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At least 649 records · Page 36

Model-Based Thermal System Design Optimization for the James Webb Space Telescope

Spacecraft thermal model validation is normally performed by comparing model predictions with thermal test data and reducing their discrepancies to meet the mission requirements. Based on thermal engineering expertise, the model input parameters are adjusted to tune the model output response to the test data. The end result is not guaranteed to be the best solution in terms of reduced discrepancy and the process requires months to complete. A model-based methodology was developed to perform the validation process in a fully automated fashion and provide mathematical bases to the search for the optimal parameter set that minimizes the discrepancies between model and data. The methodology was successfully applied to several thermal subsystems of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). Global or quasiglobal optimal solutions were found and the total execution time of the model validation process was reduced to about two weeks. The model sensitivities to the parameters, which are required to solve the optimization problem, can be calculated automatically before the test begins and provide a library for sensitivity studies. This methodology represents a crucial commodity when testing complex, large-scale systems under time and budget constraints. Here, results for the JWST Core thermal system will be presented in detail.

Cataldo, Giuseppe↗

ST7 Disturbance Reduction System (DRS) Colloid Micronewton Thruster Performance and Control Algorithm Model Simulation Validation in Flight

Colloid Micronewton Thrusters (CMNT) were flight demonstrated for the first time on the ST7Disturbance Reduction System (DRS) payload on the European Space Agency (ESA) Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) Pathfinder spacecraft for attitude and drag-free spacecraft control. LISA Pathfinder was a technology demonstration mission for ESA’s LISA gravitational wave observatory, currently in Phase A with a launch date of 2034. The DRS included the Integrated Avionics Unit (IAU), eight Colloid Micronewton Thrusters (CMNT), Dynamic Control Software (DCS) and Flight Software (FSW). The CMNT technology met performance requirements operating at 5-30 µN of thrust with ≤0.1 µN resolution and ≤0.1 µN/Hz thrust noise to deliver the required nanometer-level precision spacecraft control measured by the gravitational reference sensor (GRS) in the ESA LISA Technology Package (LTP). The performance of seven of the CMNT in flight was consistent with ground test results. The colloid thruster performance model of thrust and thrust noise as a function of operational parameters (i.e. beam current, voltage, temperature, etc.) was validated in flight over a wide range of conditions. A model and simulation of the thruster control algorithm was developed and validated with flight data to predict thrust noise. This capability is important because it is considered to be a significant source of position noise on the spacecraft and, therefore, the acceleration noise on the test masses, which provide the gravity wave measurements. The CMNT thruster model data and validation with LISA Pathfinder/ST7-DRS flight experiments are discussed in this paper.

Hruby, Vlad↗

Similarity Metrics for Closed Loop Dynamic Systems

To what extent and in what ways can two closed-loop dynamic systems be said to be "similar?" This question arises in a wide range of dynamic systems modeling and control system design applications. For example, bounds on error models are fundamental to the controller optimization with modern control design methods. Metrics such as the structured singular value are direct measures of the degree to which properties such as stability or performance are maintained in the presence of specified uncertainties or variations in the plant model. Similarly, controls-related areas such as system identification, model reduction, and experimental model validation employ measures of similarity between multiple realizations of a dynamic system. Each area has its tools and approaches, with each tool more or less suited for one application or the other. Similarity in the context of closed-loop model validation via flight test is subtly different from error measures in the typical controls oriented application. Whereas similarity in a robust control context relates to plant variation and the attendant affect on stability and performance, in this context similarity metrics are sought that assess the relevance of a dynamic system test for the purpose of validating the stability and performance of a "similar" dynamic system. Similarity in the context of system identification is much more relevant than are robust control analogies in that errors between one dynamic system (the test article) and another (the nominal "design" model) are sought for the purpose of bounding the validity of a model for control design and analysis. Yet system identification typically involves open-loop plant models which are independent of the control system (with the exception of limited developments in closed-loop system identification which is nonetheless focused on obtaining open-loop plant models from closed-loop data). Moreover the objectives of system identification are not the same as a flight test and hence system identification error metrics are not directly relevant. In applications such as launch vehicles where the open loop plant is unstable it is similarity of the closed-loop system dynamics of a flight test that are relevant.

