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At least 649 records · Page 36

Integration of the Biot–Gassmann Fluid Substitution Method and Machine Learning-Based Velocity–Stress Relationship for Estimating In Situ Stresses

Recent advancements have shown that in situ stresses can be reliably estimated through an integrated machine/deep learning (ML/DL)-based framework, which relies on models trained and validated using true triaxial ultrasonic velocity (TUV) experimental data that involve measurements of ultrasonic velocity in saturated rocks under varying stress configurations. However, when the goal is to interpret lower frequency measurements, it may be more appropriate to run experiments on dry rocks and then obtain Biot–Gassmann-derived equivalent saturated velocities (low-frequency approximation) and employ these quantities for training ML/DL models to predict in situ stress. Whether the dispersion effect of frequency on the velocity–stress relationship substantially impacts in situ stress prediction is an important and unresolved question. This work presents an enhancement of ML/DL-based workflow by training and implementing ML/DL models using equivalent saturated acoustic velocities (low-frequency) obtained by applying Biot–Gassmann fluid substitution on the ultrasonic velocities of dry cores. The models were trained on TUV data sets derived from three subsurface cores extracted from the geothermal well 16B(78)-32 at the Utah FORGE site. Each core was subjected to 75 unique stress configurations for velocity measurement in the dry state. The ML/DL trained on the TUV data set with equivalent saturated velocities demonstrated promising performance to predict in situ stress in subsurface geological rocks using velocity–stress relationships with R 2 of 0.86, 0.971, and 0.975 and root mean squared error (RMSE) of 2.59, 1.92, and 1.80 for validation/testing phases of vertical, minimum horizontal, and maximum horizontal stress models, respectively. Additionally, interpretation and explanation by Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis further improved scientific validation and model reliability for estimating in situ stresses.

colloids↗

Modeling Coupled Chemo-Mechanical Behavior of Randomly Oriented NMC811 Polycrystalline Li-Ion Battery Cathodes

This paper develops a three-dimensional, transient, chemo-mechanical model that predicts the performance of single secondary particle Li-ion battery cathodes. The secondary particles are composed of numerous (approximately 60) randomly oriented single-crystal primary particles. The model incorporates concentration-dependent and anisotropic material properties. As much as possible, electrochemical, transport, and structural properties for crystalline NMC811 (Li x Ni 0.8 Mn 0.1 Co 0.1 O 2 ) are taken from prior publications. Weak Van der Waals bonding between primary particles is modeled empirically using a spring analogy, which enables local primary-particle separations (disintegration) and subsequent reattachments. The model fully couples Li diffusion and the mechanical response. Results include predictions of local Li-concentrations and stresses. High stresses are found near grain boundaries, especially when the lattice orientations are greatly misaligned. Particle separations are characterized in terms of a damage parameter. The model is used to predict the effects of design and operating conditions, including charge/discharge rates, cycling scenarios, and particle sizes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Scoping Study for Fast Flux Testing in the Advanced Test Reactor

