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NASA NTRS2010

Tool for Forecasting Cool-Season Peak Winds Across Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station

The expected peak wind speed for the day is an important element in the daily morning forecast for ground and space launch operations at Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS). The 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS) must issue forecast advisories for KSC/CCAFS when they expect peak gusts for >= 25, >= 35, and >= 50 kt thresholds at any level from the surface to 300 ft. In Phase I of this task, the 45 WS tasked the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) to develop a cool-season (October - April) tool to help forecast the non-convective peak wind from the surface to 300 ft at KSC/CCAFS. During the warm season, these wind speeds are rarely exceeded except during convective winds or under the influence of tropical cyclones, for which other techniques are already in use. The tool used single and multiple linear regression equations to predict the peak wind from the morning sounding. The forecaster manually entered several observed sounding parameters into a Microsoft Excel graphical user interface (GUI), and then the tool displayed the forecast peak wind speed, average wind speed at the time of the peak wind, the timing of the peak wind and the probability the peak wind will meet or exceed 35, 50 and 60 kt. The 45 WS customers later dropped the requirement for >= 60 kt wind warnings. During Phase II of this task, the AMU expanded the period of record (POR) by six years to increase the number of observations used to create the forecast equations. A large number of possible predictors were evaluated from archived soundings, including inversion depth and strength, low-level wind shear, mixing height, temperature lapse rate and winds from the surface to 3000 ft. Each day in the POR was stratified in a number of ways, such as by low-level wind direction, synoptic weather pattern, precipitation and Bulk Richardson number. The most accurate Phase II equations were then selected for an independent verification. The Phase I and II forecast methods were compared using an independent verification data set. The two methods were compared to climatology, wind warnings and advisories issued by the 45 WS, and North American Mesoscale (NAM) model (MesoNAM) forecast winds. The performance of the Phase I and II methods were similar with respect to mean absolute error. Since the Phase I data were not stratified by precipitation, this method's peak wind forecasts had a large negative bias on days with precipitation and a small positive bias on days with no precipitation. Overall, the climatology methods performed the worst while the MesoNAM performed the best. Since the MesoNAM winds were the most accurate in the comparison, the final version of the tool was based on the MesoNAM winds. The probability the peak wind will meet or exceed the warning thresholds were based on the one standard deviation error bars from the linear regression. For example, the linear regression might forecast the most likely peak speed to be 35 kt and the error bars used to calculate that the probability of >= 25 kt = 76%, the probability of >= 35 kt = 50%, and the probability of >= 50 kt = 19%. The authors have not seen this application of linear regression error bars in any other meteorological applications. Although probability forecast tools should usually be developed with logistic regression, this technique could be easily generalized to any linear regression forecast tool to estimate the probability of exceeding any desired threshold . This could be useful for previously developed linear regression forecast tools or new forecast applications where statistical analysis software to perform logistic regression is not available. The tool was delivered in two formats - a Microsoft Excel GUI and a Tool Command Language/Tool Kit (Tcl/Tk) GUI in the Meteorological Interactive Data Display System (MIDDS). The Microsoft Excel GUI reads a MesoNAM text file containing hourly forecasts from 0 to 84 hours, from one model run (00 or 12 UTC). The GUI then displays e peak wind speed, average wind speed, and the probability the peak wind will meet or exceed the 25-, 35- and 50-kt thresholds. The user can display the Day-1 through Day-3 peak wind forecasts, and separate forecasts are made for precipitation and non-precipitation days. The MIDDS GUI uses data from the NAM and Global Forecast System (GFS), instead of the MesoNAM. It can display Day-1 and Day-2 forecasts using NAM data, and Day-1 through Day-5 forecasts using GFS data. The timing of the peak wind is not displayed, since the independent verification showed that none of the forecast methods performed significantly better than climatology. The forecaster should use the climatological timing of the peak wind (2248 UTC) as a first guess and then adjust it based on the movement of weather features.

