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At least 631 records · Page 35

Stability Analysis of the Flow over a Swept Forward-Facing Step using PIV Base Flowsin a Non-Orthogonal Coordinate System

Understanding the flow of a crossflow-vortex-dominated boundary layer over a forward-facing step excrescence is necessary in order to mitigate an early transition scenario on the wings and tail of commercial aircraft. By performing BiGlobal stability analysis on the flowfield measured with high-resolution, stereographic Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV), previous work has shown that a family of unstable disturbances exists in the direct downstream vicinity of a supercritical, forward-facing step. The goal of the present paper is to improve the previously used stability approach on two fronts: 1) the stability problem is formulated in a non-orthogonal coordinate system and 2) the contribution of the out-of-plane base-flow derivatives is accounted for locally. The resulting eigen solutions feature significantly stronger growth rates and eigenfunctions that are localized above regions of reverse flow. The changes in the problem formulation furthermore establish a significant improvement in the comparison of the stability solutions with the results from the Spectral Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (SPOD) of a time-resolved measurement of the perturbation content. A large destabilizing effect by the out-of-plane base-flow derivatives is determined to be justified, despite the assumption that these derivatives are small, because the effect can be reconstructed upon using an eigenvalue-correction formula that assumes the responsible terms are infinitesimally small. The unstable perturbation mechanisms are demonstrated to have a convective nature by assessing the relation between the frequency and the out-of-plane wavenumber, which indicates that their group speed does not approach zero. The last 2 facts, that 1) the perturbations are convective and 2) that the out-of-plane base-flow-derivative terms are small, remove any qualitative suspicions that the perturbation problem is not conducive to parabolization. This opens the path to analyzing this problem with a plane-marching approach.

Boundary- Layer Transition↗

Convective amplification of Type 1 irregularities in the equatorial electrojet

Wave propagation and refraction of Type 1 irregularities in the equatorial electrojet were investigated. Quantitative calculation of wave refraction in a model electrojet showed that the direction of wave refraction must change sign at one altitude. Waves propagating with the electrons rotate their wave vectors upwards in the upper electrojet and downwards in the lower electrojet during the day, and vice versa at night. Furthermore, the altitude region of largest linear growth rate is also the one with the weakest refraction rate. Consequently, computations of the ray-path integrated wave growth shows that this region would dominate the backscatter spectrum from the electrojet if linear theory were valid, and it is further noted that the maximum amplitude wave should have phase velocities exceeding the ion acoustic speed. It was concluded that propagation alone, without inclusion of nonlinear effects, cannot explain backscatter observations of a constant Doppler frequency shift given by the ion acoustic speed.

Lee, K.↗

Precipitation Measurement from Space: The Next Generation

During the coming decade, the internationally organized Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission will take an important step in creating a global rain observing system from space based on an international fleet of satellites operated as a constellation of opportunity. One perspective for understanding the nature of the mission is that it will be a hierarchical system of datastreams beginning with very high caliber combined dual frequency rain-radar/passive microwave rain-radiometer retrievals, to high caliber rain-radiometer only retrievals, and then on to blends of the former datastreams with additional lower-caliber microwave- and infrared-based rain retrievals. Within the context of the now emerging global water & energy cycle (GWEC) research programs of a number of research agencies throughout the world, the GPM mission serves as a centerpiece space mission for improving our understanding of the Earth's water cycle from global scale and on down to regional scales and below. One of the salient problems within our current understanding of the global water and energy cycle is determining whether a change in the rate of the water cycle is accompanying changes in climate, e.g., global water cycle acceleration accompanying global warming. As there are a number of ways in which to define a rate-change of the water cycle, it has not always been clear as to what constitutes a conclusive determination. This seminar presents an overview of the GPM Mission and how its overriding scientific objectives for climate, weather, and hydrology flow from the anticipated improvements that are being planned for the constellation-based measuring system, and how this mission may offer, over the long run, a more fundamental means to ascertain water cycle accelerations.

