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Toward a Climate OSSE Framework for Satellite Mission Design

The rich history of observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) does not yet include a well-established framework for using climate models. The need for a climate OSSE is triggered by the need to quantify the value of a particular measurement for reducing the uncertainty in climate predictions, which differ from numerical weather predictions in that they depend on future atmospheric composition rather than the current state of the weather. However, both weather and climate modeling communities share a need for motivating major observing system investments. Here, we outline a new framework for climate OSSEs that leverages the use of machine learning to calibrate climate model physics against existing satellite data. We demonstrate its application using NASA’s GISS-E3 model to objectively quantify the value of potential future improvements in spaceborne measurements of Earth’s planetary boundary layer. A mature climate OSSE framework should be able to quantitatively compare the ability of proposed observing system architectures to answer a climate-related question, thus offering added value throughout the mission design process, which is subject to increasingly rapid advances in instrument and satellite technology. Technical considerations include selection of observational benchmarks and climate projection metrics, approaches to pinpoint the sources of model physics uncertainty that dominate uncertainty in projections, and the use of instrument simulators. Community and policy-making considerations include the potential to interface with an established culture of model intercomparison projects and a growing need to economically assess the value-driven efficiency of social spending on Earth observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Biomimetic catalysts responsive to specific chemical signals

Part 1. Design of Biomimetic Catalysts Based on Amphiphilic Systems The overall objective of our research is to create biomimetic catalysts from amphiphilic molecules. More specifically, we aim to create supramolecular systems that can be used to control the microenvironment around a catalytic center in a biomimetic fashion and apply the learning to construct supramolecular catalysts with novel functions found in enzymatic catalysts. We have prepared synthetic molecules (i.e., foldamers) that could fold into helical structures with nanometer-sized internal hydrophilic cavities. Cavities of this size are typically observed only in the tertiary and quaternary structures of proteins but were formed in our foldamer prepared in just a few steps from the monomer. Similar to many proteins, our foldamers displayed cooperativity in the folding/unfolding equilibrium and followed a two-state conformational transition. In addition, their conformational change could be triggered by solvent polarity, pH, or presence of metal ions and certain organic molecules. We studied their environmentally dependent conformational changes in solutions, surfactant micelles, and lipid bilayer membranes. Unlike conventional rigid supramolecular host, a foldamer undergoes conformational change during guest binding. Our study in the molecular recognition of an oligocholate host yielded some extremely exciting results. Cooperativity between host conformation and host–guest interactions was found to “magnify” weak binding interactions. In other words, since binding affinity is determined by the overall change of free energy during the binding, guest-induced conformational change of the host, whether near or far from the binding site, affects the binding. This study has strong implications in catalysis because enzymes have been hypothesized to harvest similar intramolecular forces to strengthen their binding with the transition state of an enzyme-catalyzed reaction. The supramolecular and amphiphilic principles used in the foldamer catalysts were extended to a few other systems, particularly to interfacially cross-linked reverse micelles and micelles. These features enabled unusual catalytic features such as basic/nucleophilic catalysis under acidic conditions. We were able to create highly active metal nanoclusters catalysts whose local environment could be tuned by the organic framework. We were even able to create a “catalytic nanomachine” that grabs the substrate to the encapsulated Au clusters, which efficiently convert the substrate to the product that is rapidly ejected due to its different binding properties. Our research has important impacts on fundamental and applied energy-related sciences. On the fundamental level, it tests important biocatalytic principles on relatively simple synthetic systems and is expected to afford deeper understanding of biological catalysis. On the practical level, the research is anticipated to lead to “smart” catalysts and open up exiting applications in chemical analysis, reaction control, and materials synthesis. Part 2. Electrochemical Reduction of CO₂ The primary objective of our research involving the electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide is to apply a multidisciplinary approach toward developing a greater understanding of the problem of efficiently converting CO₂ to hydrocarbons through electrochemical routes. Our goal is to provide a better understanding of the principles that underlie the electrocatalytic reduction of CO₂ at electrode surfaces and the molecular pathways that lead to desired compounds. This understanding is essential for the design and development of new catalytic materials for the selective production of renewable feedstocks. The electrochemical reduction of CO₂ involves the formation of various reaction products and adsorbed intermediates whose distribution depends upon the nature of the electrode material and the electrochemical conditions, including applied potential, solvent, and electrolyte, used during reduction. Our efforts are focused on developing a detailed picture of how these various parameters impact the reaction pathway for CO₂ reduction and to tune this reaction to favor the formation of specific products by careful selection of electrode materials and reaction conditions. Our experimental plan includes a detailed examination of the electrode material as well as a quantitative evaluation of the reaction conditions using several in-situ analysis tools that give a direct measure of adsorbed and solution species that appear during CO₂ reduction. During the first year of funding for this aspect of the project, we have developed an on-line electrochemical measurement tool utilizing membrane-introduction mass spectrometry to detect reactions products directly during the electrochemical reduction of CO₂on various sputtered electrode materials. In addition, we have examined the role of a selection of different electrode compositions (including single component and binary electrodes) on product distributions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impacts of Pasture Conversion to Sugarcane on Water Fluxes and Water Use Efficiency in the Southeastern US

