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At least 649 records · Page 36

Sensitivity of CONUS Summer Rainfall to the Selection of Cumulus Parameterization Schemes in NU-WRF Seasonal Simulations

This study investigates the sensitivity of daily rainfall rates in regional seasonal simulations over the contiguous United States (CONUS) to different cumulus parameterization schemes. Daily rainfall fields were simulated at 24-km resolution using the NASA-Unified Weather Research and Forecasting (NU-WRF) Model for June-August 2000. Four cumulus parameterization schemes and two options for shallow cumulus components in a specific scheme were tested. The spread in the domain-mean rainfall rates across the parameterization schemes was generally consistent between the entire CONUS and most subregions. The selection of the shallow cumulus component in a specific scheme had more impact than that of the four cumulus parameterization schemes. Regional variability in the performance of each scheme was assessed by calculating optimally weighted ensembles that minimize full root-mean-square errors against reference datasets. The spatial pattern of the seasonally averaged rainfall was insensitive to the selection of cumulus parameterization over mountainous regions because of the topographical pattern constraint, so that the simulation errors were mostly attributed to the overall bias there. In contrast, the spatial patterns over the Great Plains regions as well as the temporal variation over most parts of the CONUS were relatively sensitive to cumulus parameterization selection. Overall, adopting a single simulation result was preferable to generating a better ensemble for the seasonally averaged daily rainfall simulation, as long as their overall biases had the same positive or negative sign. However, an ensemble of multiple simulation results was more effective in reducing errors in the case of also considering temporal variation.

Iguchi, Takamichi↗

WFIRST Grism Characterization

We had presented the optical design and early test result of WFIRST grism spectrometer in previous SPIE conferences. This paper reports the follow-on activity of the spectral and radiometric calibrations, including the calibration methods, experiment designs, and test equipment calibration, such as the light source and detectors used in the test. The real grism calibration includes the throughput versus wavelength, which is largely determined by the diffraction efficiency of the two diffractive surfaces. It also includes spectral resolution, point spread function, and encircle energy measurements. The measured data are presented. The comparisons between the test data and the simulation from theory or optical model are also presented.

Optics↗

Constrained Reference Star Differential Imaging: Enabling High-fidelity Imagery of Highly Structured Circumstellar Disks

High-contrast imaging presents us with the opportunity to study circumstellar disks and the planets still embedded within them, providing key insights into the formation and evolution of planetary systems. However, the postprocessing techniques that are often needed to suppress stellar halo light typically result in significant and variable loss of circumstellar light, even when using relatively conservative approaches like reference star differential imaging (RDI). We introduce “constrained reference star differential imaging” (constrained RDI), a new class of RDI point-spread-function (PSF) subtraction techniques for systems with circumstellar disks. Constrained RDI utilizes either high-resolution polarized-intensity (PI) images or disk models to severely limit or even eliminate the signal loss due to oversubtraction that is common to RDI. We demonstrate the ability of constrained RDI utilizing polarimetric data to yield an oversubtraction-free detection of the AB Aurigae protoplanetary disk in total intensity. PI-constrained RDI allows us to decisively recover the spectral signature of the confirmed, recently discovered protoplanet, AB Aurigae b. We further demonstrate that constrained RDI can be a powerful analysis tool for soon-to-be-acquired James Webb Space Telescope coronagraphic imaging of disks. In both cases, constrained RDI provides analysis-ready products that enable more detailed studies of disks and more robust verification of embedded exoplanets.

Kellen Lawson↗

Retrieval of Temperature and Species Distributions from Multispectral Image Data of Surface Flame Spread in Microgravity

Weight, size, and power constraints severely limit the ability of researchers to fully characterize temperature and species distributions in microgravity combustion experiments. A powerful diagnostic technique, infrared imaging spectrometry, has the potential to address the need for temperature and species distribution measurements in microgravity experiments. An infrared spectrum imaged along a line-of-sight contains information on the temperature and species distribution in the imaged path. With multiple lines-of-sight and approximate knowledge of the geometry of the combustion flowfield, a three-dimensional distribution of temperature and species can be obtained from one hyperspectral image of a flame. While infrared imaging spectrometers exist for collecting hyperspectral imagery, the remaining challenge is retrieving the temperature and species information from this data. An initial version of an infrared analysis software package, called CAMEO (Combustion Analysis Model et Optimizer), has been developed for retrieving temperature and species distributions from hyperspectral imaging data of combustion flowfields. CAMEO has been applied to the analysis of multispectral imaging data of flame spread over a PMMA surface in microgravity that was acquired in the DARTFire program. In the next section of this paper, a description of CAMEO and its operation is presented, followed by the results of the analysis of microgravity flame spread data.