The value of fast spectrum reactors remains prominent in the nuclear technology portfolio. The performance of these reactors can be maximized with advancements in nuclear fuel technologies, but development of these technologies is currently held back by lack of fast spectrum test reactors available to the United States. Spectral modification of experiment positions in the thermal spectrum Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) has long been used to support fast reactor fuel development, but these methods have not been progressed to their full potential. This study investigated the use of concentric rings of aluminum-clad fuel plates in ATR flux traps and thermal neutron absorbing filters to increase fast neutron flux on test specimens. This concept was termed the Boosted Energy Advanced Spectrum Test (BEAST). This approach will enable irradiation of advanced fuel designs in prototypic-length fuel pins and representative flux environment to support post irradiation exams, enable transient testing, and produce the type of data that will permit lead test assembly irradiations in true Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs) when they become available. Neutronic predictions were performed to investigate BEAST design options and thermal hydraulic models were produced to ensure feasibility of BEAST. Two versions were considered based on the geometric limitations of ATR’s small and large flux traps. The small version was found to be preferable due to slightly higher fast flux and fast-to-thermal neutron ratio. Perhaps more influentially, the small flux trap option was also preferred to avoid conflict with ongoing very high temperature reactor fuel irradiation programs in ATR’s large northeast flux trap. The small flux trap option provided less than half the test volume of the large version, but still had adequate volume for seven SFR pins in cross section which could be stacked two-high in ATR’s 1.2m long core to accommodate up to 14 EBR-II size pins. The preference for the small flux trap configuration should be revisited if additional collaborative test programs emerge with the need to irradiate a significant volume of additional specimens. Calculations were performed regarding a lithium deuteride ring to convert thermal neutrons into 14 MeV fusion neutrons. At the time this report was written these calculations were partially complete and it remains to be seen whether the concept would be worth including in BEAST. Given the preference for the small flux trap option, which does not afford enough room for the 14 MeV ring, it was concluded to defer future work on the lithium deuteride ring. This decision could be revisited if fusion material research programs emerge for collaborative testing in BEAST. A cadmium-lined specimen holder design was found to be adequate in filtering thermal neutrons and preferred over other neutron absorbers based on past experience with cadmium baskets. It was acknowledged that cadmium-bearing hardware would become depleted and need to be replaced occasionally, which appeared feasible from a mechanical design perspective. Neutronic studies investigated different enrichment levels in the booster fuel using uranium-molybdenum alloy dispersion fuel which has performed well in past ATR irradiations. Both options were able to drive fuel pins to SFR-like fission heating rates. The high enriched booster fuel option outperformed the low enriched option by ~20% on key metrics including fast flux and fast-to-thermal ratio, but the low enriched option was favored in order to broaden options for potential fuel suppliers. The preferred BEAST design options including cadmium filter with low enriched booster fuel in the small flux trap configuration was predicted to achieve 6.2E14 n/cm2sec fast flux (>0.1 MeV) with a fast-to-thermal ratio of 44.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Understanding the Impact of Memory Access Patterns in Intel Processors

Because of increasing complexity in the memory hierarchy, predicting the performance of a given application in a given processor is becoming more difficult. The problem is worsened by the fact that the hardware needed to deal with more complex memory traffic also affects energy consumption. Moreover, in a heterogeneous system with shared main memory, the memory traffic between the last level cache (LLC) and the memory creates contention between other processors and accelerator devices. For these reasons, it is important to investigate and understand the impact of different memory access patterns on the memory system. This study investigates the interplay between Intel processors' memory hierarchy and different memory access patterns in applications. The authors explore sequential streaming and strided memory access patterns with the objective of predicting LLC-dynamic random access memory (DRAM) traffic for a given application in given Intel architectures. Moreover, the impact of prefetching is also investigated in this study. Experiments with different Intel micro-architectures uncover mechanisms to predict LLC-DRAM traffic that can yield up to 99% accuracy for sequential streaming access patterns and up to 95% accuracy for strided access patterns.

Alaul haque monil, Mohammad↗

Development of New g-function Data for Simulating a Novel Shallow Bore Ground Heat Exchanger

Geothermal heat pump (GHP), which is also referred as ground source heat pump, is the most energy-efficient technology for space heating and cooling. However, the application of GHP is hindered by its high initial cost, of which approximately 30% is for the ground heat exchanger (GHE). In recent years, researchers have developed different types of shallow bore ground heat exchangers (SBGHE) intending to reduce the cost of drilling. The ability to predict the thermal response of an SBGHE is critical for sizing SBGHE. While g-functions have been commonly used for predicting the thermal response of conventional vertical bore ground heat exchangers (VBGHE), they cannot be directly used for predicting the performance of SBGHE because they did not account for the impacts of the seasonal variation of the soil temperature along with the depth of an SBGHE. In addition, an SBGHE has a larger thermal mass within the borehole than the VBGHE due to the larger borehole diameter of SBGHE. This study develops new g-function data pairs for a new design of SBGHE, which is named Underground Thermal Battery (UTB). Impacts of the seasonal variation of soil temperature on the thermal response of UTB were accounted for by superposing a time-dependent soil temperature onto the g-functions calculated with a numerical model that assumes constant undisturbed soil temperature. The TOUGH program was used to predict the thermal response of several configurations involving multiple UTBs. The results indicate that the proposed methodology is appropriate to generate g-functions for the UTB, and the g-function value of UTB is much lower than that of VBGHE in the time range of 15 min to 1 year due to the large thermal mass and convection heat transfer within the UTB.