Whorton, Mark S.↗

Validating a Model for Welding Induced Residual Stress Using High-Energy X-ray Diffraction

Integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) provides a pathway to advance performance in structures through the use of physically-based models to better understand how manufacturing processes influence product performance. As one particular challenge, consider that residual stresses induced in fabrication are pervasive and directly impact the life of structures. For ICME to be an effective strategy, it is essential that predictive capability be developed in conjunction with critical experiments. In the present paper, simulation results from a multi-physics model for gas metal arc welding are evaluated through x-ray diffraction using synchrotron radiation. A test component was designed with intent to develop significant gradients in residual stress, be representative of real-world engineering application, yet remain tractable for finely spaced strain measurements with positioning equipment available at synchrotron facilities. Finally, the experimental validation lends confidence to model predictions, facilitating the explicit consideration of residual stress distribution in prediction of fatigue life.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Aeroacoustic Simulations of the High-Lift Common Research Model and Validation with Experiment

Aerodynamic and acoustic data from unsteady numerical simulations of the High-Lift Common Research Model are compared with experimental measurements from an open-jet wind tunnel test of a 10\-scale model. Time-averaged surface pressure data is in good agreement for all of the configurations evaluated during the test. Unsteady surface pressure spectra from the leading-edge slat and the nose of the main element are presented, demonstrating that the highest levels are associated with the wakes of slat brackets. At these locations the simulations and experiment match reasonably well at low enough frequencies (f < 10 kHz based on the model scale) before excessive numerical dissipation leads to a rapid roll off in the predicted frequency spectra. The agreement is inconsistent at other locations on the slat and main-element surfaces, where the pressure fluctuation levels are lower. Noise predictions using a synthetic microphone array are compared with equivalent experimental results, and the changes in levels predicted between three configurations are similar to those measured. However, some details of the noise predictions are inconsistent with the experiment, and the use of solid- instead of porous-surface data for the acoustic processing of the simulations likely contributes to the discrepancies. All of the simulations were completed before the test, and, despite some shortcomings, they provided valuable insight into the aeroacoustic performance of the model that greatly aided test planning and execution. Hence, the post-test comparisons presented here allow an assessment of the predictive methodology in the context of a realistic high-lift configuration.

High-lift↗

Modeling and Validation of Irradiation Damage in Ni-based Alloys for Long-Term LWR Applications (Final Report)

As light water reactor (LWR) plant lives are extended, the need for predictive modeling tools for materials degradation increase in order to ensure safe operation and plan for component replacements. The Grizzly code, which is built on the MOOSE multi-physics simulation environment, is being developed for exactly this purpose. To extend Grizzly to include capabilities for modeling Ni-based alloys, we propose a US/UK integrated program to address thermal and irradiation-induced transformations mechanisms of Alloys 690 and 625. Alloy 690 is widely used in existing LWR plants due to its superior stress corrosion cracking (SCC) resistance compared to Alloy 600. Alloy 625 is used in more limited applications but offers the benefits of both high strength (in the aged condition) and corrosion/SCC resistance. Research has shown that both alloys can undergo phase changes due to thermal or irradiation exposure. In the precipitation-hardened condition, Alloy 625 “softens” during neutron irradiation as the strengthening precipitates decompose and metastable precipitates form. However, the nature and rates of these transformations as a function of exposure conditions are not well understood. Similarly, the effects of these thermal and irradiation-induced microstructural changes on mechanical properties require evaluation. The proposed program combines thermal and irradiation experiments, mechanical testing, microstructural characterization using state-of-the art analytical techniques, atomistic modeling, micro-and macro-scale modeling via Grizzly. This multi-pronged approach yields several benefits: 1) atomistic scale models capture the physics of the mechanisms of phase transformations, which can be generalized to other systems, 2) the modeling results (from atomistic to continuum) will be validated experimentally to ensure the predictive aspect, 3) the microstructure/property relationships captured with mechanical testing provides information at the engineering scale that is needed to validate the integration of the proposed new capability into Grizzly

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

PyForecastTools

This package provides a basic toolkit for model validation and forecast verification, implemented in Python. The code is designed to aid model validation tasks for users of the standard scientific python stack. Functions and classes are provided to calculate a broad range of metrics for continuous and categorical predictions.

