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At least 649 records · Page 36

Preliminary design of control rods in the single-fluid double-zone thorium molten salt reactor (SD-TMSR)

Recent studies on Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) showed that the excess reactivity at the beginning of the operation is large for many fueling strategies and must be compensated by a reactivity control system. The current work introduces a reliable safety system based on control rods in addition to the online feed system reactivity control in the Single-fluid Double-zone Thorium-based Molten Salt Reactor (SD-TMSR). Three different initial fissile loadings are considered: 233 U, reactor-grade Pu, and transuranic (TRU) elements as a startup fuel. We applied six different absorbing materials to investigate the main operational and safety parameters in the SD-TMSR: natural B 4 C, enriched B 4 C with 90% 10 B, HfB 2 , HfH 1.62 , Eu 2 O 3 , and Gd 2 O 3 . The present work focuses on control rod design, integral and differential control rod worth, shutdown margin, and shadowing effects at steady-state. We employed the SERPENT-2 Monte-Carlo code to calculate the reactivity worth and analyze the performance of the reactivity control system. We showed that 233 U and reactor-grade Pu startup cores maintain adequate shutdown margin with all considered absorbers. Finally, this report proposes a design of control rod clusters that compensate the excess reactivity of the SD-TMSR loaded with different initial fissile material.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Reduced-order modeling for efficient cross section library development in high-temperature gas reactor pebble-bed depletion analysis

Accurate modeling of running-in and equilibrium conditions in pebble-bed reactors (PBRs) requires precise microscopic multigroup neutron cross sections. In Griffin, deterministic neutronics calculations rely on multivariate interpolation over large cross section libraries, resulting in significant memory usage and performance bottlenecks. This work, together with a companion paper on Griffin integration, explores reduced-order models (ROMs) to replace interpolation with lightweight surrogates. Several ROM techniques are benchmarked, with deep neural networks (DNNs) demonstrating superior memory efficiency, scalability, and predictive accuracy. A total of 295 DNNs were trained to build a comprehensive isotope library, integrated into Griffin through a custom LibTorch interface for depletion analysis. Initial results demonstrate that DNN-based ROMs drastically reduce memory demands while preserving accuracy, enabling finer tabulations and additional state variables without overhead. In conclusion, the framework also supports online cross section generation and real-time DNN updates through transfer learning, improving fidelity by capturing self-shielding and evolving nuclide compositions during burnup.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Efficient Computation of Doppler-Broadened Elastic Scattering Kernel Moments Using Ladder-Operator Formulation

Anefficient routine for computing Legendre moments of the Doppler-broadened elastic scattering kernel, including resonance scattering effects, has been implemented in the ISOXML module of Griffin. Isotropic scattering in the center-of-mass system and the ideal gas model for target motion are assumed. A ladder-operator formulation is introduced to compute all Legendre moments from order 0 to N simultaneously, enabling near-linear scaling of computational cost with respect to the maximum Legendre order. A physics-based strategy for constructing outgoing energy grids has also been developed, in which a tailored base grid is combined with adaptive refinement to maintain accuracy while limiting the number of outgoing energy points. For energies between resonances, a constant cross-section model is employed to further reduce computational cost. In addition, a quantitative criterion is derived to determine isotope-wise cut-off incident energies based on a prescribed up-scattering probability coverage. For 238U, up to incident energies of approximately 75, 230, and 661 eV at 294, 900, and 2500 K (corresponding to a 2% up-scattering probability threshold), computation of P0 kernels requires 1–8 s and computation of P0–P5 kernels requires 0.4–4 min using a single thread, while maintaining 1–3% relative error in up-scattering probability. These results demonstrate that the proposed formulation enables accurate and computationally practical Doppler-broadened kernel generation for online multigroup cross-section production in Griffin.

Doppler-broadening↗

Load altering attack-tolerant defense strategy for load frequency control system

Cyber attacks are emerging threats to every information-oriented energy management system. By violating the cyber systems, the hacker can disrupt the security and stability due to the strong coupling between the cyber and physical facilities. In this paper, one type of cyber attacks designated as the load altering attack is studied for the power system frequency control, and corresponding defense strategies are proposed to improve the frequency control performance. Considering the difficulty of the application of model-based controller into large-scale power systems, a novel model-free defense framework is for the first time presented. Under this framework, both active defense and passive defense strategies are designed. The former assumes that the defender has the initiative to learn different attack scenarios. Adaptive defense strategies are implemented using the online attack identification information and off-line trained strategy pool. The latter assumes that the defender passively tolerates various attack scenarios via the pre-trained off-line strategy. Both approaches prove to be effective through validation based on the IEEE benchmark systems. The proposed defense framework and defense strategies can be extended to other energy control systems to enhance their attack tolerance capability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A meta-learning based distribution system load forecasting model selection framework

