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At least 649 records · Page 36

How Can Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasts Be Used to Lower Costs and Improve Reliability in Power Spot Markets? A Review and Application to Flexiramp Requirements

Net load uncertainty in electricity spot markets is rapidly growing. There are five general approaches by which system operators and market participants can use probabilistic forecasts of wind, solar, and load to help manage this uncertainty. These include operator situation awareness, resource risk hedging, reserves procurement, definition of contingencies, and explicit stochastic optimization. We review these approaches, and then provide a case study in which a method for using probabilistic solar forecasts to define needs for reserves is developed and evaluated. The case study has three parts. First, we describe building blocks for enhancing the Watt-Sun solar forecasting system to produce probabilistic irradiance and power forecasts. Second, relationships between Watt-Sun forecasts for multiple sites in California and the system's need for flexible ramp capability (flexiramp) are defined by machine learning and statistical methods. Third, the performance of present methods to defining flexiramp requirements, which are not conditioned on weather and renewables forecasts, is compared with that of probabilistic solar forecast-based requirements, using a multi-timescale production costing model with an 1820-bus representation of the WECC power system. Significant potential savings in fuel and flexiramp procurement costs from using solar-informed reserve requirements are found.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Feasibility Analysis of Converter-Interfaced Combined Heat and Power System

As a promising new design concept, the converter-interfaced combined heat and power (CHP) system is coupled to the bulk grid through a rectifier and a grid-ready tied inverter. Compared to the traditional directly-coupled CHP system, it removes the requirement for oversizing the CHP generator, limits the short-circuit contribution of the generator and simplifies the grid integration process of CHP system. This paper evaluates the economic benefits of this concept by calculating the annualized Return-on-Investment (ROI) and comparing it to the directly-coupled system. The economic analysis includes timeseries simulations to compute energy transactions with the bulk grid as well as sizing the equipment to calculate the capital and operational costs. Obtained results indicate that in majority of user cases evaluated, the converter-interfaced CHP systems can provide better ROI than directly-coupled systems. Given the additional technical benefits provided by inverter-based distributed energy resources (DERs), the proposed concept is proved to be technically viable and economically feasible.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Techno-Economics of Cogeneration Approaches for Combined Power and Desalination From Concentrated Solar Power

For many decades, integration of concentrated solar power (CSP) and desalination relied solely on the use of conventional steam Rankine cycles with thermally based desalination technologies. However, CSP research focus is shifting toward the use of supercritical CO 2 Brayton cycles due to the significant improvement in thermal efficiencies. Here, we present a techno-economic study that compares the generated power and freshwater produced from a CSP system operated with a Rankine and Brayton cycle. Such a study facilitates co-analysis of the costs of producing both electricity and water among the other trade-off assessments. To minimize the levelized cost of water (LCOW), a desalination facility utilizing multi-effect distillation with thermal vapor compression (MED/TVC) instead of multistage flash distillation (MSF) is most suitable. The techno-economic analysis reveals that in areas where water production is crucial to be optimized, although levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) values are lowest for wet-cooled recompression closed Brayton cycle (RCBR) with MSF (12.1 cents/kWh e ) and MED/TVC (12.4 cents/kWh e ), there is only a 0.35 cents/kWh e increase for dry-cooled RCBR with MED/TVC to a cost of 12.8 cents/kWh e . In conclusion, this suggests that the best candidate for optimizing water production while minimizing both LCOW and LCOE is dry-cooled RCBR with MED/TVC desalination.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Feasibility Study of Economics and Performance of Biomass Power Generation at the Former Farmland Industries Site in Lawrence, Kansas - A Study Prepared in Partnership with the Environmental Protection Agency for the RE-Powering America's Land Initiative: Siting Renewable Energy on Potentially Contaminated Land and Mine Sites

Under the RE-Powering America's Land initiative, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) provided funding to the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to support a feasibility study of biomass renewable energy generation at the former Farmland Industries site in Lawrence, Kansas. Feasibility assessment team members conducted a site assessment to gather information integral to this feasibility study. Information such as biomass resources, transmission availability, on-site uses for heat and power, community acceptance, and ground conditions were considered.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