The expansion of sugarcane (cane), a high-yielding perennial crop, will likely reshape the bioenergy landscape in the Southeastern US. However, its ecohydrological implications, particularly following conversion from grazed pastures, a dominant land use in the region, remain highly uncertain. We investigated the impact of cane expansion on evapotranspiration (ET) and its partitioning, and the mechanisms influencing both ET components and water use efficiency (WUE) across multiple scales and growth cycles in subtropical Florida. We combined eddy covariance, biometric measurements, and process-based stomatal conductance (g s ) models. ET was 1.7% lower in cane than in improved pasture (IMP) but exceeded that in semi-native pasture (SN) by 21%. Transpiration (T) followed a similar pattern, consistent with lower g s in cane relative to IMP. Cane had more conservative water use and greater sensitivity of g s to vapor pressure deficit (VPD) compared to IMP pasture, suggesting cane may be more tolerant of increasing atmospheric water demand. In contrast, SN showed lower g s and weaker stomatal sensitivity to VPD compared to cane, resulting in lower T. In cane, stomatal regulation and T varied across growth cycles, with stomata becoming less water conservative as stands matured, highlighting the importance of incorporating stand age-dependent stomatal regulation into hydrological models. Evaporation (E) was higher in cane than pastures (19%–26%), partially offsetting WUE gains. Cane exhibited higher intrinsic WUE (GPP/g s ; Gross Primary Productivity), ecosystem WUE (GPP/ET), and harvest WUE (harvest/ET) than both pasture types. Large-scale pasture-to-cane conversion could produce widely contrasting hydrological outcomes. The net regional impact will depend on the proportion of each pasture type converted and on cane's high g s sensitivity to VPD, which triggers tight stomatal regulation and conservative water use, both of which will become increasingly consequential under intensifying atmospheric water demand.

bioenergy↗

A Synchronized Sensor Array for Remote Monitoring of Avian and Bat Interactions with Offshore Renewable Energy Facilities

Wind energy production in the U.S. is projected to increase to 35% of our nation’s energy by 2050. This substantial increase in the U.S. is only a portion of the global wind industry growth, as many countries strive to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. A major environmental concern and potential market barrier for expansion of wind energy is bird and bat mortality from impacts with turbine blades, towers, and nacelles. Carcass surveys are the standard protocol for quantifying mortality at onshore sites. This method is imperfect, however, due to survey frequency at remote sites, removal of carcasses by scavengers between surveys, searcher efficiency, and other biases as well as delays of days to weeks or more in obtaining information on collision events. Furthermore, carcass surveys are not feasible at offshore wind energy sites. Near-real-time detection and quantification of interaction rates is possible at both onshore and offshore wind facilities using an onboard, integrated sensor package with data transmitted to central processing centers. We developed and experimentally tested an array of sensors that continuously monitors for interactions (including impacts) of birds and bats with wind turbines. The synchronized array includes three sensor nodes: (1) vibration (accelerometers and contact microphones), (2) optical (visual and infrared spectrum cameras), and (3) bioacoustics (acoustic and ultrasonic microphones). Accelerometers and contact acoustic microphones are placed at the root of each blade to detect impact vibrations and sound waves propagating through the structure. On-board data processing algorithms using wavelet analysis detect impact signals exceeding background vibration. Stereo-visual and infrared cameras were placed on the nacelle to allow target tracking, distance, and size calculations. On-board image processing and target detection algorithms identify moving targets within the camera field of view. Bioacoustic recorders monitor vocalizations and echolocations to aid in identifying organisms involved in interactions. Data from all sensors are temporarily stored in ring (i.e., circular) buffers with a duration varying by sensor type. Detection of target presence or impact by any of the sensors can trigger the archiving of data from all buffers for transmission to a central data processing center for evaluation and post-processing. This mitigates the risk of “data mortgages” posed by continual recording and minimizes personnel time required to manually review event data. We first conducted individual component tests at laboratories and field sites in Corvallis and Newport, Oregon, and Seattle and Sequim, Washington. We conducted additional component tests on research wind turbines at the North American Wind Research and Training Center, Mesalands Community College (MCC; General Electric 1.5 MW turbine), New Mexico, and the National Wind Technology Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL; Controls Advanced Research Turbines 3 [CART 3] 600 kW Westinghouse turbine), Colorado. We conducted fully integrated system tests at NREL in October 2014 and April 2015. We used only research wind turbines so that we could conduct controlled, experimentally generated impacts using empty and water-filled tennis balls shot from a compressed air cannon on the ground. The approx. 57-140 g tennis balls (depending on water content) were at the upper mass range for bats, but lower mass range for marine birds. Therefore, the ability to detect collisions of most seabirds is likely greater than our experiments demonstrate, but possibly lower for some bats depending on the background signal of a given turbine. Vibration data demonstrated that background signals of operating turbines varied markedly among the CART 3 under normal operation (greatest), GE (moderate), and CART 3 during idle rotation (generator not engaged; least). In total, we measured 63 experimental blade impacts on the two research turbines. Impaction detection was dependent on background signals, position of impact on the blade (a tip strike resulted in the strongest impact signal), and impact kinetics (velocity of ball and whether the ball struck the surface of the blade or the leading edge of the blade struck the ball). Overall detection percentage ranged from 100% for the “quietest” conditions (CART 3 idle rotation), down to 35% for the noisiest (CART 3 normal operation). Impact signals were detected from sensors on more than one blade (i.e., blades other than the blade struck) 50% - 75% of the time. Stereo imaging provided valuable metrics, but increased data processing and equipment cost. Given the cost of cameras with sufficient resolution for target identification, we suggest mounting cameras directly on the blades to continuously view the entire rotor swept area with the fewest number of cameras. Bioacoustic microphones provide taxonomic identification, as well as information on ambient noise levels. They also assist in identifying environmental conditions such as hail storms, high winds, thunder, lightning, etc., that may contribute to a collision or a false positive detection. We demonstrated a proof of concept for an integrated sensor array to detect and identify bird and bat collisions with wind turbines. The next phase of research and development for this system will miniaturize and integrate sensors from all three nodes into a single wireless package that can be attached directly to the blade. This next generation system would use all “smart” sensors capable of onboard data processing to drastically reduce data streams and processing time on a central computer. A provisional patent for the blade mounted system was submitted by Oregon State University and recorded by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (application no. 62313028). Eventually, technology and industry advances will allow this low cost monitoring system to be designed into materials during manufacturing so that all turbines could be monitored with either a subset or full suite of sensors. As standard equipment on all commercial turbines, the sensor suite would allow the industry to effectively monitor whether individual turbines were causing mortalities or not and under what circumstances. It would also provide real-time evaluation of mechanical and structural integrity of a turbine via vibration, image, and acoustic data streams, thereby permitting modifications in operation to limit environmental or mechanical damage.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

