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At least 649 records · Page 36

Evaluate the impact of sensor accuracy on model performance in data-driven building fault detection and diagnostics using Monte Carlo simulation

The performance of data-driven fault detection and diagnostics (FDD) is heavily dependent on sensors. However, sensor inaccuracy and sensor faults are pervasive in building operation: inaccurate and missing sensor readings deteriorate FDD performance; sensor inaccuracy will also affect the selection of sensor for data-driven FDD in the model training process, which is another key factor of data-driven FDD performance. Sensor accuracy and sensor selection individually are well-studied research topics in this field, but the impact of sensor accuracy on sensor selection and its further impact on FDD performance has not been evaluated and quantified. In this paper, we developed a novel analysis methodology that comprehensively evaluates sensor fault on sensor selection and FDD accuracy. Monte Carlo simulation is applied to deal with multiple stochastic sensor inaccuracy and provide probabilistic analysis results of the impact of sensor inaccuracy on sensor selection and FDD accuracy. This methodology focuses on the net impact of fault states across a full sensor set. The developed methodology can be used for the early-stage sensor design and operation-stage sensor maintenance. Furthermore, a case study is conducted to demonstrate the analysis methodology using a commercial building model crated to Flexible Research Platform located at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

CO 2 zonal injection rate allocation and plume extent evaluation through wellbore temperature analysis

Temperature analysis during a pause in injection operations, known as warmback analysis, has been used in the petroleum industry for evaluating the injection conformance and estimating the location of the flooded front in applications, such as waterflooding oil reservoirs. Here in this work, methods are introduced to extend the application of temperature warmback analysis to estimate the zonal CO 2 injection rate and zonal CO 2 plume extent during geologic CO 2 storage in a saline aquifer. First, novel analytical solutions are developed to model transient temperature in the aquifer during the injection and subsequent shut-in periods considering two-phase flow (gaseous CO 2 and aqueous brine) conditions in the aquifer. The solution involves a discretization of the aquifer into regions; the energy and mass conservation equations for the regions are solved simultaneously considering appropriate boundary conditions at the interfaces. Two solutions techniques are presented: multi-region and three-region solutions. Inverse models are developed accordingly to evaluate the injection profile and estimate the extent of the plume front in the reservoir during the injection period. The multi-region solution results in an inversion approach that requires regression analysis. However, the three-region formulation results in a simple graphical technique for inverse modeling. The analytical solutions are validated against a thermally coupled reservoir simulation tool using different synthetic cases for CO 2 injection in deep saline aquifers. The results of the developed solutions provide a good match with numerical results during forward and inverse modeling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A coupled hydrologic-agroeconomic modeling framework to evaluate adaptive irrigation strategies under groundwater withdrawal restrictions

Growing groundwater scarcity requires integrated tools to capture interactions among hydrology, agricultural production, markets, and land use. This study presents an iterative modeling framework that couples hydrologic, crop-yield, and economic models to capture two-way feedback among water availability, agricultural production, and market responses under groundwater constraints. The primary goal of this paper is to describe the methodological development of the coupled framework and demonstrate the significance of iterative model interaction. Applied to the western United States, we evaluated adaptive responses to restricting groundwater use beyond recharge levels, represented through changes in irrigation management and expansion or shrinkage of crop markets through land reallocation. Results demonstrate that the iterative coupling converges to stable equilibrium responses within 10 iterations. At equilibrium, deficit irrigation emerges as the dominant adaptation strategy in California, with irrigation levels stabilizing at approximately 70% of full irrigation demand, while Arizona and New Mexico experience stronger yield sensitivities. Early iterations produce commodity price increases of up to 10% for fruit and vegetable crops; however, these responses moderate as land allocation and production patterns adjust across regions. Deficit irrigation and spatial reallocation of irrigated land partially offset production losses, with variability observed across different states: California maintains yields primarily via deficit irrigation, whereas Arizona and New Mexico will rely mainly on reducing irrigated area to absorb the shock. By capturing feedback between biophysical and economic processes, this approach highlights how irrigation strategies and land-use decisions evolve under water stress and provides a transferable platform for evaluating water management policies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Recent progresses on thermal–hydraulics evaluations of accident tolerant fuel cladding materials