South Africa and the 21st Century Power Partnership: Paving the Way to a Clean, Reliable, and Resilient Power System

Established in 2012, the 21CPP South Africa Programme is a global initiative that connects South African stakeholders with an international community of expertise. The overall goal of this program is to support South Africa's power system transformation by accelerating the transition to a reliable, financially robust, and low-carbon power system. 21CPP activities focus on achieving positive outcomes for all participants, especially addressing critical questions and challenges facing system planners, regulators, and operators.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A Smart Silicon Carbide Power Module With Pulse Width Modulation Over Wi-Fi and Wireless Power Transfer-Enabled Gate Driver, Featuring Onboard State of Health Estimator and High-Voltage Scaling Capabilities: Preprint

A wide range of utility applications require controllable switches with features such as high-voltage (HV) blocking and high-current carrying capacity especially at high pulse width modulation (PWM) frequency. Low and medium voltage utility applications such as motor drives and flexible AC transmission systems (FACTS) as well as solid state transformers (SST) could also benefit from a low-cost HV switching module. Wide band gap (WBG) semiconductors such as SiC and GaN MOSFETs are considered to be the present and next generation device choices, although they have their own limitations. For relatively HV applications with demanding thermal management, SiC is still the only choice, and GaN dominates the low voltage regime. This manuscript proposes a new half bridge power MOSFET module that is suitable for conventional H-bridge of multilevel configurations used in HV applications. Constructed from bare SiC dies, this half bridge module takes advantage of (1) optimized MOSFET placement inside the module, (2) customized heat exchanger, manifold and cooling, (3) integrated gate driver module with PWM over wi-fi to eliminate the need for low voltage signals, (4) wireless power transfer (WPT) enabled gate driver and other ancillary circuits, (5) and the option to incorporate an onboard state of health (SOH) estimator module onboard. The entire architecture has been designed and built at National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO.

baseplate design↗

Exploiting Power Flow Manifold to Solve AC Optimal Power Flow

AC optimal power flow has proven difficult to solve with interior point methods on GPUs. This is largely due to challenging linear algebra problems that current state of the art massively parallel linear solvers struggle with. However, the advent of Riemannian optimization techniques and the fact that the power flow equations form a smooth manifold present an alternative approach. In this talk, we present the basics of Riemannian optimization techniques in which optimization is done directly on a manifold. Then we present computational results showing that Riemannian techniques are capable of producing solutions of comparable quality as interior point methods.

AC optimal power flow↗

Pd 2 Se 3 Monolayer: A Promising Two-Dimensional Thermoelectric Material with Ultralow Lattice Thermal Conductivity and High Power Factor

A high power factor and low lattice thermal conductivity are two essential ingredients of highly efficient thermoelectric materials. Although monolayers of transition-metal dichalcogenides possess high power factors, high lattice thermal conductivities significantly impede their practical applications. Our first-principles calculations show that these two ingredients are well fulfilled in the recently synthesized Pd 2 Se 3 monolayer, whose crystal structure is composed of [Se 2 ] 2- dimers, Se 2- anions, and Pd 2+ cations coordinated in a square-planar manner. Our detailed analysis of third-order interatomic force constants reveals that the anharmonicity and soft phonon modes associated with covalently bonded [Se 2 ] 2- dimers lead to ultralow lattice thermal conductivities in Pd 2 Se 3 monolayers (1.5 and 2.9 W m -1 K -1 along the a- and b-axes at 300 K, respectively), which are comparable to those of high-performance bulk thermoelectric materials such as PbTe. Moreover, the “pudding-mold” type band structure, caused by Pd 2+ (d 8 ) cations coordinated in a square-planar crystal field, leads to high power factors in Pd 2 Se 3 monolayers. Consequently, both electron- and hole-doped thermoelectric materials with a considerably high zT can be achieved at moderate carrier concentrations, suggesting that Pd 2 Se 3 is a promising two-dimensional thermoelectric material. Our results suggest that hierarchical chemical bonds, that is, coexistence of different types of chemical bonds, combined with a square-planar crystal field is a promising route for designing high-efficiency thermoelectric materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ni and Se co-doping increases the power factor and thermoelectric performance of CoSbS

