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At least 613 records · Page 34

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Cms Central Marsh

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Cms Central Marsh. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Cms Central Marsh produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower is located near Central Marsh, Barrow. The wet sedge is dominated on permafrost.

Miyata, Akira [National Agriculture and Food Resea↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Subarctic tussock tundra, discontinuous permafrost

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Uaf University of Alaska, Fairbanks

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Uaf University of Alaska, Fairbanks. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Uaf University of Alaska, Fairbanks produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower is located near Smith Lake, University of Alaska, Fairbanks. The open black spruce is dominated on discontinuous permafrost.

Ueyama, Masahito [Osaka Prefecture University]↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-YK1 Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Izaviknek-Kingaglia uplands, Burned 2015

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-YK1 Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Izaviknek-Kingaglia uplands, Burned 2015. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-YK1 Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Izaviknek-Kingaglia uplands, Burned 2015 produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Tower installed in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta in July 2019, in an area that was burned in year 2015. Discontinuous permafrost zone in a wetland tundra ecosystem characterized by peat plateaus and wetlands

Natali, Susan [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F CA-TVC Trail Valley Creek

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-TVC Trail Valley Creek. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-TVC Trail Valley Creek produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Southern Arctic tundra site, erect-shrub tundra, tundra dominated by low shrubs <40 cm, continuous permafrost

Sonnentag, Oliver [Universite de Montreal, Departe↗

In situ and laboratory evidence for high electrical anisotropy in marine gas hydrate

Marine gas hydrate is electrically resistive compared to the surrounding hydrate-free formation, a property that is exploited in borehole logging and also by marine controlled-source electromagnetic (CSEM) surveys. Well logging shows that hydrate can be electrically anisotropic, with vertical resistivities up to 10 times higher than horizontal resistivities, although the use of logging tools capable of measuring anisotropy is the exception rather than the rule. Marine CSEM methods are well known to be sensitive to anisotropy in seafloor sediments, and, for example, we have observed anisotropies of more than an order of magnitude using CSEM to map offshore relic permafrost.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Revolutionizing observations and predictability of Arctic system dynamics through next-generation dense, heterogeneous and intelligent wireless sensor networks with embedded AI

The Arctic region is a complex and dynamic system, where changes in temperature and partitioning between water in solid, liquid and vapor phase are fundamentally reshaping hydro-biogeochemical fluxes from the bedrock to the atmosphere. The increasing temperature and frequency of extreme heat, precipitation and fire events (Wang et al., 2017; Meredith et al., 2019) have critical consequences for the Arctic ecosystems and people, as well as for the global climate system. Although many observational and remote sensing activities have been on-going, detailed ecosystem processes – particularly related to controls on and impacts of permafrost thaw – are difficult to detect or measure. To improve the understanding and prediction of these extreme events and their consequences, we need a revolution in the way we collect ground-based observations from hillslope to pan-Arctic scales and couple them with satellite imagery and models to deliver rich, actionable, and scale-appropriate data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Arctic Ice Nucleation Sampling during MOSAiC (INPMOSAIC2) Field Campaign Report

The accelerated rate of warming in the Arctic is of great concern due to potential impacts that include release of greenhouse gases from permafrost, melting glacial ice contributing to sea level rise, and declining sea ice cover exposing the darker ocean surface. These processes induce positive feedbacks and contribute to further warming that affects climate globally. Clouds play a crucial role in regulating the energy reaching the sea ice and snow surfaces, but the magnitude of their effects on surface temperature is not well constrained in the Arctic. Aerosols are an important contributor by serving as seeds for cloud particle formation, but even less is known about their overall impact and origin. In particular, aerosols that serve as ice nucleating particles (INPs) are vastly understudied, especially above the central Arctic Ocean. However, INPs likely play a significant role in arctic mixed-phase cloud (AMPC) microphysics and the resulting impacts of such clouds on the surface energy budget over the sea ice.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NGEE Arctic LANL Overview [Slides]

The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments (NGEE Arctic) project has a goal to "deliver a process-rich ecosystem model, extending from bedrock to the top of the vegetative canopy/atmospheric interface, in which the evolution of Arctic ecosystems in a changing climate can be modeled at the scale of a high resolution Earth System Model (ESM) grid cell." LANL works across multiple NGEE Arctic science questions, such as: Q1. How does the structure and organization of the landscape control permafrost evolution and associated carbon and nutrient fluxes in a changing climate? Q5. Where, when, and why will the Arctic become wetter or drier, and what are the implications for climate forcing? and Q6. What controls the vulnerability of Arctic ecosystems to disturbance, and how do disturbances alter the structure and function of these ecosystems? This report features LANL's research summaries.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nonequilibrium Physics of Multiphase Flow in Porous Media: Wettability and Disorder

