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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 649 records · Page 36
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Climate change impacts on the energy system: a model comparison

Increasing renewable energy use is an essential strategy for mitigating climate change. Nevertheless, the sensitivity of renewable energy to climatic conditions means that the energy system’s vulnerability to climate change can also become larger. In this research, we used two integrated assessment models and data from four climate models to analyse climate change impacts on primary energy use at a global and regional scale under a low-level (RCP2.6) and a medium-level (RCP6.0) climate change scenario. The impacts are analysed on the energy system focusing on four renewable sources (wind, solar, hydropower, and biomass). Globally, small climate impacts on renewable primary energy use are found in both models (5% for RCP2.6 and 6% for RCP6.0). These impacts lead to a decrease in the use of fossil sources for most regions, especially for North America and Europe under the RCP60 scenario. Overall, IMAGE and GCAM provide a similar signal impact response for most regions. E.g. in Asia (excluding China and India), climate change induces an increase in wind and hydropower use under the RCP6.0 scenarios; however, for India, a decrease in solar energy use can be expected under both scenarios and models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Stochastic Energy Deployment System (SEDS)

This short report introduces the Stochastic Energy Deployment System (SEDS), an economy-wide energy model of the United States. Sections cover SEDS methodology, technology representation, and lessons learned.

cost and performance↗
DOE OSTI2025

ResStock Technical Reference Documentation (V.3.3.0)

ResStock™ is the best-in-class building stock energy model for simulating and publishing energy use, utility bills, and greenhouse gas emissions from the residential sector of the U.S. ResStock answers two primary questions: (1) How is energy used in the U.S. residential building stock? and (2) What is the timeseries aggregate impact of energy technologies? Specifically, ResStock quantifies energy use across geographical locations, demographic groups, building types, fuels, end uses, and time of day. Additionally, it details the impact of efficiency or electrification measures: total changes in the amount of energy used by measure; where or in what use cases efficiency or electrification upgrade measures save energy; when or at what times of day savings occur; and which building stock or demographic segments have the biggest savings potential. This model, and the datasets it produces, are foundational to identifying pathways to affordable and equitable decarbonization of the U.S. residential buildings sector.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2018

Big Data Mining for Applied Energy Savings in Buildings

Residential and commercial buildings in China, India, the United States (US), United Kingdom (UK), and Italy consume 39-45% of each nation's primary energy (approximately 73% of electricity). Building energy models can be used to automatically optimize the return-on-investment for retrofits to improve a building’s energy efficiency. However, with an average of 3,000 building descriptors necessary to accurately simulate a single building, there is a market need to reduce the transaction cost for creating a simulatable model for every building in a city and calibrate the models to utility data prior to capital expenditures. Oak Ridge National Laboratory has utilized two of the world’s fastest supercomputers, assembled unique datasets, and developed innovative algorithms for big data mining to produce the Automatic detection and creation of Building Energy Models (AutoBEM) technology for urban-scale energy modeling. The project developed the world’s most accurate method for determining building footprints from satellite imagery and the world’s fastest building energy model generator. The team has also leveraged a total of eight supercomputers to analyze the best methods, metrics, and algorithms for calibrating building models to measured data within 4% of hourly electricity use; well beyond current industry standards necessary for private-sector financing. The project developed the world’s fastest buildings simulator, over 8 million simulations totaling over 200TB, and mined this data with over 130,000 parallel artificial intelligence algorithmic instances to develop the world’s best calibration algorithm in terms of accuracy, runtime, and robustness.

New, Joshua↗
NASA NTRS1985

The Martian climate: Energy balance models with CO2/H2O atmospheres

Coupled equations are developed for mass and heat transport in a seasonal Mars model with condensation and sublimation of CO2 at the polar caps. Topics covered include physical considerations of planetary as mass and energy balance; effects of phase changes at the surface on mass and heat flux; atmospheric transport and governing equations; and numerical analysis.

