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At least 649 records · Page 36

Metrics for quantifying the efficiency of atmospheric CO 2 reduction by marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR)

Abstract Marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR) is gaining interest as a tool to meet global climate goals. Because the response of the ocean–atmosphere system to mCDR takes years to centuries, modeling is required to assess the impact of mCDR on atmospheric CO 2 reduction. Here, we use a coupled ocean–atmosphere model to quantify the atmospheric CO 2 reduction in response to a CDR perturbation. We define two metrics to characterize the atmospheric CO 2 response to both instantaneous ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) and direct air capture (DAC): the cumulative additionality ( α ) measures the reduction in atmospheric CO 2 relative to the magnitude of the CDR perturbation, while the relative efficiency ( ϵ ) quantifies the cumulative additionality of mCDR relative to that of DAC. For DAC, α is 100% immediately following CDR deployment, but declines to roughly 50% by 100 years post-deployment as the ocean degasses CO 2 in response to the removal of carbon from the atmosphere. For instantaneous OAE, α is zero initially and reaches a maximum of 40%–90% several years to decades later, depending on regional CO 2 equilibration rates and ocean circulation processes. The global mean ϵ approaches 100% after 40 years, showing that instantaneous OAE is nearly as effective as DAC after several decades. However, there are significant geographic variations, with ϵ approaching 100% most rapidly in the low latitudes while ϵ stays well under 100% for decades to centuries near deep and intermediate water formation sites. These metrics provide a quantitative framework for evaluating sequestration timescales and carbon market valuation that can be applied to any mCDR strategy.

Yamamoto, Kana (ORCID:0009000731519234)↗

Deep learning to generate in silico chemical property libraries and candidate molecules for small molecule identification in complex samples

Comprehensive and unambiguous identification of small molecules in complex samples will revolutionize our understanding of the role of metabolites in biological systems. Existing and emerging technologies have enabled measurement of chemical properties of molecules in complex mixtures and, in concert, are sensitive enough to resolve even stereoisomers. Despite these experimental advances, small molecule identification is inhibited by (i) chemical reference libraries (e.g. mass spectra, collision cross section, and other measurable property libraries) representing <1% of known molecules, limiting the number of possible identifications, and (ii) the lack of a method to generate candidate matches directly from experimental features (i.e. without a library). To this end, we developed a variational autoencoder (VAE) to learn a continuous numerical, or latent, representation of molecular structure to expand reference libraries for small molecule identification. We extended the VAE to include a chemical property decoder, trained as a multitask network, in order to shape the latent representation such that it assembles according to desired chemical properties. The approach is unique in its application to metabolomics and small molecule identification, with its focus on properties that can be obtained from experimental measurements (m/z, CCS) paired with its training paradigm, which involved a cascade of transfer learning iterations. First, molecular representation is learned from a large dataset of structures with m/z labels. Next, in silico property values are used to continue training, as experimental property data is limited. Finally, the network is further refined by being trained with the experimental data. This allows the network to learn as much as possible at each stage, enabling success with progressively smaller datasets without overfitting. Once trained, the network can be used to predict chemical properties directly from structure, as well as generate candidate structures with desired chemical properties. Our approach is orders of magnitude faster than first-principles simulation for CCS property prediction. Additionally, the ability to generate novel molecules along manifolds, defined by chemical property analogues, positions DarkChem as highly useful in a number of application areas, including metabolomics and small molecule identification, drug discovery and design, chemical forensics, and beyond.

