Power Plant Model Parameter Calibration Using Conditional Variational Autoencoder
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SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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The results of this study show that a 180°F (100°C) increase in firing temperature can increase the gas turbine efficiency by 1 percentage point without improving cooling effectiveness and add 2 additional percentage points in efficiency by using advanced turbine blades with higher internal cooling efficiency. The engine upgrades evaluated in this study show potential for increasing the CHP cycle efficiency by 3 percentage points while increasing the steam generation rate by 8%.
Abstract not provided.
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Upgrading the existing analog instrumentation and control (I&C) systems to state-of-the-art digital I&C (DI&C) systems provides the foremost means to improve performance and reduce costs for existing light-water reactors (LWRs). However, qualification of digital technologies remains a challenge?especially the issue of software common cause failure (CCF), which has been difficult to address. Existing analyses of CCFs in I&C systems mainly focus on hardware failures. With the application and upgrading of new DI&C systems, software CCFs due to design flaws might become a potential threat to plant safety, considering that most redundancy designs use similar digital platforms or software in their operating and application systems. With complex multi-layer redundancy designs to meet the single failure criterion, these I&C safety systems are of particular concern in U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) licensing procedures. In 2019, the Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway of the U.S. Department of Energy?s (DOE?s) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program initiated a project to develop a risk assessment strategy for delivering a strong technical basis to support effective, licensable, secure DI&C technologies for digital upgrades/designs. An integrated risk assessment for the DI&C (RADIC) process was proposed for this strategy to identify potential key digital-induced failures, implement reliability analyses of related digital safety I&C systems, and evaluate the unanalyzed sequences introduced by these failures (particularly software CCFs) at the plant level. This paper summarizes these RISA efforts in the risk analysis of safety-related DI& systems at Idaho National Laboratory.
Abstract not provided.
This report describes the risk-informed technical elements that will contribute to a defense-in-depth assessment for cybersecurity. Risk-informed cybersecurity must leverage the technical elements of a risk-informed approach appropriately in order to evaluate cybersecurity risk insights. HAZCADS and HAZOP+ are suitable methodologies to model the connection between digital harm and process hazards. Risk assessment modeling needs to be expanded beyond HAZCADS and HAZOP+ to consider the sequence of events that lead to plant consequences. Leveraging current practices in PRA can lead to categorization of digital assets and prioritizing digital assets commensurate with the risk. Ultimately, the culmination of cyber hazard methodologies, event sequence modeling, and digital asset categorization will facilitate a defense-in-depth assessment of cybersecurity.
Abstract not provided.
The research and development reported here is part of the Technology Enabled Risk-Informed Maintenance Strategy project sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Light Water Reactor Sustainability program. The primary objective of the research presented in this report is to produce a technical basis for developing explainable and trustable artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies. The technical basis will lay the foundation for addressing the technical and regulatory adoption challenges of AI/ML technologies across plant assets and the nuclear industry at scale and to achieve seamless cost-effective automation without compromising plant safety and reliability.
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Project Final Technical Report
A creep resistant martensitic steel, CPJ-7, was developed with an operating temperature approaching 650°C. Subsequently, another creep resistant martensitic steel, JMP, was designed with the potential to operate at, or slightly above, 650°C. This report describes the development of these alloys from early iterations of CPJ steels to the final CPJ-7 formulation as well as the more heat resistant JMP steel formulation. The design originated from computational modeling for phase stability and precipitate strengthening using fifteen constituent elements. Approximately forty heats of CPJ and ten of JMP, each weighing ~7 kg, were vacuum induction melted. A computationally optimized heat treatment schedule was developed to homogenize the ingots prior to hot forging and rolling prior to final normalization and tempering. Overall, wrought and cast versions of CPJ-7 present superior creep properties when compared to wrought and cast versions of COST alloys for steam turbine and wrought and cast versions of P91/92 for boiler applications. For instance, the Larson Miller Parameter curve for CPJ-7 at 650°C almost coincides with that of COST E at 620°C. The prolonged creep life was attributed to slowing down the process of the destabilization of the MX and M 23 C 6 precipitates at 650°C. On the other hand, the cast version of CPJ-7 also revealed superior mechanical performance, well above commercially available cast 9% Cr martensitic steel or derivatives, especially for creep life at 650°C. The casting process employed slow cooling to simulate the conditions of a thick wall full-size steam turbine casing but utilized a separate homogenization step prior to final normalization and tempering. To advance the development of CPJ-7 for commercial applications, a process was used to scale up the production of the alloy using vacuum induction melting (VIM) and electroslag remelting (ESR), which underlined the importance of melt processing control of intentionally designed minor and trace elements in these advanced alloys. Following the work on CPJ-7, the JMP steels were designed with higher Co for increased solid solution strengthening, Si for oxidation resistance and increased W (with low Mo content) for matrix strength and stability as well as solid solution strengthening. The JMP steels showed increases in creep life compared to CPJ-7 between 118 to 150% at 650°C for testing at various stresses between 138 MPa and 207 MPa. On a Larson-Miller plot, the performance of the JMP steels surpasses that of state-of-the-art MARBN and other MARBN-type steels. The influence of various elements within the composition of the alloys on the microstructure and mechanical properties are discussed. This report presents approximately 420,000 h of in-house creep testing, the equivalent of almost 50 years of cumulative creep tests.
