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At least 631 records · Page 35

An Integrated High-performance Computing and Digital Real-time Simulation Testbed to Benchmark Closed-loop Load Shedding Algorithms in Power Systems

An integrated testbed using digital real-time simulator (DRTS) and a high-performance computing (HPC) cluster is presented here to compare speed and performance of computational schemes to mitigate time-critical issues in electric power systems. The first approach in this testbed validation is taken by running a set of closed-loop load shedding algorithms to compare and contrast two paradigms of arresting cascading failure propagation. Two algorithms involve solving DC and AC power flow model-based optimization problems to compute load shedding at different buses, while a model-based stochastic search using parallel computing provides a viable alternative. The algorithms are implemented in the DRTS-HPC testbed for the IEEE 14-bus benchmark transmission system. As a proof of the concept, simulation results are presented for implementation of closed-loop load-shedding algorithms for cascading failures in the DRTS-HPC testbed

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Loads on a Jacket-Supported Wind Turbine During Hurricane Sandy Simulation

Abstract The dynamic response of a jacket-supported offshore wind turbine under coupled wind, wave, and current fields during Hurricane Sandy is the subject of this study. To illustrate the detailed procedure related to the response evaluation of a 5-MW offshore wind turbine with a jacket support structure, we consider a single site where the water depth is 50 m. Loads are computed using two simulation tools, fast and abaqus, with partial coupling. Aerodynamic loads on the turbine rotor are first evaluated using a wind turbine model in fast with a fixed base; then, these rotor aerodynamic loads are applied as point loads at the top of a model of a tower that is supported by a jacket structure in abaqus. On the basis of stochastic simulations, we discuss the applicability of the abaqus jacket modeling and describe the characteristics and comparisons of the aerodynamic and hydrodynamic effects on loads on the jacket members. Details related to the structural model and soil–pile interaction model employed in the analyses are also discussed.

Engineering↗

Pt Particles on a Dynamic TiO 2 Support in Near-Ambient Conditions−Disentangling Size, Pressure, and Support Effects

Platinum particles on reducible oxides are known to form complex and highly dynamic catalyst systems at elevated pressures and temperatures, often adopting active structures that differ from those found at room temperature and under ultrahigh vacuum (UHV). Here, we study the oxidation and structural evolution of subnanometer Pt clusters and nanoparticles supported on rutile TiO 2 (110) across an oxygen pressure range from UHV to 0.1 mbar, using near-ambient pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (NAP-XPS), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM) under UHV and NAP conditions, and low-energy ion scattering (LEIS). Our results reveal distinct differences in oxidation behavior and thermal stability between Pt nanoparticles and clusters, which are further modulated by the support stoichiometry and oxygen pressure. Small Pt clusters become oxidized even at room temperature but are susceptible to accelerated sintering in 0.1 mbar O 2 at elevated temperatures. In contrast, well-crystallized Pt nanoparticles on near-stoichiometric TiO 2 show weaker oxidation. On a reduced, defective TiO 2 support, Pt instead quickly becomes deeply buried by new titania layers, which are formed during support reoxidation. This process appears to result primarily from interactions of the support with the gas phase, unlike the classical, selflimited encapsulation that is induced by the strong metal−support interaction (SMSI). Finally, we address the full complexity of real catalysts in a direct side-by-side comparison of the single-crystalline model system with a Pt-loaded TiO 2 powder catalyst (P25). We conclude that the stoichiometry of the model supports must be carefully chosen and controlled to accurately reproduce the expected state of powder supports during redox reactions.

metal nanoparticles↗

Sequence-to-sequence neural networks for short-term electrical load forecasting in commercial office buildings