Smith, Eric A.↗

Advances In Understanding Global Water Cycle With Advent of GPM Mission

During the coming decade, the internationally organized Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission will take an important step in creating a global precipitation observing system from space based on an international fleet of satellites operated as a constellation. One perspective for understanding the nature of GPM is that it will be a hierarchical system of datastreams beginning with very high caliber combined dual frequency radar/passive microwave (PMW) rain-radiometer retrievals, to high caliber PMW rain-radiometer only retrievals, and then on to blends of the former datastreams with additional lower-caliber PMW-based and IR-based rain retrievals. Within the context of the now emerging global water & energy cycle (GWEC) programs of a number of research agencies throughout the world, GPM serves as a centerpiece space mission for improving our understanding of the Earth's water cycle from a global measurement perspective and on down to regional scales and below. One of the salient problems within our current understanding of the global water and energy cycle is determining whether a change in the rate of the water cycle is accompanying changes in climate, e.g., climate warming. As there are a number of ways in which to define a rate-change of the global water cycle, it is not entirely clear as to what constitutes such a determination. This paper first presents an overview of the GPM Mission and how its overriding scientific objectives for climate, weather, and hydrology flow from the anticipated improvements that are being planned for the constellation-based measuring system. Next, the paper shows how the GPM observations can be used within the framework of the oceanic and continental water budget equations to determine whether a given perturbation in precipitation is indicative of an actual rate change in the water cycle, consistent with required responses in water storage and/or water flux transport processes, or whether it is simply part of the natural variability of a fixed rate cycle.

Smith, Eric A.↗

Combustion Instability Analysis and the Effects of Drop Size on Acoustic Driving Rocket Flow

High frequency combustion instability, the most destructive kind, is generally solved on a per engine basis. The instability often is the result of compounding acoustic oscillations, usually from the propellant combustion itself. To counteract the instability the chamber geometry can be changed and/or the method of propellant injection can be altered. This experiment will alter the chamber dimensions slightly; using a cylindrical shape of constant diameter and the length will be varied from six to twelve inches in three-inch increments. The main flowfield will be the products of a high OF hydrogen/oxygen flow. The liquid fuel will be injected into this flowfield using a modulated injector. It will allow for varied droplet size, feed rate, spray pattern, and location for the mixture within the chamber. The response will be deduced from the chamber pressure oscillations.

Harper, Brent↗

Effect of Space Vehicle Structure Vibration on Control Moment Gyroscope Dynamics

Control Moment Gyroscopes (CMGs) are used for non-propulsive attitude control of satellites and space stations, including the International Space Station (ISS). CMGs could be essential for future long duration space missions due to the fact that they help to save propellant. CMGs were successfully tested on the ground for many years, and have been successfully used on satellites. However, operations have shown that the CMG service life on the ISS is significantly shorter than predicted. Since the dynamic environment of the ISS differs greatly from the nominal environment of satellites, it was important to analyze how operations specific to the station (dockings and undockings, huge solar array motion, crew exercising, robotic operations, etc) can affect the CMG performance. This task became even more important since the first CMG failure onboard the ISS. The CMG failure resulted in the limitation of the attitude control capabilities, more propellant consumption, and additional operational issues. Therefore, the goal of this work was to find out how the vibrations of a space vehicle structure, caused by a variety of onboard operations, can affect the CMG dynamics and performance. The equations of CMG motion were derived and analyzed for the case when the gyro foundation can vibrate in any direction. The analysis was performed for unbalanced CMG gimbals to match the CMG configuration on ISS. The analysis showed that vehicle structure vibrations can amplify and significantly change the CMG motion if the gyro gimbals are unbalanced in flight. The resonance frequencies were found. It was shown that the resonance effect depends on the magnitude of gimbal imbalance, on the direction of a structure vibration, and on gimbal bearing friction. Computer modeling results of CMG dynamics affected by the external vibration are presented. The results can explain some of the CMG vibration telemetry observed on ISS. This work shows that balancing the CMG gimbals decreases the effect of vehicle structure vibration on CMGs. Additionally, the effect of external vibrations may also be decreased by increasing the gimbal bearing friction. With the suggested modifications there may be no need to lower the gimbal rates below the nominal design requirements as it is currently done on ISS. The conclusions of this work