Morley, Steven↗

Modeling and validation of single-chamber microbial fuel cell cathode biofilm growth and response to oxidant gas composition

This work describes experiments and computational simulations to analyze single-chamber, air-cathode microbial fuel cell (MFC) performance and cathodic limitations in terms of current generation, power output, mass transport, biomass competition, and biofilm growth. Steady-state and transient cathode models were developed and experimentally validated. Two cathode gas mixtures were used to explore oxygen transport in the cathode: the MFCs exposed to a helium-oxygen mixture (heliox) produced higher current and power output than the group of MFCs exposed to air or a nitrogen-oxygen mixture (nitrox), indicating a dependence on gas-phase transport in the cathode. Multi-substance transport, biological reactions, and electrochemical reactions in a multi-layer and multi-biomass cathode biofilm were also simulated in a transient model. The transient model described biofilm growth over 15 days while providing insight into mass transport and cathodic dissolved species concentration profiles during biofilm growth. Lastly, simulation results predict that the dissolved oxygen content and diffusion in the cathode are key parameters affecting the power output of the air-cathode MFC system, with greater oxygen content in the cathode resulting in increased power output and fully-matured biomass.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

General Diffuse-Interface Theories and an Approach to Predictive Tumor Growth Modeling

While a large and growing literature exists on mathematical and computational models of tumor growth, to date tumor growth models are largely qualitative in nature, and fall far short of being able to provide predictive results important in life-and-death decisions. This is largely due to the enormous complexity of evolving biological and chemical processes in living tissue and the complex interactions of many cellular and vascular constituents in living organisms. Several new technologies have emerged, however, which could lead to significant progress in this important area: (i) the development of so-called phase-field, or diffuse-interface models, which can be developed using continuum mixture theory, and which provide a general framework for modeling the action of multiple interacting constituents. These are based on generalizations of the Cahn–Hilliard models for spinodal decomposition, and have been used recently in certain tumor growth theories; (ii) the emergence of predictive computational methods based on the use of statistical methods for calibration, model validation, and uncertainty quantification; (iii) advances in imaging, experimental cell biology, and other medical observational methodologies; and (iv) the advent of petascale computing that makes possible the resolution of features at scales and at speeds that were unattainable only a short time in the past. Here we develop a general phenomenological thermomechanical theory of mixtures that employs phase-field or diffuse interface models of surface energies and reactions and which provides a framework for generalizing existing theories of the types that are in use in tumor growth modeling. In principle, the framework provides for the effects of M solid constituents, which may undergo large deformations, and for the effect of N - M fluid constituents, which could include highly nonlinear, non-Newtonian fluids. We then describe several special cases which have the potential of providing acceptable models of tumor growth. We then describe the beginning steps of the development of Bayesian methods for statistical calibration, model validation, and uncertainty quantification, which, with further work, could produce a truly predictive tool for studying tumor growth. In particular, we outline the processes of statistical calibration and validation that can be employed to determine if tumor growth models, drawn from the broad class of models developed here, are valid for prediction of key quantities of interest critical to making decisions on various medical protocols. We also describe how uncertainties in such key quantities of interest can be quantified in ways that can be used to establish confidence in predicted outcomes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling and validating tritium transfer in a grassland ecosystem in response to {sup 3}H releases

In this paper a radioecological model (TOCATTA) for tritium transfer in a grassland ecosystem developed on an hourly time-step basis is proposed and compared with the first data set obtained in the vicinity of the AREVA-NC reprocessing plant of La Hague (France). The TOCATTA model aims at simulating dynamics of tritium transfer in agricultural soil and plant ecosystems exposed to time-varying HTO concentrations in air water vapour and possibly in irrigation and rain water. In the present study, gaseous releases of tritium from the AREVA NC nuclear reprocessing plant in normal operation can be intense and intermittent over a period of less than 24 hours. A first comparison of the model predictions with the field data has shown that TOCATTA should be improved in terms of kinetics of tritium transfer.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Reactant conversion in homogeneous turbulence: Mathematical modeling, computational validations and practical applications

