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At least 649 records · Page 36

Black Hole Spectral States and Physical Connections

The dramatic changes seen in the X-ray spectral and timing properties of accreting black hole candidates (BHCs) provide important clues about the accretion and jet formation processes that occur in these systems. Dividing the different source behaviors into spectral states provides a framework for studying BHCs. To date, there have been three main classification schemes with Luminosity-based, Component-based, or Transition-based criteria. The canonical, Luminosity-based criteria and physical models that are based on this concept do not provide clear explanations for several phenomena, including hysteresis of spectral states and the presence of jets. I discuss the re-definitions of states, focusing on an application of the Component-based states to more than 400 RXTE observations of the recurrent BHC 4U 1630^17. We compare the X-ray properties for the recent 2002-2004 outburst to those of an earlier (1998) outburst, during which radio jets were observed. The results suggest a connection between hysteresis of states and major jet ejections, and it is possible that both of these are related to the evolution of the inner radius of the optically thick accretion disk.

Tomsick, John A.↗

Black Hole Spectral States and Physical Connections

The dramatic changes seen in the X-ray spectral and timing properties of accreting black hole candidates (BHCs) provide important clues about the accretion and jet formation processes that occur in these systems. Dividing the different source behaviors into spectral states provides a framework for studying BHCs. To date, there have been three main classification schemes with Luminosity-based, Component-based, or Transition-based criteria. The canonical, Luminosity-based criteria and physical models that are based on this concept do not provide clear explanations for several phenomena, including hysteresis of spectral states and the presence of jets. I discuss the re-definitions of states, focusing on an application of the Component-based states to more than 400 RXTE observations of the recurrent BHC 4U 1630-47. We compare the X-ray properties for the recent 2002-2004 outburst to those of an earlier (1998) outburst, during which radio jets were observed. The results suggest a connection between hysteresis of states and major jet ejections, and it is possible that both of these are related to the evolution of the inner radius of the optically thick accretion disk.

Tomsick, John A.↗

Evaluating ESA CCI Soil Moisture in East Africa

To assess growing season conditions where ground based observations are limited or unavailable, food security and agricultural drought monitoring analysts rely on publicly available remotely sensed rainfall and vegetation greenness. There are also remotely sensed soil moisture observations from missions like the European Space Agency (ESA) Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and NASAs Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), however these time series are still too short to conduct studies that demonstrate the utility of these data for operational applications, or to provide historical context for extreme wet or dry events. To promote the use of remotely sensed soil moisture in agricultural drought and food security monitoring, we use East Africa as a case study to evaluate the quality of a 30+ year time series of merged active-passive microwave soil moisture from the ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI-SM). Compared to the Normalized Difference Vegetation index (NDVI) and modeled soil moisture products, we found substantial spatial and temporal gaps in the early part of the CCI-SM record, with adequate data coverage beginning in 1992. From this point forward, growing season CCI-SM anomalies were well correlated (R greater than 0.5) with modeled, seasonal soil moisture, and in some regions, NDVI. We use correlation analysis and qualitative comparisons at seasonal time scales to show that remotely sensed soil moisture can add information to a convergence of evidence framework that traditionally relies on rainfall and NDVI in moderately vegetated regions.

Amy McNally↗

Damage tolerance in filament-wound graphite/epoxy pressure vessels

Graphite/epoxy composites are extensively used in the aerospace and sporting goods industries due to their superior engineering properties compared to those of metals. However, graphite/epoxy is extremely susceptible to impact damage which can cause considerable and sometimes undetected reduction in strength. An inelastic impact model was developed to predict damage due to low-velocity impact. A transient dynamic finite element formulation was used in conjunction with the 3D Tsai-Wu failure criterion to determine and incorporate failure in the materials during impact. Material degradation can be adjusted from no degradation to partial degradation to full degradation. The developed software is based on an object-oriented implementation framework called Extensible Implementation Framework for Finite Elements (EIFFE).

Simon, William E.↗

A Human-Autonomy Teaming Approach for a Flight-Following Task

Managing aircraft is becoming more complex with increasingly sophisticated automation responsible for more flight tasks. With this increased complexity, it is becoming more difficult for operators to understand what the automation is doing and why. Human involvement with increasingly autonomous systems must adjust to allow for a more dynamic relationship involving cooperation and teamwork. As part of an ongoing project to develop a framework for human-autonomy teaming (HAT) in aviation, a part-task study was conducted to demonstrate, evaluate and refine proposed critical aspects of HAT. These features were built into an automated recommender system on a ground station available from previous studies. Participants performed a flight-following task once with the original ground station (i.e., No HAT condition) and once with the HAT features enabled (i.e., HAT condition). Behavioral and subjective measures were collected; subjective measures are presented here. Overall, participants preferred the ground station with HAT features enabled compared to the station without the HAT features. Participants reported that the HAT displays and automation were preferred for keeping up with operationally important issues. Additionally, participants reported that the HAT displays and automation provided enough situation awareness to complete the task and reduced workload relative to the No HAT baseline.