The U.S. power grid is transforming to become smarter, cleaner, and more effi- cient. This is leading to the addition of significant distributed variable renew- able generation. Due to the variable nature of renewable generation, the short- and long-term supply-demand imbalances are less predictable, and conventional approaches to mitigating the imbalance will not be efficient or cost-effective. To address this challenge, transactive control technologies have been proposed which balance energy generation and consumption with market activity and in- frastructural limitations. Transactive control requires the ability of individual end-use loads to express flexibility as a function of a transactive signal (e.g., price). Empirical gray- and black-box models have been widely used to express flexibility, and although these approaches are generally easy to construct and simple to use, they do not capture the non-linear behavior that some end-use loads represent . Machine learning approaches have been proposed to address this limitation. Although deep learning approaches for forecasting end-use loads have been explored, certain aspects of the application of deep models to load forecasting are not well understood. These aspects include how much training data is required, and how models should be structured and trained. To that end, this work explores how to approach applying deep recurrent neural networks to short-term electrical load forecasting with a case study of four commercial office buildings. We identify data requirements for training accurate models of whole building electricity use conditioned on outdoor temperature, provide insight into model hyperparameter sensitivity, and demonstrate how readily models can be generalized to unseen buildings.

Skomski, Elliott↗

OC6 Phase III: Validation of Wind Turbine Aerodynamic Loading During Surge/Pitch Motion

The objective of Phase III of the Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation and unCertainty (OC6) project was to validate the accuracy of aerodynamic load predictions by offshore wind modeling tools for a floating offshore wind turbine as it experiences large surge-translational and pitch-rotational motion, as would occur during normal operation. The test data considered were generated at Politecnico di Milano – a wind tunnel with a robotic excitation system to emulate wave loading on the wind turbine. Testing was performed using a scaled version of the DTU 10-MW reference model, and motion was prescribed as harmonic oscillations in the surge and pitch directions, independently. A variety of models were examined in the project, performing a three-way validation between engineering-level tools, higher-fidelity tools, and measurement data from two wind tunnel experimental campaigns. The Load Cases (LC) considered in this testing are as follows: LC 1.X - Steady Wind LC 2.X - Unsteady Wind - Surge Motion LC 3.X - Unsteady Wind - Pitch Motion Details on the results of the OC6 Phase III campaign can be found in the following reference: Bergua R., et al. OC6 project Phase III: validation of the aerodynamic loading on a wind turbine rotor undergoing large motion caused by a floating support structure, Wind Energ. Sci., 8, 465–485, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-465-2023, 2023.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Rolling Optimization of Transmission Network Recovery and Load Restoration Considering Hybrid Wind-Storage System and Cold Load Pickup

A common solution to deal with the stochasticity introduced by fast-ramping wind power integration is to equip wind farms (WFs) with energy storage systems (ESSs) to formulate hybrid WF-ESSs. In addition to leveling off wind power fluctuations during normal operations, a hybrid WF-ESS can be a flexible power source to accumulate the power system restoration. In this paper, we propose a rolling optimization model for transmission network recovery and load restoration considering the contributions of WF-ESSs. The proposed model is formulated as a mixed integer linear programming problem that simultaneously optimizes the amount and location of restorable load blocks as well as the restoration lines. The cold load pickup features of interrupted loads considering the outage duration are modeled in detail. A chance-constrained method is employed to deal with the uncertainty of wind power, and a rolling horizon-based framework is adopted to reduce the influence of forecast error. Case studies are conducted on both New England 39-bus system and part of a provincial power system in China. The results show that the load restoration process can be significantly accelerated by employing the proposed method and contributions of hybrid WF-ESSs to power system restoration are validated.

chance-constrained optimization↗

Optimization of District Heating Network Parameters in Steady-State Operation

Here we examine the modeling, simulation, and optimization of district heating systems, which are widely used for thermal transport using steam or hot water as a carrier. We propose a generalizable framework to specify network models and scenario parameters, and develop an optimization method for evaluating system states including pressures, fluid flowrates, and temperatures throughout the network. The network modeling includes pipes, thermal plants, pumps, and passive or controllable loads as system components. We propose basic models for thermodynamic fluid transport and enforce the balance of physical quantities in steady-state flow over co-located outgoing and return networks. We formulate an optimization problem with steam and hot water as the outgoing and return carriers, as in legacy twentieth century systems. The physical laws and engineering limitations are specified for each component type, and the thermal network flow optimization problem is formulated and solved for a realistic test network under several scenarios.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Generalizability analysis of tool condition monitoring ensemble machine learning models

