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DOE OSTI2023

Spatial Bayesian models project shifts in suitable habitat for Pacific Northwest tree species under climate change

Abstract We developed spatial Bayesian hierarchical models to assess potential climate change impacts on suitable habitat for five important tree species in the Pacific northwestern United States (California, Oregon, and Washington). Individual‐species models were fit with presence–absence data from forest inventory field plots and spatial relationships were specified through a conditional autoregressive model. This modeling approach allowed us to visualize uncertainty in response curves, map current and future prediction uncertainty, and provide interval estimates for change. Upward elevational or northward latitudinal shifts in climatically suitable habitat were projected for all species. Climate change impacts were the most damaging for noble fir ( Abies procera ), for which 79%–100% of the current range was projected to become climatically unsuitable by the 2080s. Although coastal Douglas‐fir ( Pseudotsuga menziesii var. menziesii ) has been projected by others to gain habitat in Canada, within our study area we projected a net loss of climatically suitable habitat (ca. 8000–31,400 km 2 ) under three of four future climate scenarios. A net loss in habitat was also projected for Oregon white oak ( Quercus garryana ) under three of four scenarios, with 40%–60% of the current range becoming unsuitable. Although there was no net loss of habitat for forest land blue oak under any scenario, other factors like competition may inhibit blue oak ( Quercus douglasii ) and white oak from occupying areas projected to increase in climatic suitability. Additionally, between 13% and 32% of blue oak's current range was projected to become unsuitable; some of these areas aligned with dieback following the 2012–2015 California drought, which our data set predates. Unlike the other four species, we projected a 17%–25% increase in climatically suitable habitat for California black oak ( Quercus kelloggii ), although 1%–20% of the current range was still projected to become unsuitable. Our findings indicate that, although some species will face more pressure in tracking climatically suitable habitat than others, climate change will impact the location of suitable habitat for many species.

Kralicek, Karin↗

DOE OSTI2021

Location-Dependent Cobalt Deposition in Smartphone Cells upon Long-Term Fast-Charging Visualized by Synchrotron X-ray Fluorescence

In this work, we investigate the transition-metal dissolution of the layered cathode material LiCoO 2 upon repeated fast-charging of three smartphone batteries from different manufacturers using synchrotron micro X-ray fluorescence (μ-XRF). Using this spatially resolved technique, dissolution of Co and subsequent location-dependent deposition on the anode are observed. μ-XRF mapping of selected parts of the anode electrode sheets, such as electrode folds and edges of the jelly roll, reveals the difference in the way Co is deposited on specific regions of the anode electrode. While some folds show no depositions, edges of the anode show gradually accumulating Co depositions. Furthermore, careful quantification of the dissolved Co reveals that the capacity loss scales with the amount of deposited Co on the anode, that is, total Co loss from within the cathode. Soft X-ray absorption spectroscopy of the Co depositions on the anode shows that Co is mainly deposited in a reduced 2 + state. While optimization of the fast-charging protocol mitigates Li plating on the anode, no significant difference in the amount of deposited Co can be observed between an optimized and a nonoptimized fast-charging algorithm.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Operator Lévy Flight: Light Cones in Chaotic Long-Range Interacting Systems

We argue that chaotic power-law interacting systems have emergent limits on information propagation, analogous to relativistic light cones, which depend on the spatial dimension d and the exponent α governing the decay of interactions. Using the dephasing nature of quantum chaos, we map the problem to a stochastic model with a known phase diagram. A linear light cone results for α ≥ $\textit{d}$ + 1/2. We also provide a Lévy flight (long-range random walk) interpretation of the results and show consistent numerical data for 1D long-range spin models with 200 sites.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-Resolution Thermal Profiling of a High-Power Diode Laser Facet During Aging