COOLR: A New System for Dynamic Thermal-Aware Computing

Extreme-scale systems need to walk a fine line between the amount of cooling they receive and the thermal-induced performance and reliability degradation they can sustain. System managers are extremely motivated to battle cooling-energy cost: the largest line item in their total operating cost. On the other hand, pushing the nodes to peak performance in tightened cooling regimes places the burden on the dynamic thermal management (DTM) to protect the hardware. DTM schemes throttle performance to relieve heat accumulation within nodes when cooling cannot mitigate the problem. These interventions prevent fatal failures but introduce inevitable performance degradations and variations. Such variations can have drastic consequences on the performance of extreme-scale systems. Furthermore, distribution of heat across different system nodes depends not only on the amount of workload. Even if a strictly equal share of computational load is assigned to all nodes, there are physical attributes and topological features of each system that inherently cause uneven accumulation of heat. These can cause one subcomponent to trigger DTM prematurely and penalize the overall system. Our goal in this project is to create a holistic thermal-aware view of the system, capturing both inherent physical attributes and dynamic system state. We developed COOLR, a dynamic system with the ability to evaluate the interplay between management of computation, data, power dissipation, and thermal state. Thereby, COOLR will achieve higher overall performance at the same energy and cooling cost. First, we performed a systematic power and thermal modeling and of high performance computing architectures. Analytical and empirical techniques were blended to generate a light-weight thermal model of target systems. Second, we developed a thermal-aware OS and runtime system. Policies for managing resources and schedules for processes has been designed to co-optimize the thermal state and performance of the system. The main outcome of our proposed thermal-aware dynamic computing system are scheduling and allocation of processes and memory accesses leading to an appropriately “skewed” distribution of activity across the system. The ultimate result of this new arrangement resulted in reduced occurrences of hotspots and reduced episodes of DTM intervention, leading to improvements in performance. The overall thermal characterization and modeling methodology (thermal instrumentation techniques, model building, and systematic model reduction) resulting from this project can be applied to systems beyond our immediate scope and will be applicable to future scaling. The thermal-aware dynamic computing paradigm will impact the efficiency of extreme-scale systems. The gained “thermal slack” can be given back to further tighten the cooling budget, benefiting the management cost of next generation extreme-scale systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Electrocatalytic water oxidation performance in an extended porous organic framework with a covalent alliance of distinct Ru sites

The rational synthesis of durable, earth-abundant efficient electrocatalysts for the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) from water is one of the most important routes for storing renewable energy and minimizing fossil fuel combustion. The prime hurdles for effectively utilizing commercial RuO 2 as (OER) electrocatalysts are its very low stability, catalyst deactivation, and high cost. In this work, we explored a Ru-integrated porous organic polymer (Ru@Bpy-POP) by a facile one-pot Friedel–Crafts alkylation strategy between redox-active (Ru(demob) 3 Cl 2 ) and a carbazole unit, which is composed of unique features including an extended framework unit, isolated active sites, and tunable electrode kinetics. Ru@Bpy-POP can serve as a bridge between a Metal–Organic Framework (MOF) and POP-based catalytic systems with a balanced combination of covalent bonds (structural stability) and open metal sites (single site catalysis). Ru@Bpy-POP, deposited on a three-dimensional nickel foam electrode support, exhibits a promising electrocatalytic OER activity with an ultra-low ruthenium loading compared to a benchmark RuO 2 catalyst, providing an overpotential of about 270 mV to reach 10 mA cm –2 in an alkaline medium. Moreover, a high current density of 248 mA cm –2 was achieved for the Ru@Bpy-POP catalyst at only 1.6 V (vs. RHE), which is much higher than 91 mA cm –2 for commercial RuO 2 . The robust, albeit highly conjugated, POP framework not only triggered facile electro-kinetics but also suppressed aggregation and metallic corrosion during electrolysis. In particular, the benefits of covalent integration of distinct Ru sites into the framework can modulate intermediate adsorption and charge density, which contributes to its exceptional OER activity. All of the critical steps involved in OER are complemented by Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations, which suggest that electrocatalytic water oxidation proceeds from a closed-shell configuration to open-shell electronic configurations with high-spin states. Finally, these open-shell configurations are more stable than their closed-shell counterparts by 1 eV, improving the overall catalytic activity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Direct and Sensitive Electrochemical Evaluation of Pramipexole Using Graphitic Carbon Nitride (gCN) Sensor