Dobrinskaya, Tatiana↗

Impacts of PV Module Connector Failures on Cost and Performance of Utility Scale Photovoltaic Systems

The reliability, cost and performance of electrical connectors are a concern in all types of electrical systems, and demands on connectors used on photovoltaic (PV) systems include that connectors maintain electrical conductivity and physical strength, endure ultraviolet sunlight and high ambient temperature, and resist moisture and chemical intrusion over a very long (>25 year) performance period. Connector failures increase operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and reduce plant production, but connector failure can also cause safety and liability problems, which are of greater concern. This work results from a three-year collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Solar Energy Technology Office (SETO) under Agreements #39035 and #38531 "Connector Reliability Across the US Solar Sector." a multi-pronged investigation of PV connector health across the US (see https://energy.sandia.gov/pvconnectors/). This report presents derivation of a Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) that models failure modes and frequencies (how often failure occurs), estimates O&M costs and lost production associated with connector failures, and then calculates the effect that PV module connectors can have on Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). The model is informed with initial data from quantitative assessment of failure rates, root causes and mechanisms, in-situ diagnostics and data collection, lab-based forensics, and interviews with PV connector manufacturers and plant operators. SNL conducted site inspections at multiple utility-scale sites in different climates and subjected field samples of new, used, and degraded connectors to visual and electrical characterization. EPRI conducted metallurgical analysis of the pin and sleeve conductors to study failure-induced morphological and compositional changes. There is in general a shortage of statistically valid data, but data from PVROM database maintained by SNL was sufficient to ascertain failure rates and lost production as well as provide qualitative insight in its curated maintenance records. This report details the structure of the mathematical model but the sources of data to inform the model will continue to evolve. Analysis of a 100 MW PV plant is provided as an example of the use of the model, with results indicating that connectors are responsible for Annualized O&M Costs of $\$$71,933/year; Annualized Unit O&M Costs of $\$$0.72/kW/year; that a Reserve Account of $\$$187,220 should be available to fund repairs related to connectors; that connectors add $\$$1,494,004 to the Net Present Value of the O&M Costs (project life); and that O&M related to connectors adds about $\$$0.00088/kWh to the Levelized Cost of Energy. The impact of this model is to provide a tool to make the US solar sector more robust by quantifying and monetizing the reliability risks to utility-scale PV systems posed by poorly installed, mismatched and/or poorly designed and manufactured connectors. The TEA provides a model incorporating failure statistics, O&M cost data, and lost production into a single figure of merit, informing decisions and enabling practitioners to optimize cost and performance trade-offs. Stakeholders include connector manufacturers, system designers and equipment specifiers, standards bodies, installers and O&M providers, investors and insurance underwriters. This report supports continued growth of PV predicated on assurances that properly installed and maintained PV system connectors are safe and reliable. The project team is proposing future work including accelerated testing of connectors and expanding the approach taken here to other PV system components, such as TEA for rapid shut-down devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Towards Construction of a Novel Nanometer-Resolution MeV-STEM for Imaging Thick Frozen Biological Samples

