Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “range prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 613 records · Page 34
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1992

Short-arc orbit determination using coherent X-band ranging data

The use of X-band frequencies in ground-spacecraft and spacecraft-ground telecommunication links for current and future robotic interplanetary missions makes it possible to perform ranging measurements of greater accuracy than previously obtained. It is shown that ranging data of sufficient accuracy, when acquired from multiple stations, can sense the geocentric angular position of a distant spacecraft. The application of high-accuracy S/X-band and X-band ranging to orbit determination with relatively short data arcs is investigated in planetary approach and encounter scenarios. Actual trajectory solutions for the Ulysses spacecraft constructed from S/X-band ranging and Doppler data are presented; error covariance calculations are used to predict the performance of X-band ranging and Doppler data. The Ulysses trajectory solutions indicate that the aim point for the spacecraft's February 1992 Jupiter encounter was predicted to a geocentric accuracy of 0.20 to 0.23/microrad. Explicit modeling of range bias parameters for each station pass is shown to largely remove systematic ground system calibration errors and transmission media effects from the Ulysses range measurements, which would otherwise corrupt the angle finding capabilities of the data. The Ulysses solutions were found to be reasonably consistent with the theoretical results, which suggest that angular accuracies of 0.08 to 0.1/microrad are achievable with X-band ranging.

Thurman, S. W.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Deposition Height Prediction in Directed Energy Deposition

Using 316L stainless steel as a model material, reduced-order models are developed to predict capture efficiency, deposition height, and site-specific hardness in directed energy deposition. Capture efficiency is predicted over a 15 to 55 pct range using a dimensionless number derived from processing conditions and thermophysical properties. Deposition height is predicted over a 0.3 to 1.3 mm range without in situ sensing or prior training data, using two models based on the same mass and energy-balance principles. Predictions are compared with machine learning approaches. A quantitative relationship links deposition height, primary dendrite arm spacing (PDAS), and hardness: heights of 0.3 to 1.1 mm correspond to PDAS values of 2.7 to 5.1 µm and Vickers hardness (HV) of 160 to 219. Thinner layers cool more rapidly, producing finer microstructures and higher hardness. Samples fabricated with in situ variations in deposition height exhibited up to 55 HV differences between thick and thin regions, demonstrating that local control of deposition height enables predictive, site-specific hardness within a single build. These results establish deposition height prediction as a pathway for a priori process design and property control in directed energy deposition for 316L stainless steel.

Kunkel, William [Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI (↗
DOE OSTI2026

Nonmonotonic-potential description of polarization effects, fusion, and nuclear rainbows in elastic scattering of 6 Li + 12 C at 4.5–600 MeV

The experimental differential cross-section (CS) and analyzing power (AP) data of the 6 Li + 12 C elastic scattering over a wide laboratory energy scale (4.5MeV≤𝐸 lab ≤600MeV) are analyzed within the framework of the optical model (OPM) using nonmonotonic (NM) nucleus–nucleus potentials. The real part of the NM potentials is derived from the Pauli-embodied energy density-functional (EDF) formalism with the sudden approximation. The real part of the noncentral spin-orbit and tensor terms, as well as the imaginary parts, are treated phenomenologically. The effect of the radius of sensitivity on the CS and AP data is found to be more important at lower energies. The diffractive and refractive scattering with Airy structures in the whole angular region of the elastic scattering across the studied energy range is successfully described within the OPM using the NM 6 Li + 12 C potential. The near- and far-side (N and F) decomposition of the total elastic-scattering amplitudes has also been studied using our NM potentials. The evolution of the Airy minima in the angular distributions, coupled with the fitting of the AP data, provides an accurate description of Airy minima of different orders. The OPM calculations with the NM potentials describe exceptionally well the CS, vector analyzing power (VAP), and tensor analyzing power data at 𝐸 lab =9.0,19.24,20,30, and 50MeV. In agreement with our past successful descriptions of CS and the opposite signs of the VAP data for the 6 Li and 7 Li elastic scattering using NM potentials in OPM, the present results appear to provide a better fit, so far, than those obtained from the coupled-channels method. The fusion cross sections of 6 Li + 12 C have been predicted in the energy range (4.5MeV≤𝐸 lab ≤20MeV), fitting the experimental data well in the range 𝐸 lab =2.97–11.77MeV. The EDF potential without any energy dependence and renormalization is also found to describe satisfactorily the experimental CS and AP data at energies up to several hundreds of MeV.

