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At least 613 records · Page 34
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

3D Representation of UAV-obstacle Collision Risk Under Off-nominal Conditions

Safe operations of autonomous unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in low-altitude airspace with beyond visual line-of-sight (BVLOS) flights demand robust risk monitoring of airspace as well as of people and property on ground. One of the safety critical factors for UAV flights is the risk of collision with static and dynamic obstacles in proximity to its flight path. This paper presents a detailed formulation of risk of obstacle collision incorporating the effects of off-nominal conditions introduced by component failures, degraded controllability and environmental disturbances such as wind gusts. The risk is represented in terms of a matrix with rows corresponding to the likelihood of occurrence of collision and columns representing severity of collision to the vehicle and surrounding structures. Risk likelihood is generated using a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) that compiles knowledge from related Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEAs) and Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) to determine the probability of collision based on on-board sensor measurements indicative of vehicle health and controllability. Risk severity is computed utilizing a point-mass 3D kinematic model of the vehicle in presence of wind. The proposed risk factor is demonstrated on real flight data from experimental flights of an octocopter at NASA Langley Research Center in presence of simulated obstacles and wind conditions. Effect of varying wind conditions, level of controllability and obstacle measurement noise on the risk factor is demonstrated. The proposed approach enables risk-informed decision making for timely mitigation of current and future unsafe events in autonomous systems.

risk analysis↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

3D Representation of UAV-obstacle Collision Risk under off-nominal conditions

Safe operations of autonomous unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in low-altitude airspace with beyond visual line-of-sight (BVLOS) flights demand robust risk monitoring of airspace as well as of people and property on ground. One of the safety critical factors for UAV flights is the risk of collision with static and dynamic obstacles in proximity to its flight path. This paper presents a detailed formulation of risk likelihood of obstacle collision incorporating the effects of off-nominal conditions introduced by component failures, degraded controllability and environmental disturbances such as wind gusts. The deviation in the planned trajectory caused due to wind is computed utilizing a point-mass 3D kinematic simulation model of the vehicle. Likelihood of risk for the flight plan is then analyzed based on generating the probability of collision for each point in the trajectory. The proposed risk factor is demonstrated on real flight data from experimental flights of an octocopter at NASA Langley Research Center in presence of simulated obstacles and wind conditions. Effect of varying wind conditions, distance from obstacles, level of controllability and obstacle measurement noise on the risk factor is demonstrated. The proposed approach enables risk-informed decision making for timely mitigation of current and future unsafe events in autonomous systems.

Portia Banerjee↗
NASA NTRS2021

Improving the Representation of Subtropical Boundary Layer Clouds in the NASA GEOS Model with the Eddy-Diffusivity/Mass-Flux Parameterization

A systematic underestimation of subtropical planetary boundary layer (PBL) stratocu-mulus clouds by the GEOS model has been significantly improved by a new Eddy-Diffusivity/Mass-Flux (EDMF) parameterization. The EDMF parameterization representsthe subgrid-scale transport in the dry and moist parts of the PBL in a unified mannerand it combines an adjusted eddy-diffusivity PBL scheme from GEOS with a stochasticmulti-plume mass-flux model. The new EDMF version of the GEOS model is first com-pared against the CONTROL version in a single-column model (SCM) framework for twobenchmark cases representing subtropical stratocumulus and shallow cumulus clouds, andvalidated against large eddy simulations. Global simulations are performed and comparedagainst observations and reanalysis data. The results show that the EDMF version of theGEOS model produces more realistic subtropical PBL clouds. Noteworthy, the EDMF im-provements first detected in the SCM framework translate into similar improvements of theglobal GEOS model.

Kay Suselj↗
NASA NTRS2021

Assimilation of vegetation conditions improves the representation of drought over agricultural areas

This study presents an evaluation of the impact of vegetation conditions on a land-surface model (LSM) simulation of agricultural drought. The Noah-MP LSM is used to simulate water and energy fluxes and states, which are transformed into drought categories using percentiles over the continental U.S. from 1979 to 2017. Leaf Area Index (LAI) observations are assimilated into the dynamic vegetation scheme of Noah-MP. A weekly operational drought monitor (the U.S. Drought Monitor) is used for the evaluation. The results show that LAI assimilation into Noah-MP’s dynamic vegetation scheme improves the model’s ability to represent drought, particularly over cropland areas. LAI assimilation improves the simulation of the drought category, detection of drought conditions, and reduces the instances of drought false alarms. The assimilation of LAI in these locations not only corrects model errors in the simulation of vegetation, but also can help to represent unmodeled physical processes such as irrigation towards improved simulation of agricultural drought.