Annen, K. D.↗

A scheme for parameterizing cirrus cloud ice water content in general circulation models

Clouds strongly influence th earth's energy budget. They control th amount of solar radiative energy absorbed by the climate system, partitioning the energy between the atmosphere and the earth's surface. They also control the loss of energy to space by their effect on thermal emission. Cirrus and altostratus are the most frequent cloud types, having an annual average global coverage of 35 and 40 percent, respectively. Cirrus is composed almost entirely of ice crystals and the same is frequently true of the upper portions of altostratus since they are often formed by the thickening of cirrostratus and by the spreading of the middle or upper portions of thunderstorms. Thus, since ice clouds cover such a large portion of the earth's surface, they almost certainly have an important effect on climate. With this recognition, researchers developing climate models are seeking largely unavailable methods for specifying the conditions for ice cloud formation, and quantifying the spatial distribution of ice water content, IWC, a necessary step in deriving their radiative characteristics since radiative properties are apparently related to IWC. A method is developed for specifying IWC in climate models, based on theory and measurements in cirrus during FIRE and other experiments.

Heymsfield, Andrew J.↗

Ignition Transients of Large Segmented Solid Rocket Boosters

A model is described which provides a means for analyzing the complexities of ignition transients and pressure peaks of large, high performance, segmented solid rocket boosters. The method accounts for: (1) temporal and spatial development of the flow field set up by the head end igniter discharge, (2) ignition and flame spreading coupled to chamber flow, (3) the steep velocity, pressure, and temperature gradients that occur during the early phases of ignition, and (4) the interactions that produce ignition spikes (i.e., compression of chamber gases during pressurization, erosive burning, and mass added effect of igniter discharge). The technique differs from earlier models in that the flow interactions between the slots and main chamber are accounted for, and the original computer program for monolithic motors is improved. The procedures were used to predict the ignition transients of the current design for the space shuttle booster.

Caveny, L. H.↗

Topography and tectonics of mid-oceanic ridge axes

Numerical fluid dynamic models of mid-oceanic ridge axes were constructed using distributions of material properties constrained by seismic studies and thermal calculations. The calculations indicate that spreading is passive except for forces caused by density differences due to thermal expansion and partial melt. Except for geometric differences due to temperature distribution, one set of mechanical properties can adequately explain central rifts of slow ridges and central peaks of fast ridges. Viscous head loss in the upwelling material dominates at low spreading rates where material ascends through a narrow conduit. Thermal expansion and partial melting dominate at high spreading rates where a wide low viscosity crustal magma chamber is present. The preferred rheology is 10 to the 20th poise for the upwelling lithosphere; less than 5 x 10 to the 17th for the crustal magma chamber and axial intrusion zone at fast ridges, and a yield stress of 200 bars for the lithosphere. The calculation correctly predicts the existence of central peaks at 'hot-spot' ridges, where seismic evidence indicates a large magma chamber.

Sleep, N. H.↗

Observations of fast oscillations in SS Cygni

High-speed photometric observations of the dwarf nova SS Cygni have been made using an ultraviolet and blue sensitive photomultiplier. Rapid oscillations were detected over an interval of 7 days. The period of the oscillations passed through a minimum of 7.29 s, the shortest period yet observed in a dwarf nova. The signal was spread in frequency by an amount larger than required by the slow evolution of the period. The data are considered from the viewpoint of several models.

Hildebrand, R. H.↗

Wavefront error sensing

A two-step approach to wavefront sensing for the Large Deployable Reflector (LDR) was examined as part of an effort to define wavefront-sensing requirements and to determine particular areas for more detailed study. A Hartmann test for coarse alignment, particularly segment tilt, seems feasible if LDR can operate at 5 microns or less. The direct measurement of the point spread function in the diffraction limited region may be a way to determine piston error, but this can only be answered by a detailed software model of the optical system. The question of suitable astronomical sources for either test must also be addressed.

Tubbs, Eldred F.↗

Magnetic properties of C IV Doppler shift patterns

Coaligned pairs of C IV Dopplergrams and Fe I magnetograms are used to investigate the relationship between Doppler shift patterns observed in the transition region and magnetic field patterns observed in the photosphere. It is found that V(0) lines associated with neutral lines tend to have limbward blueshifts, and that V(0) lines associated with unipolar regions tend to have limbward redshifts. The results are consistent with the active region model of Klimchuk (1984) in which relative redshifts occur where strong vertical fields penetrate the surface, and relative blueshifts occur where these same fields have spread out to become horizontal. It is suggested that the relative blueshifts may correspond to absolute Doppler shifts of very small amplitide.

