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NASA NTRS2018

Natural and Induced Environment Around the International Space Station (ISS) as Observed During On-Orbit Operations of the Robotic External Leak Locator (RELL)

The Robotic External Leak Locator (RELL) was deployed to the International Space Station (ISS) with the goal of detecting and locating on-orbit leaks around the ISS. Three activities to characterize the background natural and induced environment of ISS were performed with RELL as part of the on-orbit validation and demonstration conducted in November and December 2016. The first demonstration activity pointed RELL directly in the ram (+X) and wake (-X) directions for one orbit each. The ram facing measurements showed high partial pressure for mass-to-charge ratio 16, corresponding to atomic oxygen (AO), as well as the presence of mass-to-charge ratio 17. RELL's view in the wake-facing direction included more ISS structure and several Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) on-orbit vents were detected, including the Carbon Dioxide Removal Assembly (CDRA), Russian segment ECLSS, and Sabatier vents. The second demonstration activity pointed RELL at three faces of the P1 Truss segment. Effluents from ECLSS and European Space Agency (ESA) Columbus module on-orbit vents were detected by RELL. The partial pressures of mass-to-charge ratios 17 and 18 remained consistent with the first on-orbit activity of characterizing the natural environment. The third demonstration activity involved RELL scanning an Active Thermal Control System (ATCS) radiator. Three locations along the radiator were scanned and the angular position of RELL with respect to the radiator was varied. Mass-to-charge ratios 16 and 17 both had upward shifts in partial pressure when pointing toward the Radiator Beam Valve Modules (RBVMs), likely corresponding to a known, small ammonia leak.

Fox, Katie L.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Nasa GEOS Model for Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Predictions: The Major Teleconnections, Tropical Cyclone Activity, and ENSO

Ability of the NASA GEOS seasonal prediction model system (the latest version) in predicting the large-scale teleconnections, tropical cyclone (TC) activity, and ENSO are validated. The major large-scale teleconnections include the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Arctic Oscillation (AO), and the Pacific North American (PNA) that span vast geographical area across the North Pacific/Atlantic and North America. Predictive skill of TC activity is assessed by Genesis potential index (GPI). Anomaly correlations are greater than 0.5 for winter teleconnections at up to 2 month lead and for the first four month (June- July-August-September) GPIs over the North Atlantic and the Western Pacific. Correlation for the long-range prediction of the ENSO (Nino3.4 SST) maturity reaches 0.9 at 6 month lead and 0.8 at 9 month lead.

Lim, Young-Kwon↗
NASA NTRS2019

Evaluation of the Impacts of Biomass Burning Aerosols on the NASA GEOS Sub-Seasonal Climate Forecasts

Emission sources of trace gases and aerosol particles in the South American (SA)and African (Af) continents have a strong seasonal and space variability associated with the extensive vegetation fires activities. In both continents, during the austral winter, the fires affect mainly tropical forest and savannah-type biomes and are mostly associated with deforestation and agricultural/pasture land management. Smoke aerosol particles, on average, contribute to at least 90% of the total aerosol optical depth (AOD) in the visible spectrum in the case of the South America regional smoke. Smoke aerosols also act as cloud condensation nuclei affecting cloud microphysics properties and therefore, changing the radiation budget, hydrological cycle and global circulation patterns over disturbed areas (Kaufman, 1995; Rosenfeld, 1999; Andreae,et al., 2004; Koren et al., 2004, Zhang, 2008; Ott et al., 2010; Randles et al., 2013). This study aims to evaluate and quantify the impact of including a comprehensive emission field of biomass burning aerosol on the performance of a seasonal climate forecast system, not only regarding the AOD itself but mainly on the meteorological state variable (e.g., precipitation and temperature). To address the questions put above, we designed two numerical experiments: 1- named"AERO_CTL" which applies the Quick Fire Emissions Dataset (QFED) emissions estimated with intra-diurnal variation (hereafter, BBE), and 2- named "AERO_CLM" where the sourcee mission is based on a climatology of the QFED emissions, with only monthly variation(hereafter, BBCLIM). Hindcast simulations were produced using the Goddard Earth ObservingSystem global circulation model, version 5, sub-seasonal to seasonal (GEOS5-S2S) system with a nominal spatial resolution of 56km (Rienecker et al., 2008). In both experiments, the aerosol feedbacks from cloud developments and radiation interactions were accounted. The two experiments consisted of 4 members each and ran from June to November spanning over the years 2000 to 2015. Model performance was evaluated by calculating statistical metrics on the mean area of SA and Af. Our results demonstrated that the skill model in predicting AOD is significantly improve when BBE source emission is applied over SA, but not over the Afcontinent. Over SA, the correlation between the AERO_CTL model configuration and MERRA-2 is 0.93 (R2= 0.86, RMS=0.02, BIAS=0.01), while the AERO_CLM model presents a value of0.81 (R2= 0.65, RMS=0.04, BIAS=0.06). However, the AERO_CTL experiment better represents the inter-annual variability of the AOS in both regions. The gain of the skill in predicting the AOD by the AERO_CTL experiment is also seen in some meteorological variables. We observed an increase in the model skill in predicting the 2-meter temperature and precipitation of up to 0.3 for the AERO_CTL experiment in comparison to the AERO_CLM. AERO_CLM. According to the analyzed hindcast, we inferred that representing the BBE more realistically implies in a significant gain of skills in the seasonal climate forecasting over SA and Af continents.

