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At least 631 records · Page 35

Striving to translate shale physics across ten orders of magnitude: What have we learned?

Shales will play an important role in the successful transition of energy from fossil-based resources to renewables in the coming decades. Aside from being a significant source of low-carbon intensity fuels, like natural gas, they also serve as geologic seals of subsurface formations that may be used to isolate nuclear waste, sequester CO 2 , or store intermittent energy (e.g., solar hydrogen). Despite their importance, shales pose significant engineering and environmental challenges due to their nanoporous structure and extreme heterogeneity that spans at least ~10 orders of magnitude in spatial scale. Two challenges inhibit a system-level understanding: (1) the physics of fluid flow and phase behavior in shales are poorly understood due to the dominant molecular interactions between minerals and fluids under confinement, and (2) the apparent lack of scale separation that prevents a reliable (closed) description of the physics at any single scale of observation. In this review, we focus on the latter issue and discuss scale translation, which in its broadest sense is transforming data or simulations from one spatiotemporal scale to another. While effective scale translation is not exclusive to shales, but all geologic porous media, the need for it is especially acute in shales given their high degree of heterogeneity. Classical theories like homogenization, while indispensable, fail when scales are not separated. Other methods, like numerical upscaling, scale-translate in only one direction: small to large, but not the reverse, called downscaling. However, the confluence of advances in three areas are bringing challenging problems such as shales within reach: increased computational power and scalable algorithms; high-resolution imaging and multi-modal data acquisition; and machine learning to process massive amounts of data. While these advances equip geoscientists with a wide array of experimental and computational tools, no individual tool can probe the entire gamut of heterogeneity in shales. Their effective use, therefore, requires an ability to bridge between various data types obtained at different scales. The aim of this review is to present a coherent account of computational and experimental methods that may be used to achieve just that, i.e., to perform scale translation. We provide a broader definition of scale translation, one that transcends classical homogenization and upscaling methods, but is consistent with them and accommodates notions like downscaling and data translation. After a brief introduction to homogenization, we review hybrid methods, numerical upscaling and its recent extensions, multiscale computing, high-resolution imaging, and machine learning. We place particular emphasis on multiscale computing and propose an algorithmic framework to bridge between the pore (micro) and Darcy (macro) scales. Throughout the paper, we draw comparisons between the various methods and highlight their (often hidden) similarities, differences, benefits, and pitfalls. We finally conclude with two case studies on shales that exemplify some of the methods presented.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Water intensity of photovoltaic module manufacturing at the terawatt scale

As the U.S. ramps photovoltaic (PV) manufacturing to the terawatt scale and emphasizes re-shoring manufacturing, potential regional impacts on the U.S. water supply should be considered, particularly since many PV companies rely almost exclusively on public water supplies for manufacturing. This work surveys the academic literature and PV manufacturer reports to estimate the water intensity of monocrystalline silicon, multicrystalline silicon, and cadmium telluride modules manufactured at the terawatt scale, determining that on average, cadmium telluride manufacturing is less water intensive on a per megawatt scale – this is anticipated to be true for all thin film PV manufacturing. While much lower than the water intensity of thermoelectric (e.g., coal) energy generation, significant issues and gaps with PV manufacturing data quality in academic studies are identified which cause estimates to vary by over 1000x (0.04 – 49 trillion liters/terawatt). Data issues are discussed and the need for accurate accounting of water resources (e.g., via continuous, updated information during PV manufacturing) is highlighted. The opportunity to reconfigure decommissioned thermoelectric sites to PV manufacturing is also explored. Finally, factors that influence PV manufacturing water intensity, from individual manufacturing steps to trends across the PV industry, are examined and water conservation opportunities are presented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Chemical mixture exposure patterns and obesity among U.S. adults in NHANES 2005–2012

