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At least 631 records · Page 35

Can Remotely Sensed Snow Disappearance Explain Seasonal Water Supply?

Understanding the relationship between remotely sensed snow disappearance and seasonal water supply may become vital in coming years to supplement limited ground based, in situ measurements of snow in a changing climate. For the period 2001–2019, we investigated the relationship between satellite derived Day of Snow Disappearance (DSD)—the date at which snow has completely disappeared—and the seasonal water supply, i.e., the April—July total streamflow volume, for 15 snow dominated basins across the western U.S. A Monte Carlo framework was applied, using linear regression models to evaluate the predictive skill—defined here as a model’s ability to accurately predict seasonal flow volumes—of varied predictors, including DSD and in situ snow water equivalent (SWE), across a range of spring forecast dates. In all basins there is a statistically significant relationship between mean DSD and seasonal water supply (p ≤ 0.05), with mean DSD explaining roughly half of the variance. Satellite-based model skill improves later in the forecast season, surpassing the skill of in-situ-based (SWE) models in skill in 10 of the 15 basins by the latest forecast date. We found little to no correlation between model error and basin characteristics such as elevation and the ratio of snow water equivalent to total precipitation. Despite a relatively short data record, this exploratory analysis shows promise for improving seasonal water supply prediction, in particular for snow dominated basins lacking in situ observations.

snow remote sensing↗

Model-data comparisons of moments of nonbreaking shoaling surface gravity waves

The predictions of linear and nonlinear (Boussinesq) shoaling wave models for nonbreaking unidirectional surface gravity waves are compared to field observations, with particular emphasis on quantities that may be important for cross-shore sediment transport. The extensive data sets were obtained on two natural beaches, span water depths between 1 and 10 m, and include incident wave power spectra with narrow, broad, and bimodal shapes. Significant wave heights varied between approximately 30 and 100 cm, and peak periods between approximately 8 and 18 s. The evolution of total variances of sea surface elevation, cross-shore velocity, and horizontal acceleration is modeled at least qualitatively well by both linear and nonlinear theories. Only the nonlinear theory predicts the increasingly asymmetric sea surface elevations and horizontal velocities (pitched-forward wave shapes) and the weaker variation of skewness (difference between crest and trough profiles) which are observed to occur during shoaling. The nonlinear theory also models qualitatively well the large skewed accelerations which occur during the passage of asymmetric waves.

Elgar, Steve↗

Enhanced Climatic Warming Over the Tibetan Plateau Due to Doubling CO2: A Model Study

A number of studies have presented the evidences that surface climate change associated with global warming at high elevation sites shows more pronounced warming than at low elevations, i.e. an elevation dependency of climatic warming pointed out that snow-albedo feedback may be responsible for the excessive warming in the Swiss Alps. From an ensemble of climate change experiments of increasing greenhouse gases and aerosols using an air-sea coupled climate model, Eyre and Raw (1999) found a marked elevation dependency of the simulated surface screen temperature increase over the Rocky Mountains. Using almost all available instrumental records, Liu and Chen (2000) showed that the main portion of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has experienced significant ground temperature warming since the middlebrows, especially in winter, and that there is a tendency for the warming trend to increase with elevation in the TP as well as its surrounding areas. In this paper, we will investigate the mechanism of elevation dependency of climatic warming in the TP by using a high-resolution regional climate model.

Chen, Baode↗

Wind-Tunnel Tests of the 1/25-Scale Powered Model of the Martin JRM-1 Airplane. IV - Tests with Ground Board and with Modified Wing and Hull - TED No. NACA 232: Tests with Ground Board and with Modified Wing and Hull, TED No. NACA 232 - Part 4

Wind-tunnel tests were made of a 1/25 scale model of the Martin JRM-1 airplane to determine: (1) The longitudinal stability and control characteristics of the JRM-1 model near the water and lateral and directional stability characteristics with power while moving on the surface of the water, the latter being useful for the design of tip floats; (2) The stability and stalling characteristics of the wing with a modified airfoil contour; (3) Stability characteristics of a hull of larger design gross weight; The test results indicated that the elevator was powerful enough to trim the original model in a landing configuration at any lift coefficient within the specified range of centers of gravity. The ground-board tests for evaluating the aerodynamic forces and moments on an airplane in a simulated cross wind indicate a high dihedral effect in the presence of the ground board and, consequently, during low-speed taxying and take-off, large overturning moments would result which would have to be overcome by the tip floats.