This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. Furthermore, the framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model preparation and labeling, offline training, and online model recommendation. Using load forecasting needs and data characteristics as input features, multiple metalearners are used to rank the candidate load forecast models based on their forecasting accuracy. Then, a scoring-voting mechanism is proposed to weights recommendations from each meta-leaner and make the final recommendations. Heterogeneous load forecasting tasks with different temporal and technical requirements at different load aggregation levels are set up to train, validate, and test the performance of the proposed framework. Simulation results demonstrate that the performance of the meta-learning based approach is satisfactory in both seen and unseen forecasting tasks.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Atikokan Digital Twin: Machine learning in a biomass energy system

The Atikokan Generating Station, operated by Ontario Power Generation, has a 200 MW, biomass-fired tower boiler that operates on a dispatch schedule with a five-minute cycle. The boiler is generally operated in the range of 40–100 MW using two of five burner levels. In order to optimize boiler performance, we propose the implementation of a unique digital twin. Our digital twin abstraction couples Bayesian inference from science-based models and from observations (machine learning) with decision theory to predict operating-variable set points that optimize the physical asset (the boiler) in the presence of uncertainty (artificial intelligence). We focus this paper on the continuous Bayesian machine learning part of the Atikokan Digital Twin; we discuss decision theory in a companion paper. We identify and learn about 12 operational, model, and measured-output parameters and their uncertainties from high-fidelity, science-based simulations of the Atikokan boiler and from the observed measurements at the power plant. Since the goal of the Atikokan Digital Twin is to implement it online in real time, we require fast function evaluations for the quantities of interest extracted from the simulations in the Bayesian analysis. We use Gaussian process regression/interpolation to create accurate, robust surrogate models. We define the Bayesian priors and likelihood function and solve for the posterior distributions of the 12 parameters. Here we then propagate these distributions (i.e., parameters with uncertainty) into the predicted distributions of 790 quantities of interest to learn about the relative importance of various sources of error including experimental, model, and operating-parameter errors.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Robust trajectory-constrained frequency control for microgrids considering model linearization error

Grid supportive modes integrated within inverter-based resources can improve the frequency response of renewable-rich microgrids. The synthesis of grid supportive modes to guarantee frequency trajectory constraints under a predefined disturbance set is challenging but essential. To tackle this challenge, a numerical optimal control (NOC)-based control synthesis methodology is proposed. Without loss of generality, a wind-diesel fed microgrid is studied, where we aim to design grid supportive functions in the wind turbine. In the control design, linearized models are used, and the linearization-induced errors are quantitatively analyzed by reachability and interval arithmetics and represented in the form of interval uncertainties. Then, the NOC problem can be formulated into a robust mixed-integer linear program. The control structure is strategically configured into two levels to realize online deployment. The proposed control is verified on the modified 33-node microgrid with a full-order three-phase nonlinear model in Simulink. In conclusion, the simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed control paradigm and the necessity of considering linearization-induced uncertainty.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A transfer learning approach to energy-efficient control of small and medium-sized commercial buildings

Model-free reinforcement learning (RL) provides a data-driven and adaptive approach to optimize building energy use while satisfying occupant comfort. This powerful tool does not need any prior knowledge about the environment and system it is optimizing and can adapt its policy based on the changes in captures. Like any other data-driven tool, it faces high training costs due to the extensive agent-environment interactions required to capture long-term building dynamics and user comfort. Transfer learning, particularly policy distillation, offers a promising way to accelerate training by leveraging pretrained RL agents in different building and system types. Here, this study investigates online student distillation, in which the student model updates its neural network weights using outputs from teacher models. The work introduces a student distillation strategy designed for efficient knowledge transfer, along with a teacher selection method that ensures high-quality guidance. The approach is validated using a highly calibrated whole building energy model for a small/medium commercial building test facility. Results show substantial reductions in training time and data requirements while surpassing the performance of ASHRAE Guideline 36, an advanced rule-based control strategy. The distilled RL model required 45% less data and achieved 20% higher cumulative rewards than a state-of-the-art RL model, with faster convergence and lower energy consumption. These outcomes demonstrate that effective transfer learning enables a scalable and data-efficient energy management solution for commercial buildings.

