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At least 631 records · Page 35

Comparative Study of Differentially Private Data Synthesis Methods

When sharing data among researchers or releasing data for public use, there is a risk of exposing sensitive information of individuals in the data set. Data synthesis is a statistical disclosure limitation technique for releasing synthetic data sets with pseudo individual records. Traditional data synthesis techniques often rely on strong assumptions of a data intruder’s behaviors and background knowledge to assess disclosure risk. Differential privacy (DP) formulates a theoretical approach for a strong and robust privacy guarantee in data release without having to model intruders’ behaviors. Efforts have been made aiming to incorporate the DP concept in the data synthesis process. Here, we examine current DIfferentially Private Data Synthesis (DIPS) techniques for releasing individual-level surrogate data for the original data, compare the techniques conceptually and evaluate the statistical utility and inferential properties of the synthetic data via each DIPS technique through extensive simulation studies. Our work sheds light on the practical feasibility and utility of the various DIPS approaches, and suggests future research directions for DIPS.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Comparative Thermal Performance of Downdraft and Updraft Forced Convection in a Representative 3x3 PWR Fuel Assembly

A plethora of theoretical, numerical, and experimental investigations have relied on updraft forced convection of operating fuel assemblies for light water-cooled fuel assemblies. The inertial scales of turbulence in updraft flow through PWR fuel assemblies are primarily influenced by upstream mixing patterns within the lower plenum and consequent acceleration of flow through the lower core and support plates into the bottom nozzles. In secondary heat transfer applications such as steam generation, recuperation and economization, downdraft flow is utilized to retrieve maximal sensible heat from the primary coolant. Sub-channel volumes aligned vertically could also benefit from force of gravity in developing turbulent flows. A large reduction in pumping power, associated cost of operation and maintenance, and improved balance of plant is suggested to be possible through downdraft forced convection in PWR-type reactors. This article explores the impact of downdraft forced convection within the well-studied 3x3 sub-channel within a range of 20 hydraulic diameters across a representative intermediate flow mixing grid. A range of inflow Reynolds number from 10,000 to 60,000 is simulated over a range of equivalent heat loads of 20% to 100% spanning 20 hydraulic diameters. The fuel rods are represented in true geometric detail, and a constant-value heat profile is assumed for the investigation. At each inflow condition, the turbulence intensity, peak velocity, local heat transfer coefficient, peak wall heat flux, and peak wall temperature are collected across the sub-channel and compared with an updraft configuration evaluated at the same conditions.

Rao, Vivek↗

Determination of γ-ray branching ratios for ⁹⁵Zr and ¹⁴⁷Nd

For many fission products, the γ rays emitted following decay provide an easily-detectable signature that can be used to identify their quantities and distributions in a sample. As a result, γ-ray spectroscopy is often exploited to study fission-product yields (FPYs), provided sufficiently accurate information on the γ-ray branching ratio is available. However, in many cases, the uncertainties in the existing nuclear data are large enough that they compromise the precision achievable for modern experiments and applications. To address this need, we have developed a new experimental method that is well suited to precisely measure the γ-ray branching ratios in the decay of long-lived fission products. The approach involves the production of a radiopure sample by implantation of a mass-separated ion beam from the CAlifornium Rare Isotope Breeder Upgrade (CARIBU) facility on a thin carbon foil. The emitted β -decay radiation is detected with a 4π gas proportional counter and a meticulously efficiency-calibrated high-purity germanium (HPGe) detector. As a first measurement to demonstrate the approach, we studied the γ-ray branching ratios of the strongest transitions following the decay of ⁹⁵Zr and decay-daughter ⁹⁵Nb and determined these branching ratios to fractional precisions of 1%. We then applied this approach to determine the γ-ray branching ratios for the β decay of ¹⁴⁷Nd. The results for the γ-ray branching ratios are presented here and compared to previous results and evaluations.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Advanced Visualization of Silent Error Propagation in HPC Applications

