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At least 631 records · Page 35
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Mechanistic Origin of Photoredox Catalysis Involving Iron(II) Polypyridyl Chromophores

Photoredox catalysis employing ruthenium- and iridium-based chromophores have been the subject of considerable research. However, the natural abundance of these elements are among the lowest on the periodic table, a fact that has led to an interest in developing chromophores based on earth-abundant transition metals that can perform the same function. There have been reports of using Fe II -based polypyridyl complexes as photocatalysts, but there is limited mechanistic information pertaining to the nature of their reactivity in the context of photoredox chemistry. Herein, we report the results of bimolecular quenching studies between [Fe(tren(py) 3 )] 2+ (where tren(py) 3 = tris(2-pyridyl-methylimino-ethyl)amine) and a series of benzoquinoid acceptors. The data provide direct evidence of electron transfer involving the lowest-energy ligand-field excited state of the Fe(II)-based photosensitizer, definitively establishing that Fe(II) polypyridyl complexes can engage in photoinduced redox reactions but by a mechanism that is fundamentally different than the MLCT-based chemistry endemic to their second- and third-row congeners.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Can the Rate of a Catalytic Turnover Be Altered by Ligands in the Absence of Direct Binding Interactions?

Second sphere coordination effects ubiquitous in enzymatic catalysis occur through direct interactions, either covalent or non-covalent, with reaction intermediates and transition states. Here, we present herein evidence of indirect second sphere coordination effects in which ligation of water/alkanols far removed from the primary coordination sphere of the active site nevertheless alter energetic landscapes within catalytic redox cycles in the absence of direct physicochemical interactions with surface species mediating catalytic turnovers. Density functional theory, in situ X-ray absorption and infrared spectroscopy, and a wide array of steady-state and transient CO oxidation rate data suggest that the presence of peripheral water renders oxidation half-cycles within two-electron redox cycles over μ m -oxo-bridged trimers in MIL-100(M) more kinetically demanding. Communication between ligated water and the active site appears to occur through the Fe-O-Fe backbone, as inferred from spin density variations on the central μ m -oxygen 'junction'. Evidence is provided for the generality of these second sphere effects in that they influence different types of redox half-cycles or metals, and can be amplified or attenuated through choice of coordinating ligand. Specifically in the case of MIL-100(M) materials, the Cr isostructure can be made to kinetically mimic the Fe variant by disproportionately hindering oxidation half-cycles relative to the reduction half-cycles. Kinetic and spectroscopic inferences presented here significantly expand both the conceptual definition of second sphere effects as well as the palette of synthetic levers available for tuning catalytic redox performance through chemical ligation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tests of the DFT Ladder for the Fulminic Acid Challenge

Properties of the historically pivotal fulminic acid (HCNO) molecule have been computed with a panoply of 473 density functionals of all varieties, providing a snapshot of the performance of contemporary density functional theory (DFT) for a challenging chemical system. Exhaustive tabulations and statistical analyses have been carried out for geometric parameters, vibrational frequencies, barriers to linearity, and the HCN–O dissociation energy. As the DFT ladder is climbed, confusion rather than consensus ensues regarding the details of the distinctive, extremely flat H–C–N bending potential of fulminic acid and whether the equilibrium structure is linear or bent. While high-ranking DFT functionals produce the smallest errors for the HCN + O( 3 P) → HCNO reaction energy, lower rungs emerge as the best performers for many of the bond distances and harmonic vibrational frequencies. This research shows that the current DFT zoo of approximations does not constitute a transparent ladder of increasingly accurate methods that consistently converges on definitive predictions for various properties of HCNO. Additional analyses are performed on the side effects of popular dispersion corrections on the covalently bonded properties and thermochemistry of HCNO.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Solvatochromic Near Infrared Fluorophore Sensitive to the Full Amyloid Beta Aggregation Pathway

