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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 613 records · Page 34

Day-ahead photovoltaic power production forecasting methodology based on machine learning and statistical post-processing

A main challenge towards ensuring large-scale and seamless integration of photovoltaic systems is to improve the accuracy of energy yield forecasts, especially in grid areas of high photovoltaic shares. The scope of this paper is to address this issue by presenting a unified methodology for hourly-averaged day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasts with improved accuracy, based on data-driven machine learning techniques and statistical post-processing. More specifically, the proposed forecasting methodology framework comprised of a data quality stage, data-driven power output machine learning model development (artificial neural networks), weather clustering assessment (K-means clustering), post-processing output optimisation (linear regressive correction method) and the final performance accuracy evaluation. The results showed that the application of linear regression coefficients to the forecasted outputs of the developed day-ahead photovoltaic power production neural network improved the performance accuracy by further correcting solar irradiance forecasting biases. The resulting optimised model provided a mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% when applied to historical system datasets. Finally, the model was validated both, at a hot as well as a cold semi-arid climatic location, and the obtained results demonstrated close agreement by yielding forecasting accuracies of mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Finally, the validation analysis provides evidence that the proposed model exhibits high performance in both forecasting accuracy and stability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

How close are urban scale building simulations to measured data? Examining bias derived from building metadata in urban building energy modeling

Residential and commercial buildings in the United States accounted for 40% of total energy in 2020. Building energy modeling (BEM) is a useful tool that allows individuals, researchers, companies, or utilities to save energy by optimizing buildings through estimation of building technology savings and performance projection of building energy under various environmental conditions. Urban building energy modeling (UBEM) expands the scope beyond individual buildings to the buildings in a neighborhood, city, utility and more. Yet there is a knowledge gap in the literature as to how these models compare to measured data on an individual and aggregated basis. As UBEM data and methods continue to develop, it is important to consider the accuracy, bias, and limitations of the models. Here, nation-scale data and UBEM software suite named Automatic Building Energy Modeling (AutoBEM) was used to model 50,843 buildings in Chattanooga, Tennessee. The uncalibrated simulation results were compared to aggregated 15-minute electricity data for the year 2019 with visualizations highlighting sources of bias in building data and the AutoBEM framework while considering how they relate to other UBEM methods. Estimation of building type and year of constructions are found to be the major sources of bias. Accounting for the amount of conditioned area per building significantly improves the overall fit of the simulated energy use intensity. it was found that inherent variation in building energy use contributes to R 2 values between 0.008 and 0.095 across building types but slope values near 1 for the total number of buildings. This indicates the need for building aggregation for representative building energy modeling with data sources available at an urban scale while illustrating the need for additional individual building data and model improvement beyond the originally produced UBEM models for individual building analysis.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Situational awareness-enhancing community-level load mapping with opportunistic machine learning

Motivated by present and forthcoming challenges in the adoption and integration of distributed renewable energy, we develop a machine learning (ML) approach that builds short-fuse mappings connecting the occasionally-unobservable true load in one target community with information-rich signals collected from relatively more instrumented reference communities. Our setting is inspired by and tailored to target communities with significant unobservable behind-the-meter solar generation, where true load (a relatively well-behaved quantity of interest to grid operators) is hard to discern during daytime due to insufficient instrumentation and/or privacy reasons, but that can be related to reference communities with low unobservable distributed variable generation or with sufficient instrumentation. The developed mapping, herein realized with Support Vector Machine regression, is built using nighttime data from all communities, when their distributed generation is low or zero. Our ML algorithm opportunistically learns to correlate signals of interest and then is operationally used the next day to shed light into target community load evolution. The mapping is subsequently rebuilt, rolling its short-fuse scope perpetually forward in time. Here, we demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on nine synthetically generated topologies and associated timeseries stemming from real-world data, on which we observe cumulative error performance that yields lower than 10% and 15% daily-averaged mean absolute percentage errors in target community load estimation on more than about 75% and 90% of days, respectively, in multiple yearly evaluations that shed light on long-term performance also under seasonal and one-off effects. The proposed ML-powered methodology can offer grid operators much-improved visibility into a previously obscure space and can also serve as an additional source of information in broader, multi-modal solar disaggregation solutions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The wave energy converter control competition (WECCCOMP): Wave energy control algorithms compared in both simulation and tank testing

