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Postclosure Criticality Analysis Results

The United States Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy’s Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign seeks to better understand the technical basis, risks, and uncertainty associated with the safe and secure disposition of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste. Commercial nuclear power generation in the United States has resulted in thousands of metric tons of SNF, the disposal of which is the responsibility of DOE (Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended). Any repository licensed to dispose of SNF must meet requirements regarding the long-term performance of that repository. The evaluation of long-term performance of the repository may need to consider the SNF achieving a critical configuration during the postclosure period. Of particular interest is the potential for this situation to occur in dual-purpose canisters (DPCs), which are currently licensed and being used to store and transport SNF but were not designed for permanent geologic disposal. DOE has been considering disposing of SNF in DPCs to avoid the costs and worker dose associated with repackaging the SNF currently stored in DPCs into repository-specific canisters. This report examines the consequences of postclosure criticality to provide technical support to DOE in developing a disposal plan.

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Germany's First Steps in the Restarted Site Selection Process - 18015

After the Fukushima event in 2011 Germany has decided to phase out nuclear power. Subsequently, it seemed to be politically attractive also to achieve a broad consensus with respect to final disposal of the high-active heat-generating waste after a long societal conflict lasting for decades. Germany has then decided to start a new site selection program for the determination of a site for high-active and heat-generating waste. In 2013, an overall parliamentary consensus could be achieved to agree on a new Repository Site Selection Act. This law has then been evaluated by a commission and the Repository Site Selection Act became amended. Besides, also organization and responsibilities became adapted as well as the financing system. A fund has been installed, which was financed by the utilities, to secure the availability of money to finance the whole process. In the meanwhile, the organizations for licensing of interim storage and final disposal facilities (BfE), for the operation of interim storage facilities for spent fuel, high-active waste and low and intermediate level waste (BGZ) and for site investigation, construction, operation and decommissioning of repositories for spent fuel and high-active waste as well as for low and intermediate level waste (BGE) had been founded and the site investigation process has just started. (authors)

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Challenges in Interim and Final Storage of HLW in Germany - 19060

After the Fukushima event in 2011 Germany has decided to phase out nuclear power. Subsequently, it seemed to be politically attractive also to achieve a broad consensus with respect to final disposal of the high-active heat-generating waste after a long societal conflict lasting for decades. Germany has then decided to start a new site selection program for the determination of a site for high-active and heat-generating waste. In 2013, an overall parliamentary consensus could be achieved to agree on a new Repository Site Selection Act. This law has then been evaluated by a commission and the Repository Site Selection Act became amended. Besides, also organization and responsibilities became adapted as well as the financing system. A fund has been installed, which was financed by the utilities, to secure the availability of money to finance the whole process. In the meanwhile, the organizations for licensing of interim storage and final disposal facilities (BfE), for the operation of interim storage facilities for spent fuel, high-active waste and low and intermediate level waste (BGZ) and for site investigation, construction, operation and decommissioning of repositories for spent fuel and high-active waste as well as for low and intermediate level waste (BGE) had been founded and the site investigation process has just started. (authors)

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Evaluation of Bentonite Engineered Barrier Performance under Repository Conditions