Colby, Sean M.↗

Neural Network-Based Variational Methods for Solving Quadratic Porous Medium Equations in High Dimensions

Here, in this paper, we propose and study neural network-based methods for solutions of high-dimensional quadratic porous medium equation (QPME). Three variational formulations of this nonlinear PDE are presented: a strong formulation and two weak formulations. For the strong formulation, the solution is directly parameterized with a neural network and optimized by minimizing the PDE residual. It can be proved that the convergence of the optimization problem guarantees the convergence of the approximate solution in the $L^1$ sense. The weak formulations are derived following (Brenier in Examples of hidden convexity in nonlinear PDEs, 2020) which characterizes the very weak solutions of QPME. Specifically speaking, the solutions are represented with intermediate functions who are parameterized with neural networks and are trained to optimize the weak formulations. Extensive numerical tests are further carried out to investigate the pros and cons of each formulation in low and high dimensions. This is an initial exploration made along the line of solving high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs with neural network-based methods, which we hope can provide some useful experience for future investigations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multimodal sensor fusion for real-time standoff estimation in directed energy deposition

In Laser Powder-based Direct Energy Deposition (LP-DED) systems, achieving consistency, precision and quality of produced parts requires tight control over printing parameters. One of the critical parameters is the standoff distance. Maintaining an optimal standoff height is crucial for achieving correct laser power density and powder catchment efficiency, as both laser and powder streams are focused at this distance. Here, this study introduces a novel approach using multimodal sensor fusion to predict standoff height in real-time. The proposed system integrates two low-profile, cost-effective sensors: an RGB coaxial camera and a high frequency and high dynamic range microphone. By utilizing a simple fully connected neural network, trained on a limited dataset, data fusion of these sensors allowed for the real-time prediction of the standoff height. The results demonstrate high resolution and accuracy of the predictions across multiple geometries and a wide range of standoff heights. This approach offers a simple, and cost-effective solution for real-time standoff height monitoring and lays the groundwork for future integration into commercial LP-DED systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Retrieval of energy spectra for all flavours of neutrinos from core-collapse supernova with multiple detectors

ABSTRACT We present a new method by which to retrieve energy spectrum for all falvours of neutrinos from core-collapse supernova (CCSN). In the retrieval process, we do not assume any analytic formulas to express the energy spectrum of neutrinos but rather take a direct way of spectrum reconstruction from the observed data; the singular value decomposition algorithm with a newly developed adaptive energy-gridding technique is adopted. We employ three independent reaction channels having different flavour sensitivity to neutrinos. Two reaction channels, inverse beta decay on proton and elastic scattering on electrons, from a water Cherenkov detector such as Super-Kamiokande (SK) and Hyper-Kamiokande (HK), and a charged current reaction channel with Argon from the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) are adopted. Given neutrino oscillation models, we iteratively search the neutrino energy spectra at the CCSN source until they provide the consistent event counts in the three reaction channels. We test the capability of our method by demonstrating the spectrum retrieval to a theoretical neutrino data computed by our recent three-dimensional CCSN simulation. Although the energy spectrum with either electron-type or electron-type antineutrinos at the CCSN source has relatively large error compared to that of other species, the joint analysis with HK + DUNE or SK + DUNE will provide precise energy spectrum of all flavours of neutrinos at the source. Finally, we discuss perspectives for improvements of our method by using neutrino data of other detectors.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Securing Grid-interactive Efficient Buildings (GEB) through Cyber Defense and Resilient System (CYDRES)