Shi, Liang↗

Physics-informed machine learning of redox flow battery based on a two-dimensional unit cell model

In this paper, we present a physics-informed neural network (PINN) approach for predicting the performance of an all-vanadium redox flow battery, with its physics constraints enforced by a two-dimensional (2D) mathematical model. The 2D model, which includes 6 governing equations and 24 boundary conditions, provides a detailed representation of the electrochemical reactions, mass transport and hydrodynamics occurring inside the redox flow battery. To solve the 2D model with the PINN approach, a composite neural network is employed to approximate species concentration and potentials; the input and output are normalized according to prior knowledge of the battery system; the governing equations and boundary conditions are first scaled to an order of magnitude around 1, and then further balanced with a self-weighting method. Our numerical results show that the PINN is able to predict cell voltage correctly, but the prediction of potentials shows a constant-like shift. To fix the shift, the PINN is enhanced by further constrains derived from the current collector boundary. Finally, we show that the enhanced PINN can be even further improved if a small number of labeled data is available.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Carbon Fiber and Syntactic Foam Hybrid Materials via Core–Shell Material Extrusion Additive Manufacturing

Abstract Biological materials often employ hybrid architectures, such as the core–shell (C–S) motif present in porcupine quills and plant stems, to achieve unique specific properties and performance. Drawing inspiration from these natural materials, a new method to fabricate lightweight and stiff C–S architected filaments is reported. Specifically, a C–S printhead conducive to printing highly loaded fiber‐filled inks, as well as a new low‐density syntactic foam ink, are utilized to 3D‐print C–S architectures consisting of a syntactic epoxy foam core surrounded by a stiff carbon fiber‐reinforced epoxy composite shell. Effective printing of test specimens and structures with controlled geometry, composition, and architecture is demonstrated. The new foam ink exhibits density as low as 0.68 g cm −3 and C–S structures exhibit up to 25% higher specific flexural stiffness ( E 1/3 /ρ) than either constituent alone. Finally, a new mechanical model is presented to predict this performance improvement while accounting for potential eccentricity of the core.

Pack, Robert C.↗

Optical diagnostic design for measuring the radiation front with a mid-leg pumped divertor on DIII-D

The design of an optical diagnostic system to localize the radiation front in a mid-leg pumped divertor configuration on DIII-D is presented. Divertor detachment is a key mechanism for handling power exhaust in tokamaks, and mid-leg pumping offers a promising approach to radiatively dissipate power while maintaining acceptable core performance. To predict the location of the radiation front and design a spectroscopic diagnostic to measure its position, a database of SOLPS-ITER simulations across a range of input powers and gas puffing rates representative of DIII-D operation was employed. These simulations provide self-consistent plasma backgrounds for a Cherab-Raysect synthetic diagnostic framework, which incorporates detailed tokamak geometry and physically accurate ray-tracing. Synthetic simulations of optical sightlines and viewing cone geometry were used to calculate line-integrated emission from the plasma, particularly of the C III 465 nm line, to serve as a proxy for the T e ≈ 7 − 10 eV temperature region associated with the onset and evolution of divertor detachment. Neutral deuterium emission is also evaluated for comparison. The synthetic diagnostic is used to assess the performance of existing DIII-D optical systems, including filterscopes and the Multichord Divertor Spectrometer, and to optimize line-of-sight placement within mechanical and installation constraints. The results provide quantitative guidance for diagnostic implementation on DIII-D and demonstrate the advantage of integrated synthetic diagnostics for divertor design studies and future advanced divertor concepts.

Cherab↗

Quantifying disorder one atom at a time using an interpretable graph neural network paradigm

Abstract Quantifying the level of atomic disorder within materials is critical to understanding how evolving local structural environments dictate performance and durability. Here, we leverage graph neural networks to define a physically interpretable metric for local disorder, called SODAS. This metric encodes the diversity of the local atomic configurations as a continuous spectrum between the solid and liquid phases, quantified against a distribution of thermal perturbations. We apply this methodology to four prototypical examples with varying levels of disorder: (1) grain boundaries, (2) solid-liquid interfaces, (3) polycrystalline microstructures, and (4) tensile failure/fracture. We also compare SODAS to several commonly used methods. Using elemental aluminum as a case study, we show how our paradigm can track the spatio-temporal evolution of interfaces, incorporating a mathematically defined description of the spatial boundary between order and disorder. We further show how to extract physics-preserved gradients from our continuous disorder fields, which may be used to understand and predict materials performance and failure. Overall, our framework provides a simple and generalizable pathway to quantify the relationship between complex local atomic structure and coarse-grained materials phenomena.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Harnessing Heterologous Bacterial Two-Component Systems as Biosensors to Address Challenges in Fermentation Scale-Up