Driven by life-science applications, a mega-electron-volt Scanning Transmission Electron Microscope (MeV-STEM) has been proposed here to image thick frozen biological samples as a conventional Transmission Electron Microscope (TEM) may not be suitable to image samples thicker than 300–500 nm and various volume electron microscopy (EM) techniques either suffering from low resolution, or low speed. The high penetration of inelastic scattering signals of MeV electrons could make the MeV-STEM an appropriate microscope for biological samples as thick as 10 μm or more with a nanoscale resolution, considering the effect of electron energy, beam broadening, and low-dose limit on resolution. The best resolution is inversely related to the sample thickness and changes from 6 nm to 24 nm when the sample thickness increases from 1 μm to 10 μm. To achieve such a resolution in STEM, the imaging electrons must be focused on the specimen with a nm size and an mrad semi-convergence angle. This requires an electron beam emittance of a few picometers, which is ~1000 times smaller than the presently achieved nm emittance, in conjunction with less than 10 -4 energy spread and 1 nA current. We numerically simulated two different approaches that are potentially applicable to build a compact MeV-STEM instrument: (1) DC (Direct Current) gun, aperture, superconducting radio-frequency (SRF) cavities, and STEM column; (2) SRF gun, aperture, SRF cavities, and STEM column. Beam dynamic simulations show promising results, which meet the needs of an MeV-STEM, a few-picometer emittance, less than 10 -4 energy spread, and 0.1–1 nA current from both options. Also, we designed a compact STEM column based on permanent quadrupole quintuplet, not only to demagnify the beam size from 1 μm at the source point to 2 nm at the specimen but also to provide the freedom of changing the magnifications at the specimen and a scanning system to raster the electron beam across the sample with a step size of 2 nm and the repetition rate of 1 MHz. This makes it possible to build a compact MeV-STEM and use it to study thick, large-volume samples in cell biology.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Convective amplification of type I irregularities in the equatorial electrojet.

Wave propagation and refraction of 'type I' irregularities in the equatorial electrojet are investigated. Quantitative calculation of wave refraction in a model electrojet shows that the direction of wave refraction must change sign at one altitude. Waves propagating with the electrons rotate their wave vectors upward in the upper electrojet and downward in the lower electrojet during the day, and vice versa at night. Furthermore, the altitude region of largest linear growth rate is also the one with the weakest refraction rate. Consequently, computations of the ray-path integrated wave growth show that this region would dominate the backscatter spectrum from the electrojet if linear theory were valid, and it is further noted that the maximum amplitude wave should have phase velocities exceeding the ion acoustic speed. It is therefore concluded that propagation alone, without inclusion of nonlinear effects, cannot explain backscatter observations of a constant Doppler frequency shift given by the ion acoustic speed.

Lee, K.↗

Time- and position-varying infrared scene simulation

Rapidly changing infrared scenes can be generated as a function of position using thermally produced irradiance. This can be done most conveniently by using a variable dwell-time, variable diameter, and scanning laser beam to deposit a predetermined amount of laser energy, as a function of position, on the target surface. An infrared target simulator has been designed and tested to perform within stringent temperature simulation requirements: heating rate of over 100 K/sec is achieved, and temperature gradients of 200 K/mm can be maintained. Problems with heat transfer between adjacent elements at different temperatures are solved by modeling the thermal layer on the target surface as a low-pass filter, which cuts off all the frequencies above the thermal cutoff frequency. When the system approach is taken to the infrared simulation design, the optical system limited performance results in the best realizable performance. In this case, the thermal layer on the target surface is designed so that the thermal cutoff frequency is above the optical cutoff frequency.

Scholl, Marija S.↗

Volume and Mass Estimation of Three-Phase High Power Transformers for Space Applications

Spacecraft historically have had sub-1kW(sub e), electrical requirements for GN&C, science, and communications: Galileo at 600W(sub e), and Cassini at 900W(sub e), for example. Because most missions have had the same order of magnitude power requirements, the Power Distribution Systems (PDS) use existing, space-qualified technology and are DC. As science payload and mission duration requirements increase, however, the required electrical power increases. Subsequently, this requires a change from a passive energy conversion (solar arrays and batteries) to dynamic (alternator, solar dynamic, etc.), because dynamic conversion has higher thermal and conversion efficiencies, has higher power densities, and scales more readily to higher power levels. Furthermore, increased power requirements and physical distribution lengths are best served with high-voltage, multi-phase AC to maintain distribution efficiency and minimize voltage drops. The generated AC-voltage must be stepped-up (or down) to interface with various subsystems or electrical hardware. Part of the trade-space design for AC distribution systems is volume and mass estimation of high-power transformers. The volume and mass are functions of the power rating, operating frequency, the ambient and allowable temperature rise, the types and amount of heat transfer available, the core material and shape, the required flux density in a core, the maximum current density, etc. McLyman has tabulated the performance of a number of transformers cores and derived a "cookbook" methodology to determine the volume of transformers, whereas Schawrze had derived an empirical method to estimate the mass of single-phase transformers. Based on the work of McLyman and Schwarze, it is the intent herein to derive an empirical solution to the volume and mass estimation of three-phase, laminated EI-core power transformers, having radiated and conducted heat transfer mechanisms available. Estimation of the mounting hardware, connectors, etc. is not included.

