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At least 631 records · Page 35

A probabilistic creep model incorporating test condition, initial damage, and material property uncertainty

Uncertainty is prevalent in the creep resistance of alloys, where at elevated temperature and low pressure, rupture can range across logarithmic decades. In this study, a probabilistic continuum-damage-mechanics (CDM)-based model is derived to capture the uncertainty of creep resistance. To meet this objective, creep data for alloy 304 Stainless Steel is gathered. A constitutive model, “Sinh”, is calibrated deterministically to determine the statistical variability of the material properties. Three sources of uncertainty are injected into the model: test condition (stress and temperature), initial damage, and material properties. Probabilistic simulations are carried out by (a) calibrating probability distribution functions (pdfs) for each source of uncertainty (b) randomly sampling the pdfs using Monte Carlo methods and (c) executing simulations to replicate the uncertain creep behavior. A sensitivity analysis is performed to evaluate the relative effect of each source of uncertainty. In full probabilistic simulations, the cumulative uncertainty of creep behavior is evaluated. The probabilistic model accurately predicts the creep deformation and rupture of the available experiments. The probabilistic model is validated for interpolation but lacks extrapolation ability. Several future works are proposed to further improve the model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Preoperative Versus Postoperative Radiation Therapy in Extremity Soft Tissue Sarcoma

Purpose: Surgery combined with radiation therapy (RT) is the cornerstone of multidisciplinary management of extremity soft tissue sarcoma (STS). Although RT can be given in either the preoperative or the postoperative setting with similar local recurrence and survival outcomes, the side effect profiles, costs, and long-term functional outcomes are different. The aim of this study was to use decision analysis to determine optimal sequencing of RT with surgery in patients with extremity STS. Methods and Materials: A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted using a state transition Markov model, with quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) as the primary outcome. A time horizon of 5 years, a cycle length of 3 months, and a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY was used. One-way deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed to determine the thresholds at which each strategy would be preferred. The robustness of the model was assessed by probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Results: Preoperative RT is a more cost-effective strategy ($26,633/3.00 QALYs) than postoperative RT ($28,028/2.86 QALYs) in our base case scenario. Preoperative RT is the superior strategy with either 3-dimensional conformal RT or intensity-modulated RT. One-way sensitivity analyses identified the relative risk of chronic adverse events as having the greatest influence on the preferred timing of RT. The likelihood of preoperative RT being the preferred strategy was 82% on probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Conclusions: Preoperative RT is more cost effective than postoperative RT in the management of resectable extremity STS, primarily because of the higher incidence of chronic adverse events with RT in the postoperative setting.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Paracousti-UQ: A Stochastic 3-D Acoustic Wave Propagation Algorithm.

Acoustic full waveform algorithms, such as Paracousti, provide deterministic solutions in complex, 3-D variable environments. In reality, environmental and source characteristics are often only known in a statistical sense. Thus, to fully characterize the expected sound levels within an environment, this uncertainty in environmental and source factors should be incorporated into the acoustic simulations. Performing Monte Carlo (MC) simulations is one method of assessing this uncertainty, but it can quickly become computationally intractable for realistic problems. An alternative method, using the technique of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE), allows computation of the statistical properties of output signals at a fraction of the computational cost of MC. Paracousti-UQ solves the SPDE system of 3-D acoustic wave propagation equations and provides estimates of the uncertainty of the output simulated wave field (e.g., amplitudes, waveforms) based on estimated probability distributions of the input medium and source parameters. This report describes the derivation of the stochastic partial differential equations, their implementation, and comparison of Paracousti-UQ results with MC simulations using simple models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Initiation of fission chains during delayed criticality accidents - 14366

We present the simulation of the waiting time probability distribution before a prescribed reaction rate in a delayed supercritical system. The Kolmogorov backward equations for the count number probability distribution taking into account the delayed neutron precursors are solved within the time dependent point model framework. The initiation of fission chains is also studied using analog Monte-Carlo simulations of the prompt neutrons and delayed neutron precursors population. The fission rate is calculated for comparison with deterministic simulations. Numerical results are presented using both deterministic and Monte-Carlo calculations to study the effect of the source strength and reactivity level. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Cost-optimized Automated Variance Reduction for Highly Angle-dependent Radiation Transport Analyses [Dissertation]

