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At least 631 records · Page 35

Agent-Based Modeling for the Circular Economy: Lessons Learned From Three Case Studies

The circular economy (CE) aims at decoupling human activities from resource use, creating wealth in the process. Recently, many scholars have questioned the link between increased circularity and sustainability, resulting in many methodological approaches being developed for that purpose. This presentation summarizes the insights gained from the application of agent-based modeling (ABM) to study the techno-economic and social conditions promoting circularity and sustainability of three technologies: photovoltaic (PV) modules, hard disk drives (HDDs), and wind blades. Four main categories of agents are defined in the ABM: asset owners, service providers (e.g., refurbishers), recyclers, and manufacturers. Two main CE strategies are represented: lifetime extension (through repair or reuse) and recycling. The developed models start by projecting installed capacities and end-of-life (EOL) quantities. Then the theory of planned behavior - a social psychology model explaining behavior adoption based on attitude, peer influence, and costs - is used to model the asset owners' EOL decision (i.e., landfill, recycle or extend the lifetime of the asset). Then, the quantities of assets flowing to the recycler and service provider agents and quantities of materials flowing to manufacturers are computed. Recyclers' economies of scale are dynamically modeled, and the value generated by the CE strategies for the recyclers, service providers, and manufacturers is computed within the model. When data are available, avoided greenhouse gas emissions resulting from the CE strategies adoption are calculated exogenously from the ABM simulations. Results show that with improved used PV modules warranties, the reuse CE strategy adoption increases from 1% to 23% between 2020 and 2050. Similarly, improved standards could enhance HDDs end-users trust in data-wiping - a prerequisite to reuse - leading to a 3-fold increase in the reuse rate and avoid about 5 million tons of CO2 eq by 2050. Regarding wind blades, 5-15 years lifetime extension could reduce EOL blade quantities by 13%. High costs and logistic issues prevent blades from being recycled in greater quantities. One insight from the case studies is the necessity to have mature secondary markets for reuse to be a viable option. Interestingly, PV reuse is limited by the willingness of PV owners to purchase used modules (on the demand side), while HDDs reuse is constrained by the lack of trust toward data-wiping (limiting the supply of used HDDs). The six limits of the CE concepts presented by Korhonen et al. (2018) are finally used to interpret the results. The HDD case study is an exemplary lock-in, where the first accepted practice (shredding) retains most of the market. The PV results illustrate the technical limitation to reuse, as the growing demand cannot be supplied entirely with used PV modules. The wind case study shows the relevance of clearly defining physical flows - what type of waste should wind blades be considered, how should they be transported and landfilled? - a crucial consideration that also applies to PV modules. Finally, the three case studies highlight the relevance of studying a technology's technical, economic, and market material efficiency potentials altogether and the potential benefit of coupling ABM to life cycle assessment.

agent-based modeling↗

Mobility Data and Models Informing Smart Cities

This presentation explores the interactions of Emerging Technology, Changing Urban Environments, and Urban Travel Behavior on Mobility and Energy Impacts. Key findings include quantifying impacts of emerging mobility, access and infrastructure associated with new mobility choices and services in urban areas. The results demonstrate new data collection methods and capabilities to understand and identify key levers to improve energy productivity of future mobility systems and of quickly evolving MaaS and COVID-19 contexts to monitor rapidly shifting urban mobility patterns. Under development are mode choice models for new modes versus traditional modes. Initial estimates are developed on the potential of workforce mobility strategies in shaping future energy-efficient mobility system impacts. For mode replacement and workforce mobility, this presentation offers observability into the changes in number of transactions per mode, after ride-hailing/TNC/MaaS introduction and in origins of workforce to enable user need-driven reimagining of efficient mobility systems: Seattle (SEA-TAC) airport: for every 100 new TNC transactions for ground transportation, ~27% replaced transit, 35% replaced parking, 17% replaced car rentals, and 21% replaced taxis. Similarly, at Denver International (DEN), ride-hailing transactions replaced transit, parking, car rental and taxis at a rate of 34.7%, 39.0%, 16.6%, and 9.7%, respectively. A workforce mobility tool, analysis/visualization techniques, and capabilities to understand and identify key job commute needs, new choices in access to job opportunities, and affordability aspects as levers to improve energy productivity of future integrated urban mobility systems.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗

EV Watts Public Database

With the rapid increase in vehicle electrification, there is a need for up-to-date, publicly available national data to understand end user charging and driving patterns, as well as vehicle and infrastructure performance, to inform research planning. Energetics worked with various partners to collect and analyze plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) and electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) data from 2019 to 2022. All sensitive attributes have been removed from this publicly available dataset. Researchers from one of the partner national labs under non-disclosure agreement (NDA) can request access to additional attributes by reaching out to evwattsdata@energetics.com.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Electric load shape benchmarking for small- and medium-sized commercial buildings

Small- and medium-sized commercial buildings owners and utility managers often look for opportunities for energy cost savings through energy efficiency and energy waste minimization. However, they currently lack easy access to low-cost tools that help interpret the massive amount of data needed to improve understanding of their energy use behaviors. Benchmarking is one of the techniques used in energy audits to identify which buildings are priorities for an energy analysis. Traditional energy performance indicators, such as the energy use intensity (annual energy per unit of floor area), consider only the total annual energy consumption, lacking consideration of the fluctuation of energy use behavior over time, which reveals the time of use information and represents distinct energy use behaviors during different time spans. To fill the gap, this study developed a general statistical method using 24-hour electric load shape benchmarking to compare a building or business/tenant space against peers. Specifically, the study developed new forms of benchmarking metrics and data analysis methods to infer the energy performance of a building based on its load shape. We first performed a data experiment with collected smart meter data using over 2,000 small- and medium-sized businesses in California. We then conducted a cluster analysis of the source data, and determined and interpreted the load shape features and parameters with peer group analysis. Finally, we implemented the load shape benchmarking feature in an open-access web-based toolkit (the Commercial Building Energy Saver) to provide straightforward and practical recommendations to users. The analysis techniques were generic and flexible for future datasets of other building types and in other utility territories.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Parsed synthesis of pyocyanin via co-culture enables context-dependent intercellular redox communication

Abstract Background Microbial co-cultures and consortia are of interest in cell-based molecular production and even as “smart” therapeutics in that one can take advantage of division of labor and specialization to expand both the range of available functions and mechanisms for control. The development of tools that enable coordination and modulation of consortia will be crucial for future application of multi-population cultures. In particular, these systems would benefit from an expanded toolset that enables orthogonal inter-strain communication. Results We created a co-culture for the synthesis of a redox-active phenazine signaling molecule, pyocyanin (PYO), by dividing its synthesis into the generation of its intermediate, phenazine carboxylic acid (PCA) from the first strain, followed by consumption of PCA and generation of PYO in a second strain. Interestingly, both PCA and PYO can be used to actuate gene expression in cells engineered with the soxRS oxidative stress regulon, although importantly this signaling activity was found to depend on growth media. That is, like other signaling motifs in bacterial systems, the signaling activity is context dependent. We then used this co-culture’s phenazine signals in a tri-culture to modulate gene expression and production of three model products: quorum sensing molecule autoinducer-1 and two fluorescent marker proteins, eGFP and DsRed. We also showed how these redox-based signals could be intermingled with other quorum-sensing (QS) signals which are more commonly used in synthetic biology, to control complex behaviors. To provide control over product synthesis in the tri-cultures, we also showed how a QS-induced growth control module could guide metabolic flux in one population and at the same time guide overall tri-culture function. Specifically, we showed that phenazine signal recognition, enabled through the oxidative stress response regulon soxRS, was dependent on media composition such that signal propagation within our parsed synthetic system could guide different desired outcomes based on the prevailing environment. In doing so, we expanded the range of signaling molecules available for coordination and the modes by which they can be utilized to influence overall function of a multi-population culture. Conclusions Our results show that redox-based signaling can be intermingled with other quorum sensing signaling in ways that enable user-defined control of microbial consortia yielding various outcomes defined by culture medium. Further, we demonstrated the utility of our previously designed growth control module in influencing signal propagation and metabolic activity is unimpeded by orthogonal redox-based signaling. By exploring novel multi-modal strategies for guiding communication and consortia outcome, the concepts introduced here may prove to be useful for coordination of multiple populations within complex microbial systems.