Pramipexole (PMXL) belongs to the benzothiazole class of aromatic compounds and is used in treating Parkinson’s disease; however, overdosage leads to some abnormal effects that could trigger severe side effects. Therefore, it demands a sensitive analytical tool for trace level detection. In this work, we successfully developed an electrochemical sensor for the trace level detection of PMXL, using the voltammetric method. For the analysis, graphitic carbon nitride (gCN) was opted and synthesized by using a high-temperature thermal condensation method. The synthesized nanoparticles were employed for surface characterization, using transmission electron microscopy (TEM), X-ray diffraction (XRD), and atomic force microscopy (AFM) techniques. The electrochemical characterization of the material was evaluated by using the electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) technique to evaluate the solution–electrode interface property. The cyclic voltammetry (CV) behavior of PMXL displayed an anodic peak in the forward scan, indicating that PMXL underwent electrooxidation, and an enhanced detection peak with lower detection potential was achieved for gCN-modified carbon paste electrode (gCN·CPE). The influence of different parameters on the electrochemical behavior was analyzed, revealing the diffusion governing the electrode process with an equal number of hydronium ions and electron involvement. For the fabricated gCN·CPE, good linearity range was noticed from 0.05 to 500 µM, and a lower detection limit (L D ) of 0.012 µM was achieved for the selected concentration range (0.5 to 30 µM). Selectivity of the electrode in PMXL detection was investigated by conducting an interference study, while the tablet sample analysis demonstrates the sensitive and real-time application of the electrode. The good recovery values for the analysis illustrate the efficiency of the electrode for PMXL analysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Different X-ray spectral evolution for black hole X-ray binaries in dual tracks of radio-X-ray correlation

Recently, an 'outlier' track of radio-X-ray correlation was found, which is much steeper than the former universal correlation, where dual tracks were speculated to be triggered by different accretion processes. In this work, we test this issue by exploring hard X-ray spectral evolution in four black-hole X-ray binaries with multiple, quasi-simultaneous radio and X-ray observations. First, we find that hard X-ray photon indices, Γ, are negatively and positively correlated with X-ray fluxes when the X-ray flux, F{sub 3-9} {sub keV}, is below and above a critical flux, F{sub X,} {sub crit}, which are consistent with predictions of the advection-dominated accretion flow and the disk-corona model, respectively. Second, and most importantly, we find that the radio-X-ray correlations are also clearly different when the X-ray fluxes are higher and lower than the critical flux as defined by X-ray spectral evolution. The data points with F{sub 3-9} {sub keV} ≳ F{sub X,} {sub crit} have a steeper radio-X-ray correlation (F{sub X}∝F{sub R}{sup b} and b ∼ 1.1-1.4), which roughly forms the ''outlier'' track. However, the data points with anti-correlation of Γ – F{sub 3-9} {sub keV} either stay in the universal track with b ∼ 0.61 or stay in the transition track (from the universal to 'outlier' tracks or vice versa). Therefore, our results support that the universal and ''outlier'' tracks of radio-X-ray correlations are regulated by radiatively inefficient and radiatively efficient accretion model, respectively.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Predicting cutoff L-shells of solar protons using the GPPSn particle dataset

Solar energetic protons (SEPs) arriving at the Earth trigger severe radiation storms in the near-Earth space, directly impacting space missions operating at various altitudes. Therefore, monitoring SEP events and predicting the penetration depths of solar protons are critical for aerospace sectors. Building on previous efforts, here we demonstrate the feasibility of using proton measurements from the Global Prompt Proton Sensor network (GPPSn), enabled by Los Alamos National Laboratory developed combined X-ray dosimeters aboard GPS satellites, to characterize and predict the penetration of solar protons into the geomagnetic field. The inclined medium-Earth-orbits (MEOs) of the global GPS constellation offer a unique advantage of allowing simultaneous measurements of penetrating solar protons inside both open- and closed-field line regions. Therefore, the L-profiles of ∼10s–100 MeV solar protons and their associated cutoff L-shells can be determined from the GPPSn dataset, using predefined threshold proton flux values rather than traditional flux ratios. After examining a list of SEP event intervals across solar cycles 23, 24 and 25—including the 2024 Mother’s Day superstorm, we showcase how the latest GPPSn proton dataset (release v1.10), reprocessed and calibrated, can not only be used to monitor solar proton distributions inside the dynamic geomagnetic field for individual events, but also to derive a new empirical model linking cutoff L-shells with several key space weather parameters. This newly developed SEPCL-MEO model demonstrates high predictive performance; for example, predictions for > 30 MeV solar protons yield a correlation coefficient of 0.85 and performance efficiency of 0.67 when validated against GPPSn observations. Results from this pilot study underscores the scientific and operational value of the GPPSn dataset, and this dataset—when paired with machine-learning techniques—can play a critical role in observing and predicting the effects of future incoming SEP events, including extreme ones.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Annual cycle of aerosol properties over the central Arctic during MOSAiC 2019–2020 – light-extinction, CCN, and INP levels from the boundary layer to the tropopause