David M Mocko↗
NASA NTRS2021

On Assessing ERA5 and MERRA2 Representations of Cold-Air Outbreaks Across the Gulf Stream

The warm Gulf Stream sea surface temperatures (SSTs) strongly impact the evolution of winter clouds behind atmospheric cold fronts. Such cloud evolution remains challenging to model. The Gulf Stream is too wide within the ERA5 and MERRA2 reanalyses, affecting the turbulent surface fluxes. Known problems within the ERA5 boundary layer (too-dry and too-cool with too strong westerlies), ascertained primarily from ACTIVATE 2020 campaign aircraft dropsondes and secondarily from older buoy measurements, reinforce surface flux biases. In contrast, MERRA2 winter surface winds and air-sea temperature/humidity differences are slightly too weak, producing surface fluxes that are too low. Reanalyses boundary layer heights in the strongly-forced winter cold-air-outbreak regime are realistic, whereas late-summer quiescent stable boundary layers are too shallow. Nevertheless, the reanalysis biases are small, and reanalyses adequately support their use for initializing higher-resolution cloud process modeling studies of cold-air outbreaks.

Gulf stream↗
NASA NTRS2021

Physics-Based SNOWPACK Model Improves Representation of Near-Surface Antarctic Snow and Firn Density

Estimates of snow and firn density are required for satellite-altimetry-based retrievals of ice sheet mass balance that rely on volume-to-mass conversions. Therefore, biases and errors in presently used density models confound assessments of ice sheet mass balance and by extension ice sheet contribution to sea level rise. Despite this importance, most contemporary firn densification models rely on simplified semi-empirical methods, which are partially reflected by significant modeled density errors when compared to observations. In this study, we present a new drifting-snow compaction scheme that we have implemented into SNOWPACK, a physics-based land surface snow model. We show that our new scheme improves existing versions of SNOWPACK by increasing simulated near-surface (defined as the top 10 m) density to be more in line with observations (near-surface bias reduction from −44.9 to −5.4 kg m−3). Furthermore, we demonstrate high-quality simulation of near-surface Antarctic snow and firn density at 122 observed density profiles across the Antarctic ice sheet, as indicated by reduced model biases throughout most of the near-surface firn column when compared to two semi-empirical firn densification models (SNOWPACK mean bias=−9.7 kg m−3, IMAU-FDM mean bias=−32.5 kg m−3, GSFC-FDM mean bias=15.5 kg m−3). Notably, our analysis is restricted to the near surface where firn density is most variable due to accumulation and compaction variability driven by synoptic weather and seasonal climate variability. Additionally, the GSFC-FDM exhibits lower mean density bias from 7–10 m (SNOWPACK bias=−22.5 kg m−3, GSFC-FDM bias=10.6 kg m−3) and throughout the entire near surface at high-accumulation sites (SNOWPACK bias=−31.4 kg m−3, GSFC-FDM bias=−4.7 kg m−3). However, we found that the performance of SNOWPACK did not degrade when applied to sites that were not included in the calibration of semi-empirical models. This suggests that SNOWPACK may possibly better represent firn properties in locations without extensive observations and under future climate scenarios, when firn properties are expected to diverge from their present state.

Eric Keenan↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Towards a More Realistic Representation of Surface Albedo in NASA CERES Satellite Products: A Comparison with MOSAiC Field Campaign

Observing the Arctic from space is one of the most challenging tasks in climate science. Uncertainty in the NASA Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES)-derived irradiances is larger over sea ice than any other scene type and comes from several sources. The one-year long MOSAiC expedition in the central Arctic provides a rare opportunity to explore uncertainty in CERES-derived radiative fluxes. First, a systematic and statistically robust assessment of surface shortwave and longwave fluxes has been conducted using in-situ measurements from MOSAiC flux stations. The CERES SYN1deg product overestimates the SW_down flux by 11.40 Wm-2 and underestimates the SW_up flux by −15.70 Wm-2 and LW_down fluxes by −13.30 Wm-2 at the surface during summertime. In addition, large differences are found in the LW_up flux (~320 Wm-2) when the surface reaches melting point (~0℃). The large negative bias in upwelling shortwave flux can be attributed to the underestimation of surface albedo (−0.15) in SYN1deg. In addition to direct comparison, a series of perturbation experiments with a radiative transfer model are performed to estimate the contributions to the differences. By correcting both cloud and albedo inputs, the biases in SW_net flux and LW_net flux can be reduced to less than half of the control run biases to +19.90% and −10.53%, respectively. Furthermore, a compensating effect between underestimation of broadband albedo and overestimation of spectral albedo in visible and mid-infrared bands in SYN1deg datasets is found and contributes to the shortwave flux differences. The difference in CERES broadband albedo (~20 Wm 2) contributes to larger uncertainty in SW_up flux than spectral albedo shape (~3 Wm 2). The results of this study inform the future development of CERES products and will ultimately reduce uncertainties in Arctic surface radiation budget derived from satellite measurements.

