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An Exploratory Exercise in Taguchi Analysis of Design Parameters: Application to a Shuttle-to-space Station Automated Approach Control System

The chief goals of the summer project have been twofold - first, for my host group and myself to learn as much of the working details of Taguchi analysis as possible in the time allotted, and, secondly, to apply the methodology to a design problem with the intention of establishing a preliminary set of near-optimal (in the sense of producing a desired response) design parameter values from among a large number of candidate factor combinations. The selected problem is concerned with determining design factor settings for an automated approach program which is to have the capability of guiding the Shuttle into the docking port of the Space Station under controlled conditions so as to meet and/or optimize certain target criteria. The candidate design parameters under study were glide path (i.e., approach) angle, path intercept and approach gains, and minimum impulse bit mode (a parameter which defines how Shuttle jets shall be fired). Several performance criteria were of concern: terminal relative velocity at the instant the two spacecraft are mated; docking offset; number of Shuttle jet firings in certain specified directions (of interest due to possible plume impingement on the Station's solar arrays), and total RCS (a measure of the energy expended in performing the approach/docking maneuver). In the material discussed here, we have focused on single performance criteria - total RCS. An analysis of the possibility of employing a multiobjective function composed of a weighted sum of the various individual criteria has been undertaken, but is, at this writing, incomplete. Results from the Taguchi statistical analysis indicate that only three of the original four posited factors are significant in affecting RCS response. A comparison of model simulation output (via Monte Carlo) with predictions based on estimated factor effects inferred through the Taguchi experiment array data suggested acceptable or close agreement between the two except at the predicted optimum point, where a difference outside a rule-of-thumb bound was observed. We have concluded that there is most likely an interaction effect not provided for in the original orthogonal array selected as the basis for our experimental design. However, we feel that the data indicates that this interaction is a mild one and that inclusion of its effect will not alter the location of the optimum.

Deal, Don E.↗

Interplanetary Lyman-alpha observations with UVS on Voyager - Data, first analysis, implications for the ionization lifetime

A fraction of the measurements of the interplanetary Lyman-alpha background collected by the Ultraviolet Spectrometer during the cruise of Voyager 1 and 2 between 1977 and 1983 is presented and compared with results from current models of the interaction between the sun and the neutral interstellar gas. An analysis of two sets of data indicates that the same H atom lifetime cannot fit all the data. The actual ionization rate is inferred from the intensity gradient in the maximum emissivity region observed from a sidewind Voyager position at 6 AU, yielding a lifetime of about 1 exp 6 s at 1 AU, whereas the upwind/downwind intensity ratio in the inner solar system favors 2 x 10 exp 6 s, as measured by Voyager, Prognoz, and Pioneer Venus instruments. It is proposed that there is an excess of Ly-alpha emission in the downwind region which forces the model toward excessively high values of the lifetime. Possible explanations are discussed, like incorrect modeling or an additional source of H atoms.

Lallement, R.↗

Optical properties of aggregate particles whose outer diameter is comparable to the wavelength

Results are described of numerical calculations of the optical properties (extinction efficiency, single-scattering albedo, phase function, and linear polarization) of aggregate particles whose outer diameter is comparable with the wavelength. Results are presented for two types of particle, one composed of monomers whose radius is small compared with the wavelength and a second containing monomers with larger radii. The shape of the forward-scattered lobe of the phase function is diagnostic of the mean projected area (but differs from that for an equal-area sphere), while the linear polarization, phase function at large scattering angles, and single-scattering albedo depend on the monomer diameter. The wavelength dependence of the extinction efficiency differs markedly from that for equal-area spheres. These results can be used to infer particle properties from remotely sensed data.

West, Robert A.↗

General circulation of the South Atlantic between 5 deg N and 35 deg S

The TOPEX/POSEIDON altimeter will provide the temporal mean seal level. So, secondly, we propose to compute the difference between these two surfaces (mean sea level minus general circulation dynamic topography). The result will be an estimate of the marine geoid, which is time invariant for the 5-year period under consideration. If this geoid is precise enough, it will permit a description of seasonal variability of the large-scale surface circulation. If there happens to be enough float data, it may be possible to infer the first vertical modes of this variability. Thus the main goal of our investigation is to determine the 3-D general circulation of the South Atlantic and the large-scale seasonal fluctuations. This last objective, however, may be restricted to the western part of the South Atlantic because float deployments have been scheduled only in the Brasil basin.