The DOE CYDRES project is driven by the urgent need to address critical research gaps in the domain of cyber-physical security of smart buildings, including Grid-interactive Efficient Buildings (GEBs). CYDRES, a real-time advanced building resilient platform, aims to enhance the cyber-attack-immune capabilities of buildings through multi-layered prevention, detection, and adaptation mechanisms. CYDRES consists of five key modules: a multi-layer network analyzer, an Automatic Fault Detection, Diagnosis, and Prognosis (AFDDP) framework, an intelligent mode selector, a cyber-resilient control framework, and a situation awareness platform. The Network Analyzer employs a data-driven framework that includes a protocol state learning tool and a CRF (Conditional Random Field) command validator. In Hardware-In-the-Loop (HIL) testbeds, it achieved 100% detection accuracy with a false alarm rate of 3%, validating its efficacy in identifying selected cyber-attacks. The AFDDP framework leverages pattern matching, PCA (Principal Component Analysis)-based strategies, and a DBN (Dynamic Bayesian Network)-based fault diagnosis approach to pinpoint the causes of physical system abnormalities using Building Automation System (BAS) data. In HIL experiments, the AFDDP module attained a detection accuracy of over 95% with a false alarm rate below 7%. Additionally, the fault detector utilized machine learning (Random Forest) and deep learning (Multi-Layer Perceptron) methods with acoustic sensor data to achieve a 100% fault detection accuracy in Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) equipment. The Mode Selector offered real-time impact analysis, allowing immediate actions to protect BASs in the face of emerging threats. The cyber-resilient control framework included an adaptive Model Predictive Control (MPC) and a measurement compensator, reducing temperature violations by up to 94% and improving the total demand flexibility by up to 70% in HIL experiments. Such HIL experiments covered a cyber-attack case and a physical fault case, showcasing CYDRES’ efficiency in maintaining operational continuity during threats. The situation awareness platform in Grafana enhanced real-time threat detection and response visualization, augmenting the operational awareness for building operators. CYDRES demonstrated high technical effectiveness in various test scenarios, particularly in HIL environments. The project's phased development approach ensured efficient use of resources, highlighting its practical feasibility and readiness for commercialization. By enhancing the security and resilience of building operations, CYDRES represents a significant advance in mitigating risks associated with cyber-physical systems, thereby enhancing public confidence in the safety of modern building infrastructure. Future directions for the project include expanding testing protocols, refining AFDDP methodologies, exploring more comprehensive resilient control strategies, and testing in real commercial buildings.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Chandra measurements of gas homogeneity and turbulence at intermediate radii in the Perseus Cluster

ABSTRACT We present a Chandra study of surface brightness fluctuations in the diffuse intracluster medium of the Perseus Cluster. Our study utilizes deep, archival imaging of the cluster core as well as a new mosaic of 29 short $\, 5\,$-ks observations extending in eight different directions out to radii of $r_{500} \sim 2.2\, r_{2500}$. Under the assumption that the distribution of densities at a given radius is log-normally distributed, two important quantities can be derived from the width of the log-normal density distribution on a given spatial scale: the density bias, that is equal to the square root of the clumping factor C; and the one-component turbulent velocity, vk,1D. We forward-model all contributions to the measured surface brightness, including astrophysical and particle background components, and account for the Poisson nature of the measured signal. Measuring the distribution of surface brightness fluctuations in 1 arcmin2 regions, spanning the radial range $0.3\rm {-}2.2\, r_{2500}$ ($7.8\rm {-}57.3\,$ arcmin), we find a small to moderate average density bias of around $3{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ at radii below $1.6\, r_{2500}$. We also infer an average turbulent velocity at these radii of V1D < 400 km s−1. Direct confirmation of our results on turbulent velocities inferred from surface brightness fluctuations should be possible using the X-ray calorimeter spectrometers to be flown aboard the XRISM and Athena observatories.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Back-to-back dijet production in DIS at arbitrary Bjorken x: TMD gluon distributions to twist-3 accuracy

We derive the gluon transverse-momentum-dependent (TMD) operator structure of back-to-back\\\\r\\\\nquark–antiquark dijet production in deep inelastic scattering at arbitrary Bjorken-x to twist-3 ac\\\\r\\\\ncuracy. Working at leading order in the strong coupling and in the kinematic regime where the\\\\r\\\\ntransverse momentum imbalance of the jets is much smaller than their individual transverse mo\\\\r\\\\nmenta, we perform a systematic gradient expansion of the quark propagator in a background gluon\\\\r\\\\nfield. This expansion organizes multiple interactions with the target in terms of longitudinal Wilson\\\\r\\\\nlines and gauge-invariant field-strength insertions, yielding a TMD description valid beyond the\\\\r\\\\nstrict high-energy eikonal (x → 0) approximation. We obtain explicit cross sections for longitudi\\\\r\\\\nnally and transversely polarized virtual photons, identifying all contributing gluon TMD operators\\\\r\\\\nup to twist-3, including structures involving F+−, Fij, and three-gluon correlators. The full lon\\\\r\\\\ngitudinal phase eixP+z− associated with Bjorken-x is retained throughout. In the small-x limit,\\\\r\\\\nour results reproduce the known sub-eikonal expressions obtained in the Color Glass Condensate\\\\r\\\\nframework, establishing a direct connection between the general-x TMD expansion and high-energy\\\\r\\\\nfactorization. We further reduce the operator basis using equations of motion, minimizing the num\\\\r\\\\nber of independent nonperturbative matrix elements entering the cross section. This work provides\\\\r\\\\na systematic foundation for extending TMD analyses of dijet production beyond leading twist, es\\\\r\\\\ntablishing a unified operator framework valid at arbitrary Bjorken-x that smoothly interpolates\\\\r\\\\nbetween moderate- and small-x descriptions of gluon TMDs.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Sub-millisecond keyhole pore detection in laser powder bed fusion using sound and light sensors and machine learning