Nuclear energy has been an important source of power throughout the world for several decades, but with that power comes substantial amounts of waste. The USA alone is projected to produce 77,100 MTHM (34,700 MCi) of commercial spent fuel by the year 2020. There has been a growing sense of urgency to determine a method of disposal for all types of nuclear waste. Underground storage has been proposed as the safest means of long term storage and disposal by both the Academy of Sciences and the Blue Ribbon Commission with a focus on deep geologic disposal. Because deep geological repositories (DGR) pose as the safest method of disposal due to the isolation of the waste and the low-permeability of the surrounding material, it is crucial to understand the science behind these repositories. Many scientists have concern with DGRs because of all the unanswered scientific questions. With a global inventory of 300,000 MTHM, it is imperative to understand how DGRs will retain the nuclear waste over a time span of up to a projected 1 million years. Because of the amount of nuclear waste increases each year, there is an inherent need to study the viability of a repository in order to begin implementation of that repository. Based on the half-lives of each radionuclide in nuclear waste, after approximately 100 years of storage, the heat production from the decay of radionuclides becomes dominated by the long-lived actinides. Because the decay of the nuclear waste results in an elevated temperature within the canister, That mixed with water intrusion can corrode the canister and allow radionuclides to leach into the surrounding environment. In an effort to retain these radionuclides within the repositories, most all deep geologic repository designs incorporate an engineered multi-barrier approach. Once the radionuclides begin to leach out of the canisters, the next barrier to retain them is a layer of compacted clay such as a smectite. A mechanistic understanding of mobility at elevated temperatures is crucial in order to evaluate the performance of the engineered clay barrier system within a deep geological repository. Because the clay barrier is compacted so tightly, the only method of mobility for radionuclides is through molecular diffusion. Assessing the factors that affect the rates at which various radionuclides will diffuse through these clays is important in the performance assessment of the repository system as a whole. Neptunium-237 has been identified as a major actinide of concern for long term storage, dominating the radioactivity emitted from the waste between 10,000 to 100,000 years of storage. Under oxidizing conditions, this radionuclide exists mainly as Np(V). In this oxidation state, the neptunium exists chemically as the NpO{sub 2}{sup +} ion which exhibits enhanced mobility characteristics such as high solubility and low affinity for sorption to surfaces. Because of this, {sup 237}Np(V) has been identified as the most mobile radionuclide in nuclear waste and thus a major radionuclide of concern, motivating research into the mobility of {sup 237}Np(V) through the compacted clay barrier. Bentonite is one of the most common backfill materials used in repositories. This clayey rock's main constituent is the mineral Na-montmorillonite [(Ca{sub 0.06}Na{sub 0.14}K{sub 0.05})(Al{sub 1.57}Fe{sup 3+} {sub 0.17}Mg{sub 0.25})(Al{sub 0.04}Si{sub 3.96}O{sub 10} - (OH){sub 2})] which gives this material the advantageous properties required for a repository such as a high swelling capacity. Because of this high affinity for absorbing water, montmorillonite is the ideal candidate for backfill material in a deep geological repository. Adsorption of radionuclides onto the surface of the compacted clay is a major mechanism for retardation of mobility. Because diffusion and adsorption are integrated into this process, it is important to characterize Np adsorption onto the surface of compacted montmorillonite. Previous studies have quantified the adsorption of Np onto montmorillonite at variable ionic strengths and temperatures. Furthermore, several studies have focused on the diffusion of Np through compacted clay, but no other studies have determined diffusion coefficients at elevated temperatures of up to 80 deg. C. (authors)

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The DECOVALEX international collaboration on modeling of coupled subsurface processes and its contribution to confidence building in radioactive waste disposal

Abstract The long-lived radiotoxicity of the high-level radioactive waste generated by nuclear power plants requires safe isolation from the biosphere for many hundreds of thousands of years. An international consensus has emerged that such isolation can best be provided by disposal in mined geologic repositories, a strategy that today is pursued by most countries dealing with radioactive waste. However, the need to predict the performance of such repositories over very long time periods generates large uncertainties that have to be accounted for in safety assessments. The findings from such safety assessments need to be conveyed to all stakeholders in a clear way, such that public confidence in geologic disposal solutions can be achieved. It is suggested here that close international collaboration on the technical aspects of geologic waste disposal has helped, and will continue to help, building trust and increasing confidence. This paper discusses a particular international collaboration initiative referred to as DECOVALEX, which brings together multiple teams and disciplines to collectively tackle complex experimental and modeling challenges related to geologic disposal. By describing how DECOVALEX works and by providing joint research examples, a case is made that such international collaboration contributes to knowledge transfer and confidence building in radioactive waste disposal science.

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Analysis of Transient Postclosure Criticality

The United States Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy’s Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign seeks to better understand the technical basis, risks, and uncertainty associated with the safe and secure disposition of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste. Commercial nuclear power generation in the United States has resulted in thousands of metric tons of SNF, the disposal of which is the responsibility of the DOE (Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended). Any repository licensed to dispose of SNF must meet requirements regarding the long-term performance of that repository. For an evaluation of the long-term performance of the repository, one of the events that may need to be considered is the SNF achieving a critical configuration during the postclosure period. Of particular interest is the potential behavior of SNF in dual-purpose canisters (DPCs), which are currently licensed and being used to store and transport SNF but were not designed for permanent geologic disposal.