ACFP↗

Photomorphic mapping for land-use planning

A comparison of different land types based on their physical and environmental characteristics is seen as a useful, if not vital, element of land-use planning decisions. The use of the photomorphic-mapping technique is described in order to delineate and compare the different land types in Boulder County, Colorado, according to their constraints and values for agricultural and urban uses. Employing high-altitude color infrared aerial photography of Boulder County at a scale of 1:100,000, photomorphic areas were delineated according to similarities in pattern, tone, and texture on the photographs. The boundaries of the areas were checked and adjusted using information from thematic maps and sampling data. Constraints on specific land uses in the county could then be described on a regional basis using the photomorphic areas as a framework.

Nichol, J. E.↗

Fighter agility metrics

Fighter flying qualities and combat capabilities are currently measured and compared in terms relating to vehicle energy, angular rates and sustained acceleration. Criteria based on these measurable quantities have evolved over the past several decades and are routinely used to design aircraft structures, aerodynamics, propulsion and control systems. While these criteria, or metrics, have the advantage of being well understood, easily verified and repeatable during test, they tend to measure the steady state capability of the aircraft and not its ability to transition quickly from one state to another. Proposed new metrics to assess fighter aircraft agility are collected and analyzed. A framework for classification of these new agility metrics is developed and applied. A complete set of transient agility metrics is evaluated with a high fidelity, nonlinear F-18 simulation. Test techniques and data reduction methods are proposed. A method of providing cuing information to the pilot during flight test is discussed. The sensitivity of longitudinal and lateral agility metrics to deviations from the pilot cues is studied in detail. The metrics are shown to be largely insensitive to reasonable deviations from the nominal test pilot commands. Instrumentation required to quantify agility via flight test is also considered. With one exception, each of the proposed new metrics may be measured with instrumentation currently available.

Liefer, Randall K.↗

Force Density Function Relationships in 2-D Granular Media

An integral transform relationship is developed to convert between two important probability density functions (distributions) used in the study of contact forces in granular physics. Developing this transform has now made it possible to compare and relate various theoretical approaches with one another and with the experimental data despite the fact that one may predict the Cartesian probability density and another the force magnitude probability density. Also, the transforms identify which functional forms are relevant to describe the probability density observed in nature, and so the modified Bessel function of the second kind has been identified as the relevant form for the Cartesian probability density corresponding to exponential forms in the force magnitude distribution. Furthermore, it is shown that this transform pair supplies a sufficient mathematical framework to describe the evolution of the force magnitude distribution under shearing. Apart from the choice of several coefficients, whose evolution of values must be explained in the physics, this framework successfully reproduces the features of the distribution that are taken to be an indicator of jamming and unjamming in a granular packing. Key words. Granular Physics, Probability Density Functions, Fourier Transforms

Youngquist, Robert C.↗

Using a Support Vector Machine and a Land Surface Model to Estimate Large-Scale Passive Microwave Temperatures over Snow-Covered Land in North America

A support vector machine (SVM), a machine learning technique developed from statistical learning theory, is employed for the purpose of estimating passive microwave (PMW) brightness temperatures over snow-covered land in North America as observed by the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E) satellite sensor. The capability of the trained SVM is compared relative to the artificial neural network (ANN) estimates originally presented in [14]. The results suggest the SVM outperforms the ANN at 10.65 GHz, 18.7 GHz, and 36.5 GHz for both vertically and horizontally-polarized PMW radiation. When compared against daily AMSR-E measurements not used during the training procedure and subsequently averaged across the North American domain over the 9-year study period, the root mean squared error in the SVM output is 8 K or less while the anomaly correlation coefficient is 0.7 or greater. When compared relative to the results from the ANN at any of the six frequency and polarization combinations tested, the root mean squared error was reduced by more than 18 percent while the anomaly correlation coefficient was increased by more than 52 percent. Further, the temporal and spatial variability in the modeled brightness temperatures via the SVM more closely agrees with that found in the original AMSR-E measurements. These findings suggest the SVM is a superior alternative to the ANN for eventual use as a measurement operator within a data assimilation framework.