Last year, we refactored the major components of the SpotSDC visualization platform and added a visualization component for fault tolerance boundary. Also, we designed a new analysis framework to understand an application resiliency with a significantly less amount of samples compared to previous approaches. We evaluated the visualization platform and analysis framework for multiple critical HPC computation kernels and collected evidence for the effectiveness of the method developed.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Advanced Visualization of Silent Error Propagation in HPC Applications

Last year, we refactored the major components of the SpotSDC visualization platform and added a visualization component for fault tolerance boundary. Also, we designed a new analysis framework to understand an application resiliency with a significantly less amount of samples compared to previous approaches. We evaluated the visualization platform and analysis framework for multiple critical HPC computation kernels and collected evidence for the effectiveness of the method developed. We published the findings of our research in the IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics (TVCG), the top journal in visualization. Moreover, we submitted a new paper, "Understanding a Program's Resiliency Through Error Propagation," to the PPOPP 2021 conference.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Continual Learning for Pattern Recognizers using Neurogenesis Deep Learning

Deep neural networks have emerged as a leading set of algorithms to infer information from a variety of data sources such as images and time series data. In their most basic form, neural networks lack the ability to adapt to new classes of information. Continual learning is a field of study attempting to give previously trained deep learning models the ability to adapt to a changing environment. Previous work developed a CL method called Neurogenesis for Deep Learning (NDL). Here, we combine NDL with a specific neural network architecture (the Ladder Network) to produce a system capable of automatically adapting a classification neural network to new classes of data. The NDL Ladder Network was evaluated against other leading CL methods. While the NDL and Ladder Network system did not match the cutting edge performance achieved by other CL methods, in most cases it performed comparably and is the only system evaluated that can learn new classes of information with no human intervention.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

ARDP Natrium Neutronic Methodology: Argonne Neutronic Assessment of ABR-1000

The Natrium Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) concept developed by TerraPower, LLC was selected as one of the advanced reactor designs for demonstration under the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program Natrium Demo project. In collaboration with TerraPower, the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) team provide independent reviews of the neutronic methodology being used for the Natrium design. As part of this activity, both the TerraPower and ANL teams agreed to perform independent neutronics analyses of the ABR-1000 reactor problem as a demonstration on the usage of the neutronics methodologies. Comparison of the results from TerraPower and ANL would expose any methodological differences in the modeling approaches. This report describes and presents the Argonne analysis work on the ABR-1000, and will be provided to TerraPower, along with data files, to complete the comparison study. The comparison will cover the methodology to evaluate the reactivity coefficients for a safety analysis, the shutdown margin, and the reconstructed pin power distribution. The methods and models used to calculate the kinetic parameters and the reactivity coefficients (density, Doppler, axial/radial expansion, etc.) are described in detail with recommendations of specific method options and modelling techniques. The control system reactivity worth and the excess reactivity due to temperature defect are calculated for the shutdown margin analysis. The method to evaluate the excess reactivity is discussed in detail. The pin power reconstruction methodology used in SE2ANL, SE2RCT, and DASSH are discussed in this report. The pin power distribution evaluated by different methods are compared and discussed in the report.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Plans for Expanded Data Testing at ORNL [Slides]

VALID expansion is on-going and should provide coverage over a wider range of systems in the future. Adding additional application types beyond critical experiments can also be used in expanded data testing. Two other test suites have been developed at ORNL for other purposes, but never waste a good test suite. These suites are more likely to be relevant to testing differences in data as compared to assessing accuracy of evaluations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Initial Mobility Analysis for ORNL VA-EDH Synthetic Populations