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Transient Postclosure Criticality Model Development

A key objective of the United States Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy’s Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign is to better understand the technical basis, risks, and uncertainty associated with the safe and secure disposition of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste. Commercial nuclear power generation in the United States has resulted in thousands of metric tons of SNF, the disposal of which is the responsibility of the DOE (Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended). Any repository licensed to dispose of SNF must meet requirements regarding the long-term performance of that repository. For an evaluation of the long-term performance of the repository, one of the events that may need to be considered is the SNF achieving a critical configuration during the postclosure period. Of particular interest is the potential behavior of SNF in dualpurpose canisters (DPCs), which are currently licensed and being used to store and transport SNF but were not designed for permanent geologic disposal.

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Safety Concept and Safety Assessment for a HLW Repository in Bedded Salt in Germany - 18253

The German site selection act for a repository for vitrified HLW and SNF demands the consideration of various host rock formations for deep geological disposal. One of the eligible and presently investigated host rock formations is bedded rock salt. Within the framework of the national R and D project KOSINA the scientific bases for the design and safety assessment of a repository for HLW and SNF in bedded salt formations were provided. The research findings presented in this paper include the formulation of a safety concept and safety demonstration concept as well as exemplary radiological consequences analysis for a generic repository in bedded rock salt formations. The safety concept describes in a verbal, argument-based way how the natural conditions, processes and technical measures at large yield a status of safety. Fundamental principle of the safety concept is the concentration and containment of the radioactive and other pollutants in the waste in the containment providing rock zone (CRZ), which ensures isolation from the biosphere. Based on the principle of safe containment inside the CRZ guiding principles, design objectives and strategic measures are derived. The safety demonstration concept describes the means, such as analyses and arguments, which are used in the safety case to demonstrate the safety of a repository system in bedded salt on the basis of the safety concept and its guiding principles and design objectives. The decisive elements are: the demonstration of integrity of the geological barrier, the demonstration of integrity of the geotechnical barriers, the scenario analysis, and the evaluation of the identified scenarios. These elements are complemented in the safety demonstration by concepts on how to consider criticality, non-radiological protection goals and operational safety. The radiological consequences analysis primarily consists of the calculation of the radiological safety indicator for different test cases and scenarios for the various repository design and waste emplacement options. Within the KOSINA project the disposal concepts of drift disposal, horizontal and vertical borehole disposals were investigated in detail by means of computational flow and transport modelling of the repository mine (near field) and assessment of the radiological consequences (biosphere model). The applied software package RepoTREND is introduced; the modelling concept and employed radiological indicators are explained. Examples of the modelling results for the reference cases of the drift disposal repository concept for bedded salt will be given, demonstrating the capabilities of the model and the applicability to close-to-reality repository systems for deep geological disposal. (authors)

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Pathways towards Valid Data: Assessment of Optimized Packaging Strategies for Core Components - 18158

Every company that runs nuclear power plants needs a strategy for disposal of the radioactive waste and for decommissioning and dismantling of its nuclear reactors. The dismantling progress of several German NPPs is already in an advanced stage. Hence, particularly highly activated core components have to be disposed of as radioactive waste. Nevertheless, this is also an issue during the operating phase due to necessary replacements of highly activated core components such as PWR control elements or RPV heads. The conditioning of waste packages for final disposal in the German repository Konrad requires the core components to be dismantled, packaged and dried. Therefore, a qualified packaging strategy is needed to ensure a reliable compliance with the protection objectives of the repository and an optimized utilization of prescribed contingents. Exemplified by PWR control elements a pathway is drawn how to perform an optimized packaging strategy in compliance with the protection objectives of the repository based on only few relevant radionuclides derived from activation calculations. For these calculations, particularly the influence of trace impurities in the materials has to be considered and their amounts have to be verified or analyzed by sampling. Furthermore, low nuclide activities from contamination cannot simply be neglected because some of them are obliged to be declared or their radiological relevance has not been sufficiently determined. Due to various influence factors, qualified sampling strategies need carefully considered concepts. Therefore, detailed planning facilitates the qualification and approval process and reduces the costs for analyses and the number of containers. (authors)

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Simultaneous Thermal Analysis of WIPP and LANL Waste Drum Samples: A Preliminary Report