Abstract. The MOSAiC (Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate) expedition was the largest Arctic field campaign ever conducted. MOSAiC offered the unique opportunity to monitor and characterize aerosols and clouds with high vertical resolution up to 30 km height at latitudes from 80 to 90∘ N over an entire year (October 2019 to September 2020). Without a clear knowledge of the complex aerosol layering, vertical structures, and dominant aerosol types and their impact on cloud formation, a full understanding of the meteorological processes in the Arctic, and thus advanced climate change research, is impossible. Widespread ground-based in situ observations in the Arctic are insufficient to provide these required aerosol and cloud data. In this article, a summary of our MOSAiC observations of tropospheric aerosol profiles with a state-of-the-art multiwavelength polarization Raman lidar aboard the icebreaker Polarstern is presented. Particle optical properties, i.e., light-extinction profiles and aerosol optical thickness (AOT), and estimates of cloud-relevant aerosol properties such as the number concentration of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice-nucleating particles (INPs) are discussed, separately for the lowest part of the troposphere (atmospheric boundary layer, ABL), within the lower free troposphere (around 2000 m height), and at the cirrus level close to the tropopause. In situ observations of the particle number concentration and INPs aboard Polarstern are included in the study. A strong decrease in the aerosol amount with height in winter and moderate vertical variations in summer were observed in terms of the particle extinction coefficient. The 532 nm light-extinction values dropped from >50 Mm−1 close to the surface to <5 Mm−1 at 4–6 km height in the winter months. Lofted, aged wildfire smoke layers caused a re-increase in the aerosol concentration towards the tropopause. In summer (June to August 2020), much lower particle extinction coefficients, frequently as low as 1–5 Mm−1, were observed in the ABL. Aerosol removal, controlled by in-cloud and below-cloud scavenging processes (widely suppressed in winter and very efficient in summer) in the lowermost 1–2 km of the atmosphere, seems to be the main reason for the strong differences between winter and summer aerosol conditions. A complete annual cycle of the AOT in the central Arctic could be measured. This is a valuable addition to the summertime observations with the sun photometers of the Arctic Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). In line with the pronounced annual cycle in the aerosol optical properties, typical CCN number concentrations (0.2 % supersaturation level) ranged from 50–500 cm−3 in winter to 10–100 cm−3 in summer in the ABL. In the lower free troposphere (at 2000 m), however, the CCN level was roughly constant throughout the year, with values mostly from 30 to 100 cm−3. A strong contrast between winter and summer was also given in terms of ABL INPs which control ice production in low-level clouds. While soil dust (from surrounding continents) is probably the main INP type during the autumn, winter, and spring months, local sea spray aerosol (with a biogenic aerosol component) seems to dominate the ice nucleation in the ABL during the summer months (June–August). The strong winter vs. summer contrast in the INP number concentration by roughly 2–3 orders of magnitude in the lower troposphere is, however, mainly caused by the strong cloud temperature contrast. A unique event of the MOSAiC expedition was the occurrence of a long-lasting wildfire smoke layer in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Our observations suggest that the smoke particles frequently triggered cirrus formation close to the tropopause from October 2019 to May 2020.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Growth and evolution of thermal instabilities in idealized galaxy cluster cores

Heat input roughly balances radiative cooling in the gaseous cores of galaxy clusters even when the central cooling time is short, implying that cooling triggers a feedback loop that maintains thermal balance. Furthermore, cores with short cooling times tend to have multiphase structure, suggesting that the intracluster medium (ICM) becomes locally thermally unstable for cooling times ≲1 Gyr. Both observations and theoretical models have linked the condensation of cold gas with heating by an active galactic nucleus (AGN) through a cycle in which cooling gas fuels the AGN and drives energetic outbursts that reheat the ICM and maintain a state of approximate thermal balance. In this work, we use 2D and 3D hydrodynamic simulations to study the onset of condensation in idealized galaxy-cluster cores. In particular, we look at how the condensation process depends on the ratio of cooling time to freefall time and on the geometry of the gravitational potential. We conclude that the ICM can always evolve to a state in which condensation occurs if given enough time, but that an initial timescale ratio t{sub cool}/t{sub ff}≲10 is needed for thermal instability to grow quickly enough to affect realistic cluster cores within a timescale that is relevant for cosmological structure formation. We find that instability leads to convection and that perturbations continue to grow while the gas convects. Condensation occurs when the timescale ratio in the low-entropy tail of the perturbation distribution drops below t{sub cool}/t{sub ff}≲3, even if the volume-averaged timescale ratio is substantially greater. In our simulations, the geometry of the gravitational potential does not have a strong effect on thermal stability. Finally, we find that if condensation is powering feedback, a conversion efficiency of around 10{sup −3} for converting the condensed mass into thermal energy is sufficient to maintain thermal balance in the ICM.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Histidine 375 Modulates CD4 Binding in HIV-1 CRF01_AE Envelope Glycoproteins

The envelope glycoproteins (Envs) from human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) mediate viral entry. The binding of the HIV-1 gp120 glycoprotein to CD4 triggers conformational changes in gp120 that allow high-affinity binding to its coreceptors. In contrast to all other Envs from the same phylogenetic group, M, which possess a serine (S) at position 375, those from CRF01_AE strains possess a histidine (H) at this location. This residue is part of the Phe43 cavity, where residue 43 of CD4 (a phenylalanine) engages with gp120. Here we evaluated the functional consequences of replacing this residue in two CRF01_AE Envs (CM244 and 92TH023) by a serine. We observed that reversion of amino acid 375 to a serine (H375S) resulted in a loss of functionality of both CRF01_AE Envs as measured by a dramatic loss in infectivity and ability to mediate cell-to-cell fusion. While no effects on processing or trimer stability of these variants were observed, decreased functionality could be linked to a major defect in CD4 binding induced by the replacement of H375 by a serine. Importantly, mutations of residues 61 (layer 1), 105 and 108 (layer 2), and 474 to 476 (layer 3) of the CRF01_AE gp120 inner domain layers to the consensus residues present in group M restored CD4 binding and wild-type levels of infectivity and cell-to-cell fusion. These results suggest a functional coevolution between the Phe43 cavity and the gp120 inner domain layers. Altogether, our observations describe the functional importance of amino acid 375H in CRF01_AE envelopes. IMPORTANCE A highly conserved serine located at position 375 in group M is replaced by a histidine in CRF01_AE Envs. Here we show that H375 is required for efficient CRF01_AE Env binding to CD4. Furthermore, this work suggests that specific residues of the gp120 inner domain layers have coevolved with H375 in order to maintain its ability to mediate viral entry.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of SiPM physics parameters down to cryogenic temperatures and for a bio-medical application

