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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 631 records · Page 35
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Loss Factors for Small Distributed Wind Turbines Based on Field Data in the United States

While wind energy production loss due to unavailability, environmental impacts, curtailment, and other causes has been studied and characterized at the utility-scale wind farm level, observation-based characterization of project loss is lacking for distributed wind energy, particularly for projects involving small wind turbines. Contemporary tools and research that support pre-construction distributed wind energy characterization present a wide range of default loss factors to convert gross energy estimates to net: 7-18%. We hypothesize that we can use generation observations from operational distributed wind projects to develop more accurate representations of loss. Using a density-based filtering technique on distributed wind power generation timeseries, we determine periods of typical performance and use them with regression algorithms in a measure-correlate-predict fashion to simulate what the generation would have been during periods of atypical or unreported performance. From there, the actual versus predicted generation leads to the establishment of observation-informed loss factors (median = 17%) for small, single turbine installation distributed wind projects.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

A machine learning approach to galaxy properties: joint redshift–stellar mass probability distributions with Random Forest

We demonstrate that highly accurate joint redshift–stellar mass probability distribution functions (PDFs) can be obtained using the Random Forest (RF) machine learning (ML) algorithm, even with few photometric bands available. As an example, we use the Dark Energy Survey (DES), combined with the COSMOS2015 catalogue for redshifts and stellar masses. We build two ML models: one containing deep photometry in the griz bands, and the second reflecting the photometric scatter present in the main DES survey, with carefully constructed representative training data in each case. We validate our joint PDFs for 10 699 test galaxies by utilizing the copula probability integral transform and the Kendall distribution function, and their univariate counterparts to validate the marginals. Benchmarked against a basic set-up of the template-fitting code bagpipes, our ML-based method outperforms template fitting on all of our predefined performance metrics. In addition to accuracy, the RF is extremely fast, able to compute joint PDFs for a million galaxies in just under 6 min with consumer computer hardware. Such speed enables PDFs to be derived in real time within analysis codes, solving potential storage issues. As part of this work we have developed galpro 1, a highly intuitive and efficient python package to rapidly generate multivariate PDFs on-the-fly. galpro is documented and available for researchers to use in their cosmology and galaxy evolution studies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

On the Feasibility of Simulation-Driven Portfolio Scheduling for Cyberinfrastructure Runtime Systems

Runtime systems that automate the execution of applications on distributed cyberinfrastructures need to make scheduling decisions. Researchers have proposed many scheduling algorithms, but most of them are designed based on analytical models and assumptions that may not hold in practice. The literature is thus rife with algorithms that have been evaluated only within the scope of their underlying assumptions but whose practical effectiveness is unclear. It is thus difficult for developers to decide which algorithm to implement in their runtime systems.To obviate the above difficulty, we propose an approach by which the runtime system executes, throughout application execution, simulations of this very execution. Each simulation is for a different algorithm in a scheduling algorithm portfolio, and the best algorithm is selected based on simulation results. The main objective of this work is to evaluate the feasibility and potential merit of this portfolio scheduling approach, even in the presence of simulation inaccuracy, when compared to the traditional one-algorithm approach. We perform this evaluation via a case study in the context of scientific workflows. Our main finding is that portfolio scheduling can outperform the best one-algorithm approach even in the presence of relatively large simulation inaccuracies.

Casanova, Henri↗
DOE OSTI2023

Deep reinforcement learning for class imbalance fault diagnosis of equipment in nuclear power plants

In equipment fault diagnosis in nuclear power plants, there may be far more samples in one class (e.g., a health state) than in another class (e.g., a fault state). The distribution of data in each class is highly skewed. Most machine learning algorithms are suitable for balanced training datasets. When faced with imbalanced samples, these algorithms tend to provide good identification for the majority classes and bias for the minority classes. However, the misclassification of minority classes can lead to high costs. To address the above problem, this paper develops a deep reinforcement learning-based diagnosis method that models fault diagnosis as a sequential decision-making process. At each time step, the agent receives the state of the environment represented by the training samples and then takes a diagnosis action guided by a policy. If the action is correct/incorrect, the agent receives a positive/negative reward. The reward for minority classes is higher than that for majority classes. The agent’s goal is to obtain as many cumulative rewards as possible in the process, i.e., to identify the sample as correctly as possible. Six demonstration scenarios are constructed, depending on the selected fault datasets and the designed model structures. Experiments show that the proposed method achieves a higher weighted-averaged F1 score than the classical supervised learning method in most cases of class imbalance. Finally, the proposed method has potential applications in the field of class imbalance fault diagnosis of equipment in nuclear power plants.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