Chun, Kayla↗

Convergence Criteria for Multiphysics Simulations

The behavior of engineered systems is often influenced by multiple physical phenomena, such as mechanical deformation, heat transfer, and chemical species transport and reactions. There are often strong interactions between these phenomena, and there is increasing interest in applying coupled-physics models to improve understanding of physical behavior under complex environmental conditions. Multiple simulation frameworks that facilitate coupled-physics simulations are in widespread use, and these employ a variety of techniques to account for interactions between those physics. Many frameworks solve the physics models independently and transfer results between them. Alternatively, a single monolithic system of equations for every physics model can be formed and solved. Each of these approaches has its benefits and drawbacks, and the optimal approach varies depending on the nature of the problem. The open-source MOOSE framework was developed targeting solution of large-scale multiphysics problems. Although it provides options for all these coupling approaches, its standard approach for multiphysics solutions is to form and solve a single monolithic system of equations containing the unknowns for all physics models. MOOSE provides a streamlined approach for users to define the solution variables, the terms in the partial differential equations pertaining to each variable, and interactions between solution variables. One aspect of the monolithic solution approach that can be problematic, however, is defining appropriate convergence criteria for the nonlinear system. A standard approach is to determine convergence is to simply take a norm of the residual vector corresponding to the full vector of unknowns. However, if the residual vector contains variables for multiple physics models, the magnitudes of those variables can differ significantly, and the variables can converge at significantly different rates from each other. It is important to ensure that the variables for each of the physics are converged, and also ensure that the convergence criteria are not excessively stringent in cases when there is little change in the solution. This talk presents representative multiphysics problems to highlight these issues, and shows strategies for convergence criteria in MOOSE that are robust for multiphysics models under a variety of conditions.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Direct-Steam Linear Fresnel Performance Model for NREL's System Advisor Model

This paper presents the technical formulation and demonstrated model performance results of a new direct-steam-generation (DSG) model in NREL's System Advisor Model (SAM). The model predicts the annual electricity production of a wide range of system configurations within the DSG Linear Fresnel technology by modeling hourly performance of the plant in detail. The quasi-steady-state formulationallows users to investigate energy and mass flows, operating temperatures, and pressure drops for geometries and solar field configurations of interest. The model includes tools for heat loss calculation using either empirical polynomial heat loss curves as a function of steam temperature, ambient temperature, and wind velocity, or a detailed evacuated tube receiver heat loss model. Thermallosses are evaluated using a computationally efficient nodal approach, where the solar field and headers are discretized into multiple nodes where heat losses, thermal inertia, steam conditions (including pressure, temperature, enthalpy, etc.) are individually evaluated during each time step of the simulation. This paper discusses the mathematical formulation for the solar field model anddescribes how the solar field is integrated with the other subsystem models, including the power cycle and optional auxiliary fossil system. Model results are also presented to demonstrate plant behavior in the various operating modes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