Laser powder bed fusion is a mainstream additive manufacturing technology widely used to manufacture complex parts in prominent sectors, including aerospace, biomedical, and automotive industries. However, during the printing process, the presence of an unstable vapor depression can lead to a type of defect called keyhole porosity, which is detrimental to the part quality. In this study, we developed an effective approach to locally detect the generation of keyhole pores during the printing process by leveraging machine learning and a suite of optical and acoustic sensors. Simultaneous synchrotron x-ray imaging allows the direct visualization of pore generation events inside the sample, offering high-fidelity ground truth. A neural network model adopting SqueezeNet architecture using single-sensor data was developed to evaluate the fidelity of each sensor for capturing keyhole pore generation events. Our comparative study shows that the near infrared images gave the highest prediction accuracy, followed by 100 kHz and 20 kHz microphones, and the photodiode sensitive to processing laser wavelength had the lowest accuracy. Using a single sensor, over 90% prediction accuracy can be achieved with a temporal resolution as short as 0.1 ms. A data fusion scheme was also developed with features extracted using SqueezeNet neural network architecture and classification using different machine learning algorithms. Our work demonstrates the correlation between the characteristic optical and acoustic emissions and the keyhole oscillation behavior, and thereby provides strong physics support for the machine learning approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Distributed Real-time Plume Monitoring for Deep Sea Mineral Extraction​

In the emerging industry of deep-sea mining for minerals and deposits (e.g. polymetallic nodules for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese), more data is required to understand the effects of sediment plume generation and predict the distribution of disturbed sediment. There are two main sources of plume generation, the first being at the active mining site where the “collector” directly removes the top layer of the sea floor. The other is the “midwater plume” consisting of unwanted sediment that was collected during extraction that is pumped back into the aphotic zone. The vast majority of plume generation is caused by the collector, causing detrimental and long-lasting impacts on seafloor ecosystems due to the lack of wave activity or strong currents at the sea floor. Therefore, it is crucial to invest in the infrastructure to support the study and constant monitoring over a large area of the sea floor where plume generation is present. Due to the limited number of usable channels and power requirements, current subsea wireless communications technologies are not well suited to instrumenting the large areas of the sea floor needed to monitor plume migration. The scope of this effort is to transition experimental demonstrations of high-bandwidth, full-duplex scalable underwater laser communications to the seafloor in an open ocean environment. Specifically tackling challenges associated with the dynamic nature of the subsea world, including but not limited to, deployment logistics, sustainability, and range. The goal is to enable the internet of underwater things for deep sea industries by broadening the capabilities of subsea communications. By using high-precision laser transmitters, many of the challenges current subsea optical systems face can be circumvented, such as power consumption, interference, and bandwidth limitations. This approach lends itself to wireless interlinking multi-node networks, in series or parallel, facilitating the implementation of a wide array of sensor types. This interlinking allows all the data gathered from the network to be processed through a single hardline uplink to the surface, lowering the complexity required for near real-time data processing. Additionally, the laser control systems produce metadata that can be used to help characterize the water column between the nodes. Combining data from various sensors such as turbidity, temperature, current velocity with metadata such as beam attenuation and deflection can produce a high-resolution model of sea floor conditions around an active mining zone. The resulting near real-time model can be used to optimize location and flow rate of the mining operation to minimize and quantify the environmental impact.