Monte Carlo variance-reduction techniques that directly bias particle direction have historically received limited attention despite being useful for many radiation transport applications such as those in which radiation travels through large regions with a low probability of colliding. One such technique is known as DXTRAN (short for deterministic transport) in the MCNP Monte Carlo radiation transport code. Until now, effectively applying DXTRAN in calculations is largely based on empirical observations of computational performance. Optimal DXTRAN parameters are identified through manual iteration. This work develops new mathematical descriptions of the DXTRAN variance-reduction process and demonstrates a new automated variance-reduction method that applies these mathematical formulations to determine the optimal application of DXTRAN in a given problem.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Reconstructing high-dimensional Hilbert-valued functions via compressed sensing

We present and analyze a novel sparse polynomial technique for approximating high-dimensional Hilbert-valued functions, with application to parameterized partial differential equations (PDEs) with deterministic and stochastic inputs. Our theoretical framework treats the function approximation problem as a joint sparse recovery problem, where the set of jointly sparse vectors is possibly infinite. To achieve the simultaneous reconstruction of Hilbert-valued functions in both parametric domain and Hilbert space, we propose a novel mixed-norm based `1 regularization method that exploits both energy and sparsity. Our approach requires extensions of concepts such as the restricted isometry and null space properties, allowing us to prove recovery guarantees for sparse Hilbert-valued function reconstruction. We complement the enclosed theory with an algorithm for Hilbert-valued recovery, based on standard forward-backward algorithm, meanwhile establishing its strong convergence in the considered infinite-dimensional setting. Finally, we demonstrate the minimal sample complexity requirements of our approach, relative to other popular methods, with numerical experiments approximating the solutions of high-dimensional parameterized elliptic PDEs.

Dexter, Nick↗

CNOT-based quantum swapping of polarization and modal encoded qubits in photonic Ti:LiNbO{sub 3} channel waveguides

A photonic circuit aimed at implementing a CNOT-based quantum swapping of the modal and polarization qubits, is designed and simulated, using Ti:LiNbO{sub 3} indiffused channel waveguides. A few on-chip optical elements such as the polarization-sensitive odd-mode analyzers and combiners, along with the electrically controllable directional couplers and polarization converters, are incorporated within the circuit and together serve to realize the operation of a deterministic single-photon quantum swap gate. Entanglement generation is realized on-chip by means of two concurrent spontaneous parametric down-conversion processes in the twice periodically poled Ti:LiNbO{sub 3} waveguide, placed at the input section of the circuit. The constituent elements of the circuit are characterized separately using numerical beam propagation method in RSoft program package. Two poling periods of Λ{sub 1}=11.762 μm and Λ{sub 2}=23.667 μm are calculated for the dual periodically perturbed structure in the circuit. The directional couplers operate at V{sub DC}=31.6 V. Maximum polarization conversion efficiency is achieved by applying a constant switching voltage of V{sub EO}=4.52 V.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Preparing angular momentum eigenstates using engineered quantum walks

Coupled angular-momentum eigenstates are widely used in atomic and nuclear physics calculations and are building blocks for spin networks and the Schur transform. To combine two angular momenta J 1 and J 2 , forming eigenstates of their total angular momentum J=J 1 +J 2 , we develop a quantum-walk scheme that does not require inputting O(j 3 ) nonzero Clebsch–Gordan (CG) coefficients classically. In fact, our scheme may be regarded as a unitary method for computing CG coefficients on quantum computers with a typical complexity of O⁡(j) and a worst-case complexity of O⁡(j 3 ). Equivalently, our scheme provides decompositions of the dense CG unitary into sparser unitary operations. Our scheme prepares angular-momentum eigenstates using a sequence of Hamiltonians to move an initial state deterministically to desired final states, which are usually highly entangled states in the computational basis. In contrast with usual quantum walks, whose Hamiltonians are prescribed, we engineer the Hamiltonians in su⁡(2)×su⁡(2), which are inspired by, but different from, Hamiltonians that govern magnetic resonances and dipole interactions. To achieve a deterministic preparation of both ket and bra states, we use projection and destructive interference to double pinch the quantum walks, such that each step is a unit-probability population transfer within a two-level system. We test our state preparation scheme on classical computers, reproducing tables of CG coefficients. Finally, we also implement small test problems on current quantum hardware.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Cross Section Generation Capability in Griffin