Alzheimer's disease has long been associated with the aggregation of amyloid beta peptides (Aβ42) into macroscale plaques, although specific neurodegenerative agents have not been definitively identified. Much evidence has pointed to the soluble nanoscale oligomers that form early in the Aβ42 aggregation pathway, but there is little understanding of these structures, their mechanisms of formation, or how they grow into plaques. Here, we show that a solvatochromic fluorophore with near-infrared (NIR) emission can track synthetic Aβ42 aggregation through environment-sensitive spectral shifts from the earliest time points through plaque formation. This azide-functionalized phosphine oxide azetidine rhodol (Phazr-N3) shows large polarity-dependent changes in fluorescence emission, with maxima shifting from 630 nm in toluene to 703 nm in aqueous buffer, and a maximum quantum yield of 62%. Upon induction of Aβ42 aggregation, we observe immediate solvatochromic changes in Phazr-N3 fluorescence, with multiple apparent phases over 12 h, and which culminate before the onset of any major fluorescence changes of conformation-specific aggregation fluorophore thioflavin T. Solution anisotropy measurements show a low micromolar affinity of Phazr-N3 for disordered, free Aβ42 in solution, and real-time measurements are consistent with rapid liquid-liquid phase separation and slow dehydration of the growing aggregate. Spectral imaging of synthetic plaques stained in the presence of live cells and lipid-binding protein albumin shows over 4000-fold Phazr-N3 fluorescence intensity above background under no-wash conditions, and over 100-fold intensity above coplated microglial cells or a large excess of albumin. This use of a solvatochromic probe with structure-independent binding to free Aβ42 offers real-time, minimally invasive insight into the full Aβ42 aggregation pathway.

Wang, Zeming↗
DOE OSTI2021

ESI-MS Identification of the Cationic Phosphine-Ligated Gold Clusters Au1-Au22: Insight into the Gold-Ligand Ratio and Abundance of Larger Clusters

Triphenylphosphine (PPh3)-ligated gold clusters offer promising potential applications due to their relative ease of synthesis and usefulness in forming advanced cluster architectures. While previous studies reported cationic PPh3-ligated gold clusters with core sizes of Au1 - Au4, Au6 - Au11, and Au¬13 - Au14, there has not been definitive identification by mass spectrometry of larger clusters in the Au12 - Au25¬ range. Herein, we survey a polydisperse solution of cationic PPh3-ligated gold clusters using high mass-resolution (M/?M = 60,000) electrospray ionization mass spectrometry (ESI-MS). To improve the sensitivity and mass resolution of larger clusters for unambiguous identification, we increased the number of scan averages and reduced the range of mass collection windows to 200 m/z, thereby mitigating potential mass and ion abundance bias resulting from smaller “building block” gold clusters and other solution components present in higher abundance. In addition to the previously reported clusters, we identified several new species including Au5(PPh3)5+, Au12(PPh3)9HCl2+, Au15(PPh3)9Cl2+, Au16(PPh3)10Cl22+, Au17(PPh3)113+, Au18(PPh3)102+, Au19(PPh3)10Cl2+, Au20(PPh3)12H33+, Au21(PPh3)10Cl2+, and Au22(PPh3)10Cl22+, indicating that a full range of clusters between Au1 - Au22 may be observed in a single polydisperse solution. Considering all of the observed clusters, our findings provide evidence that the “magic number” icosahedral Au13 may be the transition point in cluster growth between smaller clusters, exhibiting a 1:1 gold-to-ligand ratio, and larger clusters, wherein subsequent gold atoms are added to the core without an equal number of accompanying ligands. Our method demonstrates that reducing the range of m/z collection windows and increasing the number of scan averages can improve instrument sensitivity for cationic gold clusters and enable a more complete survey of polydisperse solutions, thereby providing new insights to guide and validate the results of other characterization methods and theoretical calculations. This work was supported by the US Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences, and Biosciences. MH acknowledges support from the DOE Science Undergraduate Laboratory Internship (SULI) program. HH acknowledges support from the DOE Office of Workforce Development for Teachers and Scientist (WDTS) under the Visiting Faculty Program (VFP). This work was performed using EMSL, a national scientific user facility sponsored by the DOE's Office of Biological and Environmental Research and located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). PNNL is a multiprogram national laboratory operated for DOE by Battelle.