Barrett, Joe H., III↗

NASA NTRS2010

Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor Validation and Verification on National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Lockheed WP-3D Aircraft

As part of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Aviation Safety and Security Program, the Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting project (TAMDAR) developed a low-cost sensor for aircraft flying in the lower troposphere. This activity was a joint effort with support from Federal Aviation Administration, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and industry. This paper reports the TAMDAR sensor performance validation and verification, as flown on board NOAA Lockheed WP-3D aircraft. These flight tests were conducted to assess the performance of the TAMDAR sensor for measurements of temperature, relative humidity, and wind parameters. The ultimate goal was to develop a small low-cost sensor, collect useful meteorological data, downlink the data in near real time, and use the data to improve weather forecasts. The envisioned system will initially be used on regional and package carrier aircraft. The ultimate users of the data are National Centers for Environmental Prediction forecast modelers. Other users include air traffic controllers, flight service stations, and airline weather centers. NASA worked with an industry partner to develop the sensor. Prototype sensors were subjected to numerous tests in ground and flight facilities. As a result of these earlier tests, many design improvements were made to the sensor. The results of tests on a final version of the sensor are the subject of this report. The sensor is capable of measuring temperature, relative humidity, pressure, and icing. It can compute pressure altitude, indicated air speed, true air speed, ice presence, wind speed and direction, and eddy dissipation rate. Summary results from the flight test are presented along with corroborative data from aircraft instruments.

Tsoucalas, George↗

NASA NTRS1978

A survey of coronal holes and their solar wind associations throughout sunspot cycle 20

Space-borne X-ray and XUV observations during the period 1963-74 (corresponding approximately with solar cycle 20) have been used to investigate the relationship between the occurrence and variability of coronal holes and solar activity, i.e., the solar wind. Results indicate that polar holes (prominent at solar minimum) decreased in area as solar activity increased. The equatorial holes were also small during this period and persisted for one or two solar rotations only. Solar wind streams in excess of 500 km/s were associated with coronal holes at less than 40 deg latitude, although solar coronal holes appear to have no associated wind streams at earth.

Broussard, R. M.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Detecting Foreign Particles in Wind Tunnels

Simple scratch test tells whether particles, which distort results, present in test. Detector developed for tests of abrasion resistance of flexible insulation blankets. Now, when detector indicates particles present in test, results interpreted accordingly. Small pits and scratches on metal foil indicate particles struck surface during wind-tunnel test. Detector used in tests of paints and coatings to determine whether abrasive particles present.

Sharp, H. L.↗

NASA NTRS1998

The Generation of Smooth High Speed Solar Wind from Plume-Interplume Mixing

Plumes and rays are magnetic field aligned density striations in coronal holes with different values of plasma beta. The overall plasma beta is very small in the low corona but exceeds unity beyond 15-20 solar radius. High speed solar wind reported beyond 0.3 AU is relatively smooth and uniform and known to originate from the much filamented coronal hole. Thus the obvious question is how to generate a smooth solar wind from seemingly filamentary structure. Hence one has to find a mechanism to substantiate this apparent observed (Ulysses) phenomenon. To do this we model plumes as jets (or wakes) of plasma emitted from the solar surface. The shear between a jet and its ambient is known to become unstable to the MHD Kelvin-Helmholtz ("KH") instability if the Alfven Mach number of the jet is greater than one and the uniform external magnetic field is small. Starting with a simple configuration we consider a jet of half thickness R, having uniform density and uniform internal magnetic field. The external medium has also a uniform density and uniform magnetic field. The jet is perturbed at the boundary with a linear amplitude and fixed frequency. We simulate the coronal jet using the 3D ZEUS code. The first results indicate the slab jet is unstable to the MHD KH instability at 5-10 solar radius for some angle of wave propagation. The propagating instability may smooth the filamented flow. It may also produce the entrained Alfvenic fluctuations observed by Ulysses in the high speed wind. We are at present determining the parameters which induce large growth rate. This may clarify the mystery behind the emergence of fast smooth solar wind from very filamentary structures in coronal holes. Also, using the dispersion relation already available for such a flow we obtain some general description of the instability criteria for the KH instability at a jet interface.

Parhi, Shyamsundar↗

NASA NTRS1973

Experimental results on combined ultraviolet-proton excitation of moon rock luminescence.

The experimental results reported indicate that a small synergistic effect may exist between near-UV radiation and solar-wind-energy protons in solar radiation that could slightly enhance luminescence generation on the moon's surface. The magnitude of the effect, however, is far too small to account for the apparent orders-of-magnitude discrepancy between reported telescope measurements of lunar luminescence and the limitation of lunar luminescence intensity based on lab studies of moon rocks.