An Observationally Trained Markov Model for MJO Propagation

A Markovian stochastic model is developed for studying the propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). This model represents the daily changes in real time multivariate MJO (RMM) indices as random functions of their current state and background conditions. The probability distribution function of the RMM changes is obtained using a machine learning algorithm trained to maximize MJO forecast skills using observed daily indices of RMM and different modes of variability. Skillful forecasts are obtained for lead times between 8 and 27 days. Large ensemble simulations by the stochastic model show that with monsoonal changes in the background state, MJO propagation across the Maritime Continent (MC) is most likely to be disrupted in boreal spring and summer when MJO events propagate from favorable conditions over the Indian Ocean to unfavorable ones over the MC, and predictability is higher during spring and summer when MJO activity is away from the MC region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Three-dimensional imaging of grain boundaries via quantitative fluorescence X-ray tomography analysis

Abstract Three-dimensional visualization of material composition within multiple grains and across complex networks of grain boundaries at nanoscales can provide new insight into the structure evolution and emerging functional properties of the material for diverse applications. Here, using nanoscale scanning X-ray fluorescence tomography, coupled with an advanced self-absorption correction algorithm developed in this work, we analyze the three-dimensional gain distributions and compositions in a Ce 0.8 Gd 0.2 O 2-δ -CoFe 2 O 4 mixed ionic-electronic conductor system with high accuracy and statistical significance. Our systematic investigation reveals an additional emergent phase and uncovers highly intriguing composition stability ranges for the multiple material phases within this system. The presented visualization of composition variations across complex interfaces, supported by our quantitative composition analysis, discloses mechanistic pathways of the diverse phase transformations occurring in the material synthesis, providing insights for the optimization of transport properties in the mixed ionic-electronic conductor system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

ReaxFF molecular dynamics simulations of electrolyte–water systems at supercritical temperature

We have performed ReaxFF molecular dynamics simulations of alkali metal–chlorine pairs in different water densities at supercritical temperature (700 K) to elucidate the structural and dynamical properties of the system. The radial distribution function and the angular distribution function explain the inter-ionic structural and orientational arrangements of atoms during the simulation. The coordination number of water molecules in the solvation shell of ions increases with an increase in the radius of ions. We find that the self-diffusion coefficient of metal ions increases with a decrease in density under supercritical conditions due to the formation of voids within the system. The hydrogen bond dynamics has been interpreted by the residence time distribution of various ions, which shows Li+ having the highest water retaining capability. The void distribution within the system has been analyzed by using the Voronoi polyhedra algorithm providing an estimation of void formation within the system at high temperatures. We observe the formation of salt clusters of Na+ and K+ at low densities due to the loss of dielectric constants of ions. The diffusion of ions gets altered dramatically due to the formation of voids and nucleation of ions in the system.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Time-dependent saturation and physics-based nonlinear model of cross-beam energy transfer

The nonlinear physics of cross-beam energy transfer (CBET) for multi-speckled laser beams is examined using large-scale particle-in-cell simulations for a range of laser and plasma conditions relevant to indirect-drive inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments. The time-dependent growth and saturation of CBET involve complex, nonlinear ion and electron dynamics, including ion trapping-induced enhancement and detuning, ion acoustic wave (IAW) nonlinearity, oblique forward stimulated Raman scattering (FSRS), and backward stimulated Brillouin scattering (BSBS) in a CBET-amplified seed beam. Ion-trapping-induced detuning of CBET is captured in the kinetic linear response by a new δf-Gaussian-mixture algorithm, enabling an accurate characterization of trapping-induced non-Maxwellian distributions. Ion trapping induces nonlinear processes, such as changes to the IAW dispersion and nonlinearities (e.g., bowing and self-focusing), which, together with pump depletion, FSRS, and BSBS, determine the time-dependent nature and level of CBET gain as the system approaches a steady state. Using VPIC simulations at intensities at and above the onset threshold for ion trapping and the insight from the time-dependent saturation analyses, we construct a nonlinear CBET model from local laser and plasma conditions that predicts the CBET gain and the energy deposition into the plasma. This model is intended to provide a more accurate, physics-based description of CBET saturation over a wide range of conditions encountered in ICF hohlraums compared with linear CBET gain models with ad hoc saturation clamps often used in laser ray-based methods in multi-physics codes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Nonlinear models for coupling the effects of stimulated Raman scattering to inertial confinement fusion codes