Closed form analytical expressions are obtained for predicting the limited rate of reactant conversion in a binary reaction of the type F + rO yields (1 + r) Product in unpremixed homogeneous turbulence. These relations are obtained by means of a single point Probability Density Function (PDF) method based on the Amplitude Mapping Closure. It is demonstrated that with this model, the maximum rate of the reactants' decay can be conveniently expressed in terms of definite integrals of the Parabolic Cylinder Functions. For the cases with complete initial segregation, it is shown that the results agree very closely with those predicted by employing a Beta density of the first kind for an appropriately defined Shvab-Zeldovich scalar variable. With this assumption, the final results can also be expressed in terms of closed form analytical expressions which are based on the Incomplete Beta Functions. With both models, the dependence of the results on the stoichiometric coefficient and the equivalence ratio can be expressed in an explicit manner. For a stoichiometric mixture, the analytical results simplify significantly. In the mapping closure, these results are expressed in terms of simple trigonometric functions. For the Beta density model, they are in the form of Gamma Functions. In all the cases considered, the results are shown to agree well with data generated by Direct Numerical Simulations (DNS). Due to the simplicity of these expressions and because of nice mathematical features of the Parabolic Cylinder and the Incomplete Beta Functions, these models are recommended for estimating the limiting rate of reactant conversion in homogeneous reacting flows. These results also provide useful insights in assessing the extent of validity of turbulence closures in the modeling of unpremixed reacting flows. Some discussions are provided on the extension of the model for treating more complicated reacting systems including realistic kinetics schemes and multi-scalar mixing with finite rate chemical reactions in more complex configurations.

Madnia, C. K.↗

Casting Process Modeling and Validation

Computational simulations of gravity casting for metallic U-Pu-Zr nuclear fuel rods were performed with the free surface flow solver Flow3d. Two different casting apparatus designs were explored for studying the effects on the final cast rod profiles. Experimental data for the casting problem obtained from Idaho National Laboratory (INL) was validated with numerical simulations on one of the designs considered. The volume of the rods cast, length of the rods, and temperature profiles were predicted through the transient casting process and were found to match closely with experimental data. A sensitivity analysis with vent locations, pressure, mesh refinement, and effects of surface tension at the interface were explored. This work serves as a validation benchmark for the casting problem and provides guidelines when performing simulation exercises for modeling casting. This paper also provides the mathematical framework to enabling modeling of the casting process.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Modifications to the steady-state 41-node thermoregulatory model including validation of the respiratory and diffusional water loss equations

After the simplified version of the 41-Node Stolwijk Metabolic Man Model was implemented on the Sigma 3 and UNIVAC 1110 computers in batch mode, it became desirable to make certain revisions. First, the availability of time-sharing terminals makes it possible to provide the capability and flexibility of conversational interaction between user and model. Secondly, recent physiological studies show the need to revise certain parameter values contained in the model. Thirdly, it was desired to make quantitative and accurate predictions of evaporative water loss for humans in an orbiting space station. The result of the first phase of this effort are reported.

Source record↗

Melt Pond Conditions on Declining Arctic Sea Ice Over 1979-2016: Model Development, Validation, and Results

A melt pond (MP) distribution equation has been developed and incorporated into the Marginal Ice-Zone Modeling and Assimilation System to simulate Arctic MPs and sea ice over 1979-2016. The equation differs from previous MP models and yet benefits from previous studies for MP parameterizations as well as a range of observations for model calibration. Model results show higher magnitude of MP volume per unit ice area and area fraction in most of the Canada Basin and the East Siberian Sea and lower magnitude in the central Arctic. This is consistent with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer observations, evaluated with Measurements of Earth Data for Environmental Analysis (MEDEA) data, and closely related to top ice melt per unit ice area. The model simulates a decrease in the total Arctic sea ice volume and area, owing to a strong increase in bottom and lateral ice melt. The sea ice decline leads to a strong decrease in the total MP volume and area. However, the Arctic-averaged MP volume per unit ice area and area fraction show weak, statistically insignificant downward trends, which is linked to the fact that MP water drainage per unit ice area is increasing. It is also linked to the fact that MP volume and area decrease relatively faster than ice area. This suggests that overall the actual MP conditions on ice have changed little in the past decades as the ice cover is retreating in response to Arctic warming, thus consistent with the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer observations that show no clear trend in MP area fraction over 2000-2011.

