Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “predictive analytics”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 613 records · Page 34
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

2024 Second Half Semi Annual Report: Modeling plasticity-mediated flow in metals with pressurized cavities

The objective is to better predict the bulk-scale mechanical behavior of porous metals that have over pressurized cavities (e.g., irradiated metals with helium bubbles) by quantifying the complex coupling among cavity aspects (e.g., size distribution, inhomogeneous overpressure values, spatial arrangement) and metal properties (e.g., rate-dependency, crystallographic lattice). This requires up-scaling local mechanical fields from the single crystal scale and will be accomplished using a homogenization approach that combines full-field numerical simulations, analytical formalisms, and physics-informed machine learning to produce symbolically-defined constitutive equations (e.g., gauge functions). These equations will satisfy the objective because they enable computationally efficient predictions that approach the accuracy of computationally expensive full-field numerical simulations, abide by theoretical requirements (e.g., conservation of energy, work conjugacy), and retain the transparency of analytical models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Joint galaxy–galaxy lensing and clustering constraints on galaxy formation

ABSTRACT We compare predictions for galaxy–galaxy lensing profiles and clustering from the Henriques et al. public version of the Munich semi-analytical model (SAM) of galaxy formation and the IllustrisTNG suite, primarily TNG300, with observations from KiDS + GAMA and SDSS-DR7 using four different selection functions for the lenses (stellar mass, stellar mass and group membership, stellar mass and isolation criteria, and stellar mass and colour). We find that this version of the SAM does not agree well with the current data for stellar mass-only lenses with $M_\ast \gt 10^{11}\, \mathrm{ M}_\odot$. By decreasing the merger time for satellite galaxies as well as reducing the radio-mode active galactic nucleus accretion efficiency in the SAM, we obtain better agreement, both for the lensing and the clustering, at the high-mass end. We show that the new model is consistent with the signals for central galaxies presented in Velliscig et al. Turning to the hydrodynamical simulation, TNG300 produces good lensing predictions, both for stellar mass-only (χ2 = 1.81 compared to χ2 = 7.79 for the SAM) and locally brightest galaxy samples (χ2 = 3.80 compared to χ2 = 5.01). With added dust corrections to the colours it matches the SDSS clustering signal well for red low-mass galaxies. We find that both the SAMs and TNG300 predict $\sim 50\, {{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ excessive lensing signals for intermediate-mass red galaxies with 10.2 < log10M*[M⊙] < 11.2 at $r \approx 0.6\, h^{-1}\, \text{Mpc}$, which require further theoretical development.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Analytical nonadiabatic coupling and state-specific energy gradient for the crystal field Hamiltonian describing lanthanide single-ion magnets

Paramagnetic molecules with a metal ion as an electron spin center are promising building blocks for molecular qubits and high-density memory arrays. However, fast spin relaxation and decoherence in these molecules lead to a rapid loss of magnetization and quantum information. Nonadiabatic coupling (NAC), closely related to spin-vibrational coupling, is the main source of spin relaxation and decoherence in paramagnetic molecules at higher temperatures. Predicting these couplings using numerical differentiation requires a large number of computationally intensive ab initio or crystal field electronic structure calculations. To reduce computational cost and improve accuracy, we derive and implement analytical NAC and state-specific energy gradient for the ab initio parametrized crystal field Hamiltonian describing single-ion molecular magnets. Our implementation requires only a single crystal field calculation. In addition, the accurate NACs and state-specific energy gradients can be used to model spin relaxation using sophisticated nonadiabatic molecular dynamics, which avoids the harmonic approximation for molecular vibrations. To test our implementation, we calculate the NAC values for three lanthanide complexes. Finally, the predicted values support the relaxation mechanisms reported in previous studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Invariant surface elastic properties in FCC metals and their correlation to bulk properties revealed by machine learning methods