Hoffert, M. I.↗
DOE OSTI2015

Observational signatures of the theories beyond Horndeski

In the approach of the effective field theory of modified gravity, we derive the equations of motion for linear perturbations in the presence of a barotropic perfect fluid on the flat isotropic cosmological background. In a simple version of Gleyzes-Langlois-Piazza-Vernizzi (GLPV) theories, which is the minimum extension of Horndeski theories, we show that a slight deviation of the tensor propagation speed squared c{sub t}{sup 2} from 1 generally leads to the large modification to the propagation speed squared c{sub s}{sup 2} of a scalar degree of freedom φ. This problem persists whenever the kinetic energy ρ{sub X} of the field φ is much smaller than the background energy density ρ{sub m}, which is the case for most of dark energy models in the asymptotic past. Since the scaling solution characterized by the constant ratio ρ{sub X}/ρ{sub m} is one way out for avoiding such a problem, we study the evolution of perturbations for a scaling dark energy model in the framework of GLPV theories in the Jordan frame. Provided the oscillating mode of scalar perturbations is fine-tuned so that it is initially suppressed, the anisotropic parameter η=−Φ/Ψ between the two gravitational potentials Ψ and Φ significantly deviates from 1 for c{sub t}{sup 2} away from 1. For other general initial conditions, the deviation of c{sub t}{sup 2} from 1 gives rise to the large oscillation of Ψ with the frequency related to c{sub s}{sup 2}. In both cases, the model can leave distinct imprints for the observations of CMB and weak lensing.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Modeling and Energy Analysis of Refrigeration Systems in Supermarkets: A Case Study

Refrigeration systems are the single largest consumer of electricity in supermarkets, accounting for approximately 40–60% of total store electricity use. As supermarkets face increasing pressures to improve efficiency and reduce operational costs, understanding the energy performance of refrigeration systems in supermarkets has become essential. In this paper, we investigate the energy performance and patterns of the refrigeration system using field measurements in one supermarket. The compressor coefficient of performance (COP) averaged 4.5 during nighttime steady-state operation, providing a practical efficiency benchmark. We develop simple physical-based load models for the display cases in the supermarket, where the refrigeration system uses R404A. The results show the display case models achieve a good agreement with measured data, validating its utility for energy estimation during unoccupied hours. Finally, the analysis reveals several challenges of data collection systems for refrigeration systems in the supermarket industry as well.

Chen, Yimin [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000338181655)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multi-Modal Energy Analysis for Freight

This project addresses the impact of emerging technologies on inter-city freight energy demand, shipping time, and cost. Technologies addressed include electrified long-haul trucks, connectivity and efficient operations, and platooning. The research questions are addressed using national level analysis, a multi-modal inter-city freight energy model, and development of a Freight Mobility Energy Productivity (F-MEP) metric. This project improves on prior analysis and modeling by increasing the geographic and temporal resolution of freight flows. The inter-city freight energy model uses a bi-level optimization approach to minimize total network cost (lower level) and energy (upper level). Two new F-MEP frameworks are presented, one for intra-city freight mobility and one for inter-city freight mobility.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Simplified Building Modeling Approach for Identifying Whole Building Retrofits

Building Energy Modeling (BEM) is an effective strategy for optimizing new and retrofit building design, evaluating its energy savings potential and rating its energy performance. However, because of the complexity and expense of modeling, only a small percentage of buildings are simulated. Over 80% of buildings are <25,000 ft2, and the cost associated with BEM can be a big deterrent for reaching this subsector, which usually ends up complying with energy codes and qualifying for incentives using prescriptive measures or generalized design guides. Similarly, efficiency considerations for small building retrofits are often identified through deemed measures or Technical Reference Manuals, which though a scalable and convenient approach, can limit innovation in design and optimization of measures. Simplification of the modeling process, where appropriate, can lead to increased energy savings and more informed decision making. This paper will discuss the development of a ruleset for a simplified approach based on the Performance Rating Method (PRM) contained in ASHRAE Standard 90.1. The approach aims to simplify and lower the cost of the energy modeling process in a controlled and documented manner. An anticipated outcome is an increased use of BEM and its effectiveness in the design, retrofit and operation of commercial buildings. In addition, simplification of the modeling process will result in fewer errors from misinterpretations of both program requirements and program intent in simulation software. The paper will discuss the need and advantages of a simplified modeling approach for whole building retrofits and the technical process for achieving the same.