Lockwood, Vernard E.↗

Verification and transfer of thermal pollution model. Volume 3: Verification of 3-dimensional rigid-lid model

The six-volume report: describes the theory of a three dimensional (3-D) mathematical thermal discharge model and a related one dimensional (1-D) model, includes model verification at two sites, and provides a separate user's manual for each model. The 3-D model has two forms: free surface and rigid lid. The former, verified at Anclote Anchorage (FL), allows a free air/water interface and is suited for significant surface wave heights compared to mean water depth; e.g., estuaries and coastal regions. The latter, verified at Lake Keowee (SC), is suited for small surface wave heights compared to depth (e.g., natural or man-made inland lakes) because surface elevation has been removed as a parameter. These models allow computation of time-dependent velocity and temperature fields for given initial conditions and time-varying boundary conditions. The free-surface model also provides surface height variations with time.

Lee, S. S.↗

Verification and transfer of thermal pollution model. Volume 5: Verification of 2-dimensional numerical model

The six-volume report: describes the theory of a three dimensional (3-D) mathematical thermal discharge model and a related one dimensional (1-D) model, includes model verification at two sites, and provides a separate user's manual for each model. The 3-D model has two forms: free surface and rigid lid. The former, verified at Anclote Anchorate (FL), allows a free air/water interface and is suited for significant surface wave heights compared to mean water depth; e.g., estuaries and coastal regions. The latter, verified at Lake Keowee (SC), is suited for small surface wave heights compared to depth (e.g., natural or man-made inland lakes) because surface elevation has been removed as a parameter. These models allow computation of time dependent velocity and temperature fields for given initial conditions and time-varying boundary conditions.

Lee, S. S.↗

A viscoplastic model for single crystals

A viscoplastic constitutive model is described in which deformation behavior is postulated on representative slip systems and the behavior of the entire crystal is determined by summing the slip on the active slip systems. By building in the slip geometry known from the metallurgical literature, it is possible to predict the anisotropic deformation behavior and to model in a straightforward manner other phenomena which have been described by metallurgists in crystallographic terms. Elevated temperature tension-torsion tests were run and used to verify the model's predictive abilities. Ratchetting behavior under thermomechanical loading conditions is specifically addressed.

Jordan, E. H.↗

Preparation of the Ice Certification of the Dornier 328 Regional Airliner By Numerical Simulation and By Ground Test

The Dornier 328, a new regional airliner, is to be qualified to FAR25/JAR25 requirements for operation into known icing conditions. All lifting surfaces are pneumatically deiced. Impingement limits were determined using a validated computational fluid dynamic (CFD) code. Wind tunnel tests with a model of the whole aircraft and the isolated empennage equipped with artificial ice shapes showed a degradation of handling characteristics due to ice accretion. Extensive two and three dimensional CFD calculations evaluated ice accretion at the deflection elevator horn. Icing tunnel tests were performed with a model of the horizontal tail with icing similitude fulfilled. The Dornier Do328 powerplant air induction system has successfully completed a program of icing tests in support of aircraft certification for operation into known icing conditions. Potential flight icing conditions were extensively analyzed using a CFD potential flow code and 3-D particle tracking routine to identify critical flight icing conditions. The tunnel test program verified the analytically predicted critical ice accretion surfaces of the air induction system, the adequacy of the ice protection provisions and demonstrated compliance with the applicable (JAR25) regulatory material.

D Welte↗

Benchmark Data Set for Wheat Growth Models: Field Experiments and AgMIP Multi-Model Simulations.

