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At least 649 records · Page 36

Mitigating energy demand sector emissions: The integrated modelling perspective

Mitigating carbon emissions in the current energy system will require fundamental changes of both the energy supply and the energy demand sectors. Previous global model-based analyses, however, have focused mostly on energy supply transformations, while the energy demand sector changes are less well understood. In this study, this knowledge gap is addressed by analysing in detail the projected future energy demand projections, and the required demand-side changes to reach stringent mitigation targets using a suite of integrated assessment models. We examine industry, transport and buildings sector pathways across four models and three different reference scenarios from the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathway framework which is used as a set of common future perspectives by the climate research community. The demand side mitigation efforts are compared to a more detailed, sector-specific, technology-oriented assessments of abatement potential based on a literature review for the year 2030. The results indicate that strong emission growth in the industry and transport sector can be attributed to increasing final energy per capita and population growth. In the stringent mitigation scenarios energy efficiency, electrification and switching to low carbon fuel are all required in the short term. In the green growth SSP1 scenario the required emission reduction is significantly less than other scenarios showing that the demand growth and the technology development largely affects the sectors’ mitigation challenge. The technology assessment estimates that in particular in the transport and buildings sector there is a higher potential to reduce demand-side emissions through energy efficiency improvements than currently envisioned in the integrated assessment models.

Edelenbosch, Oreane Y.↗

Carbon management technology pathways for reaching a U.S. Economy-Wide net-Zero emissions goal

The Carbon Management Study Group of the 37 th Energy Modeling Forum (EMF 37) designed seven scenarios to explore the role of three potentially key technology suites – point source carbon dioxide capture and storage (PSCCS), direct air capture of carbon dioxide (DACCS), and hydrogen systems (H 2 ) – in shaping the broader technology pathways to reaching net-zero carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in United States by 2050. Each scenario was run by up to 13 models participating in the EMF 37 study. Results show that carbon dioxide removal technologies were consistently a major part of successful pathways to net-zero U.S. CO 2 emissions in 2050. Achieving this net-zero CO 2 goal without any form of carbon dioxide capture and storage was found to be impossible for most models; some models also found it impossible to reach net-zero without DACCS. The marginal cost of achieving net-zero CO 2 emissions in 2050 was between two and 10 times higher without PSCCS and/or DACCS available. The carbon price at which DACCS was deployed as a backstop technology depended upon the assumed cost at which DACCS was available at scale. Carbon prices were between $\$$250 and $\$$500 per ton CO 2 when DACCS deployed as a backstop. The average CO 2 capture rate across all models in 2050 in the central net-zero scenario was 1.3 GtCO 2 /year, which implies a substantial upscaling of capacity to move and store CO 2 . Finally, hydrogen sensitivity scenarios showed that H 2 typically constituted a relatively small share of the overall U.S. energy system; however, H 2 deployed in applications that are considered hard to decarbonize, facilitating transition towards net-zero emissions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Bioenergy pathways within United States net-zero CO 2 emissions scenarios in the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study

The Energy Modeling Forum 37 study is organized around carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) mitigation scenarios reaching net-zero CO 2 emissions by 2050 in the United States. Here, this paper summarizes the potential contribution of bioenergy use in the electric power, transportation, industrial, and buildings sectors toward meeting that target based on model results. Thirteen modeling teams reported bioenergy consumption in the Reference and Net Zero scenarios. Consumption of bioenergy increased over time in the Reference scenario, from an average across models of 3.2 exajoules (EJ) in 2020 to 3.8 EJ in 2050. Average bioenergy consumption in 2050 increased further to 7.3 EJ in the Net Zero scenario. All scenarios that reach net-zero emissions required some form of carbon dioxide removal to offset emissions that are difficult to reduce. Carbon dioxide removal using bioenergy with CO 2 capture and storage (BECCS) varies widely across models, up to 1000 Mt CO 2 in 2050. Some models rely instead on direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS), up to 2200 Mt CO 2 , and others use a combination of BECCS and DACCS. Model results show a strong inverse relationship between the amounts of BECCS and DACCS deployed. All modeling teams assumed a carbon sink from land use, land use change, and forestry, further offsetting a portion of emissions from fossil fuels and industry that are expensive to eliminate. Bioenergy consumption in 2050 decreased by an average of 1.5 EJ across eight models in a Net Zero+ scenario relative to the Net Zero scenario, due in part to a lower equilibrium carbon price resulting from optimistic cost assumptions for all energy technologies.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Identification of Auger mechanisms responsible for low energy electron emission from graphene on copper using Auger-gamma coincidence spectroscopy