Goel, Supriya↗
DOE OSTI2023

Effects of Aluminum and Molybdenum on the Phase Stability of Iron-Chromium Alloys: A First-Principles Study

The interaction between solute atoms is critical to the thermodynamic behavior of Fe-Cr alloys, but the effects of non-dilute Al and Mo on the Fe-Cr phase stability and vacancy formation energy are not clearly understood. In this study, density functional theory, cluster expansion, and Monte Carlo simulation are used to predict the effects of ternary solute elements on the thermodynamic properties in multicomponent Fe-Cr alloys. The machine learning regression approach is applied to train and construct energy models that accurately describe the complex chemical interactions. The computational outcomes include the prediction of the partial ternary phase diagram, mixing enthalpy, and vacancy formation energy for different compositions. The phase boundary calculation predicts a pronounced change of Cr solubility in bcc Fe by the addition of Al and the rejection of Al atoms from a’ precipitates. The mixing enthalpy calculation shows that Mo may also reduce the Cr solubility in bcc Fe. Additionally, the simulations show that non-dilute Cr decreases the vacancy formation energy in bcc Fe, while adding Al results in a less significant effect. Finally, the results demonstrate important applications of using machine learning energy models to study model or commercial alloys with multicomponent solute species and point defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2015

2015 IECC: Energy Savings Analysis

Section 304(a) of the Energy Conservation and Production Act, as amended, requires the Secretary of Energy to make a determination each time a revised edition of the 1992 Model Energy Code (MEC), or any successor thereof, is published with respect to whether the revised code would improve energy efficiency in residential buildings. The International Energy Conservation Code (IECC), as administered by the International Code Council (ICC), establishes the national model code for energy efficiency requirements for residential buildings. The latest edition of the IECC, the 2015 IECC, was published on June 3, 2014 and forms the basis of this analysis. To meet these statutory requirements, as well as to assist states and adopting entities in understanding associated savings, the DOE Building Energy Codes Program and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) conduct analyses to evaluate the differences between the latest edition of the IECC and its immediate predecessor. A qualitative analysis is conducted, identifying all changes made to the previous edition of the IECC, and characterizing these changes in terms of their anticipated impact on residential building energy consumption. A quantitative analysis is then modeled through building energy simulation to estimate the resulting energy impacts. This report documents the technical analysis used to evaluate whether residential buildings constructed to meet the requirements of the 2015 IECC would result in energy efficiency improvements over residential buildings constructed to meet the requirements of the previous edition, the 2012 IECC. PNNL considered all code change proposals approved for inclusion in the 2015 IECC during the ICC code development cycle, and evaluated their combined impact on a suite of prototypical residential building energy models across all U.S. climate zones.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2014

EnergyFit Nevada (formerly known as the Nevada Retrofit Initiative) final report and technical evaluation

The EnergyFit Nevada (EFN) Better Buildings Neighborhood Program (BBNP, and referred to in this document as the EFN program) currently encourages Nevada residents to make whole-house energy-efficient improvements by providing rebates, financing, and access to a network of qualified home improvement contractors. The BBNP funding, consisting of 34 Energy Efficiency Conservation Block Grants (EECBG) and seven State Energy Program (SEP) grants, was awarded for a three-year period to the State of Nevada in 2010 and used for initial program design and implementation. By the end of first quarter in 2014, the program had achieved upgrades in 553 homes, with an average energy reduction of 32% per home. Other achievements included: Completed 893 residential energy audits and installed upgrades in 0.05% of all Nevada single-family homes1 Achieved an overall conversation rate of 38.1%2 7,089,089 kWh of modeled energy savings3 Total annual homeowner energy savings of approximately $525,7523 Efficiency upgrades completed on 1,100,484 square feet of homes3 $139,992 granted in loans to homeowners for energy-efficiency upgrades 29,285 hours of labor and $3,864,272 worth of work conducted by Nevada auditors and contractors4 40 contractors trained in Nevada 37 contractors with Building Performance Institute (BPI) certification in Nevada 19 contractors actively participating in the EFN program in Nevada 1 Calculated using 2012 U.S. Census data reporting 1,182,870 homes in Nevada. 2 Conversion rate through March 31, 2014, for all Nevada Retrofit Initiative (NRI)-funded projects, calculated using the EFN tracking database. 3 OptiMiser energy modeling, based on current utility rates. 4 This is the sum of $3,596,561 in retrofit invoice value and $247,711 in audit invoice value.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dynamic energy system modeling using hybrid physics-based and machine learning encoder–decoder models