The wave energy control competition established a benchmark problem which was offered as an open challenge to the wave energy system control community. The competition had two stages: In the first stage, competitors used a standard wave energy simulation platform (WEC-Sim) to evaluate their controllers while, in the second stage, competitors were invited to test their controllers in a real-time implementation on a prototype system in a wave tank. The performance function used was based on converted energy across a range of standard sea states, but also included aspects related to economic performance, such as peak/average power, peak force, etc. This paper compares simulated and experimental results and, in particular, examines if the results obtained in a linear system simulation are borne out in reality. Overall, within the scope of the device tested, the range of sea states employed, and the performance metric used, the conclusion is that high-performance WEC controllers work well in practice, with good carry-over from simulation to experimentation. However, the availability of a good WEC mathematical model is deemed to be crucial.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Cerium oxide impact on fresh and hardened properties of cementitious materials

Cements used in global nuclear waste treatment, storage, and disposal require thorough testing of fresh and cured properties to demonstrate regulatory compliance. Using actual radioactive wastes is often cost-prohibitive during early scoping tests necessitating the use of non-radiological surrogates. Cerium (Ce) is often used as a surrogate for actinides uranium (U) and plutonium (Pu) in spent nuclear fuel, yet few studies have explored how Ce impacts the properties used to qualify a cement for use. Here, this work compares the fresh and cured properties of three classes of cements – ordinary portland cements, ultra-high performance cement composites, and magnesium phosphate cements – each with and without ceria (CeO 2 ). Due to CeO 2 sorption of water (54 vol%) that effectively decreases the water available to hydrate and form binding cement phases, variations in key cement properties were detected that suggest surrogate CeO 2 –cementitious matrices may not be representative of matrix behaviors when using U and Pu sources.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Relating phase transitions to pore size distributions and mechanical mortar properties in CSA-OPC-C$ based systems – The potential impact of delayed straetlingite formation

The scope of this research is to investigate the performance evolution of five ternary CSA-OPC-Cs systems. Time resolved thermodynamic modeling was employed to gain insight into changes in the volume fractions of the hydrating pastes and link these changes to trends in the pore size distributions of the mortars. Pore solution analyses were performed to investigate which hydrates have the potential to exert high crystallization pressures. In three out of five blends the resulting tensile stress exceeded the tensile strength of the materials, resulting in the occurrence of coarse pores, which could be linked to the measured compressive strengths. Two damaging crystallization processes were identified in the investigated blends. One is the continuous precipitation of ettringite at high supersaturation in a system with high anhydrite addition. The other is the delayed crystallization of straetlingite at high supersaturation and crystallization pressure in the confined environment of mature pastes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Synthesis of N-trifluoromethyl amides from carboxylic acids

Found in biomolecules, pharmaceuticals, and agrochemicals, amide-containing molecules are ubiquitous in nature, and their derivatization represents a significant methodological goal in fluorine chemistry. Trifluoromethyl amides have emerged as important functional groups frequently found in pharmaceutical compounds. To date, there is no strategy for synthesizing N -trifluoromethyl amides from abundant organic carboxylic acid derivatives, which are ideal starting materials in amide synthesis. Here, we report the synthesis of N -trifluoromethyl amides from carboxylic acid halides and esters under mild conditions via isothiocyanates in the presence of silver fluoride at room temperature. Through this strategy, isothiocyanates are desulfurized with AgF, and then the formed derivative is acylated to afford N -trifluoromethyl amides, including previously inaccessible structures. This method shows broad scope, provides a platform for rapidly generating N -trifluoromethyl amides by virtue of the diversity and availability of both reaction partners, and should find application in the modification of advanced intermediates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Topology optimization of multiple deformable bodies in contact with large deformations

