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DOE OSTI2023

Preliminary Design of a LAMP DTL (Update)

Present report is a continuation of the previously published report LA-UR-23-26600 from 19-Jun-2023 and incorporates the mentioned report as its part. All the additional information is contained in the part III of this report, the DTL Transverse Focusing Scheme. A preliminary Drift Tube Linac (DTL) layout was designed to create an algorithm for developing the conceptual design of the proposed LANSCE Accelerator Modernization Project (LAMP) final section: the proton linear accelerator from 3 MeV to 100 MeV. Preceding reports describe the proposed layouts of the LEBT, the RFQ, and the MEBT subsections of the linac. Initial estimates of the needed RF power for the DTL are also presented in the report. Present report describes the initial layout of the DTL and the first longitudinal beam dynamics (BD) results of the simulations in simplified models. The part III of this report includes the transverse focusing scheme and transverse BD in details.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Multidisciplinary concurrent optimization framework for multi-phase building design process

Modern day building design projects require multidisciplinary expertise from architects and engineers across various phases of the design (conceptual, preliminary, and detailed) and construction processes. The Architecture Engineering and Construction (AEC) community has recently shifted gears toward leveraging design optimization techniques to make well-informed decisions in the design of buildings. However, most of the building design optimization efforts are either multidisciplinary optimization confined to just a specific design phase (conceptual/preliminary/detailed) or single disciplinary optimization (structural/thermal/daylighting/energy) spanning across multiple phases. Complexity in changing the optimization setup as the design progresses through subsequent phases, interoperability issues between modeling and physics-based analysis tools used at later stages, and the lack of an appropriate level of design detail to get meaningful results from these sophisticated analysis tools are few challenges that limit multi-phase multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) in the AEC field. Here this paper proposes a computational building design platform leveraging concurrent engineering techniques such as interactive problem structuring, simulation-based optimization using meta models for energy and daylighting (machine learning based) and tradespace visualization. The proposed multi-phase concurrent MDO framework is demonstrated by using it to design and optimize a sample office building for energy and daylighting objectives across multiple phases. Furthermore, limitations of the proposed framework and future avenues of research are listed.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development and Demonstration of a Prototype Molten Salt Sampling System

Molten salt reactors (MSRs) offer potential operability and safety advantages when compared to commercial light water reactors (LWRs). However, operating experience with MSRs is sparse in comparison to what exists for LWRs. Further, the chemical and isotopic composition of the fuel and/or coolant salt is dynamic and difficult to characterize continuously, posing potential safety, operability, and safeguards unknowns that need to be addressed. A molten salt sampling system (MSSS) is regarded as a necessary subsystem within first generation MSRs used to obtain samples of salt for chemical and isotopic analysis in support of the need to monitor and control salt composition during operation. The MSSS is being developed using the Safety-in-Design (SiD) methodology, which incorporates incremental integration of safety analysis into the design process. The MSSS conceptual design emerging from the application of the early stages of the SiD methodology consists of a sample collection system and its housing, a freeze port, and inert gas control and delivery systems. This article describes the prototypes developed to test the functions of these MSSS subsystems, presents the results of testing in both dry and molten salt environments (including reliability data collection performed in accordance with the principles of SiD and the development of a semiquantitative fault tree model), and summarizes the opportunities for future design and testing enhancements based on the results of prototype testing.

molten salt reactor↗

DOE OSTI2023

Envisioning urban environments resilient to vector-borne diseases: a protocol to study dengue in Vietnam

Transmitted primarily by Aedes aegypti (Ae. aegypti) and Aedes albopictus (Ae. albopictus), arboviral diseases pose a major global public health threat. Dengue, chikungunya, and zika are increasingly prevalent in Southeast Asia. Among other arboviruses, dengue and zika are becoming more common in Central and South America. Given human encroachment into previously uninhabited, often deforested areas, to provide new housing in regions of population expansion, conceptualizing built urban environments in a novel way is urgently needed to safeguard against the growing climate change-driven threat of vector-borne diseases. By understanding the spread from a One Health perspective, enhanced control and prevention can be achieved. This is particularly important considering that climate change is likely to significantly impact the persistence of ponded water where mosquitoes breed due to increasing temperature and shifting rainfall patterns with regard to magnitude, duration, frequency, and season. Models can incorporate aquatic mosquito stages and adult spatial dynamics when habitats are heterogeneously available, thereby including dispersal and susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) epidemiology. Coupled with human population distribution (density, locations), atmospheric conditions (air temperature, precipitation), and hydrological conditions (soil moisture distribution, ponding persistence in topographic depressions), modeling has improved predictive ability for infection rates. However, it has not informed interventional approaches from an urban environment perspective which considers the role of ponds/lakes that support green spaces, the density of population that enables rapid spread of disease, and varying micro-habitats for various mosquito stages under climate change. Here, for an example of dengue in Vietnam, a preventive and predictive approach to design resilient urban environments is proposed, which uses data from rapidly expanding metropolitan communities to learn continually. This protocol deploys computational approaches including simulation and machine learning/artificial intelligence, underpinned by surveillance and medical data for validation and adaptive learning. Its application may best inform urban planning in low-middle income countries in tropical zones where arboviral pathogens are prevalent.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Beyond Price Taker: Conceptual Design and Optimization of Integrated Energy Systems Using Machine Learning Market Surrogates