Kimnach, Greg L.↗

Evaluation of present-day extreme precipitation over the United States: an inter-comparison of convection and dynamic permitting configurations of E3SMv1

Abstract Accurate simulation of the present-day characteristics of mean and extreme precipitation at regional scales remains a challenge for Earth system models, which is due in part to deficiencies in model physics such as convective parameterization (CP), and coarse resolution. High horizontal resolution (HR, ∼25 km) and multiscale modeling framework (MMF, i.e. replacing conventional CP with embedded km-scale cloud-resolving models) are two promising directions that could help improve the interaction between subgrid-scale physical processes and large-scale climate. Here, we evaluate simulated extreme precipitation over the United States (US) across three configurations (i.e. low-resolution [LR], HR, and MMF) of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1) and intercompare them against two gridded observation datasets (climate prediction center daily US precipitation and integrated multi-satellite retrievals for global precipitation measurement). We assess the model’s ability to simulate very heavy seasonal precipitation (illustrated by the difference between the 99th and 90th percentile values) as well as the spatial distributions of several extreme precipitation indices defined by the expert team on climate change detection and indices. Our results show that both the dry (i.e. consecutive dry days (CDD)) and wet (i.e. consecutive wet days, maximum 5 day precipitation, and very wet days) extremes evaluated herein show some improvement as well as degradation with MMF and HR relative to LR. These results vary across seasons and US subregions. For instance, only the very heavy precipitation of winter is improved with MMF and HR. Both configurations alleviate the well-known drizzling bias evident in LR across both winter and summer in many parts of the US, largely due to the overall improvement in intensity and frequency of precipitation. Additionally, our results suggest that while E3SMv1-MMF has higher intensity rates when it does rain, it has too many CDD during the summer, contributing to a low mean precipitation bias.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Analysis of Respirator Cartridge Performance Testing on the 702-AZ Primary Exhauster for the Hanford AY/AZ Tank Farms

Washington River Protection Solutions (WRPS) conducted tests on two types of chemical cartridges for use in air purifying respirators to determine the period of time that the cartridges would provide adequate performance to protect workers when exposed to a mixture of Chemicals of Potential Concern (COPC) from vapors exiting the 702-AZ primary exhauster for the Hanford AY/AZ tank farms. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) identifies cartridge testing as a valid approach for establishing cartridge change schedules. Testing is commonly applied in situations where mixtures of COPCs exist, and where other approaches, such as manufacturer recommendations and modeling, are less reliable. The tests were designed and conducted to assure measurement and/or control of the key variables OSHA identified as important to estimate cartridge service life, including temperature, humidity, COPC concentration, breathing rate, and cartridge adsorption capacity. Testing was conducted from August 26–28, 2016, on a slipstream from the 702-AZ exhauster, under static conditions fed to a respirator cartridge test stand developed by WRPS in collaboration with HiLine Engineering (Richland, Washington). Multipurpose respirator cartridges, SCOTT 7422-SD1 and SCOTT 7422-SC1(SCOTT Safety, Monroe, North Carolina) were assessed on separate days. Sample media (sorbent tubes) were used to collect samples of the vapor stream entering and exiting the respirator cartridge, and were subsequently analyzed for COPC concentrations. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory was tasked with conducting an independent analysis of the analytical results and making recommendations based on the results for respiratory cartridge performance and change-out frequency.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Can ERA5 Be Used to Study Mesoscale Convective System Climatological Characteristics?