Nash, D. B.↗

NASA NTRS1995

High spatial resolution atmospheric wind measurements with the edge technique

The edge technique is a new and powerful method for measuring small frequency shifts such as the Doppler shift of an atmospheric backscattered signal from a pulsed laser. The edge technique can be used for high spatial resolution, high accuracy ground and airborne wind measurements as well as high accuracy spaceborne wind measurements. We have recently made our first ground based wind measurements. These have a spatial resolution of 15 m and an accuracy of 25 cm/s and these measurements are presented in this paper. This is a unique capability and provides valuable information for studies of turbulent processes in the lower atmosphere. It could also be used for high sensitivity detection of wind shear and microbursts in the vicinity of airports. In addition, global wind measurements can be made with the edge technique from space with an accuracy of 1 m/s and a vertical resolution as high as 150 m in the boundary layer and 1 km through the troposphere. Such a system could make eyesafe wind measurements using well developed diode pumped solid state laser technology at 1.06 micron. Multi-pulse averaging would provide a spatially representative wind measurement.

Korb, C. Laurence↗

NASA NTRS1978

The solar probe and coronal dynamics

The discovery of coronal holes led to basic changes in ideas about the structure of the low corona and its expansion into the solar wind. The nature of the energy flux is not understood. Current ideas include enhanced thermal conductivities, extended MHD wave heating, and wave momentum transfer, all in rapidly diverging geometries. There is little feel for the relative importance of these processes. The Solar Probe, with its penetration deep into the solar corona, could lead to observational constraints on their relative importance, and thus to an understanding of the origin of the solar wind. Observations from the Solar Probe will also bear on such questions as to whether small scale "intrastream" structure is common close to the Sun in open field-line regions, whether the properties of the wind are pronouncedly different over closed and open field-line regions at five solar radii, and many others. The resolution of these questions requires measurements of the magnetic field and of the proton and electron distribution functions.

Belcher, J.↗

NASA NTRS1999

Atmospheric Dynamics of Venus: Scales Large and Small

Over the past 30 years, Gerald Schubert has made significant contributions to the understanding of Venus atmospheric dynamics. His research of Venus' atmosphere spans spatial scales both large and small, including: Venus westward atmospheric superrotation, Planetary scale waves and the global "Y" ultraviolet feature, Wind streaks and the global circulation of the lower atmosphere, Mesoscale convection in the clouds of Venus, Vertical propagation of small-scale internal gravity waves, and Interaction between small-scale dynamics and the large-scale mean flow. Furthermore, his role as Principal Investigator of the Pioneer Venus Working Group on Structure and Circulation in the late 1970's and early 1980's was instrumental in the advancement of our understanding of Venus' atmosphere. The Pioneer Venus work serves as the cornerstone of our view of Venus atmospheric dynamics today. This paper will review Jerry's extensive research on Venus' atmosphere. In addition, recent results on convectively generated internal gravity waves will be presented that combine his lifelong, interest in both large-scale and small-scale dynamics. It will be shown that small-scale internal gravity waves generated by convection within the clouds of Venus decelerate the westward superrotation below the clouds. Thus, mechanisms that support the Venus westward superrotation must overcome the influence of small-scale dynamics in the lower atmosphere.

Baker, R. David↗

NASA NTRS2023

Self-Similar Outflows at the Source of the Fast Solar Wind: A Smoking Gun of Multiscale Impulsive Reconnection?

We present results of a quantitative analysis of structured plasma outflows above a polar coronal hole observed by the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) spacecraft. In a 6 hr interval of continuous high-cadence SDO/AIA images, we identified more than 2300 episodes of small-scale plasma flows in the polar corona. The mean upward flow speed measured by the surfing transform technique is estimated to be 122 ± 34 km s−1, which is comparable to the local sound speed. The typical recurrence period of the flow episodes is 10–30 minutes, and the mean duration and transverse size of each episode are about 3–5 minutes and 3–4 Mm, respectively. The largest identifiable episodes last for tens of minutes and reach widths up to 40 Mm. For the first time, we demonstrate that the polar coronal-hole outflows obey a family of power-law probability distributions characteristic of impulsive interchange magnetic reconnection. Turbulent photospheric driving may play a crucial role in releasing magnetically confined plasma onto open field. The estimated occurrence rate of the detected self-similar coronal outflows is sufficient for them to make a dominant contribution to the fast-wind mass and energy fluxes and to account for the wind's small-scale structure.

jets↗

NASA NTRS1990

Magnetically striped relativistic magnetohydrodynamic winds - The Crab Nebula revisited

Previous relativistic pair plasma MHD wind models of the Crab Nebula indicate that the ratio of the wind's Poynting flux to particle kinetic energy flux must be very small. However, many current theories of pulsar magnetospheres and pulsar observations suggest that the spin-down luminosity should be primarily electromagnetic in origin and outward transport. For an oblique rotator, the asymptotic wind magnetic field near the rotational equator should consist of stripes of alternating toroidal field. A simple model of an initially high-sigma striped MHD wind is developed which describes the reconnection annihilation of the opposite polarity stripes as the wind flows radially outward. The initially dominant Poynting flux is converted into particle thermal and directed kinetic energy well within the inner standing shock which terminates the superfast wind.