Future electricity generation systems must be optimized to provide flexibility that counteracts the variability of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources and ensures the reliability and safety of critical infrastructure, including the electric grid. The current state-of-the-art is to co-optimize the design and operation of integrated energy systems (IES) treating historical or predicted time-series electricity prices as fixed parameters. Recent literature has shown the limitations of this price taker assumption, which neglects how IES optimization decisions influence market outcomes. As such, this paper proposes a new optimization formulation that uses machine learning surrogate models, trained from a library of annual market operation simulations, to embed IES market interactions into the co-optimization problem directly. Using a thermal generator example built in the open-source IDAES computational environment, we show that the price taker approach routinely over-predicts annual revenues by 8% or more compared to a validation simulation, where the proposed approach has a typical relative error of 1% or less.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Metalloborophenes: Structural Diversity and Emerging Properties of Metal–Boron Two‐Dimensional Frameworks

Metalloborophenes, an emerging subclass of 2D materials, have attracted growing attention owing to their exceptional structural diversity and highly tunable electronic and magnetic properties. Constructed from vacancy‐rich borophene frameworks stabilized by electron donation from incorporated metal atoms, metalloborophenes merge the chemical versatility of boron with the functional richness of metal dopants. The first experimental realization of Cu–borophene nanoribbons in 2024 marked a pivotal advance, confirming long‐standing theoretical predictions and revitalizing interest in this new frontier of boron‐based 2D chemistry. Despite this progress, most studies to date remain conceptual and theoretical, constrained by challenges in scalable synthesis, dopant precision, and substrate control. Computational investigations have revealed a broad landscape of stable metalloborophene structures, exhibiting metallic, semiconducting, and magnetic behavior across diverse dopant families, including alkali, alkaline‐earth, transition, and lanthanide elements. These tunable characteristics open promising avenues for applications in spintronics, catalysis, and hydrogen storage. This review provides a comprehensive overview of metalloborophenes, emphasizing the interplay between structure, stability, and functionality, and outlining future directions toward bridging predictive modeling with experimental realization of this rapidly evolving class of 2D materials.

2D materials↗

DOE OSTI2024

Multipoint-BAX: a new approach for efficiently tuning particle accelerator emittance via virtual objectives

Abstract Although beam emittance is critical for the performance of high-brightness accelerators, optimization is often time limited as emittance calculations, commonly done via quadrupole scans, are typically slow. Such calculations are a type of multipoint query , i.e. each query requires multiple secondary measurements. Traditional black-box optimizers such as Bayesian optimization are slow and inefficient when dealing with such objectives as they must acquire the full series of measurements, but return only the emittance, with each query. We propose a new information-theoretic algorithm, Multipoint-BAX , for black-box optimization on multipoint queries, which queries and models individual beam-size measurements using techniques from Bayesian Algorithm Execution (BAX). Our method avoids the slow multipoint query on the accelerator by acquiring points through a virtual objective , i.e. calculating the emittance objective from a fast learned model rather than directly from the accelerator. We use Multipoint-BAX to minimize emittance at the Linac Coherent Light Source (LCLS) and the Facility for Advanced Accelerator Experimental Tests II (FACET-II). In simulation, our method is 20× faster and more robust to noise compared to existing methods. In live tests, it matched the hand-tuned emittance at FACET-II and achieved a 24% lower emittance than hand-tuning at LCLS. Our method represents a conceptual shift for optimizing multipoint queries, and we anticipate that it can be readily adapted to similar problems in particle accelerators and other scientific instruments.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data Readiness for Scientific AI at Scale

This paper examines how Data Readiness for AI (DRAI) principles apply to leadership-scale scientific datasets used to train foundation models. We analyze archetypal workflows across four representative domains—climate, nuclear fusion, bio/health, and materials—to identify common preprocessing patterns and domain-specific constraints. We introduce a two-dimensional readiness framework that combines canonical preprocessing patterns with a five-level operational readiness scale, both tailored to high-performance computing (HPC) environments. This framework helps outline key challenges in transforming large-scale scientific data into formats suitable for scalable AI training. Together, these dimensions form a conceptual maturity matrix that characterizes scientific data readiness and guides infrastructure development toward standardized, cross-domain support for scalable and reproducible AI for science.