The Griffin code is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Idaho National Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory. The code includes a variety of steady-state solvers for fixed-source, k-eigenvalue, adjoint, and subcritical multiplication, as well as transient solvers for point-kinetics, improved quasi-static, and spatial dynamics. The code reads multigroup cross sections in the ISOXML format generated from external deterministic or Monte Carlo cross section generation codes. The implementation of the cross section generation capability in Griffin was initiated last year by plugging in the cross section application programming interface (CSAPI) and reviewing the methodologies for treating particulate fuels. The focus this year was on improving the CSAPI integration and implementing advanced self-shielding methods for applications to advanced reactor problems with TRISO fuels. First, the process for cross section library generation was updated to accurately and rigorously produce isotopic cross section data. Second, the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method performing slowing down calculations on the fly for the resonance treatment was implemented in CSAPI to improve the accuracy of effective multigroup cross sections in the resonance energy range. Third, the iterative local spatial self-shielding method was implemented under the calculation framework of the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method to accurately deal with the double heterogeneity effect of particulate fuel. The updated CSAPI with the advanced self-shielding methods, together with the cross section libraries generated based on the improved process, were tested for pin-cell, unit-cell, and fuel assembly problems with various resonance self-shielding conditions based on very high temperature reactor, high temperature test reactor, and Empire benchmark cores, indicating that the updated CSAPI in Griffin is able to produce multigroup cross sections accurately and efficiently. We also showed that the methodology worked well for pebble bed fuel from HTR-10, but the capability still needs to be fully integrated into CSAPI. In the future, further benchmark tests will be performed for various thermal reactor core problems, including particulate fuel-based pebble bed reactors.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Modeling the Ex-core Detector Response into a Production Option in MPACT

In the past few years, the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) has overseen a successful activity to extend the radiation transport capability from the reactor in-core geometry to the ex-core geometry by coupling the deterministic neutronics code MPACT, with the Monte Carlo code Shift. However, transient problems such as RIAs require an efficient prediction of the ex-core detector response to determine the timeframe for a reactor trip. Therefore, in addition to the high-fidelity MPACT-Shift coupled calculation, separate efforts have been made to explore simplified methods for ex-core detector response with MPACT standalone calculation. In a previous milestone L3_RTM.MCH.P17.06, several simplified methods for ex-core detector response were developed in MPACT. In particular, the double kernel method is based on the default MPACT core geometry, so extensive modeling or transport calculation with full reflector and ex-core details are not needed in this method. Since the 1-D diffusion and neutron streaming kernels are used for extended ex-core calculations, the extra computational efforts are very small. The work implemented in the current milestone provides a fully integrated option for MPACT to approximately calculate the ex-core detector response using the double kernel method. To overcome the difficulty of obtaining the consistent diffusion coefficients (these were obtained through separate CMFD calculation and edits), the 1-D diffusion solver is replaced by a 1-D Sn transport solver to compute the neutron flux at the vessel outer surface. The new VERA inputs for ex-core detector are processed in MPACT. The detector signals are linked to the SCRAM logic as an option to trip the core during transient calculation. Two sets of 3-D quarter core problems are run with MPACT standalone and VeraShift to verify the radial and axial effects on detector response by varying the moderator density and control rod position. For the cases with moderator density changes, the detector responses from MPACT are within 2 sigma error of VeraShift. For the cases at different control rod positions, the axial offsets computed from MPACT are within 2% error of VeraShift results.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Cross Section Generation Capability in Griffin