SMATool: Strength of materials analysis toolkit

The study of the strength of materials is a cornerstone in material science and engineering, playing a critical role in shaping the progress and application of materials in diverse industrial sectors. The strength of a material is meticulously examined to understand the behavior of the material under different stress conditions and environments, thereby guiding material selection and structural design. Herein, we introduce the SMATool, a computational toolkit for the efficient calculation and analysis of material strength at both zero and finite temperatures for 3D, 2D, 1D, and tubular 2D-based nanostructures and nanotubes, as well as 1D nanoribbons. The toolkit is capable of calculating tensile, shear, ultimate, yield, and indentation (Vickers' hardness) strengths in various dimensions, as well as the energy storage capacity. We conducted several calculations both at zero and finite temperatures to validate the accuracy and reliability of the developed software. Here, the results show that the SMATool package provides accurate predictions that align with existing data on material strength. SMATool integrates seamlessly with widely used electronic structure codes like VASP and Quantum Espresso, providing a user-friendly interface catering to academic researchers and industry professionals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High Performance Computing Based Parallel HIearchical Modal Association Clustering (HPAR HMAC)

For many applications, clustering is a crucial step in order to gain insight into the makeup of a dataset. The best approach to a given problem often depends on a variety of factors, such as the size of the dataset, time restrictions, and soft clustering requirements. The HMAC algorithm seeks to combine the strengths of 2 particular clustering approaches: model-based and linkage-based clustering. One particular weakness of HMAC is its computational complexity. HMAC is not practical for mega-scale data clustering. For high-definition imagery, a user would have to wait months or years for a result; for a 16-megapixel image, the estimated runtime skyrockets to over a decade! To improve the execution time of HMAC, it is reasonable to consider an multi-core implementation that utilizes available system resources. An existing imple-mentation (Ray and Cheng 2014) divides the dataset into N partitions - one for each thread prior to executing the HMAC algorithm. This implementation benefits from 2 types of optimization: parallelization and divide-and-conquer. By running each partition in parallel, the program is able to accelerate computation by utilizing more system resources. Although the parallel implementation provides considerable improvement over the serial HMAC, it still suffers from poor computational complexity, O(N2). Once the maximum number of cores on a system is exhausted, the program exhibits slower behavior. We now consider a modification to HMAC that involves a recursive partitioning scheme. Our modification aims to exploit divide-and-conquer benefits seen by the parallel HMAC implementation. At each level in the recursion tree, partitions are divided into 2 sub-partitions until a threshold size is reached. When the partition can no longer be divided without falling below threshold size, the base HMAC algorithm is applied. This results in a significant speedup over the parallel HMAC.

Patlolla, Dilip R↗

Optimal Control of Connected and Automated Vehicles at Roundabouts

Connectivity and automation in vehicles provide the most intriguing opportunity for enabling users to better monitor transportation network conditions and make better operating decisions to improve safety and reduce pollution, energy consumption, and travel delays. This study investigates the implications of optimally coordinating vehicles that are wirelessly connected to each other and to an infrastructure in roundabouts to achieve a smooth traffic flow without stop-and-go driving. We apply an optimization framework and an analytical solution that allows optimal coordination of vehicles for merging in such traffic scenario. The effectiveness of the efficiency of the proposed approach is validated through simulation and it is shown that coordination of vehicles can reduce total travel time by 3~49% and fuel consumption by 2~27% with respect to different traffic levels. In addition, network throughput is improved by up to 25% due to elimination of stop-and-go driving behavior.

Zhao, Liuhui↗

A Datasheet Driven Unified Si/SiC Compact IGBT Model for N-Channel and P-Channel Devices

This paper presents a unified physics-based insulated-gate bipolar transistor (IGBT) compact model for circuit simulation that predicts the performance of both Si and SiC, n- and p-channel devices. The model can predict the detailed switching waveforms of these technologies based on its charge-based formulation. Further, this compact IGBT model is presented alongside a unique datasheet-driven parameter extraction process. The parameter extraction process enables users to quickly extract model parameters from data typically published without the need of taking physical measurements. The model has been validated with both Si and SiC devices for static and dynamic characteristics. The SiC IGBTs used for validation are a 12.5-kV n-channel device and a 13-kV p-channel device, while the Si IGBT chosen was IXDH30N120 from IXYS Corp. (Milpitas, CA, USA). This is the only IGBT model that predicts the performance of both n- and p-channel, Si and SiC devices, providing more freedom for the development of complex power electronics circuit designs. The convergence of the model has been verified by implementing a complex circuit consisting of both a dc-dc converter and a dc-ac inverter. The results presented here show that the unified model can be used to describe the behavior of a wide range of Si and SiC IGBT circuits. This paper is accompanied by a Verilog-A source code and a power point file demonstrating the model parameter extraction sequence.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Waveband Integrated Bioaerosol Sensor (WIBS4) for MARCUS Field Campaign Report