Scaling up bacterial fermentation from bench to industrial scale often results in unpredictable performance losses, possibly in part due to changes in microenvironmental conditions such as pH. To investigate this, we developed a suite of pH-sensitive biosensors from bacterial two-component systems (TCSs) that provide a dynamic, fluorescent readout in response to extracellular pH changes. TCSs consist of a periplasmic sensor histidine kinase (HK) that, in response to an extracellular stimulus, autophosphorylates intracellularly and subsequently transfers the phosphate to a cognate response regulator (RR) that modulates transcription of target genes. We utilized three pH-responsive TCSs (referred to here as CVJ1, CVJ30, and CVJ79) and linked their output to GFP. This was achieved by placing the RR promoter upstream of GFP or by constructing a chimeric RR composed of the native receiver domain and the DNA-binding domain of another well-characterized RR with a defined promoter. All components - HK, RR (native or chimeric), and GFP under its corresponding promoter - were cloned into a broad-host-range plasmid. Sensors were validated in Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas putida, including the muconic acid-producing strain P. putida TL207. All three biosensors successfully reported pH, with fluorescence (normalized to optical density) correlating strongly with media pH. Among the native sensors, CVJ79 showed the most robust performance while CVJ1 also performed best in its native form; CVJ30 exhibited improved functionality as a chimera, suggesting that modular RR design can enhance compatibility in some heterologous hosts. Further, CVJ79 was activated by alkaline conditions, while CVJ30 responded to acidic environments. Notably, CVJ1 was induced by high pH in wild-type E. coli and P. putida, but low pH in TL207. The observed differences in sensor activation between strains - particularly the divergent response of CVJ1 - suggest that host-specific regulatory pathways may influence how cells perceive and adapt to pH stress. Moving forward, these biosensors can be used to guide the rational design of more robust strains, optimize process conditions in real time, and inform strategies to minimize physiological heterogeneity during scale-up. Integrating these tools into high-throughput screening and bioreactors will be a key step toward improving predictability and performance in industrial bioprocesses.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Size-dependent stochastic tensile properties in additively manufactured 316L stainless steel

Recent work in metal additive manufacturing (AM) suggests that mechanical properties may vary with feature size; however, these studies do not provide a statistically robust description of this phenomenon, nor do they provide a clear causal mechanism. Because of the huge design freedom afforded by 3D printing, AM parts typically contain a range of feature sizes, with particular interest in smaller features, so the size effect must be well understood in order to make informed design decisions. This work investigates the effect of feature size on the stochastic mechanical performance of laser powder bed fusion tensile specimens. A high-throughput tensile testing method was used to characterize the effect of specimen size on strength, elastic modulus and elongation in a statistically meaningful way. The effective yield strength, ultimate tensile strength and modulus decreased strongly with decreasing specimen size: all three properties were reduced by nearly a factor of two as feature dimensions were scaled down from 6.25 mm to 0.4 mm. Hardness and microstructural observations indicate that this size dependence was not due to an intrinsic change in material properties, but instead the effects of surface roughness on the geometry of the specimens. Finite element analysis using explicit representations of surface topography shows the critical role surface features play in creating stress concentrations that trigger deformation and subsequent fracture. The experimental and finite element results provide the tools needed to make corrections in the design process to more accurately predict the performance of AM components.

316L stainless steel↗

Evaluation of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecast from the North American Multi-Model ensemble phase II (NMME-2) over the contiguous U.S.