Aerosol↗
NASA NTRS2018

Phase 1 Study for the Phobos L1 Operational Tether Experiment (PHLOTE)

NASA's Innovative Advanced Concepts (NIAC) program selected the PHLOTE mission proposal for a 2017 Phase 1 study. This PHLOTE study provides a credible example of an innovative mission architecture that can be used to enable many future missions throughout the solar system.One of the key Phase 1 deliverables identified in the PHLOTE proposal is this Study Report which is derived from the PHLOTE Concept of Operations (ConOps) Document developed during the study. The PHLOTE ConOps describes the PHLOTE mission and also provides a key systems engineering document to support future mission development.Since this report was produced as part of a NIAC feasibility study, it is intended to be publicly released at the completion of the NIAC study. Significant support was provided through the collaboration of NASA and PHLOTE team members from Space Technology And Research (STAR) Inc. and from the Clouds Architecture Office (Clouds AO). The NASA team was supported by summer and fall interns from five separate universities.

Kempton, Kevin↗
NASA NTRS2019

Rehydration Data for the Materials International Space Station Experiment (MISSE) Polymer Films

Atomic oxygen erosion of polymers in low Earth orbit (LEO) poses a serious threat to spacecraft performance and durability. Forty thin film polymer and pyrolytic graphite samples, collectively called the PEACE (Polymer Erosion and Contamination Experiment) Polymers, were exposed to the LEO space environment on the exterior of the ISS for nearly four years as part of the Materials International Space Station Experiment 1 & 2 (MISSE 1 & 2) mission. The purpose of the MISSE 2 PEACE Polymers experiment was to determine the atomic oxygen (AO) erosion yield (E(sub y), volume loss per incident oxygen atom) of a wide variety of polymers exposed to the LEO space environment. The Ey values were determined based on mass loss measurements. Because many polymeric materials are hygroscopic, the pre-flight and post-flight mass measurements were obtained using dehydrated samples. To maximize the accuracy of the mass measurements, obtaining dehydration data for each of the polymers was desired to ensure that the samples were fully dehydrated before weighing. A comparison of dehydration and rehydration data showed that rehydration data mirrors dehydration data, and is easier and more reliable to obtain. Tests were also conducted to see if multiple samples could be dehydrated and weighed sequentially. Rehydration curves of 43 polymers and pyrolytic graphite were obtained. This information was used to determine the best pre-flight, and post-flight, mass measurement procedures for the MISSE 2 PEACE Polymers experiment, and for subsequent NASA Glenn Research Center MISSE polymer flight experiments.

de Groh, Kim K.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Nature of and Lessons Learned from Lunar Ice Cube and the First Deep Space Cubesat 'Cluster'