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) produce more than half of tropical rainfall and are central to the global hydrologic cycle. As the climate warms, environments favorable for MCSs may become more common; however, limited observational records hamper understanding of how MCSs respond to variations and changes in their environments. Here, we evaluate how well MCSs are represented in ERA5, a widely used global high‐resolution reanalysis product. Using PyFLEXTRKR, which jointly tracks top‐of‐atmosphere infrared brightness temperature and surface precipitation, we identified MCSs in ERA5 and compared them with those identified in satellite observations using the same detection algorithm. This comparison analysis spans 2007–2020 using hourly data at 0.25° horizontal resolution focusing over the tropics. ERA5 reproduces observed brightness‐temperature statistics and captures the geographic distribution and seasonal and diurnal cycles of MCS cold cloud shields. However, ERA5 precipitation exhibits an intensity bias—too much light rain and too little heavy rain—which shifts the rain‐rate distribution and reduces the frequency of MCSs relative to observations. Within MCSs, ERA5 precipitation exhibits the same pattern of bias, yielding a systematic underestimation of MCS precipitation intensity. Consistent with these biases, ERA5 underestimates the contribution of MCS to tropical rainfall by 25%–34% in key regions. Overall, ERA5 is suitable for studying MCS cold cloud‐shield climatology and evolution, but precipitation‐based MCS characteristics (including event‐level precipitation features and the geospatial distribution of MCS precipitation) should be interpreted with caution. These findings clarify which aspects of MCS behavior are robustly represented in ERA5 for climatological applications.

mesoscale convection↗

Universal temperature dependence of the London penetration depth in κ - ( ET ) 2 X superconductors

High-precision radio-frequency magnetic susceptibility measurements were performed on single crystals of fully deuterated $κ-(ET)_2Cu[N(CN)_2]\,Br$, hereafter designated as $κ-(ET)_2Cu[N(CN)_2]\,Br$. This material phase separates into superconducting and antiferromagnetic regions, the degree of which depends strongly upon the cooling rate. Here, we show that the screening fraction $η_{sc}$ varies logarithmically with the cooling rate over nearly five decades. The average size of superconducting regions is estimated to vary from 5 to $40μm$, depending upon cooling rate, consistent with previous infrared microscopy measurements. In the region $T≲T_c/3$, the effective magnetic penetration depth exhibits power-law behavior $λ(T)-λ(0)~T^n$ with $n=1.6$, independent of the cooling rate. Changes in cooling rate and the consequent phase separation evidently do not introduce the kind of disorder that would alter the exponent $n$ in a $d$-wave superconductor. The exponent remains close to $n=$ 1.5, reported in single crystals of $κ-(ET)_2Cu[N(CN)_2]\,Br$ and $κ-(ET)_2Cu(NCS)_2$ [A. Carrington et al., Phys. Rev. Lett 83, 4172 (1999)]. The transition temperature fell linearly with $1-η_{sc}$. Measurements were also made on $κ-(ET)_2Cu[N(CN)_2]\,Cl$ of normal isotopic abundance in which a very small amount of superconducting phase $η_{sc}≈10^{-4}$ developed, presumably through the strain-induced sample mounting. This material showed a power-law exponent of $n=1.64$, independent of the cooling rate.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A Table-Driven Control Method to Meet Continuous, Near-Real-Time Observation Requirements for the Solar X-Ray Imager