We have applied positron annihilation induced Auger-gamma coincidence spectroscopy to identify important mechanisms responsible for the emission of low energy electrons following the sudden creation of holes in bilayer graphene on copper substrate. The novel surface spectroscopic method measures the energy of the Doppler shifted annihilation gamma photon in coincidence with the Auger electron emitted following the relaxation of the hole created by the annihilation of a surface electron with a surface trapped positron. By extracting and theoretically modelling the annihilation gamma spectra coincident with low energy electrons, we associate majority of the intensity in the low energy (7 eV–25 eV) region of the Auger spectrum to electron emission following Auger decays of 2s holes in adsorbed oxygen and deep valence holes in graphene. We provide additional support to this conclusion by showing that most of the Auger electrons with energy less than ~ 25 eV are coincident with gamma photons with small Doppler shift (511 keV–512 keV) indicating that the primary electron whose annihilation resulted in low energy Auger electron emission had small momentum parallel to the gamma emission direction. On the other hand, majority of the Auger electrons measured in coincidence with the photons having maximum Doppler shift (515 keV–521 keV) were emitted following the decay of core holes (C 1s and O 1s). Furthermore, by selecting annihilation gamma photons coincident only with the O KVV (from surface adsorbed oxygen), C KVV (graphene), and Cu MVV (copper substrate) Auger electrons, we have also experimentally derived the energy spectrum of Doppler shifted gamma photons resulting from the annihilation of positrons with 1s electrons of O, 1s electrons of C and 3p electrons of Cu respectively. Model Doppler broadened gamma spectra produced using ab-initio calculations agree well with the experimentally derived line shapes. This demonstrates the ability of Auger-gamma coincidence method to experimentally resolve the Doppler broadened annihilation gamma spectrum from surfaces into its veiled electronic level constituents which has, heretofore, relied solely on theoretical analysis. Our results also demonstrate that the line shape of the Doppler broadened annihilation gamma peak reflect the chemical composition of the topmost atomic layer and can thus be used to characterize both external and inaccessible surfaces of porous materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Historic and modern approaches for discovery of abandoned wells for methane emissions mitigation in Oil Creek State Park, Pennsylvania

Hundreds of oil wells were drilled along Oil Creek in Pennsylvania in the mid-16 1800s, birthing the modern oil industry. No longer in operation, many wells are now classified as abandoned, and, due to their age, their locations are either unknown or inaccurately recorded. These historic well sites present environmental, safety, and economic concerns in the form of possible methane leaks and physical hazards. Airborne magnetic and LiDAR surveys were conducted in the Pioneer Run watershed in Oil Creek State Park to find abandoned wells in a historically significant but physically challenging location. Wells were drilled in this area prior to modern geolocation and legal documentation. Although a large number of old wells were abandoned summarily without remediation of the site, much of the land area within Oil Creek State Park is now covered in trees and dense underbrush, which can obscure wellheads. The thick vegetation and steep terrain limited the possibility of ground-based surveys to easily find well sites for methane emissions studies. The data from remote sensing surveys were used to corroborate potential well locations from historic maps and photographs. Potential well sites were verified in a ground-based field survey and monitored for methane emissions. Two historic photographs documenting oil activity in the late 1800s were georeferenced using a combination of magnetic and LiDAR data. LiDAR data, which were more useful in georeferencing and in field verification, identified 290 field locations in the Pioneer Run watershed, 86% of which were possible well sites. Sixty-two percent of the ground-verified wells remained unplugged and comprised the majority of leaking wells. The mean methane emissions factor for unplugged wells was 0.027 ± 0.099 kg/day, lower than other Appalachian Basin methane emissions estimates. LiDAR was used for the first time, in combination with an airborne magnetic survey, to reveal underground oil industry features and inform well identification and remediation efforts in difficult-to-navigate regions. In the oldest oil fields, where well casing has been removed or wood conductor casing was installed, historic photographs provide additional lines of evidence for oil wells where ground disturbances have concealed surface features. Identification of well sites is necessary for mitigation efforts, as unplugged wells emit methane, a potent greenhouse gas.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Printable, emissivity-adaptive and albedo-optimized covering for year-round energy saving