Thermal–hydraulics (T-H) experiments have been on the progress to evaluate boiling heat transfer characteristics of accident tolerant fuel (ATF) candidates for further supporting the core-loading of these advanced ATF concepts in light water reactors (LWRs). Here this study covers recent experimental studies of ATF claddings and summarizes some significant results. Recent T-H experimental results of ATF cladding candidates demonstrated that the material thermal–physical properties have pronounced effects on critical heat flux (CHF). Such effects have not been well resolved in the current physics-governing models. These effects of cladding materials on CHF could be potentially rationalized by the material-conjugated boiling heat transfer, where the material-dominated heat conduction competes with the flow boiling-dominated heat convection. As progressively increasing the mass flux and/or liquid subcooling, CHF differences between different materials gradually decrease, which is in agreement with the recent T-H experimental results of ATF claddings. This is because the dominance of heat convection over heat conduction is primarily improved by liquid subcooling and/or mass flow rate. It is noteworthy that surface oxidization of claddings may have unknown impacts on T-H performances because the formation of oxide layers on cladding surfaces introduces variations of material thermal–physical properties and then changes the surface morphological features, which results in some difficulties in evaluating the thermal safety margins of ATF claddings.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A mathematical approach to using the forgetting curve to evaluate experience and training factors in human reliability analysis

Traditional human reliability analysis (HRA) methods have difficulty dealing with the dynamic nature of factors such as time and rely on static and expert-judgment-based assessments of performance-shaping factors (PSFs) across limited levels. In this study, we introduce a mathematical approach for dynamically evaluating the experience and training PSF. Our proposed method integrates the psychological concept of the “forgetting curve” to evaluate how PSFs are impacted by the number of trainings and the time elapsed since training. To confirm the validity of the model, we provide experimental data fitted by identifying the quantitative relationship between training and human performance. This research enables dynamic and objective assessments, thus reducing reliance on subjective expert judgment and improving the accuracy of HRA.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Evaluation of CMIP6 models in simulating the statistics of extreme precipitation over Eastern Africa

We report the Eastern Africa region experiences frequent extreme precipitation events that can cause destruction of property and environment, and loss of lives. Thus, there is a need to understand how these events may change in the future and how well the global climate models that are used to make projections can simulate precipitation extremes in this region before they can be used in downscaling or flood and drought impact assessment studies. In this work, we evaluated the ability of sixteen Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models to simulate present-day precipitation extremes over the Eastern Africa region during the two rainy seasons (March–May and September–November). We used nine extreme precipitation indices (including seven (one) indices of wet (dry) extremes) defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices. The CMIP6 models were evaluated against two gridded observation datasets: Global Precipitation Climatology Project One-Degree Daily Dataset and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis 3B42. Three model performance metrics (percentage bias, normalized root-mean-square error, and pattern correlation coefficient) were employed to further assess the strengths and weakness of the models. Our results show that the multi-model ensemble mean generally provides a better representation of observed precipitation and related extremes compared to individual models when considering all metrics and seasons. Several consistent biases are evident across CMIP6 models, which tend to overestimate the total-wet day precipitation and consecutive wet days, and underestimate very wet days and maximum 5-day precipitation in both seasons. Furthermore, no single model consistently performs best, model performance varies with the season and index under consideration and is generally independent of horizontal resolution.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Cool rooms for indoor heat resilience: Evaluating affordable cooling strategies in heat-stressed California homes