Yiyi Huang↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Implementation of a Six Degree of Freedom Precision Lunar Landing Algorithm Using Dual Quaternion Representation

In this study, a powered descent guidance algorithm using a unit dual quaternion represen- tation of the vehicle dynamics is implemented in a high-fidelity simulation and on representative flight hardware. This Dual-Quaternion Guidance (DQG) algorithm is applied to the precision lunar landing problem which levies complex constraints upon the trajectory, including state triggered attitude constraints to enable terrain-relative navigation and hazard detection as well as real-time requirements for landing site re-designation. The investigation explores DQG’s usefulness as a mission design tool as well as a real-time guidance algorithm and defines real-time performance requirements for the hazard detection and avoidance (HDA) re-targeting phase of precision lunar landing. The experiment is presented in two parts. First, DQG is implemented within a high-fidelity Monte Carlo simulation to tune the algorithm’s parameters for the simulated vehicle, to refine the mission design, and to develop guidance update timing requirements to perform the HDA maneuver. DQG generates trajectories online for the divert which are tracked by the vehicle’s inner-loop controllers to the targeted landing site. Second, DQG is run on representative hardware to demonstrate real-time operation through a divert maneuver. These results allow for rapid, flexible, optimal mission design satisfying complex constraints, and for the definition of real-time performance requirements for the HDA operations inherent in precision lunar landing. The HDA divert maneuver is found to require guidance trajectory updates in less than three seconds. DQG is found to be too slow to meet this update timing on the descent and landing computer (DLC) in its current implementation. DQG running on alternative hardware can meet the update rate requirement. Algorithm implementation improvements are also recommended which are expected to speed up computation sufficiently to meet requirements on the DLC.

GN&C↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Land Ice Representation in the NASA Goddard Seasonal Forecasting System

Models used in seasonal forecasting systems have aimed for a level of sophistication comparable to Earth system models by incorporating complex physical processes, including those relevant to the polar regions. Here, we examine the polar surface climate in version 3 of the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System Sub-seasonal to Seasonal prediction system (GEOS S2S v3). The model is composed of the ⅟₂̊ resolution Jason4.0version of the GEOS AGCM and the MOM5 ocean model at ⅟₄̊ resolution. The GEOSS2S model incorporates interactive aerosols and two-moment cloud microphysics. As compared to version 2, the model incorporates improved radiative transfer and are designed diurnal cycle atmosphere-ocean interface layer. This study aims to understand how the version 3 model compares with version 2, and with contemporary Earth system models.

Richard I Cullather↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

On the Representation of Through-The-Thickness Reinforcements in Finite Element Analysis of Stitched, Blade Stiffened Panels

Modern aircraft employ laminated composites for their tailorable in-plane properties, high specific strengths, and high specific stiffnesses. However, laminated composites exhibit relatively poor interlaminar properties without through-the-thickness reinforcements. Quantifying the necessary amount of through-the-thickness reinforcements is necessary to reduce cost and meet damage tolerance certification requirements. In this study, a discrete superposed cohesive element (DSCE) approach is applied to represent the mixed-mode delamination behavior of stitched stiffened panels subjected to seven-point bending. This approach is compared to a one-dimensional embedded spring element (ESE) method. The DSCE approach uses two superposed bilinear traction-separation laws to obtain a representative load-displacement response determined from interlaminar tensile and shear tests. Additionally, several stitch configurations (unstitched, stitched, and overstitched) are evaluated in terms of their load-displacement response and crack-arrestment capability. Results indicate that the DSCE and ESE approaches show good agreement with respect to the predicted load-displacement response, but the ESE method tends to overpredict the crack growth behavior by approximately 13%. Stitches were not observed to fail during skin-stringer separation. Using an overstitched laminate with stitches near the flange edge provides the greatest crack-arrestment capability. Furthermore, the skin retains 92% of its stiffness after skin-stringer separation occurs.

composites↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Towards a more realistic representation of NASA CERES-derived surface radiative fluxes during polar night: a comparison with the MOSAiC field campaign