Ollitrault, Michel↗

Porosity and the ecology of icy satellites

The case for a significant role for porosity in the structure and evolution of icy bodies in the Solar System has been difficult to establish. We present a relevant new data set and a series of structure models including a mechanical compression, not thermal creep, model for porosity that accounts satisfactorily for observed densities, moments of inertia, geologic activity, and sizes of tectonic features on icy satellites. Several types of observational data sets have been used to infer significant porosity, but until recently, alternative explanations have been preferred. Our first area of concern is the occurrence of cryovolcanism as a function of satellite radius; simple radiogenic heating models of icy satellites suggest minimum radii for melting and surface cryovolcanism to be 400 to 500 km, yet inferred melt deposits are seen on satellites half that size. One possible explanation is a deep, low conductivity regolith which lowers conductivity and raises internal temperatures, but other possibilities include tidal heating or crustal compositions of low conductivity. Our second area of concern is the occurrence and magnitude of tectonic strain; tectonic structures have been seen on icy satellites as small as Mimas and Proteus. The structures are almost exclusively extensional, with only a few possible compression Al features, and inferred global strains are on the order of 1 percent expansion. Expansions of this order in small bodies like Mimas and prevention of late compressional tectonics due to formation of ice mantles in larger bodies like Rhea are attained only in structure models including low-conductivity, and thus possibly high porosity, crusts. Thirdly, inferred moments of inertia less than 0.4 in Mimas and Tethys can be explained by high-porosity crusts, but also by differentiation of a high density core. Finally, the relatively low densities of smaller satellites like Mimas and Miranda relative to larger neighbors can be explained by deep porosity, but also by bulk compositional differences. Recent work has strengthened the case for significant porosity. Halley's nucleus was found to have a density near 0.6 g/cu cm, Janus and Epimethus were proposed to have densities near 0.7 g/cu cm, densities almost certainly due to high porosity. The irregular-spherical shape transition of icy satellites was quantitatively explained by low conductivity regoliths. A creative structure/thermal history model for Mimas simultaneously accounts quantitatively for Mimas' low density and moment of inertia by invoking initial high-porosity and subsequent compaction in the deep interior by thermal creep. The main problem with this promising model is that approximately 7 percent predicts a reduction in Mimas' radius, implying significant compressional failure and prevention of extensional tectonics, in contradiction to the observed extensional features and inferred 1 percent expansion in radius.

Croft, Steven K.↗

Mars aqueous chemistry experiment

Mars Aqueous Chemistry Experiment (MACE) is designed to conduct a variety of measurements on regolith samples, encompassing mineral phase analyses, chemical interactions with H2O, and physical properties determinations. From these data, much can be learned or inferred regarding the past weathering environment, the contemporaneous soil micro-environments, and the general chemical and physical state of the Martian regolith. By analyzing both soil and duricrust samples, the nature of the latter may become more apparent. Sites may be characterized for comparative purposes and criteria could be set for selection of high priority materials on future sample return missions. The second year of the MACE project has shown significant progress in two major areas. MACE Instrument concept definition is a baseline design that has been generated for the complete MACE instrument, including definition of analysis modes, mass estimates and thermal model. The design includes multiple reagent reservoirs, 10 discrete analysis cells, sample manipulation capability, and thermal control. The MACE Measurement subsystems development progress is reported regarding measurement capabilities for aqueous ion sensing, evolved gas sensing, solution conductivity measurement, reagent addition (titration) capabilities, and optical sensing of suspended particles.

Clark, Benton C.↗

The early ultraviolet spectral evolution of Nova Cygni 1992

We report on the high resolution ultraviolet line profile evolution of Nova Cygni 1992 using the International Ultraviolet Explorer (IUE) satellite and the Goddard High Resolution Spectrograph (GHRS) on the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). Our observations cover the period from discovery in 1992 February through 1993 April. The initial expansion velocity, derived from P Cyg profiles on Mg II and other resonance lines, was about 4500 km/s. All resonance transitions displayed P Cyg profiles around the time of UV maximum. We first discuss the spectral development as the initially optically thick atomic absorption curtain became optically thin. We then present the interpretation of the nebular spectral stage. The high resolution line profiles show that the shell rapidly developed nearly symmetric knots, or filaments, of emission. The optically thin transitions show an emission weighted expansion velocity of about 1800 km/s, consistent with the velocity inferred from the radio and infrared data. The emission lines display a symmetric set of filaments that appeared as soon as the line profiles became optically thin. The GHRS observations demonstrate that the filaments were located in the inner, slower moving parts of the ejecta. These probably record an initial low wave number instability imposed on the ejecta at the time of outburst. We suggest that the likely cause is a Rayleigh-Taylor instability. The emission at later stages is dominated by the filaments and, since this phenomenon is seen in virtually all novae, nebular line formation codes will have to account for the density inhomgeneities in order to adequately determine abundances for nove ejecta.