Travel burdens are a major barrier to healthcare access among US Veteran patient populations, particularly those residing in rural areas. Spatial accessibility to points of care for US Veteran populations is commonly assessed in two ways. The first approach uses open data from the US Census to represent collective travel burdens, for example the distance between population-weighted census tract centroids and VHA points of care. The second approach uses restricted-access VHA patient data to measure travel costs (e.g., distance, time) for accessing points of care with respect to geolocated patient addresses and real or approximated transportation networks. While the advantage of the open data approach lies in its reproducibility, it has notable limitations in its tendency to infer individual travel behavior from aggregate population characteristics, a problem known as ecological fallacy. Conversely, while the patient data approach is able to account for individual travel behavior, its ability to account for localized access disparities (e.g., a neighborhood with exceptionally high transportation costs) and patient demographics is limited as protecting individual patient data requires their storage in closed systems with limited capacity for adequately modeling real-world travel patterns or for supplementing patient attributes. Additionally, the patient data approach cannot account for veterans who are not enrolled in the VHA system but who may be eligible for care. These challenges limit the ability to perform “what if” analyses on the effects of place-specific interventions on veteran populations with high access barriers to healthcare. To address these challenges, we explore the application of realistic synthetic populations to examine travel burdens and spatial accessibility issues among veteran patient populations. Synthetic populations provide a virtual, individually-resolved and cross-sectional representation of the veteran patient population that enables investigation of spatial access to points of care in ways in which aggregate data and patient data do not. First, synthetic populations allow one to directly assess how individuals access points of care, from synthesized residential locations to outpatient facilities on real-world transportation networks. Modeling access to points of care at the individual scale addresses the ecological fallacy problem associated with using aggregated census data to represent veteran populations and patterns of movement. Second, synthetic populations provide a means of completely representing an area’s veteran population using only publicly available, anonymized census microdata from the American Community Survey (ACS) to ensure the privacy of real-world individuals. Generating synthetic populations from the ACS also expands descriptive characteristics beyond what patient data typically offers to include socio-demographic, economic, housing, and mobility attributes. More detailed profiles of both VHA patient populations and veterans not enrolled in the VA system will provide a comprehensive picture of groups that may benefit from interventions or outreach. As an initial exercise for using synthetic populations to measure veteran travel burdens to VA care, we apply Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s (ORNL) UrbanPop capability to generate a series of synthetic VHA patient populations for 9 Veterans Integrated Services Networks (VISN) market areas in 9 Census Divisions across the continental United States, which are listed in Table 1. We use UrbanPop to produce synthetic populations for the VISN markets selected for each US Census Division, then assign VA outpatient clinic destinations to synthetic VHA patients based on travel about each VISN market’s road network. To demonstrate using the synthetic populations to evaluate healthcare travel burdens, we compare the time-based impedance between simulated home locations and VA outpatient clinics in each VISN market. We then perform validation exercises on the synthetic populations with respect to neighborhood (block group) demographic composition as well as patient mobility, comparing aggregate origin-destination statistics for the synthetic population to outpatient visits available in restricted patient data from the VA’s Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW) database.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Validation of Photovoltaic Modeling Tool Solargraf Against Measured Data

Solargraf is a cloud-based 3D design tool by Enphase Energy that allows users to design solar and storage systems with a variety of elements. Through a Cooperative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA), Enphase Energy collaborated with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to validate Solargraf's 3D design simulation against measured PV system performance. This study follows the same methodology of similar validation studies completed at NREL. The predicted performance results from simulations in both Solargraf and NREL's System Advisor Model (SAM) tool were compared with measured data to evaluate performance predictions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Efficient Distributed Sequence Parallelism for Transformer-Based Image Segmentation

We introduce an efficient distributed sequence parallel approach for training transformer-based deep learning image segmentation models. The neural network models are comprised of a combination of a Vision Transformer encoder with a convolutional decoder to provide image segmentation mappings. The utility of the distributed sequence parallel approach is especially useful in cases where the tokenized embedding representation of image data are too large to fit into standard computing hardware memory. To demonstrate the performance and characteristics of our models trained in sequence parallel fashion compared to standard models, we evaluate our approach using a 3D MRI brain tumor segmentation dataset. We show that training with a sequence parallel approach can match standard sequential model training in terms of convergence. Furthermore, we show that our sequence parallel approach has the capability to support training of models that would not be possible on standard computing resources.