Silicon PhotoMultiplier (SiPM) detector has become a suitable visible light/photon detector for many applications like high energy physics and neutrino experiments, fluorescence detection, bio-photonics and medical imaging. The first part of my thesis was oriented to the studies of SiPM physics parameters as a function of temperature. Particularly, recent KETEK devices (year 2015) with different technological characteristics like p/n and n/p junctions, with and without trench technology, and different widths of epitaxial layer were studied in the temperature range from 308.15 K (+35°C) down to 238.15 K (-35°C). In addition, the Hamamatsu devices from 2011 production run as well as new devices from 2015 year, with improved technological characteristics inducing a reduced noise, were investigated in a wider temperature range from 318.15 K (+45°C) down to 98.15 K (-175°C). For these purposes, I participated to the design, installation, commissioning and calibration of a cryogenic experimental setup dedicated to electrical, optical and temperature studies of SiPM devices. Also, I have developed an automatic analysis procedure able to handle in a short time an impressive quantity of experimental data (i.e. tens of Gb/device) and to give a precise and fast information on main SiPM parameters and their temperature dependence. I have also developed a physical modeldescribing the DC I-V curves of SiPM detectors at different temperatures. The proposed model fits well the shape of IV curve in a very large currents range from 10⁻¹² A up to 10⁻⁵ A over the full working range of various devices. Consequently, the IV model can be used as a simple and fast method for determination of SiPM parameters like breakdown voltage VBD, the shape of Geiger triggering probability PGeiger as a function of Vbias as well as the Vbias working range. The comparison of these parameters with those calculated from AC measurements and analyzed by the automatic procedure showed a good agreement. The second part of my thesis was oriented to the study of SiPM devices and their physical parameters required to build a prototype of betasensitive intracerebral probe. Such probe is dedicated to measure the local concentration of radiolabeled molecules on awake and freely moving animal and to study new animal models of human disorders (neurodegenerative diseases, tumor growth, and neuropsychiatric disorders). It is composed of small size, low-noise SiPM device coupled to a scintillating fiber and readout by a dedicated miniaturized low-power consumption electronics. Three SiPM devices have been chosen as the most adapted for our application: two small KETEK devices of 0.5×0.5 mm² size (with and without optical trenches, specially developed by KETEK to fulfill our requirements) and a standard Hamamatsu device of 1.3×1.3 mm² size, all devices having 50 × 50 μm² μcell size. For each SiPM the gain G, dark count rate DCR and beta sensitivity were measured as a function of Vbias and temperature. The obtained results showed that the small field of view and newly developed structure of the KETEK devices allow a large decrease of the dark count rate DCR. However, this small field of view also leads to a reduced light collection due to the thickness of the epoxy protection resin on top of the SiPM and the acceptance angle of the fiber. Since the beta sensitivity represents a tradeoff between photon detection efficiency PDE and dark count rate DCR, KETEK SiPMs exhibit similar performances in comparison with the Hamamatsu device. Preliminary results demonstrate that the beta sensitivity of KETEK devices can be significantly improved by using focusing lens between the scintillating fiber and the SiPM or by reducing the thickness of its epoxy protection resin.

Nagai, Andrii↗

Achieving Verifiable and High Integrity Instrumentation and Control Systems through Complexity Awareness and Constrained Design. Final Report

While most process control industries have been able to embrace digital Instrumentation and Control (I&C) technology to improve performance, reliability, maintainability, and efficiency of production, the nuclear industry has been relatively slow to adopt digital I&C for safety critical plant functions. There are a variety of reasons for this, but in general the nuclear industry takes a conservative stance that new technologies must mature before adoption. A deeper underlying reason for not fully realizing digital I&C and automation in nuclear power is associated with the complexity that can manifest in software-based systems that is different in nature from the complexity of their analog predecessors. Accordingly, this research pursued the development of innovative architectures and methods to “constrain complexity” to enhance verifiability of digital I&C devices. These constraints can positively impact the reduction of Software Common Cause Failures (SCCF) and other systematic errors. The architectural concept developed in this research effort is called SymPLe. SymPLe is specifically aimed at safety critical functions within Nuclear Power Plants and other critical infrastructure where constraining device complexity to support verifiability and safety case arguments is important. The SymPLe architecture is designed to promote “accessible verification” between OEM/utility engineers and the regulatory agencies who review and license nuclear power plant I&C systems. The major contributions of this work to the nuclear industry are: Demonstration of SymPLe as a viable approach to “complexity aware” I&C systems and Embedded Digital Devices.Comprehensive use of model-based design and engineering to produce verifiable I&C systems for the nuclear industry with clear findings on the usability of model-based engineering. Employ comprehensive use of model-based engineering, testing, and verification in an IEC 61508 workflow in support of design assurance. Gathered evidence of “difficult to find” design flaws found using model-based design and testing methods. Detailed the nature of these SCCFs including where they were introduced, the triggers, and how they were found. Gathered evidence on the synergistic use of practical formal methods and testing and how these methods can be used to significantly increase assurance of reduction and avoidance of design flaws.