Hewitt, Michael↗
DOE OSTI2020

Moisture‐ Versus Wind‐Dominated Flavors of Atmospheric Rivers

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are essential features of the global water cycle. Although AR definitions are commonly based on integrated vapor transport (IVT), ARs of a given IVT can induce a wide range of surface precipitation and wind impacts. We develop an AR “flavor” metric that partitions AR IVT into moisture‐dominant and wind‐dominant components. We use this metric to create a climatological catalog of “wet” and “windy” ARs along the U.S. West Coast from 1980 to 2016. Windy ARs are generally associated with stronger surface winds than are wet ARs, with the largest differences at low IVT. Windy ARs are also associated with greater daily precipitation totals than are wet ARs, with the difference widening at higher IVT, notably over mountainous regions. Pacific Northwest ARs have become increasingly moisture dominated over 1980–2016, which has important implications for western U.S. water availability and flood risk.

Gonzales, Katerina R.↗
DOE OSTI2020

A New Crater Near InSight: Implications for Seismic Impact Detectability on Mars

A new 1.5 m diameter impact crater was discovered on Mars only ~40 km from the InSight lander. Context camera images constrained its formation between 21 February and 6 April 2019; follow-up High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment images resolved the crater. During this time period, three seismic events were identified in InSight data. In this paper, we derive expected seismic signal characteristics and use them to evaluate each of the seismic events. However, none of them can definitively be associated with this source. Atmospheric perturbations are generally expected to be generated during impacts; however, in this case, no signal could be identified as related to the known impact. Using scaling relationships based on the terrestrial and lunar analogs and numerical modeling, we predict the amplitude, peak frequency, and duration of the seismic signal that would have emanated from this impact. The predicted amplitude falls near the lowest levels of the measured seismometer noise for the predicted frequency. Hence, it is not surprising this impact event was not positively identified in the seismic data. Finding this crater was a lucky event as its formation this close to InSight has a probability of only ~0.2, and the odds of capturing it in before and after images are extremely low. We revisit impact-seismic discriminators in light of real experience with a seismometer on the Martian surface. Using measured noise of the instrument, we revise our previous prediction of seismic impact detections downward, from ~a few to tens, to just ~2 per Earth year, still with an order of magnitude uncertainty.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

The Average Shape of Sea Ice Ridge Keels

Through analysis of over 64,000 ridge profiles identified from moored upward-looking sonars, we identify a well-defined average shape of pressure ridge keels that is concave or cusped, not triangular as widely assumed in other literature. On the basis of this average shape, we put forward a new, dimensional-definition, of a pressure ridge cross-section that follows a negative exponential form and allows an average pressure ridge cross section to be constructed with knowledge or choice of a single parameter. The horizonal asymptote of the profile represents the draft of the “background” ice in which the ridge is embedded. The draft of this background ice scales with keel depth and is typically greater than can be accounted through thermodynamic growth, indicating that ridges tend to be embedded in fields of mechanically thickened rubble. Using a variational ridge model we simulated keel shapes for a range of ridge building conditions. Here, the model results agree well with the observations and indicate the cusped shape of an average ridge profile arises from the varying angle of horizontal shear in the ice cover when ridges form. The modeling results also explain the elongated tail of the area draft distribution of the pack.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Behaviors of Intraseasonal Cloud Organization During DYNAMO/AMIE

This study investigates the organization of tropical convection associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) during the Dynamics of the MJO/Atmospheric Radiation Measurement MJO Investigation Experiment field campaign. While it is known that tropical clouds can organize and impact the large-scale environment, how this occurs, and its underlying mechanism are not fully understood. Application of several existing cloud organization indices showed inconsistent evolutions in the measured degree of organization with the MJO. The inconsistency arises from the varying definitions and assumptions of cloud organization behaviors that are applied to each index. While these indices often combine different properties of clouds, such as their number density, size, and distance between them, the analysis of these properties separately provided further understanding of how clouds organize with the MJO. Using the rainfall clusters identified from the S-Polka radar, we find that deep convective rainfall clusters begin to increase their number density before the arrival of MJO enhanced convective center, which is accompanied by increased proximity (shorter distance to each other) and followed by growth in their size. However, the nonrandomness in the spatial distribution of rainfall clusters maximizes as MJO convection decays. Deep convective clusters become the least randomly distributed as the clusters decay because of the suppression and decay of isolated deep convective cells, while clustered deep convective cells exist longer. This evolution of cloud organization is analogous to mesoscale convective systems, indicating that the duration and frequency of their organization stages are altered by the large-scale environmental perturbations associated with the MJO.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating Uncertainty and Modes of Variability for Antarctic Atmospheric Rivers