Mons, Ishan↗

Mineralogy, fabric and deformation domains in D" across the southwestern border of the African LLSVP

Recent advances in seismic anisotropy studies that jointly use reflections and shear wave splitting have proven to place tight constraints on the plausible anisotropic and deformation scenarios in the D" region. We apply this novel methodology to a large area of the D" region beneath the South Atlantic, in proximity to and within the African large low seismic velocity province (LLSVP). This area of the mantle is characterized by a transition from fast to slow seismic velocity anomalies and it is thought to be the location of deep-seated plumes responsible for hotspot volcanism. Attempting to probe mantle composition and deformation along the LLSVP borders may provide key information on mantle dynamics. By analysing seismic phases sampling this region, we detect a D" discontinuity over a large area beneath the South Atlantic, with inferred depth ranges ~170 to ~240 km above the core–mantle boundary. We find evidence for a D" reflector within the area of the LLSVP. Shear wave splitting observations suggest that anisotropy is present in this region of the mantle, in agreement with previous studies that partially sampled this region. We model the observations considering lattice- and shape-preferred orientation of materials expected in the D" region. A regional variation of mineralogy, phase transition boundaries, and deformation direction is required to explain the data. We infer two distinct domains of mineralogy and deformation: aligned post-perovskite outside the LLSVP and aligned bridgmanite within the LLSVP. Finally, the scenario depicted by this study agrees well with the current hypotheses for the composition of the LLSVP and with the prevalence of vertical deformation directions expected to occur along the LLSVPs borders.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Converging towards atomic and nuclear pressures (Final Report)

his report details the development of transformational tools and techniques, allowing the accurate characterization of matter at the most extreme conditions yet studied in the high energy density (HED) domain. Before this work, most experiments quantitatively mapping the nature of matter in the HED realm were performed using planar geometry, which allows for the isolation and measurement of variables in a single thermodynamic state. Such measurements include equation of state variables, optical conductivity, heat transport and more. However, due to a variety of plasma processes, such experiments are limited to below ~10 TPa (100 Mbar) pressures. To achieve higher pressures, convergent experiments are needed. Historically, convergent experiments have not been used for benchmark data because they are integral measurements. That is each part of a convergent target undergoes a time dependent wide range of states, making it difficult to accurately isolate any particular quantity for a given thermodynamic state. This effort developed innovative convergent HED platforms and techniques enabling the exploration of matter from atomic to nuclear scale pressures. This effort also performed pioneering experiments that yielded the first rigorous benchmark data at these extreme conditions. This funding award began with the overarching goal to understand the behavior of matter at extreme (atomic-to-nuclear scale) pressures. The motivation for these goals lie in the fact that every time scientists explore matter beyond the threshold of an atomic unit, there is a fundamental shift in science. The atomic unit for energy, mass, charge, length, and time have each been explored, and each time such a threshold was crossed, a new sequence of discoveries was made resulting in significant awards such as the Nobel Prize. The only unexplored atomic unit is pressure, and this effort set the course for exploring matter at and beyond such pressures. That most of the recently discovered extrasolar planets and stars, as well as matter in the late implosion stages of inertial fusion targets, have deep internal pressures at and beyond atomic pressures amplifies the importance of this effort. Much of the initial work in developing techniques to create these atomic-to-nuclear pressures already existed within the HED community, predominantly at large scale laser facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) and the Omega60 laser the University of Rochester and although these experiments were routinely performed the ability to extract information about the underlying physical states and processes remained elusive due to the complexity of the experiments, extreme scales in both time and space, and the integrated nature of all the measurements. This work built a rigorous framework so such measurements can routinely be made. This was done in part through the introduction of Bayesian inference techniques into the field of HED science. These techniques allow for the self-consistent extraction of the relevant variables and their explicit and implicit correlations, so as to make use of integrated experimental data to constrain physical models and provide accurate uncertainty bounds for the data. The techniques developed here are fully transparent and proved immediately useful providing quantitative rigorous benchmarks for physical states and processes at some of the most extreme conditions yet explored on Earth. This funding is directly or partly responsible for 7 publications in major peer-reviewed scientific journals, a doctoral thesis, 3 invited talks at major conferences, and the training of a post-doc, 2 graduate students, and 1 undergraduate student. Beyond the effort supported by this award launched the introduction of Bayesian inference into the HED physics community and helped push the usage if modern data-science techniques within the physics community at large.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Transient Pressure Interference During CO2 Injection in Saline Aquifers