The second phase of the North America Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME-2) provides globally available Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecasts with a daily resolution. The S2S precipitation forecasts are getting increasing attention for their potentials in providing hydrometeorological forcing information for water resources planning at an extended range. However, the forecast skills of many existing S2S forecast products will significantly decrease when the lead time increases, hindering their applicability for watershed-scale hydrologic modeling. Therefore, forecast validation and large-scale evaluation are of great importance for water resources planning and hydrological applications. In this study, we comprehensively evaluate the S2S precipitation forecasts from the NMME-2 dataset over the contiguous United States (CONUS) and during the study period from 1982 to 2011. Three aspects of precipitation forecast capabilities are compared and analyzed: bias, skill scores, and the ability to predict extreme precipitation events. The Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) is used as ground truth reference. Differs from other regional forecast validation study, we further examined and analyzed the dependences of NMME-2 precipitation forecast skills according to different seasonality, geographical locations, and lead times. Results show that the forecast biases are not sensitive to lead times but are seasonally dependent of all NMME-2 models. Overestimations are found in the Western U.S. in cooler seasons while underestimations are observed in the central regions of the U.S. in warmer seasons. The forecast skill of all individual NMME-2 models generally decreases as increases of lead times. The simple model averaging (SMA) of five NMME-2 models demonstrates a higher forecast skill than any individual NMME-2 models. Spatially, the highest forecast skill scores are observed at coastal areas in the Western U.S. with an one-week lead time. As compared to the historical resampled forecasts, NMME-2 also shows better performance in predicting extreme precipitation events above 99% percentiles and below 1% percentiles with higher probability of detections and lower false alarm ratios. Finally, the obtained results suggest the great potentials of NMME-2 precipitation forecasts in assisting ensemble hydrologic forecasts at the S2S scale over the CONUS.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Neural-based time series forecasting of loss of coolant accidents in nuclear power plants

During the last few years, deep learning in neural networks has demonstrated impressive successes in the areas of computer vision, speech and image recognition, text generation, and many others. However, sensitive engineering areas such as nuclear engineering benefited less from these efficient techniques. In this work, deep learning expert systems are utilized to model and predict time series progression of a design-basis nuclear accident, featuring a loss of coolant accident. Two major findings are accomplished in this work. First, the ability to train expert systems with high accuracy, which could help nuclear power plant operators to figure out plant responses during the accident. Second, building fast, efficient, and accurate deep models to simulate nuclear phenomena, which could be valuable to nuclear computational science. In this work, large amount of time series data is obtained from simulation tools by simulating different conditions of the base-case/nominal accident scenario. Four critical outputs/responses are monitored during the accident (e.g. temperature, pressure, break flow rate, water level). Two approaches are adopted in this work. The first approach is to use feedforward deep neural networks (DNN) to fit all time steps and outputs in a single model. The second approach is to use long short-term memory (LSTM) to fit all time steps together for each reactor response separately. Both DNN and LSTM demonstrate very good performance in predicting the test and base-case scenarios, with accuracy as low as 92% and as high as 99%, where these test scenarios are unknown to the expert systems and are not included in the model training. In addition, both approaches demonstrate a significant reduction in computational costs, as the deep expert system is able to accurately predict the accident 100,000 times faster than the original simulation tool. Given sufficient data, the methodology adopted in this study demonstrates that DNN/LSTM expert systems can be used as a decision support system to model advanced time series phenomena within nuclear power plants with high accuracy and negligible computational costs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Simulation-based characterization of the variability of earthquake risk to buildings in the near-field

Recent advancements in high performance computing platforms and computational workflow for regional-scale simulations are enabling unprecedented modeling of fault-to-structure earthquake processes. Regional simulations resolving ground motions at frequencies relevant to engineered systems are becoming computationally viable and provide a new capability to improve understanding of the geographical distribution and intensity of risk to buildings and critical infrastructure. As computational capabilities advance, it is essential to move beyond illustrative single rupture realizations for scenario earthquake events towards the development of a full suite of rupture realizations that appropriately characterize the range of risk to building systems. The work described in this article investigates the application of a suite of fault rupture realizations with the objective of assessing near-fault, site-specific seismic demand variability for building structures. A representative high-performance regional-scale computational model is utilized to execute ground motion and building response simulations based on 18 kinematic rupture realizations of an M7 strike-slip scenario earthquake. The fault rupture models for the scenario earthquake are created by systematically perturbing the hypocenter location and stochastically generating rupture parameters (slip, rise time, rake angle) to represent a breadth of ground motion intensities resulting from the spatial and temporal variabilities of an earthquake rupture process. The resulting seismic demand variability for three-story (short period) and forty-story (long period) steel moment-resisting frame buildings is characterized in terms of the median and distribution of peak inter-story drift ratio for a range of near-fault sites. The full suite of 18 fault rupture realizations and approximately 280,000 nonlinear dynamic building simulations indicate that the three-story building undergoes higher median seismic demand and significantly greater variability of demand at a given site than the forty-story building, which has important implications for the level of certainty in predicting building performance during an earthquake. The simulations performed provide deeper insight into the relationship between fault rupture parameterization and building response, which is essential information for developing a representative suite of rupture realizations for specific earthquake scenarios.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Progress of Gas Injection EOR Surveillance in the Bakken Unconventional Play—Technical Review and Machine Learning Study

