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At least 631 records · Page 35

Resilience Measurement Framework For Post-deployment Artificial Intelligence (ai) Integrated Systems

Resilience is largely defined as the ability to adapt or recover from adverse conditions, stresses, attacks, or compromises on systems that use or are enabled by digital resources. In Artificial Intelligence Management and Research for Advanced Networked Testbed Hub (AMARANTH), resilience is measured in the amount of time it took from the beginning of a testing period for the model to reach predictions outside of the original 95% confidence interval or using the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence theorem, the Population Stability Index (PSI), and traditional methods such as root mean squared error (RMSE) threshold. Artificial Intelligence (AI) model drift is of significant concern when deploying AI-integrated systems into critical and/or secure environments. Drift can impact resilience of the AI-integrated system post-deployment and requires consistent maintenance and upkeep to ensure the model is accurate and precise. To quantify model drift and predict the point when a model's drift becomes unacceptable, we describe using Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, Population Stability Index (PSI) and/or confidence interval width estimations to determine the point of failure and time to failure of a model post-deployment. Through simple code functions, the KL-divergence, PSI, confidence interval, and root mean squared (RMSE) point of failures can be used to derive when a model needs to be maintained as well as the impact of adversarial action through statistical means.

Yockey, Patience [Idaho National Laboratory (INL),↗

A study of the viability of exploiting memory content similarity to improve resilience to memory errors

Building the next-generation of extreme-scale distributed systems will require overcoming several challenges related to system resilience. As the number of processors in these systems grow, the failure rate increases proportionally. One of the most common sources of failure in large-scale systems is memory. In this paper, we propose a novel runtime for transparently exploiting memory content similarity to improve system resilience by reducing the rate at which memory errors lead to node failure. We evaluate the viability of this approach by examining memory snapshots collected from eight high-performance computing (HPC) applications and two important HPC operating systems. Based on the characteristics of the similarity uncovered, we conclude that our proposed approach shows promise for addressing system resilience in large-scale systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Advanced Computational Techniques for Improving Resilience of Critical Energy Infrastructure under Cyber-Physical Attacks

In this chapter, we present recent advances in improving the resilience of cyber-physical systems, especially with regards to energy systems. We provide discussions around various types of cyber-physical events that can cause disruptions and new advances in optimization, control, and reinforcement learning (RL) to deal with the challenges posed by such cyber-physical events. The presented methods range from distributed robust optimization, autonomous and coordinated control, reinforcement learning based resilient control and topology reconfiguration in Inter-System resilient control.

Nazir, Mohammad Nawaf [BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)]↗

NCSE's 13th National Conference on Disasters and Environment: Science, Preparedness and Resilience, Post Conference Follow-up Activities and Dissemination

The National Council for Science and the Environment (NCSE) received $15,000 from the US Department of Energy to support post-conference activities of the 13th National Conference on the theme of Disasters and the Environment: Science, Preparedness and Resilience, held on January 15-17, 2013 at the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center in Washington, DC. Over 1,000 participants from the scientific, emergency response, policy, conservation, and business communities, as well as federal and local government officials, and international entities attended the event. The conference developed actionable outcomes that constructively advance the science behind decision-making on environmental disasters, with an intended result of more prepared and resilient communities in light of a changing climate. Disasters and Environment topic was addressed through six organizing themes: Cascading Disasters; Intersection of the Built and Natural Environments; Disasters as Mechanisms of Ecosystem Change; Rethinking Recovery and Expanding the Vision of Mitigation; Human Behavior and its Consequences; and "No Regrets" Resilience. The program featured eight plenary sessions, 24 symposia and 23 breakout workshops and addressed pivotal issues surrounding disasters and environment including lifeline services, the energy, climate, hazard nexus, grid collapse, community vulnerability, and natural resource management. Sessions, symposia and workshops were conducted by over 200 distinguished thought leaders, scientists, government officials, policy experts and international speakers throughout the three day event. Following the conference, NCSE prepared a set of recommendations and results from the workshops and disseminated the results to universities, organizations and agencies, the business community. NCSE’s national dissemination involved organized several targeted trips and meetings to disseminate significant findings to key stakeholder groups.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Rexsss Performance Analysis: Domain Decomposition Algorithm Implementations for Resilient Numerical Partial Differential Equation Solvers