Extreme heat conditions pose significant indoor survivability challenges for resource-constrained communities, which often lack access to cooling, have poorly insulated homes, and face compounding socioeconomic vulnerabilities. Moreover, concurrent power outages worsen health risks and heat-related illnesses. It is therefore crucial to develop innovative and affordable cooling approaches to protect vulnerable populations. This study assesses the efficacy of “cool rooms”– a designated space within a home equipped with passive and low-power active cooling measures to maintain safe indoor temperatures during extreme heat events and power disruptions. Using a physics-based building energy modeling approach, we evaluate the efficacy of various retrofit packages in maintaining thermal safety within the cool room under recent extreme heat conditions. The results indicate that passive measures can reduce 64% of hours with unmet standard effective temperatures, while the combination of passive and low-power active measures with built-in batteries further cuts this to 86%. Nevertheless, these strategies remain insufficient to maintain indoor thermal safety during extended outages. In contrast, integrating a solar-powered mini-split heat pump, whose technical potential was evaluated in this study, reduces indoor air temperatures below the 28 °C overheating threshold and significantly improves indoor habitability. The localized cool room strategy also offers potential for grid resilience by reducing peak electricity demand by up to 70% compared to whole house cooling during heat waves. The findings can inform the development of actionable heat mitigation plans and retrofit policies for residential communities with relatively low adoption of air conditioning such as warm marine climates.

Cool room↗

Evaluation of a nonlinear variational multiscale method for fluid transport problems

Diverse transport problems, especially those based on fluid flow models, are intrinsically multiscale and nonlinear, characteristics that often lead to intricate dynamics such as the development of instabilities and turbulence. Computational simulations that resolve all scales in these problems are often unfeasible, prompting to coarse-grained simulation strategies in which small-scale features are modeled instead of resolved. Variational Multiscale (VMS) methods, and particularly residual-based Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) approaches, have proven effective and robust for the coarse-grained simulation of complex transport problems. VMS methods avoid the assumption of separable nonlinearity and the reliance on empirical small-scale models by using a variational decomposition of scales together with a residual-based approximation of the small-scales. Evaluation of a nonlinear VMS approach, denoted as VMS n , is presented for the coarse-grained simulation of transient-advective-diffusive-reactive (TADR) transport problems arising from fluid flow models. In contrast to classical VMS approaches that neglect the effect of the small scales on the transport operator, VMS n treats the inter-dependence between large- and small-scales upfront. The treatment of inter-scale coupling involves the solution of a local algebraic nonlinear system describing the evolution of the small-scales. The VMS n approach is complemented with two algebraic approximations of the small-scales: one based on the main diagonal of the transport matrices and another that preserves transport fluxes and is suitable for generic TADR systems. The suitability of the VMS n approach for handling general TADR problems and regimes is evaluated with benchmark incompressible, compressible, and magnetohydrodynamic laminar flow problems, the incompressible Taylor-Green vortex flow, the turbulent free jet, and the two-temperature arc in crossflow. Furthermore, simulation results show that VMS n leads to minor improvements in accuracy with respect to the classical VMS for the laminar flow problems, but to significantly greater accuracy for the turbulent flows and the unsteady plasma flow problems, while using the same cohesive numerical formulation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Workflow for evaluating enzyme immobilization and performance for continuous flow manufacturing

Enzymes have shown promise in various industries due to their functional specificity, catalytic efficiency, and environmental sustainability. These biological catalysts can be a pivotal component of manufacturing pipelines like continuous flow chemistry. For this, there exists a need to robustly immobilize enzymes on solid supports and assess the effects of the solid supports on catalytic performance and stability. Here, we use an industrially relevant model enzyme, C. ensiformis (Jack bean) urease, to demonstrate immobilization and assess performance in the context of continuous flow manufacturing. Various immobilization strategies were screened focusing on immobilization efficiency, protocol simplicity, and urease biocatalyst kinetics. Based on this, CDI-agarose and NHS-agarose resins were identified as the best-performing immobilization strategies for urease. CDI-agarose-urease and NHS-agarose-urease were then scaled up and applied to a large-scale continuous flow reactor to evaluate product yields, operational stability, and long-term stability. These experiments identified differences in stability and performance depending on the immobilization method tested. This highlights the importance of screening immobilization methods and subsequent enzyme performance for each candidate biocatalyst used in manufacturing to promote optimal performance and stability. As such, this work provides a framework for evaluating enzyme biocatalyst immobilization approaches to improve performance and enable transition into industrial processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Evaluation of riparian enhancement actions in the Columbia River Basin