Cubesats operating in deep space face challenges Earth-orbiting cubesats do not. 15 deep space cubesat 'prototypes' will be launched over the next two years including the two MarCO cubesats, the 2018 demonstration of dual communication system at Mars, and the 13 diverse cubesats being deployed from the SLS EM1 mission within the next two years. Three of the EM1 cubesat missions, including the first deep space cubesat 'cluster', will be lunar orbiters with remote sensing instruments for lunar surface/regolith measurements. These include: Lunar Ice Cube, with its 1-4 micron broadband IR spectrometer, BIRCHES, to determine volatile distribution as a function of time of day; Lunar Flashlight, to confirm the presence of surface ice at the lunar poles, utilizing an active source (laser), and looking for absorption features in the returning signal; and LunaH-Map to characterize ice at or below the surface at the poles with a compact neutron spectrometer. In addition, the BIRCHES instrument on Lunar Ice Cube will provide the first demonstration of a microcryocooler (AIM/IRIS) in deep space. Although not originally required to do so, all will be delivering science data to the Planetary Data System, the first formal archiving effort for cubesats. 4 of the 20 recently NASA-sponsored (PSDS3) study groups for deep space cubesat/smallsat mission concepts were lunar mission concepts, most involving 12U cubesats. NASA SIMPLEX 2/SALMON 3 AO will create ongoing opportunities for low-cost missions as 'rides' on government space program or private sector vehicles as these become available.

Ice Cube↗
NASA NTRS2018

Follow-up Imaging of Disk Candidates from the Disk Detective Citizen Science Project: New Discoveries and False Positives in WISE Circumstellar Disk Surveys

The Disk Detective citizen science project aims to find new stars with excess 22 m emission from circumstellar dust in the All WISE data release from the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer. We evaluated 261 Disk Detective objects of interest with imaging with the Robo-AO adaptive optics instrument on the 1.5 m telescope at Palomar Observatory and with RetroCam on the 2.5 m du Pont Telescope at Las Campanas Observatory to search for background objects at 0 15–12 separations from each target. Our analysis of these data leads us to reject 7% of targets. Combining this result with statistics from our online image classification efforts implies that at most7.9%±0.2% of All WISE-selected infrared excesses are good disk candidates. Applying our false-positive rates to other surveys, we find that the infrared excess searches of McDonald et al. and Marton et al. all have false-positiverates >70%. Moreover, we find that all 13 disk candidates in Theissen & West with W4 signal-to-noise ratio >3are false positives. We present 244 disk candidates that have survived vetting by follow-up imaging. Of these,213 are newly identified disk systems. Twelve of these are candidate members of comoving pairs based on Gaia astrometry, supporting the hypothesis that warm dust is associated with binary systems. We also note the discovery of 22 m excess around two known members of the Scorpius–Centaurus association, and we identifyknown disk host WISEA J164540.79-310226.6 as a likely Sco-Cen member. Thirty of these disk candidates arecloser than 125 pc (including 26 debris disks), making them good targets for both direct-imaging exoplanetsearches.

Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer↗
NASA NTRS2019

Model-based System Health Management and Contingency Planning for Autonomous UAS

Safe autonomous operations of an Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) requires that the UAS can react to unforeseen circumstances, for example, after a failure has occurred. In this paper we describe a model-based run-time architecture for autonomous on-board diagnosis, system health management, and contingency management. This architecture is being instantiated on top of NASA's Core Flight System (cFS/cFE) as amajor component of the on-board AutonomousOperating System (AOS). We will describe our diagnosis and monitoring components, which continuously provide system health status. Automated reasoning with constraint satisfaction form the core of our decision-making component, which assesses the current situation, aids in failure disambiguation, and constructs a contingency plan to mitigate the failure(s) and allow for a safe end of the mission. We will illustrate our contingency management system with two case studies, one for a fixed-wing aircraft in simulation, and one for an autonomous DJI S1000+ octo-copter.

