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Results for “distributed inference”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 613 records · Page 34
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

β decay of Ba 141

The β-decay strength function of nuclides produced in fission is important as it dictates the distribution of decay energy between electrons, neutrinos, and γ rays and so is critical for calculating decay heat in reactors and for estimating the reactor antineutrino spectrum. Several experimental techniques are available to determine this strength function, including electron spectroscopy, γ-ray calorimetry (TAGS spectroscopy), and detailed, high-resolution spectroscopy with modern large high-purity germanium arrays. This work investigates the decay of the well-known and strongly produced fission fragment 141 Ba. A beam of 141 Cs was implanted at the target position of the Gammasphere and the subsequent decay of the daughter 141 Ba was studied. Extensive decay spectroscopy was possible up to the decay Q value of 3.197(7) MeV, including a significant extension of the level scheme and detailed angular correlation measurements for all levels with greater than 0.25% β feeding. The distribution of the β-decay strength was then inferred and compared to previous calorimetric studies. In conclusion, the agreement was excellent and provides a benchmark for comparing strength function methods and data for a more detailed understanding of the structure of 141 La.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Accurate field-level weak lensing inference for precision cosmology

We present miko, a catalog-to-cosmology pipeline for general flat-sky field-level inference, which provides access to cosmological information beyond the two-point statistics. In the context of weak lensing, we identify several new field-level analysis systematics (such as aliasing, Fourier mode-coupling, and density-induced shape noise), quantify their impact on cosmological constraints, and correct the biases to a percent level. Next, we find that model misspecification can lead to both absolute bias and incorrect uncertainty quantification for the inferred cosmological parameters in realistic simulations. The Gaussian map prior infers unbiased cosmological parameters, regardless of the true data distribution, but it yields overconfident uncertainties. The log-normal map prior quantifies the uncertainties accurately, although it requires careful calibration of the shift parameters for unbiased cosmological parameters. Here, we demonstrate systematics control down to the 2% level for both models, making them suitable for ongoing weak lensing surveys.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reno

Reno is a tool for creating, visualizing, and analyzing system dynamics models in Python. It additionally has the ability to convert models to PyMC, allowing Bayesian inference on models with variables that include prior probability distributions.

Martindale, Nathan [Oak Ridge National Laboratory ↗
DOE OSTI2022

Comment on “Double Your Variance, Dirtify Your Bayes, Devour Your Pufferfish, and Draw Your Kidstogram,” by Xiao-Li Meng

This contribution is a series of comments on Prof. Xiao-Li Meng’s article, “Double Your Variance, Dirtify Your Bayes, Devour Your Pufferfish, and Draw Your Kidstogram”. Prof. Meng’s article offers some radical proposals and not-so-radical proposals to improve the quality of statistical inference used in the sciences and also to extend distributional thinking to early education. Discussions and alternative proposals are presented.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
NASA NTRS1973

The effect of multiple encounters on short-period comet orbits.

The observed orbital elements of short-period comets are found to be consistent with the hypothesis of derivation from long-period comets as long as two assumptions are made. First, the distribution of short-period comets has been randomized by multiple encounters with Jupiter and second, the short-period comets have low velocities of encounter with Jupiter. Some 16% of the observed short-period comets have lower encounter velocities than is allowed mathematically using Laplace's method. This may be due to double-encounter processes with Jupiter and Saturn. The distribution of unobservable short-period comets can be inferred in part from the observed comets. It is shown that there may be many short-period comets having orbits between Jupiter and Saturn with somewhat higher inclinations than those with perihelia near the earth.

Lowrey, B. E.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Inverse solution of the pseudoscalar transfer equation through nonlinear matrix inversion

Nonlinear matrix inversion operators have been developed which, applied to observed radiances, infer maximal information regarding atmospheric scattering parameters and vertical distribution of radiant sources and sinks. The algorithm has the attractive feature of noise discrimination, attributing instrumental errors to extra-atmospheric sources.

King, J. I. F.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Error analysis of an aircraft-mounted backscatter ultraviolet experiment

An experiment has been proposed to measure the zenith sky intensity and directly transmitted solar flux density at several wavelengths in the near ultraviolet from an aircraft platform located at about 15 km. From these measurements, the vertical distribution of ozone above the platform is to be inferred, by inversion of the equation of radiative transfer. The present study is an analysis of the errors to be expected in a real experiment, due to atmospheric fluctuations, numerical procedures, and ignorance of various parameters necessary for the calculation of the intensities and fluxes to be expected. These errors are found to vary from 17% at the shorter wavelengths to about 3% at the longer wavelengths used. It is shown elsewhere (Twomey et al., 1977) that unacceptable levels of instability and non-uniqueness of results will be found if the error levels in the measurements upon which we wish to invert exceed 3%. On the basis of this, it is concluded that with the present instrumentation and the present knowledge of necessary ancillary parameters, this experiment will not be feasible.