Abstract not provided.
Abstract not provided.
The intent of this report is to address an identified knowledge gap in relating accelerated aging of nuclear electrical cables to service aging: dose rate effects (DRE). Here, DRE refer to gamma radiation-induced polymer degradation being a function of dose rate in addition to total absorbed dose. The concern raised is that historical qualification conducted at higher dose rates to simulate service lifetime may underestimate insulation degradation that occurs at lower dose rates in service. In the work described herein, common nuclear cable insulation materials—cross-linked polyethylene (XLPE) and ethylene propylene diene elastomer (EPDM)—were subjected to accelerated aging at ambient temperature (26°C) at different gamma dose rates of 100, 200 and 1800 Gy/h for select exposure durations to achieve constant total doses of 170, 210 and 300 kGy to evaluate DRE. First, the cable insulation material types investigated are described. Then, the accelerated aging experimental process involving gamma irradiation applied to the insulation specimens at room temperature and different dose rates is discussed. Then, the experimental characterization techniques used to perform this work are elucidated. These include elongation at break (EAB), mass change, yellowness index (YI), carbonyl index (CI), density, indenter modulus (IM), and relaxation constant (t). Theory of polymer degradation is discussed, and characterization results and discussion are provided. Finally, concluding remarks are made. The findings from this work and cited prior work reveal that DRE are material dependent, even between similar material categories (e.g., XLPE). In the case of the EPDM studied, degradation of ductility was observed to be greater at higher dose rate for the same total dose, indicating accelerated gamma aging to be more conservative than extended aging. Thus, conclusions regarding the conservatism of historical qualification likely require additional consideration for specific materials and conditions in question. The results of this study support the contention that, due to inherent limitations and uncertainties associated with prediction of cable remaining useful life from accelerated aging experiments, trending of installed cable insulation health status will be more practical and useful for safe and efficient cable aging management repair and replace decisions than lifetime prediction from historical qualification. The combination of material robustness demonstrated by the qualification process and ongoing monitoring of cable health status combine to provide confidence in continued safe use of existing nuclear cables. Additional research into effective and efficient condition monitoring methods for non-destructive evaluation of installed cables is needed to support aging cable management, including material studies to inform interpretation of measured results.
Summary • FPP realization within the next 10-15 years will require dedicated efforts to improve DIR, burn fraction, fueling efficiency, and/or processing times. • Modest improvements from either the fuel cycle side or plasma physics side should be possible with considered allocation of R&D funding. • Current gaps in particular include blanket extraction at scale, improved efficiency in isotope separation and detritiation, and maximizing DIR efficiency. • Total costs for FPP construction and commissioning depend heavily on site regulation, so decreases in required SI and OI can lead to large decreases in capital outlay. • Some subsystems in the fuel cycle are required from a environmental management perspective but are both energetically expensive and time consuming, particularly water detritiation. • Low inventories but high capital and operational costs mean a centralized water detritiation plant could greatly improve likelihood of deployment of multiple FPPs on the same time scale.