In this work, we present a combination of machine-learned models that predicts the surface elastic properties of general free surfaces in face-centered cubic (FCC) metals. These models are built by combining a semi-analytical method based on atomistic simulations to calculate surface properties with the artificial neural network (ANN) method or the boosted regression tree (BRT) method. The latter is also used to link bulk properties and surface orientation to surface properties. The surface elastic properties are represented by their invariants considering plane elasticity within a polar method. The resulting models are shown to accurately predict the surface elastic properties of seven pure FCC metals (Cu, Ni, Ag, Au, Al, Pd, Pt). The BRT model reveals the correlations between bulk and corresponding surface properties in terms of invariants, which can be used to guide the design of complex nano-sized particles, wires and films. Finally, by expressing the surface excess energy density as a function of surface elastic invariants, fast predictions of surface energy as a function of in-plane deformations can be made from these model constructs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Elucidating and predicting the dynamic evolution of water and land systems due to natural and energy-related forcings

Focal Area(s): 3. Insight gleaned from complex data (both observed and simulated) using AI, big data analytics, and other advanced methods, including explainable AI and physics- or knowledge-guided AI; & 1. Data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning, AI, and advanced methods including experimental/network design/optimization, unsupervised learning (including deep learning), and hardware-related efforts involving AI (e.g., edge computing). Science Challenge: Interactions between water, land, and energy systems are complex and occur on a variety of scales, ranging from local to basinal to regional. Accurately predicting the behavior of ground water and surface water systems for 5-10 years and beyond requires an understanding of the current system and the ability to model both the natural system at scale and human-induced forcings related to energy and other activities. Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) combined with modern compilation and integration efforts for U.S. groundwater and surface water systems present potential solutions to bolstering detailed physics-based models of these systems. Big data tied with ML and physics-based modeling can drive breakthroughs in understanding the earth system, but research is often impeded by data access (e.g., privacy issues), quality, formats, gaps, multi-source, multi-scale, integration, and spatiotemporal challenges. Effective integration of real data and simulated (synthetic) data that fill gaps is critical. Overcoming these complex data and model integration challenges will enable a transformational approach to acquiring enhanced understanding of environmental systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Phase-field modeling of alloy oxidation at high temperatures

Oxide growth is a complex process involving transport of reactive species, heterogeneous reactions, and microstructure evolution. Predicting oxidation kinetics and especially the oxide morphological change has been a long-standing challenge. Here we develop a phase-field model for predicting the oxide growth kinetics of a multicomponent alloy during high temperature oxidation, focusing on internal oxidation (non-protective) and its transition to external oxidation (protective). In this work, the predicted kinetics and oxide morphology are analyzed and compared to the classical Wagner’s theory and an existing analytical model by Zhao and Gleeson. Some assumptions used in the analytical models and the limitation are discussed. In addition, it is demonstrated that the morphology and distribution of the initial oxide nuclei play an important role in the later stage oxide connectivity and thus the transition to external oxidation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Glassy carbon formation from pyrolysis of polymeric coatings on fiber-optic sensors

Deploying fiber-optic sensors in nuclear reactors requires a detailed understanding of radiation effects on the fiber materials and the transmitted signals. Previous work has shown large wavelength shifts in the reflected spectra obtained from polymer-coated fiber-optic temperature sensors exposed to high neutron fluences. The sensor drift resulting from these wavelength shifts cannot be explained by radiation effects on fused silica glass. These shifts are hypothesized to be caused by the conversion of the polymeric fiber coating to a glassy carbon via radiolysis and/or pyrolysis and subsequent radiation-induced compaction. Here, thermal degradation of these polymeric coatings was studied to provide insight into the potential origins of the sensor drift phenomenon. Acrylate- and polyimide-coated fibers were heated under various temperatures (250–1300 °C) and environments (oxidative and inert), and the resulting coating products were characterized via mass-loss data, scanning electron microscope imaging, and Raman spectroscopy. Results suggest that the polymer decomposition product of both coating types, at least under inert conditions, is indeed a glassy carbon. Analytical models that account for radiation-induced glassy carbon coating compaction show significant compressive fiber strains and predicted wavelength shifts that agree well with experimental measurements, providing additional evidence that supports the hypothesized origins of the sensor drift.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Measurements of Lund subjet multiplicities in 13 TeV proton-proton collisions with the ATLAS detector