ASHRAE guideline 36↗

Reinforcement Learning for feedback-enabled cyber resilience

The rapid growth in the number of devices and their connectivity has enlarged the attack surface and made cyber systems more vulnerable. As attackers become increasingly sophisticated and resourceful, mere reliance on traditional cyber protection, such as intrusion detection, firewalls, and encryption, is insufficient to secure the cyber systems. Cyber resilience provides a new security paradigm that complements inadequate protection with resilience mechanisms. A Cyber-Resilient Mechanism (CRM) adapts to the known or zero-day threats and uncertainties in real-time and strategically responds to them to maintain the critical functions of the cyber systems in the event of successful attacks. Feedback architectures play a pivotal role in enabling the online sensing, reasoning, and actuation process of the CRM. Reinforcement Learning (RL) is an important gathering of algorithms that epitomize the feedback architectures for cyber resilience. It allows the CRM to provide dynamic and sequential responses to attacks with limited or without prior knowledge of the environment and the attacker. In this work, we review the literature on RL for cyber resilience and discuss the cyber-resilient defenses against three major types of vulnerabilities, i.e., posture-related, information-related, and human-related vulnerabilities. Here we introduce moving target defense, defensive cyber deception, and assistive human security technologies as three application domains of CRMs to elaborate on their designs. The RL algorithms also have vulnerabilities themselves. We explain the major vulnerabilities of RL and present develop several attack models where the attacker target the information exchanged between the environment and the agent: the rewards, the state observations, and the action commands. We show that the attacker can trick the RL agent into learning a nefarious policy with minimum attacking effort. The paper introduces several defense methods to secure the RL-enabled systems from these attacks. However, there is still a lack of works that focuses on the defensive mechanisms for RL-enabled systems. Last but not least, we discuss the future challenges of RL for cyber security and resilience and emerging applications of RL-based CRMs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Continuous culture of anaerobic fungi enables growth and metabolic flux tuning without use of genetic tools

Anaerobic gut fungi (AGF) have potential to valorize lignocellulosic biomass owing to their diverse repertoire of carbohydrate-active enzymes (CAZymes). However, AGF metabolism is poorly understood, and no stable genetic tools are available to manipulate growth and metabolic flux to enhance production of specific targets, e.g., cells, CAZymes, or metabolites. Herein, a cost-effective, Arduino-based, continuous-flow anaerobic bioreactor with online optical density control is presented to probe metabolism and predictably tune fluxes in Caecomyces churrovis. Varying the C. churrovis turbidostat setpoint titer reliably controlled growth rate (from 0.04 to 0.20 h −1 ), metabolic flux, and production rates of acetate, formate, lactate, and ethanol. Bioreactor setpoints to maximize production of each product were identified, and all continuous production rates significantly exceed batch rates. Formate spike-ins increased lactate flux and decreased acetate, ethanol, and formate fluxes. The bioreactor and turbidostat culture schemes demonstrated here offer tools to tailor AGF fermentations to application-specific hydrolysate product profiles.

Agriculture↗

The future low-temperature geochemical data-scape as envisioned by the U.S. geochemical community

Data sharing benefits the researcher, the scientific community, and the public by allowing the impact of data to be generalized beyond one project and by making science more transparent. However, many scientific communities have not developed protocols or standards for publishing, citing, and versioning datasets. One community that lags in data management is that of low-temperature geochemistry (LTG). This paper resulted from an initiative from 2018 through 2020 to convene LTG and data scientists in the U.S. to strategize future management of LTG data. Through webinars, a workshop, a preprint, a townhall, and a community survey, the group of U.S. scientists discussed the landscape of data management for LTG – the data-scape. Currently this data-scape includes a “street bazaar” of data repositories. This was deemed appropriate in the same way that LTG scientists publish articles in many journals. The variety of data repositories and journals reflect that LTG scientists target many different scientific questions, produce data with extremely different structures and volumes, and utilize copious and complex metadata. Nonetheless, the group agreed that publication of LTG science must be accompanied by sharing of data in publicly accessible repositories, and, for sample-based data, registration of samples with globally unique persistent identifiers. LTG scientists should use certified data repositories that are either highly structured databases designed for specialized types of data, or unstructured generalized data systems. Recognizing the need for tools to enable search and cross-referencing across the proliferating data repositories, the group proposed that the overall data informatics paradigm in LTG should shift from “build data repository, data will come” to “publish data online, cybertools will find”. Funding agencies could also provide portals for LTG scientists to register funded projects and datasets, and forge approaches that cross national boundaries. Finally, the needed transformation of the LTG data culture requires emphasis in student education on science and management of data.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Multiscale CFD simulation of biomass fast pyrolysis with a machine learning derived intra-particle model and detailed pyrolysis kinetics