Lyngaas, Isaac↗

Flash Diffusivity Measurement of Semi-Porous Insulation Material Intended for Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generators

This research involves the analysis of flash-heating data pursuant to find the thermal diffusivity of a semi-porous insulation material (Min-K) that is being considered for use in a radioisotope thermoelectric generator (RTG). An RTG uses radioactive nuclear fuel to produce electricity through a temperature difference imposed on a bimetallic thermocouple. Insulation is required to protect sensitive equipment from high temperatures and to conserve heat in the fuel. Using flash diffusivity temperature data, various simulations were fitted in order to find the most appropriate heat transfer model for the experiments. Four models were allowed to compete and the standard deviation of the residuals were compared for each model in evaluating model performance. The residuals are simply the difference in temperatures between the measurements and the mathematical models at each measurement point.

McMasters, Robert L.↗

Estimating Large Global Significances with a New Monte Carlo Extrapolation Method

In particle physics, it is needed to evaluate the possibility that excesses of events in mass spectra are due to statistical fluctuations as quantified by the standards of local and global significances. Without prior knowledge of a particle’s mass, it is especially critical to estimate its global significance. The usual approach is to count the number of times a significance limit is exceeded in a collection of simulated Monte Carlo (MC) “toy experiments”. To demonstrate this conventional method for global significance, we performed simulation studies according to a recent Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) result to show its effectiveness. However, this counting method is not practical for computing large global significances. To address this problem, we developed a new “extrapolation” method to evaluate the global significance. We compared the global significance estimated by our new method with that of the conventional approach, and verified its feasibility and effectiveness. This method is also applicable for cases where only small toy MC samples are available. In this approach, the significance is calculated based on p-values, assuming symmetrical Gaussian distributions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Dataset from: "Adjoint methods for quasisymmetry of vacuum fields on a surface"

Adjoint methods can speed up stellarator optimisation by providing gradient information more efficiently compared to finite-difference evaluations. Adjoint methods are herein applied to vacuum magnetic fields, with objective functions targeting quasisymmetry and a rotational transform value on a surface. To measure quasisymmetry, a novel way of evaluating approximate flux coordinates on a single flux surface without the assumption of a neighbourhood of flux surfaces is proposed. The shape gradients obtained from the adjoint formalism are evaluated numerically and verified against finite-difference evaluations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The importance of round-robin validation when assessing machine-learning-based vertical extrapolation of wind speeds

The extrapolation of wind speeds measured at a meteorological mast to wind turbine rotor heights is a key component in a bankable wind farm energy assessment and a significant source of uncertainty. Industry-standard methods for extrapolation include the power-law and logarithmic profiles. The emergence of machine-learning applications in wind energy has led to several studies demonstrating substantial improvements in vertical extrapolation accuracy in machine-learning methods over these conventional power-law and logarithmic profile methods. In all cases, these studies assess relative model performance at a measurement site where, critically, the machine-learning algorithm requires knowledge of the rotor-height wind speeds in order to train the model. This prior knowledge provides fundamental advantages to the site-specific machine-learning model over the power-law and log profiles, which, by contrast, are not highly tuned to rotor-height measurements but rather can generalize to any site. Furthermore, there is no practical benefit in applying a machine-learning model at a site where winds at the heights relevant for wind energy production are known; rather, its performance at nearby locations (i.e., across a wind farm site) without rotor-height measurements is of most practical interest. To more fairly and practically compare machine-learning-based extrapolation to standard approaches, we implemented a round-robin extrapolation model comparison, in which a random-forest machine-learning model is trained and evaluated at different sites and then compared against the power-law and logarithmic profiles. We consider 20 months of lidar and sonic anemometer data collected at four sites between 50 and 100 km apart in the central United States. We find that the random forest outperforms the standard extrapolation approaches, especially when incorporating surface measurements as inputs to include the influence of atmospheric stability. When compared at a single site (the traditional comparison approach), the machine-learning improvement in mean absolute error was 28 % and 23 % over the power-law and logarithmic profiles, respectively. Using the round-robin approach proposed here, this improvement drops to 20 % and 14 %, respectively. These latter values better represent practical model performance, and we conclude that round-robin validation should be the standard for machine-learning-based wind speed extrapolation methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Surrogate modeling of Cellular-Potts agent-based models as a segmentation task using the U-Net neural network architecture