Previous works in topology optimization of structures with contact boundary conditions have concentrated on the two-dimensional rigid obstacle problem. This is because the contact analysis of multiple three-dimensional deformable bodies with meshes that are non-matching across the contact interface requires computationally complex contact algorithms beyond the scope of previous optimization investigations. Here, our research is devoted to addressing topology design problems with multiple deformable three-dimensional components in contact using state-of-the-art contact algorithms.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A multiscale phase field fracture approach based on the non-affine microsphere model for rubber-like materials

Rubber-like materials have a broad scope of applications due to their unique properties like high stretchability and increased toughness. Hence, computational models for simulating their fracture behavior are paramount for designing them against failures. In this study, the phase field fracture approach is integrated with a multiscale polymer model for predicting the fracture behavior in elastomers. At the microscale, damaged polymer chains are modeled to be made up of a number of elastic chain segments pinned together. Using the phase field approach, the damage in the chains is represented using a continuous variable. Both the bond stretch internal energy and the entropic free energy of the chain are assumed to drive the damage, and the advantages of this assumption are expounded. A framework for utilizing the non-affine microsphere model for damaged systems is proposed here by considering the minimization of a hypothetical undamaged free energy, ultimately connecting the chain stretch to the macroscale deformation gradient. At the macroscale, a thermodynamically consistent formulation is derived in which the total dissipation is assumed to be mainly due to the rupture of molecular bonds. Using a monolithic scheme, the proposed model is numerically implemented and the resulting three-dimensional simulation predictions are compared with existing experimental data. The capability of the model to qualitatively predict the propagation of complex crack paths and quantitatively estimate the overall fracture behavior is verified. Additionally, the effect of the length scale parameter on the predicted fracture behavior is studied for an inhomogeneous system.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Higher-order LaSDI: Reduced order modeling with multiple time derivatives

Solving complex partial differential equations (PDEs) is essential across scientific disciplines but often requires numerical models that can be prohibitively expensive in time-sensitive applications. Reduced-order models (ROMs) address this challenge by exploiting low-dimensional structure to create fast approximations. The Latent Space Dynamics Identification (LaSDI) framework has demonstrated success in learning ROMs for parameterized PDE families, but remains limited to first-order systems. Here, in this paper, we propose Higher-Order LaSDI (HLaSDI), which extends the LaSDI framework to PDEs with arbitrary order of time derivatives. This generalization significantly expands the applicability of LaSDI-based methods to systems previously outside their scope, including hyperbolic PDEs. We demonstrate HLaSDI’s accuracy and efficiency on several linear and nonlinear benchmark problems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Metabolic flux analysis reaching genome wide coverage: lessons learned and future perspectives

13 C-MFA is currently the only technique capable of elucidating intracellular metabolic fluxes. Generally, in 13 C-MFA studies the reactions that can carry flux are mostly pre-specified by only considering canonical pathways and ignoring alternate ones. This may bias flux elucidation and cause labeling data to erroneously confirm implied assumptions. Here, by expanding the scope of the metabolic mapping models to match known genome-scale metabolism such estimation biases can be eliminated. However, this model expansion to genome-scale requires the construction of expanded atom mapping models, more efficient flux estimation algorithms, and formal estimation of confidence levels. Even though significant progress has been made in this direction, a number of challenges remain before widespread adoption by the community.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Accelerated computation of lattice thermal conductivity using neural network interatomic potentials