Shore, Steven N.↗

The solar wind interaction with Venus: A comparison of Galileo and Pioneer Venus observations

The rudimentary measurements of the instruments on Pioneer Venus over a 14-year span have provided a strong framework for the interpretation of the observations with a more sophisticated instrument package during the Galileo Venus flyby in February 1990. In some cases the Galileo results provided independent confirmation of earlier inferences. In other cases completely new data were obtained. Nevertheless, because of limitations of the instruments and the trajectory and thermal restraints some outstanding questions were not addressed. Much has been learned but there is still much more to do.

Russell, C. T.↗

A Rover Deployed Ground Penetrating Radar on Mars

Radar is a fundamental tool capable of addressing a variety of geological problems on Mars via collection of data suitable for interpreting variations in surface morphology and reflectivity. Surface-deployed ground penetrating radar (GPR) can help further constrain the geology and structure of the near surface of Mars by directly measuring the range and character of in situ radar properties. In recognition of this potential, a miniaturized, easily modified GPR is being developed for possible deployment on a future Mars rover and will enable definition of radar stratigraphy at high spatial resolution to depths of 10-20 meters. Ongoing development of a Mars impulse GPR with industry partners at Geophysical Survey Systems, Inc., focuses on design and testing of a prototype transducer array (with both high frequency bistatic and low frequency monostatic components) in parallel with fabrication of a low power, mass, and volume control unit. The operational depth of 10-20 meters is geared towards definition of stratigraphy, subsurface blocks, and structure at the decimeter to meter scale that is critical for establishing the geologic setting of the rover. GPR data can also be used to infer the degree of any post-depositional pedogenic alteration or weathering that has subsequently taken place, thereby enabling assessment of pristine versus secondary morphology at the landing site. As is the case for most remote sensing instruments, a GPR may not detect water unambiguously. Nevertheless, any local, near-surface occurrence of liquid water will lead to large, easily detected dielectric contrasts. Moreover, definition of stratigraphy and setting will help in evaluating the history of aqueous activity and where any water might occur and be accessible. Most importantly perhaps, GPR can provide critical context for other rover and orbital instruments/data sets. Hence, GPR deployment along well positioned transects in the vicinity of a lander should enable 3-D mapping of stratigraphy and could serve to guide direct subsurface sampling. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Grant, J. A.↗

Exploring the Martian Highlands using a Rover-Deployed Ground Penetrating Radar

The Martian highlands record a long and often complex history of geologic activity that has shaped the planet over time. Results of geologic mapping and new data from the Mars Global Surveyor spacecraft reveal layered surfaces created by multiple processes that are often mantled by eolian deposits. Knowledge of the near-surface stratigraphy as it relates to evolution of surface morphology will provide critical context for interpreting rover/lander remote sensing data and for defining the geologic setting of a highland lander. Rover-deployed ground penetrating radar (GPR) can directly measure the range and character of in situ radar properties, thereby helping to constrain near-surface geology and structure. As is the case for most remote sensing instruments, a GPR may not detect water unambiguously on Mars. Nevertheless, any local, near-surface occurrence of liquid water will lead to large, easily detected dielectric contrasts. Moreover, definition of stratigraphy and setting will help in evaluating the history of aqueous activity and where any water might occur and be accessible. GPR data can also be used to infer the degree of any post-depositional pedogenic alteration or weathering, thereby enabling assessment of pristine versus secondary morphology. Most importantly perhaps, GPR can provide critical context for other rover and orbital instruments/data sets. Hence, rover-deployment of a GPR deployment should enable 3-D mapping of local stratigraphy and could guide subsurface sampling.