Klimchuk, James A.↗

Quantitative computer representation of propellant processing

With the technology currently available for the manufacture of propellants, it is possible to control the variance of the total specific impulse obtained from the rocket boosters to within approximately five percent. Though at first inspection this may appear to be a reasonable amount of control, when it is considered that any uncertainty in the total kinetic energy delivered to the spacecraft translates into a design with less total usable payload, even this degree of uncertainty becomes unacceptable. There is strong motivation to control the variance in the specific impulse of the shuttle's solid boosters. Any small gains in the predictability and reliability of the booster would lead to a very substantial payoff in earth-to-orbit payload. The purpose of this study is to examine one aspect of the manufacture of solid propellants, namely, the mixing process. The traditional approach of computational fluid mechanics is notoriously complex and time consuming. Certain simplifications are made, yet certain fundamental aspects of the mixing process are investigated as a whole. It is possible to consider a mixing process in a mathematical sense as an operator, F, which maps a domain back upon itself. An operator which demonstrates good mixing should be able to spread any subset of the domain completely and evenly throughout the whole domain by successive applications of the mixing operator, F. Two and three dimensional models are developed and graphical visualization two and three dimensional mixing processes are presented.

Hicks, M. D.↗

High-order wide-band frequency domain identification using composite curve fitting

A method is presented for curve fitting nonparametric frequency domain data so as to identify a parametric model composed of two models in parallel, where each model has dynamics in a specified portion of the frequency band. This decomposition overcomes the problem of numerical sensitivity since lower order polynomials can be used compared to existing methods which estimate the model as a single entity. Consequently, composite curve fitting is useful for frequency domain identification of high-order systems and/or systems whose dynamics are spread over a large bandwidth. The approach can be extended to identify an arbitrary number of parallel subsystems in specified frequency regimes.

Bayard, D. S.↗

Relativistically Skewed Iron Emission and Disk Reflection in Galactic Microquasar XTE J1748-288

We report evidence for an Fe K-alpha fluorescence line feature in the Very High, High, and Low state X-ray spectra of the galactic microquasar XTE JI748-288 during its June 1998 outburst. Spectral analyses were made on observations spread across the outburst, gathered with the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer. Gaussian line. disk emission line, relativistic disk emission line, and disk reflection models are fit to the data. In the Very High State, the line profile is strongly redshifted and consistent with emission from the innermost radius of a maximally rotating Kerr black hole, 1.235 R(sub g). The line profile is less redshifted in the High State, but increasingly prominent. In the Low State, the line profile is very strong and centered af approx. 6.7 keV; disk line emission models constrain the inner edge of the disk to fluctuate between approx.20 and approx.59 R(sub g). We trace the disk reflection fraction across the full outburst of this source, and find well-constrained fractions below those observed in AGN in the Very High and High States, but consistent with other galactic sources in the Low State. We discuss the possible implications for black hole X-ray binary system dynamics and accretion flow geometry.

Miller, J. M.↗

On Orbit Flight Testing of the Roll-Out Solar Array

The Roll-Out Solar Array (ROSA) is an innovative, lightweight solar array with a flexible substrate that makes use of the stored strain energy in its composite structural members to provide deployment without the use of motors while still packaging efficiently. The ROSA flight experiment was launched to the International Space Station (ISS)on June 3rd, 2017 as a part of the eleventh SpaceX commercial resupply mission. After two weeks of storage, ROSA was extracted from the Dragon spacecraft, deployed, and put through a week of tests to verify its structural characteristics as well as the performance of photovoltaics. The structural dynamics experiments included active excitation of out-of-plane bending modes, and a study of the thermal-structural interaction of the structure during day-night transitions. Data was gathered from a small number of accelerometers located at key points on the solar array and from cameras observing numerous photogrammetry targets spread out over the structure and the photovoltaic blanket. The goal in this effort was to better understand the performance of ROSA and to improve modeling efforts for future designs of similar solar arrays. Of particular interest are the first few system modes and mode shapes of the array, the amount of structural damping present, and degree of structural-thermal interaction seen during eclipse exit.

ROSA↗

Reducing Uncertainty in Chemistry Climate Model Predictions of Stratospheric Ozone

Chemistry climate models (CCMs) are used to predict the future evolution of stratospheric ozone as ozone-depleting substances decrease and greenhouse gases increase, cooling the stratosphere. CCM predictions exhibit many common features, but also a broad range of values for quantities such as year of ozone-return-to-1980 and global ozone level at the end of the 21st century. Multiple linear regression is applied to each of 14 CCMs to separate ozone response to chlorine change from that due to climate change. We show that the sensitivity of lower atmosphere ozone to chlorine change deltaO3/deltaCly is a near linear function of partitioning of total inorganic chlorine (Cly) into its reservoirs; both Cly and its partitioning are controlled by lower atmospheric transport. CCMs with realistic transport agree with observations for chlorine reservoirs and produce similar ozone responses to chlorine change. After 2035 differences in response to chlorine contribute little to the spread in CCM results as the anthropogenic contribution to Cly becomes unimportant. Differences among upper stratospheric ozone increases due to temperature decreases are explained by differences in ozone sensitivity to temperature change deltaO3/deltaT due to different contributions from various ozone loss processes, each with their own temperature dependence. In the lower atmosphere, tropical ozone decreases caused by a predicted speed-up in the Brewer-Dobson circulation may or may not be balanced by middle and high latitude increases, contributing most to the spread in late 21st century predictions.