Tool condition monitoring (TCM) is an essential research area for the optimization and automation of metal machining processes, and could help manufacturers reduce costs, production time, machine downtime, energy use, and part scrappage. However, TCM systems developed in prior studies have struggled to reach the high level of generalizability which is necessary for industrial applications. This study addresses TCM system generalizability to new machining conditions, how variations in machining and environmental conditions may be used to improve model generalizability, and ensemble machine learning techniques for TCM. Further, milling tool life experiments were conducted using various machining conditions, and the processes' sound, spindle power, and axial load signals were collected. Different machine learning models were evaluated for the prediction of tool wear levels, including four individual models and five ensemble models. Changes in cutting speed were found to display a large effect on model performance, while the chip load showed some effect, and the feed rate had little effect. A simulated noise data augmentation technique for model improvement is applied within TCM for the first time, and resulted in increased model generalizability and reduced overfitting. Across several performance metrics the extremely randomized trees ensemble machine learning model generally performed the best for this application, achieving a leave-one-group-out cross validation accuracy score of 92.4 %, a 10-fold cross validation score of 98.9 %, and an averaged accuracy across 11 generalizability tests of 87.3 %.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Subsurface hydrological controls on the short-term effects of hurricanes on nitrate–nitrogen runoff loading: a case study of Hurricane Ida using the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (v2.1)

When the nutrient level in the soil surpasses vegetation demand, nutrient losses due to surface runoff and subsurface leaching are the major reasons for the deterioration of water quality. The lower Mississippi River basin (LMRB) is one of the sub-basins that deliver the highest nitrogen loads to the Gulf of Mexico. Potential changes in episodic events induced by hurricanes may exacerbate water quality issue in the future. However, uncertainties in modeling the hydrologic response to hurricanes may limit the modeling of nutrient losses during such events. Using a machine learning approach, we calibrated the land component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), or ELM, version 2.1, based on the water table depth (WTD) of a calibrated 3D subsurface hydrology model. While the overall performance of the calibrated ELM is satisfactory, some discrepancies in WTD remain in slope areas with low precipitation due to the missing lateral flow process in ELM. Simulations including biogeochemistry performed using ELM with and without model calibration showed important influences of soil hydrology, precipitation intensity, and runoff parameterization on the magnitude of nitrogen runoff loss and the leaching pathway. Despite such sensitivities, both ELM simulations produced reduced WTD and increased runoff and accelerated nitrate–nitrogen runoff loading during Hurricane Ida in August 2021, consistent with the observations. With observations suggesting more pronounced effects of Hurricane Ida on nitrogen runoff than the simulations, we identified factors for model improvement to provide a useful tool for studying hurricane-induced nutrient losses in the LMRB region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Added value of site load measurements in probabilistic lifetime extension: a Lillgrund case study

Site-specific fatigue estimation is an essential part of wind turbine lifetime extension, with various methods depending on data availability. The present study compares probabilistic lifetime extension assessment results for rotor blades with and without load measurements. It also addresses two key questions in such assessments: the applicability of the Frandsen model for estimating waked turbulence under complex and mixed wake conditions and the extrapolation of mid-term data over longer time periods. The case study wind turbine is SWT-2.3-93, located at the edge of the Lillgrund wind farm, situated in the Øresund Strait between Denmark and Sweden. The turbine is extensively instrumented, with 5 years of data available from its supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system. Although the Frandsen turbulence estimates deviate in a different manner from measurements at below- and above-rated mean wind speeds, the model remains a conservative approach for fatigue load prediction and reliability. In the current case study, the site-specific assessment using strain gauge measurements yields a 33 % higher annual fatigue reliability index after 35 years compared to a scenario based on the Frandsen estimation combined with ambient environmental data and a generic aeroelastic model. The results also demonstrate that the sensitivity of fatigue reliability to load uncertainty is negligible when load measurements are used directly but relatively high when relying on the Frandsen model in combination with a generic aeroelastic model. Overall, the high variability of the lifetime extension in different scenarios of data availability and accuracy shows the importance and added value of high-quality measurements combined with wind-farm-level SCADA and a model updated in real time (digital twins).