Modeling↗

Explorations of Quantum-Classical Approaches to Scheduling a Mars Lander Activity Problem

An effective approach to solving problems involving mixed (continuous and discrete) variables and constraints, such as hybrid systems, is to decompose them into subproblems and integrate dedicated solvers geared toward those subproblems. Here, we introduce a new framework based on a tree search algorithm to solve hybrid discrete-continuous problems that incorporates: (1) a quantum annealer that samples from the configuration space for the discrete portion and provides information about the quality of the samples, and (2) a classical computer that makes use of information from the quantum annealer to prune and focus the search as well as check a continuous constraint. We consider four variants of our algorithm, each with progressively more guidance from the results provided by the quantum annealer. We empirically test our algorithm and compare the variants on a simplified Mars Lander task scheduling problem. Variants with more guidance from the quantum annealer have better performance.

scheduling↗

A Nonlocal Progressive Damage Model for Composite Materials

Fiber reinforced composite materials are widely used in aerospace structures due to their high specific stiffness and strength. These materials exhibit complex deformation, damage and failure mechanisms under high strain rate loading conditions. Many different failure criteria have been proposed in literature to describe the damage initiation and evolution of fiber reinforced composite materials. Most of these damage models are based on a local framework. In a local framework, the material behavior is based on a point-wise constitutive relation which is independent of the effect of the surrounding points. These models include stiffness degradation when damage initiates in the material, which within a local framework leads to a highly mesh dependent result. This could be overcome using a nonlocal finite element approach. In the current work, a nonlocal formulation based on the work by Andrade et al [1] is adapted to describe composite material behavior. The LS-DYNA rate dependent progressive damage model, MAT162 is employed to detect the initiation and evolution of damage in orthotropic composite materials. This model is developed as a FORTRAN user material subroutine in the LS-DYNA environment. The results of MAT162 with and without the nonlocal formulation are compared at different mesh densities to validate the model. The numerical analysis exhibits the advantages of the nonlocal formulation.

Kodagali, Karan↗

Simulation of etch pit formation through active sites in carbon fiber micro-structures

Erosion of carbon due to oxidation does not occur uniformly but through localized etch pit formation as a result of active surface sites. In this work we demonstrate a newly developed capability to capture pitting of carbon fiber microstructures such as FiberForm, which is commonly used as the base material for NASA’s spacecraft ablative thermal protection systems (TPS). The simulations are performed at the meso-scale in order to capture the pit formation and growth using direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC), specifically using the Stochastic PArallel Rarefied-gas Time-accurate Analyzer (SPARTA) code. Legacy and latest models both assume uniform reactivity of carbon surface sites with oxygen even at the meso-scale level. However, in reality the carbon surface has locally different reaction rates due to the presence of defects at the atomic scale. The defective nature of these sites enhances their reactivity with atmospheric gases compared to the non-defective sites (2-3 orders of magnitude) and are termed as “active sites”. Thus, these sites tend to be the first to react and eventually get removed through the formation of gasses such as CO, CO2, and CN. Their removal results in all the neighboring atoms becoming defective, thus leading to chain reaction of localized carbon removal and formation of etch pits. Capturing the formation of pits during the ablation simulation of carbon micro-structures is critical to predicting their structural failure. Recently a detailed surface chemistry framework was developed in SPARTA, capable of incorporating various reaction mechanisms such as adsorption, desorption, Eley-Rideal (ER) and Langmuir-Hinshelwood (LH) mechanisms. We have implemented the capability of a single surface having multiple site sets with different reactivities within this framework. We have used this feature to model the presence of active sites on carbon surfaces, whose reactivity is orders of magnitude higher than that of the passive sites due to the presence of defects. The active site fraction is a property of surface elements within SPARTA and is directly proportional to the local reactivity of each surface element. By introducing an initial distribution of the active site fraction across the carbon surface and propagating it in a manner that mimics the evolution of real reacting carbon surfaces, we can capture the formation and growth of etch pits as a result of surface consumption reactions such as oxidation.