This Letter presents a differential cross-section measurement of Lund subjet multiplicities, suitable for testing current and future parton shower Monte Carlo algorithms. This measurement is made in dijet events in 140 fb -1 of $\sqrt{s}$ =13 TeV proton–proton collision data collected with the ATLAS detector at CERN's Large Hadron Collider. The data are unfolded to account for acceptance and detector-related effects, and are then compared with several Monte Carlo models and to recent resummed analytical calculations. The experimental precision achieved in the measurement allows tests of higher-order effects in QCD predictions. Most predictions fail to accurately describe the measured data, particularly at large values of jet transverse momentum accessible at the Large Hadron Collider, indicating the measurement's utility as an input to future parton shower developments and other studies probing fundamental properties of QCD and the production of hadronic final states up to the TeV-scale.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Selective acoustic control of photon-mediated qubit-qubit interactions

Quantum technologies such as quantum sensing, quantum imaging, quantum communications, and quantum computing rely on the ability to actively manipulate the quantum state of light and matter. Quantum emitters, such as color centers trapped in solids, are a useful platform for the realization of elementary building blocks (qubits) of quantum information systems. In particular, the modular nature of such solid-state devices opens up the possibility to connect them into quantum networks and create nonclassical states of light shared among many qubits. The function of a quantum network relies on efficient and controllable interactions among individual qubits. In this context, we present a scheme where optically active qubits of differing excitation energies are mutually coupled via a dispersive interaction with a shared mode of an optical cavity. This generally off-resonant interaction is prohibitive of direct exchange of information among the qubits. However, we propose a scheme in which by acoustically modulating the qubit excitation energies it is, in fact, possible to tune to resonance a preselected pair of qubits and thus open a communication channel between them. This method potentially enables fast (approximately nanoseconds) and parallelizable on-demand control of a large number of physical qubits. In this work, we develop an analytical and a numerical theoretical model demonstrating this principle and suggest feasible experimental scenarios to test the theoretical predictions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Toward a classification of PT-symmetric quantum systems: From dissipative dynamics to topology and wormholes

Studies of many-body non-Hermitian parity-time (PT)-symmetric quantum systems are attracting a lot of interest due to their relevance in research areas ranging from quantum optics and continuously monitored dynamics to Euclidean wormholes in quantum gravity and dissipative quantum chaos. While a symmetry classification of non-Hermitian systems leads to 38 universality classes, we show that, under certain conditions, PT-symmetric systems are grouped into 24 universality classes. We identify 14 of them in a coupled two-site Sachdev-Ye-Kitaev (SYK) model and confirm the classification by spectral analysis using exact diagonalization techniques. Intriguingly, in 4 of these 14 universality classes, AIII ν , BDI ν † , BDI + + ν , and CI − − ν , we identify a basis in which the SYK Hamiltonian has a block structure in which some blocks are rectangular, with ν ∈ N the difference between the number of rows and columns. We show analytically that this feature leads to the existence of ν robust purely eigenvalues, whose level statistics follow the predictions of Hermitian random matrix theory for classes A, AI, BDI, and CI, respectively. We have recently found that this ν is a topological invariant, so these classes are topological. By contrast, nontopological real eigenvalues display a crossover between Hermitian and non-Hermitian level statistics. Similarly to the case of Lindbladian dynamics, the reduction of universality classes leads to unexpected results, such as the absence of Kramers degeneracy in a given sector of the theory. Another novel feature of the classification scheme is that different sectors of the PT-symmetric Hamiltonian may have different symmetries. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Correlation of Diffusion Limited Oxidation to Color Difference in Accelerated Aging of Electrical Cable Insulation