The effect of chemical exposure on obesity has raised great concerns. Real-world chemical exposure always imposes mixture impacts, however their exposure patterns and the corresponding associations with obesity have not been fully evaluated. To discover obesity-related mixed chemical exposure patterns in the general U.S. population. Sparse Decompositional Regression (SDR), a model adapted from sparse representation learning technique, was developed to identify exposure patterns of chemical mixtures with exclusion (non-targeted model) and inclusion (targeted model) of health outcomes. We assessed the relationships between the identified chemical mixture patterns and obesity-related indexes. We also conducted a comprehensive evaluation of this SDR model by comparing to the existing models, including generalized linear regression model (GLM), principal component analysis (PCA), and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR). Eight core exposure patterns were identified using the non-targeted SDR model. Patterns of high levels of MEP, high levels of naphthalene metabolites (ΣOH-Nap), and a pattern of high exposure levels of MCOP, MCNP, and MCPP were positively associated with obesity. Patterns of high levels of BP3, and a pattern of higher mixed levels of MPB, PPB, and MEP were found to have negative associations. Associations were strengthened using the targeted SDR model. In the single chemical analysis by GLM, BP3, MBP, PPB, MCOP, and MCNP showed significant associations with obesity or body indexes. The SDR model exceeded the performance of PCA in pattern identification. Both SDR and BKMR identified a positive contribution of ΣOH-Nap and MCOP, as well as a negative contribution of BP3 and PPB to obesity. Our study identified five core exposure patterns of chemical mixtures significantly associated with obesity using the newly developed SDR model. The SDR model could open a new avenue for assessing health effects of environmental mixture contaminants.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Strategies for microgrid operation under real-world conditions

Microgrids are an increasingly relevant technology for integrating renewable energy sources into electricity systems. Based on a microgrid implementation in California, in this study we investigate microgrid operation under real-world conditions. These conditions have not yet been considered in combination and encompass energy charges, demand charges, export limits, as well as uncertainty about future electricity demand and generation in the microgrid. Under these conditions, we evaluate the performance of two frequently applied groups of strategies for microgrid operation. The first group is composed of proactive strategies that optimize decisions based on forecasts of future electricity generation and demand. The second group includes reactive strategies that make operational decisions based exclusively on the current state of the microgrid. We evaluate the performance of the strategies under varying operational parameters, forecast accuracies, and microgrid configurations—well beyond our Californian showcase. Our results confirm the expectation that proactive strategies outperform reactive ones in the majority of settings. Yet, reactive strategies can perform better under short control intervals or under moderate prediction errors of PV generation or demand. Furthermore, the interplay between real-world conditions and operational strategies reveals several additional insights for research on microgrid operation. First, we find that demand charges and export limits decisively affect microgrid performance. Second, the impact of forecast errors is highly non-linear and non-monotonous. Third, escalating negative interactions between forecast errors and demand charges make proactive strategies benefit from longer control intervals. This result is contrary to existing best practice, which promotes short control intervals to minimize the impact of uncertainty.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Exploratory analysis and performance prediction of big data transfer in High-performance Networks

Big data transfer in large-scale scientific and business applications is increasingly carried out over connections with guaranteed bandwidth provisioned in High-performance Networks (HPNs) via advance bandwidth reservation. Provisioning agents need to carefully schedule data transfer requests, compute network paths, and allocate appropriate bandwidths. Such reserved bandwidths, if not fully utilized, could be simply wasted due to the exclusive access during the approved time window, and cause extra overhead and complexity for resource management. This calls for accurate performance prediction to reserve bandwidths that match actual needs and avoid over-provisioning. We employ machine learning algorithms to predict big data transfer performance based on extensive performance measurements collected in the past several years from data transfer tests using different protocols and toolkits between various end sites on several real-life physical or emulated testbeds. We first analyze the performance patterns in response to a comprehensive list of parameters in end-host systems, network connections, and data transfer applications, which motivate the use of machine learning and also help us identify the effects of latent factors. We then propose threshold- and clustering-based methods to eliminate negative effects of latent factors in data preprocessing and build a robust performance predictor based on customized domain-oriented loss functions. The performance of the proposed methods is verified by extensive experiments using SVR and RFR as well as theoretical analysis of the general performance bound.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The prospective impacts of 2019 state energy policies on the U.S. electricity system

Over the past several years state energy policies have been evolving rapidly, and are more frequently including higher targets, including 100% clean energy targets. This study assesses the aggregate impacts of state clean energy standards and emissions policies on national electricity generation, power sector carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions, and electricity prices and system costs. To do so, we apply the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, which is a detailed electric sector capacity expansion model, to evaluate scenarios with and without state policies and using a range of renewable energy technology cost projections. Across the scenarios analyzed, we find that the state policies drive 1.9%–10.7% of total nationwide clean energy and reduce cumulative power sector CO 2 emissions by 2.6%–5.4% over the 2020–2050 study period. This incremental generation is predominantly, but not exclusively, from renewable energy technologies. In most cases, the state policies result in increases to electricity prices and electricity system costs, and policy costs are sensitive to the future cost of clean energy technologies. Across all scenarios, the levelized cost of incremental policy-driven clean energy generation is estimated to be $17–38/MWh and the average cost of CO 2 abatement from the state-level policies is estimated to be $29–74/metric ton.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Melting and phase relations of Fe-Ni-Si determined by a multi-technique approach