Abstract Antarctic atmospheric rivers (ARs) are driven by their synoptic environments and lead to profound and varying impacts along the coastlines and over the continent. The definition and detection of ARs over Antarctica accounts for large uncertainty in AR metrics, and consequently, impacts quantification. We find that Antarctic‐specific detection tools consistently capture the AR footprint inland over ice sheets, whereas most global detection tools do not. Large‐scale synoptic environments and associated ARs, however, are broadly consistent across detection tools. Using data from the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project and global reanalyses, we quantify the uncertainty in Antarctic AR metrics and evaluate large‐scale environments in the context of decadal and interannual modes of variability. The Antarctic western hemisphere has stronger connections to both decadal and interannual modes of variability compared to East Antarctica, and the Indian Ocean Dipole’s influence on Antarctic ARs is stronger while in phase with El Nino Southern Oscillation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Curiosity Rover's Exploration of Glen Torridon, Gale Crater, Mars: An Overview of the Campaign and Scientific Results

The Mars Science Laboratory rover, Curiosity, explored the clay mineral-bearing Glen Torridon region for 1 Martian year between January 2019 and January 2021, including a short campaign onto the Greenheugh pediment. The Glen Torridon campaign sought to characterize the geology of the area, seek evidence of habitable environments, and document the onset of a potentially global climatic transition during the Hesperian era. Curiosity roved 5 km in total throughout Glen Torridon, from the Vera Rubin ridge to the northern margin of the Greenheugh pediment. Curiosity acquired samples from 11 drill holes during this campaign and conducted the first Martian thermochemolytic-based organics detection experiment with the Sample Analysis at Mars instrument suite. The lowest elevations within Glen Torridon represent a continuation of lacustrine Murray formation deposits, but overlying widespread cross bedded sandstones indicate an interval of more energetic fluvial environments and prompted the definition of a new stratigraphic formation in the Mount Sharp group called the Carolyn Shoemaker formation. Glen Torridon hosts abundant phyllosilicates yet remains compositionally and mineralogically comparable to the rest of the Mount Sharp group. Glen Torridon samples have a great diversity and abundance of sulfur-bearing organic molecules, which are consistent with the presence of ancient refractory organic matter. The Glen Torridon region experienced heterogeneous diagenesis, with the most striking alteration occurring just below the Siccar Point unconformity at the Greenheugh pediment. Results from the pediment campaign show that the capping sandstone formed within the Stimson Hesperian aeolian sand sea that experienced seasonal variations in wind direction.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Realistic Potential of Soil Carbon Sequestration in U.S. Croplands for Climate Mitigation

Existing estimates of the climate mitigation potential from cropland carbon sequestration (C-sequestration) are limited because they tend to assume constant rates of soil organic carbon change over all available cropland area, use relatively coarse land delineations, and often fail to adequately consider the agronomic and socioeconomic dimensions of agricultural land use. This results in an inflated estimate of the C-sequestration potential. We address this gap by defining a more appropriate land base for cover cropping in the United States for C-sequestration purposes: stable croplands in annual production systems that can integrate cover cropping without irrigation. Our baseline estimate of this suitable stable cropland area is 32% of current U.S. cropland extent. Even an alternative, less restrictive definition of stability results in a large reduction in area (44% of current U.S. croplands). Focusing cover crop implementation to this constrained land base would increase durability of associated C-sequestration and limit soil carbon loss from land conversion to qualify for carbon-specific incentives. Applying spatially-variable C-sequestration rates from the literature to our baseline area yields a technical potential of 19.4 Tg CO 2 e yr –1 annually, about one-fifth of previous estimates. We also find the cost of realizing about half (10 Tg CO 2 e yr –1 ) of this potential could exceed 100 USD Mg CO 2 e –1 , an order of magnitude higher than previously thought. While our economic analyses suggest that financial incentives are necessary for large-scale adoption of cover cropping in the U.S., they also imply any C-sequestration realized under such incentives is likely to be additional.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Forest Soil Carbon Efflux Evaluation Across China: A New Estimate With Machine Learning