The Waveband Integrated Bioaerosol Sensor Mk. 4 (WIBS4) of Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) was operated as part of the Measurements of Aerosols, Radiation, and Clouds over the Southern Ocean (MARCUS) field campaign from November 2017 to March 2018. WIBS4 was integrated in the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility second ARM Mobile Facility (AMF2), which was installed on the RSV Aurora Australis Australian Antarctic supply vessel during MARCUS. The aim of this campaign was to characterize the Southern Ocean boundary layer coarse-mode aerosol in terms of the fraction of biological or biogenic compounds. This work was done in close collaboration with Greg McFarquhar from the University of Oklahoma, the principal investigator (PI) for MARCUS, as well as Paul DeMott from Colorado State University, who concurrently sampled particle filters for off-line analysis of the ice nucleating particle concentrations. During four voyages of the vessel between Hobart, Tasmania and the Australian Antarctic stations Davies, Casey, and Mawson, as well as Macquarie Island, fluorescent biological aerosol particles (FBAP) were monitored by the WIBS4 in the size range from 0.5 to 10 μm. A FBAP is defined by its fluorescent behavior that gives simultaneous signals in the F1 (λexcitation=280nm, λemission=310- 400nm) and F3 (λexcitation=370nm, λemission=420-650nm) channels of the WIBS4 (Toprak and Schnaiter, 2013).

MARCUS field campaign, aerosols, Southern Ocean, A↗

Improving the performance of first- and last-mile mobility services through transit coordination, real-time demand prediction, advanced reservations, and trip prioritization

Socio-demographic trends and recent economic development patterns have resulted in travel behavior changes that call for more flexible and accessible public transit options. Because flexible transit services vary in scope, size, and service type, new data-informed methods are useful to optimize services based on the specific needs of local communities and riders. In this study, real-world demand and vehicle trajectory data were used to evaluate and optimize system performance for an existing first-mile–last-mile (FMLM) service in Robinson Township, PA. A general FMLM model for arbitrary demand and service supply was then developed to quantify system performance—both travel time costs and day-to-day reliability—for various operational polices considering spatio-temporal demand variation and transportation network dynamics. Heuristics were used for optimal real-time vehicle routing in sizable real-world networks accommodating various service types and scopes. In this case study, total user costs were reduced by 18.6% when rides were coordinated with mainline fixed-route transit. Predictive routing strategies were shown to marginally improve system performance under sparse and variable spatio-temporal demand. The case study also highlights potentially large travel time and user reliability improvements—reductions of 51% and 53.8%, respectively—when trip requests were made in advance of their desired pickup time. Finally, we show that travel time reliability can be improved for time-inflexible trips with trip prioritization without increasing total user costs. These results were stable to changes in demand density.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Provenance In Sensor Data Management: A Cohesive, Independent Solution