Radiative cooling uses high-emissivity materials to passively cool the surface of outdoor objects, such as building roofs on hot days. The issue of overcooling with this technology on cold days can be addressed by structures with thermal emissivity that is adaptive to temperature. Despite recent advances in temperature-adaptive structures, great challenges remain in their fabrication feasibility and unoptimized solar heating that may override the radiative cooling benefit. Here, in this work, we develop a printable, emissivity-adaptive and albedo-optimized covering (PEAC) based on recyclable materials with roll-to-roll fabrication. A PEAC automatically switches its sky-window emissivity from 0.25 to 0.85 when the surface temperature exceeds a pre-set transition temperature, delivering an albedo optimized for maximal year-round energy saving or thermal comfort in a given climate.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-emissivity, thermally robust emitters for high power density thermophotovoltaics

Thermal radiative energy transport is essential for high-temperature energy harvesting technologies, including thermophotovoltaics (TPVs) and grid-scale thermal energy storage. However, the inherently low emissivity of conventional high-temperature materials constrains radiative energy transfer, thereby limiting system performance and technoeconomic viability. Here, in this study, we demonstrate ultrafast femtosecond laser-material interactions to transform diverse materials into near-blackbody surfaces with broadband spectral emissivity above 0.96. This enhancement arises from hierarchically engineered light-trapping microstructures enriched with nanoscale features, effectively decoupling surface optical properties from bulk thermomechanical properties. These laser-blackened surfaces (LaBS) exhibit exceptional thermal stability, retaining high emissivity for over 100 h at temperatures exceeding 1,000°C, even in oxidizing environments. When applied as TPV thermal emitters, Ta LaBS double electrical power output from 2.19 to 4.10 W cm −2 at 2,200°C while sustaining TPV conversion efficiencies above 30%. This versatile, largely material-independent technique offers a scalable and economically viable pathway to enhance emissivity for advanced thermal energy applications.

laser-blackened surfaces↗

Photovoltaic windows cut energy use and CO 2 emissions by 40% in highly glazed buildings

Buildings account for 30% of global energy use. The architectural trend across building sectors is toward more glass despite higher energy use and carbon emissions than opaque cladding alternatives. Numerous window technologies - low-emissivity coatings, triple glazing, dynamic tinting, and the more recently developed photovoltaic glass - have emerged in the last two decades as approaches to reduce building energy. However, a comprehensive understanding of where and how these window technologies can be installed to enable optimal energy savings under different climate conditions remains limited. Here we test window technologies using thousands of macroscale building-energy simulations for different climate zones and building designs to evaluate the associated net energy use and carbon-emissions reduction potential. Novel window technologies, especially photovoltaic windows with high thermal performance, offer energy savings in all climates, ranging from 10,000-40,000 GJ per year over substandard windows for a typical office building, resulting in up to 2,000 tons of annual CO 2 emissions reduction. Highly glazed, net-zero buildings are achievable via photovoltaic windows when combined with careful geometric considerations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Demand-side solutions in the US building sector could achieve deep emissions reductions and avoid over $100 billion in power sector costs