Here, we study the facet temperature distribution of a high-power diode laser over its lifetime using a noncontact, high spatial resolution CCD-based thermoreflectance technique. Based on the known correlation between non-radiative defects and heating, thermal maps can provide valuable information regarding the formation and evolution of small point defects that are at or near the facet during aging. In the laser under study in this work we measure the appearance of local hot spots on the facet, including concentrated hot spots that appear just before or just after COD and are correlated with loss of local light emission. The locations of these hot spots do not exhibit morphology changes in high-resolution SEM imaging of the facet, indicating that the related defects are too small to be observable in SEM or are located at some depth under the facet. Prior to COD, we measure a gradual facet temperature increase accompanied by a gradual optical power decrease and gradual facet optical absorption increase, indicating gradual degradation of the laser.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Offshore Geologic Carbon Storage Data Collection and International Project Inventory

We present an interactive data collection to aggregate, understand, and disseminate the data that are publicly available to support offshore GCS which can be leveraged by stakeholders to understand where GCS may be viable offshore, create GCS project analogs, and address challenges to GCS in offshore environments. The Offshore Geologic Carbon Storage Data Collection is an Experience Builder web application of multiple web mapping applications, aggregated into a single tool for each data type for access, visualization, and exploration. We also present a spatial inventory of global offshore GCS efforts to visualize the scale and locations of actualized and potential offshore GCS. It includes project location, project type and stage, CO2 storage resource potential, injection rate, reservoir and seal geology, and key literature references. Quantitative and qualitative comparisons of the distribution and magnitude of projects by their attributes lends spatial insight into the status of global GCS operations and storage resource potential, thereby enabling comparative assessments and cross-cutting knowledge transfer for projects in development. These datasets illuminate trends in ongoing offshore projects and can be leveraged by stakeholders to estimate storage resources, identify subsurface analogs, review regulations, and address challenges to offshore GCS. Additionally, opportunities for concurrent decarbonization strategies can be identified.

Mulhern, Julia↗

DOE OSTI2024

International Offshore Geologic Carbon Storage Project Inventory and Data Collection

Mulhern, Julia↗

DOE OSTI2024

International Offshore Geologic Carbon Storage Inventory and Data Collection

Mulhern, Julia↗

DOE OSTI2022

Detecting Coastal Wetland Degradation by Combining Remote Sensing and Hydrologic Modeling

Sea-level rise and climate change stresses pose increasing threats to coastal wetlands that are vital to wildlife habitats, carbon sequestration, water supply, and other ecosystem services with global significance. However, existing studies are limited in individual sites, and large-scale mapping of coastal wetland degradation patterns over a long period is rare. Our study developed a new framework to detect spatial and temporal patterns of coastal wetland degradation by analyzing fine-scale, long-term remotely sensed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data. Then, this framework was tested to track the degradation of coastal wetlands at the Alligator River National Wildlife Refuge (ARNWR) in North Carolina, United States, during the period from 1995 to 2019. We identified six types of coastal wetland degradation in the study area. Most of the detected degradation was located within 2 km from the shoreline and occurred in the past five years. Further, we used a state-of-the-art coastal hydrologic model, PIHM-Wetland, to investigate key hydrologic processes/variables that control the coastal wetland degradation. The temporal and spatial distributions of simulated coastal flooding and saltwater intrusion confirmed the location and timing of wetland degradation detected by remote sensing. The combined method also quantified the possible critical thresholds of water tables for wetland degradation. The remote sensing–hydrologic model integrated scheme proposed in this study provides a new tool for detecting and understanding coastal wetland degradation mechanisms. Our study approach can also be extended to other coastal wetland regions to understand how climate change and sea-level rise impact wetland transformations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Spatio-Temporal Anomaly Detection with Graph Networks for Data Quality Monitoring of the Hadron Calorimeter

The Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) experiment is a general-purpose detector for high-energy collision at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. It employs an online data quality monitoring (DQM) system to promptly spot and diagnose particle data acquisition problems to avoid data quality loss. In this study, we present a semi-supervised spatio-temporal anomaly detection (AD) monitoring system for the physics particle reading channels of the Hadron Calorimeter (HCAL) of the CMS using three-dimensional digi-occupancy map data of the DQM. We propose the GraphSTAD system, which employs convolutional and graph neural networks to learn local spatial characteristics induced by particles traversing the detector and the global behavior owing to shared backend circuit connections and housing boxes of the channels, respectively. Recurrent neural networks capture the temporal evolution of the extracted spatial features. We validate the accuracy of the proposed AD system in capturing diverse channel fault types using the LHC collision data sets. The GraphSTAD system achieves production-level accuracy and is being integrated into the CMS core production system for real-time monitoring of the HCAL. We provide a quantitative performance comparison with alternative benchmark models to demonstrate the promising leverage of the presented system.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

On finite-dimensional smoothed-particle Hamiltonian reductions of the Vlasov equation

The inclusion of spatial smoothing in finite-dimensional particle-based Hamiltonian reductions of the Vlasov equation and related models is considered. Here, this work investigates the underlying Hamiltonian structure of such smoothed particle-based methods for Hamiltonian systems and the small-scale regularization such methods implicitly make in approximating the continuum theory. In the context of the Vlasov–Poisson equation and other mean-field Lie–Poisson systems, of which Vlasov–Poisson is a special case, smoothing amounts to a convolutive regularization of the Hamiltonian. This regularization may be interpreted as a change of the inner product structure used to identify the dual space in the Lie–Poisson Hamiltonian formulation. In particular, the shape function used for spatial smoothing may be identified as the kernel function of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space whose inner product is used to define the Lie–Poisson Hamiltonian structure. It is likewise possible to introduce smoothing in the Vlasov–Maxwell system, but in this case the Poisson bracket must be modified rather than the Hamiltonian. The smoothing applied to the Vlasov–Maxwell system is incorporated by inserting smoothing in the map from canonical to kinematic coordinates. In the filtered system, the Lorentz force law and the current, the two terms coupling the Vlasov equation with Maxwell’s equations, are spatially smoothed.

Hamiltonian mechanics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Estimating snow cover from high-resolution satellite imagery by thresholding blue wavelengths: Supporting Data

The extent and duration of snow cover is predicted to be altered as the climate changes. Developing high-resolution estimates of snow cover change is crucial for estimating changes in snow cover and the effects of these changes on watershed and ecosystems processes. Remote sensing tools have been a common method for rapidly mapping snow covered area (SCA) across a landscape. The most common remote sensing method for estimating SCA uses satellite-based calculations of the normalized difference snow index (NDSI), which relies on spectral measurements in the shortwave-infrared wavelengths (SWIR). NDSI is effective at catchment- to regional-scale estimates of SCA, but due to spatial resolution limitations of SWIR measurements, NDSI cannot be used to assess fine-scale SCA. In this work, we develop a new algorithm, called the Blue Snow Threshold (BST) algorithm, that maps high-resolution SCA by calculating a threshold on the blue wavelengths from high-resolution satellite imagery. This data package includes Orthorectified IKONOS-2 imagery (IkonosTestImage.tif) from August 14, 2004 at 1.00 meters Ground Sample Distance for Cook Inlet, Alaska (59.966414 , -152.982975). The Blue Snow Threshold algorithm (BST.py) was then used to produce a snow cover estimate (IkonosTestImage_BST.tif) for this study area. Additional imagery metadata is included in the ImageInfo.txt file. See Thaler et al., 2023 (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2022.113403) for more information about the BST algorithm.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Investigation of the cesium activation of Ga⁢N photocathodes by low-energy electron microscopy

Low-energy electron microscopy (LEEM) was performed on p-Ga⁢N samples during in situ cesium deposition. LEEM images of electron reflectivity recorded as a function of the incident electron energy at different Cs coverages allowed to spatially resolve the evolution of the local work function (WF) during the activation process. While the average WF drops by more than 3 eV, the local WF remains quite uniform across the surface throughout the activation process. Maximum fluctuations of less than 0.2 eV were observed in the WF maps for Cs coverage of a fraction of a monolayer. These fluctuations are mainly related to the surface topography, in particular, to the atomic steps’ structure, which replicates the substrate miscut. Apart from these weak spatial fluctuations, no Cs clusters that would induce strong local WF contrast were observed at the scale of the 20-nm resolution of the measurements. These observations agree with the simple model of semiconductor activation to negative electron affinity that describes the formation of a dipole layer as responsible for the lowering of the WF. Additionally, at complete Cs coverage, the WF becomes fully homogeneous over the surface, smoothing out features originating from defects and topography.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2024

Spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes influenced by environmental and human factors

Abstract Wildfire activity in Arctic and boreal regions is rapidly increasing, with severe consequences for climate and human health. Regional long-term variations in fire frequency and intensity characterize fire regimes. The spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes and their environmental and anthropogenic drivers, however, remain poorly understood. Here we present a fire tracking system to map the sub-daily evolution of all circumpolar Arctic–boreal fires between 2012 and 2023 using 375 m Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite active fire detections and the resulting dataset of the ignition time, location, size, duration, spread and intensity of individual fires. We use this dataset to classify the Arctic–boreal biomes into seven distinct ‘pyroregions’ with unique climatic and geographic environments. We find that these pyroregions exhibit varying responses to environmental drivers, with boreal North America, eastern Siberia and northern tundra regions showing the highest sensitivity to climate and lightning density. In addition, anthropogenic factors play an important role in influencing fire number and size, interacting with other factors. Understanding the spatial variability of fire regimes and its interconnected drivers in the Arctic–boreal domain is important for improving future predictions of fire activity and identifying areas at risk for extreme events.

Geology↗

DOE OSTI2022

Point Cloud Based Mapping of Understory Shrub Fuel Distribution, Estimation of Fuel Consumption and Relationship to Pyrolysis Gas Emissions on Experimental Prescribed Burns

Forest fires spread via production and combustion of pyrolysis gases in the understory. The goal of the present paper is to understand the spatial location, distribution, and fraction (relative to the overstory) of understory plants, in this case, sparkleberry shrub, namely its degree of understory consumption upon burn, and to search for correlations between the degree of shrub consumption to the composition of emitted pyrolysis gases. Data were collected in situ at seven small experimental prescribed burns at Ft. Jackson, an army base in South Carolina, USA. Using airborne laser scanning (ALS) to map overstory tree crowns and terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) to characterize understory shrub fuel density, both pre- and postburn estimates of sparkleberry coverage were obtained. Sparkleberry clump polygons were manually digitized from a UAV-derived orthoimage of the understory and intersected with the TLS point cloud-derived rasters of pre- and postburn shrub fuel bulk density; these were compared in relation to overstory crown cover as well as to ground truth. Shrub fuel consumption was estimated from the digitized images; sparkleberry clump distributions were generally found to not correlate well to the overstory tree crowns, suggesting it is shade-tolerant. Moreover, no relationship was found between the magnitude of the fuel consumption and the chemical composition of pyrolysis gases, even though mixing ratios of 25 individual gases were measured.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mapping the Residual Stress Distribution in Polycrystalline Quartz Tiger's Eye Using Raman Spectroscopy

Stress distribution maps in polycrystalline materials are needed to reveal stress pathways caused by short‐and long‐range interactions of crystallites. Stress induced changes to wavenumbers in Raman spectroscopy is a well‐known phenomenon that occurs when a crystalline material undergoes elastic strain. Using spatially resolved Raman spectroscopy, we have developed a technique to experimentally measure grain‐scale residual stresses across a sample of polycrystal quartz Tiger's Eye. The results of this technique are validated using multiple criteria, including evaluation of the residual stress map itself and the accuracy of the measurements taken. The residual map of Tiger's Eye shows striking similarity to observed characteristics of other polycrystalline residual stress distributions, revealing heterogenous areas of high and low magnitude stresses. The stress magnitudes are consistent with residual stress magnitudes previously measured from polycrystalline quartz. Characterization of Tiger's Eye quartz also revealed the geometric nature of the iron oxide inclusions, not previously observed in Tiger's Eye quartz. With this technique, we present a residual stress map of Tiger's Eye quartz that shows with accuracy a heterogeneous stress state with inter‐ and intra‐granular detail.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Mapping of Heterogeneous Catalyst Degradation in Polymer Electrolyte Fuel Cells