In today's information-driven workplaces, data is constantly undergoing transformations and being moved around. The typical business-as-usual approach is to use email attachments, shared network locations, databases, and now, the cloud. More often than not, there are multiple versions of the data sitting in different locations and users of this data are confounded by the lack of metadata describing its provenance, or in other words, its lineage. Our project is aimed to solve this issue in the context of sensor data. The Oak Ridge National Laboratory's Building Technologies Research and Integration Center has reconfigurable commercial buildings deployed on the Flexible Research Platforms (FRPs). These FRPs are instrumented with a large number of sensors which measure a number of variables such as HVAC efficiency, relative humidity, and temperature gradients across doors, windows, and walls. Sub-minute resolution data from hundreds of channels is acquired. This sensor data, traditionally, was saved to a shared network location which was accessible to a number of scientists for performing complicated simulation and analysis tasks. The sensor data also participates in elaborate quality assurance exercises as a result of inherent faults. Sometimes, faults are induced to observe building behavior. It became apparent that proper scientific controls required not just managing the data acquisition and delivery, but to also manage the metadata associated with temporal subsets of the sensor data. We built a system named ProvDMS, or Provenance Data Management System for the FRPs, which would both allow researchers to retrieve data of interest as well as trace data lineage. This provides researchers a one-stop shop for comprehensive views of various data transformation allowing researchers to effectively trace their data to its source so that experiments, and derivations of experiments, may be reused and reproduced without much overhead of the repeatability of experiments that use it. Using these traces, researchers can determine exactly what happens to data as it moves through its life cycle.

Hensley, Zachary P↗

Influence of Adsorption Site and Wavelength on the Photodesorption of NO from the (Fe,Cr) 3 O 4 (111) Mixed Oxide Surface

The photochemical properties of nitric oxide on a mixed oxide single crystal surface was examined in ultrahigh vacuum (UHV) using temperature programmed desorption (TPD), photon stimulated desorption (PSD) and low energy electron diffraction (LEED). The mixed oxide was a 75% Fe and 25% Cr corundum (0001) oxide film prepared on an α-Al2O3(0001) crystal, however its surface became terminated with a magnetite-like (111) structure after sputter/anneal cleaning, leading to a surface designated of (Fe,Cr)3O4(111). TPD of NO from the (Fe,Cr)3O4(111) surface revealed three chemisorbed states at 220, ~315 and 370 K assigned to NO binding at Fe3+, Cr3+ and Fe2+ sites, respectively. No significant thermal chemistry of NO was detected. NO photodesorption, the primary photochemical pathway in UHV, was sensitive to the adsorption site, with rates at the three adsorption sites following the trend: Fe3+ > Fe2+ > Cr3+. Multiexponential rate behavior seen in the overall NO PSD spectra was linked directly to site heterogeneity being manifested as a convolution of the individual NO photodesorption rates at the three types of surface sites. The photodesorption rate with UV light (365 nm) was ~10 times greater than that in the visible, but the per-photon rates across the visible spectrum (from 460 to 630 nm) were independent of the wavelength, which is suggestive of localized photon absorption at the adsorption site. Results in this study demonstrate that the adsorption site plays a critical role in determining photochemical rates on complex oxide surfaces. This work was supported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences & Biosciences. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is a multi-program national laboratory operated for DOE by Battelle. The research was performed using EMSL, a national scientific user facility sponsored by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research and located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Pilot Plant Reliability Metrics for Grinding and Fast Pyrolysis of Woody Residues

The reliability of biomass size reduction, feeding, and conversion processes remains a critical technical hurdle and important cost driver for biomass conversion systems. While Biorefinery projects have typically focused on scaling up conversion technologies that maximize yield of desired products, e.g. fuels and chemicals, solids handling and reactor feeding systems are often considered secondarily. These are frequently scaled down or adapted from other industries, without a full appreciation of how biomass heterogeneity and variability impact process reliability. Here we present the effects of feedstock variability on relative throughput, mass loss, plant uptime, operator intervention, product yield, and product quality for grinding and fast pyrolysis operations at the pilot scale. Loblolly pine residues were sourced and collected using commercial harvesting techniques. Grinding and pyrolysis experiments were performed at INL's Biomass Feedstock National User Facility and NREL's Thermal and Catalytic Process Development Unit, respectively. Preprocessing throughput using a hammer mill varied between 31-48% of nameplate capacity (5 tons/hr), and fast pyrolysis throughput varied between 57-72% of nameplate capacity (20 kg/hr) for an overall system throughput of 18-35% of nameplate capacity across biomass preprocessing and conversion to pyrolysis oil. Pyrolysis oil yields varied between 46-53% (feedstock carbon to oil, dry basis). Grinder overloads in the size reduction step were more prevalent for lower ash and higher moisture materials. During fast pyrolysis operations, downtime was caused by bridging in the feed and char removal systems and plugging in the condensation system, and significant variation in the type and frequency of operator intervention was observed between feedstocks. Cohesion of solids (feedstock and char) leading to system plugging appeared less problematic for higher ash feedstocks, and differences in condenser plugging behavior between high and low ash feedstocks indicates the composition and physical nature of the deposited material is important for process reliability and is feedstock dependent.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Bay Area Regional Energy: Network Integrated Commercial Retrofits (BRICR) Project. Final Report