Carbon capture and geologic storage, dissociation of methane hydrates in permafrost, enhanced oil recovery, and water dropout in low-temperature fuel cells, all have something in common: two or more fluids flow simultaneously through a porous medium; and the displacement of one fluid by another is often unstable (either due to gravity or viscous forces). Yet, our ability to model multiphase flow in porous media has remained a challenge. The traditional equations are unable to predict, explain, or even reproduce, the formation of the complex patterns observed in experiments. The overarching goal of the project is to develop new physical understanding of the role of wettability and disorder in multiphase flow through permeable media, and to develop new mathematical and computational models at the pore scale and at the continuum scale.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Arctic Shrub Expansion, Plant Functional Trait Variation, and Effects on Belowground Carbon Cycling (Final Technical Report)

Terrestrial ecosystems are undergoing dramatic changes in response to climate warming, and these changes are expected to feedback to the atmosphere, potentially altering the trajectory of future climate change. Feedbacks from Arctic ecosystems are a major concern because the Arctic is projected to warm significantly in the 21 st century and because >50% of global belowground organic carbon is stored in permafrost and overlying soils. Warming-driven release of this carbon could drastically increase atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and accelerate climate warming. Plant communities are also responding to warming, as evidenced by the widely documented increase in woody-shrub growth and “greening” across much of the Arctic tundra biome. This vegetation shift may offset or amplify warming by altering carbon cycling. The direction and magnitude of shrub effects remain highly uncertain, however, due to limited understanding of the consequences of shrub expansion for belowground carbon cycling and simplification of these relationships in models. The major shrubs expanding in the Arctic (Betula, Salix, and Alnus) vary widely with respect to aboveground and belowground traits (e.g., tissue production and chemistry, rooting depth, microbial symbionts), and may also exhibit substantial intraspecific variation in these traits in response to environmental conditions. Such variation is likely to have profound implications for soil carbon cycling. The overarching goal of this project was to improve process-based understanding of the influence of shrub expansion on carbon cycling to enable improved representation of carbon dynamics in ecosystem and Earth system models. We investigated how plant functional traits vary among shrub genera, respond to environmental conditions, and affect belowground carbon and nutrient cycling by quantifying relationships among functional traits and biogeochemical cycling along edaphic gradients nested within a climate gradient in the Alaskan tundra. We found consistent differences in leaf and root traits among shrub genera and between shrubs and a widespread sedge species, indicating diverse nutrient acquisition strategies and belowground impacts among different arctic shrubs. We also found striking differences in trait values among individuals within the same species or genera within sites. Soil parameters were more important than climate parameters for predicting size and leaf trait variation, and root trait responses were less dependent on climate overall. For all but one root trait, including parameters representing aboveground traits improved the predictive ability of models. These results demonstrate that tundra shrub traits vary considerably at local scales and soil factors drive this variation, especially belowground. Furthermore, leveraging information about aboveground traits and soil conditions can improve predictions of how belowground traits will respond to climate change. Despite these differences, soil carbon and nitrogen pools in the active layer did not vary among plots dominated by different shrub or sedge genera. Instead, pool sizes generally decreased from warmer to colder sites, consistent with a productivity gradient. Patterns of isotopic N composition indicate that shrubs tighten nitrogen cycling via nitrogen resorption or immobilization of shrub litter. Overall, these results suggest that further identifying the specific shrub genera in the tundra landscape will ultimately provide better predictions of belowground dynamics across the changing arctic. We also performed simulation experiments with the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM) incorporated in the Predictive Ecosystem Analyzer (PEcAn) framework, treats model parameters as probability distributions, estimates parameters based on a synthesis of available field data, and then quantifies both model sensitivity and uncertainty to a given parameter or suite of parameters. We performed simulations across different types of tundra, including shrub tundra. One key finding was that both model sensitivity and uncertainty to a given parameter could vary within the same type of tundra, but in a different geographical location, such as over the climate gradient of shrub tundra described above. We organized a special session at the annual meeting of the Ecological Society of America in August 2019 to disseminate our results, refine recommendations for model improvement, and initiate collaborations to implement these recommendations in existing models of tundra carbon dynamics at ecosystem to Earth system scales. Our results support DOE near-term priorities by providing mechanistic insights into the role of vegetation change in the terrestrial carbon cycle in a region that is inadequately represented in Earth system models. Current models reduce the complexity of Arctic vegetation to a small number of plant functional types (PFTs). This approach implicitly assumes that each PFT represents the average ecological function of its constituent species, thus ignoring the effects of trait variation on biogeochemical cycling and potentially leading to large uncertainty in the sign and magnitude of ecosystem feedbacks to climate. By quantifying variation of plant functional traits across broad gradients of climatic and edaphic conditions and elucidating the linkages of such variation with carbon and nutrient cycling, our results illustrate the need and create a foundation for further developing trait-based modeling approaches that allow the traits of PFTs to vary as a function of environmental conditions. These approaches should improve the capacity of simulation models to offer insights into ecosystem carbon dynamics associated with novel plant communities in a rapidly changing Arctic.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Core Model Proposal 397: Update to Hector V3.2.0