The future of extreme-scale computing is expected to magnify the influence of soft faults as a source of inaccuracy or failure in solutions obtained from distributed parallel computations. The development of resilient computational tools represents an essential recourse for understanding the best methods for absorbing the impacts of soft faults without sacrificing solution accuracy. The Rexsss (Resilient Extreme Scale Scientific Simulations) project pursues the development of fault resilient algorithms for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) on distributed systems. Performance analyses of current algorithm implementations assist in the identification of runtime inefficiencies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Evaluating Application Resilience with XRay

The rising count and shrinking feature size of transistors within modern computers is making them increasingly vulnerable to various types of soft faults. This problem is especially acute in high-performance computing (HPC) systems used for scientific computing, because these systems include many thousands of compute cores and nodes, all of which may be utilized in a single large-scale run. The increasing vulnerability of HPC applications to errors induced by soft faults is motivating extensive work on techniques to make these applications more resilient to such faults, ranging from generic techniques such as replication or checkpoint/restart to algorithm-specific error detection and tolerance techniques. Effective use of such techniques requires a detailed understanding of how a given application is affected by soft faults to ensure that (i) efforts to improve application resilience are spent in the code regions most vulnerable to faults and (ii) the appropriate resilience technique is applied to each code region. This paper presents XRay, a tool to view the application vulnerability to soft errors, and illustrates how XRay can be used in the context of a representative application. In addition to providing actionable insights into application behavior XRay automatically selects the number of fault injection experiments required to provide an informative view of application behavior, ensuring that the information is statistically well-grounded without performing unnecessary experiments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory’s Climate Resiliency Planning Process and Lessons Learned

In 2015, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) developed its first Climate Resilience Plan for its Richland Campus. PNNL has performed Climate Resilience Planning for the Department of Defense, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and Department of Energy (DOE) over the past 5 years. The assessment team included climate scientists, social scientists, engineers, and operations managers. A multi-disciplinary team was needed to understand the potential exposures to future changes at the site, the state of the science on future impacts, and the best process for “mainstreaming” new actions into existing activities. The team uncovered that the site’s greatest vulnerabilities, and therefore priorities for climate resilience planning, are high temperature due to degraded infrastructure, increased wildfire frequency, and intense precipitation impacts on stormwater conveyance systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Water Network Tool for Resilience Version 0.1

Water utilities are vulnerable to a wide variety of human-caused and natural disasters. These disruptive events can result in loss of water service, contaminated water, pipe breaks, and failed equipment. Furthermore, long term changes in water supply and customer demand can have a large impact on the operating conditions of the network. The ability to maintain drinking water service during and following these types of events is critical. Simulation and analysis tools can help water utilities explore how their network will respond to disruptive events and plan effective mitigation strategies. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Sandia National Laboratories are developing new software tools to meet this need. The Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR, pronounced winter) is a Python package designed to help water utilities investigate resilience of water distribution systems over a wide range of hazardous scenarios and to evaluate resilience-enhancing actions. The following documentation includes installation instructions and examples, description of software features, and software license. It is assumed that the reader is familiar with the Python Programming Language.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Check the Stack: An Enabling Framework for Resilient Microgrids

Highly destructive natural disasters have illustrated the fragility of critical infrastructure including emergency services, healthcare, and water treatment during long-term electricity outages. One pathway to increase the resilience of critical infrastructure amidst disruptions to grid systems is developing microgrids, particularly those that incorporate solar photovoltaics (PV) and energy storage. This document defines a resilient microgrid as a set of interconnected load that includes critical infrastructure and distributed energy resources with the ability to island from the grid during an outage. Research is limited with respect to how much critical infrastructure could benefit from microgrids, how many states have pursued this prioritization approach, and what policies need to be in place to support more widespread deployment. This report explores each of these questions to offer the industry and policymakers a clearer understanding of the opportunity for resilient microgrids and how policy can be designed to support this market.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Utility Investments in Resilience of Electricity Systems