Schumann, Johann M.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Technology Readiness Assessment for HEEET TPS

The HEEET project was conceived to develop a heatshield with a high performance ablative thermal protection material that can withstand the extreme entry environment produced as a result of rapid deceleration during high speed entry into Venus, Saturn, Uranus or higher speed entry into Earth's atmosphere. Successful maturation of HEEET supports future New Frontiers and Discovery AO's, as well as Flagship and directed missions in the longer term. In addition, HEEET has the potential to evolve and to support re-entry to Earth, for missions such as Mars Sample Return.The primary goal of the HEEET Project was to develop an ablative TPS heat-shield based on woven TPS technology to Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 6. Key evidence to support the TRL evaluation includes: Demonstration of reproducible manufacturing of a dual layer material over a range of thicknesses and integrated on to a heatshield engineering test unit at a scale that is applicable to near term Discovery as the highest priority and future NF missions as secondary priority set of missions. Demonstration of predictable and stable performance of the dual layer TPS over a range of entry environments that are applicable to near term Discovery and NF missions of interest to SMD.Includes completion of coupon arc jet and laser testing and development of a mid-fidelity thermal response model that correlates with test results. Demonstration of flight heatshield system design for a range of sizes and loads that are relevant to near term Discovery and NF missions of interest to SMD. Includes completion of structural testing to validate analytic thermal/structural models and development of a material property database. Includes structural testing of a ~1m Engineering Test Unit under relevant entry loads.

Gage, Peter↗
NASA NTRS2019

Boom Retraction Mechanism as Part of Sample Acquisition System from Remote and Hazardous Extra-Terrestrial Sites

This paper discusses the development of a mechanism as part of a comet sampling system. The mechanism, known by the acronym BRAD for Boom Retraction and Deployment, is part of a mission proposal to return a comet regolith sample to earth. The mission proposal; CORSAIR for Comet Rendezvous, Sample Acquisition, Investigation, and Return, was coordinated by Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Lab in Laurel, MD as a response to the NASA 2017 New Frontiers AO or Announcement of Opportunity. BRAD functions as a means to tend and control a deployable boom that connects a sample projectile to the spacecraft.

Comet Sample Acquisition Mechanism↗
NASA NTRS2017

Progress Towards Providing Heat-Shield for Extreme Entry Environment Technology (HEEET) for Venus and Other New Frontiers Missions

Heat-shield for Extreme Entry Environment Technology (HEEET) has been in development since 2014 with the goal of enabling missions to Venus, Saturn and other high-speed sample return missions. It is offered as a new technology and incentivized for mission use in the New Frontiers 4 AO by NASA. The current plans are to mature the technology to TRL 6 by FY’18. The HEEET Team has been working closely with multiple NF-4 proposals to Venus, Saturn and has been supporting recent Ice-Giants mission studies. This presentation will provide progress made to date and the plans for development in FY’18.

Ablative thermal protection system↗
NASA NTRS2020

Designing an Optimal Ensemble Strategy for GMAO S2S Forecast System

The NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction system is being readied for a major upgrade. An important factor in successful extended range forecasting is the definition of the ensemble. Our overall strategy is to run a relatively large ensemble of about 40 members up to 3 months (focusing on the sub-seasonal forecast problem), after which we sub-sample the ensemble, and continue the forecast with about 10 members (up to 12 months). Here we present the results of our testing of various ways to generate the initial perturbations and the validation of a stratified sampling approach for choosing the members of the smaller ensemble. For the initialization of the ensemble we propose a combination of lagged and burst initial conditions. To generate perturbations for the burst ensemble members we used scaled differences of pairs of analysis states (chosen randomly from the corresponding season) separated by 1-10 days. We consider perturbing separately the atmosphere and the ocean, or both. By varying the separation times between the analysis states, we are able to produce perturbations that resemble well-known modes of variability. Focusing on the ENSO SST indices, we found that all types of perturbations are important for the ensemble spread with, however, considerable differences in the timing of the impacts on spread for the atmospheric and oceanic perturbations.Our initial (larger) ensemble size was determined so as to maximize the skill of predicting some of the leading modes of boreal winter atmospheric modes (namely the NAO, PNA and AO). Since it is not feasible for us to run with the larger ensemble beyond about 3 months, we employ a stratified sampling procedure that identifies the emerging directions of error growth to subset the ensemble. By comparing the results from the stratified ensemble with that of the randomly sampled ensemble of the same size, we find that the former provides substantially better estimates the mean of the original large ensemble.