In this paper, we present a new investigation on paracostibite (CoSbS), a potential thermoelectric material for power generation in the intermediate temperature range (700–900 K) consisting of earth abundant elements. We report an improved synthesis of single phase materials of Co 1–x Ni x SbS 1–y Se y (x = 0–0.07, y = 0–0.09) using vacuum melting and annealing followed by SPS processing. The effects of Ni and Se co-doping on the electronic and thermal transport properties of CoSbS were investigated. Doping with Ni on the Co site increases the carrier concentration and moves the Fermi level deep into the conduction band, producing an enhanced power factor. First-principles electronic band structure calculations indicate a multi valley nature of the conduction band where Ni doping leads to n-type behaviour and a sharp increase of the density of states effective mass, enhancing the Seebeck coefficient. Unlike the Ni doping which has little effect on thermal transport, alloying Se on the S site intensifies the alloying scattering resulting in a lower lattice thermal conductivity of 2.4 W m –1 K –1 at 900 K for Co 0.93 Ni 0.07 SbS 0.93 Se 0.07 . Alloying Se on the S site of the structure further boosts the power factor to 22 μW cm –1 K –2 and leads to a maximum ZT of 0.58 at 900 K, which is the best ZT value achieved in the system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The one-dimensional Ly α forest power spectrum from BOSS

For this research, we have developed two independent methods for measuring the one-dimensional power spectrum of the transmitted flux in the Lyman-α forest. The first method is based on a Fourier transform and the second on a maximum-likelihood estimator. The two methods are independent and have different systematic uncertainties. Determination of the noise level in the data spectra was subject to a new treatment, because of its significant impact on the derived power spectrum. We applied the two methods to 13 821 quasar spectra from SDSS-III/BOSS DR9 selected from a larger sample of over 60 000 spectra on the basis of their high quality, high signal-to-noise ratio (S/N), and good spectral resolution. The power spectra measured using either approach are in good agreement over all twelve redshift bins from = 2.2 to = 4.4, and scales from 0.001 km s -1 to 0.02 km s -1 . We determined the methodological andinstrumental systematic uncertainties of our measurements. We provide a preliminary cosmological interpretation of our measurements using available hydrodynamical simulations. The improvement in precision over previously published results from SDSS is a factor 2–3 for constraints on relevant cosmological parameters. For a ΛCDM model and using a constraint on H 0 that encompasses measurements based on the local distance ladder and on CMB anisotropies, we infer σ 8 = 0.83 ± 0.03 and n s = 0.97 ± 0.02 based on H i absorption in the range 2.1 < z < 3.7.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A semi-analytic power balance model for low (L) to high (H) mode transition power threshold

We present a semi-analytic model for low (L) to high (H) mode transition power threshold (P{sub th}). Two main assumptions are made in our study. First, high poloidal mode number drift resistive ballooning modes (high-m DRBM) are assumed to be the dominant turbulence driver in a narrow edge region near to last closed flux surface. Second, the pre-transition edge profile and turbulent diffusivity at the narrow edge region pertain to turbulent equipartition. An edge power balance relation is derived by calculating the dissipated power flux through both turbulent conduction and convection, and radiation in the edge region. P{sub th} is obtained by imposing the turbulence quench rule due to sheared E × B rotation. Evaluation of P{sub th} shows a good agreement with experimental results in existing machines. Increase of P{sub th} at low density (i.e., the existence of roll-over density in P{sub th} vs. density) is shown to originate from the longer scale length of the density profile than that of the temperature profile.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Power and polarization monitor development for high power millimeter-wave

A new type monitor of power and polarization states of millimeter-waves has been developed to be installed at a miter-bend, which is a part of transmission lines of millimeter-waves, for electron cyclotron resonance heating on the Large Helical Device. The monitor measures amplitudes and phase difference of the electric field of the two orthogonal polarizations which are needed for calculation of the power and polarization states of waves. The power and phase differences of two orthogonal polarizations were successfully detected simultaneously.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A 15 MHz bandwidth, 60 V{sub pp}, low distortion power amplifier for driving high power piezoelectric transducers