Grant, J. A.↗

Complex Refractive Index of Ammonium Nitrate in the 2-20 micron Spectral Range

Using high resolution Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy (FTIR) absorbance/transmittance spectral data for ammonium sulfate (AMS), calcium carbonate (CAC) and ammonium nitrate (AMN), comparisons were made with previously published complex refractive indices data for AMS and CAC to infer experimental parameters to determine the imaginary refractive index for AMN in the infrared wavelength range from 2 to 20 microns. Kramers-Kronig mathematical relations were applied to calculate the real refractive index for the three compositions. Excellent agreement for AMS and CAC with the published values was found, validating the complex refractive indices obtained for AMN. Backscatter calculations using a lognormal size distribution for AMS, AMN, and CAC aerosols were performed to show differences in their backscattered spectra.

Jarzembski, Maurice A.↗

The limits of palaeontological knowledge: finding the gold among the dross

Palaeontological interpretation rests on two interwoven sets of comparisons with the modern world. Palaeobiological interpretation relies on the placement of fossils within a phylogenetic and functional framework based primarily on the comparative biology of living organisms. Analogy to currently observable chemical, physical and taphonomic processes enables palaeoenvironmental inferences to be drawn from geological data. In older rocks, comparisons with the modern Earth can become tenuous, limiting palaeontological interpretation. The problem reaches its apogee in Archaean successions, yet pursuit of multiple lines of evidence establishes that complex microbial communities, fuelled by autotrophy and, likely, photoautotrophy, existed 3500 million years ago. Although Archaean palaeontology has to date focused on silicified coastal sediments, improved understanding of Earth's earliest biosphere may depend on the development of alternative environmental and taphonomic analogies. Spring precipitates and hydrothermal metal deposits are promising candidates. Terrestrial organisms may be of limited value in interpreting such fossils as may be found on Mars, although some points of comparison could prove general. Given limited opportunities for exploration, proper choice of environmental analogy is critical. Spring precipitates constitute excellent deposits for addressing questions of biology on another planet.

NASA Discipline Exobiology↗

Constraints of Melting, Sea-Level and the Paleoclimate from GRACE

To gauge the accuracy of the GRACE data, we have undertaken a study to compare deformations predicted by GRACE inferences of seasonal water loading to crustal position variations determined from GRACE data. Two manuscripts that resulted from this study are attached. We found a very high correlation between the GRACE and GPS determinations for South America [Duvis et al., 2004]. We also developed a statistical approach for choosing which Stokes coefficients to include. This approach proves to be somewhat more accurate than the traditional Gaussian filter [Duvis et al., 2005].

Davis, James L.↗

On the possibilty of clathrate hydrates on the Moon

One of the most important inferences of the Lunar Prospector mission data was the existence of subsurface water ice in the permanently shadowed craters near both lunar poles [Feldman et al., 1998]. We propose and substantiate an alternative explanation that hydrogen can exist in the shallow lunar subsurface in the form of clathrate hydrates: CH4 . 6H(2)o and/or CO2 . 6H(2)o.

Lunar subsurface calthrate hydrates↗

3D Reconstruction of a Rotating Erupting Prominence

A bright prominence associated with a coronal mass ejection (CME) was seen erupting from the Sun on 9 April 2008. This prominence was tracked by both the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) EUVI and COR1 telescopes, and was seen to rotate about the line of sight as it erupted; therefore, the event has been nicknamed the "Cartwheel CME." The threads of the prominence in the core of the CME quite clearly indicate the structure of a weakly to moderately twisted flux rope throughout the field of view, up to heliocentric heights of 4 solar radii. Although the STEREO separation was 48 deg, it was possible to match some sharp features in the later part of the eruption as seen in the 304 Angstrom line in EUVI and in the H alpha-sensitive bandpass of COR1 by both STEREO Ahead and Behind. These features could then be traced out in three dimensional space, and reprojected into a view in which the eruption is directed towards the observer. The reconstructed view shows that the alignment of the prominence to the vertical axis rotates as it rises up to a leading-edge height of approximately equals 2.5 solar radii, and then remains approximately constant. The alignment at 2.5 solar radii differs by about 115 deg. from the original filament orientation inferred from H alpha and EUV data, and the height profile of the rotation, obtained here for the first time, shows that two thirds of the total rotation is reached within approximately equals 0.5 solar radii above the photosphere. These features are well reproduced by numerical simulations of an unstable moderately twisted flux rope embedded in external flux with a relatively strong shear field component.