Abstract CO2 injection in subsurface geological formations (e.g. deep saline aquifers) causes pressure perturbations over a large area surrounding the injection well. Observation wells are widely considered in geologic CO2 storage (GCS) projects where the pressure perturbation induced by CO2 injection is measured. In this work, we use analytical and numerical modeling tools along with field data to examine the pressure behavior in GCS projects before and after CO2 arrival at an observation well. Prior to CO2 arrival, a baseline pressure trend is established which corresponds to single-phase brine flow across the observation well (approximated by Theis solution). Therefore, analysis of early-time pressure data is straightforward, provides the single-phase flow characteristics (mobility and storativity), and helps establishing a baseline pressure change that can be extended beyond the single-phase flow period at the observation well. Upon CO2 arrival, a departure from this baseline trend is expected. For the pressure to detect the CO2 arrival at an observation well, the departure from baseline pressure behavior must be significant and well above the background noise levels. We use existing analytical models to determine the strength of the expected pressure departure signal from the baseline trend upon CO2 arrival. The strength of the expected pressure departure is found to be directly proportional to the mobility ratio. Accordingly, we establish a criterion to determine whether the pressure at an observation well can detect the CO2 arrival. We present an analysis approach through application to synthetic and field data and show the characteristic pressure behavior before and after CO2 arrival. We show that while generally the pressure can be either above or below the expected baseline pressure trend, it would be likely above the baseline upon CO2 arrival. This is because the mobility ratio becomes less than unity after CO2 arrival. We show that depending on the reservoir characteristics, changes in the pressure trend may or may not be sufficient to detect the CO2 arrival.