The Griffin code is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Idaho National Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory. The code includes a variety of steady-state solvers for fixed-source, k-eigenvalue, adjoint, and subcritical multiplication, as well as transient solvers for point-kinetics, improved quasi-static, and spatial dynamics. The code reads multigroup cross sections in the ISOXML format generated from external deterministic or Monte Carlo cross section generation codes. The implementation of the cross section generation capability in Griffin was initiated last year by plugging in the cross section application programming interface (CSAPI) and reviewing the methodologies for treating particulate fuels. The focus this year was on improving the CSAPI integration and implementing advanced self-shielding methods for applications to advanced reactor problems with TRISO fuels. First, the process for cross section library generation was updated to accurately and rigorously produce isotopic cross section data. Second, the on-the-fly slowing down method for the resonance treatment was implemented in CSAPI to improve the accuracy of effective multigroup cross sections in the resonance energy range. Among various on-the-fly slowing down methods, the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method was employed. Third, the iterative local spatial self-shielding method was implemented under the calculation framework of the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method to accurately deal with the double heterogeneity effect of particulate fuel. The updated CSAPI with the advanced self-shielding methods, together with the cross section libraries generated based on the improved process, were tested for the very high temperature reactor (VHTR), high temperature test reactor (HTTR), and Empire benchmark problems with various resonance self-shielding conditions, indicating that the updated CSAPI in Griffin is able to produce multigroup cross sections accurately and efficiently. We also show that the methodology works well for pebble bed fuel from HTR-10, but the capability still needs to be fully integrated into CSAPI. In the future, further benchmark tests will be performed for various thermal reactor core problems, including particulate fuel-based pebble bed reactors.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Optimal Temperature Grid for Accurate Doppler Kernel Reconstruction

For computational efficiency, both Monte Carlo and deterministic neutron transport codes often rely on pre-tabulated cross section sets and simple interpolation schemes to represent the Doppler broadening of the cross sections at a needed temperature. Accurate accounting of Doppler effects is of paramount importance for reactor analysis since it impacts the power distribution and the reactor response during transients. Temperature interpolation methods for Doppler broadening have traditionally been physically motivated engineering curve-fits, selected upon best-performance criteria on important nuclides.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Optimal Temperature Grid For Accurate Doppler Kernel Reconstruction

For computational efficiency, both Monte Carlo and deterministic neutron transport codes often rely on pre-tabulated cross section sets and simple interpolation schemes to represent the Doppler broadening of the cross sections at a needed temperature. Accurate accounting of Doppler effects is of paramount importance for reactor analysis since it impacts the power distribution and the reactor response during transients. Temperature interpolation methods for Doppler broadening have traditionally been physically motivated engineering curve-fits, selected upon best-performance criteria on important nuclides. Kernel reconstruction methods have recently been introduced to perform fast and efficient Doppler broadening interpolation as the result of an optimization problem,, . Out of all the possible kernels analyzed, the temperature-optimized free Doppler kernel reconstruction method was shown to significantly outperform traditional Doppler broadening interpolation methods. Detailed derivations will be part of an upcoming journal paper. In this article, key formulae and results for performing free Doppler kernel reconstruction are summarized, and a study of the optimal temperature grid (T{sub j}) selection is presented. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Study on criticality control of fuel debris by Japan atomic energy agency to support regulation authority of Japan - 14571

From the viewpoint of safety regulation, criticality control of the fuel debris in the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station would be a risk-informed control to mitigate consequences of criticality events, instead of a deterministic control to prevent such events. The Nuclear Regulation Authority of Japan has set up a research and development program to tackle this challenge. The Nuclear Safety Research Center of Japan Atomic Energy Agency, commissioned by the authority, has launched activities such as computations of criticality characteristics of the fuel debris, development of criticality risk assessment method, and preparation of criticality experiments to support them. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Applying Bayesian inference and deterministic anisotropy to retrieve the molecular structure ∣Ψ(R)∣2 distribution from gas-phase diffraction experiments