DSMC↗

Simulation of Etch Pit Formation in DSMC Through Active Sites in Carbon Fiber Micro-Structures

Erosion of carbon due to oxidation does not occur uniformly but through localized etch pit formation because of active surface sites. In this work we demonstrate a newly developed capability to capture pitting of carbon fiber microstructures such as FiberForm, which is commonly used as the base material for NASA’s spacecraft ablative thermal protection systems (TPS). The simulations are performed at the meso-scale in order to capture the pit formation and growth using direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC), specifically using the Stochastic PArallel Rarefied-gas Time-accurate Analyzer (SPARTA) code. Legacy and latest models both assume uniform reactivity of carbon surface sites with oxygen even at the meso-scale level. However, in reality the carbon surface has locally different reaction rates due to the presence of defects at the atomic scale. The defective nature of these sites enhances their reactivity with atmospheric gases compared to the non-defective sites (2-3 orders of magnitude) and are termed as “active sites”. Thus, these sites tend to be the first to react and eventually get removed through the formation of gases such as CO, CO2, and CN. Their removal results in all the neighboring atoms becoming defective, thus leading to chain reaction of localized carbon removal and formation of etch pits. Capturing the formation of pits during the ablation simulation of carbon micro-structures is critical to predicting their structural failure. Recently a detailed surface chemistry framework was developed in SPARTA, capable of incorporating various detailed surface reaction mechanisms. We have implemented the capability of a single surface having multiple site sets with different reactivities within this framework. We have used this feature to model the presence of active sites on carbon surfaces, whose reactivity is orders of magnitude higher than that of the passive sites due to the presence of defects. The active site fraction is a property of surface elements within SPARTA and is directly proportional to the local reactivity of each surface element. By introducing an initial distribution of the active site fraction across the carbon surface and propagating it in a manner that mimics the evolution of real reacting carbon surfaces, we can capture the formation and growth of etch pits as a result of surface consumption reactions such as oxidation.

DSMC↗

DSMC Simulation of Etch Pit Formation Through Active Sites in Carbon Fiber Micro-Structures

Erosion of carbon due to oxidation does not occur uniformly but through localized etch pit formation because of active surface sites. In this work we demonstrate a newly developed capability to capture pitting of carbon fiber microstructures such as FiberForm, which is commonly used as the base material for NASA’s spacecraft ablative thermal protection systems (TPS). The simulations are performed at the meso-scale in order to capture the pit formation and growth using direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC), specifically using the Stochastic PArallel Rarefied-gas Time-accurate Analyzer (SPARTA) code. Legacy and latest models both assume uniform reactivity of carbon surface sites with oxygen even at the meso-scale level. However, in reality the carbon surface has locally different reaction rates due to the presence of defects at the atomic scale. The defective nature of these sites enhances their reactivity with atmospheric gases compared to the non-defective sites (2-3 orders of magnitude) and are termed as “active sites”. Thus, these sites tend to be the first to react and eventually get removed through the formation of gases such as CO, CO2, and CN. Their removal results in all the neighboring atoms becoming defective, thus leading to chain reaction of localized carbon removal and formation of etch pits. Capturing the formation of pits during the ablation simulation of carbon micro-structures is critical to predicting their structural failure. Recently a detailed surface chemistry framework was developed in SPARTA, capable of incorporating various detailed surface reaction mechanisms. We have implemented the capability of a single surface having multiple site sets with different reactivities within this framework. We have used this feature to model the presence of active sites on carbon surfaces, whose reactivity is orders of magnitude higher than that of the passive sites due to the presence of defects. The active site fraction is a property of surface elements within SPARTA and is directly proportional to the local reactivity of each surface element. By introducing an initial distribution of the active site fraction across the carbon surface and propagating it in a manner that mimics the evolution of real reacting carbon surfaces, we can capture the formation and growth of etch pits as a result of surface consumption reactions such as oxidation.

DSMC↗

Ab initio ground states of strongly-correlated materials on quantum computers

The accurate first-principles description of strongly-correlated materials is an important and challenging problem in condensed matter physics. Ab initio downfolding has emerged as a way of deriving accurate many-body Hamiltonians including strong correlations, representing a subspace of interest of a material, using density functional theory calculations as a starting point. However, the solution of these material-specific models can scale exponentially on classical computers, constituting a challenge. Here we propose that utilizing quantum computers for obtaining the properties of downfolded Hamiltonians yields an accurate description of the ground state properties of strongly-correlated systems, while circumventing the exponential scaling problem. We benchmark the solution of Hubbard-like models obtained through downfolding by utilizing a classical tensor network implementation of variational quantum eigensolvers (VQE), and we reveal a strategy for driving the optimization through a hybrid minimization of the energy and maximization of the overlap with an approximate solution obtained through low-cost computational methods. This results in a reduction of the energy error by orders of magnitude compared to conventional VQE approaches, and allows us to reproduce long-range correlations for the first time. We demonstrate our first-principles approach for diverse strongly-correlated materials, correctly predicting the antiferromagnetic state of one-dimensional cuprate Ca 2 CuO 3 , the excitonic ground state of monolayer WTe2, and the charge-ordered state of correlated metal SrVO 3 . Our efficient computational implementation allows us to simulate large systems with up to 54 qubits and encompassing up to four correlated bands, which is indicative of the complexity that our framework can address.

