associated with measuring G(sub IIIc) using the ECT test are discussed.

Polymer matrix composites↗

Can We Detect the Quantum Nature of Weak Gravitational Fields?

A theoretical framework for the quantization of gravity has been an elusive Holy Grail since the birth of quantum theory and general relativity. While generations of scientists have attempted to find solutions to this deep riddle, an alternative path built upon the idea that experimental evidence could determine whether gravity is quantized has been decades in the making. The possibility of an experimental answer to the question of the quantization of gravity is of renewed interest in the era of gravitational wave detectors. We review and investigate an important subset of phenomenological quantum gravity, detecting quantum signatures of weak gravitational fields in table-top experiments and interferometers.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Personalized, disease-stage specific, rapid identification of immunosuppression in sepsis

Introduction Data overlapping of different biological conditions prevents personalized medical decision-making. For example, when the neutrophil percentages of surviving septic patients overlap with those of non-survivors, no individualized assessment is possible. To ameliorate this problem, an immunological method was explored in the context of sepsis. Methods Blood leukocyte counts and relative percentages as well as the serum concentration of several proteins were investigated with 4072 longitudinal samples collected from 331 hospitalized patients classified as septic (n=286), non-septic (n=43), or not assigned (n=2). Two methodological approaches were evaluated: (i) a reductionist alternative, which analyzed variables in isolation; and (ii) a non-reductionist version, which examined interactions among six (leukocyte-, bacterial-, temporal-, personalized-, population-, and outcome-related) dimensions. Results The reductionist approach did not distinguish outcomes: the leukocyte and serum protein data of survivors and non-survivors overlapped. In contrast, the non-reductionist alternative differentiated several data groups, of which at least one was only composed of survivors (a finding observable since hospitalization day 1). Hence, the non-reductionist approach promoted personalized medical practices: every patient classified within a subset associated with 100% survival subset was likely to survive. The non-reductionist method also revealed five inflammatory or disease-related stages (provisionally named ‘early inflammation, early immunocompetence, intermediary immuno-suppression, late immuno-suppression, or other’). Mortality data validated these labels: both ‘suppression’ subsets revealed 100% mortality, the ‘immunocompetence’ group exhibited 100% survival, while the remaining sets reported two-digit mortality percentages. While the ‘intermediary’ suppression expressed an impaired monocyte-related function, the ‘late’ suppression displayed renal-related dysfunctions, as indicated by high concentrations of urea and creatinine. Discussion The data-driven differentiation of five data groups may foster early and non-overlapping biomedical decision-making, both upon admission and throughout their hospitalization. This approach could evaluate therapies, at personalized level, earlier. To ascertain repeatability and investigate the dynamics of the ‘other’ group, additional studies are recommended.

Immunology↗

Economic feasibility of in-motion wireless power transfer in a high-density traffic corridor

Electricity is expected to become a dominant power source in the transportation sector, but under a stationary recharging model, electric powered vehicles still suffer some disadvantages relative to conventional vehicles. Recent developments in wireless power transfer (WPT) technology can enable an alternative vehicle recharging model wherein power is supplied to vehicles while they are moving, mitigating the need for charging stops and high-capacity on-board energy storage. One of the greatest concerns associated with dynamic WPT is that the required infrastructure costs would be prohibitively high; however, the life-cycle costs and benefits of such a system have been under-researched. Here in this work, we apply a systems-level assessment to a case study of a WPT charging system located on the densely trafficked I-710 corridor in Los Angeles, California. Detailed cost estimates for electronics and implementation, high-fidelity energy consumption modeling, and survey-derived adoption projections are applied to evaluate scenarios of economic feasibility and environmental impact. Results show that a “1st-of-a-kind” system can achieve a payback in 20 years while maintaining operating cost advantages relative to petroleum fueling. System economics are shown to improve substantially with “nth-of-a-kind” capital costs. Discussion focuses on the effect of uptake trajectory on economic viability and detailed economics outcomes for light duty and heavy duty vehicles.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Benchmarking operational efficiency in waste collection: Discussion of current approaches and possible alternatives

