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At least 649 records · Page 36

Not planning a sustainable transport system

The overall objective of the Swedish transport policy is to ensure the economically efficient and sustainable provision of transport services for people and business throughout the country. More specifically, the transport sector shall, among other things, contribute to the achievement of environmental quality objectives in which the development of the transport system plays an important role in the achievement of the objectives. The aim of this study is to analyse if current transport planning supports this policy. This is done by analysing two recent cases: the National Infrastructure Plan 2010–2021, and the planning of Bypass Stockholm, a major road investment. Our results show that the plans are in conflict with several of the environmental quality objectives. Another interesting aspect of the planning processes is that the long-term climate goals are not included in the planning processes, neither as a clear goal nor as factor that will influence future transport systems. In this way, the long-term sustainability aspects are not present in the planning. We conclude that the two cases do not contribute to a sustainable transport system. Thus, several changes must be made in the processes, including putting up clear targets for emissions. Also, the methodology for the environmental assessments needs to be further developed and discussed. - Highlights: • Two cases are studied to analyse if current planning supports a sustainable transport system. • Results show that the plans are in conflict with several of the environmental quality objectives. • Long-term climate goals are not included in the planning processes. • Current practices do not contribute to a sustainable planning processes. • Methodology and process for environmental assessments must be further developed and discussed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A bilevel multistage stochastic self-scheduling model with indivisibilities for trading in the continuous intraday electricity market

In this paper, we study the profit maximization problem of a virtual power plant trading in the continuous intraday electricity market. Our virtual power plant model is compatible with renewable, and thermal assets, covering a range of virtual power plants currently participating in energy markets. We model the trading problem as a bilevel multistage stochastic program. The upper level of the problem accounts for the profit maximization of the virtual power plant with explicit modeling of the technical constraints of the operational status of the thermal power plant including minimum start-up and shut-down times, ramp-up and ramp-down rates, and minimum generation level. The upper level also decides which continuous and indivisible (fill-or-kill) orders are submitted to the market. The lower-level problem accounts for the clearing of the continuous intraday market, i.e., matching of buy and sell orders. Because of the presence of fill-or-kill orders, the lower-level problem is mixed-integer, which prevents its direct conversion to a single-level problem using duality. In order to solve this challenging problem, we develop a convex-hull extended formulation for the lower-level problem, apply duality theory to obtain a single-level stochastic equivalent formulation, and employ McCormick envelopes to turn the problem into a multistage stochastic mixed-integer linear problem, which we solve using the stochastic dual dynamic integer programming algorithm. We conduct numerical experiments and analyze the optimal trading behavior of a virtual power plant trading in an ideal continuous market without arbitrage.

Bilevel multistage stochastic programming problem↗

Associations between cadmium exposure and circulating levels of sex hormones in postmenopausal women

Recent epidemiological as well as in vivo and in vitro studies collectively suggest that the metalloestrogen cadmium (Cd) could be a potential risk factor for hormone-related cancers in particularly breast cancer. Assessment of the association between Cd exposure and levels of endogenous sex hormones is of pivotal importance, as increased levels of such have been associated with a higher risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women. The present study investigated the perceived relationship (multivariable-adjusted linear regression analyses) between Cd exposure [blood Cd (B-Cd) and urinary Cd (U-Cd)], and serum levels of androstenedione, testosterone, estradiol, and sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG), in 438 postmenopausal Swedish women without hormone replacement therapy (HRT). A significant positive association between B-Cd (median 3.4 nmol/L) and serum testosterone levels, as well as a significant inverse association between B-Cd and serum estradiol levels and with the estradiol/testosterone ratio were encountered. However, U-Cd (median 0.69 nmol/mmol creatinine) was inversely associated with serum estradiol levels only. Our data may suggest that Cd interferes with the levels of testosterone and estradiol in postmenopausal women, which might have implications for breast cancer risk. - Highlights: • Low level cadmium exposure may interfere with the levels of steroid hormones. • Cadmium exposure was associated with increased serum testosterone concentrations. • Cadmium exposure was associated with decreased estradiol/testosterone ratio. • Cadmium exposure may have implications for breast-cancer promotion.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Prevalence of various environmental intolerances in a Swedish and Finnish general population