The Cellular-Potts model is a powerful and ubiquitous framework for developing computational models for simulating complex multicellular biological systems. Cellular-Potts models (CPMs) are often computationally expensive due to the explicit modeling of interactions among large numbers of individual model agents and diffusive fields described by partial differential equations (PDEs). In this work, we develop a convolutional neural network (CNN) surrogate model using a U-Net architecture that accounts for periodic boundary conditions. We use this model to accelerate the evaluation of a mechanistic CPM previously used to investigate in vitro vasculogenesis. The surrogate model was trained to predict 100 computational steps ahead (Monte-Carlo steps, MCS), accelerating simulation evaluations by a factor of 562 times compared to single-core CPM code execution on CPU. Over short timescales of up to 3 recursive evaluations, or 300 MCS, our model captures the emergent behaviors demonstrated by the original Cellular-Potts model such as vessel sprouting, extension and anastomosis, and contraction of vascular lacunae. This approach demonstrates the potential for deep learning to serve as a step toward efficient surrogate models for CPM simulations, enabling faster evaluation of computationally expensive CPM simulations of biological processes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Cold-Season Precipitation Sensitivity to Microphysical Parameterizations: Hydrologic Evaluations Leveraging Snow Lidar Datasets

Abstract Cloud microphysical processes are an important facet of atmospheric modeling, as they can control the initiation and rates of snowfall. Thus, parameterizations of these processes have important implications for modeling seasonal snow accumulation. We conduct experiments with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF V4.3.3) Model using three different microphysics parameterizations, including a sophisticated new scheme (ISHMAEL). Simulations are conducted for two cold seasons (2018 and 2019) centered on the Colorado Rockies’ ∼750-km 2 East River watershed. Precipitation efficiencies are quantified using a drying-ratio mass budget approach and point evaluations are performed against three NRCS SNOTEL stations. Precipitation and meteorological outputs from each are used to force a land surface model (Noah-MP) so that peak snow accumulation can be compared against airborne snow lidar products. We find that microphysical parameterization choice alone has a modest impact on total precipitation on the order of ±3% watershed-wide, and as high as 15% for certain regions, similar to other studies comparing the same parameterizations. Precipitation biases evaluated against SNOTEL are 15% ± 13%. WRF Noah-MP configurations produced snow water equivalents with good correlations with airborne lidar products at a 1-km spatial resolution: Pearson’s r values of 0.9, RMSEs between 8 and 17 cm, and percent biases of 3%–15%. Noah-MP with precipitation from the PRISM geostatistical precipitation product leads to a peak SWE underestimation of 32% in both years examined, and a weaker spatial correlation than the WRF configurations. We fall short of identifying a clearly superior microphysical parameterization but conclude that snow lidar is a valuable nontraditional indicator of model performance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluation of Sb-Nd and Te-Nd phases within the U-Zr fuel matrix and their interactions with HT9 alloy

Antimony (Sb) and tellurium (Te) were investigated as potential additives for U-10Zr (wt.%) metallic fuel to limit the fuel-cladding chemical interaction (FCCI) with HT-9 alloy. Neodymium (Nd) was utilized to simulate the formation of lanthanide-based solid fission products which are known to play a detrimental role in FCCI. Fuel alloys of U-Zr-Sb-Nd and U-Zr-Te-Nd were evaluated in their annealed condition and compared against their as-cast conditions. Isothermal diffusion couple experiments were performed between U-Zr-Nd, U-Zr-Sb-Nd, and U-Zr-Te-Nd against the cladding alloy HT9 to evaluate the effectiveness of the additives to stabilize Nd within the fuel alloys, as well as investigate the interaction regions that form between the different fuel alloys and HT9. Further, SbNd and Sb 3 Nd 4 , and TeNd are found to be the primary neodymium-based phases formed in the U-Zr-Sb-Nd and U-Zr-Te-Nd alloys, respectively. The zirconium-based phase, Zr 2 Sb, is also found to form within the former alloy. All phases were found to remain stable through the diffusion experiments and exhibited no interaction with HT9 constituent elements. Preferential interaction between Nd with additivities Te and Sb compared to constituting elements in HT9 was further verified based on density functional theory (DFT) calculated enthalpy of mixing.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