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Supporting cost-effective watershed management strategies for Chesapeake Bay using a modeling and optimization framework

Extensive efforts to adaptively manage nutrient pollution rely on Chesapeake Bay Program’s (Phase 6) Watershed Model, called Chesapeake Assessment Scenario Tool (CAST), which helps decision-makers plan and track implementation of Best Management Practices (BMPs). We describe mathematical characteristics of CAST and develop a constrained nonlinear BMP-subset model, software, and visualization framework. This represents the first publicly available optimization framework for exploring least-cost strategies of pollutant load control for the United States’ largest estuary. The optimization identifies implementation options for a BMP subset modeled with load reduction effectiveness factors, and the web interface facilitates interactive exploration of >30,000 solutions organized by objective, nutrient control level, and for ~200 counties. We assess framework performance and demonstrate modeled cost improvements when comparing optimization-suggested proposals with proposals inspired by jurisdiction plans. Stakeholder feedback highlights the framework’s current utility for investigating cost-effective tradeoffs and its usefulness as a foundation for future analysis of restoration strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Benchmark of numerical modeling approaches on the systematic performance evaluation of wave energy converters

Different numerical modeling methods have been developed and applied to evaluate a variety of performance indicators of wave energy converters (WECs), including the power performance, structural loads, levelized cost of energy, etc. Based on the modeling fidelity, the commonly used numerical modeling approaches can be classified as linear modeling, weakly nonlinear modeling and fully nonlinear modeling approaches. Each method differs in accuracy and computational efficiency, making them suitable for different stages of WEC design. However, the selection of modeling approach could significantly impact evaluation outcomes. For instance, simplified linear models may underestimate structural loads or overestimate energy production in some operational conditions, potentially leading to less cost-effective designs. Given the widespread utilization of these models, it is essential to understand the uncertainties brought by them in performance evaluations. This work is dedicated to benchmarking different linear-potential-flow-based numerical models for evaluating the systematic performance of WECs. Three representative numerical modeling approaches are considered in this work, including linear frequency-domain modeling, statistically linearized spectral-domain modeling and Cummins equation-based nonlinear time-domain modeling. A generic point absorber WEC is considered as the research reference in this work, and different sea sites are taken into account. The numerical models are utilized to predict critical performance indicators, including power performance, the annual energy production, the capacity factor, the levelized cost of energy and the PTO fatigue loads. By comparing the results, this work identifies the uncertainties associated with different modeling approaches in evaluating WEC performance.

Fatigue↗

Net Load Redistribution Attacks on Nodal Voltage Magnitude Estimation in AC Distribution Networks

A high penetration level of smart devices and communication networks increases the threat of cyber-attacks in the distribution system. In this paper, we model a hidden, coordinated, net load redistribution attack (NLRA) in an AC distribution system. Based on local information of an attack region, the attacker’s goal is to create violations in nodal voltage magnitude estimation. Acting as a system operator equipped with global AC state estimation and bad data detection, we validate the stealthiness of the hidden NLRA in multiple attack cases. Simulation results on a modified PG&E 69-node distribution system show the validity of the proposed NLRA. The influence of NLRA on the distribution system is assessed and the impact of attack regions, attack timing, and system observability is also revealed.