6 ≤ A ≤ 19↗
NASA NTRS2021

Comprehensive Comparison of Airborne and Spaceborne SAR and LiDAR Estimates of Forest Structure in the Tallest Mangrove Forest on Earth

A recent suite of new global-scale satellite sensors and regional-scale airborne campaigns are providing a wealth of remote sensing data capable of dramatically advancing our current understanding of the spatial distribution of forest structure and carbon stocks. However, a baseline for forest stature and biomass estimates has yet to be established for the wide array of available remote sensing products. At present, it remains unclear how the estimates from these sensors compare to one another in terrestrial forests, with a clear dearth of studies in high carbon density mangrove ecosystems. In the tallest mangrove forest on Earth (Pongara National Park, Gabon), we leverage the data collected during the AfriSAR campaign to evaluate 17 state-of-the-art sensor data products across the full range of height and biomass known to exist globally in mangrove forest ecosystems, providing a much-needed baseline for sensor performance. Our major findings are: (Houghton, Hall, Goetz) height estimates are not consistent across products, with opposing trends in relative and absolute errors, highlighting the need for an adaptive approach to constraining height estimates (Panet al., 2011); radar height estimates had the lowest calibration error and bias, with further improvements using LiDAR fusion (Bonan, 2008); biomass variability and uncertainty strongly depends on forest stature, with variation across products increasing with canopy height, while relative biomass variation was highest in low-stature stands (Le Quéréet al., 2017); a remote sensing product's sensitivity to variations in canopy structure is more important than the absolute accuracy of height estimates (Mitchardet al., 2014); locally-calibrated area-wide totals are more representative than generalized global biomass models for high-precision biomass estimates. The findings presented here provide critical baseline expectations for height and biomass predictions across the full range of mangrove forest stature, which can be directly applied to current (TanDEM-X, GEDI, ICESat-2) and future (NISAR, BIOMASS) global-scale forest monitoring missions.

Atticus E.L. Stovall↗
DOE OSTI2020

Spin-phonon relaxation from a universal ab initio density-matrix approach

Designing new quantum materials with long-lived electron spin states urgently requires a general theoretical formalism and computational technique to reliably predict intrinsic spin relaxation times. We present a new, accurate and universal first-principles methodology based on Lindbladian dynamics of density matrices to calculate spin-phonon relaxation time of solids with arbitrary spin mixing and crystal symmetry. This method describes contributions of Elliott-Yafet and D’yakonov-Perel’ mechanisms to spin relaxation for systems with and without inversion symmetry on an equal footing. We show that intrinsic spin and momentum relaxation times both decrease with increasing temperature; however, for the D’yakonov-Perel’ mechanism, spin relaxation time varies inversely with extrinsic scattering time. We predict large anisotropy of spin lifetime in transition metal dichalcogenides. The excellent agreement with experiments for a broad range of materials underscores the predictive capability of our method for properties critical to quantum information science.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Error quantification of the Arrhenius blending rule for viscosity of hydrocarbon mixtures

Six hundred and seventy-five measurements of dynamic viscosity and density have been used to assess the prediction error of the Arrhenius blending rule for kinematic viscosity of hydrocarbon mixtures. Major trends within the data show that mixture complexity–binary to hundreds of components—and temperature are more important determinants of prediction error than differences in molecular size or hydrogen saturation between the components of the mixtures. Over the range evaluated, no correlation between prediction error and mole fractions was observed, suggesting the log of viscosity truly is linear in mole fraction, as indicated by the Arrhenius blending rule. Mixture complexity and temperature also impact molar volume and its prediction. However, a linear regression between the two model errors explains less than 20% of the observed variation, indicating that mixture viscosity and/or molar volume are not linear with respect to temperature and/or mixture complexity. Extensive discussion of the intermolecular forces and the geometric arrangement of molecules and vacancies in liquids, which ultimately determines its viscosity, is brought into context with the implicit approximations behind the Arrhenius blending rule. The complexity of this physics is not compatible with a simple algebraic correction to the model. However, sufficient data is now available to determine confidence intervals around the prediction of fuel viscosity based on its component mole fractions and viscosities. At -40°C, when all identified components are pure molecules the modeling error is 13.2% of the predicted (nominal) viscosity times the root mean square of the component mole fractions.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
NASA NTRS1994