Riparian enhancement is a common restoration technique in the Columbia River Basin (CRB) and the Pacific Northwest. However, relatively few studies have evaluated its success and even fewer studies include long-term monitoring. Forty-one riparian planting projects located in the CRB, each with a paired treatment and control reach, were evaluated in the summer of 2018 and 2019 using an extensive post-treatment (EPT) design. At each reach, we quantified woody plant abundance, richness, diversity, and vegetation and canopy cover as riparian response variables, and measured terrace height and documented individuals with bud browse, deceased, and with predator protection as potential explanatory variables. Species richness, woody plant abundance (all height classes combined and within shrub height class), and the proportion of woody plants with bud browse or deceased were all higher in treatment than control reaches. However, no significant improvements were observed for any other riparian response or explanatory variables. Implementation techniques, including invasive species removal efforts, follow-up planting, watering, and the type of restoration project (floodplain restoration and planting, in-stream restoration and planting, or solely planting) were also considered as potential explanatory variables and were found to have significant impacts on restoration response for abundance and cover variables. Further, our results suggest that planting implementation methods, site level physical factors, and time since planting all influence the success of riparian planting projects and if not addressed in restoration design and implementation can contribute to a lack of detectable response.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluation of Phase Change Plaster/Paste Composites for Building Envelopes

Thermal energy storage (TES) materials increase a building’s thermal mass and provide the flexibility to shave and time-shift energy use. These materials are needed to enable grid-interactive efficient buildings, allowing building occupants to lower costs by leveraging free ambient heating/cooling as well as shifting consumption to cheaper electricity periods. Phase change materials (PCMs) that store heat through a solid-liquid/solid-solid transformation are of particular interest for TES because of their ability to store large amounts of energy across a constant temperature or very small temperature range. Furthermore, previous studies on PCM building envelopes evaluated products that may only be incorporated as part of new construction and are not easily applicable to existing, energy-intensive buildings. In this work, we leverage laboratory PCM characterization and whole-building energy simulation to study the energy and cost savings of PCM plaster/paste coatings, which can be applied post construction to both new builds and retrofits of existing buildings (about 40% of residential buildings in the United States fall into the retrofit category). We evaluated the energy impact of PCM plaster/paste composites for a single-family residential building in the United States, including layer design (location and thickness), composite properties (phase change temperature, energy density, and shape of the enthalpy curve), and U.S. climate zone. The enthalpy curve shape of PCM shows that phase change temperature and energy density are not the only two parameters that must be considered for PCM selection. Maximizing the energy density amid the effective TES zone is key to boosting energy savings. We also studied PCM price targets with the aim of achieving reasonable payback periods based on both block and time-of-use electricity rates. Moreover, we developed an empirical equation to provide a rough estimate of the energy savings potential of incorporating PCM without the need to perform detailed simulations. These results will help guide the selection and design of PCM plaster/paste composite elements for residential building envelopes.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

Seasonal performance evaluation of zero-superheat active refrigerant charge control for variable-speed heat pumps