Although considerable laboratory and modeling activities were performed to investigate the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) mechanisms and potential in unconventional reservoirs, only limited research has been reported to investigate actual EOR implementations and their surveillance in fields. Eleven EOR pilot tests that used CO2, rich gas, surfactant, water, etc., have been conducted in the Bakken unconventional play since 2008. Gas injection was involved in eight of these pilots with huff ‘n’ puff, flooding, and injectivity operations. Surveillance data, including daily production/injection rates, bottomhole injection pressure, gas composition, well logs, and tracer testing, were collected from these tests to generate time-series plots or analytics that can inform operators of downhole conditions. A technical review showed that pressure buildup, conformance issues, and timely gas breakthrough detection were some of the main challenges because of the interconnected fractures between injection and offset wells. The latest operation of co-injecting gas, water, and surfactant through the same injection well showed that these challenges could be mitigated by careful EOR design and continuous reservoir monitoring. Reservoir simulation and machine learning were then conducted for operators to rapidly predict EOR performance and take control actions to improve EOR outcomes in unconventional reservoirs.

Energy & Fuels↗

Multi-scale quantification of anthropogenic, fire, and drought-associated forest disturbances across the continental U.S., 2000–2014

Our understanding of broad-scale forest disturbances under climatic extremes remains incomplete. Drought, as a typical extreme event, is a key driver of forest mortality but there have been no reports on continental-scale quantification of its impact on forest mortality or how it compares to other natural or anthropogenic drivers. Thus, our ability to understand and predict broad-scale carbon cycling in response to changing climate and extreme events is limited. In this study, we applied an attribution approach based on different sources of data to quantify the area and potential carbon loss/transfer in continental U.S. (CONUS) from four types of disturbance: (1) anthropogenic (especially timber harvest); (2) fire; (3) drought-associated; and (4) other from 2000 to 2014. Our results showed that anthropogenic disturbances, fire, drought-associated disturbances, and other disturbances accounted for 54.3, 10.7, 12.7, and 22.3% of total canopy area loss, respectively. Anthropogenic disturbance was the most important driver contributing to 58.1% potential carbon loss/transfer in CONUS for 2000–2014. The potential carbon loss/transfer from natural disturbances (fire, drought, and other) for the same study period accounted for approximately 41.9% of the total loss/transfer from all agents, suggesting that natural disturbances also played a very important role in forest carbon turnover. Potential carbon loss/transfer associated with drought accounted for approximately 11.6% of the total loss/transfer in CONUS, which was of similar magnitude to potential carbon loss/transfer from fire (~11.0%). The other natural disturbance accounted for 19.3% of potential carbon loss/transfer. Our results demonstrated the importance of the impacts of various disturbances on forest carbon stocks at the continental scale, and the drought-associated carbon loss/transfer data developed here could be used for evaluating the performance of predictive models of tree mortality under droughts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Subtask 1.5 – CO2 Injection Monitoring with an Optimized Scalable, Automated, Semipermanent Seismic Array