chemistry climate models↗

Concurrent Flame Growth, Spread and Extinction over Composite Fabric Samples in Low Speed Purely Forced Flow in Microgravity

As a part of the NASA BASS and BASS-II experimental projects aboard the International Space Station, flame growth, spread and extinction over a composite cotton-fiberglass fabric blend (referred to as the SIBAL fabric) were studied in low-speed concurrent forced flows. The tests were conducted in a small flow duct within the Microgravity Science Glovebox. The fuel samples measured 1.2 and 2.2 cm wide and 10 cm long. Ambient oxygen was varied from 21% down to 16% and flow speed from 40 cm/s down to 1 cm/s. A small flame resulted at low flow, enabling us to observe the entire history of flame development including ignition, flame growth, steady spread (in some cases) and decay at the end of the sample. In addition, by decreasing flow velocity during some of the tests, low-speed flame quenching extinction limits were found as a function of oxygen percentage. The quenching speeds were found to be between 1 and 5 cm/s with higher speed in lower oxygen atmosphere. The shape of the quenching boundary supports the prediction by earlier theoretical models. These long duration microgravity experiments provide a rare opportunity for solid fuel combustion since microgravity time in ground-based facilities is generally not sufficient. This is the first time that a low-speed quenching boundary in concurrent spread is determined in a clean and unambiguous manner.

concurrent↗

Challenges in Observing, Modeling, and Forecasting the June 2023 Smoke Event Over the Northeast United States

In the first week of May 2023, boreal Canada began an early start to the biomass burning season when fires erupted across Alberta and western Saskatchewan. Smoke entered the troposphere and spread across the United States as biomass burning emissions in Canada quadrupled the prior maximum since the onset of the MODIS satellite record. Adding to the already existing smoke, wildfires ignited in Quebec on June 2, 2023, producing a heavy plume of aerosol over the northeastern part of the continent. Meteorological factors, including an area of low pressure situated, nearly stationary, over Maine, transported the smoke into a densely populated corridor containing the cities of Washington, DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, and New York City. Air quality alerts became widespread as near-surface levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exceeded harmful levels due the low altitude of the smoke plume. Forecasting the smoke transport and impacts of such events requires a complex combination of observed initial conditions for meteorology and aerosols, knowledge of the emissions from wildfires, and a state-of-the-art Earth System model that couples these components together. Using a case-study perspective with the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS), challenges associated with near real time forecasting of the smoke plume are presented. Analyzed and forecasted aerosol optical depth will be evaluated using available satellite and AERONET observations, while surface aerosol will be assessed relative to observations of PM2.5. Lacking real time estimates of biomass burning emissions for inputs to our forecast model, particular attention is given to the use of day-old biomass burning emissions throughout the forecast period covering the first ten days in June 2023, and the resulting reduction in forecast skill will be quantified.

Allison Collow↗

Challenges in Observing, Modeling, and Forecasting the June 2023 Smoke Event over the Northeast United States

In the first week of May 2023, boreal Canada began an early start to the biomass burning season when fires erupted across Alberta and western Saskatchewan. Smoke entered the troposphere and spread across the United States as biomass burning emissions in Canada quadrupled the prior maximum since the onset of the MODIS satellite record. Adding to the already existing smoke, wildfires ignited in Quebec on June 2, 2023, producing a heavy plume of aerosol over the northeastern part of the continent. Meteorological factors, including an area of low pressure situated, nearly stationary, over Maine, transported the smoke into a densely populated corridor containing the cities of Washington, DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, and New York City. Air quality alerts became widespread as near-surface levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exceeded harmful levels due the low altitude of the smoke plume. Forecasting the smoke transport and impacts of such events requires a complex combination of observed initial conditions for meteorology and aerosols, knowledge of the emissions from wildfires, and a state-of-the-art Earth System model that couples these components together. Using a case-study perspective with the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS ), challenges associated with near real time forecasting of the smoke plume are presented. Analyzed and forecasted aerosol optical depth will be evaluated using available satellite and AERONET observations, while surface aerosol will be assessed relative to observations of PM2.5. Lacking real time estimates of biomass burning emissions for inputs to our forecast model, particular attention is given to the use of day-old biomass burning emissions throughout the forecast period covering the first ten days in June 2023, and the resulting reduction in forecast skill will be quantified.

Allison Collow↗