Laser plasma instabilities (LPI) reduce driver-target coupling, alter implosion symmetry, and therefore can fundamentally limit fusion performance in inertial confinement fusion (ICF). Developing a predictive modeling capability for LPI effects can critically advance the success of the field. We perform vector particle-in-cell simulations of multi-speckled laser beams undergoing stimulated Raman scattering (SRS) at various densities and intensities relevant to mainly indirectly driven and a subset of parameter space for directly driven ICF systems, focusing on the regimes with intensities above the onset of electron trapping. Based on the wavenumber of the SRS daughter electron plasma wave, we identify several regions with underpinning SRS saturation physics: the electron-trapping dominated region with intermediate kλD values, the strong Landau damping region at larger kλD values, and the region where the Langmuir decay instability arises at lower kλD values. We develop a nonlinear SRS reflectivity model that features the base trapping-dominated scaling of (kλD)−4 and its modifications. Electron trapping deforms the initialized electron distribution functions, and we have developed a new δf-Gaussian-mixture algorithm for an accurate characterization of the trapped hot electron population. With this SRS hot electron description, we construct a nonlinear energy deposition model and a hot electron source model—based on a modified Manley–Rowe relation—suitable for including SRS effects as a sub-grid module in a high-fidelity ICF design code.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

A semi-automated algorithm for designing stellarator divertor and limiter plates and application to HSX

We present a semi-automated algorithm for designing three-dimensional divertor or limiter plates targeting low heat loads. The algorithm designs the plates in two stages: firstly, the parallel heat flux distribution is caught on vertically-inclined plates at one or several toroidal locations. Secondly, the power per unit area is reduced by stretching, tilting and bending the plates toroidally. Heat transport is modelled using the EMC3-Lite code, which uses an anisotropic diffusion model. We apply this scheme to HSX, a medium-sized stellarator located at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. Starting from the current machine with an extended vessel wall, we construct plates which are able to effectively catch and spread the heat for three different magnetic configurations. The scheme has a computational cost in the order of tens of CPU-minutes, making it a powerful tool for semi-automated plasma-facing component design in three-dimensional environments.

anisotropic diffusion↗
DOE OSTI2025

Critical fluid dynamics in two and three dimensions

We describe a numerical method for simulating stochastic fluid dynamics near a critical point in the Ising universality class. This theory is known as model H, and is expected to govern the nonequilibrium dynamics of quantum chromodynamics (QCD) near a possible critical endpoint of the phase transition between a hadron liquid and the quark-gluon plasma. The numerical algorithm is based on a Metropolis scheme, and automatically ensures that the distribution function of the hydrodynamic variables in equilibrium is independent of the transport coefficients and only governed by the microscopic free energy. We verify dynamic scaling near the critical point of a two and three-dimensional fluid and extract the associated critical exponent z. Here, we find z≃3 in three dimensions, and z≃2 for a two-dimensional fluid. In a finite system, we observe a crossover between the mean field value z=4 and the true critical exponent z≃3 (z≃2 in d=2). This crossover is governed by the values of the correlation length and the renormalized shear viscosity.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Current possibilities and future opportunities for erasure coded computations

The key capability established through the research funded by this award are erasure coded computations for linear systems, in serial and in parallel. This capability enables powerful efficient and scalable alternatives to existing linear system solvers in fault-prone computational systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Analysis of Magnet Quench Antenna Data

Quenching poses a serious problem for superconducting magnets operating at high current. To understand and mitigate quenching, Fermilab’s magnet department is developing and testing superconducting magnet quench antenna arrays. The project investigates anomaly events during magnet trainings before quenches by analyzing the collected data. An unsupervised event autodetection algorithm is developed and the performance is assessed. The spatial and temporal distribution of events is studied in relation to the quench location.