Diffusion limited oxidation (DLO) as a phenomenon has complicated material lifetime predictions from accelerated aging studies. Many methods to analyze DLO have been developed in recent years. However, an analytical tool for high throughput and low-cost analysis of DLO affected samples remains absent from the literature. Color differences in polymers exposed to oxidative conditions have recently been observed and correlated to increased concentrations of oxidation products. Herein, total color difference was utilized to rapidly quantify DLO in ethylene propylene rubber (EPR) polymeric cable insulation specimens. Insulation specimens were aged at 121 °C, 136 °C, 150 °C, and 165 °C and a 10% ?E*ab difference between the specimen edge and specimen center was used as the threshold for DLO. Based on these specifications DLO was observed in EPR insulation specimen at temperatures of 136 °C and above, with an increasing degree of DLO observed as the time of exposure increased. The method presented in this work represents a quantitative and high-throughput method for the investigation of DLO with a low cost barrier for entry.

diffusion limited oxidation, DLO, nuclear, electri↗
DOE OSTI2023

Electrochemical Kinetics of Stable Isotopes (Final Report)

Stable isotopes are sensitive indicators to the mass transport and chemical reactions that occur during potentiostat-controlled electroplating of metals from aqueous (and some non-aqueous) metal-salt solutions. The goal of this research program is to measure the stable isotope fractionation during electrochemical processes, how the isotope-dependent rates are sensitive to chemistry, temperature, and electrochemical kinetics, and to use these measurements to develop a theoretical framework for a kinetic isotope effect that is able to predict kinetic isotope fractionation factors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Analytical solution for the cumulative wake of wind turbines in wind farms

This paper solves an approximate form of conservation of mass and momentum for a turbine in a wind farm array. The solution is a fairly simple explicit relationship that predicts the streamwise velocity distribution within a wind farm with an arbitrary layout. As this model is obtained by solving flow-governing equations directly for a turbine that is subject to upwind turbine wakes, no ad hoc superposition technique is needed to predict wind farm flows. A suite of large-eddy simulations (LES) of wind farm arrays is used to examine self-similarity as well as validity of the so-called conservation of momentum deficit for turbine wakes in wind farms. The simulations are performed with and without the presence of some specific turbines in the wind farm. This allows us to systematically study some of the assumptions made to develop the analytical model. A modified version of the conservation of momentum deficit is also proposed to provide slightly better results at short downwind distances, as well as in the far wake of turbines deep inside a wind farm. Model predictions are validated against the LES data for turbines in both full-wake and partial-wake conditions. While our results highlight the limitation in capturing the flow speed-up between adjacent turbine columns, the model is overall able to acceptably predict flow distributions for a moderately sized wind farm. Finally, the paper employs the new model to provide insights on the accuracy of common wake superposition methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

QC-GN 2 oMS 2 : a Graph Neural Net for High Resolution Mass Spectra Prediction

Predicting the mass spectrum of a molecular ion is often accomplished via three generalized approaches: rules-based methods for bond breaking, deep learning, or quantum chemical (QC) modeling. Rules-based approaches are often limited by the conditions for different chemical subspaces and perform poorly under chemical regimes with few defined rules. QC modeling is theoretically robust but requires significant amounts of computational time to produce a spectrum for a given target. Among deep learning techniques, graph neural networks (GNNs) have performed better than previous work with fingerprint-based neural networks in mass spectra prediction. To explore this technique further, we investigate the effects of including quantum chemically derived information as edge features in the GNN to increase predictive accuracy. The models we investigated include categorical bond order, bond force constants derived from extended tight-binding (xTB) quantum chemistry, and acyclic bond dissociation energies. Throughout this work, we evaluated these models against a control GNN with no edge features in the input graphs. Bond dissociation enthalpies yielded the best improvement with a cosine similarity score of 0.462 relative to the baseline model (0.437). In this work we also apply dynamic graph attention which improves performance on benchmark problems and supports the inclusion of edge features. Between implementations, we investigate the nature of the molecular embedding for spectra prediction and discuss the recognition of fragment topographies in distinct chemistries for further development in tandem mass spectrometry prediction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