Zhang, Hang↗

Explainable Bayesian Neural Network for Probabilistic Transient Stability Analysis Considering Wind Energy

While several data-driven models have been developed for transient stability assessment, how to consider the uncertainties from load and renewable generations and provide interpretation of data-driven assessment results are still open. This paper proposes an explainable Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) for probabilistic transient stability assessment (TSA). By extracting the uncertainties from loads and wind farms, the BNN model can make a reliable prediction and quantify the prediction uncertainties. We also develop the Gradient Shap algorithm to make the global and local explanations for the probabilistic TSA model, a significant advantage over existing black-box data-driven methods. Numerical results on the modified IEEE 39-bus system show that the proposed method outperforms the existing methods in terms of prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification capabilities. The explainability of the proposed method allows system operators to design preventive controls for enhancing system stability.

Bayesian Neural Network↗

Power Flow Models of Grid-Forming Inverters in Unbalanced Distribution Grids

Load unbalance in electric distribution systems is unavoidable. Unbalanced load currents will lead to negative sequence (NS) voltages that may damage electric equipment. Unbalanced power flow analysis is a common tool to detect and mitigate NS voltage issues and requires accurate models of grid components. While traditional source models are available, grid-forming (GFM) inverter models are not well developed. GFM inverters implement various control strategies, which affect their power flow models. Here, in this paper, a novel GFM inverter model considering control effects is proposed. We show that for some control methods, unbalanced system loading will lead to unbalanced terminal voltages of the GFM inverters, which are modeled through an equivalent negative sequence impedance. The proposed models are initially validated using a simple test circuit. Then, they are applied in the power flow analysis on the IEEE 13-bus and 34-bus systems to demonstrate the accuracy improvement over the state-of-the-art. Using time-domain simulations as benchmarks, we show that the proposed models reduce the calculation error of negative sequence voltages by at least 25% in unbalanced distribution systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development of a Two-Dimensional CASTLE Transmission-Line Model for all Levels of Saturn

This report describes a two-dimensional model of Saturn based on the CASTLE transmission line code. Building on previous modeling efforts, 2D circuit models based on the “chain-link fence” geometry are constructed for pre-ReCap Saturn and post-ReCap Saturn. The 2D model results are in better agreement with data from Shot 4550 measurements of load currents and doses then the previous 1D model. Lower doses (9%) predicted by the new model can be compensated by increasing the load A-K gap.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Time-Domain Vortex Induced Vibration Modeling of Reference Dynamic Power Cable for the Gulf of Maine

Vortex-induced vibration (VIV) is a phenomenon known to decrease the fatigue life of dynamic power cables used in floating offshore wind systems through increased bending loading cycles. A variety of modeling solutions have been proposed to study this, but none enable fully-coupled simulations leveraging open-source tools. To address this, a time-domain VIV model has been successfully implemented into the open-source mooring dynamics model MoorDyn. The semi-empirical VIV model describes a lift force acting on segments of a flexible cylinder, making it well suited for implementation into MoorDyn. The new capability successfully predicted the frequencies and magnitudes of strain in both steady and oscillating flows when compared to the original validation results and matched peak spectral response when compared to experimental results, verifying successful implementation. MoorDyn with VIV was then leveraged to simulate a 15 MW floating turbine with a dynamic power cable in the Gulf of Maine using OpenFAST for six return periods of combined wind, wave, and current conditions. Increased curvature and tension fluctuations in higher flow speeds were observed when simulating VIV. Maximum tensions and curvatures also increased, with the 500 year conditions violating the curvature factor of safety of 2.0. These results highlight the importance of considering VIV when designing dynamic power cables for the Gulf of Maine, and indicate that cost effective mitigation strategies should be explored for the area. They also demonstrate the utility of this new modeling capability, which provides the first open-source tool for fully coupled time-domain floating offshore wind simulations with dynamic power cable VIV.

17 WIND ENERGY↗