Thompson, W. T.↗

The Entry Descent and Landing Instrumentation (MEDLI2) Suite for the Mars 2020 Mission

This presentation will discuss the current state of each of the main measurements systems for MEDLI2. The first system is a network of pressure transducers, the Mars Entry Atmospheric Data System (MEADS). Improving upon MEDLI, separate MEDLI2 pressure transducers span the measurement range suitable for both hypersonic and supersonic flows. The MEADS will also measure pressure on the backshell of the vehicle to better characterize the contribution of backshell pressure on the overall forces and moments on the entry probe. The second system is the thermal instrumentation, or Mars Instrumented Sensor Plugs. This system includes a network of high-temperature thermocouples embedded in the thermal protection system across the heatshield and backshell. The MISP also includes two types of sensors for directly measuring incident heatflux on the backshell of the vehicle. In addition, a radiometer is included on the backshell to measure radiative heating. The presentation will also cover the current state of the MEDLI2 hardware, expected environments that will be measured, and data analysis techniques being developed to infer vehicle entry performance from both the MISP and MEADS sensor systems.

White, Todd↗

The Effect of Europa and Enceladus Analog Seawater Composition on Isotopic Measurements of Volatile CO2

Science goals for icy ocean worlds missions include characterizing the chemical compositionof the surface and interior using remote sensing and in situ techniques. The next class of flightmass spectrometers for these missions will obtain compositional identifications and isotope ratiomeasurements of volatiles evolved from the ice surface (exosphere) and plumes. These massspectra will be combined with data from other flight instruments to infer the composition of theinterior from volatiles. To ensure accurate interpretation of these measurements, it is critical toverify whether the fundamental assumption that volatiles observed in icy ocean world exospheresor plumes will be a direct reflection of the sub-ice ocean. The present study evaluates whether isotopologues from an initial CO2 gas fractionate by interacting with seawater (brine) of varyingsalt composition and concentration. δ13CCO2 are affected by the pH of the brine and subsequentspeciation of {CO2}, where {CO2} represents the combination of CO2, H2CO3, HCO3-, and CO32-.{CO2} for low pH brines hypothesized for Europa will preferentially speciate as CO2. Analyzedδ13CCO2 for low pH brines are within error of the original δ13CCO2, demonstrating that volatile CO2in a low pH system will be a direct reflection of the original CO2. However, Europa’s radiativeenvironment and rapid depressurization due to plume ejection may impose fractionation effects.In contrast, high pH systems relevant to Enceladus or a more alkaline Europa are expected toform all carbonate species, while favoring speciation as HCO3-. High pH brines in theseexperiments include both an original CO2 gas and an isotopically distinct HCO3- (from NaHCO3salt). These alkaline experiments demonstrate that δ13CCO2 values are highly variable, and dependon the concentration of the dominant carbonate species, (Na)HCO3-. Mass balance estimatesindicate that measured δ13CCO2 is a thermodynamically predictable mixture of both carbonsources, suggesting that measurements of δ13C at Enceladus would directly reflect of the sourcesof CO2 and carbonate buffering in the ocean. δ18O measurements for CO2 interacting with KCland MgCl2 follow established models for δ18O-ionic strength. CO2 interacting with MgSO4,Na2SO4, and NaCl demonstrate an offset from established δ18O-ionic strength models dependingon the concentration of initial CO2. These results suggest that current predictive models for δ18Oin brines need to be resolved for changing concentrations of CO2

Ocean Worlds↗

Implications of the Utopia Gravity Anomaly for the Resurfacing of the Northern Plains of Mars

Whereas the surface units of the northern plain of Mars generally exhibit ages ranging from late Hesperian to Amazonian, interpretation of precise topographic measurements indicate that the age of the underlying "basement" is early Noachian, or almost as old as the southern highlands. This suggests that widespread but relatively superficial resurfacing has occurred throughout the northern plains since the end of early heavy bombardment. In this abstract I examine some of the possible implications of the subsurface structure inferred for the Utopia basin from gravity data on the nature of this resurfacing. The large, shallow, circular depression in Utopia Planitia has been identified as a huge impact basin, based on both geological evidence and detailed analysis of MOLA topography. Its diameter (approx. 3000 km) is equivalent to that of the Hellas basin, as is its inferred age (early Noachian). However, whereas Hellas is extremely deep with rough terrain and large slopes, the Utopia basin is a smooth, shallow, almost imperceptible bowl. Conversely, Utopia displays one of the largest (non-Tharsis-related) positive geoid anomalies on Mars, in contrast to a much more subdued negative anomaly over Hellas.

Banerdt, W. B.↗