Forest soil respiration (Rs) plays an important role in the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems. China's forest occupies a large part of the world's forest. However, due to the lack of integrated observation data and appropriate upscaling methodologies, substantial uncertainties exist in the Rs evaluation, which limits our understanding of the carbon balance. Here, we re-evaluated the total soil carbon effluxes across China by combining field observations from 634 published annual Rs with a machine learning technique (i.e., Random Forest (RF)). Our results revealed that the combination of systematic measurements with the RF model allowed a definite estimate. The average annual Rs was 773.6 g C m -2 yr -1 , ranging from 404.6 to 1,772.3 g C m -2 yr -1 . Total forest soil carbon effluxes amounted to 1.17 Pg C yr -1 in China. Geographically, annual Rs showed a clear spatially increasing trend from northeast to southwest. Forest type is an important factor in determining the soil respiration rate. Bamboo and Evergreen broadleaf forests were higher than other types of forests. In conclusion, these results provide a unique insight into the magnitudes and mechanisms of soil CO 2 emissions in China's forest ecosystems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Refining Planetary Boundary Layer Height Retrievals From Micropulse‐Lidar at Multiple ARM Sites Around the World

Abstract Knowledge of the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) is crucial for various applications in atmospheric and environmental sciences. Lidar measurements are frequently used to monitor the evolution of the PBLH, providing more frequent observations than traditional radiosonde‐based methods. However, lidar‐derived PBLH estimates have substantial uncertainties, contingent upon the retrieval algorithm used. In addressing this, we applied the Different Thermo‐Dynamic Stabilities (DTDS) algorithm to establish a PBLH data set at five separate Department of Energy's Atmospheric Radiation Measurement sites across the globe. Both the PBLH methodology and the products are subject to rigorous assessments in terms of their uncertainties and constraints, juxtaposing them with other products. The DTDS‐derived product consistently aligns with radiosonde PBLH estimates, with correlation coefficients exceeding 0.77 across all sites. This study delves into a detailed examination of the strengths and limitations of PBLH data sets with respect to both radiosonde‐derived and other lidar‐based estimates of the PBLH by exploring their respective errors and uncertainties. It is found that varying techniques and definitions can lead to diverse PBLH retrievals due to the inherent intricacy and variability of the boundary layer. Our DTDS‐derived PBLH data set outperforms existing products derived from ceilometer data, offering a more precise representation of the PBLH. This extensive data set paves the way for advanced studies and an improved understanding of boundary‐layer dynamics, with valuable applications in weather forecasting, climate modeling, and environmental studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mesoscale Convective Systems Represented in High Resolution E3SMv2 and Impact of New Cloud and Convection Parameterizations

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) play an important role in modulating the global hydrological cycle, general circulation, and radiative energy budget. In this study, we evaluate MCS simulations in the second version of U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv2). E3SMv2 atmosphere model (EAMv2) is run at the uniform 0.25? horizontal resolution. We track MCSs consistently in the model and observations using the PyFLEXTRKR algorithm, which defines MCS based on both cloud-top brightness temperature (Tb) and surface precipitation. Results from using Tb only to define MCS, commonly used in previous studies, are also discussed. Furthermore, sensitivity experiments are performed to examine the impact of new cloud and convection parameterizations developed for EAMv3 on simulated MCSs. Our results show that EAMv2 simulated MCS precipitation is largely underestimated in the tropics and contiguous United States. This is mainly attributed to the underestimated precipitation intensity in EAMv2. In contrast, the simulated MCS frequency becomes more comparable to observations if MCSs are defined only based on cloud-top Tb. The Tb-based MCS tracking method, however, includes many cloud systems with very weak precipitation which conflicts with the MCS definition. This result illustrates the importance of accounting for precipitation in evaluating simulated MCSs. We also find that the new physics parameterizations help increase the relative contribution of convective precipitation to total precipitation in the tropics, but the simulated MCS properties are generally not improved. This suggests that simulating MCSs will remain a challenge for the next version of E3SM.