Three model configurations are presented for multi-step time series predictions of the heat absorbed by the water and steam in a thermal power plant. The models predict over horizons of 2, 4, and 6 steps into the future, where each step is a 5-minute increment. The evaluated models are a pure machine learning model, a novel hybrid machine learning and physics-based model, and the hybrid model with an incomplete dataset. The hybrid model deconstructs the machine learning into individual boiler heat absorption units: economizer, water wall, superheater, and reheater. Each configuration uses a gated recurrent unit (GRU) or a GRU-based encoder–decoder as the deep learning architecture. Mean squared error is used to evaluate the models compared to target values. The encoder–decoder architecture is over 11% more accurate than the GRU only models. The hybrid model with the incomplete dataset highlights the importance of the manipulated variables to the system. The hybrid model, compared to the pure machine learning model, is over 10% more accurate on average over 20 iterations of each model. Automatic differentiation is applied to the hybrid model to perform a local sensitivity analysis to identify the most impactful of the 72 manipulated variables on the heat absorbed in the boiler. The models and sensitivity analyses are used in a discussion about optimizing the thermal power plant.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Microgrid Tiered Circuits Effects for a Planned Housing Community in Puerto Rico

Puerto Rico faced a double strike from hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017. The resulting damage required a comprehensive rebuild of electric infrastructure. There are plans and pilot projects to rebuild with microgrids to increase resilience. This paper provides a techno-economic analysis technique and case study of a potential future community in Puerto Rico that combines probabilistic microgrid design analysis with tiered circuits in building energy modeling. Tiered circuits in buildings allow electric load reduction via remote disconnection of non-critical circuits during an emergency. When coupled to a microgrid, tiered circuitry can reduce the chances of a microgrid's storage and generation resources being depleted. The analysis technique is applied to show 1) Approximate cost savings due to a tiered circuit structure and 2) Approximate cost savings gained by simultaneously considering resilience and sustainability constraints in the microgrid optimization. The analysis technique uses a resistive capacitive thermal model with load profiles for four tiers (tier 1-3 and non-critical loads). Three analyses were conducted using: 1) open-source software called Tiered Energy in Buildings and 2) the Microgrid Design Toolkit. For a fossil fuel based microgrid 30% of the total microgrid costs of 1.18 million USD were calculated where the non-tiered case keeps all loads 99.9% available and the tiered case keeps tier 1 at 99.9%, tier 2 at 95%, tier 3 at 80% availability, with no requirement on non-critical loads. The same comparison for a sustainable microgrid showed 8% cost savings on a 5.10 million USD microgrid due to tiered circuits. The results also showed 6-7% cost savings when our analysis technique optimizes sustainability and resilience simultaneously in comparison to doing microgrid resilience analysis and renewables net present value analysis independently. Though highly specific to our case study, similar assessments using our analysis technique can elucidate value of tiered circuits and simultaneous consideration of sustainability and resilience in other locations.