Efficiency assessment and benchmarking are crucial for managing any organization. However, especially from a regulatory perspective, such efficiency assessment and benchmarking must be unbiased from context-specific issues and should provide an absolute rating, rather than a relative one. The current work reviews the approaches used for performance assessment and benchmarking waste collection services, revealing that the majority are biased and are not absolute, and proposes two alternative context-unbiased and absolute performance indicators, the collection capacity use (CCU) and the segregated waste collection efficiency (SWE). The proposed indicators were calculated for 246 utilities operating in Portugal. The utilities were then ranked accordingly, and their position was compared with the position attained using the equivalent performance indicators in the system currently in use by the Portuguese service regulator. The results reveal ranking differences of over 50 positions and illustrate how misleading the results from context-biased and relative metrics can be.

Sousa, V.↗

Cell Wall Compositions of Sorghum bicolor Leaves and Roots Remain Relatively Constant Under Drought Conditions

Renewable fuels are needed to replace fossil fuels in the immediate future. Lignocellulosic bioenergy crops provide a renewable alternative that sequesters atmospheric carbon. To prevent displacement of food crops, it would be advantageous to grow biofuel crops on marginal lands. These lands will likely face more frequent and extreme drought conditions than conventional agricultural land, so it is crucial to see how proposed bioenergy crops fare under these conditions and how that may affect lignocellulosic biomass composition and saccharification properties. We found that while drought impacts the plant cell wall of Sorghum bicolor differently according to tissue and timing of drought induction, drought-induced cell wall compositional modifications are relatively minor and produce no negative effect on biomass conversion. This contrasts with the cell wall-related transcriptome, which had a varied range of highly variable genes (HVGs) within four cell wall-related GO categories, depending on the tissues surveyed and time of drought induction. Further, many HVGs had expression changes in which putative impacts were not seen in the physical cell wall or which were in opposition to their putative impacts. Interestingly, most pre-flowering drought-induced cell wall changes occurred in the leaf, with matrix and lignin compositional changes that did not persist after recovery from drought. Most measurable physical post-flowering cell wall changes occurred in the root, affecting mainly polysaccharide composition and cross-linking. This study couples transcriptomics to cell wall chemical analyses of a C4 grass experiencing progressive and differing drought stresses in the field. As such, we can analyze the cell wall-specific response to agriculturally relevant drought stresses on the transcriptomic level and see whether those changes translate to compositional or biomass conversion differences. Our results bolster the conclusion that drought stress does not substantially affect the cell wall composition of specific aerial and subterranean biomass nor impede enzymatic hydrolysis of leaf biomass, a positive result for biorefinery processes. Coupled with previously reported results on the root microbiome and rhizosphere and whole transcriptome analyses of this study, we can formulate and test hypotheses on individual gene candidates’ function in mediating drought stress in the grass cell wall, as demonstrated in sorghum.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

An alternating direction implicit method for the Control Data STAR-100 vector computer

An implementation of the alternating direction implicit (ADI) method for the Control Data STAR-100 computer is presented and analyzed. Two parallel algorithms, both of which are most efficient when used to solve many independent tridiagonal systems of equations, are discussed relative to their usefulness in an ADI implementation on the STAR-100 computer. It is shown that it may be desirable to alternate between the parallel algorithms as the direction of implicitness is alternated in order to eliminate the data rearrangement which would otherwise be required. The applicability of the two parallel tridiagonal solvers to several other numerical algorithms is also discussed.