Zhang, Meng↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sensitivities of Large Eddy Simulations of Aerosol Plume Transport and Cloud Response

Abstract Cloud responses to surface‐based sources of aerosol perturbation partially depend on how turbulent transport of the aerosol to cloud base affects the spatial and temporal distribution of aerosol. Here, scenarios of plume injection below a marine stratocumulus cloud are modeled using large eddy simulations coupled to a prognostic bulk aerosol and cloud microphysics scheme. Both passive plumes, consisting of an inert tracer, and active plumes are investigated, where the latter are representative of saltwater droplet plumes such as have been proposed for marine cloud brightening. Passive plume scenarios show higher in‐plume cloud brightness (relative to out‐of‐plume) due to the predominant transport of the passive plume tracer from the near‐surface to the cloud layer within updrafts. These updrafts rise into brighter areas within the cloud deck, even in the absence of an aerosol perturbation associated with an active plume. Comparing albedo at in‐plume to out‐of‐plume locations associates the inert plume with the brightest cloud locations, without any causal effect of the plume on the cloud. Numerical sensitivities are first assessed to establish a suitable model configuration. Then sensitivity to particle injection rate is investigated. Trade‐offs are identified between the number of injected particles and the suppressive effect of droplet evaporation on plume loft and spread. Furthermore, as the near‐field in‐plume brightening effect does not depend significantly on injection rate given a suitable definition of perturbed versus unperturbed regions of the flow, plume area is a key controlling factor on the overall cloud brightening effect of an aerosol perturbation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Using Machine Learning to Generate a GISS ModelE Calibrated Physics Ensemble (CPE)

A neural network (NN) surrogate of the NASA GISS ModelE atmosphere (version E3) is trained on a perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) spanning 45 physics parameters and 36 outputs. The NN is leveraged in a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Bayesian parameter inference framework to generate a second posterior constrained ensemble coined a “calibrated physics ensemble,” or CPE. The CPE members are characterized by diverse parameter combinations and are, by definition, close to top-of-atmosphere radiative balance, and must broadly agree with numerous hydrologic, energy cycle and radiative forcing metrics simultaneously. Global observations of numerous cloud, environment, and radiation properties (provided by global satellite products) are crucial for CPE generation. The inference framework explicitly accounts for discrepancies (or biases) in satellite products during CPE generation. We demonstrate that product discrepancies strongly impact calibration of important model parameter settings (e.g., convective plume entrainment rates; fall speed for cloud ice). Structural improvements new to E3 are retained across CPE members (e.g., stratocumulus simulation). Notably, the framework improved the simulation of shallow cumulus and Amazon rainfall while not degrading radiation fields, an upgrade that neither default parameters nor Latin Hypercube parameter searching achieved. Analyses of the initial PPE suggested several parameters were unimportant for output variation. However, many “unimportant” parameters were needed for CPE generation, a result that brings to the forefront how parameter importance should be determined in PPEs. From the CPE, two diverse 45-dimensional parameter configurations are retained to generate radiatively-balanced, auto-tuned atmospheres that were used in two E3 submissions to CMIP6.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Temporal Variability in Reservoir Surface Area Is an Important Source of Uncertainty in GHG Emission Estimates

Ebullitive methane (CH 4 ) emissions in lentic ecosystems tend to concentrate at river-lake interfaces and within shallow littoral zones. However, inconsistent definitions of the littoral zone and static representations of the lake or reservoir surface area contribute to major uncertainties in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions estimates, particularly in reservoirs with large water-level fluctuations. This study examines temporal variation in littoral and total surface areas of US reservoirs and demonstrates how different methods and data sources lead to discrepencies in reservoir GHG emissions at large scales and over time. We also explore variability in remotely sensed water occurrence according to maximum surface area, reservoir purposes, and hydrologic regions. Notably, the largest relative variability in surface area is exhibited by small reservoirs with a maximum surface area <1 km 2 and non-hydroelectric reservoirs. Additionally, we use a case study of measured CH 4 emissions from the southeastern United States (Douglas Reservoir) to illustrate the effects of varying surface area on reservoir-wide GHG estimates. Upscaled CH 4 emissions in Douglas Reservoir differed by nearly two-fold depending on the source of total surface area data and whether estimates accounted for seasonal fluctuations in surface area. During seasonal drawdown in Douglas Reservoir, relative littoral area varies non-linearly; periods of lower pool elevation (and thus larger relative littoral area) likely contribute disproportionately high CH 4 emission rates compared to the commonly sampled summer season when water levels are at full-pool elevation. Improved GHG monitoring and upscaling techniques require accounting for temporal variability in reservoir surface extent and littoral area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