Many studies have suggested silicon as a candidate light element for the cores of Earth and Mercury. However, the effect of silicon on the melting temperatures of core materials and thermal profiles of cores is poorly understood, due to disagreements among melt detection techniques, uncertainties in sample pressure evolution during heating, and sparsity of studies investigating the combined effects of nickel and silicon on the phase diagram of iron. Here, in this study we develop a multi-technique approach for measuring the high-pressure melting and solid phase relations of iron alloys and apply it to Fe 0.8 Ni 0.1 Si 0.1 (Fe-11wt%Ni-5.3wt%Si), a composition compatible with recent estimates for the cores of Earth and Mercury. This approach combines results (20-83 GPa) from two atomic-level techniques: synchrotron Mossbauer spectroscopy (SMS) and synchrotron x-ray diffraction (XRD). Melting is independently detected by the loss of the Mossbauer signal, produced exclusively by solid-bound iron nuclei, and the onset of a liquid diffuse x-ray scattering signal. The use of a burst heating and background updating method for quantifying changes in the reference background during heating facilitates the determination of liquid diffuse signal onsets and leads to strong reproducibility and excellent agreement in melting temperatures determined separately by the two techniques. XRD measurements additionally constrain the hcp-fcc phase boundary and in-situ pressure evolution of the samples during heating. We apply our updated thermal pressure model to published SMS melting data on fcc-Fe and fcc-Fe 0.9 Ni 0.1 to precisely evaluate the effect of silicon on melting temperatures. We find that the addition of 10 mol% Si to Fe 0.9 Ni 0.1 reduces melting temperatures by ~250 K at low pressures (<60 GPa) and flattens the hcp-fcc phase boundary. Extrapolating our results, we constrain the location of the hcp-fcc-liquid quasi-triple point at 147±14 GPa and 3140±90 K, which implies a melting temperature reduction of 500 K compared with Fe 0.9 Ni 0.1 . The results demonstrate the advantages of combining complementary experimental techniques in investigations of melting under extreme conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Total cost of ownership of vehicle electrification and fuel switching options for light-duty and heavy-duty vehicles

Projecting the transition from combustion engines to battery-based powertrains is complex becuase it involves numerous interdependent decisions. This study estimates total cost of ownership (TCO) to assess the economic viability of powertrain electrification, focusing exclusively on advances in vehicle and fuel technologies. Under two bounding technology-progress scenarios, we develop vehicle designs and fuel cost trajectories, which serve as inputs to TCO projections for selected classes from 2021 to 2050. We analyzed a small sport utility vehicle (SUV) to represent the light-duty vehicle (LDV) sector, and four medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) classes: Class 6 box delivery, Class 8 drayage, Class 8 long-haul, and Class 8 transit bus. For each class, we compared the TCO of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles (FCHEVs) against conventional internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). The results show that modern ICEVs generally have lower TCO; however, BEVs and FCHEVs could match or have lower TCOs than ICEVs over time, depending on technological progress. In LDVs, BEV300 is projected to deliver the lowest TCO by 2050, particularly under the high-progress scenario. In MHDVs, both BEVs and FCHEVs could become more cost-competitive than ICEVs by 2050 in the high-progress case. Beyond these results, the findings suggest further investigation is warranted for BEV charging infrastructure, FCHEV hydrogen refueling infrastructure, and MHDV charging strategies. In conclusion, these factors could reduce the fuel-cost share of TCO and enhance the competitiveness of BEVs and FCHEVs relative to ICEVs.

Battery electric vehicle↗

Synthesis and morphological characterization of linear and miktoarm star poly(solketal methacrylate)- block -polystyrene copolymers