The design of the Solar X-Ray Imager (SXI) for the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) presents an unusual scenario for controlling the observing sequences. The SXI is an operational instrument, designed not primarily for scientific research, but for providing "operational" data used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to forecast the near-term space weather. To this end, a sequence of images selected to cover the full dynamic range of the sun will be executed routinely. As the dynamics of the sun have differing temporal cadences, the frequency of various images will differ. These images must be routinely received at the forecast center in near real-time, 24-hours a day, with a minimum of interruptions. While these requirements clearly lead to a 'routine patrol' of images, the parameters for each do not form a static set. The dynamics of the sun will change with the I 1-year solar cycle. The performance of the imaging will vary with on-orbit conditions and time. And while the SXI is not intended as a research instrument, forecasting techniques may change with time, which in turn will further alter the imaging sequences. An additional complication is the highly restricted commanding window, and a very slow commanding rate. To fulfill these requirements, the SXI was designed to utilize a table-driven approach. Sequences are defined using structured loops, with nested repetitions and delays. These sequences reference combinations of imaging parameters which in turn reference tables of parameters than can be loaded by ground commands. Multiple sequences can be built and stored in preparation for execution when determined appropriate by the NOAA forecasters. The result is an approach that can be used to provide a flexible, yet autonomous SXI capable of meeting both arbitrary forecasting requirements, and operating within the commanding constraints.

Wallace, Shawn↗

A modeling examination of cloud seeding conditions under the warmer climate in Utah, USA

Assessment of how the wintertime cloud seeding conditions over Utah's mountains may change provides essential information for the state to work on increasing its snowpack in the warmer climate. Here in this study, data from the National Center for Atmospheric Research's high-resolution, convection-permitting Weather Research and Forecasting model are used to evaluate suitable conditions for wintertime cloud seeding over Utah's mountains, and to estimate future changes to these conditions under a pseudo-global warming scenario. While previous studies have examined historical cloud seeding conditions, this is the first study that explores the impact of future climate change on these conditions. Based on two atmospheric variables commonly used in cloud-seeding operations, i.e. average temperature from the surface to 1 km above ground level (-20 °C≤T≤-6 °C) and vertically integrated supercooled liquid water (SLW > 0.01 mm), Utah's mountains are suitable for seeding more than 20% of the time during winter. A greater rate of suitability exists in the northern and Uinta Mountains. In the warmer climate under a high-emissions scenario, these seeding conditions may wane as the percentage of precipitating clouds suitable for seeding, about 60% under current conditions, would decline to about 40% across the state with significance. This projected decrease is due to rising temperatures and a decreased frequency of precipitation events. These findings imply that climate warming will narrow the window of opportunity for winter cloud seeding operation in Utah.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stability and Characteristics of Lower-hybrid Drift Waves: Dependence on Electron Beta and Cross-field Relative Drift

Lower-hybrid drift waves (LHDWs) are frequently observed microinstabilities in both space and laboratory plasmas. Despite decades of study, the relationship between electrostatic (ES-LHDW) and electromagnetic (EM-LHDW) variants and the plasma parameters controlling their stability remains unclear. Here, we systematically examine LHDW behavior by solving the local linear dispersion relation over a wide range of plasma and field conditions. Our results demonstrate that ES-LHDWs and EM-LHDWs are not distinct modes but rather two different regimes of the same drift wave whose character evolves smoothly with electron beta (β e ) and the cross-field electron drift velocity relative to ions, normalized to the ion sound speed (u 0x /C s ). The nature of the waves changes from electrostatic to electromagnetic when β e increases. Growth rates increase with u 0x /C s but decrease with β e , while the most unstable wavelength remains nearly universal, with kρ e ∼ 0.8 (k is the magnitude of the wave vector and ρ e is the electron gyroradius). We further present quasi-linear estimates of nonlinear saturation properties, including energy partition among electric fields, magnetic fields, and particle kinetic responses. We show that ES-LHDWs reach higher electric-field saturation amplitudes, whereas EM-LHDWs generate strong magnetic perturbations and parallel electric fields that may enable efficient particle heating. Comparisons with the classical model reveal that retaining electromagnetic effects is essential for accurate predictions of frequency, growth rate, and the propagation angle. These findings provide a unified framework for understanding LHDWs across diverse collisionless plasma environments, including current sheets of magnetic reconnection, shear layers, collisionless shocks, and boundary regions.

Solar coronal waves↗