Highlights: • The prevalence of various types of EI is country-dependent. • The results imply that societal factors contribute to EI. • The prevalence of EI with CNS symptoms is lower than self-reported EI. • Recognition of EI gives opportunities to hinder the progression of the condition. • The prevalence rates for building-related intolerance have previously been lacking. To determine the prevalence of various environmental intolerances (EIs), using several criteria in a Swedish and a Finnish general population. Ill-health attributed to low-level environmental exposures is a commonly encountered challenge in occupational and environmental medicine.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Longitudinal changes in persistent organic pollutants (POPs) from 2001 to 2009 in a sample of elderly Swedish men and women

Highlights: • The 5 year longitudinal trend in POP levels in an elderly cohort was evaluated. • Significant decreases in plasma levels of 18 POPs was observed. • A larger decline in plasma levels observed in elderly men versus elderly women. • Those who lost more weight showed a smaller decline in POP plasma concentrations. • Those with larger increases in plasma lipids showed a smaller decline in POP levels. Prospective cohort studies evaluating the temporal trends of background-level persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and their potential negative health effects in humans are needed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of Voice Rehabilitation After Radiation Therapy for Laryngeal Cancer: A Randomized Controlled Study

Background: Patients treated with radiation therapy for laryngeal cancer often experience voice problems. The aim of this randomized controlled trial was to assess the efficacy of voice rehabilitation for laryngeal cancer patients after having undergone radiation therapy and to investigate whether differences between different tumor localizations with regard to rehabilitation outcomes exist. Methods and Materials: Sixty-nine male patients irradiated for laryngeal cancer participated. Voice recordings and self-assessments of communicative dysfunction were performed 1 and 6 months after radiation therapy. Thirty-three patients were randomized to structured voice rehabilitation with a speech-language pathologist and 36 to a control group. Furthermore, comparisons with 23 healthy control individuals were made. Acoustic analyses were performed for all patients, including the healthy control individuals. The Swedish version of the Self Evaluation of Communication Experiences after Laryngeal Cancer and self-ratings of voice function were used to assess vocal and communicative function. Results: The patients who received vocal rehabilitation experienced improved self-rated vocal function after rehabilitation. Patients with supraglottic tumors who received voice rehabilitation had statistically significant improvements in voice quality and self-rated vocal function, whereas the control group did not. Conclusion: Voice rehabilitation for male patients with laryngeal cancer is efficacious regarding patient-reported outcome measurements. The patients experienced better voice function after rehabilitation. Patients with supraglottic tumors also showed an improvement in terms of acoustic voice outcomes. Rehabilitation with a speech-language pathologist is recommended for laryngeal cancer patients after radiation therapy, particularly for patients with supraglottic tumors.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

In situ self-ion (Fe + ) irradiation of ODS-FeCrAl alloy fuel cladding materials with different Cr contents: The early stages of Cr-rich α’ phase precipitation