Recent power outages caused by hurricanes, wildfires and other natural disasters, coupled with evolving cyber and physical threats, have increased interest in the resilience of electricity systems. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Grid Modernization Lab Consortium (GMLC) defines resilience as “the ability to prepare for and adapt to changing conditions and withstand and recover rapidly from disruptions, including the ability to withstand and recover from deliberate attacks, accidents, or naturally occurring threats or incidents.” In a new report for Berkeley Lab, organizations that represent state regulators, utilities and consumers discuss the level and scope of resilience needed, how to decide what investments are most impactful, and roles of local, state and federal officials.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Grid Interactive Microgrid Controller for Resilient Communities (Final Report)

The objective of this project was to determine microgrid controller requirements using a use-case approach, then develop, configure and validate the performance of an advanced microgrid controller capable of managing from 1 to 10 megawatts (MW) of aggregated generation capacity to meet the performance targets outlined in DOE Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA) DE-FOA-0000997 “Microgrid Research, Development, and System Design” and support the expanding deployment of commercial scale microgrid systems. The project aimed to develop and validate a commercially viable and flexible microgrid controller, easily adapted to different end-user community applications and to a range of electric grid characteristics with the primary outcome of the project being a standard operational model that can be deployed at multiple communities, each with unique resources and resiliency requirements. Spirae’s Wave™ microgrid controller was the advanced microgrid controller utilized in this project. The Spirae Wave™ control platform provides a scalable architecture for integrating and managing high levels of renewable and distributed energy resources (DER) at the edge of the grid. The motivation for the project is a result of the increased interest in microgrids resulting from the confluence of a number of important factors 1) Costs of distributed generation of many different types continues to decrease. This includes gas-based generation that has benefited from the lower cost of natural gas as well as renewable generation (solar, wind, hydro), 2) Storage development for many different industries is lowering its cost for the electric power industry. Storage is a key element of a microgrid to provide the flexibility of operation needed, 3) Applications like combined heat and power further improve the economics of local generation and provide the opportunity for local optimization of resources and loads, 4) There continues to be a need for improved resiliency and coordination of local system strategies (e.g. microgrids) with overall grid investments that can result in more optimum overall investment strategies and reduced times to restore power after major events. The increased interest in microgrids as both a system for local energy optimization and for improved resiliency comes with a need for new controller strategies that can help realize these applications. The new controllers should also reflect industry standards and provide a platform for continued innovation. Additionally, the controllers should be flexible to adapt to a wide variety of end-user community applications and to a wide range of electric grid characteristics. The controller should be equipped with standard functions and interfaces that can expand community opportunities for microgrids.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Exploring the Interplay of Resilience and Energy Consumption for a Task-Based Partial Differential Equations Preconditioner

We discuss algorithm-based resilience to silent data corruption (SDC) in a task- based domain-decomposition preconditioner for partial differential equations (PDEs). The algorithm exploits a reformulation of the PDE as a sampling problem, followed by a solution update through data manipulation that is resilient to SDC. The implementation is based on a server-client model where all state information is held by the servers, while clients are designed solely as computational units. Scalability tests run up to ~ 51 K cores show a parallel efficiency greater than 90%. We use a 2D elliptic PDE and a fault model based on random single bit-flip to demonstrate the resilience of the application to synthetically injected SDC. We discuss two fault scenarios: one based on the corruption of all data of a target task, and the other involving the corruption of a single data point. We show that for our application, given the test problem considered, a four-fold increase in the number of faults only yields a 2% change in the overhead to overcome their presence, from 7% to 9%. We then discuss potential savings in energy consumption via dynamics voltage/frequency scaling, and its interplay with fault-rates, and application overhead.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Utility Management Practices for Addressing Extreme Weather: A Resilience Maturity Model

This report is one of numerous initiatives launched to support and facilitate energy sector preparedness and resilience to extreme weather at national, regional and local levels. The U.S. Department of Energy's vision is a U.S. energy system that is reliable and resilient in the face of all hazards. The U.S. Department of Energy is committed to ensuring the resiliency of the U.S. energy infrastructure and systems through innovating technology development and deployment, enabling policy frameworks, robust analytical modeling, and assessment capabilities to address energy issues of national and regional importance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Software Resilience using Kokkos Ecosystem