On Friday, February 14, 2014, an incident in P7R7 of the WIPP underground repository released radioactive material into the environment. The direct cause of the event was a breached transuranic (TRU) waste container, subsequently identified as Drum 68660. Photographic and other evidence indicates that the breach of 68660 was caused by an exothermic event. Subsequent investigations (Britt, 2015; Clark and Funk, 2015; Wilson et al., 2015; Clark, 2015) indicate that the combination of nitrate salts, pH neutralizing chemicals, and organic-based adsorbent represented a potentially energetic mixture. The materials inside the breached steel drum consisted of remediated, 30- to 40-year old, Pu processing wastes from LANL. The contents were processed and repackaged in 2014. Processing activities at LANL included: 1) neutralization of acidic liquid contents, 2) sorption of the neutralized liquid, and 3) mixing of acidic nitrate salts with an absorber to meet waste acceptance criteria. The contents of 68660 and its sibling, 68685, were derived from the same parent drum, S855793. Drum S855793 originally contained ten plastic bags of acidic nitrate salts, and four bags of mixed nitrate and oxalate salts generated in 1985 by Pu recovery operations. These salts were predominantly oxalic acid, hydrated nitrate salts of Mg, Ca, and Fe, anhydrous Na(NO 3 ), and minor amounts of anhydrous and hydrous nitrate salts of Pb, Al, K, Cr, and Ni. Other major components include sorbed water, nitric acid, dissolved nitrates, an absorbent (Swheat Scoop®) and a neutralizer (KolorSafe®). The contents of 68660 are described in greater detail in Appendix E of Wilson et al. (2015)

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A Python Package for Fuel Cycle and Waste Management Analysis - 19545

The future of nuclear power utilization in the United States may involve a transition from the once-through light water reactor fuel cycle to a so-called advanced fuel cycle. An advanced fuel cycle may offer improvements in natural resource utilization, reactor safety, and environmental impact. In addition, adoption of an advanced fuel cycle will result in changes in the amount, composition, and disposal of the nuclear wastes they produce. Characteristics intrinsic to the wastes themselves, such as mass and radioactivity at specific times, were used as waste management metrics in the Department of Energy 2014 Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Screening (FCES) study. Binning of these metrics informed fuel cycle according to relative potential benefit. However, waste properties alone cannot qualify management strategy. Therefore, comparing fuel cycles from the perspective of waste management can provide additional insights. To that end, an object-oriented Python package has been developed to perform fuel cycle waste management calculations. The package, named nwpy (short for Nuclear Waste analysis in Python), mimics the mass flow operations reported in the FCES study and interfaces with the ORIGEN-S code to assess metric data as reported in the FCES. In addition, this Python package determines the loading of waste streams into forms suitable for final disposal in a geological repository and uses such data for repository performance assessment. This work describes the Python package methodology, assumptions, and capabilities. As input data, the package requires information about the fuel cycle such as the mass of fuel discharged, the cooling time between reactor discharge and subsequent operations, and the separations process efficiencies and waste forms it produces. In addition, the isotopic composition of the reactor discharge stream, such as that available from the FCES database, is required. With that, it can perform prescribed mass flow and decay operations throughout the back end of the fuel cycle, the latter carried out by the ORIGEN-S code distributed with the SCALE6.2 software suite. The result is time-dependent data characterizing the waste on a per-package basis. Package loading for waste streams depends on the stream form (i.e. UNF vs. HLW, or glass HLW from aqueous reprocessing vs. ceramic HLW from electrochemical processing) and is based on literature review and engineering assumption. As an example of the application of the code, calculations for the areal footprint of direct-contact repositories for different fuel cycles is shown. Development is ongoing, and the package is expected to grow incorporating capabilities for waste management analyses such as waste transportation and radionuclide transport through the biosphere. (authors)

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Investigations of Dual-Purpose Canister Direct Disposal Feasibility (FY14)

Results reported here continue to support the FY13 conclusion that direct disposal of DPCs is technically feasible, at least for some DPCs, and for some disposal concepts (geologic host media). Much of the work performed has reached a point where site-specific information would be needed for further resolution. Several activities in FY14 have focused on clay/shale media because of potential complications resulting from low thermal conductivity, limited temperature tolerance, and the need to construct hundreds of kilometers of emplacement drifts that will remain stable for at least 50 years. Technologies for rapid excavation and liner installation have significantly advanced in the past 20 years. Tunnel boring machines are the clear choice for large-scale excavation. The first TBM excavations, including some constructed in clay or shale media, are now approaching 50 years of service. Open-type TBMs are a good choice but the repository host formation would need to have sufficient compressive strength for the excavation face to be self-supporting. One way to improve the strength-stress relationship is to reduce the repository depth in soft formations (e.g., 300 m depth). The fastest construction appears to be possible using TBMs with a single-pass liner made of pre-fabricated concrete segments. Major projects have been constructed with prefabricated segmented liner systems, and with cast-in-place concrete liners. Cost comparisons show that differences in project management and financing may be larger cost factors than the choice of liner systems. Costs for large-scale excavation and construction in clay/shale media vary widely but can probably be limited to $10,000 per linear meter, which is similar to previous estimates for repository construction. Concepts for disposal of DPC-based waste packages in clay/shale media are associated with thermal management challenges because of the relatively low thermal conductivity and limited temperature tolerance. Peak temperature limits of 100°C or lower for clay-rich materials have been selected by some international programs, but a limit above 100°C could help to shorten the duration of surface decay storage and repository ventilation. The effects of locally higher peak temperatures on repository performance need to be evaluated (in addition to the effects at lower temperatures). This report describes a modeling approach that couples the TOUGH2 and FLAC3D codes to represent thermally driven THM processes, as a demonstration of the types of models needed.