Buildings are energy-intensive and a primary source of US end-use sector carbon emissions. Although building emissions today are 25% below their 2005 peak, far deeper reductions are needed to reach the US 2050 net-zero emissions goal. However, plausible decarbonization pathways that consider both buildings and their interactions with the power grid remain poorly understood. Here, we couple detailed modeling of building energy use and the grid to quantify building decarbonization potential and associated grid impacts. We find up to a 91% reduction in building CO 2 emissions from 2005 levels by 2050 using a portfolio of building efficiency, demand flexibility, and electrification measures alongside rapid grid decarbonization. Building efficiency and flexibility could generate up to $107 billion in annual power system cost savings by 2050, offsetting over a third of the incremental cost of full grid decarbonization. Our results underscore multiple benefits of demand-side solutions for deep decarbonization of US buildings.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Decarbonizing or illusion? How carbon emissions of commercial building operations change worldwide

To lead the low-carbon transition in global buildings, this study is the first to use the generalized Divisia index method (GDIM) to identify the factors driving carbon emissions and assess the decarbonization performance in commercial building operations (CBOs) of sixteen countries during 2000–2019. Results show that (1) while the global carbon emissions from CBOs have increased at a modest rate of 0.9%/yr, this trend runs counter to the declining emissions in the U.S. (-1.1%/yr) and the significant growth in China (14.4%/yr), which can be attributed to the impact of economy-related factors. (2) The U.S. and China, as the largest emitters, contributed 66.8% of the samples’ decarbonization of CBOs (919.1 million tons of carbon dioxide). (3) Most countries’ CBOs had a decarbonization efficiency level of less than 10%, except for Spain (27.8%). Spain excelled in both areas of per capita and per floor area with an average efficiency of nearly 30%. Moreover, ridge regression successfully confirms the stability of GDIM results and it should be noted GDIM has limitations in characterizing the end-use activity. Overall, this study tracks the historical decarbonization of global CBOs and offers benchmarks for different emitters to forecast the dynamic of building emissions along with economic booms.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Heat Loss Effects on Emissions in an NH 3 RRQL Combustor

Ammonia (NH 3 ) is a carbon-free energy carrier with an infrastructure for production, storage, and distribution. There is interest in direct NH 3 combustion, but managing pollutant emissions is a key challenge, particularly nitric oxides (NO x ) due to the fuel-bound nitrogen atom, nitrous oxide (N 2 O), which is a potent greenhouse gas, and unburned NH 3 , which is harmful to humans and the environment. Rich staged combustor concepts with extended primary residence times (τ res,primary ), like Rich-Relax- Quick-mix-Lean (RRQL), offer a viable pathway for direct NH 3 combustion with low levels of NO x formation. However, minimizing secondary emissions such as N 2 O and unburned NH 3 and hydrogen (H 2 ) remains a critical challenge. Prior atmospheric-pressure studies have demonstrated that RRQL operation with sufficiently long τ res,primary enables substantial NO x relaxation and promotes NH 3 cracking to H 2 , if heat losses from the relaxation stage are limited. However, the combined influence of elevated pressure and long residence time on RRQL performance has not been explored. The present work examines RRQL operation at pressures up to 5 bar and elevated τ res,primary . Exhaust measurements of NO x , NH 3 , and N 2 O are used to quantify the extent of NO x relaxation and NH 3 cracking under nonadiabatic conditions. To contextualize and quantify the effects of heat losses in the experimental data, chemical reactor networks (CRNs) incorporating prescribed heat loss rates are employed to assess the sensitivity of emissions to thermal losses in the relaxation stage. Collectively, the results demonstrate that management and quantification of heat losses are essential to preserve NO x relaxation and limit NH 3 and N 2 O emissions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Impact of Clean Grid Transition on Wastewater Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions

This study examines the spatial and temporal impacts of the U.S. clean energy grid transition on related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the wastewater treatment industry. By analyzing data from 17,156 water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs) and state-specific grid decarbonization scenarios, the results project a 60% reduction in Scope 2 emissions by 2050, driven by the national shift to renewable energy. However, regional disparities are prominent, with northeastern and western states achieving the most significant reductions, while the Ohio Valley and Rockies are likely to experience higher emissions due to the reliance on fossil fuels. This study offers the first assessment of clean grid impacts on the WRRFs and highlights the need for targeted, region-specific strategies across different emission scopes. This research provides insights for policymakers and stakeholders in the wastewater sector, emphasizing the critical role of grid decarbonization in achieving GHG reduction goals.

Li, Xiatong↗

Zero-Dimensional Hybrid Organic–Inorganic Indium Bromide with Blue Emission

Low-dimensional hybrid organic–inorganic metal halides have received increased attention because of their outstanding optical and electronic properties. However, the most studied hybrid compounds contain lead and have long-term stability issues, which must be addressed for their use in practical applications. In this work, we report a new zero-dimensional hybrid organic–inorganic halide, RInBr 4 , featuring photoemissive trimethyl(4-stilbenyl)methylammonium (R + ) cations and nonemissive InBr 4 – tetrahedral anions. The crystal structure of RInBr 4 is composed of alternating layers of inorganic anions and organic cations along the crystallographic a axis. The resultant hybrid demonstrates bright-blue emission with Commission Internationale de l’Eclairage color coordinates of (0.19, 0.20) and a high photoluminescence quantum yield (PLQY) of 16.36% at room temperature, a 2-fold increase compared to the PLQY of 8.15% measured for the precursor organic salt RBr. On the basis of our optical spectroscopy and computational work, the organic component is responsible for the observed blue emission of the hybrid material. In addition to the enhanced light emission efficiency, the novel hybrid indium bromide demonstrates significantly improved environmental stability. These findings may pave the way for the consideration of hybrid organic In(III) halides for light emission applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Excitation Wavelength-Dependent Emission from Americium(III) in Mineral Acid Solutions

The photoluminescence behavior of trivalent americium, Am(III), in mineral acid solutions is reported under direct-metal excitation at seven high-energy wavelengths in the ultraviolet and visible regions (378-512 nm). This study revealed a dependence of the Am(III)-based visible emission profile on the chosen excitation wavelength. For example, excitation at the more common wavelength of 504 nm produces the two expected emission bands: one at approximately 600 nm (5D1' to 7F0') and another at 690 nm (5D1' to 7F1'). When the excitation wavelength is shifted to 398 nm (targeting the 5D3', 5H7' from 7F0' transitions), the emission occurs almost exclusively at 600 nm. This behavior is unexpected and potentially highlights fundamental knowledge gaps in the current understanding of the intraconfigurational 5f-5f electronic transitions that give rise to Am(III) photoluminescence. Although a full interpretation of these results is limited by the incomplete understanding of Am(III) speciation in mineral acid systems, this study explores several potential explanations for the observed behavior and challenges the widely held assumption of a single emissive Am(III) species.

Americium↗

Coupling between Emissive Defects on Carbon Nanotubes: Modeling Insights

Covalent functionalization of single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) with organic molecules results in red-shifted emissive states associated with sp 3 -defects in the tube lattice, which facilitate their improved optical functionality, including single-photon emission. The energy of the defect-based electronic excitations (excitons) depends on the molecular adducts, the configuration of the defect, and concentration of defects. In this work, we model the interactions between two sp 3 -defects placed at various distances in the (6,5) SWCNT using time-dependent density functional theory. Calculations reveal that these interactions conform to the effective model of J-aggregates for well-spaced defects (>2 nm), leading to a red-shifted and optically allowed (bright) lowest energy exciton. H-aggregate behavior is not observed for any defect orientations, which is beneficial for emission. The splitting between the lowest energy bright and optically forbidden (dark) excitons and the pristine excitonic band are controlled by the single-defect configurations and their axial separation. These findings enable a synthetic design strategy for SWCNTs with tunable near-infrared emission.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Controlling Valley-Specific Light Emission from Monolayer MoS 2 with Achiral Dielectric Metasurfaces