Heat pumps account for a significant portion of electricity consumption in buildings, making their energy efficiency a critical area of research. Control optimization is recognized as an effective approach for enhancing the efficiency of building HVAC systems. Specifically, since the efficiency of heat pumps increases with reduced superheat and the optimal refrigerant charge level varies with operating conditions, zero-superheat active charge control is a promising strategy to maximize the system’s COP. However, due to its complexity, this control strategy remains in the research phase and has only been tested under limited operating conditions. This paper proposes a methodology to evaluate the seasonal performance improvement of zero-superheat active charge control across a full range of heating conditions in buildings. The methodology includes the development of an optimal controller that utilizes an accumulator to store excess refrigerant and manages the active charge level at zero superheat through subcooling control, as well as the creation of a detailed physics-based heat pump model. Targeted a 3-ton variable-speed heat pump with R410A refrigerant, we selected ten U.S. cities representing different climate regions for seasonal performance evaluation. Our simulations indicate that, depending on the climate conditions, the optimal control strategy could achieve energy savings ranging from 5.8 % to 8.0 % over the entire heating season. These results suggest that zero-superheat active charge control, combined with coordinated compressor and fan speeds, could substantially improve the energy efficiency of heat pump systems while maintaining the required heating capacity.

Guo, Fangzhou↗

Evaluating the Impacts of Coordination for Cascaded Hydropower Plants on the Mid-Columbia

The Mid-Columbia region in the U.S. Pacific Northwest includes seven large, cascaded hydropower plants with a combined nameplate capacity of nearly 14 GW. These plants have several different operators, and there is currently limited coordination among the operators. We develop a detailed model of the Mid-Columbia system that captures both river flow constraints and power system operations. We then place this detailed model within a production cost model of a 2030 system of the Western Interconnection to evaluate how coordination of the Mid-Columbia hydropower plants might impact operations throughout the interconnection. We find that coordination of the Mid-Columbia plants leads to more generation from the Mid-Columbia plants and increased revenues for the Mid-Columbia operators. This benefit is achieved primarily through better utilization of the storage reservoirs and decreased spill through the cascade. We also evaluate the impacts of look-ahead on production costs and find that longer look-ahead values result in lower system-wide production costs.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

A Comprehensive Chemistry Evaluation and Diagnostics Package for E3SM – ChemDyg Version 1.1.0

The Chemistry Evaluation and Diagnostics Package (ChemDyg) is an open-source tool designed for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) developed by the U.S. Department of Energy. ChemDyg facilitates routine evaluation, tailored development, and in-depth analysis of atmospheric chemistry through its modular architecture, allowing users to compare model outputs with observational data. Version 1.1.0 introduces a robust set of diagnostic capabilities, including climatology, time evolution of key tracers, diurnal and annual cycle analyses, and extensive budget diagnostics. These features help identify model discrepancies and enhance the representation of atmospheric chemistry in E3SM. Each self-contained diagnostic set includes dedicated scripts and documentation for ease of use. The interactive HTML output improves data accessibility, accelerating chemistry model development. Additionally, ChemDyg's flexible framework allows for customization, enabling users to create unique diagnostic sets for specific scientific contributions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparative Evaluation of Microwave and Conventional Gasification of Different Coal Types: Experimental Reaction Studies

Here, effects of gasifier conditions (microwave or conventional) on the gasification characteristics of four different types of coal are evaluated by analysis of gaseous species generated during pyrolysis and gasification reactions. Four different coal samples are tested: a lignite (Mississippi), a low-ash subbituminous (Wyodak), a high-ash subbituminous (Usibelli), and a low volatile bituminous (Pocahontas #3). Gas composition, overall yields, carbon conversion efficiency, and cold gas efficiency are evaluated to compare gasification reactivity of the different coal types under microwave and conventional heating. During microwave pyrolysis (Ar atmosphere), greater selectivity of syngas species (H2 + CO) and greater overall non-condensable gas yields are observed, compared to conventional pyrolysis for all coals tested. The high yield of syngas during microwave pyrolysis is attributed to primary pyrolysis gases subsequently gasifying the char of the same sample to produce greater amounts of H2 and CO. During microwave gasification (CO2 atmosphere), selective heating and formation of hotspots within the coal enable the reverse Boudouard reaction to occur at a low bulk gasification temperature of 700 °C, which is less favorable under thermal gasification at this temperature. Yields of syngas are much higher under microwave gasification of all coals. Carbon conversion is found to have a linear correlation with volatile matter of the parent coal. Carbon conversion and cold gas efficiency are highest for coals gasified under microwave irradiation, and gasification reactivity of the four coals was determined to be dependent on the coal type.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Comparative Evaluation of Control-Oriented Heavy Duty Vehicle Air Drag Coefficient Models

Heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) are a significant source of fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, prompting solutions such as HDV platooning to mitigate these negative impacts through air drag reduction. The intervehicle distance in an HDV platoon needs to be carefully selected, such that the platoon-level energy efficiency and safety considerations can be well balanced. Underlying this problem lies in accurately modeling the relationship between HDV air drag coefficient and intervehicle distance. Through comprehensive evaluation and comparison, we analyze five control-oriented HDV air drag coefficient models, including the polynomial model, rational polynomial model, rational model, semi-quadratic model, and ridge model. Leveraging Scipy Curve-Fit toolbox and our previously compiled air drag coefficient datasets, we optimally identify the parameters inside each model. The calibrated models are then thoroughly evaluated via five complementary metrics. The comparison results reveal that the semi-quadratic model has the highest overall performance, while the widely adopted rational model only exhibits suboptimal performance.

Best, Micah↗

Experimental workflow to estimate model parameters for evaluating long term viscoelastic response of CO2 storage caprocks

Understanding the time-dependent behavior of reservoir and sealing formations is critical to assessing risks associated with geological carbon storage since time-dependent deformation strongly influences mechanical responses of some rock types. Many studies have evaluated the risk of CO2 leakage and induced seismicity by assuming poroelastic rheology in sealing formations. Few have considered viscoelastic or other time-dependent responses, where the existing literature adopts 1D models to represent long-term time-dependent responses. This is primarily because to date, the general form of a reasonable 3D time-dependent model for rocks remains unclear. In this paper, we address this unclear issue by proposing a new workflow to select constitutive modeling parameters to evaluate if a 3D viscoelastic model is reasonable using several-hour-long experimental data and a power-law response to extrapolate to the decades-long time frames of interest in geologic carbon storage. To provide experimental data, we conducted multi-level loading/unloading triaxial relaxation tests with four rock types. The experimental results showed that the maximum load relaxation observed is approximately 49%, with some rock types showing as little as 1.4%. Using a simple linear viscoelastic model, parameters were chosen such that a maximum deviation of 1.5 MPa in axial stress and 7 MPa in radial stress was attained with the extrapolated 30-year data. We found that a reasonable parameter range for the normalized elastic modulus is 0.1~2 for rocks with significant time-dependent responses and 0.01~0.06 for those with small time-dependent responses. No matter how significant time-dependent responses are for rocks considered, our results showed that the relaxation time has a general range of 1~10^10 s, whose time scale can be one or two orders higher than a time frame typically envisioned for CO2 injection projects.

Stress relaxation, 3D time-dependent model, viscoe↗

A new approach to the evaluation and solution of the relativistic kinetic dispersion relation and verification with continuum kinetic simulation

Here, the present work describes a new approach to evaluation and root finding for the kinetic dispersion relation of Langmuir waves, which is central to the analytical understanding of collisionless damping in plasmas. The plasma dispersion function is solved to machine precision using direct integration in the complex plane in combination with an analytic evaluation of the residue to account for the deformation along the Landau contour. To efficiently attain machine precision, the contour is displaced in the complex plane prior to integration, and numerical subtleties related to the placement of the contour are discussed. The approach is generic in that it applies to arbitrary distribution functions, with the present manuscript focused on relativistic cases. Detailed verification of results via direct kinetic simulation in a variety of configuration space dimensions is also presented. Finally, the technique is applied to the challenging case of highly relativistic (i.e. extremely hot) plasmas. Here we show both qualitative agreement with prior work, as well as the disappearance of the Landau root which would have significant implication for real-life observation or experiment.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