Engineering↗

Final Technical Report

Statement of the problem or situation that is being addressed in your application. The DOE and its national laboratories developed the Home Energy Score™ (HES) to encourage homeowners to improve their energy performance, lower costs and to share energy information through the MLS listing, appraisal, and financing channels. While the HES is an instrumental tool, it is currently underutilized and consists of technical, structural and sector barriers which need to be addressed in order to scale and many energy efficiency contractors are understandably overwhelmed by the added time and effort and lack of incentive to sell and deliver deep retrofit projects while simultaneously meeting the DOE HES program requirements; consequently, contractors may decide to forgo participation. Home Energy Rating System (HERS) Raters have the opportunity to play the critical Assessor role in producing a Home Energy Score (HES); this role has immense potential but currently is unfulfilled. Lastly, while utilities are interested in their customer base achieving greater energy efficiency, especially to help offset growing residential loads in states like California that are accelerating electrification, utilities do not have access to the market actors who are on the front line of influence to homeowners or review and approve their permits: HERS Raters, assessors, contractors and building departments. General statement of how this problem is being addressed: ConSol will integrate the Home Energy Score™ (HES) to its State of California, approved home energy rating services (HERS) platform (CHEERS) to develop a single tool for contractors nationwide to assess, record and install recommended cost, energy, and emissions saving measures to the 140 million single-family homes throughout the U.S. and 14 million homes in California (CHEERS+HES). The CHEERS high fidelity energy code permitting data will be integrated with HES for simple, accurate, easy-to-use home energy estimation and analysis and will directly gain access to the retrofit and renovations markets with the same upgraded platform. This innovative project will assist the utilities in supporting existing homes in their jurisdictions with HES and develop measures to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions. How is this problem being addressed? What is the overall project approach? In effort to expand the Home Energy Score™ (HES) by increasing the use of aggregable home energy asset data, ConSol proposes to integrate the DOE HES via Application Programming Interface (API) to its State of California approved home energy rating services platform (CHEERS). Once the CHEERS platform and HES are integrated (CHEERS+HES), this enhanced platform will be instantly available and actively deployed via Phase 1 pilot to HERS Raters, assessors and contractors in California to market-test the solution, understand the rate of adoption and identify opportunities for improvement prior to scaling nationally. The CHEERS high fidelity energy code permitting data will be integrated with HES for simple, accurate, easy-to-use home energy estimation and analysis and will directly gain access to the retrofit and renovations markets with the same upgraded platform. This innovative project will assist the building industry and homeowners with an easy-to-use assessment if energy and carbon impacts of existing homes, and assist the utilities in supporting existing homes in their jurisdictions with HES to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions. What is to be done in Phase I? During Phase I of this proposed project, ConSol will (1) design software architecture that links CHEERS to the Home Energy ScoreTM via API, (2) solicit partnership from one or more California utilities for a regional pilot, (3) test the new software with its HERS Raters and contractor network in the partnership utility jurisdiction, (4) launch a pilot version of the newly developed software with HERS Raters and contractors in the utility territory, and (5) explore California’s GoGreen energy efficiency homeowner lending program in parallel with the pilot. Commercial Applications and Other Benefits. Summarize the future applications or public benefits if the project is carried over into Phase II or Phase III and beyond. The CHEERS+HES commercialized product will be ready for national market scale following a successful Phase 1 performance. The CHEERS+HES adoption is estimated to reach a 5% adoption growth rate versus the 110,000 baseline, starting in Year 1 after Phase I completion, and continuing each year. As a direct benefit to the DOE, CHEERS will set a goal of 100,000 Home Energy Score assessments for existing home alterations within the first 10 years following Phase 1 performance. The technical benefits of this proposed project include the harmonized, automated, and seamless integration of the DOE HES into the widely used and market leading California energy registry, CHEERS. The social benefits include the aggregate energy, cost and GHG savings by allowing the broader public streamlined access to the CHEERS+HES measurement and the energy efficiency recommended measures that may result. Key Words: Home Energy ScoreTM (HES); Application Programming Interface (API); Home Energy Rating Services (HERS); HERS Raters; contractors; assessors; existing homes, energy asset data; cost, energy, and emissions saving measures; energy code (Title 24) compliance; document repository; utilities; pilot; newly developed software; energy efficiency; homeowner. Summary for Members of Congress: The DOE Home Energy Score™ (HES) is a tool to encourage homeowners to improve their energy performance, lower costs and share energy information but is underutilized and consists of barriers which need to be addressed in order to scale. In effort to expand the HES, CHEERS, Inc. will integrate the HES to its State of California, approved home energy rating services (HERS) platform (CHEERS) to develop a single tool for contractors nationwide to assess, record and install recommended cost, energy, and emissions saving measures to the 140 million single-family homes throughout the U.S. and 14 million homes in California.

Application Programming Interface (API)↗

Universal Fourier Attack for Time Series

A wide variety of adversarial attacks have been proposed and explored using image and audio data. These attacks are notoriously easy to generate digitally when the attacker can directly manipulate the input to a model, but are much more difficult to implement in the real world. In this paper we present a universal, time invariant attack for general time series data such that the attack has a frequency spectrum primarily composed of the frequencies present in the original data. The universality of the attack makes it fast and easy to implement as no computation is required to add it to an input, while time invariance is useful for real world deployment. Additionally, the frequency constraint ensures the attack can withstand filtering defenses. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the attack on two different classification tasks through both digital and real world experiments, and show that the attack is robust against common transform-and-compare defense pipelines.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Solar Photovoltaics: Supply Chain Deep Dive Assessment