Oxide-dispersion-strengthened FeCrAl (ODS-FeCrAl) alloys are candidate accident-tolerant fuel cladding materials for light water reactors because they demonstrate satisfactory resistance to materials degradation effects such as high-temperature oxidation, radiation-induced swelling, and creep. Their perspective deployment to market is challenged, however, by their inherent susceptibility to irradiation embrittlement caused by the precipitation of the brittle Cr-rich α’ phase at relatively low temperatures (≤475 °C). This work used in situ self-ion irradiation (150 keV Fe + ) in a transmission electron microscope to elucidate the early stages of Cr-rich α’ phase precipitation in three candidate ODS-FeCrAl alloy fuel cladding materials with different Cr contents (10, 12, and 20 wt.%) and microstructures. The early stages of the process resulting in the precipitation of the Cr-rich α’ phase in these three ODS-FeCrAl alloys under Fe + irradiation were investigated at room temperature and 300 °C up to total fluences of 1.7 × 10 15 ions·cm -2 (2 dpa) and 3.4 × 10 15 ions·cm -2 (4 dpa), using three damage dose rates (5 × 10 –5 , 3.3 × 10 –4 , and 2 × 10 –3 dpa·s -1 ). Post-irradiation examination via scanning transmission electron microscopy, energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy and electron energy loss spectroscopy suggested that the precipitation of the Cr-rich α’ phase might be promoted by the phase separation of the alloy matrix into Cr-rich and Fe-rich regions. Interestingly, oxygen impurities segregated preferentially in the Cr-rich regions, possibly promoting the radiation-assisted formation of the Cr-rich α’ phase. α’ phase precipitation was more pronounced at room temperature when compared to 300 °C, and it was clearly promoted by the progressive increase in the Cr content of the ODS-FeCrAl alloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

State of the art, gaps, and prospects in fusion materials theory and modelling

Advancing the theory and simulation of materials for fusion applications remains a key component of global roadmaps aimed at delivering much-needed fusion power. Especially as the drive for commercial application increases, prototypes must be designed against radiation damage before the relevant experimental data can be collected and cost reductions that are possible by testing materials in silico become even more important. Here, we summarise the state of the art as it emerged during the 7 th Fusion Materials Theory & Modelling Workshop that took place in 2024, with the aim to highlight present gaps and future directions for the fusion materials modelling community. Of particular interest were the effects of transmutations, chemical complexity with the development of novel alloys and interatomic potentials, advancements in modelling high-dose microstructures, comparison with experimental data and multiscale models for structural assessment relying on high-performance computing and virtual reality.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Rapid scalable plasma processing of thin-film Li–La–Zr–O solid-state electrolytes

Solid-state electrolytes, such as lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide (LLZO), show promise as technologies for next-generation high-energy-density batteries, but commercial development has been hindered by a lack of scalable processing methods. Current fabrication methods are costly or require long annealing steps to create dense films. We report an atmospheric pressure blown-arc nitrogen plasma jet process to rapidly form sub-micrometer-thick, dense amorphous LLZO (a-LLZO) films from sol-gel precursors. Films are processed in less than 2 min, an order of magnitude faster than what has previously been reported. We demonstrate 500-nm-thick a-LLZO films processed at 350°C with an ionic conductivity of 2 × 10 −6 S/cm at 30°C and 2 × 10 −3 S/cm at 100°C and a conductance of 19 S at 100°C, the highest conductance of any LLZO phase to date. Here, the films exhibit outstanding smooth surface morphology with low defectivity, advancing atmospheric plasma processing as a scalable processing method for solid-state electrolytes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Phonon lifetimes and mode softening in cubic Cs 2 AgBiBr 6

Metal halide perovskites (MHPs) have emerged as noteworthy candidates for photovoltaic applications in recent years. Their high power-conversion efficiency is largely attributed to the structure-function relationship, which is not well understood. In this study, we examine the low-frequency phonons of the double perovskite Cs 2 AgBiBr 6 using neutron inelastic scattering. We find that the acoustic phonon lifetimes decrease from 16 to 3 ps along Γ to X, which is indicative of significant anharmonicity that contributes to the ultralow thermal conductivity. Additionally, we observe a linear temperature dependence of the square of the zone-center soft optical phonon energy, which is consistent with a weakly first-order displacive cubic-tetragonal structural phase transition. These results provide a deeper understanding of the lattice dynamics and phase transitions in MHPs as well as the effects of anharmonicity by comparison with prototypical hybrid organic-inorganic MHPs, (CH 3 NH 3 ) PbX 3 (X = Br, I).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The separatrix electron density in JET, ASDEX upgrade and alcator C-Mod H-mode plasmas: A common evaluation procedure and correlation with engineering parameters