Due to the cost of hardware failures within mission critical and scientific applications, it is necessary for software to provide a mechanism to prevent or recover from interruptions. The Kokkos ecosystem is a programming environment that provides performance and portability to many applications that run on DOE supercomputers as well as smaller scale systems. These applications require a higher level of service due to the cost associated with each simulation or the critical nature of the mission. Software resilience enables an application of manage hardware failures reducing the cost of an interruption. Two different resilience methodologies have been added to the Kokkos ecosystem: checkpointing has been added for restart capabilities and a resilient execution model has been added to account for failures in compute devices. The design and implementation of each of these additions are described, and appropriate examples are included for end users.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Coastal Community Resiliency Enhancement Using Marine Hydrokinetic (MHK) Resources and Networked Microgrids

Enormous challenges are inherent in the operation of modern distribution grids. In particular, distribution feeders can be severely compromised under extreme conditions such as large-scale weather events (e.g., hurricanes, floods, and other types of natural disasters). To combat this problem, they turn to local energy support from distributed energy resources, such as solar and wind, marine hydrolinetic (MHK), and other types of energy. In this report, we investigate the actual characteristics of MHK resources to enhance coastal community resiliency. Two typical types of MHK resources (i.e., wave and tidal resources) illustrate the coastal resilience enhancement framework. By identifying their operational characteristics, such as target time-scales and potential power generation variations, we detail a holistic coastal community resiliency enhancement framework that integrates both optimization and control efforts. The optimization problem is formulated to significantly minimize the power outage time at the critical infrastructures in coastal communities by implementing multiple autonomous and dynamic microgrids around MHK resources. Therefore, during severe power outages caused by natural disasters (e.g., floods, hurricanes), the coastal community load profiles can be satisfied using local MHK resources in each microgrid with limited or no power support from upstream power grids.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Federal Fleet Resilience Planning

Federal fleet operations span the diverse geography of the country as the vehicles provide services in support of equally diverse agency missions. Fleets face the potential for disruption of services from natural disasters, infrastructure failures, and human threats. This report reviews some of the hazards, threats, and disruptions that fleets may face, describes an approach to fleet management that incorporates resilience, and provides an overview of fleet resilience considerations. While this report is not comprehensive, it describes considerations for integrating resilience into fleet management organizational priorities.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The Resilience Planning Landscape for Communities and Electric Utilities

Synapse Energy Economics has conducted structured interviews to better characterize the current landscape of resilience planning within and across jurisdictions. Synapse interviewed representatives of a diverse group of communities and their electric utilities. The resulting case studies span geographies and utility regulatory structures and represent a range of threats. They also vary in terms of population density and size. This report summarizes our approach and the findings gleaned from these conversations. All the communities and utilities we interviewed see increased interest in and commitment of resources for energy-related resilience. The risks and consequences these communities and utilities faced in the past, face now, and will face in the future drove them to improve engagement, advance processes, further decision-making, and in many cases invest in projects. While no process used by communities and utilities was the same, the different processes used by communities and utilities allowed each one to make progress in its own way. Several approaches are emerging that can provide good models for other communities and utilities with an interest in improving resilience.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

America Resilient Climate Conference

On April 14, 2021, scientists, policymakers, and other interested parties from research institutes, academia, and other organizations gathered together virtually at the America Resilient Climate Conference to discuss one of the most pressing challenges of the 21st century: building resilience to climate change. Climate change affects the security and health of all Americans. Coastal areas are enduring more frequent and severe flooding due to sea level rise and storm surge; western states and Alaska have experienced increasingly devastating wildfires, driven in part by hotter, drier, and longer fire seasons; and communities across the nation have suffered through extreme precipitation events and heat waves. Even if emissions are reduced aggressively in the near future, the world—and the United States—will continue to feel the impacts of climate change for decades to come, due to the continued accumulation of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere. Consequently, it is essential to act now to protect natural and human assets from the gradual—as well as extreme—impacts of a changing climate. To build resilient communities, leaders and community members need science-based information about the potential impacts climate change will have decades into the future and for specific regions. Therefore, it is essential to develop high-resolution climate models that can project both various climate impacts and the interactions between earth system variables and humans down to regional and local scales. Collecting and curating data for such models and their computational requirements poses large challenges. In the future, artificial intelligence will be needed to increase their accuracy and reduce associated uncertainties. The investments in Earth system science and artificial intelligence made by the U.S. Department of Energy and other federal entities will be essential in addressing these challenges.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