The scalable, automated, semipermanent seismic array (SASSA) method is a flexible and relatively cost-effective surface geophysical method for regular time-lapse monitoring of the movement of injected carbon dioxide (CO2) in a reservoir for CO2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) or geologic CO2 storage operations. It has the advantages of a low-environmental-footprint while monitoring regions of a reservoir from the surface without the need for a regular grid distribution of receivers. Automated data collection is possible. As only time-lapse amplitude changes at the reservoir level due to CO2 movement within the reservoir are monitored, the turnaround time to deliver results from the SASSA method can be short, without the need for long, time-consuming data-processing workflows. As data is collected and processed, incremental information can be provided to the field operator. The Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) conducted a SASSA field test from September 2018 to November 2020 in a portion of the Bell Creek Field in Montana, which implemented new CO2 EOR field activities during the study period. Lessons learned from a proof-of-concept study were incorporated to improve the data quality of the SASSA method and demonstrate the viability of the technology. The EERC implemented several enhancements to improve data quality, including 1) an iterative survey design, which allowed placing the receivers in strategic locations where the movement of the CO2 in the reservoir could be tracked with minimum interference by the cultural noise in the study area; 2) the use of powerful seismic sources in the form of surface orbital vibrators, and 3) data acquisition during optimal periods. History-matched reservoir simulation was performed to predict gas saturation and pressure response induced by CO2 injection in the study area. The results were compared with the SASSA-measured responses to CO2 injection as a partial validation technique. A match between the two methods was observed for most of the SASSA points predicted to have intersected a CO2 saturation change. The validated results provide confidence that the SASSA method can be used independently as a CO2 saturation monitoring technique. As data are collected and processed, incremental information can be provided to the field operator. The critical components of the SASSA workflow for a successful application of the method are the following: Iterative survey design with information about CO2 injection activities from the oilfield operator. A detailed CO2 injection plan is the key driver to select the strategic monitoring location of the SASSA sensors. After this information is incorporated in the initial distribution of sources and receivers in the study area, high-resolution satellite images are used to identify ground locations not affected by cultural noise sources, such as power lines, pipelines/flow lines, or roadways. In the next iteration of the survey design, a scouting trip to the study area is needed to understand more details of the noise sources identified in the previous step and the intensity of the field activities that can also generate noise during the monitoring. Integrating the information from the scouting trip into the survey design to select the optimum source and receiver locations is the final step. Noise attenuation. The variety of noise types during seismic monitoring of an oil field is enormous. Tailored noise characterization and processing at a node-by-node level can enhance the performance and sensitivity of the SASSA technique. Future advancements that could improve the efficiency and application of the SASSA technology include: Gaining a better understanding of the noise field produced by the seismic source to aid the choice of receiver location. Surface noise from the source can overwhelm the small signal changes due to CO2 that the SASSA method measures. Improved data-processing workflow to automatically analyze and adapt to dynamic noise conditions associated with industrial settings. This subtask was funded through the EERC–DOE Joint Program on Research and Development for Fossil Energy-Related Resources Cooperative Agreement No. DE- FE0024233.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Equibiaxial flexural strength determination of UO 2 using a ball-on-ring test

To increase nuclear fuel performance and reliability, their mechanical properties require an accurate and statistically relevant assessment. Biaxial flexural strength tests provide an alternative to bend bar techniques for assessing mechanical behavior; namely, the transverse rupture strength (TRS) of ceramic samples. Biaxial test samples require simple geometries and minimal surface preparation, reducing fabrication costs and handling hazards. This study investigated the TRS of polycrystalline UO 2 fuel forms at room temperature using a ball-on-ring test fixture. Here, pellets were fabricated from UO 2 powder using conventional powder processing and sintering techniques. The TRS and Weibull parameters were obtained through Weibull statistics on over 60 UO 2 samples tested under equibiaxial flexure. The larger sample size in this study enabled a more robust Weibull statistical analysis than alternative test methods, which may not capture the stochastic failure of typical ceramics. Furthermore, two different loading ball diameters were employed to assess the impact of contact damage on fracture strength. While Hertzian contact damage was observed with the smaller loading ball, the fracture strength remained unaffected. A fracture analysis of the tested UO 2 samples indicated a mixture of intergranular and transgranular fracture that transitions to transgranular fracture with increasing distance from the fracture origin. The characteristic strength of the combined data sets was determined to be 148 MPa, and the Weibull modulus was determined to be 9.1. The TRS values and Weibull parameters were close to values found in the literature for alternative testing techniques using samples with similar microstructure and density. The findings in this study validate the ball-on-ring method used to obtain the TRS of UO 2 with a sample geometry more representative of nuclear fuels. Additionally, experimental TRS results from this study can be implemented in modeling codes to predict fuel performance, which is critical to fuel burnup extension and advanced nuclear fuel technologies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