The separatrix electron density is an important parameter for core-edge scenario integration in tokamak devices, as it influences plasma confinement, divertor detachment and disruption avoidance. This quantity has been measured in H-mode discharges on JET, ASDEX Upgrade and Alcator C-Mod by applying the same fitting function to Thomson scattering measurements, and by employing the same analysis technique based on scrape-off layer power balance. To estimate the power crossing the separatrix, the inter-ELM time derivative of the plasma energy d W /d t has been experimentally evaluated and found to be approximately a constant fraction of the absorbed heating power. Correlations between n e,sep and engineering parameters have been investigated, revealing that n e,sep scales with the divertor neutral pressure p 0,div in a similar manner across all devices. Additionally, when n e,sep is normalized to the obtained n e,sep dependency, no clear correlation with the plasma current is found. These observations are in agreement with the 2-point model, which suggests that the upstream separatrix density is mainly set by the recycling at the divertor target.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

OC7 phase I: Toward practical sea-state-dependent modeling of hydrodynamic viscous drag and damping

Here, this article presents a collaborative research campaign under the OC7 project on refining the engineering modeling approach for hydrodynamic viscous drag and damping on floating wind platforms, focusing on the adjustment of hydrodynamic drag and damping coefficients for different sea states. The participant simulation results show significant improvements over the previous OC6 project in predicting the low-frequency resonance motion under nonoperational conditions. The improvements are mainly due to enhanced modeling, including the adoption of wave stretching, and directly tuning the coefficients to measured platform motion in waves instead of free decay. For accurate predictions of mean- and slow-drift motion, the better performing models use a decreasing column splash zone drag coefficient and increasing surge damping/drag with increasing wave height. The model tuning for heave and pitch resonance shows less consistency. Generally, both quadratic drag and additional heave or pitch damping are needed for accurate predictions. Alternatively, a quadratic drag formulation with velocity filtering for the rectangular pontoons leads to improved predictions without additional damping. This model is also potentially more predictive, requiring minimal adjustment to its parameters for different conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Bayesian learning with Gaussian processes for low-dimensional representations of time-dependent nonlinear systems

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that poses the problem of learning low-dimensional model terms as a regression of state space data and corresponding time derivatives by minimizing the residual of reduced system equations. Standard operator inference models perform well with accurate training data that are dense in time, but producing stable and accurate models when the state data are noisy and/or sparse in time remains a challenge. Another challenge is the lack of uncertainty estimation for the predictions from the operator inference models. Our approach addresses these challenges by incorporating Gaussian process surrogates into the operator inference framework to (1) probabilistically describe uncertainties in the state predictions and (2) procure analytical time derivative estimates with quantified uncertainties. The formulation leads to a generalized least-squares regression and, ultimately, reduced-order models that are described probabilistically with a closed-form expression for the posterior distribution of the operators. The resulting probabilistic surrogate model propagates uncertainties from the observed state data to reduced-order predictions. Furthermore, we demonstrate the method is effective for constructing low-dimensional models of two nonlinear partial differential equations representing a compressible flow and a nonlinear diffusion–reaction process, as well as for estimating the parameters of a low-dimensional system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations representing compartmental models in epidemiology.

Data-driven model reduction↗

Supercooled phase transitions in conformal dark sectors explain NANOGrav data

According to recent lore, it is difficult to explain the evidence for a stochastic gravitational wave background obtained by pulsar timing arrays with supercooled first-order phase transitions (FOPTs). We demonstrate that supercooled FOPTs in dark U(1) models with a conformal dark sector easily explain the nHz signal at NANOGrav.