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Site Selection in Germany - Status of the Evaluation of the Site Selection Law - 16122

Since 2011 Germany is pursuing a phase out strategy concerning the use of nuclear power for electricity production. This decision was strongly influenced by the Fukushima event. In 2013 the federal government announced that they also had achieved an agreement with the Federal States in Germany on a law to restart the site selection for a repository for spent fuel and high active heat producing waste from scratch. The consequence of this law is a delay of at least two decades to start operation of a final disposal site and additional costs of at least EUR 2.7 billion. The new law was passed in July 2013. At first a 34-member commission had been installed in April 2014 to evaluate the Site Selection Law and to develop basic principles for site selection, including safety requirements and selection criteria for rock formations. The commission includes representatives from the parliament, academia, civil society organizations, industry, the environmental organizations and trade unions and should forward its recommendations after a delay in starting the evaluation process now in summer 2016. The present law will then be reviewed. The site selection then might start after the next federal election in 2017 at the earliest probably based on a new site selection law. A new repository site should be determined till 2031 and for this site the more detailed site investigation will take place followed by a detailed safety analysis, before the erection of the repository can start. Based on the present procedural steps it seems to be rather unlikely to determine a repository site till 2031. As shown in the publication, there will be a delay of at least 20 years compared to the schedule given in the site selection law until a repository site can be determined. (authors)

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Use of generic and site-specific underground research laboratories to support siting, design, and safety assessment - 15417

Under the auspices of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), nationally developed underground research laboratories (URLs) and associated research institutions are being offered for use by other nations. These facilities form an Underground Research Facilities (URF) Network for training in and demonstration of waste disposal technologies and the sharing of knowledge and experience related to geologic repository development, research, and engineering. In order to achieve its objectives, the URF Network regularly sponsors workshops and training events related to the knowledge base that is transferable between existing URL programs and to nations with an interest in developing a new URL. Toward that end, a three-day workshop was held in Albuquerque, New Mexico in October 2014 to identify and compare the understanding of URF Network members on the place and role of generic and site-specific URLs in the overall, iterative geological disposal development process, including repository siting, design, and post-closure safety assessment. Attention was also given to the need for URLs in salt host rock, since there is currently no such facility in operation in the world. This paper describes some of the outcomes of the workshop in the context of the general timeline for repository development and the evolving role of research, development, and demonstration (RD and D) activities in URLs. Of particular interest is the relationship between technology maturity, as measured by technology readiness level (TRL), and the stages or milestones in the repository development timeline. The long history of RD and D in worldwide URLs (> 40 years) can be argued to be the primary reason that nuclear waste disposal systems are currently at a high level of maturity. One of the key recommendations from the workshop was that an international, easily accessible knowledge base should soon be established to avoid the loss of important experiences and information obtained from existing and closed URLs. It was also recognized that a new generic URL in salt host rock would provide a number of benefits, but one should not be initiated until a national program specifically decides to site its repository in salt. (authors)

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Increasing the Fissile Mass Loading of High-Level Waste Glass Canisters to Greater Than 2,500 g/m 3 at the Savannah River Site

To eliminate future fissile mass loading constraints for the Savannah River Site H-Canyon Facility and Liquid Waste system, the Savannah River National Laboratory recommends a repository evaluation of a uranium fissile mass loading in glass at 7,144 g/m 3 in addition to the existing International Atomic Energy Agency safeguards and security limit of 2,500 g/m 3 total plutonium. This recommended increase above the authorized 2,500 g/m 3 fissile mass loading limit is based on concentrations of uranium and plutonium shown to produce an acceptable glass waste form rather than projections of the maximum fissile mass loading in future sludge batches. An authorized fissile mass loading limit greater than 2,500 g/m 3 will increase facility flexibility, reduce the number of high-level waste canisters produced, and potentially avoid an increase in the Department of Energy Environmental Management mission life without compromising safety or glass product quality.