Rabinoff, R.↗
NASA NTRS1980

On the polar moment of inertia of a compressible body

The rotational dynamics of a body are governed by the values of its principle moments of inertia. These quantities are not directly observable, but they are related to the harmonic coefficients of the external gravity field and to the density distribution within the body, both of which can be inferred from appropriate observations. It is shown that, for the particular case of a spherical planet whose density varies as a power of the radial distance, the principal moment of inertia has an elegantly simple form. Application of this simplified case to the Jovian planets suggests that the density profiles outside the central core are approximately linear, with the apparent exception of Neptune.

Mulholland, J. D.↗
NASA NTRS1981

A standard verification for rainfall estimation from remote platforms

Measurements of reflectivity at horizontal (Zh) and vertical (Zy) polarizations provide adequate information necessary to infer the two parameters of an exponential raindrop size distribution (No, Do) where the distribution is given by N(D) = Noexp(-3.67 D/Do). This distribution enables computation of water content or still air rainfall rates. The physical basis of the radar technique is outlined and illustrated theoretically, and experimental results, comparing radar derived rainfall rates with raingage and disdrometer measurements, are reviewed. The technique is useful for many meteorological and hydrological purposes, including ground truth measurements of rainfall rate over the ocean for comparison with satellite related observations.

Meitin, J. G., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Electrophoretic separation of kidney and pituitary cells on STS-8

Specific secretory cells were separated from suspensions of cultured primary human embryonic cells and rat pituitary cells in microgravity conditions, with an objective of isolating the subfractions of kidney cells that produce the largest amount of urakinase, and the subfractions of rat pituitary cells that secrete growth hormones (GH), prolactin (PRL), and other hormones. It is inferred from the experimental observations that the surface charge distributions of the GH-containing cells differ from those of the PRL-containing cells, which is explained by the presence of secretory products on the surface of pituitary cells. For kidney cells, the electrophoretic mobility distributions in flight experiments were spread more than the ground controls.

Morrison, D. R.↗
NASA NTRS1992

A modified Eddington-Barbier relation in highly coherent resonance-line wings

It is shown that resonance-line wings are just as useful in inferring plane-parallel stellar chromospheric S sub L distributions as complete redistribution (CRD) profiles. Although coherent scattering effects at a given frequency tend to average depth-dependent parameters over a larger volume than in CRD, this effect can be offset by simply looking closer to line center, where the same depth-dependent information exists as in CRD, albeit somewhat more compressed in frequency space. For resonance lines with high excitation energies such as Ly-alpha, steep Planck function gradients can invalidate the modified Eddington-Barbier approach given, but this problem also exists in CRD.

Gayley, K. G.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Meteoroid environment near the Earth-Moon system

We undertook a research program to investigate the properties of small objects crossing the orbit of the Earth-Moon system using a unique set of data obtained during the Apollo lunar landing missions with a network of seismic stations on the surface of the Moon. The primary objectives of the study were to find out the nature of these objects, whether they were of cometary or asteroidal origin based on their orbital distributions and seismic effects upon impacts, and then to infer the role these small objects play in the evolution of the solar system. In this final technical report, we briefly summarize the results of this study. Detailed results of the study have been published in a series of papers and a dissertation, which are listed in the PUBLICATIONS section. Abstracts of the published papers and the dissertation are attached as an appendix.

Nakamura, Yosio↗
NASA NTRS1993

Hellas basin, Mars: Formation by oblique impact

Hellas, a 2,000-km-diameter, roughly circular multiring impact basin in the southern highlands of Mars, has a pronounced southeastern lobe of rim material that extends for some 1,500 km. This lobe and a system of ridges concentric to the southern part of the basin (including part of the lobe) were interpreted to be formed by an oblique impact that was inclined in the direction of the lobe. Our preliminary geologic mapping of the Hellas region (lat -20 to -65 deg, long 250 to 320 deg) at 1:5,000,000 scale gives this hypothesis additional supporting evidence, including a symmetric distribution of basin ejecta and volcanic centers across the inferred trend of the impact. Furthermore, measurements of relief indicate that the downrange ejecta may be about twice as thick as they are elsewhere around the rim.

Leonard, Gregory J.↗
NASA NTRS1995

ULF waves in the foreshock

We review our current knowledge of ULF waves in planetary foreshocks. Most of this knowledge comes from observations taken within a few Earth radii of the terrestrial bow shock. Terrestrial foreshock ULF waves can be divided into three types, large amplitude low frequency waves (approximately 30-s period), upstream propagating whistlers (1-Hz waves), and 3-s waves. The 30-s waves are apparently generated by back-streaming ion beams, while the 1-Hz waves are generated at the bow shock. The source of the 3-s waves has yet to be determined. In addition to issues concerning the source of ULF waves in the foreshock, the waves present a number of challenges, both in terms of data acquisition, and comparison with theory. The various waves have different coherence scales, from approximately 100 km to approximately 1 Earth radius. Thus multi-spacecraft separation strategies must be tailored to the phenomenon of interest. From a theoretical point of view, the ULF waves are observed in a plasma in which the thermal pressure is comparable to the magnetic pressure, and the rest-frame wave frequency can be moderate fraction of the proton gyro-frequency. This requires the use of kinetic plasma wave dispersion relations, rather than multi-fluid MHD. Lastly, and perhaps most significantly, ULF waves are used to probe the ambient plasma, with inferences being drawn concerning the types of energetic ion distributions within the foreshock. However, since most of the data were acquired close to the bow shock, the properties of the more distant foreshock have to be deduced mainly through extrapolation of the near-shock results. A general understanding of the wave and plasma populations within the foreshock, their interrelation, and evolution, requires additional data from the more distant foreshock.