Pt catalysts in polymer electrolyte fuel cells degrade heterogeneously as the catalyst particles are exposed to local variations throughout the catalyst layer during operation. State-of-the-art analytical techniques for studying degradation of Pt catalysts do not possess fine spatial resolution to elucidate such non-uniform degradation behavior at a large electrode level. A new methodology is developed to spatially resolve and quantify the heterogeneous Pt catalyst degradation over a large area (several cm ) of aged MEAs based on synchrotron X-ray microdiffraction. PEFC single cells are aged using voltage cycling as an accelerated stress test and the degradation heterogeneity at a micrometer length scale is visualized by mapping Pt catalyst particle size after voltage cycling. It is demonstrated in detail that the Pt catalyst particle size growth is non-uniform and follows the flow field geometry. The Pt particle size growth is greater in the area under the flow field land, while it is minimal in the area under the flow field channel. Additional non-uniformity is observed with the Pt particle size increasing more rapidly at the air outlet area than the Pt particle size at the inlet area.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Quantifying Equiaxed vs Epitaxial Solidification in Laser Melting of CMSX-4 Single Crystal Superalloy

The competition between epitaxial vs. equiaxed solidification has been investigated in CMSX-4 single crystal superalloy during laser melting as practiced in additive manufacturing. Single-track laser scans were performed on a powder-free surface of directionally solidified CMSX-4 alloy with several combinations of laser power and scanning velocity. Electron backscattered diffraction (EBSD) mapping facilitated identification of new orientations, i.e., “stray grains” that nucleated within the fusion zone along with their area fraction and spatial distribution. Using high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics simulations, both the temperature and fluid velocity fields within the melt pool were estimated. This information was combined with a nucleation model to determine locations where nucleation has the highest probability to occur in melt pools. In conformance with general experience in metals additive manufacturing, the as-solidified microstructure of the laser-melted tracks is dominated by epitaxial grain growth; nevertheless, stray grains were evident in elongated melt pools. It was found that, though a higher laser scanning velocity and lower power are generally helpful in the reduction of stray grains, the combination of a stable keyhole and minimal fluid velocity further mitigates stray grains in laser single tracks.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Deep level defects and cation sublattice disorder in ZnGeN 2

The III-nitrides have revolutionized lighting technology and power electronics. Expanding the nitride semiconductor family to include the heterovalent ternary nitrides opens up new and exciting opportunities for device design that may help overcome some of the limitations of the binary nitrides as well as new applications. However, the more complex cation sublattice also gives rise to new complexities with both native and extrinsic defects, such as disorder on the cation sublattice. Here, depth-resolved cathodoluminescence spectroscopy and surface photovoltage spectroscopy measurements of defect energy levels in ZnGeN 2 combined with transmission microscopy and crystal lattice diffraction reveal optical signatures of mid-gap states that can be associated with cation sublattice disorder. The energies of these characteristic optical signatures in ZnGeN 2 thin films grown by metal-organic chemical vapor deposition are in good agreement with energy levels predicted by density functional theory for specific thermodynamically stable native point defects. To test the dependence of these defect signatures on crystal atomic composition, we correlated spatially-resolved optical and atomic composition measurements using spatially resolved x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy with systematically varied growth conditions on the same ZnGeN 2 films. The resultant elemental maps versus defect spectral energies and intensities suggest that cation antisite complexes (Zn Ge -Ge Zn ) versus isolated native point defects form preferentially and introduce mid-gap states that dominate electron-hole pair recombination. Complexing of Zn Ge and Ge Zn antisites manifests as disorder in the cation sub-lattice and leads to the formation of wurtzitic ZnGeN 2 as indicated by transmission electron microscopy diffraction patterns and x-ray diffraction (XRD) reciprocal space maps. Furthermore, these findings emphasize the importance of growth conditions to control cation place exchange.

42 ENGINEERING↗