building energy modeling↗
DOE OSTI2013

DARK SECTOR COUPLING BENDS THE SUPERCLUSTERS

Galaxy clusters exhibit a noticeably anisotropic pattern in their clustering, which is vividly manifested by the presence of rich filament-like superclusters. The more anisotropic the clustering of galaxy clusters is, the more straight the rich filament-like superclusters become. Given that the degree of the anisotropy in the largest-scale clustering depends sensitively on the nature of dark energy, the supercluster straightness may play a complimentary role in testing dynamic dark energy models. Here, we focus on the coupled dark energy (cDE) models which assume the existence of dark sector coupling between scalar field dark energy and nonbaryonic dark matter. By determining the spines of the superclusters identified in the publicly available group catalogs from the COupled Dark Energy Cosmological Simulations for four different cDE models as well as for the ΛCDM model, we quantify the straightness of each supercluster as the spatial extent of its spine per member cluster, where a supercluster spine represents the main stem of the minimal spanning tree constructed out of the member clusters. It is shown that the dark sector coupling plays a role in making the supercluster less straight relative to the ΛCDM case and that in a cDE model with supergravity potential the superclusters are least straight. We also find that the difference in the degree of the supercluster straightness between the cDE and the ΛCDM cases increases with redshift. A physical interpretation of our result as well as its cosmological implication are discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2015

New prospects for PV powered water desalination plants: case studies in Saudi Arabia: New prospects for PV powered water desalination plants

Increased water demand and increased drought episodes in the Middle East and other regions necessitate an expansion in desalination projects and create a great market opportunity for photovoltaics (PV). PV-powered desalination has previously been regarded as not being a cost-competitive solution when compared with conventionally powered desalination; however, the decline in PV costs over the last few years has changed this outlook. Here, this article presents up-to-date performance and cost analysis of reverse osmosis (RO) desalination powered with PV connected to the Saudi Arabian grid. Reference cases include relatively small (i.e., producing 6550 m 3 water per day) and large (i.e., 190 000 m 3 /day) desalination plants using seawater at a salinity of 40 000 ppm. We used data from a King Abdullah University for Science and Technology presentation and Hybrid Optimization Model for Electric Renewables 2.81 Energy Modeling Software (HOMER Energy LLC) in tandem with Desalination Economic Evaluation Program 4.0 (International Atomic Energy Agency) desalination software to analyze the techno-economic feasibility of these plants. The first phase of our work entailed a comparison between dual-axis high concentration PV (CPV) equipped with triple junction III/V solar cells and CdTe PV-powered RO systems. The estimated levelized cost of electricity from CPV is 0.16/kWh dollars, whereas that from CdTe PV is $0.10/kWh dollars and 0.09/kWh dollars for fixed-tilt and one-axis tracking systems, respectively. These costs are higher than the price of diesel-based grid electricity in the region because diesel fuel is heavily subsidized in Saudi Arabia.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
NASA NTRS1992

Fluid hydrogen at high density - Pressure ionization

The Helmholtz-free-energy model for nonideal mixtures of hydrogen atoms and molecules by Saumon and Chabrier (1991) is extended to describe dissociation and ionization in similar mixtures in chemical equilibrium. A free-energy model is given that describes partial ionization in the pressure and temperature ionization region. The plasma-phase transition predicted by the model is described for hydrogen mixtures including such components as H2, H, H(+), and e(-). The plasma-phase transition has a critical point at Tc = 15,300 K and Pc = 0.614 Mbar, and thermodynamic instability is noted in the pressure-ionization regime. The pressure dissociation and ionization of fluid hydrogen are described well with the model yielding information on the nature of the plasma-phase transition. The model is shown to be valuable for studying dissociation and ionization in astrophysical objects and in high-pressure studies where pressure and temperature effects are significant.

Saumon, Didier↗
DOE OSTI2022

Issues in Bi-Directional Interoperability between BIM and BEM

The state-of-the-art interoperability between Building Information Modeling (BIM) and Building Energy Modeling (BEM) is mainly one-way. BEM software like EnergyPlus takes design input from BIM and simulates the energy consumption of the building. BIM, however, is unable to leverage energy simulation results from BEM smoothly. This lack of bi-directional interoperability between BIM and BEM prevents buildings from seeking more energy-efficient design options and limits BIM applications in optimal generative design. In this research, the authors have conducted the following activities related to two-way interoperability between BIM and BEM: (1) surveyed its current status through literature review, (2) investigated barriers to the bi-directional interoperability, and (3) suggested possible approaches to enable bi-directional interoperability and research outlook in the field. As a result, the authors have identified three main barriers to BIM BEM interoperability, namely, inefficient collaboration, limited scope in information transformation, and lack of BEM to BIM transformation. Future directions are suggested to address these barriers.

building design↗