Brewer, Wes [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000236393956)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Improved thermal resummation for multi-field potentials

The resummation of large thermal corrections to the effective potential is mandatory for the accurate prediction of phase transitions. We discuss the accuracy of different prescriptions to perform this resummation at the one- and two-loop level and point out conceptual issues that appear when using a high-temperature expansion at the two-loop level. Moreover, we show how a particular prescription called partial dressing, which does not rely on a high-temperature expansion, consistently avoids these issues. We introduce a novel technique to apply this resummation method to the case of multiple mixing fields. Our approach significantly extends the range of applicability of the partial dressing prescription, making it suitable for phenomenological studies of beyond the Standard Model extensions of the Higgs sector.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2024

MSD CoP Webinar: Advancing MSD Research with Artificial Intelligence

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) are quickly changing the landscape of tools available to conceptualize, execute, and disseminate research. We posit that research efforts in Multi-Sector Dynamics can benefit from these advances; the new AI in MSD Working Group thus aims to identify and quantify opportunities and risks associated with their implementation. In this webinar, we will first introduce the new AI Working Group, which was initially conceived during the first MSD workshop in October 2023. Next, our panelists will explore how generative AI, explainable AI, and machine learning can help us improve modeling efforts in multiple domains, including climate science, hydrology, and energy systems. Finally, we will discuss the aims of the working group, gather inputs from the community, and suggest directions for the next steps. Presenters : Andrea Castelletti (Politecnico di Milano; Invited Speaker), Chaopeng Shen (Pennsylvania State University; Invited Speaker), Nicole Jackson (Sandia National Laboratory; Invited Speaker), Stefano Galelli (Cornell University; Co-Chair), David Gold (Utrecht University; Co-Chair), Jillian Sturtevant (Baylor University; Communications Officer) Moderator: Pat M. Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team) This webinar was held on: June 14th, 2024 from 12-1:30 PM EST

Artificial Intelligence↗

DOE OSTI2020

3D turbulent reconnection: Theory, tests, and astrophysical implications

Magnetic reconnection, topological changes in magnetic fields, is a fundamental process in magnetized plasmas. It is associated with energy release in regions of magnetic field annihilation, but this is only one facet of this process. Astrophysical fluid flows normally have very large Reynolds numbers and are expected to be turbulent, in agreement with observations. In strong turbulence, magnetic field lines constantly reconnect everywhere and on all scales, thus making magnetic reconnection an intrinsic part of the turbulent cascade. We note in particular that this is inconsistent with the usual practice of magnetic field lines as persistent dynamical elements. A number of theoretical, numerical, and observational studies starting with the paper done by Lazarian and Vishniac [Astrophys. J. 517, 700–718 (1999)] proposed that 3D turbulence makes magnetic reconnection fast and that magnetic reconnection and turbulence are intrinsically connected. In particular, we discuss the dramatic violation of the textbook concept of magnetic flux-freezing in the presence of turbulence. We demonstrate that in the presence of turbulence, the plasma effects are subdominant to turbulence as far as the magnetic reconnection is concerned. The latter fact justifies a magnetohydrodynamiclike treatment of magnetic reconnection on all scales much larger than the relevant plasma scales. We discuss the numerical and observational evidence supporting the turbulent reconnection model. In particular, we demonstrate that the tearing reconnection is suppressed in 3D, and unlike the 2D settings, 3D reconnection induces turbulence that makes magnetic reconnection independent of resistivity. We show that turbulent reconnection dramatically affects key astrophysical processes, e.g., star formation, turbulent dynamo, and acceleration of cosmic rays. We provide criticism of the concept of “reconnection-mediated turbulence” and explain why turbulent reconnection is very different from enhanced turbulent resistivity and hyper-resistivity and why the latter have fatal conceptual flaws.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Advanced Solar and Load Forecasting Incorporating HD Sky Imaging (Phase III)