Coupling particle and reactor scale models is as essential as reactor fluid dynamics and particle motion for accurate Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) simulations of biomass fast pyrolysis reactors due to intraparticle heat transfer and chemical reactions controlling conversion time and product distributions. Direct online coupling of a particle model with a reactor model is computationally expensive, while offline coupling is case-dependent. In this research, solutions from a series of particle pyrolysis simulations were regressed with Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Furthermoer, this machine learning-derived model predicted the same temperature and conversion profiles compared with particle resolved simulation while the isothermal approach overpredicted the temperature by 130 K and underpredicted the conversion time by 30 s. The ANN model was then integrated into CFD simulations of fluidized bed biomass fast pyrolysis with varied feedstocks via coupling PyTorch and MFiX. The averaged error of simulation predicted bio-oil yields with four feedstocks is 6.4%. This multi-scale approach provides an efficient tool for the coupled particle and reactor scale simulations of biomass pyrolysis.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Importance of residence-time control of industrial screw-conveying reactors: Application to dilute-acid hydrolysis of biomass

Horizontal screw reactors are utilized in biorefineries for acid-catalyzed hydrolysis of xylan, which is a multi-step chemical reaction requiring accurate residence-time control. However, it is difficult to obtain online analytical measurement of reactant species. In this work, a residence-time distribution (RTD) is exhibited whose characteristics influence species yields. Sensitivity of product yield to RTD was investigated to understand the relative importance of operating control vs. inherent reactor dispersion. We find that reactor operation using a commonly used theoretical residence-time relationship can result in substantial yield losses. Instead, a model that accounts for the actual reactor RTD provides much improved results. The dispersion caused by reactor conditions only slightly hinders achieving theoretical optimal xylose yield (less than 3% yield loss for coefficient of variation less than 0.35), provided a validated RTD model is used to target the desired mean residence-time. In contrast, neglecting to account for the RTD by using the simplistic theoretical calculation results in xylose yields that are as much as 16% lower than the theoretical maximum.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Discovery of multi-functional polyimides through high-throughput screening using explainable machine learning

Polyimides have been widely used in modern industries because of their excellent mechanical and thermal properties, e.g., high-temperature fuel cells, displays, and aerospace composites. However, it usually takes decades of experimental efforts to develop a successful product. Aiming to expedite the discovery of high-performance polyimides, we utilize computational methods of machine learning (ML) and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Our study provides compelling evidence for the effectiveness of a data-driven approach in discovering novel polyimides. We first build a comprehensive library of more than 8 million hypothetical polyimides based on the polycondensation of existing dianhydride and diamine/diisocyanate molecules. Then we establish multiple ML models for the thermal and mechanical properties of polyimides based on their experimentally reported values, including glass transition temperature, Young’s modulus, and tensile yield strength. The obtained ML models demonstrate excellent predictive performance in identifying the key chemical substructures influencing the thermal and mechanical properties of polyimides. The use of explainable machine learning describes the effect of chemical substructures on individual properties, from which human experts can understand the cause of the ML model decision. Applying the well-trained ML models, we obtain property predictions of the 8 million hypothetical polyimides. Then, we screen the whole hypothetical dataset and identify three (3) best-performing novel polyimides that have better-combined properties than existing ones through Pareto frontier analysis. For an easy query of the discovered high-performing polyimides, we also create an online platform https://polyimide-explorer.herokuapp.com/ that embeds the developed ML model with interactive visualization. Furthermore, we validate the ML predictions through all-atom MD simulations and examine their synthesizability. The MD simulations are in good agreement with the ML predictions and the three novel polyimides are predicted to be easy to synthesize via Schuffenhauer’s synthetic accessibility score. Following the proposed ML guidance, we successfully synthesized a novel polyimide and the experimentally obtained high glass transition/thermal decomposition temperature demonstrated its excellent thermal stability. Here our study demonstrates an efficient way to expedite the discovery of novel polymers using ML prediction and MD validation. The high-throughput screening of a large computational dataset can serve as a general approach for new material discovery in other polymeric material exploration problems, such as organic photovoltaics, polymer membranes, and dielectrics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Probabilistic-learning-based stochastic surrogate model from small incomplete datasets for nonlinear dynamical systems