sea ice↗

Initial Verification and Validation Assessment for VERA

The Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) code suite is assessed in terms of capability and credibility against the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) Verification and Validation Plan (presented herein) in the context of three selected challenge problems: CRUD-Induced Power Shift (CIPS), Departure from Nucleate Boiling (DNB), and Pellet-Clad Interaction (PCI). Capability refers to evidence of required functionality for capturing phenomena of interest while capability refers to the evidence that provides confidence in the calculated results. For this assessment, each challenge problem defines a set of phenomenological requirements against which the VERA software is assessed. This approach, in turn, enables the focused assessment of only those capabilities relevant to the challenge problem. The evaluation of VERA against the challenge problem requirements represents a capability assessment. The mechanism for assessment is the Sandia-developed Predictive Capability Maturity Model (PCMM) that, for this assessment, evaluates VERA on 8 major criteria: (1) Representation and Geometric Fidelity, (2) Physics and Material Model Fidelity, (3) Software Quality Assurance and Engineering, (4) Code Verification, (5) Solution Verification, (6) Separate Effects Model Validation, (7) Integral Effects Model Validation, and (8) Uncertainty Quantification. For each attribute, a maturity score from zero to three is assigned in the context of each challenge problem. The evaluation of these eight elements constitutes the credibility assessment for VERA.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Updated Verification and Validation Assessment for VERA

The Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) code suite is assessed in terms of capability and credibility against the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) Verification and Validation Plan (presented herein) in the context of three selected challenge problems: CRUD-Induced Power Shift (CIPS), Departure from Nucleate Boiling (DNB), and Pellet-Clad Interaction (PCI). Capability refers to evidence of required functionality for capturing phenomena of interest while credibility refers to the evidence that provides confidence in the calculated results. For this assessment, each challenge problem defines a set of phenomenological requirements against which the VERA software is assessed. This approach, in turn, enables the focused assessment of only those capabilities relevant to the challenge problem. The evaluation of VERA against the challenge problem requirements represents a capability assessment. The mechanism for assessment is the Sandia-developed Predictive Capability Maturity Model (PCMM) that, for this assessment, evaluates VERA on 8 major criteria: (1) Representation and Geometric Fidelity, (2) Physics and Material Model Fidelity, (3) Software Quality Assurance and Engineering, (4) Code Verification, (5) Solution Verification, (6) Separate Effects Model Validation, (7) Integral Effects Model Validation, and (8) Uncertainty Quantification. For each attribute, a maturity score from zero to three is assigned in the context of each challenge problem. The evaluation of these eight elements constitutes the credibility assessment for VERA.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Updated Verification and Validation Assessment for VERA

The Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) code suite is assessed in terms of capability and credibility against the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) Verification and Validation Plan (presented herein) in the context of three selected challenge problems: CRUD-Induced Power Shift (CIPS), Departure from Nucleate Boiling (DNB), and Pellet-Clad Interaction (PCI). Capability refers to evidence of required functionality for capturing phenomena of interest while credibility refers to the evidence that provides confidence in the calculated results. For this assessment, each challenge problem defines a set of phenomenological requirements against which the VERA software is assessed. This approach, in turn, enables the focused assessment of only those capabilities relevant to the challenge problem. The evaluation of VERA against the challenge problem requirements represents a capability assessment. The mechanism for assessment is the Sandia-developed Predictive Capability Maturity Model (PCMM) that, for this assessment, evaluates VERA on 8 major criteria: (1) Representation and Geometric Fidelity, (2) Physics and Material Model Fidelity, (3) Software Quality Assurance and Engineering, (4) Code Verification, (5) Solution Verification, (6) Separate Effects Model Validation, (7) Integral Effects Model Validation, and (8) Uncertainty Quantification. For each attribute, a maturity score from zero to three is assigned in the context of each challenge problem. The evaluation of these eight elements constitutes the credibility assessment for VERA.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