Testing↗

Coarse-graining and hybrid methods for efficient simulation of stochastic multi-scale models of tumour growth

The development of hybrid methodologies is of current interest in both multi-scale modelling and stochastic reaction–diffusion systems regarding their applications to biology. We formulate a hybrid method for stochastic multi-scale models of cells populations that extends the remit of existing hybrid methods for reaction–diffusion systems. Such method is developed for a stochastic multi-scale model of tumour growth, i.e. population-dynamical models which account for the effects of intrinsic noise affecting both the number of cells and the intracellular dynamics. In order to formulate this method, we develop a coarse-grained approximation for both the full stochastic model and its mean-field limit. Such approximation involves averaging out the age-structure (which accounts for the multi-scale nature of the model) by assuming that the age distribution of the population settles onto equilibrium very fast. We then couple the coarse-grained mean-field model to the full stochastic multi-scale model. By doing so, within the mean-field region, we are neglecting noise in both cell numbers (population) and their birth rates (structure). This implies that, in addition to the issues that arise in stochastic-reaction diffusion systems, we need to account for the age-structure of the population when attempting to couple both descriptions. We exploit our coarse-graining model so that, within the mean-field region, the age-distribution is in equilibrium and we know its explicit form. This allows us to couple both domains consistently, as upon transference of cells from the mean-field to the stochastic region, we sample the equilibrium age distribution. Furthermore, our method allows us to investigate the effects of intracellular noise, i.e. fluctuations of the birth rate, on collective properties such as travelling wave velocity. We show that the combination of population and birth-rate noise gives rise to large fluctuations of the birth rate in the region at the leading edge of front, which cannot be accounted for by the coarse-grained model. Such fluctuations have non-trivial effects on the wave velocity. Beyond the development of a new hybrid method, we thus conclude that birth-rate fluctuations are central to a quantitatively accurate description of invasive phenomena such as tumour growth. - Highlights: • A hybrid method for stochastic multi-scale models of cells populations that extends existing hybrid methods for reaction–diffusion system. • Our analysis unveils non-trivial macroscopic effects triggered by noise at the level of structuring variables. • Our hybrid method hugely speeds up age-structured SSA simulations while preserving stochastic effects.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Unbalancing Symbiotic Nitrogen Fixation: Can We Make Effectiveness More Effective?

One of the most critical uses of carbon fuels is in generating nitrogen fertilizer. Atmospheric dinitrogen is too stable to be used directly by plants, so plants need other chemical forms of nitrogen. Nitrogen fertilizer production uses ~4% of the world’s natural gas. Making N fertilizers leverages methane’s energy content by enabling additional energy to be captured into food and fiber through increased photosynthesis. Manufacturing fertilizer is essential—without it there would only be enough combined nitrogen to feed ~3 billion of the world’s ~7 billion people. How to alter this addiction is not obvious, but the best chance to secure substantial and sustainable amounts of future N might be through symbiotic nitrogen fixation (SNF). SNF describes mutualistic interactions where nitrogen-fixing bacteria provide fixed nitrogen to their plant hosts, freeing them from the need for nitrogen fertilizers. SNF already occurs on a large scale; "biological nitrogen” contributes about 5 Tg N/yr to American agriculture, a quarter of the nitrogen needed. Improving SNF and replacing inorganic fertilizers are both important goals in establishing sustainable and more energy-efficient farming. SNF has been used in agriculture for millennia, largely by using legumes like beans or alfalfa in mixed cropping systems. Legume SNF occurs in root nodules, organs that develop after a growing root is infected by bacteria called rhizobia. In the plant cells of a legume nodule, specialized forms of rhizobia fix nitrogen and can produce enough ammonia to supply the growing plant. The exchange of photosynthetically derived plant carbon compounds for nitrogen reduced by the bacteria is the engine that drives the symbiosis. Important details about the organization of development and metabolism in SNF remain to be determined, such as how plant and bacterial metabolism are coordinated as nitrogen is being fixed and what governs the overall level of nitrogen fixation. Most bacterial mutations that affect SNF completely block fixation (e.g. are Fix – ), providing a limited window into the feedback interactions that must be part of the process. We have investigated an unusual mutant of Sinorhizobium meliloti, a symbiotic partner of alfalfa, that fixes dinitrogen at a normal rate (i.e., it is Fix + ) but is not effective in supporting plant growth (i.e., it is ineffective or Eff – ). We have shown that the mutant has a specific mutation in the glnD gene, which codes for a protein that regulates the bacterial response to nitrogen stress, among other key pathways. A Fix + Eff – phenotype contains an unavoidable puzzle—how is it possible for the bacteria to fix nitrogen at a normal rate and without benefiting the nitrogen starved plant host? After eliminating other possibilities, we proposed that the bacteria synthesize a nitrogen-containing compound that the plant can’t use so that acquiring this compound does not relieve plant nitrogen stress. Extracts of nodules made by glnD mutant strains have high concentrations of pyruvate canaline oxime (PCO), a derivative of the plant defensive compound canaline, a toxic analog of ornithine, an amino acid. Many legumes produce canaline and the related arginine mimic canavanine. For reasons we do not yet understand, the mutation in glnD appears to trigger significant overproduction of canaline in a defense response that leads to substantial synthesis of PCO. We expected the bacteria to be able to use PCO, but we have not been able to grow S. meliloti on PCO under several conditions. PCO thus appears to be a metabolic dead end for both the plant and bacteria. We also examined bacterial catabolic pathways that degrade arginine and canavanine and showed that mutation of these did not alter the symbiosis in an obvious way. In related experiments to examine the metabolic development of root nodules, we carried out an ambitious experiment to simultaneously measure metabolites and protein changes during nodule maturation. For these experiments we used a related symbiotic interaction between S. medicae and Medicago truncatula. M. truncatula has a simpler genome than alfalfa so we could identify plant proteins based on predictions from the DNA sequence. Nodules formed on Medicago grow linearly, with the least mature tissues at the tip. Because development of nitrogen fixation is accompanied by the production of the pigmented plant oxygen carrier protein leghemoglobin, we were able to locate and manually separate the tip, transitional, and mature nitrogen-fixing regions from each other. Advances in proteomic and metabolomic techniques allowed us to analyze these tissues from a pool of as few as 10 nodules. We observed correlated transitions of various enzymes in the plant and bacterial proteomes from those characteristic of free-living metabolism to the microaerobic metabolism of the nitrogen-fixing tissues. The metabolome could not be separated into plant and bacterial domains but was consistent with this overall transition. A subsequent paper examined proteolysis in nodule bacteria. Protein turnover in mature regions of the nodule is significant. We were able to show complexes between various proteins and important proteases, using precipitation capture techniques to isolate the proteases and sensitive proteomic analysis to reveal the associated proteins.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Accelerating full-waveform inversion using source stacking: synthetic experiments at the global scale in a realistic 3-D earth model