Antonios M Alvertis↗

Comparing Future Options for Human Space Flight

The paper analyzes the "value proposition" for government-funded human space flight, a vexing question that persistently dogs efforts to justify its $10(exp 10)/year expense in the U.S. The original Mercury/Gemini/Apollo value proposition is not valid today. Neither was it the value proposition actually promoted by von Braun, which the post-Apollo 80% of human space flight history has persistently attempted to fulfill. Divergent potential objectives for human space flight are captured in four strategic options - Explore Mars; accelerate Space Passenger Travel; enable Space Power for Earth; and Settle the Moon - which are then analyzed for their Purpose, societal Myth, Legacy benefits, core Needs, and result as measured by the number and type of humans they would fly in space. This simple framework is proposed as a way to support productive dialogue with public and other stakeholders, to determine a sustainable value proposition for human space flight.

Sherwood, Brent↗

QuakeSim 2.0

QuakeSim 2.0 improves understanding of earthquake processes by providing modeling tools and integrating model applications and various heterogeneous data sources within a Web services environment. QuakeSim is a multisource, synergistic, data-intensive environment for modeling the behavior of earthquake faults individually, and as part of complex interacting systems. Remotely sensed geodetic data products may be explored, compared with faults and landscape features, mined by pattern analysis applications, and integrated with models and pattern analysis applications in a rich Web-based and visualization environment. Integration of heterogeneous data products with pattern informatics tools enables efficient development of models. Federated database components and visualization tools allow rapid exploration of large datasets, while pattern informatics enables identification of subtle, but important, features in large data sets. QuakeSim is valuable for earthquake investigations and modeling in its current state, and also serves as a prototype and nucleus for broader systems under development. The framework provides access to physics-based simulation tools that model the earthquake cycle and related crustal deformation. Spaceborne GPS and Inter ferometric Synthetic Aperture (InSAR) data provide information on near-term crustal deformation, while paleoseismic geologic data provide longerterm information on earthquake fault processes. These data sources are integrated into QuakeSim's QuakeTables database system, and are accessible by users or various model applications. UAVSAR repeat pass interferometry data products are added to the QuakeTables database, and are available through a browseable map interface or Representational State Transfer (REST) interfaces. Model applications can retrieve data from Quake Tables, or from third-party GPS velocity data services; alternatively, users can manually input parameters into the models. Pattern analysis of GPS and seismicity data has proved useful for mid-term forecasting of earthquakes, and for detecting subtle changes in crustal deformation. The GPS time series analysis has also proved useful as a data-quality tool, enabling the discovery of station anomalies and data processing and distribution errors. Improved visualization tools enable more efficient data exploration and understanding. Tools provide flexibility to science users for exploring data in new ways through download links, but also facilitate standard, intuitive, and routine uses for science users and end users such as emergency responders.

Donnellan, Andrea↗

Bayes Error Rate Estimation Using Classifier Ensembles

The Bayes error rate gives a statistical lower bound on the error achievable for a given classification problem and the associated choice of features. By reliably estimating th is rate, one can assess the usefulness of the feature set that is being used for classification. Moreover, by comparing the accuracy achieved by a given classifier with the Bayes rate, one can quantify how effective that classifier is. Classical approaches for estimating or finding bounds for the Bayes error, in general, yield rather weak results for small sample sizes; unless the problem has some simple characteristics, such as Gaussian class-conditional likelihoods. This article shows how the outputs of a classifier ensemble can be used to provide reliable and easily obtainable estimates of the Bayes error with negligible extra computation. Three methods of varying sophistication are described. First, we present a framework that estimates the Bayes error when multiple classifiers, each providing an estimate of the a posteriori class probabilities, a recombined through averaging. Second, we bolster this approach by adding an information theoretic measure of output correlation to the estimate. Finally, we discuss a more general method that just looks at the class labels indicated by ensem ble members and provides error estimates based on the disagreements among classifiers. The methods are illustrated for artificial data, a difficult four-class problem involving underwater acoustic data, and two problems from the Problem benchmarks. For data sets with known Bayes error, the combiner-based methods introduced in this article outperform existing methods. The estimates obtained by the proposed methods also seem quite reliable for the real-life data sets for which the true Bayes rates are unknown.

Tumer, Kagan↗