The synthesis, molecular characterization, and morphological evaluation of AB n, (n = 2,3) miktoarm star block copolymers consisting of poly(glycerol monomethacrylate) (PGMA) and polystyrene (PS) with varying molecular weights and compositions is described. The system is known to demonstrate a remarkably high Flory-Huggins interaction parameter. The corresponding linear diblock copolymer analogues, were synthesized as well, and comparisons with regard to feature dimensions and morphologies are provided. Well-ordered nanostructures of various morphologies were formed with domain spacing as low as 7.2 nm. Different morphologies were attained by some of the topological isomers indicating that in miktoarm star block copolymers the phase boundaries were strongly shifted. Additionally, a triblock ABA analogue was studied to investigate the effect of triblock copolymer conformations. Noteworthy is that for copolymers with different macromolecular architecture leading to similar morphology; different domain spacings were obtained. The synthesis of all the samples was carried out by high-vacuum anionic polymerization techniques. Molecular characterization with Size Exclusion Chromatography (SEC) and Proton Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy ( 1 H NMR) confirmed well-defined copolymers obtained. The morphological characterization was accomplished by Small-Angle X-ray Scattering (SAXS). In conclusion, the observations from this study highlight the potential of incorporating macromolecular architecture in the self-assembly of strongly immiscible block copolymers to attain ultra-small nanofeatures with desired morphologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Differential effects of drought on nonstructural carbohydrate storage in seedlings and mature trees of four species in a subtropical forest

Nonstructural carbohydrates (NSC) play important roles in forest vulnerability to climate change, especially under increasing drought intensity and frequency. Understanding NSC dynamics is essential for accurately predicting the resistance and resilience of forests in response to drought. However, our knowledge of NSC re-sponses to drought is still limited due to the lack of research in trees of di?erent life stages. In this study, we conducted a throughfall exclusion experiment (TFE) with four subtropical evergreen tree species to examine drought e?ects on NSC in mature trees and understory seedlings. Our results showed the differential effects of drought on NSC dynamics of understory seedlings and mature trees. In the TFE experiment, mature trees of all four species were relatively homoeostatic with the insigni?cantly changed NSC pools, photosynthesis, and growth under the drought treatment compared to the control. In contrast, understory seedlings displayed sig-ni?cant decreases in total NSC and soluble sugars (-14.70 ± 3.66% and -16.93 ± 3.85%, respectively) with the exception of Lithocarpus glaber (L. glaber). The seedlings of L. glaber with the highest hydraulic resistance maintained or slightly increased NSC and its components in response to drought. Our study highlights the im-portance of life stage in assessing drought e?ects of trees on NSC storage and then forest C cycling, which could be incorporated into the dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) to better understand drought effects on forest C balance in the future.

Zhang, Peipei↗

Unveiling stimulation fluid-driven alterations in shale pore architecture through combined interpretation of TD-NMR and multi-component gas adsorption

The hydraulic fracturing stimulation process can alter petrophysical and flow properties of the shale matrix in unconventional reservoirs. These alterations can result from interactions with native and exogenous fluids, and can be detrimental to reservoir productivity. Different experimental procedures have been proposed to study reactive processes and thereby understand the aforementioned interactions. Most published works do not consider the rock initial saturation with formation fluid, or the effect of organic matter (OM). To gain insights into these effects, two reactive experimental sets, differing in experimental conditions, were conducted. In the first set, at 125°C and 45 MPa, a stimulation fluid surrogate was put in contact with Baxter Shale samples, previously saturated and equilibrated with synthetic formation fluid. A baseline consisted of exposure to formation fluid exclusively. In the second set, at 0.08 MPa and 25°C, contact with stimulation fluid took place as in the first set. Two additional assays in this second set either skipped the initial formation fluid saturation or removed the OM, respectively. Petrophysical properties analyses, focused on the pore architecture, relied on the combined interpretation of gas adsorption and Time-Domain Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (TD-NMR). Results show that the presence of the formation fluid significantly restricts pore space accessibility to the stimulation fluid and mitigates the pore-architecture alteration to the macro-pore region. Mineral dissolution and precipitation dominate over surface or wettability alteration. Next, results suggest that the OM restricts accessibility to some pores. Ultimately, the equilibration process with synthetic formation fluid drives mainly surface alteration, unhindered by OM.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Gas hydrate deposit formation in transient flowloop tests and mitigation with a surface treatment

Thermodynamic and thermal mitigation strategies are traditionally utilized to prevent gas hydrate formation but may be rendered ineffective for certain unplanned, extended shut-in scenarios. Unfortunately, the current knowledge regarding transient gas hydrate formation has been extremely limited to only a few studies and unable to address this complex issue adequately. This work, conducted in a lab-scale flowloop, aims to add to the understanding of this area by delving into the implications of transient conditions on gas hydrate formation mechanisms, while also exploring a possible mitigation strategy of a surface treatment. Specifically, the effects of phase separation on gas hydrate formation locations, transportability, and plugging are presented for an oil-dominated system. An omniphobic surface treatment is shown to affect initial gas hydrate deposition and its wall adherence strength, as well as the overall plugging outcome. Overall, this work combines observational information with process data measurements to provide a better understanding of phase separated gas hydrate systems and passive deposition mitigation strategies. This can further aid advanced gas hydrate modeling efforts, which currently do not adequately address transient flow effects on phase separation/dispersion. Here, it offers representative gas hydrate testing for coatings, which have exclusively been limited to non-flowing and/or bench-scale analysis, to give confidence in their potential application as advanced deposition prevention tools.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Water and heat: New constraints on the evolution of the CV chondrite parent body