The data set includes a current representative management treatment from detailed, quality-tested sentinel field experiments with wheat from four contrasting environments including Australia, The Netherlands, India and Argentina. Measurements include local daily climate data (solar radiation, maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, surface wind, dew point temperature, relative humidity, and vapor pressure), soil characteristics, frequent growth, nitrogen in crop and soil, crop and soil water and yield components. Simulations include results from 27 wheat models and a sensitivity analysis with 26 models and 30 years (1981-2010) for each location, for elevated atmospheric CO2 and temperature changes, a heat stress sensitivity analysis at anthesis, and a sensitivity analysis with soil and crop management variations and a Global Climate Model end-century scenario.

climate change impact↗

Effect of spaceflight on the maximal shortening velocity, morphology, and enzyme profile of fast- and slow-twitch skeletal muscle fibers in rhesus monkeys

Weightlessness has been shown to cause limb muscle wasting and a reduced peak force and power in the antigravity soleus muscle. Despite a reduced peak power, Caiozzo et al. observed an increased maximal shortening velocity in the rat soleus muscle following a 14-day space flight. The major purpose of the present investigation was to determine if weightlessness induced an elevated velocity in the antigravity slow type I fibers of the rhesus monkey (Macaca mulatta), as well as to establish a cellular mechanism for the effect. Spaceflight or models of weightlessness have been shown to increase glucose uptake, elevate muscle glycogen content, and increase fatigability of the soleus muscle. The latter appears to be in part caused by a reduced ability of the slow oxidative fibers to oxidize fats. A second goal of this study was to establish the extent to which weightlessness altered the substrate profile and glycolytic and oxidative enzyme capacity of individual slow- and fast-twitch fibers.

Bion 11 Project↗

Modeling of Ice Flow and Internal Layers Along a Flow Line Through Swiss Camp in West Greenland

An anisotropic ice flow line model is applied to a flow line through Swiss Camp (69.57 N, 49.28 W) in West Greenland to estimate the dates of internal layers detected by Radio-Echo Sounding measurements. The effect of an anisotropic ice fabric on ice flow is incorporated into the steady state flow line model. The stress-strain rate relationship for anisotropic ice is characterized by an enhancement factor based on the laboratory observations of ice deformation under combined compression and shear stresses. By using present-day data of accumulation rate, surface temperature, surface elevation and ice thickness along the flow line as model inputs, a very close agreement is found between the isochrones generated from the model and the observed internal layers with confirmed dates. The results indicate that this part of Greenland ice sheet is primarily in steady state.

Wang, W. L.↗

Modeling and Simulation Credibility Assessment of Finite Element Models for Fall From Heights Injury Scenarios

Finite element (FE) computational models of the whole human body are being used to investigate the injury modalities and mechanisms arising from suited astronauts’ ExtraVehicular Activities (EVAs). These FE whole body models – simplified Elemance and THUMS pedestrian versions – have undergone a series of verification and validation (V&V) assessments for applications in automotive, domestic, and contact sports arenas. However, the FE models’ Modeling and Simulation (M&S) credibility assessments for simulating suited astronaut injuries due to fall from heights in altered gravity environments are limited. The current study evaluates the M&S credibility of simplified Elemance and THUMS pedestrian FE models based on eight credibility factors – data pedigree, input pedigree, code verification, solution verification, conceptual validation, referent validation, results uncertainty, and results robustness – as per NASA-STD-7009A [1]. These credibility factors were assigned ordinal scores ranging between 0 to 4, with a score of 0 in the case of insufficient evidence and 4 when all data for the model is known, used appropriately, and traceable to the Real-World System (RWS) with acceptable accuracy, precision, and uncertainty. The credibility factor sufficiency thresholds were assigned upon guidance from NASA EVA subject matter experts. The factor scores were ascertained through the evaluation of M&S credibility assessment procedures described in the published literature and FE model reports. The M&S credibility scores for the Elemance and THUMS FE models vary between 1 and 3 for data pedigree, input pedigree, and referent validation credibility factors, and between 0 and 1 for code verification, solution verification, conceptual validation, results uncertainty and results robustness. The results show that these FE models are credible for simulating fall from heights injury scenarios in specific kinematic and kinetic ranges that correlate with highway and contact sports-related external conditions. Multiple credibility elevation strategies are prescribed to improve the Elemance and THUMS models’ credibility for use in the EVA fall from height injury scenarios.