The Arctic is one of the most sensitive regions of Earth to climate change, and yet remains one of the more difficult regions to both observe and simulate. The high latitude of the Arctic gives it some unusual features compared with much of Earth, such as large and variable sea ice cover, extensive mixed phase cloud cover, and the polar day/night cycle. These features significantly influence the radiative environment of the Arctic as well as the ability to observe it. The remoteness of the Arctic from most of civilization makes large volumes of in situ observations difficult to collect, and so satellite observations are a critical tool for observing the region, such as those from Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES). But validating the satellite radiative flux estimates is difficult because of the lack of in situ measurements. A useful remedy is utilizing measurements from field campaigns, such as the year-long Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition during 2019-2020. The extensive high-quality surface radiative flux and meteorological measurements collected from MOSAiC provide a useful check on flux retrievals from CERES instruments. Previous work compared MOSAiC and CERES surface radiative fluxes during the 2020 melt season (April-September). Errors in CERES fluxes were related to errors in estimated atmospheric optical depth and surface albedo. We conduct a similar assessment of CERES surface flux retrievals using MOSAiC data, but for the months of October through March instead. As this time period is mostly during polar night and twilight, the focus of the study is on longwave surface fluxes. To better understand the reasons for errors in CERES fluxes, we use the large set of meteorological measurements also collected by MOSAiC, including surface temperature, thermodynamic vertical profiles, surface turbulent fluxes, and cloud properties. For example, one notable possible source of error in the CERES estimate of surface downwelling longwave flux is the estimate of cloud base height when compared with MOSAiC W-band radar measurements – an overestimate of cloud base height yields an underestimate of the downwelling flux on the order of tens of W m2.

J. Brant Dodson↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

On the Representation of Through-The-Thickness Reinforcements in Finite Element Analysis of Stitched, Blade Stiffened Panels

Modern aircraft employ laminated composites for their tailorable in-plane properties, high specific strengths, and high specific stiffnesses. However, laminated composites exhibit relatively poor interlaminar properties without through-the-thickness reinforcements. Quantifying the necessary amount of through-the-thickness reinforcements is necessary to reduce cost and meet damage tolerance certification requirements. In this study, a discrete superposed cohesive element (DSCE) approach is applied to represent the mixed-mode delamination behavior of stitched stiffened panels subjected to seven-point bending. This approach is compared to a one-dimensional embedded spring element (ESE) method. The DSCE approach uses two superposed bilinear traction-separation laws to obtain a representative load-displacement response determined from interlaminar tensile and shear tests. Additionally, several stitch configurations (unstitched, stitched, and overstitched) are evaluated in terms of their load-displacement response and crack-arrestment capability. Results indicate that the DSCE and ESE approaches show good agreement with respect to the predicted load-displacement response, but the ESE method tends to overpredict the crack growth behavior by approximately 13%. Stitches were not observed to fail during skin-stringer separation. Using an overstitched laminate with stitches near the flange edge provides the greatest crack-arrestment capability. Furthermore, the skin retains 92% of its stiffness after skin-stringer separation occurs.

composites↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Towards a More Realistic Representation of NASA CERES-derived Surface Radiative Fluxes during Polar Night: A Comparison with the MOSAiC Field Campaign

The Arctic is one of the most sensitive regions of Earth to climate change, and yet remains one of the more difficult regions to both observe and simulate. The remoteness of the Arctic from most of civilization makes large volumes of in situ observations difficult to collect, and so satellite observations are a critical tool for observing the region, such as those from Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES). But validating the satellite radiative flux estimates is difficult because of the lack of in situ measurements. A useful remedy is utilizing measurements from field campaigns, such as the year-long Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition during 2019-2020. The extensive high-quality surface radiative flux and meteorological measurements collected from MOSAiC provide a useful check on flux retrievals from CERES instruments. We compare MOSAiC and CERES surface radiative fluxes during October through March of 2019-2020. As this time period is mostly during polar night and twilight, the focus of the study is on longwave surface fluxes. To better understand the reasons for errors in CERES fluxes, we use the large set of meteorological measurements also collected by MOSAiC, including surface temperature, thermodynamic vertical profiles, surface turbulent fluxes, and cloud properties. Previous work identified a significant source of error in the CERES estimate of surface downwelling longwave flux as the estimate of low level cloud amount when compared with MOSAiC W-band radar measurements. An overestimate of low cloud amount yielded an underestimate of the downwelling flux on the order of tens of W m2. Continuing this work, we test other meteorological properties such as the vertical thermodynamic profile and surface turbulent fluxes. In addition, we examine different estimates of surface fluxes derived from CERES measurements. Previous work used the SYN1deg product, which had the limitation of having a 1º x 1 º horizontal resolution. A newer product estimates the surface fluxes at the CERES footprint resolution, which allows a more precise colocation, and thus a representative flux estimate, with the MOSAiC site.

J Brant Dodson↗