This paper focuses on the post-accretion history of CV3 chondrites, through a combination of petrographic and mineralogical characterization, magnetic measurements, spectral (Raman and Infrared) and thermo-gravimetric analysis of 31 meteorites (including 7 falls, 21 Antarctic and 3 non-Antarctic finds) spanning a wide metamorphic range. We classify the 21 Antarctic chondrites and the Bukhara fall into the CV Red , CV OxA , and CV OxB subgroups. We establish quantitative parameters relevant for this sub-classification. In comparison to CV Ox , CV Red chondrites are characterized by (i) a lower abundance of matrix, (ii) a higher abundance of metal, (iii) the presence of Ni-poor sulfides. In comparison to CV OxB , CV OxA are characterized by (i) similar matrix abundance, (ii) a higher abundance of metal, (iii) the presence of metal almost exclusively under the form of awaruite, (iv) lower Ni content of sulfides, (v) lower magnetic susceptibility and saturation remanence. In this work, both CV Ox (CV OxA and CV OxB ) and CV Red experienced aqueous alteration, and contain oxyhydroxides and phyllosilicates. We show that the abundance of these hydrated secondary minerals observed today in individual CV chondrites decreases with their peak metamorphic temperature. This is interpreted either as partial dehydration of these secondary minerals or limited hydration due to the rapid exhaustion of the water reservoir during parent body thermal metamorphism. Moreover, the lower abundance of oxyhydroxides (that have a lower thermal stability than phyllosilicates and may in large part postdate the peak of thermal metamorphism) in more metamorphosed CV chondrites is interpreted as lower availability of aqueous fluids during retrograde metamorphism in these meteorites. Lastly, we show that in comparison to CV OxB , CV OxA are systematically (i) more metamorphosed, (ii) less hydrated, (iii) depleted in ferromagnetic minerals, (iv) but enriched in metal in the form of secondary awaruite. CV OxA may be thermally metamorphosed CV OxB . CV Red are significantly different from CV Ox (matrix abundances, alteration products, opaque minerals), but span the same wide metamorphic range. This could be indicative of a laterally heterogeneous CV parent body, or suggest the existence of distinct parent bodies for CV Ox and CV Red chondrites.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Walking on the dark side: Anthropogenic factors limit suitable habitat for gray wolf ( Canis lupus ) in a large natural area covering Belarus and Ukraine

Due to successful conservation initiatives and legislations, the grey wolf (Canis lupus) is recolonising its historic range in Europe. However, wolves have never been extirpated across large areas in Eastern Europe but are often constrained to remote and inaccessible places due to centuries of persecution. This study aimed to identify the potentially suitable wolf habitats in Polesia, a massive cross-border lowland region extending over southern Belarus and northern Ukraine, which are often neglected in large carnivore studies at the continental scale. We hypothesized that anthropogenic rather than environmental factors govern wolf habitat suitability. We used a dataset of 4191 GPS locations obtained from radio-collared wolves (n = 26) and confirmed observations (n = 231) during 2014–2021 and applied maximum entropy method to estimate relative habitat suitability for wolves in Polesia. Artificial light at night (ALAN), proportion of cropland and tree cover were the most important factors affecting wolf habitat suitability. Road densities contributed poorly to predicting habitat suitability for wolves. Our models predicted a quarter of Polesia as suitable habitat and revealed priority areas connecting the important source populations in the Chornobyl Exclusion Zone in the east and the Bialowieza Forest in the west and thus essential for long-term wolf conservation. Our results provide the bases for effective, long-term wolf monitoring and management programs in both Belarus and Ukraine. However, national and transboundary wolf management in Polesia has been extremely challenging since 2022 due to the ongoing war and subsequent habitat degradation in this part of Europe.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Preclinical characterization of Pan-NKG2D ligand-binding NKG2D receptor decoys