The application of Newman crack-closure model to predicting fatigue crack growth

Newman crack-closure model and the relevant crack growth program were applied to the analysis of crack growth under constant amplitude and aircraft spectrum loading on a number of aluminum alloy materials. The analysis was performed for available test data of 2219-T851, 2024-T3, 2024-T351, 7075-T651, 2324-T39, and 7150-T651 aluminum materials. The results showed that the constraint factor is a significant factor in the method. The determination of the constraint factor is discussed. For constant amplitude loading, satisfactory crack growth lives could be predicted. For the above aluminum specimens, the ratio of predicted to experimental lives, Np/Nt, ranged from 0.74 to 1.36. The mean value of Np/Nt was 0.97. For a specified complex spectrum loading, predicted crack growth lives are not in very good agreement with the test data. Further effort is needed to correctly simulate the transition between plane strain and plane stress conditions, existing near the crack tip.

Si, Erjian↗
NASA NTRS1994

Modeling the two-point correlation of the vector stream function

A new model for the two-point vector stream function correlation has been developed using tensor invariant arguments and evaluated by the comparison of model predictions with DNS data for incompressible homogeneous turbulent shear flow. This two-point vector stream function model correlation can then be used to calculate the two-point velocity correlation function and other quantities useful in turbulence modeling. The model assumes that the two-point vector stream function correlation can be written in terms of the separation vector and a new tensor function that depends only on the magnitude of the separation vector. The model has a single free model coefficient, which has been chosen by comparison with the DNS data. The relative error of the model predictions of the two-point vector stream function correlation is only a few percent for a broad range of the model coefficient. Predictions of the derivatives of this correlation, which are of interest in turbulence modeling, may not be this accurate.

Oberlack, M.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coupled Multiphysics Modeling of Lithium-Ion Batteries for Automotive Crashworthiness Applications

Considerable advances have been made in battery safety models, but achieving predictive accuracy across a wide range of conditions continues to be challenging. Interactions between dynamically evolving mechanical, electrical, and thermal state variables make model prediction difficult during mechanical abuse scenarios. In this study, we develop a physics-based modeling approach that allows for choosing between different mechanical and electrochemical models depending on the required level of analysis. We demonstrate the use of this approach to connect cell-level abuse response to electrode-level and particle-level transport phenomena. A pseudo-two-dimensional model and simplified single-particle models are calibrated to electrical-thermal cycling data and applied to mechanically induced short-circuit scenarios to understand how the choice of electrochemical model affects the model prediction under abuse scenarios. These models are implemented using user-defined subroutines on ls-dyna finite element software and can be coupled with existing automotive crash safety models.

analysis and design of components↗
DOE OSTI2023

Complex concentrated alloys and chemical short-range ordering

Abstract Complex concentrated alloys (CCAs) are materials comprising three or more elements in similar proportions and possessing structural but no chemical long-range order. Fascination with CCAs has grown over the last 20 years and to date, CCAs have opened a new materials design paradigm and horizon for discovery of materials to meet the demands of applications in aggressive environments. Understanding the fundamental mechanisms controlling their response, however, is challenging due to the chemical and structural variations that wildly fluctuate over fine atomic and nanoscales. This issue focuses on the experimental, computational, and theoretical investigations that aim to uncover phenomena and processes determining the structure, kinetics, mechanics, or deformation mechanisms in CCAs at the atomic scale. At the atomic scale at which they operate, chemical short-range ordering can be influential. This issue further addresses the capabilities, as well as the debatable need, to characterize, predict, and relate short-range ordering to material performance. Collectively, the articles in this issue highlight the insights, understanding, and experimental and computational tools that attempt to create property-tunable CCAs “from the atom up” by treating short-range ordering and engineering atomic-scale mechanisms. Graphical abstract

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Linking Friction Scales from Nano to Macro via Avalanches

Abstract Steady-state fluctuations in the friction force of molybdenum disulfide (MoS 2 ), a prototypical lamellar solid, were analyzed experimentally for newton-scale forces and computationally via molecular dynamics simulations for nanonewton-scale forces. A mean field model links the statics and the dynamics of the friction behavior across these eight orders of magnitude in friction force and six orders of magnitude in friction force fluctuations (i.e., avalanches). Both the statistics and dynamics of the avalanches match model predictions, indicating that friction can be characterized as a series of avalanches with properties that are predictable over a wide range of scales.