This paper presents the design and the realization of a linear power amplifier with large bandwidth (15 MHz) capable of driving low impedance ultrasonic transducers. The output current driving capability (up to 5 A) and low distortion makes it suitable for new research applications using high power ultrasound in the medical and industrial fields. The electronic design approach is modular so that the characteristics can be scaled according to specific applications and implementation details for the circuit layout are reported. Finally the characterization of the power amplifier module is presented.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Non-uniform longitudinal current density induced power saturation in GaAs-based high power diode lasers

The output power of modern 975 nm GaAs-based broad area diode lasers is limited by increasing carrier and photon losses at high bias. Here, we use experiment and one-dimensional calculations on these devices to reveal that higher current densities (and hence higher local recombination rates and higher losses) arise near the front facet due to spatial hole burning and that the non-uniformity is strongly affected by laser geometry, which is more severe for longer resonators and less severe for higher front facet reflectivity. Specifically, we use devices with a segmented p-contact to directly measure the current distribution along the resonator and compare this with laser simulation. Devices with a 6 mm resonator show 29% more current at the front than back, twice as large as the 15% current non-uniformity in devices with a 3 mm resonator. In contrast, increased front facet reflectivity (20% rather than 0.8%) is shown to almost halve the current non-uniformity from 29% to 18% in devices with a 6 mm resonator and reduces power saturation. Although the magnitude of current non-uniformity in experiment and theory is broadly consistent, in experiment, an additional divergence is seen in current flow (and hence recombination rate) near the facets, and earlier power saturation occurs. Finally, we discuss the possible saturation mechanisms that are not included in the simulation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Additively manufactured electrodes for plasma and power-flow studies in high-power transmission lines on the 1-MA MAIZE facility

Power-flow studies on the 30-MA, 100-ns Z facility at Sandia National Laboratories have shown that plasmas in the facility’s magnetically insulated transmission lines (MITLs) and double post-hole convolute can result in a loss of current delivered to the load. To study power-flow physics on the 1-MA, 100-ns MAIZE facility at the University of Michigan, planar MITL loads and planar post-hole convolute loads have been developed that extend into the lines of sight for various imaging diagnostics on MAIZE. These loads use 3D-printed dielectric support structures lined with thin foils of either aluminum or stainless steel. Here, the metal foils serve as the current-carrying power-flow surfaces, which generate plasma during the current pulse. The foil thickness (50 µm) and widths (11.5–16 mm) are selected to ensure a sufficient linear current density (0.5–0.7 MA/cm) for plasma formation. Laser backlighting (532 nm) and visible-light self-emission imaging capture the overall plasma evolution in the anode–cathode gaps, including the gap closure velocities (1–4 cm/μs).

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

VERTICAL STRUCTURE AND CORONAL POWER OF ACCRETION DISKS POWERED BY MAGNETOROTATIONAL-INSTABILITY TURBULENCE

In this paper, we consider two outstanding intertwined problems in modern high-energy astrophysics: (1) the vertical-thermal structure of an optically thick accretion disk heated by the dissipation of magnetohydrodynamic turbulence driven by the magnetorotational instability (MRI), and (2) determining the fraction of the accretion power released in the corona above the disk. For simplicity, we consider a gas-pressure-dominated disk and assume a constant opacity. We argue that the local turbulent dissipation rate due to the disruption of the MRI channel flows by secondary parasitic instabilities should be uniform across most of the disk, almost up to the disk photosphere. We then obtain a self-consistent analytical solution for the vertical thermal structure of the disk, governed by the balance between the heating by MRI turbulence and the cooling by radiative diffusion. Next, we argue that the coronal power fraction is determined by the competition between the Parker instability, viewed as a parasitic instability feeding off of MRI channel flows, and other parasitic instabilities. We show that the Parker instability inevitably becomes important near the disk surface, leading to a certain lower limit on the coronal power. While most of the analysis in this paper focuses on the case of a disk threaded by an externally imposed vertical magnetic field, we also discuss the zero net flux case, in which the magnetic field is produced by the MRI dynamo itself, and show that most of our arguments and conclusions should be valid in this case as well.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