NKG2D and its ligands are critical regulators of protective immune responses controlling infections and cancer, defining a crucial immune signaling axis. Current therapeutic efforts targeting this axis almost exclusively aim at enhancing NKG2D-mediated effector functions. However, this axis can drive disease processes when dysregulated, in particular, driving stem-like cancer cell reprogramming and tumorigenesis through receptor/ligand self-stimulation on tumor cells. Despite complexities with its structure and biology, we developed multiple novel engineered proteins that functionally serve as axis-blocking NKG2D “decoys” and report biochemical, structural, in vitro , and in vivo evaluation of their functionality.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Synergistic effect of microstructure and defects on the initiation of fatigue cracks in additively manufactured Inconel 718

Fatigue cracks in additively manufactured (AMed) Inconel 718 (IN-718) in machined surface condition often initiate from persistent slip bands (PSBs) unlike other popular AM alloys such as 17-4 PH stainless steel or Ti-6Al-4V, where fatigue crack initiation is exclusively from volumetric defects; therefore, a competition between PSB- vs. defect- mediated crack initiation clearly exists. To shed light on the factors governing the competition, this study investigates the characteristics of cyclic strain localization, PSB formation, and crack initiation via crystal plasticity (CP) modeling of cyclic loading on polycrystalline aggregates which are then validated by experiments. In this work, a physics-based, free slip distance (FSD) dependent slip strength evolution law is proposed, which is shown to enable the CP model to simulate the heterogeneous strain distribution in IN-718. Implementing a crack initiation criterion based on strain contrast, the locations and lives for crack initiation can also be calculated. It is shown that both FSD and resolve shear stress influence the strain localization and crack initiation behaviors. The distribution of a localization parameter calculated based on the multiplication of FSD and Schmid factor within a grain is found to correlate well with the locations of PSBs. The maximum values of the localization parameters within a microstructure are shown to correlate well with the experimentally obtained crack initiation lives. The presence of volumetric defects in IN-718 generally do not impact strain localization behavior unless their size is large compared to the grain size.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Bimodal particle distributions with increased thermal conductivity for solid particles as heat transfer media and storage materials

Solid particles are being considered in several high temperature thermal energy storage systems and as heat transfer media in a variety of advanced power generation systems, particularly in concentrated solar power plants. The downside of such an approach is the low overall heat transfer coefficients caused by the inherently low thermal conductivity values of the low-cost solid media when coupled to heat exchanger for the power cycle working fluid. Choosing the right particle size distribution, emittance, and material of the solid media can all make a substantial difference in packed bed thermal conductivity. Current research though exclusively focuses on continuous unimodal distributions of particles. Here, in this work, we propose the use of a binary particle system with a bimodal size distribution to significantly increase packed bed thermal conductivity by reducing packed bed porosity. This is the first study related to ceramic solid particle heat transfer that has considered the thermal conductivity of non-unimodal size distributions at room and elevated temperatures. The following study found that for the binary particle system using Carbo particles CP 16/30 – CP 70/140 where the large particle volume fraction was 50% there was an 17–47% increase in packed bed thermal conductivity when compared with a nearly unimodal particle size distribution of CP 16/30 between 50 and 300 °C. Two different porosity and effective thermal conductivity models were studied, with one providing better prediction of porosity but both effective thermal conductivity models providing less predictive capacity. Importantly this approach can have a substantial impact of thermal performance, with little to no impact on the particle cost.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Predicting critical heat flux using localized sensing at invisible vapor-liquid interfaces

Predicting critical heat flux (CHF) in two-phase electronics cooling systems remains a significant challenge due to the sudden onset of boiling crisis and the difficulty in directly visualizing vapor-liquid interfaces. Existing sensing methods rely on lagging temperature measurements, optically accessible systems, or spatially averaged signals that cannot pinpoint CHF initiation at localized high-heat-flux regions. Here, we report a planar capacitive sensing approach that enables real-time, localized detection of vapor-liquid interface dynamics for CHF prediction in boiling heat transfer. The capacitive sensor exploits the dielectric constant difference between liquid and vapor phases to capture bubble nucleation, growth, and departure dynamics with a temporal resolution down to 2 ms. The capacitive sensing reveals distinct signals across boiling regimes: from high-frequency fluctuations during strong nucleate boiling to low-frequency fluctuations with increased amplitudes when approaching CHF. The multi-sensor array experiments demonstrate real-time localized sensing, where each sensor responds exclusively to boiling in its immediate vicinity without crosstalk from neighboring regions. This non-intrusive sensing approach provides predictive rather than lagging sensing signals of CHF occurrence, offering predictive diagnosis of two-phase liquid cooling for the thermal management of high-power-density electronics.

CHF↗