Due to rapidly changing sky conditions, the available solar irradiance for energy generation is subject to wide swings in amplitude. As the market penetration of solar energy continues to increase rapidly, these variations in solar power generation are beginning to have an impact on grid stability and increased wear on power switches. Solar power forecasting plays a critical role in operations for Independent System Operators (ISOs) and utilities. Accurate forecasts help maintain grid reliability, optimize generation from renewables, and reduce operating costs. Of particular interest to the ISOs and utilities are sudden changes in solar irradiance, termed “ramp events,” due to the movement of clouds. One significant impact of ramp events on the grid is additional ancillary service requirements necessary to manage such variability. Ramp events can also cause voltage fluctuations in the distribution grids and trigger actions of automated line equipment (e.g., tap changers), leading to additional maintenance costs. In high penetration solar regions, forecasts must be made for both transmission-connected and distribution-connected resources – either behind the meter or in front of it. Particularly for distributed solar energy resources, forecasting can be a challenge due to the lack of visibility of the energy resource. Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) has been working towards nowcasting Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) using low-cost technologies for several years now. The Solar NowCasting technology being developed by BNL is a 0 – 30 min solar “nowcasting” technology applicable to a scale covering both large generating facilities and residential, distributed solar installations that relies on a network of ground-based high-definition (HD) cameras and surface pyranometers. GHI forecasts are being produced for both regions using 8 ground-based HD cameras and at least 2 surface pyranometers. When stitched together, the camera images can be used to forecast the impact of clouds on available solar irradiance over a domain of ~50 km 2 . Phase I of the project was the engineering scale up conceptual design stage. Phase II was the initial field test and demonstration, in which the technology was scaled up by a factor of 20 times and successfully demonstrated in eastern Long Island. In Phase III, an additional forecasting network was added in upstate NY and both networks are currently being operated until at least a full year of data is gathered by the Albany network to allow for the collection of sufficient data to evaluate performance against the persistence and smart persistence models using the Solar Arbiter.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Knowledge Graph Approach to Analyze Systems and Assets Health

Nuclear power plants collect large amounts of equipment reliability data elements that contain information on the statuses of component, assets, and systems. All these data elements precisely record asset and system performance and health throughout the lifecycle of those assets and systems. However, several challenges have proved to be roadblocks to this process. While some of these challenges are technical in nature (i.e., data are often distributed over several physical servers or databases), others are conceptual in nature (i.e., data elements come in different formats, numeric or textual), and measured values have different scales (e.g., vibration spectra and oil temperature). This paper directly focuses on the integration of numeric and textual data elements in order to assist plant system engineers in analyzing equipment reliability data. This task begins with preprocessing the data by extracting knowledge from textual data via natural language processing methods and quantifying system, asset, and component health based on numeric data. We then employed model-based system engineering (MBSE) models of systems and assets to identify their architecture and functional (i.e., cause and effect) relations. Data elements were then associated with a single MBSE graph element, based on their nature. This bonding of MBSE models and data elements constitutes a first-of-its-kind knowledge graph of a nuclear power plants system, with data elements being organized in a structured manner that enables system engineers to identify cause-effect trends in data elements and carry out appropriate actions in response.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Using Convolutional Neural Network to Emulate Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity

Abstract It has been widely recognized that tropical cyclone (TC) genesis requires favorable large‐scale environmental conditions. Based on these linkages, numerous efforts have been made to establish an empirical relationship between seasonal TC activities and large‐scale environmental favorability in a quantitative way, which lead to conceptual functions such as the TC genesis index. However, due to the limited amount of reliable TC observations and complexity of the climate system, a simple analytic function may not be an accurate portrait of the empirical relationship between TCs and their ambiences. In this research, we use convolution neural networks (CNNs) to disentangle this complex relationship. To circumvent the limited amount of seasonal TC observation records, we implement transfer‐learning technique to train ensemble of CNNs first on suites of high‐resolution climate model simulations with realistic seasonal TC activities and large‐scale environmental conditions, and then on a state‐of‐the‐art reanalysis from 1950 to 2019. The trained CNNs can well reproduce the historical TC records and yields significant seasonal prediction skills when the large‐scale environmental inputs are provided by operational climate forecasts. Furthermore, by inputting the ensemble CNNs with 20th century reanalysis products and Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) simulations, we investigated TC variability and its changes in the past and future climates. Specifically, our ensemble CNNs project a decreasing trend of global mean TC activity in the future warming scenario, which is consistent with our future projections using high‐resolution climate model.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

DOE OSTI2026

Novel Modular Heat Engines with sCO 2 Bottoming Cycle Utilizing Advanced Oil-Free Turbomachinery