This is one of a series of reports and deep dive assessments produced in response to Executive Order 14017 “America’s Supply Chains,” which directs the Secretary of Energy to submit a report on supply chains for the energy sector industrial base. The Executive Order is helping the federal government to build more secure and diverse U.S. supply chains, including energy supply chains. Over the past decade, solar power has gone from an emerging, niche technology to a mature energy industry. By 2035, solar power could supply 40% or more of U.S. electricity demand, dramatically accelerating the decarbonization of buildings, transportation, and industry; and, if current technology trends continue, it could do so without increasing the price of electricity. The rapid expansion of solar energy has the potential to yield broad benefits in the form of economic activity and workforce development. The solar industry already employs roughly 230,000 people in the United States, at an average wage that is higher than the national average for most comparable positions. By decarbonizing the electricity sector by 2035, the U.S. solar industry could employ 500,000–1,500,000 people by 2030. The components that are assembled to install a photovoltaic power system are produced by a global supply chain. Photovoltaic (PV) modules (also called panels) are made of cells that use a variety of technologies. There are two leading types of solar modules used in the United States, with crystalline silicon (c-Si) modules representing 84% of the market and cadmium telluride (CdTe) modules representing 16% of the market. Modules of either type require mounting structures to provide mechanical support (racking), which may be configured to follow the sun (tracking). The output of any PV module is direct current (dc), which is almost always converted to alternating current (ac) by an inverter.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

OLCF Summit Supercomputer GPU Snapshots During Double-Bit Errors and Normal Operations

As we move into the exascale era, the power and energy footprints of high-performance computing (HPC) systems have grown significantly larger. Due to the harsh power and thermal conditions the system, components are exposed to extreme operating conditions. Operation of such modern HPC systems requires deep insights into long term system behavior to maintain its efficiency as well as its longevity. To help the HPC community to gain such insights, we provide double-bit errors using system telemetry data and logs collected from the Summit supercomputer, equipped with 27,648 Tesla V100 GPUs with 2nd-generation high-bandwidth memory (HBM2). The dataset relies on Nvidia XID records internally collected by GPU firmware at the time of failure occurrence, on the reboot-time logs of each Summit node, on node-level job scheduler records collected after each job termination, and on a 1Hz data rate from the baseboard management controllers (BMCs) of each Summit compute node using the OpenBMC event subscription protocol. Technical details can be found in the paper Oles et. al “Understanding GPU Memory Corruption at Extreme Scale: The Summit Case Study” ICS’24 (https://doi.org/10.1145/3650200.3656615).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Latent Space Simulation for Carbon Capture Design Optimization

The CO2 capture efficiency in solvent-based carbon capture systems (CCSs) critically depends on the gas-solvent interfacial area (IA), making maximization of IA a foundational challenge in CCS design. While the IA associated with a particular CCS design can be estimated via a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation, using CFD to derive the IAs associated with numerous CCS designs is prohibitively costly. However, previous works such as Deep Fluids (Kim et al., 2019) show that large simulation speed-ups and low error are achievable by replacing CFD simulators with neural-network (NN) surrogates that mimic the CFD simulation process. This raises the possibility for a fast, accurate replacement for a CFD simulator, and thus computationally feasible IA-based CCS-design optimization. As such, here, we explore whether an existing NN-surrogate approach (and variants we develop) can successfully be applied to our complex carbon-capture CFD simulations, with the ultimate goal of obtaining a fast and accurate simulator for our CCS-design application. Our experiments build on the Deep Fluids approach and find that resulting surrogates can produce large speed ups (4000x) while maintaining IA relative errors as low as 4% on unseen CCS configurations (interpolating between configurations seen during training). Thus, despite less faithfulness to the underlying physics of the problem, NN surrogates may be a promising tool for our CCS design optimization problem. Notably, though, the Deep Fluids approach has limitations for our application (such as model non-transferability to CCS-packing changes), which we discuss. We conclude with potential directions for future work that may, like innovations we introduced here (e.g., transformer-based dynamics prediction), improve performance on our complicated dataset of CCS CFD simulations.

AI Surrogate Simulation, Carbon Capture, design op↗