Borovikov, Anna↗
NASA NTRS2020

Designing an Optimal Ensemble Strategy for GMAO S2S Forecast System

GMAO Sub/Seasonal prediction system (S2S) is being readied for a major upgrade to GEOS-S2S Version 3. An important factor in successful extended range forecast is the definition of an ensemble For initialization of the ensemble we propose a combination of lagged and burst initial conditions. We plan to run a relatively large ensemble of 40 members for sub-seasonal forecast (up to 3 months), at which point we sub-sample the ensemble, and continue the forecast with 10 members (up to 12 months). Here we present the results of the extensive testing of various ways to generate the perturbations to the initial conditions and the validation of the stratified sampling strategy we chose.To generate perturbations for the burst ensemble members we used scaled differences of pairs of analysis states separated by 1-10 days, randomly chosen from a corresponding season. We considered perturbing separately only the atmospheric fields or only the ocean or both of the forecast initial conditions. Considering varying separation times between the analysis states, we were able to produce perturbations sampling various modes of variability. Focusing on the ENSO SST indices, we found that all types of perturbations are important for the ensemble spread.Our ensemble size for sub-seasonal forecasts was determined as to maximize the skill of predicting some of the leading modes of boreal winter atmospheric modes, NAO, PNA and AO. It is not feasible to run equally large ensemble for seasonal forecasts. Using a stratified sampling procedure we can identify the emerging directions of error growth. By comparing the stratified ensemble with randomly sampled ensemble of the same size, we were able to show that the former better estimates the mean of the original large ensemble.

Borovikov, Anna↗
NASA NTRS2018

Optical Performance Prediction of the Thirty Meter Telescope after Initial Alignment Using Optical Modeling

We present an estimate of the optical performance of the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT) after execution of the full telescope alignment plan. The TMT alignment is performed by the Global Metrology System (GMS) and the Alignment and Phasing System (APS). The GMS first measures the locations of the telescope optics and instruments as a function of elevation angle. These initial measurements will be used to adjust the optics positions and build initial elevation look-up tables. Then the telescope is aligned using starlight as the input for the APS at multiple elevation angles. APS measurements are used to refine the telescope alignment to build elevation and temperature dependent look-up tables. Due to the number of degrees of freedom in the telescope (over 10,000), the ability of the primary mirror to correct aberrations on other optics, the tight optical performance requirements and the multiple instrument locations, it is challenging to develop, test and validate these alignment procedures. In this paper, we consider several GMS and APS operational scenarios. We apply the alignment procedures to the model-generated TMT, which consists of various quasi-static errors such as polishing errors, passive supports errors, thermal and gravity deformations and installation position errors. Using an integrated optical model and Monte-Carlo framework, we evaluate the TMT’s aligned states using optical performance metrics at multiple instrument and field of view locations. The optical performance metrics include the Normalized Point Source Sensitivity (PSSN), RMS wavefront error before and after Adaptive Optics (AO) correction, pupil position change, and plate scale distortion.

Rogers, John↗
NASA NTRS2018

Nature of and Lessons Learned from Lunar Ice Cube and the First Deep Space Cubesat 'Cluster'