Salners, Tyler (ORCID:0000000332647944)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ab Initio Study of Stability, Local Order, and Phase Diagram For a Series of bcc-based Transition Metal Alloys

In this work, a parameter-free electronic structure approach is applied to the study of stability and chemical order in the 15 substitutional body-centered cubic (bcc)-based alloys made of the six transition metals of groups 5 (V, Nb, Ta) and 6 (Cr, Mo, W) of the periodic table. The method is based on a Green’s function description of the electronic structure of the random alloys. Configurational order is treated within the generalized perturbation method, and temperature effects are examined with a generalized mean-field approach. In contrast to the results summarized in the assessed phase diagrams, stability and ordering trends are predicted in a broad range of alloy composition for at least seven alloys, and explanation is found in their electronic structure properties. Short-range order results, thermodynamics analysis, and bcc-based phase diagrams are also presented.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

First-principles prediction of incipient order in arbitrary high-entropy alloys: exemplified in Ti 0.25 CrFeNiAl

High-temperature disordered multi-component alloys, including high-entropy alloys, experience either segregation or partially-ordered phases to reach low-temperature phases. For Ti 0.25 CrFeNiAl x (0 ≤ x ≤ 1), experiments suggest a partially-ordered B2 phase, whereas CALculation of PHAse Diagrams (CALPHAD) predicts a region of L21+B2 coexistence. We employ first-principles KKR-CPA to assess stability of phases with arbitrary order and a KKR-CPA linear-response theory to predict atomic short-range order (SRO) in the disorder phase that reveals the competing long-range ordered (LRO) phases in a given Bravais lattice. The favorable SRO provides a specific concentration-waves (site occupation probabilities and partially-ordered unit cells) and estimated energy gains that can then be assess directly by KKR-CPA formation enthalpies. Our results are in good agreement with experiments and CALPHAD in Al-poor regions (x ≤ 0.75) and with CALPHAD in Al-rich region (1≥ x >0.75). Our first-principles KKR-CPA and SRO-based concentration-wave analysis is shown to be a powerful and fast method to assess competing LRO phases in complex solid-solution alloys, and our results suggests more careful experiments in Al-rich region are needed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Hydrogen release from aqueous based LOHCs: The role of water in the potassium formate/bicarbonate cycle

Here, in this study, we evaluate the chemical and physical properties governing the potential round-trip efficiency of an aqueous formate/bicarbonate cycle for hydrogen storage, with a particular focus on potassium formate as a potential liquid hydrogen carrier. Using thermodynamic parameters, we predict the conversion of formate to bicarbonate across varying temperatures and pressures, revealing that hydrogen release is relatively insensitive to temperature but highly dependent on pressure. Our findings indicate that hydrogen uptake is highly efficient, whereas hydrogen release poses a greater challenge, necessitating detailed optimization to enhance round-trip efficiency. We calculate the solubility limits of bicarbonate salts influenced by the common ion effect to enable the prediction of target conversion ranges that prevent the precipitation of potassium bicarbonate in a reactor. Furthermore, the energy efficiency of hydrogen release was assessed based on the heating requirements of the aqueous solutions. This analysis maximizes the round-trip efficiency by balancing the solubility limits of bicarbonate, the heat capacity of aqueous formate solutions and conversion based on thermodynamic equilibria. Taking these factors into consideration we suggest reaction conditions that could be utilized in a systems analysis to calculate the levelized cost of storage using the bicarbonate/formate cycle at commercial scales.