R A Perkins↗

Buried and Visible Impact Basin Distribution on Mars: Comparison with Magnetization, Gravity and Crustal Thickness Models

The large population of buried impact basins found in MOLA elevation data on Mars provides compelling evidence for a pre-Noachian crust below the oldest visible Early Noachian surface units, and lowland crust below the younger plains that is Early Noachian in age, older than much of the visible highlands, but not as old as the buried pre-Noachian highlands. The large (D greater than 200 km) buried basins are suggested by Quasi-Circular Depressions (QCDs) that are not apparent in image data, and include features up to 3000 lun diameter in both the lowlands (Utopia) and highlands (a newly found "Ares Basin"). There are about a dozen QCDs larger than 1000 km diameter. We have placed these large features in a relative age sequence based on superimposed smaller QCD. Only the youngest and most obvious of these (Hellas, Argyre, Isidis) lack magnetic anomalies within their main rings. These all have an N(200) cumulative crater density of less than 2.5. Somewhat older lowland-making basins (Utopia, Chryse, Acidalia) with an N(200) age of approximately 3.0, have weak magnetic anomalies, and the oldest, most subdued basins (including Ares) with N(200) greater than 3.5 have many strong magnetic anomalies within their main ring. These older basins likely formed before the main magnetic field died. We have compared our inventory of large QCDs with the distribution of gravity anomalies and with a crustal thickness model which shows many roughly circular areas of thinner crust completely or partly surrounded by narrow regions of thicker crust. These have the structure expected for impact basins, and many of them do correspond to the visible or buried QCDs we previously identified. But there are cases where the crustal thickness feature is offset from the QCD found in topography alone, and there are also several, sometimes large examples of such features which do not coincide with QCDs previously identified. For example, we find several likely buried basins revealed in the crustal thickness data in the Arcadia and Amazonis regions which we did not previously identify, including several features in the 600-1200 km diameter range.

Frey, Herbert↗

Permanent uplift in magmatic systems with application to the Tharsis region of Mars

A model is derived for predicting both crustal displacement (leading to permanent uplift) and topographic elevation in regional large-scale magmatic systems associated with partial melting of mantle rocks. The model is then applied to the Tharsis region of Mars to test the uplift versus construction. It was found that a lower bound estimate of the fraction of intrusives necessary for any uplift at all is about 85 percent of the total magmatic products at Tharsis. Thus, it is proposed that most of the magmas associated with Tharsis evolution ended up as intrusive bodies in the crust and upper mantle.

Phillips, Roger J.↗

Gain degradation and amplitude scintillation due to tropospheric turbulence

It is shown that a simple physical model is adequate for the prediction of the long term statistics of both the reduced signal levels and increased peak-to-peak fluctuations. The model is based on conventional atmospheric turbulence theory and incorporates both amplitude and angle of arrival fluctuations. This model predicts the average variance of signals observed under clear air conditions at low elevation angles on earth-space paths at 2, 7.3, 20 and 30 GHz. Design curves based on this model for gain degradation, realizable gain, amplitude fluctuation as a function of antenna aperture size, frequency, and either terrestrial path length or earth-space path elevation angle are presented.