Cubesats operating in deep space face challenges Earth-orbiting cubesats do not. 15 deep space cubesat 'prototypes' will be launched over the next two years including the two MarCO cubesats, the 2018 demonstration of dual communication system at Mars, and the 13 diverse cubesats being deployed from the SLS EM1 mission within the next two years. Three of the EM1 cubesat missions, including the first deep space cubesat 'cluster', will be lunar orbiters with remote sensing instruments for lunar surface/regolith measurements. These include: Lunar Ice Cube, with its 1-4 micron broadband IR spectrometer, BIRCHES, to determine volatile distribution as a function of time of day; Lunar Flashlight, to confirm the presence of surface ice at the lunar poles, utilizing an active source (laser), and looking for absorption features in the returning signal; and LunaH-Map to characterize ice at or below the surface at the poles with a compact neutron spectrometer. In addition, the BIRCHES instrument on Lunar Ice Cube will provide the first demonstration of a microcryocooler (AIM/IRIS) in deep space. Although not originally required to do so, all will be delivering science data to the Planetary Data System, the first formal archiving effort for cubesats. 4 of the 20 recently NASA-sponsored (PSDS3) study groups for deep space cubesat/smallsat mission concepts were lunar mission concepts, most involving 12U cubesats. NASA SIMPLEX 2/SALMON 3 AO will create ongoing opportunities for low-cost missions as 'rides' on government space program or private sector vehicles as these become available.

Bujold, Emily↗
NASA NTRS2019

Magnification, dust, and time-delay constraints from the first resolved strongly lensed Type Ia supernova iPTF16geu

We report lensing magnifications, extinction, and time-delay estimates for the first resolved, multiply imaged Type Ia supernova iPTF16geu, at z = 0.409, using Hubble Space Telescope (HST) observations in combination with supporting ground-based data. Multiband photometry of the resolved images provides unique information about the differential dimming due to dust in the lensing galaxy. Using HST and Keck AO reference images taken after the SN faded, we obtain a total lensing magnification for iPTF16geu of μ = 67.8(+2.6−2.9), accounting for extinction in the host and lensing galaxy. As expected from the symmetry of the system, we measure very short time-delays for the three fainter images with respect to the brightest one: −0.23 ± 0.99, −1.43 ± 0.74, and 1.36 ± 1.07 d. Interestingly, we find large differences between the magnifications of the four supernova images, even after accounting for uncertainties in the extinction corrections: ∆m(1) = −3.88(+0.07−0.06), ∆m(2) = −2.99(+0.09−0.08), ∆m(3) = −2.19(+0.14−0.15),and ∆m(4) = −2.40(+0.14−0.12) mag, discrepant with model predictions suggesting similar image brightnesses. A possible explanation for the large differences is gravitational lensing by substructures, micro- or millilensing, in addition to the large-scale lens causing the image separations. We find that the inferred magnification is insensitive to the assumptions about the dust properties in the host and lens galaxy.

S Dhawan↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Science Objectives of the ACCP/AOS Millimeter- and Submillimeter-Wave Radiometers

Passive microwave radiometers provide highly useful information regarding the Earth system by measuring thermal emission (from the surface and atmosphere) that is reflected, absorbed, and scattered by the surface and the atmosphere. As such, radiometers have been instrumental across Earth-observing concepts with heritage tracing back to the Nimbus era, and clouds and precipitation have been key geophysical phenomena these sensors have targeted. As millimeter-wave (particularly ≥85 GHz) and submillimeter-wave technologies have advanced, the applicability of microwave radiometers has expanded to encompass falling snow and ice clouds, respectively. Given the strong heritage of microwave radiometry and the emergence of submillimeter-wave sensors for sensing falling snow and ice clouds, the National Academies’ 2017 Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space recommended passive sensors covering these wavelengths be included in observing systems that address the Aerosols, Clouds, Convection, and Precipitation (ACCP) combined designated observable. To showcase the capabilities for addressing the ACCP science objectives, we will provide an overview of the passive microwave capabilities envisioned for the Atmosphere Observing System (AOS, part of the recently unveiled NASA Earth System Observatory), including descriptions of the radiometers for the inclined and polar orbits and the primary geophysical variables of interest related to ice-phase clouds and precipitation. We will also discuss secondary science objectives, such as precipitation mapping, that can be achieved with the ACCP/AOS radiometers. Examples from the analyses performed for the ACCP/AOS architecture study and subsequent sensor definition exercises will be presented, outlining the basis for the radiometer configuration within the context of the overarching ACCP/AOS goals to elucidate the connections between atmospheric dynamics, weather (including extreme events), air quality, and climate.

Ian S Adams↗