Conformal models↗

Quantum complexity in gravity, quantum field theory, and quantum information science

Quantum complexity quantifies the difficulty of preparing a state or implementing a unitary transformation with limited resources. Applications range from quantum computation to condensed matter physics and quantum gravity. Here, we seek to bridge the approaches of these fields, which define and study complexity using different frameworks and tools. We describe several definitions of complexity, along with their key properties. In quantum information theory, we focus on complexity growth in random quantum circuits. In quantum many-body systems and quantum field theory (QFT), we discuss a geometric definition of complexity in terms of geodesics on the unitary group. In dynamical systems, we explore a definition of complexity in terms of state or operator spreading, as well as concepts from tensor-networks. We also outline applications to simple quantum systems, quantum many-body models, and QFTs including conformal field theories (CFTs). Finally, we explain the proposed relationship between complexity and gravitational observables within the holographic anti-de Sitter (AdS)/CFT correspondence.

Baiguera, Stefano [Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nu↗

Valued peaks: Sustainable water allocation for small hydropower plants in an era of explicit ecological needs

Optimizing hydropower operations to balance economic profitability and support functioning ecosystem services is integral to river management policy. In this article, we propose a dynamic, constrained optimization framework for small hydropower plants (SHPs) to evaluate trade-offs between economic profitability and socio-ecological requirements. Specifically, we examine the balance between short-term losses in hydropower generation and the potential for compensatory benefits in the form of revenue from recreational ecosystem services, irrespective of the direct beneficiary. Our framework integrates a fish habitat model, a hydropower optimization model, and a recreational ecosystem service estimate to evaluate different environmental flow scenarios. The optimization process gives three outflow release scenarios, informed by previous streamflow realisations (dam inflow), and designed environmental flow constraints. The framework is applied and tested for the river Kuusinkijoki in North-eastern Finland, which is a habitat for migratory brown trout and grayling populations. We show that the revenue loss due to the environmental flow constraints arises through a reduction in revenue per generated energy unit and through a reduction in turbine efficiency. Additionally, the simulation results reveal that all the designed environmental flow constraints cannot be met simultaneously. Under the environmental flow scenario with both minimum flow and flow ramping rate constraints, the annual hydropower revenue decreases by 16.5 %. An annual increase of 8 % in recreational fishing visits offsets the revenue loss. In conclusion, the developed framework provides knowledge of the costs and benefits of hydropower environmental flow constraints and guides the prioritizing process of environmental measures.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Inversion of dislocation-impurity interactions in α -Fe under magnetic state changes

Here, in this work, we investigate the dislocation-impurity interaction energies and their profiles for various 3d elements —V, Cr, Mn, Cu, Ni, and Co —in and around 1/2 $\langle111\rangle$ screw dislocations in α -Fe using ab initio methods. We consider the ferromagnetic and paramagnetic states, with the latter being modeled through both the disordered local moment model and a spin-wave approach. Our findings reveal that (1) magnetic effects are large compared to size misfit effects of substitutional impurities, and (2) dislocation-impurity interactions are dependent on the magnetic state of the matrix and thermal lattice expansion. In particular, Cu changes from core-attractive in the ferromagnetic state to repulsive in the paramagnetic state.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Changes in atmospheric circulation amplify extreme snowfall fueled by Arctic sea ice loss over high-latitude land

Arctic sea-ice retreat has been linked to increased winter precipitation and heavy snowfall over land, likely due to a combination of enhanced evaporation from ice-free Arctic marginal seas (AMS) and changes in atmospheric circulation. However, their relative roles and contributions remain uncertain. Here, we show that a greater proportion of AMS evaporative moisture reached high-latitude land during the cold seasons from 1980–1989 to 2012–2021. Atmospheric circulation changes added an additional 13 % increase in the AMS moisture contribution, accounting for 11 % of the total increase in AMS-sourced land precipitation. Notably, 46 % of the increase in AMS-sourced extreme snowfall is attributed to circulation-driven landward moisture transport, representing an 84 % increase beyond the effect of enhanced AMS evaporation alone. Further analysis indicates that both the rise in Arctic moisture and the atmospheric circulation shifts are primarily driven by anthropogenic forcing. These findings highlight how atmospheric circulation changes amplify extreme snowfall fueled by AMS evaporation, underscoring the synergistic effects of Arctic sea ice loss and circulation change on high-latitude winter precipitation.

Anthropogenic forcing↗