We report with the development of the density functional theory (DFT) and ever-increasing computational capacity, an accurate prediction of lattice thermal conductivity based on the Boltzmann transport theory becomes computationally feasible, contributing to a fundamental understanding of thermal conductivity as well as a choice of the optimal materials for specific applications. However, steep costs in evaluating third-order force constants limit the theoretical investigation to crystals with high symmetry and few atoms in the unit cell. Currently, machine learning potentials are garnering attention as a computationally efficient high-fidelity model of DFT, and several studies have demonstrated that the lattice thermal conductivity could be computed accurately via the machine learning potentials. However, test materials were mostly crystals with high symmetries, and the applicability of machine learning potentials to a wide range of materials has yet to be demonstrated. Furthermore, establishing a standard training set that provides consistent accuracy and computational efficiencies across a wide range of materials would be useful. To address these issues, herein we compute lattice thermal conductivities at 300 K using neural network interatomic potentials. As test materials, we select 25 materials with diverse symmetries and a wide range of lattice thermal conductivities between 10 -1 and 10 3 Wm -1 K -1 . Among various choices of training sets, we find that molecular dynamics trajectories at 50–700 K consistently provide results at par with DFT for the test materials. In contrast to pure DFT approaches, the computational cost in the present approach is uniform over the test materials, yielding a speed gain of 2–10 folds. When a smaller reduced training set is used, the relative efficiency increases by up to ~50 folds without sacrificing accuracy significantly. The current work will broaden the application scope of machine learning potentials by establishing a robust framework for accurately computing lattice thermal conductivity with machine learning potentials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Computationally efficient optimization models for preliminary distillation column design and separation energy targeting

We propose versatile shortcut distillation column and separation energy targeting models that are well-suited for superstructure-based process synthesis. The models are based on a novel reformulation of the Underwood equations to address systems where the components that are present in the feed can vary due to zero flow rates of some components. Also, we propose valid constraints, resulting in a significant enhancement of the computational performance of the models. Furthermore, the proposed distillation column model can automatically identify adequate key components and the energy requirement of a desired separation task, while considering a wide range of types of separations including non-sharp/sloppy splits. Also, the proposed separation energy targeting model can be used to estimate an energy requirement target for the separation of a mixture without finding detail network configurations. Due to their versatility and computational efficiency, the proposed models can be readily used for and expand the scope of superstructure-based process synthesis approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Bridging semantics, control specifications and assessment: A library for scalable demand flexibility controls

There is growing recognition that Demand Flexibility (DF) can play a major role in enhancing grid reliability, with building control applications emerging as key enablers for DF. However, the traditional approach to deploying new control applications in buildings, including those for DF, remains largely manual and tailored to individual buildings, making it difficult to scale. While research efforts have explored semantics-driven portability, DF controls specification, and assessment approaches, these initiatives are fragmented and limited in scope. This paper proposes a novel methodology, grounded in design science research, to integrate these elements and create a comprehensive DF controls library for both industry and academia. This approach is applied to develop the Demand FLEXibility controls LIBrary using Semantics (DFLEXLIBS), an extensible open-source library that provides DF controls for HVAC systems in Python. DFLEXLIBS enables portable, easy-to-deploy controls that abstract building-specific data points, facilitating assessment across diverse buildings. DFLEXLIBS features nine different control applications, and it is successfully implemented and tested across four virtual and two real buildings, bridging the gap between semantics-driven portability, DF controls specification, and rigorous performance assessment. Its benefits are measured by a reusability ratio greater than 90% and a functional overlap ratio of around 70% for the most common functions used in the library, significantly reducing time for deploying new controls.

Controls library↗

Toward sustainable, cell-free biomanufacturing

Industrial biotechnology is an attractive approach to address the need for low-cost fuels and products from sustainable resources. Unfortunately, cells impose inherent limitations on the effective synthesis and release of target products. One key constraint is that cellular survival objectives often work against the production objectives of biochemical engineers. Additionally, industrial strains release CO2 and struggle to utilize sustainable, potentially profitable feedstocks. Cell-free biotechnology, which uses biological machinery harvested from cells, can address these challenges with advantages including: (i) shorter development times, (ii) higher volumetric production rates, and (iii) tolerance to otherwise toxic molecules. In this review, we highlight recent advances in cell-free technologies toward the production of non-protein products beyond lab-scale demonstrations and describe guiding principles for designing cell-free systems. Specifically, we discuss carbon and energy sources, reaction homeostasis, and scale-up. Expanding the scope of cell-free biomanufacturing practice could enable innovative approaches for the industrial production of green chemicals.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Recent progress in the synthesis of advanced biofuel and bioproducts