Abstract Currently, our general approach to retrieving molecular structures from ultrafast gas-phase diffraction heavily relies on complex ab initio electronic or vibrational excited state simulations to make conclusive interpretations. Without such simulations, inverting this measurement for the structural probability distribution is typically intractable. This creates a so-called inverse problem. Here we address this inverse problem by developing a broadly applicable method that approximates the molecular frame structure ∣Ψ( R , t )∣ 2 distribution independent of these complex simulations. We retrieve the vibronic ground state ∣Ψ( R )∣ 2 for both simulated stretched NO 2 and measured N 2 O. From measured N 2 O, we observe 40 mÅ coordinate-space resolution from 3.75 Å −1 reciprocal space range and poor signal-to-noise, a 50X improvement over traditional Fourier transform methods. In simulated NO 2 diffraction experiments, typical to high signal-to-noise levels predict 100–1000X resolution improvements, down to 0.1 mÅ. By directly measuring the width of ∣Ψ( R )∣ 2 , we open ultrafast gas-phase diffraction capabilities to measurements beyond current analysis approaches. This method has the potential to effectively turn gas-phase ultrafast diffraction into a discovery-oriented technique to probe systems that are prohibitively difficult to simulate.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Tailored topotactic chemistry unlocks heterostructures of magnetic intercalation compounds

The construction of thin film heterostructures has been a widely successful archetype for fabricating materials with emergent physical properties. This strategy is of particular importance for the design of multilayer magnetic architectures in which direct interfacial spin-spin interactions between magnetic phases in dissimilar layers lead to emergent and controllable magnetic behavior. However, crystallographic incommensurability and atomic-scale interfacial disorder can severely limit the types of materials amenable to this strategy, as well as the performance of these systems. Here, we demonstrate a method for synthesizing heterostructures comprising magnetic intercalation compounds of transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs), through directed topotactic reaction of the TMD with a metal oxide. The mechanism of the intercalation reaction enables thermally initiated intercalation of the TMD from lithographically patterned oxide films, giving access to a family of multi-component magnetic architectures through the combination of deterministic van der Waals assembly and directed intercalation chemistry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Improving the real-time probabilistic channel flood forecasting by incorporating the uncertainty of inflow using the particle filter

An accurate and reliable real-time flood forecast is crucial for mitigating flood disasters. The errors associated with the inflow boundary forcing data are considered as an important source of uncertainties in hydraulic model. In this paper, a real-time probabilistic channel flood forecasting model is developed with a novel function to incorporate the uncertainty of the forcing inflow. This new approach couples a hydraulic model with the particle filter (PF) data assimilation algorithm, a sequential Bayesian Monte Carlo method. The stage observations at hydrological stations are assimilated at each time step to update the model states in order to improve the next time step’s forecasting. This new approach is tested against a real flood event occurred in the upper Yangtze River. As compared with the open loop simulations, the evaluations of model performance with several deterministic and probabilistic metrics indicate that the accuracy of the ensemble mean prediction and the reliability of the uncertainty quantification are improved pronouncedly as a result of the PF assimilation. Further assessment of the prediction results at different lead times shows that the improvement of model performance deteriorates with the increase of the lead time due to the gradual diminishing of the updating effect for the initial conditions. Based on the analyses of the number of particles and the assimilation frequency, we find that the optimal number of particles can be determined by balancing the model performance and the computation cost, while a high assimilation frequency is preferred to incorporate the emerging observations to update the model states to match the real conditions.

Channel flood forecasting, probabilistic forecast,↗

Moment-based adaptive time integration for thermal radiation transport

Here, in this paper we develop a framework for moment-based adaptive time integration of deterministic multifrequency thermal radiation transpot (TRT). We generalize our recent semi-implicit-explicit (IMEX) integration framework for gray TRT to multifrequency TRT, and also introduce a semi-implicit variation that facilitates higher-order integration of TRT, where each stage is implicit in all components except opacities. To appeal to the broad literature on adaptivity with Runge–Kutta methods, we derive new embedded methods for four asymptotic preserving IMEX Runge–Kutta schemes we have found to be robust in our previous work on TRT and radiation hydrodynamics. We then use a moment-based high-order-low-order representation of the transport equations. Due to the high dimensionality, memory is always a concern in simulating TRT. We form error estimates and adaptivity in time purely based on temperature and radiation energy, for a trivial overhead in computational cost and memory usage compared with the base second order integrators. We then test the adaptivity in time on the tophat and Larsen problem, demonstrating the ability of the adaptive algorithm to naturally vary the timestep across 4–5 orders of magnitude, ranging from the dynamical timescales of the streaming regime to the thick diffusion limit.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