This report presents the thermal, mechanical, and electric machine design of a 27krpm rotating test rig aimed at reducing technical risks with hermetic oil-free super-critical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) turbomachinery. The test rig rotor system is based on a conceptual turbomachine design discussed that evaluates a sCO 2 waste heat recovery (WHR) unit for land-based gas turbines at natural gas (NG) compressor stations. The key novelty of the hermetic sCO 2 turbomachine concept is the utilization of additively manufactured CO 2 gas bearings and a CO 2 -immersed direct-drive permanent magnet (PM) electric machine. The previous effort on conceptual design identified 3 main technical risks, which included thrust bearing load capacity, rotordynamics, and thermal performance of the system. Therefore, key requirements of the test vehicle include the ability to test the rotor system in a 400psi (27.6 bar) hermetic CO 2 operating environment, apply up to 1,500 lbs (6.7 kN) of rotor thrust loads, capability to assess rotordynamics with radial gas bearings, inclusion of instrumentation to assess thrust bearing load capability, and flexibility for varying secondary cooling flows to confirm thermal model predictions. Design topics such as rotordynamics, bearing design, and electric machine design are addressed, while highlighting critical elements. In addition, additive build trials for Inconel 718 radial and thrust bearings were performed to prove the manufacturability of the bearing design concepts. The results of the design efforts yield a test rig concept with ability to operate at 27,000 rpm, apply thrust loads to 1,500 lbs, deliver CO 2 up to 800psi, and modulate cooling flows.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Low-alpha Operation of the Iota Storage Ring

Operation with ultra-low momentum-compaction factor (alpha) is a desirable capability for many storage rings and synchrotron radiation sources. For example, low-alpha lattices are commonly used to produce picosecond bunches for the generation of coherent THz radiation and are the basis of a number of conceptual designs for EUV generation via steady-state microbunching (SSMB). Achieving ultra-low alpha requires not only a high-level of stability in the linear optics but also flexible control of higher-order compaction terms. Operation with lower momentum-compaction lattices has recently been investigated at the IOTA storage ring at Fermilab. A procedure for lowering the ring compaction using the linear optics along with compensations from the higher-order magnets was developed with the aid of a model, and an experimental technique for measuring the momentum compaction was developed. The lowest momentum compaction achieved during the available run-time was $3.4\times10^{-4}$, around 15 times lower than previously operated. These feasibility studies ensure an improved experimental understanding of the IOTA optics and potentially will enable new research programs at the facility.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Discrete Event Simulation Approach to Nuclear Arms Enterprise Modeling and Analysis

We overview a discrete event simulation of an arms control enterprise developed to familiarize individuals with the challenges of verification and monitoring at the enterprise level. We will review the design of the simulation applied to a notional country’s nuclear arms enterprise. This simulation models how these nuclear weapons move over their lifetime from deployment, storage, maintenance, and dismantlement. With this output information, we then characterize the “ground truth” of the enterprise. Next, based on these data, we built a sophisticated analysis engine designed to provide treaty monitoring and verification information to support partner country inspectors and their evaluation. This tool was designed to be used as a game, enabling teams to compete on developing the best inspection plan to determine if the host country is complying with the conceptual treaty developed for this effort.

Pulliam, Rachel M.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Initiating a Roadmap for Solar Fuels R&D: Imagining Beyond Thermochemical Cycles

Sandia National Laboratories in collaboration with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory outline a framework for developing a solar fuels roadmap based on novel concepts for hybridizing gas-splitting thermochemical cycle s with high-temperature electro chemical steps. We call this concept SoHyTEC, a Solar Hybrid Thermochemical-Electrochemical Cycle. The strategy focuses on transforming purely thermochemical cycles that split water (H 2 O) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) to produce hydrogen (H 2 ) and carbon monoxide (CO) , respectively, the fundamental chemical building blocks for diverse fuels and chemicals , by substituting thermochemical reactions with high-temperature electrochemical steps. By invoking high-temperature electrochemistry, the energy required to complete the gas-splitting cycle is divided into a thermal component (process temperature) and an electrical component (applied voltage). These components, sourced from solar energy, are independently variable knobs to maximize overall process efficiency. Furthermore, a small applied voltage can reduce cycle process temperature by hundreds of degrees , opening the door to cost-effective solar concentrators and practical receiver/reactor de signs. Using the SoHyTEC concept as a backdrop, we outline a framework that advocates developing methods for automating information gathering, critically evaluating thermochemical cycles for adapting into SoHyTEC, establishing requirements based on thermodynamic analysis, and developing a model-based approach to benchmarking a SoHyTEC system against a baseline concentrating solar thermal integrated electrolysis plant. We feel these framework elements are a necessary precursor to creating a robust and adaptive technology development roadmap for producing solar fuels using SoHyTEC. In one example, we introduce high-temperature electrochemistry as a method to manipulate a fully stoichiometric two-step metal oxide cycle that circumvents costly separation processes and ultra-high cycle temperatures. We also identify and group water-splitting chemistries that are conceptually amenable to hybridization.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