Energy is one of the most complex fields of study and an issue that influences nearly every aspect of modern life. Over the past century, combustion of fossil fuels, particularly in the transportation sector, has been the dominant form of energy release. Refining of petroleum and natural gas into liquid transportation fuels is also the centerpiece of the modern chemical industry used to produce materials, solvents, and other consumer goods. In the face of global climate change, the world is searching for alternative, sustainable means of producing energy carriers and chemical building blocks. The use of biofuels in engines predates modern refinery optimization and today represents a small but significant fraction of liquid transportation fuels burnt each year. Similarly, white biotechnology has been used to produce many natural products through fermentation. The evolution of recombinant DNA technology into modern synthetic biology has expanded the scope of biofuels and bioproducts that can be made by biocatalysts. Furthermore, this opinion examines the current trends in this research space, highlighting the substantial growth in computational tools and the growing influence of renewable electricity in the design of metabolic engineering strategies. In short, advanced biofuel and bioproduct synthesis remains a vibrant and critically important field of study whose focus is shifting away from the conversion of lignocellulosic biomass toward a broader consideration of how to reduce carbon dioxide to fuels and chemical products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A simple-structured benzo[1,2-b:4,5-b’]dithiophene-based molecule as a third component enables organic solar cells with over 18.2% efficiency

In this study, research has shown that ternary strategy is an effective tool for improving the performance of organic solar cells (OSCs) and simple-structured small molecules with low-cost and wide bandgap which broadens the scope of the choice in third components recently attracted the attention of researchers. Herein, a small molecule with benzo[1,2-b:4,5-b’]dithiophene (BDT) core named BR-C12 which mixed well with PM6 has been designed and synthesized. Incorporating BR-C12 as third component into PM6:Y6, BR-C12 exhibits a complementary absorption with PM6 and Y6, promoted exciton dissociation and charge collection, reduced bimolecular recombination, resulting in more ordered molecular packing. The PM6:Y6:BR-C12 (1:1.2:0.1, weight ratio) OSC shows an improved power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 17.02% in comparison to host binary devises (16.42%). In addition, by employing BR-C12 as third component into PM6:L8-BO, the ternary device based on PM6:L8-BO:BR-C12 also achieves significant enhancement in device photovoltaic performance with a PCE of 18.26%. In addition, BR-C12-added ternary devices exhibit improved stability than binary ones. This work presents a method for constructing high-performance ternary OSCs and enriches the abundance of materials for the third components.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Capacity optimization of nuclear power integration to meet dynamic industrial demand

To decarbonize their industrial facilities, The Dow Chemical Company has collaborated with Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to study the integration of nuclear power with an industrial chemical facility. Using Holistic Energy and Resource Optimization Network developed at INL for optimizing and analyzing integrated energy systems, a nuclear microreactor system was sized and evaluated for dynamic dispatch to Dow Silicones Corporation’s Carrollton, KY (USA) site for iloxane production. It was found that a 180 MW th system (12 × 15MW th ) with 75.1 MWh th of thermal energy storage could provide heat and power to the chemical facilities. In the process, this would reduce electricity imports by 99.9 % and reduce the Scope 1 and 2 emissions of the site by 292,100 tonnes CO 2 /yr (98.8 %). The primary novelty of this work is a first of a kind design and optimization of a microreactor powered integrated energy system to provide heat and power to a chemical plant using real plant data. This analysis will pave the way for future studies using dispatchable clean energy sources to reduce carbon emissions and commodity industries’ reliance on fossil fuels.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