We consider a high-dimensional nonlinear computational model of a dynamical system, parameterized by a vector-valued control parameter, in the presence of uncertainties represented by an uncontrolled parameter modeled by a vector-valued random variable, and possibly with stochastic excitation. The objective is to construct a statistical surrogate model where the input is any deterministic value of the control parameter, and the output is a vector-valued observation of the computational model, which is a random vector whose probability measure is updated using a target dataset. To construct this statistical surrogate model, the stochastic response of the computational model must be built, which is a vector-valued time-discretized stochastic process in high dimension, depending on the control parameter. It is assumed that the computational cost of a single evaluation of the deterministic model is high. For the probabilistic updating, we consider a subset of the components of the observation of the computational model, defined as the “identification observation” of the computational model, for which a small target dataset is available. Therefore, the target dataset is associated with partial observability, corresponding to an incomplete data case. Given a prior probability model of the random control and uncontrolled parameters, a training dataset is constructed, consisting of realizations of the random triplet composed of the stochastic response, the random identification observation, and the random control parameter. Since the computational cost of a single evaluation of the deterministic model is assumed to be large, the training dataset is also of small size. The main challenges in this problem are the high dimensionality, partial observability leading to incomplete data in the target dataset for the identification observation of the computational model (which is not sufficient to identify the computational stochastic responses), and the availability of a small training dataset. To address these challenges, we propose a methodology based on statistical methods for constructing necessary reduced representations, direct probabilistic learning under constraints using probabilistic learning on manifolds (PLoM) constrained by the target dataset, and the use of a weak formulation of the Fourier transform of probability measures. Statistical conditioning is also employed to explore the learned dataset. The constructed predictive statistical surrogate model can be implemented in the context of online computation. Here, we apply this approach to a problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamics in high dimensions within the framework of deformable solids mechanics.

Engineering↗

Dynamic flux surrogate-based partitioned methods for interface problems

Loosely coupled partitioned methods for multiphysics problems treat each subproblem as a separate entity and advance them independently in time. In so doing these methods enable code reuse, increase concurrency and provide a convenient framework for plug-and-play multiphysics simulations. However, mathematically loosely coupled schemes are equivalent to a single step of an iterative solution method, which can compromise their accuracy and stability. We present a new data-driven partitioned method for coupled parametric PDEs that can improve upon the accuracy of traditional loosely coupled methods without incurring a performance penalty. To that end, we replace conventional field transfers across the interface by a surrogate for the dynamics of the interface flux exchanged between the subdomains. To develop this surrogate we apply dynamic mode decomposition to a non-standard staggered-in-time state, comprising the interface flux and small solution patches near the interface. The new approach shifts the main computational burden to an offline training phase, whereas application of the surrogate in the online phase amounts to a single matrix–vector multiplication. In conclusion, we provide stability analysis of the surrogate-based partitioned scheme and include numerical results that demonstrate its potential.

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD)↗

Development of algorithms for augmenting and replacing conventional process control using reinforcement learning

Here, this work seeks to allow for the online operation and training of model-free reinforcement learning (RL) agents but limit the risk to system equipment and personnel. The parallel implementation of RL alongside more conventional process control (CPC) allows for the RL algorithm to learn from CPC. The past performance of both methods are assessed on a continuous basis allowing for a transition from CPC to RL and, if needed, transitioning back to CPC from RL. This allows for the RL algorithm to slowly and safely assume control of the process without significant degradation in control performance. It is shown that the RL can derive a near optimal policy even when coupled with a suboptimal CPC. It is also demonstrated that the coupled RL-CPC algorithm learns at a faster rate than traditional RL methods of exploration while the algorithm’s performance does not deteriorate below CPC, even when exposed to an unknown operating condition.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Aggregate attack surface management for network discovery of operational technology

Interconnectivity has become a substratum of technology as the benefits of data-driven functionality are being realized in nearly all industries. Increased connectivity of Operational Technology (OT) exacerbates cyber risks because Industrial Control Systems (ICS) are becoming exposed to the Internet. These exposures are often done inadvertently through misconfigurations as additional network devices come online. Attack surface management (ASM) platforms can be used to identify vulnerabilities by performing external network discovery over the Internet using web spiders. These web spiders enable big data analytics of Internet of Things (IoT) devices as identifiable information of Internet-exposed equipment are archived in searchable databases that are made publicly available. There are a multitude of ASM service providers on the market. Here, this study was conducted to evaluate several commonly known tools to determine the aggregate attack surface of control systems. Queries were crafted by targeting commonly known manufacturers and communication protocols found in OT networks. Identified devices were that categorized based on technology types. Each query was replicated between several tools to target identical ICS equipment. Findings in this paper suggested a significant variance in the exposures discovered by each tool, but unique contributions were identified for each tool when a merged attack surface was derived. Therefore, all tools should be used in aggregate.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