Lambiotte, J. J., Jr.↗

Contribution of Chlorophyll Fluorescence to the Apparent Reflectance of Vegetation

Current strategies for monitoring the physiologic status of terrestrial vegetation rely on remote sensing reflectance (R) measurements, whi ch provide estimates of relative vegetation vigor based primarily on chlorophyll content. Vegetation chlorophyll fluorescence (CF) offers a non-destructive alternative and a more direct approach for diagnosis of vegetation stress before a significant reduction in chlorophyll content has occurred. Thus, monitoring of vegetation vigor based on CF may allow earlier stress detection and more accurate carbon sequestra tion estimates, than is possible using R data alone. However, the observed apparent vegetation reflectance (Ra) in reality includes contrib utions from both the reflected and fluoresced radiation. The aim of t his study is to determine the relative R and CF fractions contributing to Ra from the vegetation in the red to near-infrared region of the spectrum. The practical objectives of the study are to: 1) evaluate t he relationship between CF and R at the foliar level for corn, soybean, maple; and 2) for corn, determine if the relationship established f or healthy (optimal N) vegetation changes under N defiiency. To obtai n generally applicable results, experimental measurements were conducted on unrelated crop and tree species (maple, soybean and corn), unde r controlled conditions and a gradient of inorganic N fertilization l evels. Optical R spectra and actively induced CF emissions were obtained on the same foliar samples, in conjunction with measurements of p hotosynthetic function, pigment levels, and C and N content. The comm on spectral trends or similarities were examined. On average, 10-20% of apparent R at 685 nm was actually due to CF. The spectral trends in steady and maximum F varied significantly, with Fs (especially red) showing higher ability for species and treatment separation. The relative contribution of ChF to R varied significantly among species, with maple emitting much higher F amounts, as compared to corn and soybea n. Fs individual red and far-red bands and their ratio exhibited consistent species separations. For corn, the relative CF fraction increased in concert with the nutrient stress levels from <2% for non-stressed foliage to >7% for severely nutrient deficient plants. F685s provide d optimal treatment separation. This study confirms the trends in F68 5sE740s associated with N deficiency and vegetation stress, established usmg single narrow band excitation.

Campbell, P. K. Entcheva↗

Discrete element modeling of deformable pinewood chips in cyclic loading test

The design of efficient lignocellulosic biomass feedstock systems is challenging, as current laboratory characterization and design methods were developed primarily for fine powders with relatively low compressibility. Here, the discrete element method (DEM) is gaining prominence as an alternative method for modeling the bulk flow and transport of particulate materials in hoppers and feeders. However, prior DEM simulations investigating the flow of wood chips modeled the particles as simple rigid geometries such as spheres, rods or blocks, and neglected the effects of particle deformability and irregular shapes. As a consequence, those simplified DEM models may not provide enough key diagnosis to help improve the design of biomass feeding and handling equipment. This work presents a bonded-sphere DEM approach for characterizing the mechanical behavior of bulk flexible, deformable pinewood chips in a cyclic stress loading test. Clustered spheres that can bend and twist via elastic bonds are used to model irregular-shape particles in real pinewood chip samples. An axial compression tester, which contains 0.06 million bonded-sphere particles (1.35 million spheres) in a quarter cylinder, is simulated with a domain size similar to the experiments. With careful calibration, the simulations have delivered the bulk densities and the bulk moduli of elasticity that are in good agreement with those measured in the corresponding experiments. However, it is also been found challenging for the present DEM model to accurately predict the overall stress-strain behavior of bulk pinewood chips, especially the large sustained plastic deformation during unloading. Additional numerical tests have shown that the adjustment in certain contact parameters (e.g. bond stiffness) can lead to profound solution improvement, but meanwhile will induce extra challenges such as increased computing time. Future work will include an elasto-plastic particle bond model to enhance the simulation fidelity.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The “Fresnel Equations” for Diffuse radiation on Inclined photovoltaic Surfaces (FEDIS)