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An underground laboratory in the context of salt disposal research - 15549

Evaluating the basis of need for an underground research laboratory for salt science and engineering is imperative because of the significant commitment of time and money involved. Decades of salt repository studies, numerous experiments, and sophisticated modeling capabilities underpin the scientific database that supports safe disposal of nuclear waste in salt. The safety case for disposal of non-heat-generating waste such as transuranic waste interred at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant is robust, with the only long-term releases to the environment projected to be by way of human intrusion. The scientific evidence also favors safe disposal of heat-generating waste. Technical evaluations for disposal of heat-generating waste in salt experienced a rather long hiatus in the United States subsequent to certification of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant and issuance of the Nuclear Waste Policy Act Amendment that ended salt disposal research for the civilian program. Similar salt repository research in Germany was delayed by a ten-year moratorium that ended in 2010. In collaboration with German peers, the United States Department of Energy has reviewed and evaluated thermally driven processes in salt disposal and identified key technical areas in which to prioritize resources. The goal for disposal research in salt is to provide sufficient technical information to license a repository successfully. The necessity or utility of a salt underground laboratory is to be evaluated in the context of an overall research agenda that supports a license application. (authors)

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Site selection in Germany - Start of the evaluation of the site selection law - 15561

Since 2011 Germany is pursuing a phase out strategy concerning the use of nuclear power for electricity production. This decision was strongly influenced by the Fukushima event. In 2013 the federal government announced that they also had achieved an agreement with the Federal States in Germany on a law to restart the site selection for a repository for spent fuel and high active heat producing waste from scratch. The consequence of this law is a delay of at least two decades to start operation of a final disposal site and additional costs of at least EUR 2.7 billion. The new law was passed in July 2013. At first a 34-member commission had been installed in April 2014 to evaluate the Site Selection Law and to develop basic principles for site selection, including safety requirements and selection criteria for rock formations. The commission includes representatives from the parliament, academia, civil society organizations, industry, the environmental organizations and trade unions and should forward its recommendations after a delay in starting the evaluation process now in 2016. The first author of this paper is member of the evaluation commission. The present law has to be reviewed within this time span. The site selection then might start after the next federal election in 2017 probably based on a new site selection law. This new site selection law will take into account or even follow the recommendations of the evaluation group. A new repository site should be according to the present law determined till 2031 and for this site the more detailed site investigation will take place followed by a detailed safety analysis, before the erection of the repository can start. Based on the present procedural steps it seems to be rather unlikely to determine a repository site till 2031. As shown in this publication, there will be a delay of at least 20 years compared to the schedule given in the site selection law until a repository site can be determined. (authors)

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Impact of Dutch nuclear fuel cycle scenarios on radionuclide inventory intended for disposal - 15201

One of the main subjects of Dutch five-year research program into geological disposal of radioactive waste, OPERA, is the post-closure radiological safety assessment. Reliable estimates of the radionuclide inventory and matrix composition are an important input for the safety assessment. The amounts and categories of waste foreseen to be disposed in 2130 the Netherlands have been compiled by the Dutch waste management organisation COVRA. Additionally, NRG has made a characterisation of the waste (radionuclides and matrix). This reference inventory is based on the Dutch base nuclear energy scenario of operating the Dutch single reactor, the Borssele NPP, until its presently scheduled shut-down in 2033. However, changes in the presently adopted nuclear fuel cycle strategy in the Netherlands may impact both the quantities of generated radioactive waste and its composition, and therefore the source term of the radiological safety assessment. To get a grip on this uncertainty a set of alternative future fuel cycle scenarios in the Netherlands, which are in compliance with scenarios formulated in the Dutch vision documents, has been considered and evaluated. The scenarios have been analysed with the computer code DANESS, 'Dynamic Analysis of Nuclear Energy System Strategies'. The result of the DANESS analyses concerns the amount and type of the radioactive waste to be finally disposed in a deep geological repository. This also includes the inventories of the individual radionuclides that are relevant for the post-closure safety assessment to be performed in a subsequent stage of the OPERA program. (authors)

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