Coroniti, F. V.↗

NASA NTRS1980

Monitoring and control requirement definition study for Dispersed Storage and Generation (DSG). Volume 3, appendix B: State of the art, trends, and potential growth of selected DSG technologies

Present and future relatively small (30 MW) energy systems, such as solar thermal electric, photovoltaic, wind, fuel cell, storage battery, hydro, and cogeneration can help achieve national energy goals and can be dispersed throughout the distribution portion of an electric utility system. Based on current projections, it appears that dispersed storage and generation (DSG) electrical energy will comprise only a small portion, from 4 to 10 percent, of the national total by the end of this century. In general, the growth potential for DSG seems favorable in the long term because of finite fossil energy resources and increasing fuel prices. Recent trends, especially in the institutional and regulatory fields, favor greater use of the DSGs for the future.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS2013

Constraints on Decreases in Eta Carinae's Mass-loss from 3D Hydrodynamic Simulations of Its Binary Colliding Winds

Recent work suggests that the mass-loss rate of the primary star Eta-A in the massive colliding wind binary Eta Carinae dropped by a factor of 2-3 between 1999 and 2010. We present result from large- (+/- 1545 au) and small- (+/- 155 au) domain, 3D smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) simulations of Eta Car's colliding winds for three Eta-A mass-loss rates ( (dot-M(sub Eta-A) = 2.4, 4.8 and 8.5 × 10(exp −4) M(solar)/ yr), investigating the effects on the dynamics of the binary wind-wind collision (WWC). These simulations include orbital motion, optically thin radiative cooling and radiative forces. We find that dot-M Eta-A greatly affects the time-dependent hydrodynamics at all spatial scales investigated. The simulations also show that the post-shock wind of the companion star Eta-B switches from the adiabatic to the radiative-cooling regime during periastron passage (Phi approx.= 0.985-1.02). This switchover starts later and ends earlier the lower the value of dot-M Eta-A and is caused by the encroachment of the wind of Eta-A into the acceleration zone of Eta-B's wind, plus radiative inhibition of Eta-B's wind by Eta-A. The SPH simulations together with 1D radiative transfer models of Eta-A's spectra reveal that a factor of 2 or more drop in dot-M EtaA should lead to substantial changes in numerous multiwavelength observables. Recent observations are not fully consistent with the model predictions, indicating that any drop in dot- M Eta-A was likely by a factor of approx. < 2 and occurred after 2004. We speculate that most of the recent observed changes in Eta Car are due to a small increase in the WWC opening angle that produces significant effects because our line of sight to the system lies close to the dense walls of the WWC zone. A modest decrease in dot-M Eta-A may be responsible, but changes in the wind/stellar parameter of Eta-B, while less likely, cannot yet be fully ruled out. We suggest observations during Eta-Car's next periastron in 2014 to further test for decreases in dot-M Eta-A. If dot-M Eta-A is declining and continues to do so, the 2014 X-ray minimum should be even shorter than that of 2009.

Eta Carinae↗

NASA NTRS1989

Discrete events and solar wind energization

Based on a multiple-magnetic-reconnection picture, an estimation of the energy flux suggests that small-scale EUV exploding events may contribute a significant amount of energy (of order of 100,000 erg/sq cm sec) to solar atmospheric heating and solar-wind acceleration. Most of the dissipated magnetic energy is converted into thermal energy and plasma turbulence. On a related aspect, a numerical study based on the nonlinear one-fluid hydrodynamic equations shows a self-smoothing effect, whereby a multistream structure of the solar wind formed near the sun can be gradually smoothed during its propagation through interplanetary space. This calculation gives support for the possible contribution of discrete energetic events to high-speed solar wind streams.