Greenstadt, E. W.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Properties of Stratospheric Aerosol Estimated from HALOE Data

Extinction coefficients for stratospheric aerosols at 8 HALOE (HALogen Occultation Experiment) wavelengths are determined by comparing transmittances data for two adjacent solar occultation measurements, where one limb path is loaded with aerosols but the other path is free of aerosols. These extinction coefficients are used to infer the aerosol properties such as composition and size distribution parameters. Mie theory has been used to calculate the extinction coefficients, and a nonlinear least square method is applied to determine the aerosol properties. Sixteen cases are selected for the retrieval in southern hemisphere at latitudes from 21 to 48 deg S for the period of 29 Mar - 31 May 1992. Retrieved size width ranges from 1.1 to 1.5 and radius ranges from 0.25 to 0.45 micrometers. These size parameters are within the ranges of in situ measurements at Laramie, Wyoming. Retrieved weight percent of H2SO4 is larger than the equilibrium value by about 5 to approximately 10 weight percent, similar to the results for northern hemisphere at latitudes 20 to 55 deg N for the period from Nov 1991 to Feb. 1992.

Lee, Kwang-Mog↗
NASA NTRS1997

The Effects of Water Vapor and Clouds on the Spectral Distribution of Solar Radiation at the...

During the Subsonic Contrail and Cloud Effect Special Study (SUCCESS) a Solar Spectral Flux Radiometer was deployed at the surface in a zenith observing position. The instrument measured the solar spectral downwelling irradiance between 350 and 2500 nm with 10 nm resolution. From April 12 through April 29 approximately 18000 spectra were acquired, under a variety of meteorological conditions including cloud free, cirrus, Stearns, and cumulonimbus clouds. This study focuses on the effect of cirrus and cirrus contrails on the spectral distribution of solar irradiance at the surface and on inferring cirrus properties from their spectral transmittance. The observations have also proven to be useful for comparing the solar spectral irradiance measurements with model predictions, and in particular, for inferring the amount of solar radiation absorbed in the clear and cloudy atmosphere.

Pilewskie, P.↗
NASA NTRS2006

Using the Bootstrap Method for a Statistical Significance Test of Differences between Summary Histograms

A new method is proposed to compare statistical differences between summary histograms, which are the histograms summed over a large ensemble of individual histograms. It consists of choosing a distance statistic for measuring the difference between summary histograms and using a bootstrap procedure to calculate the statistical significance level. Bootstrapping is an approach to statistical inference that makes few assumptions about the underlying probability distribution that describes the data. Three distance statistics are compared in this study. They are the Euclidean distance, the Jeffries-Matusita distance and the Kuiper distance. The data used in testing the bootstrap method are satellite measurements of cloud systems called cloud objects. Each cloud object is defined as a contiguous region/patch composed of individual footprints or fields of view. A histogram of measured values over footprints is generated for each parameter of each cloud object and then summary histograms are accumulated over all individual histograms in a given cloud-object size category. The results of statistical hypothesis tests using all three distances as test statistics are generally similar, indicating the validity of the proposed method. The Euclidean distance is determined to be most suitable after comparing the statistical tests of several parameters with distinct probability distributions among three cloud-object size categories. Impacts on the statistical significance levels resulting from differences in the total lengths of satellite footprint data between two size categories are also discussed.

Xu, Kuan-Man↗
NASA NTRS2012

Polarimetric Imaging of Large Cavity Structures in the Pre-transitional Protoplanetary Disk Around PDS 70: Observations of the Disk

We present high-resolution H-band polarized intensity (FWHM=0".1:14AU) and L'-band imaging data(FWHM= 0".11:15 AU) of the circumstellar disk around the weak-lined T Tauri star PDS 70 in Centaurus at a radial distance of 28 AU (0".2) up to 210 AU (1".5). In both images, a giant inner gap is clearly resolved for the first time, and the radius of the gap is approx.70 AU. Our data show that the geometric center of the disk shifts by approx.6 AU toward the minor axis. We confirm that the brown dwarf companion candidate to the north of PDS 70 is a background star based on its proper motion. As a result of spectral energy distribution fitting by Monte Carlo radiative transfer modeling, we infer the existence of an optically thick inner disk at a few AU. Combining our observations and modeling, we classify the disk of PDS 70 as a pre-transitional disk. Furthermore, based on the analysis of L'-band imaging data, we put an upper limit of approx.30 to approx.50 M(sub J) on the mass of companions within the gap. Taking into account the presence of the large and sharp gap, we suggest that the gap could be formed by dynamical interactions of sub-stellar companions or multiple unseen giant planets in the gap. Key words: planetary systems - polarization - protoplanetary disks - stars: individual (PDS 70) - stars: pre-main sequence.

Hashimoto, J.↗