Here the well-known Fresnel equations solve for the reflection and transmission of light for precise incident angles. The transmission of diffuse radiation incident on a planar or domed surface is often needed for real-world applications. Due to the complexity of the Fresnel equations, the analytical solution of the integration has hitherto been unobtainable over the last centuries. Therefore, this problem was numerically solved by integrating the angular transmittances in space often leading to substantial computing burden and bias in the results. To efficiently estimate the solar energy resource for a glass-covered photovoltaic (PV) module, we derive an analytical solution of diffuse transmission based on the rigorous integration of an alternate form of the Fresnel equations. The approach leads to a simple yet accurate relative transmittance model that reconciles the solar energy sensed by pyranometers and PV panels. With limited and clearly stated approximations, the complex mathematical derivation resulted in an elegant solution. An experiment using 1-year of data at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) Solar Radiation Research Laboratory (SRRL) shows that the new model dramatically decreases the disparity between the solar radiation measurements by a Kipp and Zonen CM Pyranometer 22 (CMP22) and an IMT reference cell on a 1-axis tracking system. The solution in this paper can be widely used in scientific and engineering research, development, and applications wherever the Fresnel equations are used.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Initial results and designs of dual-filter and plenoptic imaging for high-temperature plasmas

Mass injection has found new applications in magnetic fusion including edge-localized-mode control. Better understanding of injected-mass-plasma interactions requires spatially and temporally resolved diagnostics that can characterize the dynamics of the mass interactions with plasmas. Fast imaging can be used to characterize the ionization dynamics such as the propagation of the ionization front, which moves at the thermal sound or higher speed, and mixing of the neutral atoms with the ambient plasma. Multi-wavelength spectral imaging is promising since different parts of the plasma give different spectral signatures. Here in this paper we describe a dual-spectral imaging technique based on a monochromatic camera sensor and filters with two passing optical wavelengths. The method is shown to improve image contrast, and it compares favorably with alternatives such as color cameras and methods using a filter wheel. Further improvements through relative filter area ratios and plenoptic imaging are possible. Finally, the initial results from EAST and plenoptic imaging are also included.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Experimental demonstration of transient CHI start-up using a floating biased electrode configuration

Transient coaxial helicity injection (CHI) current start-up in a spherical tokamak (ST) has been demonstrated for the first time using a reactor-relevant floating single biased (FSB) electrode configuration on QUEST. Unlike previous applications of CHI on HIT-II and on NSTX in which the entire ST vessel was split in two using two toroidal ceramic rings as vacuum breaks, in the FSB electrode configuration on QUEST, only the lower outer divertor plate is electrically insulated from the rest of the vessel. This is the CHI injector region. A CHI discharge is generated by driving current, using an external power supply, along magnetic field lines that connect the inner and outer divertor plates in the CHI injector region. The CHI plasma evolution and closed flux formation on QUEST are very similar to those on NSTX and have generated toroidal currents of 150 kA with 100 kA of current flowing on closed flux surfaces. An alternate, force-free model approach has been used to derive the CHI scaling relations. The resulting CHI scaling relations from the model are consistent with the conventional CHI scaling relations, which state that the CHI generated toroidal current is proportional to the CHI injector flux and the CHI injector current is inversely proportional to the toroidal field. These results from QUEST bode well for the application of CHI in a new generation of compact high field STs and low aspect ratio tokamaks in which the space for the central solenoid is very restricted.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Black hole perturbations and quasinormal modes in hybrid metric-Palatini gravity

The rapid advancement of gravitational wave astronomy in recent years has paved the way for the burgeoning development of black hole spectroscopy, which enhances the possibility of testing black holes by their quasinormal modes (QNMs). In this paper, the axial gravitational perturbations and the QNM frequencies of black holes in the hybrid metric-Palatini gravity (HMPG) are investigated. Additionally, the HMPG theory is characterized by a dynamical scalar degree of freedom and is able to explain the late-time accelerating expansion of the universe without introducing any ad hoc screening mechanism to preserve the dynamics at the Solar System scale. We obtain the master equation governing the axial gravitational perturbations of the HMPG black holes and calculate the QNM frequencies. Moreover, in the scrutiny of the black holes and their QNMs, we take into account the constraints on the model parameters based on the post-Newtonian analysis, and show how the QNM frequencies of the HMPG black holes would be altered in the observationally consistent range of parameter space.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