Theobold, D. M.↗

Mars Entry, Descent, Landing, and Ascent Systems Sensitivities to Landing Site and Atmospheric Dust

Plans for human missions to Mars continue to go through several architectural changes, dating all the way back to the 1950s [1]. The continuous study, reformulation, and refinement of Mars architectures and system concepts is necessary in order to incorporate evolving mission objectives, technology advancements, and growth in the body of knowledge regarding human factors and the various environments of human space travel. This evolution has continued into the 21st century, with architectures concepts such as NASA’s Design Reference Architecture 5.0 in 2009 [2], The Evolvable Mars Campaign in 2016 [3], and as recently as 2020, an architecture focused on a crewed mission as early as the 2030s that aims to minimizing crewed duration and infrastructure investment for the first mission [4]. Within these architectures, numerous studies around the current concept designs for Mars entry, descent, landing, and ascent (EDLA) systems have been performed over the last half a decade [[5], [6], [7], [8], [9], [10]]. Despite the breadth and depth of these studies, landing site, a key design parameter relevant to the design of EDLA systems, has remained nebulous over the years, largely due to the ever evolving mission objectives and architecture concept over the decades. However, the specific landing site has direct impact on the altitude and atmospheric conditions, which subsequently impact the design of EDLA systems. To accommodate the lack of a specific landing site, a baseline reference altitude of 0 km relative to the Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA), which is similar to an Earth sea level reference, has typically been selected and fixed for these past studies. Similarly, a baseline reference atmosphere has typically been utilized in these studies, either the Mars Global Reference Atmospheric Model [11], or a general 1982 standard warm, high pressure atmosphere model derived from Viking lander data [12]. Fig. 1 shows the range of elevations across the surface of Mars. Current architectures are focused on latitudes greater than 30 degrees north in an effort to ensure access to frozen water ice. From the figure, it is quickly evident that elevations over the range of longitudes at or above this latitude are significantly varied between roughly -4 to +4 km MOLA. Based on these observations, initial qualitative assessments of the impacts of landing site elevation on EDLA systems were performed. Fig. 2 depicts the expected trends in EDLA system mass for variations in both land site latitude and elevation. The background coloring is a qualitative evaluation of the current knowledge on ice water availability at the latitudes. Further modeling and simulation was performed to obtain numerical predictions of sensitivities to these parameters. Results indicate up to +2% to -4% mass variation from the current baseline Mars Ascent Vehicle concept, with the potential for greater than 6% mass variation at latitudes greater than 70 degrees north. However, variations in the descent system due to landing site were much more significant with mass variations in the range of -15% to +30% around the current baseline Mars Descent System concept. Additionally, Fig. 3 provides a depiction of potential Mars atmospheric density variations with both dust and Martian season. Though the Martian atmosphere is relatively thin compared to Earth’s atmosphere, it still poses significant impact on the design of EDLA systems. Variations in atmospheric density indicated by this slice of data would have significant impact on the design of EDLA systems. However, due to the highly complex nature of atmospheric flight, a qualitative assessment could not be performed. Rather, sensitivity results relied on modeling and simulation to provide numerical results for sensitivities on the current EDLA design concepts under consideration. Understanding these sensitivities is vital to the overall systems design of a Mars architecture. The resulting mass impacts on EDLA systems, driven by landing site elevation and dust level variations, has rippling impacts throughout the architecture that, ultimately, impact the viability of the architecture. Results showed fairly minor mass impacts to the current Mars Ascent Vehicle baseline configuration, roughly -0.6% to + 0.4% mass variations, while the Mars Descent System say greater variations due to dust, roughly -4% to +6% around the baseline concept.

EDLA↗

Study of tropospheric correction for intercontinental GPS common-view time transfer

Current practice is to incorporate general empirical models of the troposphere, which depend only on the station height and the elevation of the satellite, in GPS time receivers used for common-view time transfer. Comparisons of these models with a semi-empirical model based on weather measurements show differences of several nanoseconds. This paper reports on a study of tropospheric correction during GPS common-view time transfer over a short baseline of about 700 km, and three long baselines of 6400 km, 9000 km and 9600 km. It is shown that the use of a general empirical model of the troposphere within a region where the climate is similar does not affect time transfer by more than a few hundreds of picoseconds. For the long distance links, differences between the use of a general empirical model and the use of a semi-empirical model reach several nanoseconds.

Lewandowski, Wlodzimierz W.↗