Peng, Danming↗
DOE OSTI2022

Gaussian Mixture Model Solvers for the Boltzmann Equation

This report documents our experience constructing a numerical method for the collisional Boltzmann equation that is capable of accurately capturing the collisionless through strongly collisional limits. We explore three different functional representations and present a detailed account of a numerical method based on a spatially dependent Gaussian mixture model (GMM). The Kullback-Leibler divergence is used as a closeness measure and various expectation maximization (EM) solution algorithms are implemented to find a compact representation in velocity space for distribution functions that exhibit significant non-Maxwellian character. We discuss issues that appear with this representation over a range of Knudsen numbers for a prototypical test problem and demonstrate that the strongly collisional limit recovers a solution to Euler's equations. Looking forward, this approach is broadly applicable to the non-relativistic and relativistic collisional Vlasov equations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

FIRED (Fire Events Delineation): An Open, Flexible Algorithm and Database of US Fire Events Derived from the MODIS Burned Area Product (2001–2019)

Harnessing the fire data revolution, i.e., the abundance of information from satellites, government records, social media, and human health sources, now requires complex and challenging data integration approaches. Defining fire events is key to that effort. In order to understand the spatial and temporal characteristics of fire, or the classic fire regime concept, we need to critically define fire events from remote sensing data. Events, fundamentally a geographic concept with delineated spatial and temporal boundaries around a specific phenomenon that is homogenous in some property, are key to understanding fire regimes and more importantly how they are changing. Here, we describe Fire Events Delineation (FIRED), an event-delineation algorithm, that has been used to derive fire events (N = 51,871) from the MODIS MCD64 burned area product for the coterminous US (CONUS) from January 2001 to May 2019. The optimized spatial and temporal parameters to cluster burned area pixels into events were an 11-day window and a 5-pixel (2315 m) distance, when optimized against 13,741 wildfire perimeters in the CONUS from the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity record. The linear relationship between the size of individual FIRED and Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) events for the CONUS was strong (R2 = 0.92 for all events). Importantly, this algorithm is open-source and flexible, allowing the end user to modify the spatio-temporal threshold or even the underlying algorithm approach as they see fit. We expect the optimized criteria to vary across regions, based on regional distributions of fire event size and rate of spread. We describe the derived metrics provided in a new national database and how they can be used to better understand US fire regimes. The open, flexible FIRED algorithm could be utilized to derive events in any satellite product. We hope that this open science effort will help catalyze a community-driven, data-integration effort (termed OneFire) to build a more complete picture of fire.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

PyPhase – a Python package for X-ray phase imaging

X-ray propagation-based imaging techniques are well established at synchrotron radiation and laboratory sources. However, most reconstruction algorithms for such image modalities, also known as phase-retrieval algorithms, have been developed specifically for one instrument by and for experts, making the development and diffusion of such techniques difficult. Here, PyPhase, a free and open-source package for propagation-based near-field phase reconstructions, which is distributed under the CeCILL license, is presented. PyPhase implements some of the most popular phase-retrieval algorithms in a highly modular framework supporting its deployment on large-scale computing facilities. This makes the integration, the development of new phase-retrieval algorithms, and the deployment on different computing infrastructures straightforward. Its capabilities and simplicity are presented by application to data acquired at the synchrotron source MAX IV (Lund, Sweden).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Towards robust autonomous impedance spectroscopy analysis: A calibrated hierarchical Bayesian approach for electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) inversion

Distribution-based analyses, such as the distribution of relaxation times (DRT) and the distribution of diffusion times (DDT), present model-free alternatives to equivalent circuit modeling for analysis of electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) data. However, reconstructing such distributions from noisy impedance data is an ill-posed problem that must be solved with specialized inversion algorithms, requiring careful control and tuning. Furthermore, most inversion algorithms developed to date can only solve problems of limited complexity. Herein, we present a new hierarchical Bayesian method for EIS inversion, leveraging efficient algorithms for optimization and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling to solve models of arbitrary complexity. We overcome the challenge of ad-hoc parameter tuning by encoding intrinsic characteristics of the DRT and DDT into flexible prior distributions and “pre-calibrating” the model to simulated data. This approach is versatile, highly robust to noise, and provides quantitative estimates of both the error structure of the data and the uncertainty in the recovered distributions. The model is validated with simulated data to demonstrate accurate recovery of the DRT and the DDT. The method also shows promise for simultaneous recovery of multiple distributions, raising the intriguing possibility of semi-autonomous EIS analysis and ad-hoc model construction. Finally, the practical utility of the method is illustrated with experimental data. Throughout, we draw comparisons to several recently published EIS inversion methodologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