Excitons in two-dimensional transition metal dichalcogenides have a valley degree of freedom that can be optically manipulated for quantum information processing. Here, we integrate MoS 2 monolayers with achiral silicon disk array metasurfaces to enhance and control valley-specific absorption and emission. Through the coupling to the metasurface electric and magnetic Mie modes, the intensity and lifetime of the emission of neutral excitons, trions, and defect bound excitons can be enhanced and shortened, respectively, while the spectral shape can be modified. Additionally, the degree of polarization (DOP) of exciton and trion emission from the valley can be symmetrically enhanced at 100 K. The DOP increase is attributed to both the metasurface-enhanced chiral absorption of light and the metasurface-enhanced exciton emission from the Purcell effect. Finally, combining Si-compatible photonic design with large-scale 2D materials integration, our work makes an important step toward on-chip valleytronic applications approaching room-temperature operation.

2D materials↗

Above the Energy Gap Law: Heavy Chalcogenide Substitution in NIR II-Emissive Diradicaloid Qubits

Near-infrared (NIR, 700–1700 nm)- and telecom (∼1260–1625 nm)-emissive molecules are good candidates for biological imaging and quantum sensing applications, respectively; however, bright low energy emission is rare due to exponentially increasing nonradiative decay rates in these regions, a phenomenon known as the energy gap law. Recent literature has emphasized the importance of minimizing skeletal modes to prevent increased nonradiative decay rates, but most organic lumiphores in these regions utilize large, conjugated scaffolds containing many C═C modes. Here we report a compact, telecom-emissive scaffold, tetrathiafulvalene-2,3,6,7-tetraselenate, or TTFts, that displays remarkable air, water, and acid stability, exhibits record quantum yields and brightness values, and retains quantum coherence under ambient conditions. These properties are enabled through methodical selenium substitution, which bathochromically shifts emission while shifting skeletal vibrations to lower energies. This new scaffold validates heavy heteroatom substitution strategies and establishes a new class of bright telecom emitters and robust qubits.

biological imaging↗

Are Land‐Use Change Emissions in Southeast Asia Decreasing or Increasing?

Abstract Southeast Asia is a region known for active land‐use changes (LUC) over the past 60 years; yet, how trends in net CO 2 uptake and release resulting from LUC activities (net LUC flux) have changed through past decades remains uncertain. The level of uncertainty in net LUC flux from process‐based models is so high that it cannot be concluded that newer estimates are necessarily more reliable than older ones. Here, we examined net LUC flux estimates of Southeast Asia for the 1980s−2010s from older and newer sets of Dynamic Global Vegetation Model simulations (TRENDY v2 and v7, respectively), and forcing data used for running those simulations, along with two book‐keeping estimates (H&N and BLUE). These estimates yielded two contrasting historical LUC transitions, such that TRENDY v2 and H&N showed a transition from increased emissions from the 1980s to 1990s to declining emissions in the 2000s, while TRENDY v7 and BLUE showed the opposite transition. We found that these contrasting transitions originated in the update of LUC forcing data, which reduced the loss of forest area during the 1990s. Further evaluation of remote sensing studies, atmospheric inversions, and the history of forestry and environmental policies in Southeast Asia supported the occurrence of peak emissions in the 1990s and declining thereafter. However, whether LUC emissions continue to decline in Southeast Asia remains uncertain as key processes in recent years, such as conversion of peat forest to oil‐palm plantation, are yet to be represented in the forcing data, suggesting a need for further revision.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