Yang, W.-H.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Simple atmospheric perturbation models for sonic-boom-signature distortion studies

Sonic-boom propagation from flight level to ground is influenced by wind and speed-of-sound variations resulting from temperature changes in both the mean atmospheric structure and small-scale perturbations. Meteorological behavior generally produces complex combinations of atmospheric perturbations in the form of turbulence, wind shears, up- and down-drafts and various wave behaviors. Differences between the speed of sound at the ground and at flight level will influence the threshold flight Mach number for which the sonic boom first reaches the ground as well as the width of the resulting sonic-boom carpet. Mean atmospheric temperature and wind structure as a function of altitude vary with location and time of year. These average properties of the atmosphere are well-documented and have been used in many sonic-boom propagation assessments. In contrast, smaller scale atmospheric perturbations are also known to modulate the shape and amplitude of sonic-boom signatures reaching the ground, but specific perturbation models have not been established for evaluating their effects on sonic-boom propagation. The purpose of this paper is to present simple examples of atmospheric vertical temperature gradients, wind shears, and wave motions that can guide preliminary assessments of nonturbulent atmospheric perturbation effects on sonic-boom propagation to the ground. The use of simple discrete atmospheric perturbation structures can facilitate the interpretation of the resulting sonic-boom propagation anomalies as well as intercomparisons among varied flight conditions and propagation models.

Ehernberger, L. J.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Superfluid turbulence

At low temperatures (below 5 Kelvin), helium is a liquid with a very low kinematic viscosity. It was proposed that wind tunnels could be built using liquid helium as the test fluid. The primary advantages of such wind tunnels would be a combination of large Reynolds numbers and a relatively small apparatus. It is hoped that this combination will allow the study of high Reynolds number flows in an academic setting. There are two basic types of liquid helium wind tunnels that can be built, corresponding to the two phases of liquid helium. The high temperature phase (between approximately 2 to 5 Kelvin) is called helium 1 and is a Navier-Stokes fluid. There are no unanswered scientific questions about the design or operation of a wind tunnel in the helium 1 phase. The low temperature phase (below approximately 2 Kelvin) of liquid helium is called helium 2. This is a quantum fluid, meaning that there are some properties of helium 2 which are directly due to quantum mechanical effects and which are not observed in Navier-Stokes fluids. The quantum effects that are relevant to this paper are: (1) helium 2 is well described as a superposition of two separate fluids called the superfluid and the normal fluid. The normal-fluid component is a Navier-Stokes fluid and the superfluid is an irrotational Euler fluid; and (2) circulation in the superfluid exists only in quantized vortex filaments. All quantized vortex filaments have identical circulations kappa and core size a. The objective of the research at CTR was to develop an understanding of the microscopic processes responsible for the observed Navier-Stokes behavior of helium 2 flows.

Samuels, David C.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Probing the Lower-Thermosphere-Ionosphere In-situ with Small Spacecraft

The LTI at Earth spans the altitude range of about 90km to 200km. These altitudes do not lendthemselves easily to exploration by neither balloons nor orbiting spacecraft. As a consequence,only few in-situ measurements from the region exist, provided by sounding rocket campaignsand a few low-dipping Atmospheric Explorer missions in the 1970s. This has left a critical needfor simultaneous and co-located measurements of comprehensive sets of physical parametersto characterize both the neutral and plasma constituents. Such observations with extensivecoverage in time and space are crucial to advancing our understanding of the energetics, dy-namics, and chemistry of this complex region of the Earth’s atmosphere. Not all observablesare accessible through remote sensing so novel approaches and technological solutions are calledfor to obtain the needed in-situ measurements.Over the last decade, small spacecraft systems have proven their capability to provide someof these observations. Miniaturized instruments for electric and magnetic fields as well as forplasma and neutral gas densities, composition, and winds have been developed and proven inspace along with a large number of small satellite systems. Huge progress is also seen in thedevelopment of small satellite technology in support of large constellations. This paper willreview some of the main developments and discuss their relevance and potential for explorationof the LTI.

Aeronomy↗

NASA NTRS1973

Zonal drifts of irregularities imparted by meridional winds.

In a uniform ionosphere, meridional winds cause only meridional motions of irregularities. It is shown, however, that, if F-region irregularities are considered in a real ionosphere in which there is a highly conductive E-layer, zonal motions occur. During the day a substantial westward drift takes place, while at night the drift is eastward but smaller, owing to the much smaller E-layer conductivity. Thus, the effect of meridional winds is to impart a net westward drift to small irregularities in the ionization, provided such irregularities persist long enough.

Waldman, H.↗