SUMMARY The spectral element method is currently the method of choice for computing accurate synthetic seismic wavefields in realistic 3-D earth models at the global scale. However, it requires significantly more computational time, compared to normal mode-based approximate methods. Source stacking, whereby multiple earthquake sources are aligned on their origin time and simultaneously triggered, can reduce the computational costs by several orders of magnitude. We present the results of synthetic tests performed on a realistic radially anisotropic 3-D model, slightly modified from model SEMUCB-WM1 with three component synthetic waveform ‘data’ for a duration of 10 000 s, and filtered at periods longer than 60 s, for a set of 273 events and 515 stations. We consider two definitions of the misfit function, one based on the stacked records at individual stations and another based on station-pair cross-correlations of the stacked records. The inverse step is performed using a Gauss–Newton approach where the gradient and Hessian are computed using normal mode perturbation theory. We investigate the retrieval of radially anisotropic long wavelength structure in the upper mantle in the depth range 100–800 km, after fixing the crust and uppermost mantle structure constrained by fundamental mode Love and Rayleigh wave dispersion data. The results show good performance using both definitions of the misfit function, even in the presence of realistic noise, with degraded amplitudes of lateral variations in the anisotropic parameter ξ. Interestingly, we show that we can retrieve the long wavelength structure in the upper mantle, when considering one or the other of three portions of the cross-correlation time series, corresponding to where we expect the energy from surface wave overtone, fundamental mode or a mixture of the two to be dominant, respectively. We also considered the issue of missing data, by randomly removing a successively larger proportion of the available synthetic data. We replace the missing data by synthetics computed in the current 3-D model using normal mode perturbation theory. The inversion results degrade with the proportion of missing data, especially for ξ, and we find that a data availability of 45 per cent or more leads to acceptable results. We also present a strategy for grouping events and stations to minimize the number of missing data in each group. This leads to an increased number of computations but can be significantly more efficient than conventional single-event-at-a-time inversion. We apply the grouping strategy to a real picking scenario, and show promising resolution capability despite the use of fewer waveforms and uneven ray path distribution. Source stacking approach can be used to rapidly obtain a starting 3-D model for more conventional full-waveform inversion at higher resolution, and to investigate assumptions made in the inversion, such as trade-offs between isotropic, anisotropic or anelastic structure, different model parametrizations or how crustal structure is accounted for.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Accelerating full waveform inversion via source stacking and cross-correlations

SUMMARY Accurate synthetic seismic wavefields can now be computed in 3-D earth models using the spectral element method (SEM), which helps improve resolution in full waveform global tomography. However, computational costs are still a challenge. These costs can be reduced by implementing a source stacking method, in which multiple earthquake sources are simultaneously triggered in only one teleseismic SEM simulation. One drawback of this approach is the perceived loss of resolution at depth, in particular because high-amplitude fundamental mode surface waves dominate the summed waveforms, without the possibility of windowing and weighting as in conventional waveform tomography. This can be addressed by redefining the cost-function and computing the cross-correlation wavefield between pairs of stations before each inversion iteration. While the Green’s function between the two stations is not reconstructed as well as in the case of ambient noise tomography, where sources are distributed more uniformly around the globe, this is not a drawback, since the same processing is applied to the 3-D synthetics and to the data, and the source parameters are known to a good approximation. By doing so, we can separate time windows with large energy arrivals corresponding to fundamental mode surface waves. This opens the possibility of designing a weighting scheme to bring out the contribution of overtones and body waves. It also makes it possible to balance the contributions of frequently sampled paths versus rarely sampled ones, as in more conventional tomography. Here we present the results of proof of concept testing of such an approach for a synthetic 3-component long period waveform data set (periods longer than 60 s), computed for 273 globally distributed events in a simple toy 3-D radially anisotropic upper mantle model which contains shear wave anomalies at different scales. We compare the results of inversion of 10 000 s long stacked time-series, starting from a 1-D model, using source stacked waveforms and station-pair cross-correlations of these stacked waveforms in the definition of the cost function. We compute the gradient and the Hessian using normal mode perturbation theory, which avoids the problem of cross-talk encountered when forming the gradient using an adjoint approach. We perform inversions with and without realistic noise added and show that the model can be recovered equally well using one or the other cost function. The proposed approach is computationally very efficient. While application to more realistic synthetic data sets is beyond the scope of this paper, as well as to real data, since that requires additional steps to account for such issues as missing data, we illustrate how this methodology can help inform first order questions such as model resolution in the presence of noise, and trade-offs between different physical parameters (anisotropy, attenuation, crustal structure, etc.) that would be computationally very costly to address adequately, when using conventional full waveform tomography based on single-event wavefield computations.

Romanowicz, Barbara↗