Hector V3.2.0 is the version documented in Dorheim et. al (accepted in GMD), the changes between the previous version coupled with GCAM were in response to the reviewer feedback. We corrected aerosol forcing coefficients based on Zelinka et al. (2023), enabled the permafrost module to be on by default, and recalibrated the model. These changes mean that we had to update the hector-gcam.ini file, it also causes some changes in Hector output behavior (described below) which may have implications on GCAM runs. Ultimately Hector is cooler by about 0.15 degrees, although this is scenario dependent.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Finding the missing pieces: filling gaps that impede the translation of omics data into models

High-throughput omics technologies such as DNA sequencing have made the sequencing and computational assembly of microbial genomes recovered from the environment relatively routine. Computational inference of the protein products encoded by these genomes, and the associated biochemical functions, should enable the accurate prediction and modeling of microbial metabolism, organismal interactions, and ecosystem processes. However, a lack of scalable, probabilistic protein annotation tools limits the full potential of modeling for understanding the metabolism and biogeochemical cycles of microbial communities. Our approach to improve inference of protein annotations and metabolic models relied on learning from and emulating expert manual curation, leveraging software engineering and data science best practices to scale up the throughput and accuracy of annotations and metabolic model construction, building software to objectively evaluate different annotation strategies, and more closely linking the protein annotation and metabolic model inference process. Outcomes of this research include several improved or new computational tools, including DRAM (Distilled and Refined Annotation of Metabolism) for annotating microbial genomes with protein function and metabolic traits, CAMPER (Curated Annotations for Microbial Polyphenol Enzymes and Reactions) for annotating key polyphenol metabolisms, EC-Bench for comprehensive and unbiased benchmarking of annotation tools, and several apps available via the DOE Systems Biology Knowledgebase (KBase) for building genome-scale metabolic models. We demonstrate that these tools allow us to scalably annotate and understand thousands of genomes for microbial communities from a variety of systems and test cases, including rivers, thawing permafrost, and gut microbiomes. All of these computational tools are available as open-source software, with most broadly and easily accessible to the scientific community via KBase apps.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Leveraging ARM Data to Improve Models for Predictive Understanding of Energy and Security Challenges

Extreme weather and natural hazards can disrupt the energy sector, affecting demand, generation, transmission, distribution, consumption and operational planning at regional and national scales. These disruptions stem from a broad range of atmospheric phenomena, including winter storms, freezing rain, wet snow loading, severe convection, flooding and landslides, wildfires, prolonged heat, and drought. Many of these same phenomena can also affect national security through impacts to transportation and infrastructure. To support the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) focus on energy resilience and national security, the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility is uniquely positioned to contribute measurement data, analyses, and modeling frameworks that can significantly improve predictive understanding of these hazards to mitigate their effects. To explore this opportunity, ARM convened a two-part virtual workshop in November 2025. The workshop engaged interdisciplinary experts in atmospheric science, energy systems, modeling, and operations. The goal of the meeting was to engage with these interdisciplinary experts to address three questions: • What are examples of atmospheric processes that represent significant risks to energy security or national security and where are those risks greatest? • What measurements or measurement strategies would improve ARM’s capacity to address these issues? • How can ARM and users of the ARM facility better work with the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) and multi-sector modeling communities to apply ARM data to improving E3SM simulations of these phenomena? Participants were asked to submit white papers ahead of the meeting to initiate thinking on these themes and to help organize discussions. Workshop sessions were then organized around themes identified in the white papers. First from the white papers and then through subsequent discussions, workshop participants identified many examples that address the three questions listed above. Participants called out energy system vulnerabilities to weather phenomena such as the impact of freezing rain, strong winds, and excessive heat on power grids. They also noted the effects that weather phenomena could have on energy demand or supply (e.g., through effects of extreme temperatures). They called out security vulnerabilities such as impacts to crops from aerosol-borne pathogens and risks to industry due to melting permafrost in the Arctic. In all, over a dozen meteorological phenomena were linked to energy or security vulnerabilities. For many of the identified phenomena, participants pointed out where ARM was well poised to address issues (e.g., through measurements of cloud microphysics to inform studies of freezing rain) but also noted needs for additional measurements or modified measurement strategies. For example, adaptive scanning of severe weather would be valuable for probing winter storms or severe convection. Participants pointed out the value in integrating external observations with ARM measurements and with applying artificial intelligence (AI) to ARM observation analysis and they advocated for using model simulations to help optimize measurement strategies through Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs). It was clear from the workshop that there are many ways that ARM observations can be used to mitigate energy and security concerns, but meeting participants were also asked to identify what they considered to be the greatest opportunities by ranking issues pertaining to the three workshop questions. This was accomplished through a survey administered to participants between the two virtual sessions. The highest-priority phenomena identified were winter storms, severe convection, and arctic processes. Discussion in the second session, therefore, focused primarily on these three areas, which were most fully developed in exploring ARM opportunities. Nevertheless, it was also clear that ARM has opportunities to contribute to all the identified topics. This report describes the workshop, including input from discussion and white papers (Sections 2 and 3) and a list of priority recommendations (section 4). Many other ideas for ARM contributions are discussed in individual white papers (Appendix D).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