common ion effect↗
DOE OSTI2023

Determination of single crystal thermal expansion in Uranium-6wt%Niobium shape memory alloy using in-situ diffraction and modeling of textured polycrystalline samples

In-situ neutron diffraction and ex-situ dilatometry experiments were performed on a chemically banded, quenched uranium-6wt% niobium shape memory alloy to study the impact of deformation-(detwinning-) induced texture on the evolution of thermally induced strains (and associated stresses). Thermal heating and cooling cycles between 5K and 473K were performed in-situ with neutron diffraction, and the lattice strain evolution is reported for the observed monoclinic α" phase. Comparisons between the measured diffraction strains and macroscopic dilatometry experiments reveal relationships between micro- and macro-level thermal expansion. Softening of the texture during heating suggests that twin boundary motion can accommodate the large internal thermal strains which are approximately 2% greater than that typically observed during the 175K heating interval used to age more randomly oriented polycrystalline material. Assuming weak constraint of neighboring grains in randomly textured polycrystals, the single crystal thermal expansion tensor is extracted from measurements of lattice strains over the range 5K to 473K. Predictions of polycrystalline thermal expansion, based upon this single crystal thermal expansion tensor, are shown to compare favorably with bulk thermal expansion observations of the as quenched microstructure. However, such a lower-bound estimate is insufficient to explain all aspects of the behavior of the textured material, where the matrix is not isotropic. In conclusion, it is hypothesized that relaxation processes which occur within the quenched microstructure during heating are responsible for the distinct thermal expansion behavior observed during the initial heating cycle compared to cooling and subsequent cycling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Estimating snow cover from high-resolution satellite imagery by thresholding blue wavelengths

We report the extent and duration of snow cover, a critical component of the hydrologic cycle and the global climate system, is expected to shift dramatically under climate change. Therefore, developing high-resolution assessments of snow cover change is crucial for estimating the impact of changing snow cover on watershed and ecosystems processes in cold regions. Remote sensing tools provide a powerful method for mapping snow-covered area (SCA) across a landscape. The most common method for estimating SCA utilizes the normalized difference snow index (NDSI), which relies on spectral measurements in the shortwave-infrared wavelengths (SWIR). NDSI can effectively estimate catchment- to regional-scale SCA, but it cannot be used to assess fine-scale SCA because of current limitations on the spatial resolution of satellite-derived SWIR measurements. Here, we map SCA using a threshold of blue wavelengths and high-resolution satellite imagery. The thresholding method, which we call the Blue Snow Threshold algorithm (BST), has previously been used with digital camera imagery. We refine and automate the algorithm for use with cloud-free high-resolution satellite imagery and find that the BST can be used to assess fine-scale SCA. For validation, we compared BST-derived estimates of SCA to a) airborne lidar surveys, b) Landsat fractional SCA, and c) snow disappearance dates from Snow Telemetry (SNOTEL) stations. When compared to airborne lidar surveys of SCA, the BST predicted SCA had a range of F-scores between 0.81 and 0.94 in four study areas in California and Colorado. We also found general agreement between SCA and snow disappearance at multiple SNOTEL sites across the western United States. Given the relatively recent availability of high-resolution satellite imagery with spectral measurements in the visible wavelengths but lacking in SWIR, the BST offers a reliable and easy-to-apply tool for examining fine-scale snow-related processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multiple Operando Fields Can Identify a Predictive Mass Transport Theory in Electrolytes

An electrolyte transport theory connects its transport properties, evolution of spatiotemporal fields (e.g., concentration), and corresponding macroscopic current and voltage responses. Given this interconnection, the transport properties are typically inferred by analyzing the macroscopic response through the lens of a chosen electrolyte transport theory. Unfortunately, the same macroscopic measurements can be analyzed by using different theories to arrive at seemingly dissimilar properties that are inconsistent with each other. Here, we offer a resolution to this dilemma by analyzing multiple spatiotemporal (i.e., operando) fields for a given electrolyte. We show that predictive transport theory can analyze operando fields to estimate underlying transport properties and subsequently predict another operando field. A theory passing this test identifies meaningful transport properties such that the electrolyte behavior can be accurately predicted over a wide range of excitations, and is critical to property-based electrolyte screening and electrolyte discovery efforts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