The BRICR project applied large-scale building energy modeling concepts with the aim of reducing the cost of energy efficiency targeting, design, and project development, and measurement of energy savings for energy efficiency programs implemented by local governments that serve small and medium commercial buildings (SMB). The project leveraged the services and resources of existing local government energy programs serving disadvantaged and hard-to-reach SMB customers. In contrast to programs run by utilities, local government programs generally do not have direct access to energy billing records for an entire class of customers in a geographic area, which prior research demonstrated useful for large-scale building energy model baseline development and calibration. , However, local governments are rich in public records that offer important clues about physical attributes and uses that, along with behavior, determine energy use. Relying only on public records, BRICR demonstrated development of credible baseline energy models for 3,792 office, retail, and hotel buildings. Publicly disclosed annual energy use data from a local energy benchmarking program and anonymized data from the Building Performance Database, the nation’s largest dataset about energy-related characteristics of buildings, were utilized to validate and calibrate energy models via an innovative method comparing distributions of energy intensity by fuel type for portfolios of buildings of similar size, vintage, and use. Portfolio calibration does not provide certainty that an energy model fits an individual building; the method is useful when billing data is not accessible – a common situation for researchers, energy service providers and ESCOs, local governments, and any party other than a utility. A software component was developed, the BRICR gem, which automates simulation when relevant data is added or edited by the user to a file saved in the standardized BuildingSync XML schema for energy audit data. The component was demonstrated as a simplified means to generate a mass of energy models corresponding to public records containing basic attributes such as building scale, location, use, year built, and aspect ratio in combination with building energy code prototype data corresponding to use and vintage. The component was also demonstrated as a simplified means to automate energy simulation when attributes are revised; the intention was to enable iterative improvement of the baseline model and energy savings estimates for common energy conservation measures as users revise relevant attributes based on their observations. In the context of institutional change and uncertainty for the participating local government energy programs, 13 whole building retrofits were completed. Impacts were measured by applying the CalTRACK2.0 methods to standardize measurement of normalized metered energy consumption. The GRIDMeter methods of stratified sampling and individual load shape analysis were applied to adjust for impacts of the effect of COVID-19 on retrofitted buildings in the context of all local buildings of similar size and use. Excluding impacts of the pandemic, retrofitted buildings demonstrated between 1.6% and 25.1% reduction in energy use. The project contributed use cases and feedback that helped inform evolution of the software tools and data formats that were combined for the first time in the BRICR project.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Home Energy Displays: Consumer Adoption and Response

The focus of this project was to investigate the factors influencing consumer adoption of Home Energy Displays (HEDs) and to evaluate electricity consumption in households with basic HEDs versus enhanced feedback methods - web portals or alerts. The team hypothesized that providing flexible and relatable information to users, in addition to a basic HED, would make feedback more effective and achieve persistent energy savings. In Phase I, Fraunhofer conducted three user research studies and found preferences for aesthetically pleasing, easy to understand feedback that is accessible through multiple media and offered free of charge. The deployment of HEDs in 150 households planned for Phase II encountered major recruitment and HED field deployment problems. In light of these challenges, the team is pursuing a modified study investigating the energy savings of a web portal versus alert-based energy feedback instead of a physical HED.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